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Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)
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Wednesday, 30 June, 2021
Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 30 June to 6 July 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values, a little above at first, later on a bit below average by early next week.
-- Rainfalls will average 75 per cent of normal values.
-- Sunshine will also average about 75 per cent of normal.
-- Light winds until the weekend, then moderate southwesterlies at times.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, and a few showers may develop inland from the south coast across Cork, Limerick, Tipps and Waterford mainly. Most other areas should remain dry. Highs 20 to 23 C.
TONIGHT will feature some clear intervals and lows near 10 C.
THURSDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals and rather warm, highs 21 to 24 C.
FRIDAY will bring increasing cloud and lows of 12 C, highs near 19 C west, 22 C east. Rain will develop in west Munster late in the day.
SATURDAY will start out cloudy with showers, then some brighter intervals will develop, in moderate southwest winds 40 to 60 km/hr. Lows near 13 C and highs near 19 C.
SUNDAY will be mostly cloudy with occasional showers, lows near 13 C and highs near 18 C.
The pattern next week still looks rather unsettled and not as warm, highs generally 17 to 19 C.
My local weather has remained dangerously hot as more records were set all over the region on Tuesday. The high at the nearby weather station was 44 C which is another all-time record for that location. The severe heat covers almost all of the northwestern U.S. but some relief began to show up near the coasts as marine layers pushed inland about 50 miles, reducing the severe heat to more ordinary late June warmth. Also the severe heat has spread into Montana and Alberta as the heat dome spreads out. It will gradually deflate but we won't see much change in the weather as heat somewhat closer to normal replaces this extreme variety by the coming weekend (so highs closer to the mid 30s instead of the mid 40s). News reports mention excess deaths due to heat prostration in the hundreds or low thousands across the entire region (including the U.S. portion). Most weather weenies seem to think this is the biggest heat wave event since the 1936 heat wave that set all-time records in two thirds of U.S. states and across south central Canada. With one or two exceptions, that famous heat wave did not reach levels that our current monster has managed to do. Canada has a new record high for the third consecutive day, this one an astounding 49.5 C which is 121 F. Only Palm Springs CA (of the major weather stations in the southwest U.S.) beat that in the recent hot spell down south.
Be thankful you live in a place with a moderate climate.-1 -
Thursday, 1 July, 2021
Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 1 to 7 July 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values, warm at first, a little below normal towards the end.
-- Rainfalls will average 75 to 100 per cent of normal values.
-- Sunshine will average 75 per cent of normal.
-- Winds generally light at first, will increase to moderate southwest at times.
FORECASTS
TODAY will feature some warm spells of hazy sunshine, more cloud likely in east Ulster and around some coastal areas of the west. Highs 21 to 24 C.
TONIGHT will be clear to partly cloudy, lows 11 to 14 C.
FRIDAY will bring increasing cloud with rain moving into west Munster by late afternoon and evening, rather warm and increasingly humid with highs 20 to 23 C.
SATURDAY the rain will move across most regions during the late overnight and morning hours (5-10 mm) followed by variable cloud and further showers, isolated thunderstorms, rather muggy with lows 13 to 16 C and highs 19 to 22 C.
SUNDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, scattered thundery showers developing in a rather muggy air mass with lows near 14 C and highs near 21 C (closer to 18 C near some coasts where it may turn rather foggy at times).
MONDAY some pulses of heavier rain will move up from the south, lows near 14 C and highs near 20 C.
TUESDAY some further heavy showers likely, lows near 14 C and highs near 18 C.
The rest of next week appears somewhat cooler but less unsettled with only isolated showers in a slight northerly flow, lows around 12 C and highs around 18 C.
My local weather seems to be pretty well known by now, another sunny and extremely hot day locally with highs of 42 to 44 C, with a few thunderstorms developing further west starting a cycle that may become an even worse outcome with the potential for forest fires to spread (nothing within 150 kms of my location so far). This frontal zone is weak in terms of temperature change, once the marine layer dissipates on its way across the Cascades, there probably won't be very much cooling other than what might be produced from thunderstorm downdrafts and the gradual spread further inland of the heat dome, as records fell across Alberta and the southern fringes of the Northwest Territories on Wednesday.-1 -
Friday, 2 July, 2021
Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 2 to 8 July 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values, with the trend from 1-2 above normal to 1-2 below later.
-- Rainfalls could reach normal amounts in the south, to 50-75 per cent of normal in the north.
-- Sunshine will be around 50 to 75 per cent of normal in a rather cloudy scenario.
-- Winds will increase at times to moderate or the lower end of the "strong" range near the south coast.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be rather cloudy with a few breaks, and warm temperatures reaching 21 to 23 C in some places, closer to 19 C near the south and west coasts. Rain will develop this afternoon and evening, mostly in west Munster at first although a separate frontal zone across south Ulster may produce some light rain too.
TONIGHT the rain will move through other regions, with 5-10 mm generally, and muggy lows near 14 C.
SATURDAY will be cloudy with afternoon sunny breaks, and the morning rain will fragment to showers becoming more isolated for most areas, with risk of localized thunderstorms developing in the midlands. Rather warm and muggy with highs 19 to 22 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows near 14 C and highs 18 to 21 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy at first, then overcast, as rain develops in the south by late afternoon and evening, with an interval of strong, gusty east to southeast winds and heavy squalls of rain likely overnight into Tuesday morning. Temperatures steady near 16 C.
TUESDAY will bring a gradual end to this unsettled weather as the low responsible moves through Ireland and off towards Scotland by afternoon, leaving a partly cloudy and cooler northwest flow in its wake. Highs near 17 C.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY appear likely to remain a bit cooler than average for early July, with lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C, partly cloudy skies with isolated showers.
The pattern beyond that looks rather variable with some warm days in the mix, some unsettled days with locally heavy showers, a fairly typical July scenario with temperatures either near normal or somewhat above normal at times. This leads to the monthly outlook which is a mixed bag of different weather patterns, a bit of everything likely during the month, all coming out to near average overall. If there are departures from normal, they are more likely to be wetter than average and perhaps slightly warmer. Sunshine will be under some pressure to reach normal totals although here again the mix will include some cloudy days and some sunny days.
My local weather situation has improved slightly with a weak cool front passing at the present time; this sparked off some thunderstorms further north but we had nothing of that here, just patchy cloud that increased to a mostly cloudy sky at sunset. The heat remained in place earlier and the high on Thursday was close to 41 C. It seems likely that this severe heat will ease now and we'll have highs in the low to mid 30s for about five days and possibly a cooler turn after that which will be quite welcome. The more severe heat has moved into most of the Canadian prairies and a few parts of Montana and western North Dakota. The northern limit of this heat was unusually far north and reached a few locations north of 60 deg latitude, including Fort Smith in the Northwest Territories which got to 40 C. A more moderate warm air mass divided that heat from the modified arctic air which remained in place near the arctic islands and the far northern mainland, so that around Great Slave Lake it was near 28 C which is not all that unusual in the summer.
Meanwhile Tropical Storm Elsa is bearing down on the Lesser Antilles and will be moving through the northern Caribbean for several days then crossing Cuba into the Gulf of Mexico near Florida by next week. It is expected to be near hurricane strength at times, and could move through the inland southeastern states and up the eastern seaboard towards eastern Canada, but so far there are no indications of a severe hurricane forming.-1 -
Saturday, 3 July, 2021
Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 July 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average slightly above normal values with just the middle portions of next week falling a degree or two below average, nights will be more likely to register above normal than daytimes.
-- Rainfall will average near normal in the south, to about 50 per cent of normal in the northwest.
-- Sunshine will average about 50 to 75 per cent of normal values.
-- Winds will increase at times to moderate with an interval of strong winds expected Monday night near the south coast but not too likely to make progress inland.
FORECASTS
TODAY will become partly cloudy, warm and humid with a few scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Some heavy downpours are possible in a few places, most likely the midlands. Highs 20 to 23 C.
TONIGHT will be muggy with occasional showers, lows 13 to 15 C.
SUNDAY will be cloudy with a few sunny intervals, and widespread thundery showers may develop around mid-day lasting through part of the afternoon. Once again, the midlands may see the heaviest downpours. Weekend total rainfalls will be quite variable with 10 mm being a likely average value, some places below that and some quite a bit above. Highs for Sunday around 18 to 21 C.
MONDAY will start out dry with some brighter intervals lasting longer into the mid-day period further north, as cloud followed by rain advance into the south. By evening it could become quite windy across the south (southeast 50 to 70 km/hr) with a band of heavy thundery showers moving into the south coastal counties. Lows near 14 C and highs near 19 C.
TUESDAY the rain from the south coast will move up the east coast during the early morning to mid-day hours while other regions see a gradual clearance from the northwest, with somewhat cooler and less humid conditions that will reach Leinster by afternoon. Lows near 15 C and highs 18 to 20 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy and rather cool with isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
THURSDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, lows near 8 C and highs 18 to 20 C.
FRIDAY will bring increasing cloud and evening showers, stronger southwest winds arriving with the rain, and highs near 22 C.
NEXT WEEKEND looks fairly similar to this weekend, with bands of showers and temperatures near average. From then on as mentioned yesterday the weather pattern looks to be a mixture of warm days and unsettled intervals with temperatures closer to normal then, a few days could be reaching the mid-20s temperature range.
Where I live, we would love to have it cool down to the high 20s, which it has done in some places further north and closer to the coast. We're still in quite a hot and dry air mass here, after a day of sunshine locally and scattered thunderstorms to our north, making no progress towards us. Went on a road trip to the next valley west of us (Grand Forks) where it was also hot but some smoke is drifting in there from fires in the U.S., nothing too serious that they expect to have under control over the weekend. Our high on Friday was 37 C which was just a fraction cooler than the severe portion of the heat wave. We're expecting a day of scattered thunderstorms and highs in the low 30s on both days of the weekend here but no organized push of cooler air. The core of the severe heat has moved as far east as Saskatchewan now, but the phenomenon seems to be slowly receding back to something closer to a typical summer hot spell as time goes by. Meanwhile, Elsa became a cat-1 hurricane on Friday and is brushing past Haiti to the south, and Jamaica to the north, on its way to an eventual crossing of central to western Cuba and in possibly weakened form another landfall in the Florida panhandle by middle of next week. Remnants of Elsa could move up the east coast of the U.S. and dissipate around eastern Canada in about a week to ten days.-1 -
Sunday, 4 July, 2021
Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 4 to 10 July, 2021
-- Temperatures will average near normal to about 1.0 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average near normal in the south, to 50 per cent of normal in the northwest, other regions about 75 per cent of normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal values.
-- Winds will be moderately fresh at times, with a few stronger intervals near the south coast late Monday.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and another round of thundery showers likely for parts of the central and northern counties by mid-day and afternoon. A few locally heavy downpours can be expected there. Highs 18 to 21 deg C.
TONIGHT will become partly cloudy with showers more isolated, lows around 13 C.
MONDAY will have variable cloudiness with a few showers, but intervals of heavier rain in the south by evening as winds there increase to southeast 50-70 km/hr. Highs near 19 C.
TUESDAY the rain will push through parts of the southeast in the late overnight hours with some clearing, followed by another interval of rain later towards mid-day, and another more widespread clearing trend by afternoon. Breezy with lows near 14 C and highs near 18 C.
WEDNESDAY will become partly cloudy with a few showers, northwest breezes, and lows near 12 C, highs 17 to 19 C.
THURSDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, lows near 8 C and highs 20 to 23 C.
FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with increasing cloud later, lows near 8 C and highs 19 to 22 C.
NEXT WEEKEND looks rather unsettled again with showers and moderate westerly winds, highs near 19 C.
The pattern for the following week is rather variable with a few dry days in the mix but also a few more showery days as fronts pass through, temperatures either near normal or slightly above normal at times.
My local weather on Saturday remained mostly sunny and hot with a high near 35 C, with a buildup of cloud and scattered thunderstorms a few miles further north holding temperatures down to about 28 C there, which we investigated during a search for good swimming opportunities, but the brief rounds of storm activity were rather sporadic and a smoky haze there made it difficult to see much cloud structure. Since midnight that area of storms has edged close enough to here that we are getting some wind gusts and a slightly cooler feel. No lightning observed so the cells must be weakening gradually. But we do expect them to redevelop over us later today.-1 -
Monday, 5 July, 2021
Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 5 to 11 July 2021
-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 75 to 100 per cent of normal, eventually it should be similar in most regions.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal.
-- Wind speeds will continue light to moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with some brighter intervals, these more frequent in the south central counties. A few showers are likely and steadier rain will develop in parts of the northwest. Highs for most around 18 or 19 C, a few degrees cooler however in Donegal and parts of north and west Ulster.
TONIGHT rain will spread gradually through the west and then across the south, more showery further east and north. Amounts of 5-10 mm are likely in some areas. Lows near 14 C.
TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few afternoon sunny intervals, as rain tapers off to showers across Leinster and east Munster, with just isolated showers likely elsewhere. Highs 16 to 18 C.
WEDNESDAY will bring variable amounts of cloud with a few showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C.
THURSDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, showers developing across the west late in the day. Lows near 8 C and highs near 21 C.
FRIDAY will be overcast with light rain or drizzle at times, rather foggy or misty over hills and near some coasts. Lows near 10 C and highs 15 to 18 C.
NEXT WEEKEND will be partly cloudy both days, with showers likely, highs near 20 C.
The pattern for the following week looks like a very similar outcome with further showers at times, but temperatures not far from July normal values.
My local weather remained sunny and hot with a lot of cloud just to our north, and a few rumbles of thunder but nothing very active developed locally. Temperatures with the sunshine continued to peak around 35 C but it was only around 26-28 C in the cloudier areas (which we decided would work for us so we spent the day in that area). Clear and rather warm this evening locally, although cooling off nicely outside the town thanks to clear skies.
Elsa has been wavering between strong tropical storm and weak hurricane intensity on its trek through the northern Caribbean. Today it will begin to move inland into Cuba and end up in the eastern Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday, where it could restrengthen to cat-1 hurricane intensity before hitting western Florida. It's still expected to move up the eastern seaboard of the U.S. later in the week.-1 -
Tuesday, 6 July, 2021
Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 6 to 12 July 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average about 1.0 deg below normal.
-- Rainfall will average about 25 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average only 50 per cent of normal.
-- Winds generally light to moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with some heavy rain showers moving further south from west Ulster through Connacht eventually spreading into the midlands and southeast. Amounts of 10-20 mm are expected. Highs 16 to 19 C.
TONIGHT will see this rain increasingly confined to the south, before ending as drizzle and fog by morning, with more isolated showers further north, lows near 12 C.
WEDNESDAY will have a rather cloudy start with showers, then intervals of cloud and sunshine by afternoon, a few isolated showers still around and highs near 19 C.
THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with better sunshine than most days in this outlook, lows near 8 C and highs 20 to 23 C.
FRIDAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of light rain, humid with highs near 19 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers, highs near 21 C.
SUNDAY will be breezy and cooler with showers, highs near 18 C.
Most of next week will remain unsettled with temperatures generally around normal for July.
My local weather was mostly cloudy and still on the warm side with highs near 34 C. Some showers moved through the area but went just to our north so we have remained dry here. Meanwhile, tropical storm Elsa has moved across Cuba and is now heading in a more northwesterly direction towards the eastern Gulf of Mexico with a landfall in northwest Florida expected tonight or Wednesday morning.-1 -
Thursday, 15 July, 2021
Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 15-21 July 2021
-- Temperatures will average 2 to 4 deg above normal, the higher values in the midlands, south and east.
-- Rainfall will be slight if any falls at all.
-- Sunshine will vary from 75 per cent of normal in the cloudier west, to 125 per cent of normal in the sunny east.
-- Wind speeds will be very light and nights generally calm.
FORECASTS
Over the next week, conditions will be similar each day with regional differences so rather than repeating all those regional differences, it makes more sense to give the forecasts by regions ... this will apply to the period from today to mid-week (Wed 21st July).
EASTERN and CENTRAL counties will be partly to mostly sunny and very warm, with hazy nights prone to some local fog. Highs will be around 24 to 27 C each day and overnight lows in the range of 12 to 16 C.
SOUTHERN counties will be similar to the above especially inland from the coast, but sea breezes or local low cloud and fog could reduce temperatures near the coast to around 20 C. There would also be a slight risk of thundershowers forming by the weekend and early next week, rather isolated and brief, but with the potential for one or two locally heavy downpours, this most likely near higher terrain in the south central to southwestern counties.
WESTERN counties will also be quite warm, and the conditions indicated further east may extend fairly far west at times to within 10-30 miles of the Atlantic coast. Even closer to the coast, low cloud or mist may hold temperatures down closer to the 17-20 C range. However, that may only apply to some outer headlands as time goes on, with a reduction in the marine influence through the latter stages of the warm spell.
Further NORTH, expect more of a mix of cloud and sun and quite warm also, highs 22 to 26 C, lows 11 to 15 C. Coastal areas may have similar marine layer influences to the west coast.
Beyond 21st of July, this pattern is expected to break down gradually with an increase in cloud and showers or thunderstorms from the south, as light winds become moderate southeasterly. Eventually this process will allow the more normal summer weather patterns to redevelop with the Atlantic back in the picture by the final week of the month and some occasional rainfalls again.
While we were off-line, my weather remained sunny, hazy and hot. The only change has been an increase in forest fire smoke from blazes that are mostly in the range of 50 to 300 kms north to northwest of us, not really close but enough to reduce visibility on Wednesday to only 5 kms, with the highs for the past few days in the mid 30s, the heat is considerable but not quite as intense as the super heat wave we had during the Boards 1.0 era.
I didn't know this interruption was coming, or I would have let you know that these forecasts always appear (within a few minutes) on the facebook page of Irish Weather Online. Some of you may have known that or figured it out during the downtime.
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Friday, 16 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain the same, very warm (2-4 deg above normal) and generally dry with near normal amounts of sunshine overall, perhaps more in the east and a bit less than average in the west, with light winds and local sea breezes prevalent.
FORECASTS
TODAY will start out with some low cloud or mist near the east coast but this should give way to sunshine by late morning or earlier inland. It will then become partly cloudy to sunny and very warm in most areas by afternoon with a bit of marine cloud or sea fog near some coasts. Highs 24 to 27 C.
TONIGHT will be hazy and partly cloudy with lows only dropping slowly to reach 15 to 18 C.
The next five to seven days will be similar with either very warm or hot conditions depending on location and your tolerance for the combination of temperatures near 25 C (possibly a few degrees higher inland) and moderate humidity levels. There will be a slight increase in risk of local thundershowers in the inland south along sea breeze boundaries 20-40 kms inland from the coast, probably peaking around Sunday but this feature will be very localized, perhaps most likely in higher parts of the inland southwest.
This warm spell (you may hear heat wave although that seems a bit excessive for the actual conditions expected) will break down rather gradually late next week, with a band of showers and thunderstorms expected to move north into the country either late Thursday or early Friday 23rd. This may persist into part of the following weekend with a drop in temperatures to the low 20s. Another front is expected to follow in from the west and return temperatures to a more normal range of 18 to 21 C for the last week of the month, when more frequent showers are likely.
My local weather on Thursday remained sunny, hazy and hot with a high near 36 C. For a while the visibility improved as a southeasterly breeze pushed the smoke haze back towards its point of origin, but then winds turned back to the north and the smoke haze redeveloped towards evening. We have now had a remarkable thirty days of excessive heat here with the average maximum since mid-June at 37 C (normal maximum temperatures in early July are around 29 or 30 C).
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Saturday, 17 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 17 to 23 July 2021
-- Temperatures will average 3 to 5 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will begin to return to the picture around Friday 23rd, and could amount to 10-15 mm in places.
-- Sunshine will be 25 to 50 per cent above normal values for most, perhaps closer to average in a few coastal areas of the west and north.
-- Very light winds during the day and calm at night most of this coming week.
FORECASTS
Just to continue on with the regional rather than daily theme, from now to about Thursday mostly sunny and very warm (some will be thinking hot) especially inland with highs each day 25 to 28 C, and overnight lows quite balmy too with readings only falling below 18 C towards sunrise (perhaps reaching 15 C briefly). Coastal areas will be somewhat cooler especially near the west coast and some parts of north Ulster. Sea fog will be out over the water and may not spread inland at all, but could be found on a few outer headlands. Sunday brings a slight risk of localized thunderstorms in west Munster, near higher terrain, and forming where a weak sea breeze boundary sets up a few miles north of Cork (city) to south Kerry.
By Thursday this pattern may begin to break down with increasing cloud in the south and slightly cooler temperatures as a southeast wind begins to blow at 30-50 km/hr. By Friday most guidance seems to favour a full breakdown of the warm spell / heat wave (as you wish) with a band of showers and embedded thunderstorms moving north. This has some potential to become heavy in Leinster and east Ulster, but we won't know too much about the specifics for a few days yet.
Once that breakdown occurs, the trend will be generally towards more unsettled and somewhat cooler weather with highs 19 to 23 C.
My local weather remained sunny and hot, with fairly good visibility most of the day. A weak front brought high cloud in the late afternoon and made for a colourful sunset with smoke layers embedded in the higher cloud moving in. This front was more active to the northeast of the Rockies towards Edmonton with some severe storms in that region. The other day a tornado hit in Barrie, Ontario, which happens to be the location of Ontario's most damaging historical tornado (May 31, 1985) but this one while damaging had a lower rating (EF2) and there were injuries but unlike the previous one, no deaths (eight people died in the 1985 storm, yours truly was living in another Ontario town further along the storm track and we hit our basement when the cell rolled in, the results there were minor wind damage and large hail).
Enjoy the weekend.
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Sunday, 18 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS continue very warm, mostly dry to Friday with isolated showers today and Monday, and sunny with light winds.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny and very warm or hot in most places, highs 26 to 29 C. There may be some slight cooling by sea breezes near some coasts, and in general Ulster will have a bit more cloud and highs 23 to 26 C. There could be one or two isolated showers or thunderstorms in parts of Munster and the midlands by afternoon or evening.
TONIGHT will be clear, hazy and quite warm with lows only falling to the 13 to 17 C range well after midnight.
MONDAY will be similar with the risk of showers moving a bit further north and west into parts of Connacht, near sea breeze boundaries in particular. Highs once again 26 to 29 C with local sea breeze cooling.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY will continue mostly sunny and very warm to hot, with warm oppressive nights. Highs 26 to 30 C and lows 13 to 18 C. The risk of showers will likely be less than on Monday but not completely absent.
By FRIDAY increasing cloud followed by outbreaks of showers or thunderstorms lasting into Saturday, highs both days 23 to 27 C. Warm and oppressive nights will continue with lows 14 to 19 C.
Turning somewhat cooler by Sunday next (25th) with a few showers, northerly breezes and highs 18 to 22 C. There may be a few pleasant and dry days to follow, with highs near 21 C, then a more active and unsettled period towards the end of July into early August.
My local weather stayed sunny and very warm although the heat is very gradually relenting, the high on Saturday was around 30 C at our location and now it is clear and a refreshing 15 C outside, trying to coax some of that air inside where it will be quite welcome.
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Monday, 19 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 19 to 25 July 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average 3 to 5 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will be near zero to Friday when some areas will begin to see showers or thunderstorms, and eventually the average by end of the interval will be perhaps 25 to 50 per cent of normal.
-- Sunshine will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal.
-- Winds will continue very light and generally calm overnight.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny with a few cloudy intervals in some parts of the north, and also some sea fog or low cloud near the south coast although staying mostly out to sea. Very warm or hot temperatures will reach 25 to 30 C, with some slight cooling possible near the east coast and more significantly near the north coast. There will be isolated showers or thunderstorms forming over western counties and the midlands.
TONIGHT will be clear and hazy with very warm temperatures persisting until well after midnight, possibly dropping briefly to the 14 to 18 C range around sunrise.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY will see little change from this very warm scenario, with similar temperatures and perhaps a little more extensive sea breeze cooling in eastern counties as a slight easterly flow develops. There may also be a more general encroachment of sea fog or low cloud in the south by Thursday due to this southeast flow. But otherwise most places are going to be very warm to hot with highs again 25 to 30 C, nights also staying very warm in the range of 14 to 18 C.
By FRIDAY some isolated showers and thunderstorms will reach Munster and south Leinster, but it will stay partly cloudy, dry and very warm further north, highs 24 to 28 C.
On SATURDAY this area of showers may move a little further north with isolated heavy thunderstorms possible, with the north still rather dry, and highs in most areas 24 to 27 C.
Slightly cooler air will arrive by early next week but the cooling trend looks weak and in several stages so that temperatures may only be falling off by a degree or two each day until possibly reaching more normal values in the low 20s by end of next week.
My local weather stayed sunny, hazy and hot with no further relaxation of the heat, in fact it crept back up a couple of degrees to 35 C on Sunday. There was a moderate amount of smoke haze too.
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Tuesday, 20 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 20 to 26 July --
-- Temperatures will average 3 to 5 deg above normal values, somewhat closer to average after Saturday.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent of normal once it resumes around Friday-Saturday in most areas.
-- Sunshine will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal values.
-- Winds will continue quite light and mostly calm at night.
FORECASTS
TODAY to THURSDAY will continue mostly sunny and hot with local sea breeze cooling and highs for most areas 27 to 30 C, perhaps a few degrees lower on some coasts. Cloud will gradually increase across southern counties each day although there will continue to be some spells of warm sunshine there. Also there could be isolated thunderstorms developing each day, most likely in the inland western counties, midlands and south Ulster. These might not cover very much of the total land mass but where they do develop they could be briefly heavy. Overnight lows 14 to 18 C will give rather oppressive conditions as these values will only be reached briefly before sunrise.
By FRIDAY some changes will begin, as more organized cloud and showers or thunderstorms move into parts of Munster, with somewhat more moderate temperatures in the mid-20s, while the northern half of the country remains largely cloud-free and therefore temperatures will continue hot in the high 20s to near 30 C.
On SATURDAY this band of showers and thunderstorms will likely reach its northern limits which may be something like central Leinster to south Connacht, with areas further north still remaining in partly cloudy and very warm conditions. This will mean a larger extent of the country will cool down into the mid 20s range due to the spread of the cloud and showers. But some northern areas could remain warmer, although sea breezes will also be a factor there.
By SUNDAY it appears that the warmer air mass will be pushed out entirely and replaced with a more moderate air mass, partly cloudy with a few isolated showers, and highs around 23 C. Overnight lows will be back down somewhat into a more comfortable range of 12 to 16 C.
On MONDAY there may be a mostly sunny day from a transient ridge of high pressure drifting in from the Atlantic, with highs 23 to 26 C and lows 12 to 16, then on TUESDAY some southern areas could remain in that same weather regime while central to northern counties get more cloud and an interval of showery rain with temperatures closer to 20 C there.
The pattern for the rest of next week and on into early August then looks closer to seasonal averages with passing frontal systems bringing some intervals of rain between dry spells. It would make sense from climatology to expect there to be another very warm spell some time in August however.
My local weather is unfortunately heating up slowly again, after we managed a few slightly more moderate days, Monday saw highs back to near 37 C and hazy sunshine with quite a bit of cloud this evening holding the heat in. Only the moon was visible and it was a rather ominous reddish colour.
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Wednesday, 21 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 21 to 27 July --
-- Temperatures will average 2 to 4 deg above normal values, as they begin to fall somewhat closer to average after Saturday.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent of normal once it resumes around Friday-Saturday in most areas.
-- Sunshine will average near normal to 25 per cent above normal values.
-- Winds will continue quite light and mostly calm at night.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny with some hazy higher cloud over parts of Munster, and hot in the inland south, midlands, west, moderated to very warm by sea breezes near the east coast, and considerably cooler in a few exposed coastal areas. Highs generally 27 to 30 C, but 23 to 26 C near the east coast. Isolated showers or thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon and evening in hilly parts of north Connacht and west Ulster.
TONIGHT will be generally clear although hazy and staying quite warm with lows 14 to 18 C.
THURSDAY will be similar with the hazy higher cloud making some further advances into central counties. Highs 27 to 30 C with sea breeze cooling near some coasts. Isolated showers or thunderstorms in the inland northwest.
By FRIDAY more cloud will develop and some showers and thunderstorms will follow in parts of Munster, while other regions remain dry and very warm. Highs 24 to 28 C, after morning lows of 15 to 19 C.
On SATURDAY showers and thunderstorms will spread a bit further north and east, possibly reaching Dublin and some parts of the midlands, but they will be more isolated further north. Lows near 17 C and highs near 23 C.
SUNDAY and MONDAY will see a return to generally dry and partly cloudy to sunny conditions, in a somewhat more temperate air mass with highs in the 22 to 26 C range, morning lows 12 to 15 C.
By TUESDAY a more significant change seems likely, as a regime of mostly cloudy and unsettled weather arrives, with stronger winds developing, and temperatures falling back into the 17 to 20 C range. There could be at least a few showers most days from then to the end of the month.
My local weather on Tuesday was sunny and hot, with a high near 35 C, and without much of the recent smoke haze, even though some fairly large fires are now burning within 150 kms to our west, in the south Okanagan region. Clear and pleasant out this evening with the moon starting to approach a full appearance, passing the bright star Antares. In a couple of days, the nearly full moon will be seen close to Saturn and then Jupiter on successive nights, the best time to look if you have clear skies would be around 11 p.m. to midnight (especially for the Jupiter conjunction as it only rises after 11 p.m., Saturn is low in the southeast by 10 p.m.)
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Thursday, 22 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 22 to 28 July --
-- Temperatures will average 1 to 3 deg above normal values, as they begin to fall somewhat closer to average after Saturday and slightly below average by the middle of next week.
-- Rainfall will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal once it resumes around Friday-Saturday in most areas. Some parts of west Ulster may see as much as 100 to 125 per cent of normal (the heavier rains in the north will be from Monday to Wednesday).
-- Sunshine will average near normal to 25 per cent below normal values.
-- Winds will continue quite light and mostly calm at night to the weekend but will pick up to more moderate speeds, even rather blustery at times by middle of next week in a developing westerly flow then.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny with some hazy higher cloud over parts of Munster and some parts of south Connacht and south Leinster, with the hazy higher cloud making some further advances into central counties during the day. Highs 26 to 29 C with sea breeze cooling to 23 to 26 C near some coasts. Isolated showers or thunderstorms in the inland northwest.
TONIGHT will be cloudy and warm in the south and west, partly cloudy and warm in the north and east, with lows 15 to 19 C.
By FRIDAY more cloud will develop and some showers and thunderstorms will follow in parts of Munster, while other regions remain dry and very warm. Highs 24 to 28 C, after morning lows of 15 to 19 C.
On SATURDAY showers and thunderstorms will spread a bit further north and east, possibly reaching Dublin and some parts of the midlands, but they will be more isolated further north. Lows near 17 C and highs near 23 C. Although there is a chance of showers it may become rather hit and miss with the main activity being directed more towards southern Britain on later guidance, so some places may have a drier outcome than expected, unless there's a further wobble in the trajectory of the heavier showers. Parts of southern England could have some torrential downpours by the latest available guidance.
SUNDAY will see a return to generally dry and partly cloudy to sunny conditions, in a somewhat more temperate air mass with highs in the 22 to 26 C range, morning lows 12 to 15 C. This is now expected to break down as early as Monday with increasing cloud overnight (Sun-Mon) leading to outbreaks of rain by Monday, highs near 19 C.
By TUESDAY this more significant change will continue, as a regime of mostly cloudy and unsettled weather deepens its grip, with stronger winds developing, and temperatures falling back into the 17 to 20 C range. By about WEDNESDAY into THURSDAY of next week there will be fairly blustery conditions and relatively chilly temperatures in the 15 to 18 C range, with frequent showers on westerly winds. This will seem like quite a large change after the heat of this past week. There could be at least a few showers most days from then to the end of the month.
My local weather was partly cloudy and not quite as hot with highs in the 28-30 C range locally, and after so much prolonged and severe heat this actually felt quite refreshing here although I was realizing that it was similar to what you were experiencing there, so everything is relative. The humidity levels were also quite low. The impact inside non a/c buildings has so far been minor and it's still uncomfortably warm but we seem to have become acclimatized to it now, and the low humidity levels help.
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Friday, 23 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 23 to 29 July, 2021 --
-- Temperatures will gradually fall to near normal values or slightly below, the average will therefore be about two degrees above normal as the first part of the interval will continue well above normal.
-- Rainfalls will gradually increase during the week and may reach normal amounts in the north and west, to 50 per cent of normal in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will be a lot less frequent than this past week, perhaps amounting to near average or 25 per cent below in the cloudier west and north.
-- Wind speeds will be increasing in stages to reach rather blustery levels by mid-summer standards later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will still be rather sunny despite an increase in cloud, and relatively hot although larger areas of the east may begin to feel a sea breeze cooling. There may be isolated showers and thunderstorms developing in parts of the inland south, midlands, and Connacht and one or two of these could be locally heavy. Highs 24 to 29 C.
TONIGHT the scattered showers will continue in a few areas and it will be muggy and otherwise partly cloudy with lows 15 to 20 C.
SATURDAY will be humid with further isolated showers or thunderstorms, some sunny intervals, and northeast breezes bringing in somewhat cooler air for most regions, with highs 23 to 26 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with further isolated showers, most likely near the west coast, in variable winds turning northerly, continued rather warm with lows 13 to 17 C and highs 22 to 26 C.
MONDAY will bring variable amounts of cloud and some outbreaks of showery rainfalls, somewhat cooler again with lows 12 to 16 C and highs 21 to 24 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with outbreaks of light rain, lows 12 to 15 C and highs 18 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will be a relatively cool and unsettled interval with blustery west to northwest winds at times, passing showers or intervals of light rain, and temperatures considerably cooler than this past week, lows 10 to 13 C and highs 16 to 19 C.
There may be a slight warming trend into the weekend of 31 July- 1 August with further outbreaks of rain in early August. Temperatures may rise a degree or two then fall back into the high teens for part of the first week of August. Any return to significant warmth looks to be reserved for the middle to end of August if it does take place.
My local weather on Thursday was mostly sunny with patchy high cloud, and a slight smoke haze with south to southwest winds and pleasant temperatures in the mid 20s after a morning low near 10 C which is the coolest reading here in over a month.
Just a reminder, if you have any clear skies this next couple of nights, you'll have views of the nearly full moon passing fairly close to Saturn (tonight) and Jupiter (Sat night). The best time to view them begins around 10:30 p.m. for tonight's set up and a bit later for Saturday evening (11:30 p.m. through the rest of the overnight period). Going out to have a look here and enjoy the cooler temperatures.
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Saturday, 24 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 24 to 30 July, 2021 --
-- Temperatures will gradually fall to near normal values or slightly below, the average will therefore be about one degree above normal as the first part of the interval will continue above normal. Some days later in the week could be two or three degrees below average.
-- Rainfalls will gradually increase during the week and may reach normal amounts in the north and west, to 50 per cent of normal in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will be a lot less frequent than this past week, perhaps amounting to near average or 25 per cent below in the cloudier west and north.
-- Wind speeds will be increasing in stages to reach rather blustery levels by mid-summer standards later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy and rather humid with further isolated showers or thunderstorms developing, most likely around western Connacht, but also possible in a few other areas such as the inland southeast, with northeast breezes bringing in somewhat cooler air across parts of the east and north, with highs 23 to 26 C for many, 25 to 28 C in a few sunnier locations inland west and midlands.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to clear with any isolated showers or thunderstorms dying out by midnight, lows 13 to 17 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with further isolated showers, most likely near the west coast, in variable winds turning northerly, continued rather warm with lows 13 to 17 C and highs 22 to 27 C.
MONDAY will bring variable amounts of cloud and some outbreaks of showery rainfalls, somewhat cooler again with lows 12 to 16 C and highs 21 to 24 C. Some more persistent rainfalls of 10-20 mm possible by later in the day and overnight to Tuesday morning.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with outbreaks of light rain, lows 12 to 15 C and highs 18 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will be a relatively cool and unsettled interval with blustery west to northwest winds at times, passing showers or intervals of light rain, and temperatures considerably cooler than this past week, lows 10 to 13 C and highs 16 to 19 C.
There may be a brief break in the unsettled weather around Saturday 31st but then further rain and cool temperatures appear likely as August begins.
My local weather on Friday was sunny with a moderate smoke haze which is mildly noxious at times. It was quite hot again with a high near 32 degrees. There's a good view of the full moon but reduced visibility makes it hard to find even as bright an object as Saturn; Jupiter was easier to spot. According to my astronomy sources the moon was perfectly full at 0338h IST but it will continue to appear full even tonight when you may be able to see it below the planet Saturn with Jupiter off to the left (would say 11 p.m. to midnight for a guaranteed view of all of that although the moon should be up shortly after sunset).
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Sunday, 25 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 25 to 31 July, 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal, after one last warm day today, several days will average 1-3 deg below average.
-- Rainfalls will total near normal values except in the southeast which could run 25 per cent below average.
-- Sunshine will average 75 per cent of normal, after quite generous amounts today, the rest of the week will have frequent cloud.
-- Wind speeds will increase gradually to rather blustery levels at times mid-week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly sunny and warm, with a slight risk of an isolated shower or thunderstorm. Highs near 25 C.
TONIGHT will become cloudy with some showers in northern and northwestern counties. Lows 12 to 14 C.
MONDAY will be cloudy with outbreaks of light rain, 5-10 mm expected. Highs 18 to 21 C.
TUESDAY will bring variable cloud and showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
WEDNESDAY to SATURDAY is looking quite unsettled with blustery west to northwest winds at times, outbreaks of rain that may average 5 to 10 mm a day in some western counties, lows 8 to 10 C and highs 15 to 18 C.
SUNDAY will perhaps bring a break in this unsettled regime before another series of fronts arrives, and temperatures could recover slightly to around 20 C, but the following week is looking rather close to 18 C much of the time.
My local weaher was warm and hazy to smoky at times, with a high near 28 C. It has become overcast since late afternoon. If you have clear skies this evening, have a look for the moon and Jupiter in the same part of the sky (southeast around 11 p.m.).
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Monday, 26 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 26 July to 1 August, 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal to one degree below normal values.
-- Rainfalls will total near normal values except in the southeast which could run 25 per cent below average.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal, as the rest of the week will have frequent cloud.
-- Wind speeds will increase gradually to rather blustery levels at times mid-week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with outbreaks of light rain, with some embedded heavier showers and thunderstorms. About 5-15 mm expected, the heavier amounts in Connacht and west Munster this afternoon. Spot flooding is possible in parts of west Munster. Highs 18 to 21 C.
TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with further showers at times, lows 8 to 11 C.
TUESDAY will bring variable cloud and showers, with highs near 18 C.
WEDNESDAY to SATURDAY is looking quite unsettled with blustery west to northwest winds of 40 to 60 km/hr at times, outbreaks of rain that may average 5 to 10 mm a day in some western counties, lows 8 to 10 C and highs 15 to 18 C. There will be some sunny intervals in the mix but rain will be more frequent in parts of Connacht, in particular Mayo and west Galway.
From SUNDAY (1st of August) on, the pattern will remain similar but perhaps a little drier with more prolonged sunny breaks between showery outbreaks, and temperatures near average for early August (highs near 20 C).
My local weather on Sunday was hazy and very warm with a moderate smoke haze reducing visibility to only 1-2 km at times. The high was around 34 C. There is quite an active forest fire about 150 kms west of us near Osoyoos, BC that is the main source of our local smoke. Other fires further north are spreading smoke across eastern B.C. into Alberta. Other fires in central Canada are spreading smoke haze into the Great Lakes region and the northeastern U.S. -- it's only a matter of time until some of this smoke shows up at higher altitudes in western Europe, the main effect of it will be to produce more colorful sunsets perhaps (it would not reduce visibility by any great amount).
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Tuesday, 27 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 27 July to 2 August, 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal to one degree below normal values.
-- Rainfalls will total near normal values except in the southeast which could run 25 per cent below average while parts of south Ulster could total 25 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal, as the rest of the week will have frequent cloud.
-- Wind speeds will increase gradually to rather blustery levels at times mid-week and will remain moderate through the weekend.
FORECASTS
TODAY will bring outbreaks of heavy rain to parts of Ulster and Leinster, with showers elsewhere tending to a partly cloudy afternoon in some parts of Connacht and Munster. Highs 17 to 20 C and rainfalls 5-10 mm for most but 15-30 mm possible in a few parts of Ulster and north Leinster.
TONIGHT will be overcast with occasional light rain and lows near 10 C.
WEDNESDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and occasional showers, with blustery west to northwest winds developing by afternoon. Highs around 18 C.
THURSDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers and blustery west to northwest winds 40-60 km/hr, lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with showers, west to northwest breezes 40 to 60 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with showers more isolated and longer sunny intervals, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.
MONDAY will see a return to cloud and showers, highs near 19 C.
The first week to ten days of August are looking unsettled at times with near average temperatures.
My local weather on Monday was hazy and warm with a thick smoke haze in the morning easing somewhat by afternoon and evening, highs close to 30 C. We are expecting the heat to build back to the mid to highs 30s again this week here (in western Canada if you're new to these forecasts, you won't need to worry about temperatures that high).
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Wednesday, 28 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS continue similar, near normal or slightly below average temperatures, rather wet in the north and near average elsewhere for rainfall, and rather cloudy so that sunshine totals may be close to 75 per cent of normal values. Rather blustery winds at times, in particular overnight in the north (early Thursday morning).
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few sunny intervals, as winds increase gradually to westerly 40-60 km/hr. An area of heavy rain showers will move through Ulster this morning, other regions will have less prolonged but sometimes briefly heavy showers with some risk of thunder. Highs 16 to 18 C. Rainfalls 10-15 mm north to 3-5 mm south coast.
TONIGHT will become rather windy in Ulster, northwest 50-80 km/hr in exposed areas. Somewhat less blustery further south although sometimes gusty in the 40-60 km/hr range. Passing showers, and lows near 9 C.
THURSDAY will be cloudy with some sunny breaks, passing showers, and cool, with moderate northwest winds at times. Highs 15 to 17 C.
FRIDAY will also be partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers and blustery northwest winds at times, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
SATURDAY will continue unsettled with perhaps minor improvements, some showers and gusty winds at times, lows near 8 C, highs near 17 C.
SUNDAY will provide more sunshine than cloud and only a few isolated showers, lows 7-10 C and highs near 19 C.
MONDAY will start out partly cloudy to sunny, with increasing afternoon cloud, lows 7-10 C and highs near 20 C.
Beyond that, a similar pattern will continue with a few showers at times in near normal early August temperatures.
My local weather on Tuesday started out with very thick smoke haze, visibility barely half a kilometre, and an air quality level rated as dangerous, and in fact there was a slight dusting of ash falling out of the smoky haze leaving a dirty film on outdoor surfaces. This slowly improved to hazy with visibility by this evening up to about 7 kms. It was quite warm at 29 C although the smoke haze is reducing the heat slightly. So now that I've done my part for the travel bureau, have a great day with your clean, fresh air (*jealous*).
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Thursday, 29 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 29 July to 4 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will be somewhat heavier than average in the south, mainly due to tonight's predicted heavy rainfall event, and otherwise will be around 50 per cent of normal as a somewhat drier spell develops for most of the country.
-- Sunshine will be near normal values.
-- Wind speeds will be near average too, not as light as during the heat wave but fairly moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers, and a heavier interval of rain will develop across the south by late afternoon. Winds variable and generally northwest to north in most areas but turning easterly during the rainfall near the south coast. Highs around 18 or 19 C.
TONIGHT heavy rain will move through the south, 15-30 mm possible, with heaviest amounts just inland from the south coast. In general there will be much less rain north of about a Dublin to Clare line, with some places staying dry further north. Lows 8 to 11 C.
FRIDAY the rain will move on towards southern England and skies will become variably cloudy with a few showers, highs near 17 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with showers more isolated, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
SUNDAY will become more settled, with at least equal amounts of sun and cloud, and only isolated showers if any at all, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy also with lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.
Later in the week of 2-6 August there could be some more unsettled conditions at times with temperatures staying close to average.
My local weather on Wednesday was partly cloudy and hot, with highs near 32 C, and luckily we lost most of the smoke haze as winds turned more southerly which is the best direction to avoid smoke at this point. You may have seen pictures of the unusual snowfall in southern Brazil where (inland and at higher elevations at least) they can get some wintry weather at this time of year.
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Friday, 30 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 30 July to 5 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- This forecast assumes that the overnight rainfall has mostly come to an end as the interval begins, so with that already noted yesterday, rainfall for this coming seven days will be generally close to average with local variations within 25 per cent of normal.
-- Sunshine will be about 75 per cent of normal values.
-- Wind speeds will be near average too, fairly moderate most days.
FORECASTS
TODAY will see the end of the rainfall across the southeast by late morning, with another less organized area of showers moving into western counties and eventually crossing most of the country during the day with hit or miss showers (3-7 mm on average), and isolated thunderstorms which could produce localized 10-15 mm downpours, with skies mostly cloudy with a few breaks. Winds will be moderate northwesterly 40 to 60 km/hr. Highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT will be cloudy with a few breaks, and isolated showers. Lows 8 to 11 C.
SATURDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers, amounts generally rather small (1-3 mm). Highs 16 to 18 C.
SUNDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, and only a few isolated showers at most, lows 7 to 10 C and highs near 19 C.
MONDAY will see increasing cloud and occasional showers by afternoon, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
TUESDAY will bring showers and overcast skies, lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.
The pattern from then to the middle of August seems to be locked into this rather bland, somewhat unsettled westerly regime with near normal temperatures if perhaps a bit cool in the daytime hours.
My local weather featured hazy sunshine and hot temperatures near 31 C.
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Saturday, 31 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain same as last few reports, near normal in most regards, if perhaps a bit on the cloudy side, rainfalls somewhat variable place to place but likely to even out near average for most.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with a few breaks by later afternoon and into the evening hours. A few light showers around this morning will give way to heavier showers mid-day and possibly an isolated thunderstorm. Amounts for most places will only be 2 to 5 mm however. Rather cool with highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT will become partly cloudy with lows 8 to 11 C.
SUNDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, and a few isolated showers by afternoon in the west and north. Highs 18 to 20 C.
MONDAY will be rather cloudy again with outbreaks of light rain by mid-day into the afternoon, 1 to 3 mm amounts expected. Lows around 10 C and highs around 18 C.
TUESDAY will be rather cloudy in general but could start out with some bright intervals in Leinster and Ulster. A weak disturbance near the south coast will bring outbreaks of rain there, and later on a second weak disturbance will affect northwest counties. Lows near 9 C and highs near 18 C.
The outlook is for a fairly similar bland and slightly unsettled pattern to continue and if there is any trend within that, it would be more towards heavier rainfalls and stronger winds at times, although I am not that confident that model guidance showing that sort of outcome around ten days to two weeks away can be very reliable. At the same time it has to be said that there are no signs of any return to hot and dry conditions within the two week time frame at least, if it's going to happen at all it would probably be towards the end of August (and I can hear the chorus of school opening dates).
The local weather is quite oppressive, moderate smoke conditions continued, with the sun getting through enough to heat up the atmosphere to the mid 30s. We do see some signs of a pattern change which could involve rainfall returning later next week but the next five days look unchanged.
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Sunday, 1 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 1 to 7 Aug 2021
-- Temperatures will average near normal or within 1 deg below normal in some places.
-- Rainfall will average near normal, to 25 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal (cloud will prevail most of the time).
-- Winds are dropping back to light for a while, moderate again later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with afternoon and evening sunny breaks, and isolated showers with many places staying dry. Highs 17 to 19 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with some clear intervals, showers developing towards morning in parts of the northwest. Lows near 11 C.
MONDAY will become mostly cloudy with a few sunny breaks in the east, and outbreaks of light rain more significant in Munster and parts of Connacht, west Ulster. Highs 16 to 18 C.
TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and passing showers, although parts of Munster may have more prolonged intervals of light rain in the morning hours. Lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C.
THURSDAY will be overcast with rain at times, and moderate westerly winds 50 to 70 km/hr will develop. Lows near 8 C and highs 16 to 18 C.
This unsettled pattern will last a few more days but there could be a slight improvement during the period following the 10th of August.
My local weather has stayed hazy with smoke and quite hot with highs in the mid 30s.
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Monday, 2 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 2 to 8 Aug 2021
-- Temperatures will average near normal or within 1 deg below normal in some places.
-- Rainfall will average near normal, to 25 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal (cloud will prevail most of the time).
-- Winds are dropping back to light for a while, moderate again later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will become mostly cloudy after a few morning sunny breaks in the east, and outbreaks of light rain more significant in Munster and parts of Connacht, west Ulster. Highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT will bring partial clearing as the showers become more isolated, lows 8 to 10 C.
TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and passing showers, although parts of Munster may have more prolonged intervals of light rain in the morning hours. Lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C.
THURSDAY will be overcast with rain at times, and moderate westerly winds 50 to 70 km/hr will develop near the south coast and by evening along the west coast. Winds further inland will be generally light and variable while Ulster will see moderate southeast winds at times. Rainfalls of 5-10 mm will be typical. Lows near 8 C and highs 16 to 18 C.
FRIDAY will continue rather cloudy with a few showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
Next weekend will see little change in this rather drab, unsettled pattern, and temperatures will remain near or just below seasonal normals. There isn't a lot of change indicated for the following week at present.
My local weather turned quite cloudy with the smoke gradually fading to a more moderate element, and we had a few rain drops at times but the dynamics are very weak and sluggish for the heat to produce thunderstorms, so we had to make do with a slightly cooler high in the 28-30 C range, with higher humidity levels keeping it quite uncomfortable despite that slight cooling.
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Tuesday, 3 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 Aug 2021
-- Temperatures will average about 1 degree below normal in most places.
-- Rainfall will average near normal, to 25 per cent above normal, with the higher amounts expected in south Ulster and north Leinster.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal (cloud will prevail most of the time).
-- Winds are dropping back to light for a while, moderate again later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with outbreaks of light rain, 3-7 mm amounts expected, and highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with a few showers, lows near 10 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers, highs 16 to 18 C.
THURSDAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain, heavier towards evening in the west, and this will spread into the inland north overnight. Some moderate westerly wind gusts near the south coast but a slack gradient will prevent that elsewhere. Lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY will see further heavy showers moving slowly through parts of Ulster and Leinster, somewhat less unsettled elsewhere although some showers expected, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.
SATURDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with occasional showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.
SUNDAY will become less unsettled with showers more isolated, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
NEXT WEEK is showing some promise of improving now to considerably better weather than this current week, with more sunshine and warmer temperatures into the low or mid 20s in some parts.
My local weather remained overcast and smoky with warm, humid conditions making it feel rather uncomfortable at 28 C.
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Wednesday, 4 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 4 to 10 Aug 2021
-- Temperatures will average about 1 degree below normal in most places.
-- Rainfall will average near normal, to 25 per cent above normal, with the higher amounts expected in south Ulster and north Leinster.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal (cloud will prevail most of the time).
-- Winds are dropping back to light for a while, moderate again later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers or intervals of light rain, highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT will be overcast with occasional light rain, lows 8 to 11 C.
THURSDAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain, heavier towards evening in the west, and this will spread into the inland north overnight. Some moderate westerly wind gusts near the south coast but a slack gradient will prevent that elsewhere. Lows 8 to 11 C and highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY will see further heavy showers moving slowly through parts of Ulster and Leinster, somewhat less unsettled elsewhere although some showers expected, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.
SATURDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with occasional showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with occasional showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
NEXT WEEK still looks a bit better than this current week although the improvements now must be described as slight, with longer intervals between smaller outbreaks of rain. Temperatures could come up a bit as a result of more sunshine.
My local weather improved slightly too, we don't seem to be getting much new smoke blowing in but winds are so light that we are not losing the old smoke very quickly. The sky tried to clear up slightly during the day and there were patches of blue with the smoke haze still considerable (2-3 km maximum visibility, which is a shame in this part of the world). It also got slightly hotter as a result of more sun getting past the smoke layers (31 C).
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Thursday, 5 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain the same, rather cool, unsettled and cloudy, with an interval of rather strong winds at times later today fading slowly over the following few days.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain, showers and thunderstorms more prevalent in the inland south and midlands. Rainfall amounts by this evening 5-15 mm. Highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT some heavy rain likely to continue across parts of Connacht and south Ulster, spreading to parts of the midlands and west Ulster, lows 10-12 C. Rainfall amounts as heavy as 20 mm possible inland north, 5-10 mm more typical elsewhere.
FRIDAY will see these heavy showers slowly pushing further east into north Leinster and east Ulster where 10-20 mm additional rainfall is possible. Other regions will begin to see some breaks in the overcast with showers becoming banded moving inland from the Atlantic, so that some places get persistent shower activity, and others have long dry intervals. Highs 15 to 17 C.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK is similar, partly cloudy with occasional showers, lows both days near 9 C and highs near 16 C.
NEXT WEEK may be slightly improved but even so, most days are likely to produce some showery rainfalls, and mid-week could become quite unsettled.
My local weather on Wednesday started out with early morning thunderstorms but rainfall amounts were limited; a few small fires were ignited in this region as a result of them. The rest of the day was partly cloudy, hazy and hot with highs 28 to 30 C.
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Friday, 6 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 6 to 12 August 2021
-- Temperatures will average about 1.0 deg below normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 per cent of normal.
-- Winds will be rather blustery at times.
FORECASTS
TODAY will see further outbreaks of heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms, across parts of the midlands, south Ulster, and north Leinster. Amounts of 20-40 mm possible, and note that some places such as Mullingar have pocked up 70 mm of rain already. Some significant flooding is probably already underway and today's additional rain may spread that problem. Other regions further south and southwest will likely have 10-20 mm total rainfalls and longer dry intervals between showers. Highs near 18 C. Some gusty west to northwest winds will develop across Atlantic counties by afternoon.
TONIGHT and SATURDAY will continue unsettled with further heavy showers in places, moderate northwest winds at times, overnight lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C. Rainfalls 10-15 mm.
SUNDAY and MONDAY will continue rather unsettled too with a slight improving trend but no real change in the unsettled theme, 5-10 mm rainfall amounts, lows near 10 C and highs 17 C.
NEXT WEEK is likely to remain rather unsettled but with somewhat longer dry intervals between outbreaks of rain, and temperatures perhaps up a degree or two as well.
My local weather on Thursday was overcast, hazy and warm with highs near 28 C. The smoke haze situation has improved a bit. There is another major fire underway, this one is between Vernon and Kamloops about 250 kms northwest of my location, but winds so far have not been blowing that smoke in our direction (it is heading north then northeast). This fire has reportedly done considerable damage to some very small communities (smaller than Lytton which was razed by a fire in late June). The other major fires underway are either being held or brought under control. There appears to be some hope of a few showers over the next few days but with that comes a threat of gusty winds which is not a good development.
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Saturday, 7 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 7 to 13 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will be 1 to 2 deg below normal values, with the greater departures in the inland north.
-- Rainfall will be 50 per cent above normal in the north, trending drier further south where a few places may end up a little below normal.
-- Sunshine will average only 25 to 50 per cent of normal in the north, to 50-75 per cent in the south.
-- Wind speeds will be most frequently moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with a few breaks further south, and outbreaks of heavy rain at times in the north where 10-15 mm could fall. Highs around 16 C north to 18 C south. Winds near Atlantic coasts west-northwest 40-60 km/hr.
TONIGHT will bring outbreaks of heavier rain in north Connacht and west Ulster where 20-40 mm may be recorded. Other regions will also have some showers at times but amounts closer to 5-10 mm. Lows 10-12 C.
SUNDAY will become partly cloudy with showers more isolated in the south, and not as heavy in the north although still rather frequent there. Another breezy and cool day with lows 8-10 C and highs 16-18 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy with showers, rather small amounts expected, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny at times, with only a few isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs 19 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY will bring increasing cloud and rain arriving in the west late in the day, lows near 8 C and highs 19 to 21 C.
THURSDAY will be wet and breezy, amounts could be in the 20-30 mm range in the north again. Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.
This unsettled pattern with brief intervals of better weather will continue to be the dominant theme for another week beyond this outlook if the current guidance is to be believed.
My local weather was hazy and warm with a few showers by this evening approaching from the northwest along a fairly weak cold front. Highs were near 28 C.
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Sunday, 8 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will be 1 to 2 deg below normal values, with the greater departures in the inland north.
-- Rainfall will be 50 per cent above normal in the north, trending drier further south where a few places may end up a little below normal.
-- Sunshine will average only 25 to 50 per cent of normal in the north, to 50-75 per cent in the south.
-- Wind speeds will be most frequently moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will become partly cloudy with showers more isolated in the south, and gradually becoming not as heavy in the north although still rather frequent there. Some additional showers may develop over west Munster by afternoon though. It will be another breezy and cool day with highs 16-18 C.
TONIGHT will bring occasional showers and moderate northwest winds at times, lows 8 to 11 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy with showers, rather small amounts expected, and highs near 18 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny at times, with only a few isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs 19 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY will bring increasing cloud and rain arriving in the west during the day, gradually spreading further east, with lows near 8 C and highs 18 to 20 C.
THURSDAY will be wet and breezy, amounts could be in the 20-30 mm range in the north again. Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.
This unsettled pattern with brief intervals of better weather will continue to be the dominant theme for a few more days at least, although latest guidance goes back to a theme of improved weather after mid-month. I hope this is the case but confidence has to remain low as this interval keeps changing appearance from model run to run in recent days.
My local weather on Saturday was cloudy with afternoon rainfalls of about 5-10 mm, and moderate temperatures that stayed generally around 20 C. This felt quite refreshing and the smoke content of the air has dropped considerably although visibility is still not all that good.
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Monday, 9 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 9 to 15 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will be 0.5 to 1.5 deg below normal values, with the greater departures in the inland north.
-- Rainfall will be 50 per cent above normal in the north, trending drier further south where a few places may end up a little below normal.
-- Sunshine will average only 25 to 50 per cent of normal in the north, to 50-75 per cent in the south.
-- Wind speeds will be most frequently moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy with showers, 10-20 mm amounts in parts of Connacht and south Ulster, north Leinster, otherwise rather small amounts 3-5 mm expected, and highs near 18 C. Moderate west to northwest winds 40-60 km/hr at times.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few lingering showers in the north mostly, lows 7 to 10 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny at times, with only a few isolated showers, and highs 19 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY will bring increasing cloud and rain arriving in the west during the morning, gradually spreading further east around mid-day, with partial clearing to follow in the west, lows near 8 C and highs 18 to 20 C.
THURSDAY will be wet and breezy, amounts could be in the 20-30 mm range in the north again. Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C. Winds may become strong westerly for a time in the north (50-70 km/hr).
FRIDAY will continue rather unsettled with moderate to strong west to northwest winds, lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.
SATURDAY will then bring variable amounts of cloud and a few showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.
From about SUNDAY 15th to the middle of the following week, there are indications that the winds will turn more easterly but it will remain rather cloudy and slightly unsettled, with near average mid-August temperatures. Once this slight blocking intrusion comes and goes, it would likely revert to the Atlantic being dominant again with further episodes of wind and rain.
My local weather was cooler than any day since early June, with a high of only 20 C, and occasional light rain. This is continuing to flush out smoke gradually and between rain showers the visibility improved a bit to 7-10 kms. On a wider scale this change has assisted fire fighting efforts and allowed them to get the worst blazes under better control, while putting out a few that were nearing their end anyway. It has been rather quiet in the tropics but there are signs of a gradual stirring with at least one tropical storm or hurricane possible within a week or so.
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Tuesday, 10 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will be closer to normal, within 0.5 deg either side.
-- Rainfall will be near normal in the north, trending drier further south where a few places may end up 25 to 50 per cent below normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal in the north, and near normal in the south.
-- Wind speeds will be most frequently moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, these more frequent in Leinster and east Munster. Showers if any will be quite isolated. Highs 18 to 21 C.
TONIGHT will bring increasing cloud in the west with rain at times towards dawn. It will stay partly cloudy further east. This might be the best night to look for the Perseid meteor shower since more cloud is likely later in the week. Lows 10 to 12 C.
WEDNESDAY will be wet for part of the morning in the west and around mid-day in the east, but once this front moves through skies should clear partially again as winds turn more westerly. Highs near 19 C. Rainfalls of 5-10 mm possible.
THURSDAY will become quite breezy and showery with winds westerly 40-60 km/hr or higher in some exposed locations. Lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY to MONDAY will remain fairly similar, with partly cloudy to overcast skies each day, some rain but amounts generally fairly small, and highs in the 17-20 C range, with overnight lows 10-13 C.
Later next week there are some signs of a warmer spell developing, lasting about three or four days, and highs could get into the mid-20s if this comes about. It would eventually go back to a more active and unsettled regime again.
My local weather on Monday was sunny, hazy with highs near 23 C. Our visibility and air quality continue to improve slowly. The sixth named storm of the season is being tracked (name not yet assigned) near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. This could get as strong as a minimal hurricane in a few days when it is near Cuba and south Florida. Several other tropical storms may develop in its wake in about a week or so.
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Wednesday, 11 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain similar, near normal temperatures and rainfalls, with perhaps a bit more cloud than average in many areas.
FORECASTS
TODAY will bring outbreaks of rain this morning in western counties, spreading into the midlands before mid-day and reaching the east coast around noon to 1 p.m. ... about 5-10 mm will be typical with a few northern areas getting 10-15 mm. Winds will then veer from southerly to west-southwest 40-60 km/hr with some sunny intervals developing. Highs 18 to 21 C.
TONIGHT will become overcast again with rain at times in the west. Lows near 12 C.
THURSDAY will become quite windy, southwest to west 50 to 80 km/hr in exposed Atlantic coastal counties, with bands of showers likely to bring variable conditions from one place to another. Highs 16 to 18 C.
FRIDAY will see partly cloudy to overcast skies and a few showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.
SATURDAY will also be partly cloudy with showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.
SUNDAY and MONDAY will continue in this trend with little change, except that winds will be slowly turning more to the north during that interval. Lows near 9 C and highs near 16 C each day.
The rest of next week is likely to stay partly cloudy with isolated showers, then by about Thursday 19th there could be some heavier rain developing as low pressure circles around to the south and heads towards the southeastern counties.
My local weather was hazy and warmer with highs near 26 C on Tuesday. Tropical Storm Fred has formed near Puerto Rico and will track towards the north coast of Cuba within three days or so, passing through the Florida Straits into the eastern Gulf of Mexico but possibly bringing tropical storm force winds and heavy rain to some parts of Florida. Fred could become a minimal hurricane but has to survive tangles with higher terrain in Hispaniola and eastern Cuba.
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Thursday, 12 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 12 to 18 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 25 per cent above normal in parts of the inland southwest and midlands, to only 50 per cent of normal in Ulster.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal values.
-- Rather strong winds will develop today and Friday, then a more moderate wind regime is expected.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with best chance of sunshine in the east this morning. Some light rain will edge into western counties, 5 to 10 mm expected there. Winds will peak at around 50-80 km/hr this morning and mid-day, veering more to the west later on. Highs 16 to 19 C.
TONIGHT rain will push gradually further east and it will be rather mild with lows 10 to 13 C. Winds southwest to west around 40 to 60 km/hr.
FRIDAY will become partly cloudy with showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
SATURDAY rain will develop near the southwest coasts and move into west Munster and the south midlands, with 15 to 30 mm potential in some places. This rain may not reach all parts of the north or at least amounts will be considerably lower. The southeast could remain dry for a good part of the day also before occasional rain moves in there too. Lows 12 to 14 C and highs 17 to 19 C.
SUNDAY will become breezy with passing showers, winds turning westerly then northwesterly, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
MONDAY will also be partly cloudy and rather cool with northerly breezes, a few showers, and lows near 8 C, highs near 17 C.
The rest of next week will stay slightly unsettled with near normal temperatures.
My local weather on Wednesday was sunny, hazy and hot with highs near 31 C. We are starting to get significant amounts of smoke haze again. Tropical Depression Fred (as it has become) will push on along the north coast of Cuba and search for enough energy to get back to tropical storm status somewhere between Havana and Key West over the weekend. It will then turn north along the west coast of Florida.
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Friday, 13 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 13 to 19 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will be on a slowly rising trend and might average 1.5 deg above normal.
-- Rainfall could be near normal in some parts of the inland southwest, otherwise closer to 50% of normal, and most of this will occur on the weekend with generally dry weather setting in next week.
-- Sunshine will improve back towards normal values.
-- The trend with wind speed will be towards moderate and then light winds through the period.
FORECASTS
TODAY will see scattered showers mainly in the west and north, and long dry intervals elsewhere with cloudy skies sometimes breaking to partly cloudy, highs near 18 C.
TONIGHT will bring increasing cloud and lows near 10 C, rain developing near west Munster coastlines and moving slowly inland there.
SATURDAY will start out partly cloudy to sunny in some eastern and northern counties. Cloud and rain will be moving into west Munster with some heavier bursts expected around mid-day around Clare and Limerick, Tipps. Local amounts of 20 mm are possible. This rain will spread with lighter amounts into much of Connacht, the midlands, and east Munster, eventually reaching some parts of Leinster, but towards evening the rain will be fragmenting to showers. Some parts of Ulster could remain dry if rather cloudy. Highs 17 to 19 C.
TONIGHT the remnants of the showery rainfall band will edge southeast into south Leinster and east Munster where a further 5-10 mm is possible. Skies will become partly cloudy further north. Lows 10 to 13 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, highs 18 to 21 C.
MONDAY will be breezy and rather cool with isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY are looking fairly cloudy with drizzle in low marine cloud layers near some coasts, but variable cloud inland, rather warm away from the coastlines, lows near 12 C and highs 18 to 21 C.
By THURSDAY a partly cloudy to sunny regime will develop and temperatures may warm up as high as the 23-25 C range for a few days. It looks at present like this good spell of weather might last about four days through the weekend of 21st-22nd, then it would be back to the more unsettled pattern of this past week with temperatures falling back into the 15-18 C range.
My local weather was sunny with smoke haze back and hot with highs near 32 C. Down at the coast they are into even hotter temperatures with some record highs near 39 C. The outlook for Tropical Storm Fred remains about the same, as it pushes towards the Florida Straits later today.
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Saturday, 14 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 14 to 20 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average about 1.0 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal, and much of that will occur today.
-- Sunshine will average 75 per cent of normal, it will be rather cloudy but each day should have some sunny breaks.
-- Winds will average closer to light than moderate speeds most of the time.
FORECASTS
TODAY rain will move into the western and central counties, with pulses coming and going so that it probably won't be raining all day in many places, just a few hours separated by dry intervals. Amounts of 10 to 20 mm appear likely. Some parts of north Ulster will probably escape with trace amounts, and the south coast won't be as wet as further inland until perhaps the late afternoon or evening hours. Highs about 15 to 17 C.
TONIGHT the rainfall will begin to fragment to scattered showers across the south with partial clearing spreading in from the north, with winds turning northerly 30-50 km/hr. Lows about 10 C for most, 12 C near south coast.
SUNDAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, still a few lingering showers in south Leinster mostly, and moderate northwest winds. Highs will be 18 to 20 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, lows near 9 C and highs near 19 C.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY are looking generally rather dry apart from some coastal drizzle in Connacht and west Ulster, but rather cloudy most of the time. There could be some more generous sunny breaks in Leinster and east Munster. Highs through mid-week will remain near seasonal averages (19-21 C) with lows around 10-12 C.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY are now looking a bit more unsettled, with cloud, a few showers, and muggy conditions, highs near 20 C -- the warm and dry spell expected seems to be waiting for one more disturbance to come and go before perhaps taking over for the period SUNDAY 22nd to TUESDAY 24th. The temperature could rise a few degrees then if sunshine takes over.
My local weather was hazy with smoke, and warm although the air is so murky it probably didn't get as hot as it would have otherwise, highs near 27 C. Much higher readings have been noted in other parts of the west where skies are less smoky. Meanwhile, Fred continues to plod along near Cuba and cannot strengthen much until later today over open water again; meanwhile Tropical Storm Seven has formed in a similar location to where Fred started and looks to follow a similar track over the next five days.
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Sunday, 15 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 15 to 21 Aug --
-- Temperatures will average about 1.0 deg above normal.
-- Rainfall will average 25 per cent of normal values.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal values.
-- Winds generally light, occasionally moderate, and from a northwesterly direction until turning southwesterly late in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be rather cloudy with a few breaks developing by afternoon and evening. Light outbreaks of drizzly rain may give a further 1 or 2 mm accumulations in some places.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with lows 9 to 12 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with isolated showers, moderate northwest winds 30-50 km/hr, highs 17 to 19 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy in the south and east, to overcast west and north where some coastal fog or drizzle is possible. Lows around 12 C and highs around 20 C.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will be similar with perhaps longer bright spells developing, at least in the south and east, and slightly warmer temperatures possibly as well with daily highs 19 to 22 C. Nights will be mild with lows around 12 C. There could be outbreaks of drizzle or light rain in Ulster at times.
FRIDAY will bring a weak frontal system with moderate southwest winds and outbreaks of light rain, 3 to 5 mm possible in places, lows near 14 C and highs 19 to 21 C.
SATURDAY looks to remain rather unsettled in a moist southwest flow, some light rain here and there, highs near 20 C.
SUNDAY and MONDAY next (22nd-23rd) may see a slightly warmer temperature regime before the Atlantic returns to resume the more unsettled pattern of the past week.
My local weather on Saturday was hazy and very warm with highs near 32 C. We are looking at a considerable change early next week with a prediction of daytime temperatures only in the 15-20 C range and some heavy rainfall potential as a front stalls to our south. For the time being, all of the western U.S. bakes away under a strong upper level ridge, record highs in a number of locations. The scenario remains the same for Fred (not yet recovered to t.s. status and southwest of Key West FL) and Grace following along and heading into the Dominican Republic now.
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Monday, 16 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 16 to 22 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values, although possibly a bit above for overnight lows and a little below average for daytime highs (due to the cloudy regime). The second week ahead may be 1-3 deg above normal though.
-- Rainfall will be slight in general, 25 to 50 per cent, and much of that will likely come around Friday. However there will be somewhat more frequent light rain or drizzle than this might suggest.
-- Sunshine will be lucky to reach 75 per cent of normal, and is likely to be capped near 50 per cent in many parts of the north.
-- Not very windy most of the time, winds often light northwest.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter spells in the south at times. Light drizzly showers will move through Ulster with 1-2 mm amounts likely there. Highs 17 to 19 C.
TONIGHT will remain rather cloudy with spotty drizzle, lows 11 to 14 C.
TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few sunny breaks, and isolated light showers in the north. Highs 18 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy, rather warm and humid, isolated showers possible, lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C.
THURSDAY will be overcast with outbreaks of drizzle or light rain at times in the south, lows near 14 C, highs 19 to 21 C.
FRIDAY will be mostly cloudy with showers, 3 to 7 mm can be expected with this rather weak system, and lows near 15 C, highs 18 to 21.
SATURDAY will see partly cloudy skies and more isolated showers, lows near 12 C and highs near 19 C.
From SUNDAY 22nd on, there could be an improvement to partly cloudy to sunny days with little if any rain expected for several days, and highs edging up into the 23-25 C range. Winds are expected to turn a little more easterly as high pressure crests over Scotland during that week, which may allow for quite warm conditions in most of Ireland away from the east coast. This would likely break down to heavier showers near the end of August according to current guidance (but that is two weeks away).
My local weather remained rather hot and smoky with highs close to 35 C. We are watching fronts pushing south towards us, the downside will be gusty winds which won't help the fire fighting (nothing going on really close to here luckily), but the upside will be the potential for some heavy rain showers and much cooler temperatures by about Tuesday. We're probably stuck with the current situation for most of Monday though. Meanwhile, T.S. Fred recovered and will soon be making a landfall in northwest Florida. Grace is now the one having difficulty maintaining intensity near Hispaniola. But there is some potential for Grace to move on over several days to the south of Cuba and into the Gulf of Mexico; some guidance shows it developing into a strong hurricane but this is not a very high confidence forecast. Tropical Depression 8 has formed near Bermuda and will drift further west; some guidance shows this becoming a hurricane not too far off the U.S. east coast later in the week towards next weekend. Again, there are equal chances it won't develop to that extent and will stay out to sea.
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Tuesday, 17 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain similar, near normal temperatures, rather dry despite occasional drizzly light rainfalls, and rather cloudy, with winds staying rather light.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with a few breaks mostly in the south, and also a few outbreaks of light drizzly rain, mainly over western and northern counties. Amounts will be slight (1-2 mm at most). Highs 18 to 21 C.
TONIGHT will remain mostly cloudy with a few more drizzly showers in places, lows 11 to 14 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with some light rain late in the day in parts of west Munster, highs near 19 C.
THURSDAY will be overcast with outbreaks of light rain in the south, lows near 14 C and highs near 19 C.
FRIDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with showers or intervals of light rain (3-7 mm expected), lows near 15 C and highs near 20 C.
SATURDAY will remain partly to mostly cloudy with showers, highs near 19 C.
The pattern from SUNDAY to late the following week will not change dramatically but could feature somewhat more sunshine and longer dry intervals, while bringing in the occasional band of showers this time from a southeasterly direction, as a weak upper level disturbance competes with a rather disorganized broad ridge of higher pressure for control of the weather over the region. If you're looking for exciting weather it would appear you might have to wait a while or look elsewhere.
My local weather turned cooler in stages on Monday and some light rain has arrived with temperatures now down to 18 C, and we're hoping for some heavier bursts to develop in a stalled frontal band but these are not evident on radar yet. However there's still about 12-18 hours of this set-up to go before another dry spell begins.
Little change on the tropical storm front with Fred moving inland and about to die out, Grace south of Hispaniola and gaining some intensity over the open water, and Henri now plodding west but not forecast to do very much after a few days of meandering around east of the American coastline.
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Wednesday, 18 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 18 to 24 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near or slightly above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average about 25 to 50 per cent of normal, with the exception of some eastern counties that may see briefly heavy rainfalls on Saturday adding enough to bring their totals to near normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal, with a slightly improving trend as the first few days will be quite cloudy.
-- Winds will continue rather light most of the time.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be overcast with a few breaks, rather warm and humid, with widely scattered outbreaks of light rain mainly near western coasts. Highs near 20 C.
TONIGHT will be overcast with some mist or fog developing, mild with lows 12 to 14 C.
THURSDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks in the north at times. There will be some outbreaks of light rain in the inland south by mid-day and afternoon. Highs near 20 C.
FRIDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with outbreaks of showery rain (3-7 mm likely), lows near 14 C and highs near 19 C.
SATURDAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter spells developing in the west and north, but scattered light showers across the south and east will gradually become locally rather heavy with risk of thunderstorms, especially in the inland southeast counties. Lows near 14 C and highs around 19 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with only a few isolated showers, lows near 13 C and highs near 21 C.
The outlook for next week has improved again and now looks quite pleasant with a mixture of cloud and sunshine and little if any rainfall for several days at least. Highs may edge up to the 23-25 C range, warmest in the west as the weak wind circulation will be east to northeast,
My local weather for the first time in about two months included some significant rainfall and cool temperatures with highs only reaching about 16 degrees. Although we only had about 5 mm of rain it fell fairly steadily and some higher areas around the province probably had heavier amounts.
While Fred's career as a tropical storm has come to an end, both Grace and Henri are now projected to become hurricanes, Grace perhaps on two separate occasions both in the western Caribbean (having just tangled with Jamaica), and in the Gulf of Mexico. Henri will likely strengthen to a cat-1 hurricane at some point after curving back around from the current westward drift to a northeast direction towards Atlantic Canada. No direct landfalls are foreseen at this point for Henri.
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Thursday, 19 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 19 to 25 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near or slightly above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average about 25 to 50 per cent of normal, with the exception of some eastern counties that may see briefly heavy rainfalls on Saturday adding enough to bring their totals to near normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal, with a slightly improving trend as the first few days will be quite cloudy.
-- Winds will continue rather light most of the time.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with a few breaks in the north and midlands at times. There will be some outbreaks of light rain in the inland south by mid-day and afternoon. Only about 1-3 mm totals likely. Highs near 20 C.
TONIGHT will be cloudy, mild and humid with occasional light rain heavier at times further west, lows near 14 C.
FRIDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with outbreaks of showery rain (3-7 mm likely), lows near 14 C and highs near 19 C.
SATURDAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter spells developing in the west and north, but scattered light showers across the south and east will gradually become locally rather heavy with risk of thunderstorms, especially in the inland southeast counties. Lows near 14 C and highs around 19 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with only a few isolated showers, lows near 13 C and highs near 21 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny with lows near 12 C and highs near 22 C.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will likely be a bit warmer still with sunny intervals and highs near 24 C.
This warmer spell may continue for some time with partial interruptions across the south from offshore weak disturbances, in a generally settled easterly flow.
My local weather featured some bright sunshine, highs near 22 C, and smoke-free skies for a change, thanks to east winds and a general reduction in the smoke levels from regional fires after cooler weather and rain recently. This has continued into tonight with clear skies and midnight temperatures of about 10 C.
Meanwhile, Grace has reached hurricane status as the storm approaches the eastern Yucatan peninsula. It is expected to weaken somewhat crossing that land mass but then redevelop into a hurricane before a second landfall not far from Veracruz in east-central Mexico. Remnants of this storm in the form of heavy rainfalls could impact Mexico City. Meanwhile, Henri is slowly approaching hurricane intensity well off to the east of the U.S. coast; models then diverge on outcomes, with some showing a strong hurricane impact on southern New England and Long Island in about three or four days; other guidance keeps Henri further out to sea and no threat to land. So without a lot of lead time forecasters are having to alert many millions of people that they could be in harm's way but it's not a sure thing yet.
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Friday, 20 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
Blog format today ... the trends remain the same as mentioned for several days now, two more days of rather cloudy and increasingly unsettled weather to be followed by about a week of fine late summer conditions that, while not as hot as the July spell, may be almost as good in terms of sunshine.
TODAY there is a rather disorganized frontal system slowly moving through, with two bands of rather heavy rain likely to develop, with one peaking this afternoon over the inland southeast, and another following on that will probably have some heavy downpours near the Shannon especially the lower portions around Lough Derg. Those two areas could see 20-25 mm of rain, but other locations closer to the 5-10 mm range from less active showers. Highs will be 18 to 21 C.
TONIGHT these areas of rain will lose some of their intensity but will continue to drift east with the leading one heading towards Britain but the second one will be dragging along rather slowly into Leinster, lows falling to about 14 C.
SATURDAY will see the eastern showers lingering and possibly becoming thundery in some spots, with local 15-30 mm downpours. Most other regions will begin a slow clearing trend that may bring a few sunny intervals and highs generally 18 to 20 C.
SUNDAY will be transitional with some of the moisture left over forming rather extensive clouds with some better sunshine possibly inland west and north. Lows near 12 C and highs 18 to 20 C.
From MONDAY on, about a week of fine weather is likely with high pressure almost directly overhead. There could be some localized low cloud and marine fog or drizzle near some coasts but even there, it probably won't persist in any one location but could just show up each day in one or two locations with almost all other places nice and sunny, with daytime highs slowly rising into the mid-20s. Nights should be fairly comfortable unlike some parts of the July hot spell and overnight lows should remain in the 11 to 14 C range, possibly a few degrees lower in some inland counties.
This fine spell of weather will most likely break down towards the end of August because the high pressure involved will then be drifting further west, opening the way for cooler northerly winds to set in. Temperatures could come down rather steadily after the weekend of 28th-29th (or even during that weekend) to reach mid-day values of only 15 C or so, once the northerly sets in. But there should be almost a week of good weather to enjoy before that begins.
The stronger blocking high responsible for this development is part of a bad news scenario for New England with some guidance now suggesting quite a strong impact from developing hurricane Henri (still a tropical storm tonight). It is now expected that Henri might reach the vicinity of Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts, with cat-1 hurricane wind gusts and heavy rainfalls that might spread over a fairly large portion of southern New England and possibly even back into New York state. This is still not considered a sure thing, but now the lead time is only about 60 to 72 hours with the storm possibly hitting on Sunday afternoon and evening. Grace continues to redevelop en route to a second landfall in Mexico near Veracruz, and there are widespread storms in the central plains states from a low that has tracked into Colorado. We had a secondary cold front pass through my location on Thursday with a briefly heavy thunderstorm and about 10-15 mm rainfall which was probably a net win as the lightning strikes occurred with enough rain to keep them from igniting new fires. Between cloudy intervals, some sunshine boosted temperatures to around 26 C.
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Saturday, 21 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 21 to 27 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average 2 to 3 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average about half of normal, in some parts of the east and midlands, to one quarter elsewhere, and all of that is expected today, so the trend after today is basically dry.
-- Sunshine will average near normal to 25 per cent above normal values. Some places could reach 50 per cent above normal.
-- Very light winds will become more easterly by mid-week after a spell of rather variable breezes at first.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy except for some brighter spells in the afternoon in some parts of the southwest. More outbreaks of rain are expected and some may become heavy with thunder and hail over some parts of Leinster and the midlands. Local amounts of 20-30 mm possible, but in general more like 5-15 mm. Highs near 19 C.
TONIGHT will see partial clearing, fog and mist patches, and lows near 11 C.
SUNDAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, and this may become more like sunny with cloudy intervals later in the day, with highs 19-22 C.
MONDAY and TUESDAY will be sunny and quite warm with light breezes, some local sea breeze cooling on south and east coasts mainly, lows about 8-11 C and highs 21-24 C.
WEDNESDAY to about SATURDAY 28th will continue dry, warm and at least partly sunny each day, with light to moderate easterly breezes developing which will tend to cool Leinster to around 19-22 C but warm up the inland west and even parts of the west coast to near 25 C.
The northerly spell we were discussing yesterday still shows up by about Monday 30th so that Sunday next (29th) could be a transitional day, still a bit warmer than average, but with gusty northeast to northerly breezes developing. The cooler turn is not expected to last very long as the high will return to near Ireland later in the week around Wed 1st September, bringing another few days of warm and perhaps sunny weather then.
My local weather saw increasing cloud and highs around 27 C. Hurricane Grace has intensified in the Gulf of Mexico to almost cat-4 intensity as it bears down on eastern Mexico where a landfall is expected Saturday morning. It is far enough north of Veracruz that impacts there should be moderate, but it will miss Tuxpan just to the south which might lead to storm surge problems there. Meanwhile Henri could slowly edge into cat-1 hurricane intensity after maintaining roughly 60 knot winds most of the last few days, but it has made the turn north where warmer waters lurk, so even cat-2 is not ruled out for it, whether it can sustain that to landfall near Rhode Island remains to be seen. This landfall would be around Sunday afternoon local time. The range of possible landfall locations is probably New York City to Boston, although with higher probability from central Long Island to southeast MA. Stronger hurricanes have hit this region in the past so if it remains in the cat-1 or high end TS range the impacts while serious may be relatively moderate. About 200 mm of rain may fall inland in central CT and western MA on the most likely track for Henri.
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Sunday, 22 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 22 to 28 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average 2-3 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will be slight, in most places near zero amounts.
-- Sunshine will improve to near normal to 25 per cent above normal values.
-- Very light winds are expected, with a slight easterly developing mid-week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will start out rather cloudy, generally dry, and there should be some improvements to partly cloudy skies later. Highs 18 to 21 C.
TONIGHT will remain partly cloudy, somewhat misty in places, lows 8 to 11 C.
MONDAY will see any low cloud or mist dissipating to be followed by generally sunny skies except for some coastal low cloud in a few spots, warmer with highs 22 to 24 C.
TUESDAY to the following WEEKEND is still looking very good with some sunshine each day and warm temperatures, slight sea breeze cooling otherwise highs 23 to 26 C, overnight lows in the 8 to 12 C range.
There is less emphasis on a northerly breakdown at this point, and just a slight interruption where more cloud and near average temperatures might intrude for a day or two after this week-long warm spell, followed possibly by a few more days of warmth then a slow transition to more typical autumnal weather with more cloud and lower temperatures, occasional rain (but this looks rather tentative and is delayed into the first full week of September).
My local weather was overcast with light rain and highs near 17 C. Meanwhile marginal hurricane Henri is wobbling north and northwest at various intervals and could make a landfall Sunday anywhere from central Long Island to southeast Massachusetts. While direct impacts have stayed out to sea so far, an associated frontal boundary located near NYC has brought exceptionally heavy rainfalls to parts of the big city, notably Brooklyn where reports of six inches (150 mm) in six hours have been posted. This has led to widespread flooding of subway systems and underpasses around that part of the city. It seems that these associated features may turn out just as strong as the actual storm out in the ocean once it does reach land, so that heaviest rainfalls and largest flooding impacts could be displaced quite some distance to the west of the track of the hurricane. Winds and storm surge might also be issues especially if water is forced into Narragansett Bay (the central feature of the small state of Rhode Island). That would take a fairly precise landfall just to the west of that inlet, if the hurricane hits central Long Island then these impacts might be more spread out and generally less intense.
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Monday, 23 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS -- This will be a generally warm (2-4 deg above normal) and dry week with at least average amounts of sunshine, probably greater than average except in some cloudier coastal areas of the west and north. Winds will be very light.
FORECASTS --
TODAY will be sunny and warm in most areas, and where cloud is prevalent at first, that may begin to burn off by mid-morning to leave hazy and partly cloudy to sunny skies. Highs 22 to 25 C, with a few coastal areas perhaps closer to 20 C. There is always a slight chance of localized shower activity near sea breeze boundaries inland.
TONIGHT will have clear intervals, followed by some low cloud, mist or fog in a few places, notably near west and north coasts. Lows 8 to 12 C.
From TUESDAY into next WEEKEND (28th-29th) this pattern will see little change for most of Ireland. There will be slight variations between easterly and northerly breezes that could change the details for parts of the north mainly, as northerly breezes would tend to extend the marine influence near the north coast into parts of Ulster. These variations are going to be rather small and subtle. The general theme is a warm and dry week with at least reasonably good sunshine, if not quite up to the standards of the July warm spell with its many cloudless days. Highs through the week are likely to be similar each day at various locations, the highest readings will probably be in the midlands and inland west or even right out to the west coast at times, with 27 C probably about the peak we might expect (but can't rule out one or two higher readings). Large parts of the east and south will have a slight marine influence and may top out around 23 or 24 C. The seas are not all that cold at this late stage of summer so that sea breeze cooling is less of an issue than it would be in a similar spell in May or June. Nights will be rather warm except towards sunrise when overnight lows of 8 to 12 C will be recorded, so there will be some relief from daytime warmth available but it may be somewhat slow to materialize during some of the nights especially in urban areas that take longer to cool down. The shower factor remains quite low in general and some days will not record any at all.
So that's the picture through to about Monday 30th when the warm spell may slowly begin to disappear as a slight northerly flow establishes and perhaps becomes stronger by mid-week (Wed 1st of September), dropping temperatures down considerably into the 15-18 C range. The current guidance suggests the warmer air may return after a few days of this cooler weather, although perhaps with more cloud limiting highs to the low 20s in that instance.
My local weather was cloudy and somewhat foggy most of the day, with an interval of heavy rain in the evening and highs only around 15 C. After all the severe heat we suffered through, this should feel wonderful but I am starting to feel that it's now too cold for a summer month. Meanwhile, Henri made its landfall near the Rhode Island - Connecticut border around noon local time on Sunday; winds were around 110 km/hr in a few spots and there was some tree damage and localized flooding, but most seem to think the region got off rather lightly from this event, in fact the worst weather was probably over around Brooklyn, NY into northern NJ from associated bands of heavy rain (local reports of 250 mm of rain over the two days).
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Tuesday, 24 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain the same, very warm, dry and sunny for about a week with very light winds mostly from an easterly direction.
FORECASTS
TODAY will once again see any low cloud or mist present this morning burning off later, but most places will start out sunny in any case, and continue partly to mostly sunny, hazy and very warm. Slight cooling near some coasts, but highs generally 23 to 26 C.
TONIGHT will be clear with late fog or mist patches developing, lows 8 to 12 C.
From WEDNESDAY to about the middle of next week, this pattern will remain in place with very few changes day to day -- it could in fact become even warmer at times by later this week (highs 24 to 28 C) with some minor indications of east coast cooling by Friday due to a slight increase in the easterly breeze component, but these changes may only be felt within small distances of the coastline. So for about a week, this warm spell with abundant sunshine is likely to continue in most places. There will always be a slight risk of low cloud or marine fog layers interfering in a few coastal areas but this will probably not become widespread.
The guidance continues to push cooler weather back into the later stages of next week (about Thursday 2 September is now the estimate for that).
My local weather on Monday started out dull with hill fog thinning out to cloudy skies then sunshine appeared by mid-afternoon as skies clear under higher pressure. It was just slightly warmer at 18 C.
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Wednesday, 25 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain same as discussed yesterday, very warm, sunny and dry for at least a week, with light winds.
FORECASTS
TODAY will see any morning fog or low cloud giving way to hazy sunshine in most places, and most of the day will be sunny and quite warm with highs 22 to 26 C. There could be some cooler temperatures in a few coastal areas especially in the north.
TONIGHT will be back to clear skies with a risk of fog or mist by early morning, lows 9 to 13 C.
THURSDAY will be sunny and very warm, highs 24 to 27 C.
FRIDAY is likely to turn slightly cooler in some eastern and northern counties but it won't be a big change, 21 to 24 C for those areas, and staying near 25 C further south and west.
The WEEKEND will continue much the same with highs 20 to 24 C for most, at least partly sunny in most areas. Nights will remain comfortable in the 8 to 12 C range.
This fine spell of weather seems destined to last into the first day of September (Wed) after which there will likely be a gradual return to more active weather systems including some cloud, rain and wind at times. The current guidance suggests that the warm spell will break down completely by Friday 3rd of September but there could be traces of it returning from time to time although not quite as well defined as this current spell, so the first half of September might turn out close to average but slightly on the warm and dry side of normal.
My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with a few clouds and highs reached 19 or 20 C. This is the most pleasant weather we have had in ages here which is not that great a feat since we've had record heat, dense smoke, and a week of chilly wet weather. The bar was low anyway.
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Thursday, 26 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS continue the same, very warm, dry and sunny with light winds. ...
FORECASTS
TODAY will see any early morning fog or mist gradually clearing to hazy sunshine except in a few outer coastal districts of the north. Highs may peak at around 27 C in some parts of the midlands and inland or even coastal west, held down a bit by an easterly breeze in Leinster to 22-24 C. The south coast counties are also likely to be around that range (22-24 C).
TONIGHT will be clear at first, with some mist or fog patches developing, lows 10 to 14 C.
FRIDAY will see little change although there is a slightly stronger east wind component for Leinster and east Ulster that could hold highs down to about 20 C near some coasts, otherwise most places within a degree or two of today's very warm readings.
From SATURDAY to about THURSDAY 2nd of September, this pattern will very slowly decay with only slight changes each day, as temperatures slowly trend back down closer to seasonal normal values. Highs should be around 20-23 C on the weekend and 18-21 C next week, but a few places well inland and further west could continue to record 23-25 C. Nights should also get slightly cooler during this spell, 8-11 C might be a fairly typical range for the weekend, and 6-9 C by middle of next week.
All good things must come to an end, although this warm spell keeps extending itself a day further ahead and now looks like it might totally break down around the 3rd to 5th of September.
My local weather was also rather pleasant with sunshine and highs near 22 C. We're getting some cloud overnight and scattered light showers on the way for later "today" (it is about midnight here now). In the tropical theatre, one low near Bermuda is forming that could be a tropical storm in the mid-Atlantic, but of more concern, an area of low pressure well south of Jamaica looks capable of spawning a hurricane that could become a major storm in the Gulf of Mexico by the weekend. Some models show it making a landfall near New Orleans on Sunday. But so far this storm has not quite pulled itself together so no number or name (other than its "invest" number 99L). Not sure which of these two will get a number or a name first and they could be out of sequence when they do. (TD 9 could be the tenth named storm and TD 10 could be the ninth named storm, it rarely happens but it can).
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