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LET IT SNOW AND BE COLD!!!***RAMPING THREAD***Mod Note #1193#2705

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Comments



  • I WANT snow.

    I DEMAND snow.

    I WILL HAVE snow.




  • GFS keeps with the trend of a bit of height into Greenland lets hope that continues.

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  • RTE +1




  • At 114hrs, we all breathe a sigh of relief
    The rest of the run should be awesome!! :)




  • GFS isn't following the ECM this time. Scandi high has sunk south even earlier.


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  • Those minus 8 uppers are well out into the Atlantic (coming from the West) at +114.

    Creeping towards the other models at 120 and 126? Low developing, even if its not a big a feature as on the ECM.




  • NAE 42 hours. Rain turning to snow across the border in east Donegal.

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  • Solid NAE and GFS tonight.

    Lets hope for continued westwards shift tomorrow :)




  • 18z going off on one quite early
    I mean for heaven's sake it gives the Uk's snowfall almost entirely to Cork :-)




  • 18z going off on one quite early
    I mean for heaven's sake it gives the Uk's snowfall almost entirely to Cork :-)

    Don't let Leahyl hear that:eek:


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  • Deank wrote: »
    Don't let Leahyl hear that:eek:

    Always lurking that one...




  • At 114hrs, we all breathe a sigh of relief
    The rest of the run should be awesome!! :)

    :confused:

    Scandi high has sunk and it only sent a very small low southeast.

    Have a look at the 12Z ECM again....

    18Z GFS is good for Ireland in the short term but its crap after that.




  • Ouch the 18z continues to short live the cold
    Not good!!

    Come back Gerry all is forgiven




  • Is it going to snow...... I've tried to decipher your meteorological code but alas i have failed....Is it going to snow????




  • I wish I believed in anything above 48 hours, I'd take the 78 & 84 GFS :D




  • Creeping towards the other models at 120 and 126? Low developing, even if its not a big a feature as on the ECM.

    Which fizzles out by +138. And the Azores High is nudging a ridge towards us at +144. The GFS is having none of this model consensus mallarkey is it?




  • del88 wrote: »
    Is it going to snow...... I've tried to decipher your meteorological code but alas i have failed....Is it going to snow????

    facepalmpicard.jpg




  • Which fizzles out by +138. And the Azores High is nudging a ridge towards us at +144. The GFS is having none of this model consensus mallarkey is it?

    All a bit familiar isnt it!?




  • Well if you have Ian Brown saying bin it over on N-W that's a good sign
    See you all in the morning




  • NAE. 48 hours. Snow getting a bit futher into Donegal. No snow south of Ulster by this point (6pm), just rain, but looks like it would pivot in there later in the night if this went beyond 48 hours. A positive NAE run. Should be interesting in the moring.

    13011818_1618.gif


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  • del88 wrote: »
    Is it going to snow...... I've tried to decipher your meteorological code but alas i have failed....Is it going to snow????

    Yes, 100% it is going to snow...............but I can't tell you exactly where on the planet it will occur, sry




  • Defiantly an improvement for the West this evening, lets hope the UKMO lust for snow is vain and we can get first dibs! Another 48 hours and still wiggle room left!!




  • Anybody have access to the latest fax charts, how is Saturday and Sunday looking? :)




  • The only thing I will say on the GFS folks ,

    When none of the charts were showing anything really interesting , The GFS stuck to its guns

    Slowly all the others jumped on board,

    When they did the GFS jumped off ,

    It has since come back but I would not discount what its saying now as it backs away again, but I do think the orientation of the low is very wrong myself , and all the other models are against it




  • 18Z NAE showing -7 & -8 uppers reaching N.I. in 48 hours.
    18Z GFS has -3 uppers there at 48 hours.

    Hi res models like the NAE will be really important as we get closer to potential rain/snow 'events'.




  • Anybody have access to the latest fax charts, how is Saturday and Sunday looking? :)

    Here,

    24hr 36hr 48hr 60hr 72hr 84hr 96hr 120hr

    Just to point out that the 96 and 120 hr charts only update once a day and at around this time. Earlier charts update at around 6.30am and 6.30pm each day.




  • Never take the 18z too seriously.

    The 12z was worse, in the long run!

    Also Id like to see the verification stats of the 12z vs 18z. Im sure the 12z has some better stats but I doubt its very dramatic. Not enough to say 'ignore the 18z'.




  • Must be somewhat of a record amount viewing here?!

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  • BEASTERLY wrote: »
    The 12z was worse, in the long run!

    Also Id like to see the verification stats of the 12z vs 18z. Im sure the 12z has some better stats but I doubt its very dramatic. Not enough to say 'ignore the 18z'.

    99 red balloons.
    For the GFS, look at a couple days of 00Z and 12Z runs for consistency. Avoid the 06Z and 18Z runs when 00 or 12 is available; in the U.S. these runs don't include the weather balloon network data (balloons are only sent up twice per day), and are therefore radically different and more likely to have bias.

    http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/weathermatrix/why-are-the-models-so-inaccurate/18097


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  • Anyone catch the 9 news/weather wat was said :)


This discussion has been closed.
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