Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
If we do not hit our goal we will be forced to close the site.

Current status: https://keepboardsalive.com/

Annual subs are best for most impact. If you are still undecided on going Ad Free - you can also donate using the Paypal Donate option. All contribution helps. Thank you.
https://www.boards.ie/group/1878-subscribers-forum

Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.

Covid 19 Part XXVII- 62,002 ROI (1,915 deaths) 39,609 NI (724 deaths) (02/11) Read OP

1142143145147148320

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,794 ✭✭✭Benimar


    I apologise for saying the rate had dropped to 1 when I meant the latest estimate of the rate had dropped to 1.

    The latest estimate is 1.3, as I pointed out to you yesterday.

    Unless you have some inside track we don’t know about, you are pulling a number out of thin air tbh.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,794 ✭✭✭Benimar


    US2 wrote: »
    Any reason why yesterday's numbers were so low, is level 3 kicking in or what. How many positive swabs yesterday

    1038 swabs and 777 announced cases. It’s why most of us aren’t too excited about yesterday’s drop at the moment.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    Yay. Further staff self isolating. Relying on bank nursing here. We are running out of single rooms to keep the covid patients in as well.

    We're in for a shít winter, aren't we? I'm very worried we might still get an Italy type of disaster.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,340 ✭✭✭Ubbquittious


    This is only a Mockdown. But don't tell Mehole that, he wants to preside over a lockdown just as severe as Leo's and the last thing he wants is to be playing second fiddle to Leo.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,173 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    It's amusing that when cases are bad, the headline is posted 20 times on RTE news. When the numbers are better, they don't even mention it.

    Last night's numbers are buried in a piece on Tony's interview on the Late Late, but Thursday's numbers are still the title of an article.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,173 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    US2 wrote: »
    Any reason why yesterday's numbers were so low, is level 3 kicking in or what. How many positive swabs yesterday
    Positivity rate has been dropping consistently now all week. Level 3 is having an effect. How sustained it is, is yet to be seen, but it is undeniable that numbers are on the way down.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,000 ✭✭✭Russman


    This is only a Mockdown. But don't tell Mehole that, he wants to preside over a lockdown just as severe as Leo's and the last thing he wants is to be playing second fiddle to Leo.

    Someone jokingly said to me yesterday that it’s a real FF lockdown as opposed to a lockdown :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,723 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    Benimar wrote: »
    1038 swabs and 777 announced cases. It’s why most of us aren’t too excited about yesterday’s drop at the moment.

    Totally, a couple of hundred cases to be added on, however the stabilisation of Swabs and even the drop from 1500, 1200,1100 odd last week is encouraging and thankfully that's a different e word than we were hearing


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    zinfandel wrote: »
    would it not be better having all the covid patients together and keeping the single rooms for non covid?

    I don't know, if covid patients shared a room and covid spread by just breathing, can taking in extra virus make them sicker?


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 875 ✭✭✭mean gene


    seamus wrote: »
    It's amusing that when cases are bad, the headline is posted 20 times on RTE news. When the numbers are better, they don't even mention it.

    Last night's numbers are buried in a piece on Tony's interview on the Late Late, but Thursday's numbers are still the title of an article.

    rte have been a total disgrace during this era I know their full of sh1t but a vulnerable pensioner may think other -bunch of cowboys


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,039 ✭✭✭Call me Al


    I don't know, if covid patients shared a room and covid spread by just breathing, can taking in extra virus make them sicker?

    Yes I think viral load often has implications wrt how sick people can get.
    If somebody is in hospital being treated for a different illness but happens to test positive for asymptomatic covid, I'd think exposing them to higher levels of virus would increase their risk of covid sickness.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    cnocbui wrote: »
    Will someone please start a thread for people like you where the only type of post tollerated is one in support of the official Oirish pan(dem)ic response.

    If you want a high five, bro, echo chamber of like minnds, have at it.

    Why don’t you start your own thread for people like yourself.

    Several posters, myself included, called out a poster who posted a made up R number as fact, if you don’t agree then post updated numbers including a reliable source.

    I really don’t know what your problem is, but whether it is; it’s on you.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 917 ✭✭✭Thierry12


    seamus wrote: »
    Positivity rate has been dropping consistently now all week. Level 3 is having an effect. How sustained it is, is yet to be seen, but it is undeniable that numbers are on the way down.

    Yeah its great to see

    Settling at level 3 would be liveable

    Would like to have a steak dinner, if they could get that in


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,190 ✭✭✭opinionated3


    Thierry12 wrote: »
    Yeah its great to see

    Settling at level 3 would be liveable

    Would like to have a steak dinner, if they could get that in

    Settling at level three is liveable? Are you serious? No socialising?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 462 ✭✭Xaniaj


    Settling at level three is liveable? Are you serious? No socialising?

    God forbid you don't live in the same county as your family, I'm now into month.... 5? of not being able to visit my family this year.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 387 ✭✭Goldrickssan


    Thierry12 wrote: »
    Yeah its great to see

    Settling at level 3 would be liveable

    Would like to have a steak dinner, if they could get that in

    We need level 2 for Xmas.

    If cases are actually going to start trending down now I can see us into level 3 in 6 weeks. Then maybe level 2 a couple of weeks after that and through Xmas.

    Then its back to square one though because our health service is absolute ass capacity wise.


  • Posts: 518 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    seamus wrote: »
    It's amusing that when cases are bad, the headline is posted 20 times on RTE news. When the numbers are better, they don't even mention it.

    Last night's numbers are buried in a piece on Tony's interview on the Late Late, but Thursday's numbers are still the title of an article.

    Legislation was passed on Thursday to seal the records of the mother and baby homes for 30 years, and in doing so the government will breach European and Irish law, according to the Office of the Data Protection Commission.

    There isn't one mention of this on RTE's website today, yet it is the main headline on the Irish Examiner today.

    https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40070294.html

    Had the public not been so distracted by Covid, there would be uproar about this.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,480 ✭✭✭Blondini


    Yeah 777 was the biggest divergence with the trend in last 100 days. Hopefully it is the start of a prolonged decrease but we'll have to wait and see. Certainly looks like an outlier.

    What's an outlier?


  • Posts: 518 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Blondini wrote: »
    What's an outlier?

    a person or thing situated away or detached from the main body or system.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,023 ✭✭✭Gruffalux


    It was in Athy Co Kildare Paddy

    I was told about that shebeen in Athy in late August. The Gardai just raided it last night. :rolleyes:


  • Advertisement
  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,480 ✭✭✭Blondini


    a person or thing situated away or detached from the main body or system.

    Sorry, I was being facetious.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    a person or thing situated away or detached from the main body or system.

    Would a shebeen be an outlier so? :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,784 ✭✭✭froog


    Blondini wrote: »
    What's an outlier?

    there are some posters in this thread who are out and out liars.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,480 ✭✭✭Blondini


    Would a shebeen be an outlier so? :pac:

    Come on, you'd know that if you studied bartistics .


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Blondini wrote: »
    Come on, you'd know that if you studied bartistics .

    haha yeah an outlier has become a politically loaded term. It has a different meanings to different people and they are necessarily wrong. Very hard to agree on what constitutes one with covid data. One county final can produce 'an outlier' but it's not actually an outlier as it is real.

    What affect of doing your own contract tracing has on the numbers? I know we are model citizens but there will be some who'd rather say nothing and maintain plausible deniability. There's no shame with this thing but it would be a hard call if there was a household member who was vulnerable.
    There is no rigid mathematical definition of what constitutes an outlier; determining whether or not an observation is an outlier is ultimately a subjective exercise.[7] There are various methods of outlier detection.[8][9][10][11] Some are graphical such as normal probability plots. Others are model-based. Box plots are a hybrid.

    Model-based methods which are commonly used for identification assume that the data are from a normal distribution, and identify observations which are deemed "unlikely" based on mean and standard deviation:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,259 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    46 Long wrote: »
    We make judgements like that all the time. The HSE website lists annual flu deaths of between 200-500 every year, mostly older people. Lockdowns, mandatory face masks and social distancing would probably reduce the number of deaths and mitigate the pressure on the health services. But we don't do that, never have and never will.

    You cannot compare flu and covid. That stats you have posted re: flu are bad but the covid situation is catastrophic...

    Ireland cases: 55,261

    Ireland deaths : 1,878


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 917 ✭✭✭Thierry12


    Strumms wrote: »
    You cannot compare flu and covid. That stats you have posted re: flu are bad but the covid situation is catastrophic...

    Ireland cases: 55,261

    Ireland deaths : 1,878

    Its probably 250,000 - 500,000 cases in realty

    Still way worse than flu, incomparable


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,980 ✭✭✭s1ippy


    Legislation was passed on Thursday to seal the records of the mother and baby homes for 30 years, and in doing so the government will breach European and Irish law, according to the Office of the Data Protection Commission.

    There isn't one mention of this on RTE's website today, yet it is the main headline on the Irish Examiner today.

    https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40070294.html

    Had the public not been so distracted by Covid, there would be uproar about this.
    The Data Protection commissioner has noted that it's against both European and Irish GDPR.
    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/blanket-ban-on-mother-and-baby-homes-data-access-contested-1.4389816


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 917 ✭✭✭Thierry12


    Settling at level three is liveable? Are you serious? No socialising?

    For now anyway

    Compared to many countries in Europe we have Covid under control

    Maybe a level 2.5 will keep it at bay and we can see family more and have some socialisation in restaurants etc


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,630 ✭✭✭MerlinSouthDub


    Blondini wrote: »
    What's an outlier?

    It's annoying the way the case reporting is so inconsistent. I think we all know that yesterday's true number was about 1000, similar to previous days, based on the swab data. It's pretty pointless publishing daily data if it's just not reliable.


This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement