Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)
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Sunday, 18 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS continue very warm, mostly dry to Friday with isolated showers today and Monday, and sunny with light winds.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny and very warm or hot in most places, highs 26 to 29 C. There may be some slight cooling by sea breezes near some coasts, and in general Ulster will have a bit more cloud and highs 23 to 26 C. There could be one or two isolated showers or thunderstorms in parts of Munster and the midlands by afternoon or evening.
TONIGHT will be clear, hazy and quite warm with lows only falling to the 13 to 17 C range well after midnight.
MONDAY will be similar with the risk of showers moving a bit further north and west into parts of Connacht, near sea breeze boundaries in particular. Highs once again 26 to 29 C with local sea breeze cooling.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY will continue mostly sunny and very warm to hot, with warm oppressive nights. Highs 26 to 30 C and lows 13 to 18 C. The risk of showers will likely be less than on Monday but not completely absent.
By FRIDAY increasing cloud followed by outbreaks of showers or thunderstorms lasting into Saturday, highs both days 23 to 27 C. Warm and oppressive nights will continue with lows 14 to 19 C.
Turning somewhat cooler by Sunday next (25th) with a few showers, northerly breezes and highs 18 to 22 C. There may be a few pleasant and dry days to follow, with highs near 21 C, then a more active and unsettled period towards the end of July into early August.
My local weather stayed sunny and very warm although the heat is very gradually relenting, the high on Saturday was around 30 C at our location and now it is clear and a refreshing 15 C outside, trying to coax some of that air inside where it will be quite welcome.
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Monday, 19 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 19 to 25 July 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average 3 to 5 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will be near zero to Friday when some areas will begin to see showers or thunderstorms, and eventually the average by end of the interval will be perhaps 25 to 50 per cent of normal.
-- Sunshine will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal.
-- Winds will continue very light and generally calm overnight.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny with a few cloudy intervals in some parts of the north, and also some sea fog or low cloud near the south coast although staying mostly out to sea. Very warm or hot temperatures will reach 25 to 30 C, with some slight cooling possible near the east coast and more significantly near the north coast. There will be isolated showers or thunderstorms forming over western counties and the midlands.
TONIGHT will be clear and hazy with very warm temperatures persisting until well after midnight, possibly dropping briefly to the 14 to 18 C range around sunrise.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY will see little change from this very warm scenario, with similar temperatures and perhaps a little more extensive sea breeze cooling in eastern counties as a slight easterly flow develops. There may also be a more general encroachment of sea fog or low cloud in the south by Thursday due to this southeast flow. But otherwise most places are going to be very warm to hot with highs again 25 to 30 C, nights also staying very warm in the range of 14 to 18 C.
By FRIDAY some isolated showers and thunderstorms will reach Munster and south Leinster, but it will stay partly cloudy, dry and very warm further north, highs 24 to 28 C.
On SATURDAY this area of showers may move a little further north with isolated heavy thunderstorms possible, with the north still rather dry, and highs in most areas 24 to 27 C.
Slightly cooler air will arrive by early next week but the cooling trend looks weak and in several stages so that temperatures may only be falling off by a degree or two each day until possibly reaching more normal values in the low 20s by end of next week.
My local weather stayed sunny, hazy and hot with no further relaxation of the heat, in fact it crept back up a couple of degrees to 35 C on Sunday. There was a moderate amount of smoke haze too.
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Tuesday, 20 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 20 to 26 July --
-- Temperatures will average 3 to 5 deg above normal values, somewhat closer to average after Saturday.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent of normal once it resumes around Friday-Saturday in most areas.
-- Sunshine will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal values.
-- Winds will continue quite light and mostly calm at night.
FORECASTS
TODAY to THURSDAY will continue mostly sunny and hot with local sea breeze cooling and highs for most areas 27 to 30 C, perhaps a few degrees lower on some coasts. Cloud will gradually increase across southern counties each day although there will continue to be some spells of warm sunshine there. Also there could be isolated thunderstorms developing each day, most likely in the inland western counties, midlands and south Ulster. These might not cover very much of the total land mass but where they do develop they could be briefly heavy. Overnight lows 14 to 18 C will give rather oppressive conditions as these values will only be reached briefly before sunrise.
By FRIDAY some changes will begin, as more organized cloud and showers or thunderstorms move into parts of Munster, with somewhat more moderate temperatures in the mid-20s, while the northern half of the country remains largely cloud-free and therefore temperatures will continue hot in the high 20s to near 30 C.
On SATURDAY this band of showers and thunderstorms will likely reach its northern limits which may be something like central Leinster to south Connacht, with areas further north still remaining in partly cloudy and very warm conditions. This will mean a larger extent of the country will cool down into the mid 20s range due to the spread of the cloud and showers. But some northern areas could remain warmer, although sea breezes will also be a factor there.
By SUNDAY it appears that the warmer air mass will be pushed out entirely and replaced with a more moderate air mass, partly cloudy with a few isolated showers, and highs around 23 C. Overnight lows will be back down somewhat into a more comfortable range of 12 to 16 C.
On MONDAY there may be a mostly sunny day from a transient ridge of high pressure drifting in from the Atlantic, with highs 23 to 26 C and lows 12 to 16, then on TUESDAY some southern areas could remain in that same weather regime while central to northern counties get more cloud and an interval of showery rain with temperatures closer to 20 C there.
The pattern for the rest of next week and on into early August then looks closer to seasonal averages with passing frontal systems bringing some intervals of rain between dry spells. It would make sense from climatology to expect there to be another very warm spell some time in August however.
My local weather is unfortunately heating up slowly again, after we managed a few slightly more moderate days, Monday saw highs back to near 37 C and hazy sunshine with quite a bit of cloud this evening holding the heat in. Only the moon was visible and it was a rather ominous reddish colour.
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Wednesday, 21 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 21 to 27 July --
-- Temperatures will average 2 to 4 deg above normal values, as they begin to fall somewhat closer to average after Saturday.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent of normal once it resumes around Friday-Saturday in most areas.
-- Sunshine will average near normal to 25 per cent above normal values.
-- Winds will continue quite light and mostly calm at night.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny with some hazy higher cloud over parts of Munster, and hot in the inland south, midlands, west, moderated to very warm by sea breezes near the east coast, and considerably cooler in a few exposed coastal areas. Highs generally 27 to 30 C, but 23 to 26 C near the east coast. Isolated showers or thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon and evening in hilly parts of north Connacht and west Ulster.
TONIGHT will be generally clear although hazy and staying quite warm with lows 14 to 18 C.
THURSDAY will be similar with the hazy higher cloud making some further advances into central counties. Highs 27 to 30 C with sea breeze cooling near some coasts. Isolated showers or thunderstorms in the inland northwest.
By FRIDAY more cloud will develop and some showers and thunderstorms will follow in parts of Munster, while other regions remain dry and very warm. Highs 24 to 28 C, after morning lows of 15 to 19 C.
On SATURDAY showers and thunderstorms will spread a bit further north and east, possibly reaching Dublin and some parts of the midlands, but they will be more isolated further north. Lows near 17 C and highs near 23 C.
SUNDAY and MONDAY will see a return to generally dry and partly cloudy to sunny conditions, in a somewhat more temperate air mass with highs in the 22 to 26 C range, morning lows 12 to 15 C.
By TUESDAY a more significant change seems likely, as a regime of mostly cloudy and unsettled weather arrives, with stronger winds developing, and temperatures falling back into the 17 to 20 C range. There could be at least a few showers most days from then to the end of the month.
My local weather on Tuesday was sunny and hot, with a high near 35 C, and without much of the recent smoke haze, even though some fairly large fires are now burning within 150 kms to our west, in the south Okanagan region. Clear and pleasant out this evening with the moon starting to approach a full appearance, passing the bright star Antares. In a couple of days, the nearly full moon will be seen close to Saturn and then Jupiter on successive nights, the best time to look if you have clear skies would be around 11 p.m. to midnight (especially for the Jupiter conjunction as it only rises after 11 p.m., Saturn is low in the southeast by 10 p.m.)
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Thursday, 22 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 22 to 28 July --
-- Temperatures will average 1 to 3 deg above normal values, as they begin to fall somewhat closer to average after Saturday and slightly below average by the middle of next week.
-- Rainfall will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal once it resumes around Friday-Saturday in most areas. Some parts of west Ulster may see as much as 100 to 125 per cent of normal (the heavier rains in the north will be from Monday to Wednesday).
-- Sunshine will average near normal to 25 per cent below normal values.
-- Winds will continue quite light and mostly calm at night to the weekend but will pick up to more moderate speeds, even rather blustery at times by middle of next week in a developing westerly flow then.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny with some hazy higher cloud over parts of Munster and some parts of south Connacht and south Leinster, with the hazy higher cloud making some further advances into central counties during the day. Highs 26 to 29 C with sea breeze cooling to 23 to 26 C near some coasts. Isolated showers or thunderstorms in the inland northwest.
TONIGHT will be cloudy and warm in the south and west, partly cloudy and warm in the north and east, with lows 15 to 19 C.
By FRIDAY more cloud will develop and some showers and thunderstorms will follow in parts of Munster, while other regions remain dry and very warm. Highs 24 to 28 C, after morning lows of 15 to 19 C.
On SATURDAY showers and thunderstorms will spread a bit further north and east, possibly reaching Dublin and some parts of the midlands, but they will be more isolated further north. Lows near 17 C and highs near 23 C. Although there is a chance of showers it may become rather hit and miss with the main activity being directed more towards southern Britain on later guidance, so some places may have a drier outcome than expected, unless there's a further wobble in the trajectory of the heavier showers. Parts of southern England could have some torrential downpours by the latest available guidance.
SUNDAY will see a return to generally dry and partly cloudy to sunny conditions, in a somewhat more temperate air mass with highs in the 22 to 26 C range, morning lows 12 to 15 C. This is now expected to break down as early as Monday with increasing cloud overnight (Sun-Mon) leading to outbreaks of rain by Monday, highs near 19 C.
By TUESDAY this more significant change will continue, as a regime of mostly cloudy and unsettled weather deepens its grip, with stronger winds developing, and temperatures falling back into the 17 to 20 C range. By about WEDNESDAY into THURSDAY of next week there will be fairly blustery conditions and relatively chilly temperatures in the 15 to 18 C range, with frequent showers on westerly winds. This will seem like quite a large change after the heat of this past week. There could be at least a few showers most days from then to the end of the month.
My local weather was partly cloudy and not quite as hot with highs in the 28-30 C range locally, and after so much prolonged and severe heat this actually felt quite refreshing here although I was realizing that it was similar to what you were experiencing there, so everything is relative. The humidity levels were also quite low. The impact inside non a/c buildings has so far been minor and it's still uncomfortably warm but we seem to have become acclimatized to it now, and the low humidity levels help.
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Friday, 23 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 23 to 29 July, 2021 --
-- Temperatures will gradually fall to near normal values or slightly below, the average will therefore be about two degrees above normal as the first part of the interval will continue well above normal.
-- Rainfalls will gradually increase during the week and may reach normal amounts in the north and west, to 50 per cent of normal in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will be a lot less frequent than this past week, perhaps amounting to near average or 25 per cent below in the cloudier west and north.
-- Wind speeds will be increasing in stages to reach rather blustery levels by mid-summer standards later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will still be rather sunny despite an increase in cloud, and relatively hot although larger areas of the east may begin to feel a sea breeze cooling. There may be isolated showers and thunderstorms developing in parts of the inland south, midlands, and Connacht and one or two of these could be locally heavy. Highs 24 to 29 C.
TONIGHT the scattered showers will continue in a few areas and it will be muggy and otherwise partly cloudy with lows 15 to 20 C.
SATURDAY will be humid with further isolated showers or thunderstorms, some sunny intervals, and northeast breezes bringing in somewhat cooler air for most regions, with highs 23 to 26 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with further isolated showers, most likely near the west coast, in variable winds turning northerly, continued rather warm with lows 13 to 17 C and highs 22 to 26 C.
MONDAY will bring variable amounts of cloud and some outbreaks of showery rainfalls, somewhat cooler again with lows 12 to 16 C and highs 21 to 24 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with outbreaks of light rain, lows 12 to 15 C and highs 18 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will be a relatively cool and unsettled interval with blustery west to northwest winds at times, passing showers or intervals of light rain, and temperatures considerably cooler than this past week, lows 10 to 13 C and highs 16 to 19 C.
There may be a slight warming trend into the weekend of 31 July- 1 August with further outbreaks of rain in early August. Temperatures may rise a degree or two then fall back into the high teens for part of the first week of August. Any return to significant warmth looks to be reserved for the middle to end of August if it does take place.
My local weather on Thursday was mostly sunny with patchy high cloud, and a slight smoke haze with south to southwest winds and pleasant temperatures in the mid 20s after a morning low near 10 C which is the coolest reading here in over a month.
Just a reminder, if you have any clear skies this next couple of nights, you'll have views of the nearly full moon passing fairly close to Saturn (tonight) and Jupiter (Sat night). The best time to view them begins around 10:30 p.m. for tonight's set up and a bit later for Saturday evening (11:30 p.m. through the rest of the overnight period). Going out to have a look here and enjoy the cooler temperatures.
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Saturday, 24 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 24 to 30 July, 2021 --
-- Temperatures will gradually fall to near normal values or slightly below, the average will therefore be about one degree above normal as the first part of the interval will continue above normal. Some days later in the week could be two or three degrees below average.
-- Rainfalls will gradually increase during the week and may reach normal amounts in the north and west, to 50 per cent of normal in the southeast.
-- Sunshine will be a lot less frequent than this past week, perhaps amounting to near average or 25 per cent below in the cloudier west and north.
-- Wind speeds will be increasing in stages to reach rather blustery levels by mid-summer standards later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy and rather humid with further isolated showers or thunderstorms developing, most likely around western Connacht, but also possible in a few other areas such as the inland southeast, with northeast breezes bringing in somewhat cooler air across parts of the east and north, with highs 23 to 26 C for many, 25 to 28 C in a few sunnier locations inland west and midlands.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to clear with any isolated showers or thunderstorms dying out by midnight, lows 13 to 17 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with further isolated showers, most likely near the west coast, in variable winds turning northerly, continued rather warm with lows 13 to 17 C and highs 22 to 27 C.
MONDAY will bring variable amounts of cloud and some outbreaks of showery rainfalls, somewhat cooler again with lows 12 to 16 C and highs 21 to 24 C. Some more persistent rainfalls of 10-20 mm possible by later in the day and overnight to Tuesday morning.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with outbreaks of light rain, lows 12 to 15 C and highs 18 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will be a relatively cool and unsettled interval with blustery west to northwest winds at times, passing showers or intervals of light rain, and temperatures considerably cooler than this past week, lows 10 to 13 C and highs 16 to 19 C.
There may be a brief break in the unsettled weather around Saturday 31st but then further rain and cool temperatures appear likely as August begins.
My local weather on Friday was sunny with a moderate smoke haze which is mildly noxious at times. It was quite hot again with a high near 32 degrees. There's a good view of the full moon but reduced visibility makes it hard to find even as bright an object as Saturn; Jupiter was easier to spot. According to my astronomy sources the moon was perfectly full at 0338h IST but it will continue to appear full even tonight when you may be able to see it below the planet Saturn with Jupiter off to the left (would say 11 p.m. to midnight for a guaranteed view of all of that although the moon should be up shortly after sunset).
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Sunday, 25 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 25 to 31 July, 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal, after one last warm day today, several days will average 1-3 deg below average.
-- Rainfalls will total near normal values except in the southeast which could run 25 per cent below average.
-- Sunshine will average 75 per cent of normal, after quite generous amounts today, the rest of the week will have frequent cloud.
-- Wind speeds will increase gradually to rather blustery levels at times mid-week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly sunny and warm, with a slight risk of an isolated shower or thunderstorm. Highs near 25 C.
TONIGHT will become cloudy with some showers in northern and northwestern counties. Lows 12 to 14 C.
MONDAY will be cloudy with outbreaks of light rain, 5-10 mm expected. Highs 18 to 21 C.
TUESDAY will bring variable cloud and showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
WEDNESDAY to SATURDAY is looking quite unsettled with blustery west to northwest winds at times, outbreaks of rain that may average 5 to 10 mm a day in some western counties, lows 8 to 10 C and highs 15 to 18 C.
SUNDAY will perhaps bring a break in this unsettled regime before another series of fronts arrives, and temperatures could recover slightly to around 20 C, but the following week is looking rather close to 18 C much of the time.
My local weaher was warm and hazy to smoky at times, with a high near 28 C. It has become overcast since late afternoon. If you have clear skies this evening, have a look for the moon and Jupiter in the same part of the sky (southeast around 11 p.m.).
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Monday, 26 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 26 July to 1 August, 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal to one degree below normal values.
-- Rainfalls will total near normal values except in the southeast which could run 25 per cent below average.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal, as the rest of the week will have frequent cloud.
-- Wind speeds will increase gradually to rather blustery levels at times mid-week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with outbreaks of light rain, with some embedded heavier showers and thunderstorms. About 5-15 mm expected, the heavier amounts in Connacht and west Munster this afternoon. Spot flooding is possible in parts of west Munster. Highs 18 to 21 C.
TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with further showers at times, lows 8 to 11 C.
TUESDAY will bring variable cloud and showers, with highs near 18 C.
WEDNESDAY to SATURDAY is looking quite unsettled with blustery west to northwest winds of 40 to 60 km/hr at times, outbreaks of rain that may average 5 to 10 mm a day in some western counties, lows 8 to 10 C and highs 15 to 18 C. There will be some sunny intervals in the mix but rain will be more frequent in parts of Connacht, in particular Mayo and west Galway.
From SUNDAY (1st of August) on, the pattern will remain similar but perhaps a little drier with more prolonged sunny breaks between showery outbreaks, and temperatures near average for early August (highs near 20 C).
My local weather on Sunday was hazy and very warm with a moderate smoke haze reducing visibility to only 1-2 km at times. The high was around 34 C. There is quite an active forest fire about 150 kms west of us near Osoyoos, BC that is the main source of our local smoke. Other fires further north are spreading smoke across eastern B.C. into Alberta. Other fires in central Canada are spreading smoke haze into the Great Lakes region and the northeastern U.S. -- it's only a matter of time until some of this smoke shows up at higher altitudes in western Europe, the main effect of it will be to produce more colorful sunsets perhaps (it would not reduce visibility by any great amount).
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Tuesday, 27 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 27 July to 2 August, 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal to one degree below normal values.
-- Rainfalls will total near normal values except in the southeast which could run 25 per cent below average while parts of south Ulster could total 25 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal, as the rest of the week will have frequent cloud.
-- Wind speeds will increase gradually to rather blustery levels at times mid-week and will remain moderate through the weekend.
FORECASTS
TODAY will bring outbreaks of heavy rain to parts of Ulster and Leinster, with showers elsewhere tending to a partly cloudy afternoon in some parts of Connacht and Munster. Highs 17 to 20 C and rainfalls 5-10 mm for most but 15-30 mm possible in a few parts of Ulster and north Leinster.
TONIGHT will be overcast with occasional light rain and lows near 10 C.
WEDNESDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and occasional showers, with blustery west to northwest winds developing by afternoon. Highs around 18 C.
THURSDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers and blustery west to northwest winds 40-60 km/hr, lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with showers, west to northwest breezes 40 to 60 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with showers more isolated and longer sunny intervals, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.
MONDAY will see a return to cloud and showers, highs near 19 C.
The first week to ten days of August are looking unsettled at times with near average temperatures.
My local weather on Monday was hazy and warm with a thick smoke haze in the morning easing somewhat by afternoon and evening, highs close to 30 C. We are expecting the heat to build back to the mid to highs 30s again this week here (in western Canada if you're new to these forecasts, you won't need to worry about temperatures that high).
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Wednesday, 28 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS continue similar, near normal or slightly below average temperatures, rather wet in the north and near average elsewhere for rainfall, and rather cloudy so that sunshine totals may be close to 75 per cent of normal values. Rather blustery winds at times, in particular overnight in the north (early Thursday morning).
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few sunny intervals, as winds increase gradually to westerly 40-60 km/hr. An area of heavy rain showers will move through Ulster this morning, other regions will have less prolonged but sometimes briefly heavy showers with some risk of thunder. Highs 16 to 18 C. Rainfalls 10-15 mm north to 3-5 mm south coast.
TONIGHT will become rather windy in Ulster, northwest 50-80 km/hr in exposed areas. Somewhat less blustery further south although sometimes gusty in the 40-60 km/hr range. Passing showers, and lows near 9 C.
THURSDAY will be cloudy with some sunny breaks, passing showers, and cool, with moderate northwest winds at times. Highs 15 to 17 C.
FRIDAY will also be partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers and blustery northwest winds at times, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
SATURDAY will continue unsettled with perhaps minor improvements, some showers and gusty winds at times, lows near 8 C, highs near 17 C.
SUNDAY will provide more sunshine than cloud and only a few isolated showers, lows 7-10 C and highs near 19 C.
MONDAY will start out partly cloudy to sunny, with increasing afternoon cloud, lows 7-10 C and highs near 20 C.
Beyond that, a similar pattern will continue with a few showers at times in near normal early August temperatures.
My local weather on Tuesday started out with very thick smoke haze, visibility barely half a kilometre, and an air quality level rated as dangerous, and in fact there was a slight dusting of ash falling out of the smoky haze leaving a dirty film on outdoor surfaces. This slowly improved to hazy with visibility by this evening up to about 7 kms. It was quite warm at 29 C although the smoke haze is reducing the heat slightly. So now that I've done my part for the travel bureau, have a great day with your clean, fresh air (*jealous*).
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Thursday, 29 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 29 July to 4 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will be somewhat heavier than average in the south, mainly due to tonight's predicted heavy rainfall event, and otherwise will be around 50 per cent of normal as a somewhat drier spell develops for most of the country.
-- Sunshine will be near normal values.
-- Wind speeds will be near average too, not as light as during the heat wave but fairly moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers, and a heavier interval of rain will develop across the south by late afternoon. Winds variable and generally northwest to north in most areas but turning easterly during the rainfall near the south coast. Highs around 18 or 19 C.
TONIGHT heavy rain will move through the south, 15-30 mm possible, with heaviest amounts just inland from the south coast. In general there will be much less rain north of about a Dublin to Clare line, with some places staying dry further north. Lows 8 to 11 C.
FRIDAY the rain will move on towards southern England and skies will become variably cloudy with a few showers, highs near 17 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with showers more isolated, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
SUNDAY will become more settled, with at least equal amounts of sun and cloud, and only isolated showers if any at all, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy also with lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.
Later in the week of 2-6 August there could be some more unsettled conditions at times with temperatures staying close to average.
My local weather on Wednesday was partly cloudy and hot, with highs near 32 C, and luckily we lost most of the smoke haze as winds turned more southerly which is the best direction to avoid smoke at this point. You may have seen pictures of the unusual snowfall in southern Brazil where (inland and at higher elevations at least) they can get some wintry weather at this time of year.
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Friday, 30 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 30 July to 5 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- This forecast assumes that the overnight rainfall has mostly come to an end as the interval begins, so with that already noted yesterday, rainfall for this coming seven days will be generally close to average with local variations within 25 per cent of normal.
-- Sunshine will be about 75 per cent of normal values.
-- Wind speeds will be near average too, fairly moderate most days.
FORECASTS
TODAY will see the end of the rainfall across the southeast by late morning, with another less organized area of showers moving into western counties and eventually crossing most of the country during the day with hit or miss showers (3-7 mm on average), and isolated thunderstorms which could produce localized 10-15 mm downpours, with skies mostly cloudy with a few breaks. Winds will be moderate northwesterly 40 to 60 km/hr. Highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT will be cloudy with a few breaks, and isolated showers. Lows 8 to 11 C.
SATURDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers, amounts generally rather small (1-3 mm). Highs 16 to 18 C.
SUNDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, and only a few isolated showers at most, lows 7 to 10 C and highs near 19 C.
MONDAY will see increasing cloud and occasional showers by afternoon, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
TUESDAY will bring showers and overcast skies, lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.
The pattern from then to the middle of August seems to be locked into this rather bland, somewhat unsettled westerly regime with near normal temperatures if perhaps a bit cool in the daytime hours.
My local weather featured hazy sunshine and hot temperatures near 31 C.
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Saturday, 31 July, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain same as last few reports, near normal in most regards, if perhaps a bit on the cloudy side, rainfalls somewhat variable place to place but likely to even out near average for most.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with a few breaks by later afternoon and into the evening hours. A few light showers around this morning will give way to heavier showers mid-day and possibly an isolated thunderstorm. Amounts for most places will only be 2 to 5 mm however. Rather cool with highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT will become partly cloudy with lows 8 to 11 C.
SUNDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine, and a few isolated showers by afternoon in the west and north. Highs 18 to 20 C.
MONDAY will be rather cloudy again with outbreaks of light rain by mid-day into the afternoon, 1 to 3 mm amounts expected. Lows around 10 C and highs around 18 C.
TUESDAY will be rather cloudy in general but could start out with some bright intervals in Leinster and Ulster. A weak disturbance near the south coast will bring outbreaks of rain there, and later on a second weak disturbance will affect northwest counties. Lows near 9 C and highs near 18 C.
The outlook is for a fairly similar bland and slightly unsettled pattern to continue and if there is any trend within that, it would be more towards heavier rainfalls and stronger winds at times, although I am not that confident that model guidance showing that sort of outcome around ten days to two weeks away can be very reliable. At the same time it has to be said that there are no signs of any return to hot and dry conditions within the two week time frame at least, if it's going to happen at all it would probably be towards the end of August (and I can hear the chorus of school opening dates).
The local weather is quite oppressive, moderate smoke conditions continued, with the sun getting through enough to heat up the atmosphere to the mid 30s. We do see some signs of a pattern change which could involve rainfall returning later next week but the next five days look unchanged.
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Sunday, 1 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 1 to 7 Aug 2021
-- Temperatures will average near normal or within 1 deg below normal in some places.
-- Rainfall will average near normal, to 25 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal (cloud will prevail most of the time).
-- Winds are dropping back to light for a while, moderate again later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with afternoon and evening sunny breaks, and isolated showers with many places staying dry. Highs 17 to 19 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with some clear intervals, showers developing towards morning in parts of the northwest. Lows near 11 C.
MONDAY will become mostly cloudy with a few sunny breaks in the east, and outbreaks of light rain more significant in Munster and parts of Connacht, west Ulster. Highs 16 to 18 C.
TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and passing showers, although parts of Munster may have more prolonged intervals of light rain in the morning hours. Lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C.
THURSDAY will be overcast with rain at times, and moderate westerly winds 50 to 70 km/hr will develop. Lows near 8 C and highs 16 to 18 C.
This unsettled pattern will last a few more days but there could be a slight improvement during the period following the 10th of August.
My local weather has stayed hazy with smoke and quite hot with highs in the mid 30s.
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Monday, 2 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 2 to 8 Aug 2021
-- Temperatures will average near normal or within 1 deg below normal in some places.
-- Rainfall will average near normal, to 25 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal (cloud will prevail most of the time).
-- Winds are dropping back to light for a while, moderate again later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will become mostly cloudy after a few morning sunny breaks in the east, and outbreaks of light rain more significant in Munster and parts of Connacht, west Ulster. Highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT will bring partial clearing as the showers become more isolated, lows 8 to 10 C.
TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and passing showers, although parts of Munster may have more prolonged intervals of light rain in the morning hours. Lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C.
THURSDAY will be overcast with rain at times, and moderate westerly winds 50 to 70 km/hr will develop near the south coast and by evening along the west coast. Winds further inland will be generally light and variable while Ulster will see moderate southeast winds at times. Rainfalls of 5-10 mm will be typical. Lows near 8 C and highs 16 to 18 C.
FRIDAY will continue rather cloudy with a few showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
Next weekend will see little change in this rather drab, unsettled pattern, and temperatures will remain near or just below seasonal normals. There isn't a lot of change indicated for the following week at present.
My local weather turned quite cloudy with the smoke gradually fading to a more moderate element, and we had a few rain drops at times but the dynamics are very weak and sluggish for the heat to produce thunderstorms, so we had to make do with a slightly cooler high in the 28-30 C range, with higher humidity levels keeping it quite uncomfortable despite that slight cooling.
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Tuesday, 3 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 Aug 2021
-- Temperatures will average about 1 degree below normal in most places.
-- Rainfall will average near normal, to 25 per cent above normal, with the higher amounts expected in south Ulster and north Leinster.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal (cloud will prevail most of the time).
-- Winds are dropping back to light for a while, moderate again later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with outbreaks of light rain, 3-7 mm amounts expected, and highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with a few showers, lows near 10 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers, highs 16 to 18 C.
THURSDAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain, heavier towards evening in the west, and this will spread into the inland north overnight. Some moderate westerly wind gusts near the south coast but a slack gradient will prevent that elsewhere. Lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY will see further heavy showers moving slowly through parts of Ulster and Leinster, somewhat less unsettled elsewhere although some showers expected, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.
SATURDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with occasional showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.
SUNDAY will become less unsettled with showers more isolated, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
NEXT WEEK is showing some promise of improving now to considerably better weather than this current week, with more sunshine and warmer temperatures into the low or mid 20s in some parts.
My local weather remained overcast and smoky with warm, humid conditions making it feel rather uncomfortable at 28 C.
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Wednesday, 4 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 4 to 10 Aug 2021
-- Temperatures will average about 1 degree below normal in most places.
-- Rainfall will average near normal, to 25 per cent above normal, with the higher amounts expected in south Ulster and north Leinster.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal (cloud will prevail most of the time).
-- Winds are dropping back to light for a while, moderate again later in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers or intervals of light rain, highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT will be overcast with occasional light rain, lows 8 to 11 C.
THURSDAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain, heavier towards evening in the west, and this will spread into the inland north overnight. Some moderate westerly wind gusts near the south coast but a slack gradient will prevent that elsewhere. Lows 8 to 11 C and highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY will see further heavy showers moving slowly through parts of Ulster and Leinster, somewhat less unsettled elsewhere although some showers expected, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.
SATURDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with occasional showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with occasional showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
NEXT WEEK still looks a bit better than this current week although the improvements now must be described as slight, with longer intervals between smaller outbreaks of rain. Temperatures could come up a bit as a result of more sunshine.
My local weather improved slightly too, we don't seem to be getting much new smoke blowing in but winds are so light that we are not losing the old smoke very quickly. The sky tried to clear up slightly during the day and there were patches of blue with the smoke haze still considerable (2-3 km maximum visibility, which is a shame in this part of the world). It also got slightly hotter as a result of more sun getting past the smoke layers (31 C).
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Thursday, 5 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain the same, rather cool, unsettled and cloudy, with an interval of rather strong winds at times later today fading slowly over the following few days.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain, showers and thunderstorms more prevalent in the inland south and midlands. Rainfall amounts by this evening 5-15 mm. Highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT some heavy rain likely to continue across parts of Connacht and south Ulster, spreading to parts of the midlands and west Ulster, lows 10-12 C. Rainfall amounts as heavy as 20 mm possible inland north, 5-10 mm more typical elsewhere.
FRIDAY will see these heavy showers slowly pushing further east into north Leinster and east Ulster where 10-20 mm additional rainfall is possible. Other regions will begin to see some breaks in the overcast with showers becoming banded moving inland from the Atlantic, so that some places get persistent shower activity, and others have long dry intervals. Highs 15 to 17 C.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK is similar, partly cloudy with occasional showers, lows both days near 9 C and highs near 16 C.
NEXT WEEK may be slightly improved but even so, most days are likely to produce some showery rainfalls, and mid-week could become quite unsettled.
My local weather on Wednesday started out with early morning thunderstorms but rainfall amounts were limited; a few small fires were ignited in this region as a result of them. The rest of the day was partly cloudy, hazy and hot with highs 28 to 30 C.
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Friday, 6 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 6 to 12 August 2021
-- Temperatures will average about 1.0 deg below normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 per cent of normal.
-- Winds will be rather blustery at times.
FORECASTS
TODAY will see further outbreaks of heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms, across parts of the midlands, south Ulster, and north Leinster. Amounts of 20-40 mm possible, and note that some places such as Mullingar have pocked up 70 mm of rain already. Some significant flooding is probably already underway and today's additional rain may spread that problem. Other regions further south and southwest will likely have 10-20 mm total rainfalls and longer dry intervals between showers. Highs near 18 C. Some gusty west to northwest winds will develop across Atlantic counties by afternoon.
TONIGHT and SATURDAY will continue unsettled with further heavy showers in places, moderate northwest winds at times, overnight lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C. Rainfalls 10-15 mm.
SUNDAY and MONDAY will continue rather unsettled too with a slight improving trend but no real change in the unsettled theme, 5-10 mm rainfall amounts, lows near 10 C and highs 17 C.
NEXT WEEK is likely to remain rather unsettled but with somewhat longer dry intervals between outbreaks of rain, and temperatures perhaps up a degree or two as well.
My local weather on Thursday was overcast, hazy and warm with highs near 28 C. The smoke haze situation has improved a bit. There is another major fire underway, this one is between Vernon and Kamloops about 250 kms northwest of my location, but winds so far have not been blowing that smoke in our direction (it is heading north then northeast). This fire has reportedly done considerable damage to some very small communities (smaller than Lytton which was razed by a fire in late June). The other major fires underway are either being held or brought under control. There appears to be some hope of a few showers over the next few days but with that comes a threat of gusty winds which is not a good development.
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Saturday, 7 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 7 to 13 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will be 1 to 2 deg below normal values, with the greater departures in the inland north.
-- Rainfall will be 50 per cent above normal in the north, trending drier further south where a few places may end up a little below normal.
-- Sunshine will average only 25 to 50 per cent of normal in the north, to 50-75 per cent in the south.
-- Wind speeds will be most frequently moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with a few breaks further south, and outbreaks of heavy rain at times in the north where 10-15 mm could fall. Highs around 16 C north to 18 C south. Winds near Atlantic coasts west-northwest 40-60 km/hr.
TONIGHT will bring outbreaks of heavier rain in north Connacht and west Ulster where 20-40 mm may be recorded. Other regions will also have some showers at times but amounts closer to 5-10 mm. Lows 10-12 C.
SUNDAY will become partly cloudy with showers more isolated in the south, and not as heavy in the north although still rather frequent there. Another breezy and cool day with lows 8-10 C and highs 16-18 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy with showers, rather small amounts expected, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny at times, with only a few isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs 19 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY will bring increasing cloud and rain arriving in the west late in the day, lows near 8 C and highs 19 to 21 C.
THURSDAY will be wet and breezy, amounts could be in the 20-30 mm range in the north again. Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.
This unsettled pattern with brief intervals of better weather will continue to be the dominant theme for another week beyond this outlook if the current guidance is to be believed.
My local weather was hazy and warm with a few showers by this evening approaching from the northwest along a fairly weak cold front. Highs were near 28 C.
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Sunday, 8 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will be 1 to 2 deg below normal values, with the greater departures in the inland north.
-- Rainfall will be 50 per cent above normal in the north, trending drier further south where a few places may end up a little below normal.
-- Sunshine will average only 25 to 50 per cent of normal in the north, to 50-75 per cent in the south.
-- Wind speeds will be most frequently moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will become partly cloudy with showers more isolated in the south, and gradually becoming not as heavy in the north although still rather frequent there. Some additional showers may develop over west Munster by afternoon though. It will be another breezy and cool day with highs 16-18 C.
TONIGHT will bring occasional showers and moderate northwest winds at times, lows 8 to 11 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy with showers, rather small amounts expected, and highs near 18 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny at times, with only a few isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs 19 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY will bring increasing cloud and rain arriving in the west during the day, gradually spreading further east, with lows near 8 C and highs 18 to 20 C.
THURSDAY will be wet and breezy, amounts could be in the 20-30 mm range in the north again. Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.
This unsettled pattern with brief intervals of better weather will continue to be the dominant theme for a few more days at least, although latest guidance goes back to a theme of improved weather after mid-month. I hope this is the case but confidence has to remain low as this interval keeps changing appearance from model run to run in recent days.
My local weather on Saturday was cloudy with afternoon rainfalls of about 5-10 mm, and moderate temperatures that stayed generally around 20 C. This felt quite refreshing and the smoke content of the air has dropped considerably although visibility is still not all that good.
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Monday, 9 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 9 to 15 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will be 0.5 to 1.5 deg below normal values, with the greater departures in the inland north.
-- Rainfall will be 50 per cent above normal in the north, trending drier further south where a few places may end up a little below normal.
-- Sunshine will average only 25 to 50 per cent of normal in the north, to 50-75 per cent in the south.
-- Wind speeds will be most frequently moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy with showers, 10-20 mm amounts in parts of Connacht and south Ulster, north Leinster, otherwise rather small amounts 3-5 mm expected, and highs near 18 C. Moderate west to northwest winds 40-60 km/hr at times.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few lingering showers in the north mostly, lows 7 to 10 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny at times, with only a few isolated showers, and highs 19 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY will bring increasing cloud and rain arriving in the west during the morning, gradually spreading further east around mid-day, with partial clearing to follow in the west, lows near 8 C and highs 18 to 20 C.
THURSDAY will be wet and breezy, amounts could be in the 20-30 mm range in the north again. Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C. Winds may become strong westerly for a time in the north (50-70 km/hr).
FRIDAY will continue rather unsettled with moderate to strong west to northwest winds, lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.
SATURDAY will then bring variable amounts of cloud and a few showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.
From about SUNDAY 15th to the middle of the following week, there are indications that the winds will turn more easterly but it will remain rather cloudy and slightly unsettled, with near average mid-August temperatures. Once this slight blocking intrusion comes and goes, it would likely revert to the Atlantic being dominant again with further episodes of wind and rain.
My local weather was cooler than any day since early June, with a high of only 20 C, and occasional light rain. This is continuing to flush out smoke gradually and between rain showers the visibility improved a bit to 7-10 kms. On a wider scale this change has assisted fire fighting efforts and allowed them to get the worst blazes under better control, while putting out a few that were nearing their end anyway. It has been rather quiet in the tropics but there are signs of a gradual stirring with at least one tropical storm or hurricane possible within a week or so.
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Tuesday, 10 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will be closer to normal, within 0.5 deg either side.
-- Rainfall will be near normal in the north, trending drier further south where a few places may end up 25 to 50 per cent below normal.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal in the north, and near normal in the south.
-- Wind speeds will be most frequently moderate.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, these more frequent in Leinster and east Munster. Showers if any will be quite isolated. Highs 18 to 21 C.
TONIGHT will bring increasing cloud in the west with rain at times towards dawn. It will stay partly cloudy further east. This might be the best night to look for the Perseid meteor shower since more cloud is likely later in the week. Lows 10 to 12 C.
WEDNESDAY will be wet for part of the morning in the west and around mid-day in the east, but once this front moves through skies should clear partially again as winds turn more westerly. Highs near 19 C. Rainfalls of 5-10 mm possible.
THURSDAY will become quite breezy and showery with winds westerly 40-60 km/hr or higher in some exposed locations. Lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
FRIDAY to MONDAY will remain fairly similar, with partly cloudy to overcast skies each day, some rain but amounts generally fairly small, and highs in the 17-20 C range, with overnight lows 10-13 C.
Later next week there are some signs of a warmer spell developing, lasting about three or four days, and highs could get into the mid-20s if this comes about. It would eventually go back to a more active and unsettled regime again.
My local weather on Monday was sunny, hazy with highs near 23 C. Our visibility and air quality continue to improve slowly. The sixth named storm of the season is being tracked (name not yet assigned) near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. This could get as strong as a minimal hurricane in a few days when it is near Cuba and south Florida. Several other tropical storms may develop in its wake in about a week or so.
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Wednesday, 11 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain similar, near normal temperatures and rainfalls, with perhaps a bit more cloud than average in many areas.
FORECASTS
TODAY will bring outbreaks of rain this morning in western counties, spreading into the midlands before mid-day and reaching the east coast around noon to 1 p.m. ... about 5-10 mm will be typical with a few northern areas getting 10-15 mm. Winds will then veer from southerly to west-southwest 40-60 km/hr with some sunny intervals developing. Highs 18 to 21 C.
TONIGHT will become overcast again with rain at times in the west. Lows near 12 C.
THURSDAY will become quite windy, southwest to west 50 to 80 km/hr in exposed Atlantic coastal counties, with bands of showers likely to bring variable conditions from one place to another. Highs 16 to 18 C.
FRIDAY will see partly cloudy to overcast skies and a few showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.
SATURDAY will also be partly cloudy with showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.
SUNDAY and MONDAY will continue in this trend with little change, except that winds will be slowly turning more to the north during that interval. Lows near 9 C and highs near 16 C each day.
The rest of next week is likely to stay partly cloudy with isolated showers, then by about Thursday 19th there could be some heavier rain developing as low pressure circles around to the south and heads towards the southeastern counties.
My local weather was hazy and warmer with highs near 26 C on Tuesday. Tropical Storm Fred has formed near Puerto Rico and will track towards the north coast of Cuba within three days or so, passing through the Florida Straits into the eastern Gulf of Mexico but possibly bringing tropical storm force winds and heavy rain to some parts of Florida. Fred could become a minimal hurricane but has to survive tangles with higher terrain in Hispaniola and eastern Cuba.
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Thursday, 12 August, 2021 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 12 to 18 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 25 per cent above normal in parts of the inland southwest and midlands, to only 50 per cent of normal in Ulster.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal values.
-- Rather strong winds will develop today and Friday, then a more moderate wind regime is expected.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with best chance of sunshine in the east this morning. Some light rain will edge into western counties, 5 to 10 mm expected there. Winds will peak at around 50-80 km/hr this morning and mid-day, veering more to the west later on. Highs 16 to 19 C.
TONIGHT rain will push gradually further east and it will be rather mild with lows 10 to 13 C. Winds southwest to west around 40 to 60 km/hr.
FRIDAY will become partly cloudy with showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
SATURDAY rain will develop near the southwest coasts and move into west Munster and the south midlands, with 15 to 30 mm potential in some places. This rain may not reach all parts of the north or at least amounts will be considerably lower. The southeast could remain dry for a good part of the day also before occasional rain moves in there too. Lows 12 to 14 C and highs 17 to 19 C.
SUNDAY will become breezy with passing showers, winds turning westerly then northwesterly, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
MONDAY will also be partly cloudy and rather cool with northerly breezes, a few showers, and lows near 8 C, highs near 17 C.
The rest of next week will stay slightly unsettled with near normal temperatures.
My local weather on Wednesday was sunny, hazy and hot with highs near 31 C. We are starting to get significant amounts of smoke haze again. Tropical Depression Fred (as it has become) will push on along the north coast of Cuba and search for enough energy to get back to tropical storm status somewhere between Havana and Key West over the weekend. It will then turn north along the west coast of Florida.
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Friday, 13 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 13 to 19 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will be on a slowly rising trend and might average 1.5 deg above normal.
-- Rainfall could be near normal in some parts of the inland southwest, otherwise closer to 50% of normal, and most of this will occur on the weekend with generally dry weather setting in next week.
-- Sunshine will improve back towards normal values.
-- The trend with wind speed will be towards moderate and then light winds through the period.
FORECASTS
TODAY will see scattered showers mainly in the west and north, and long dry intervals elsewhere with cloudy skies sometimes breaking to partly cloudy, highs near 18 C.
TONIGHT will bring increasing cloud and lows near 10 C, rain developing near west Munster coastlines and moving slowly inland there.
SATURDAY will start out partly cloudy to sunny in some eastern and northern counties. Cloud and rain will be moving into west Munster with some heavier bursts expected around mid-day around Clare and Limerick, Tipps. Local amounts of 20 mm are possible. This rain will spread with lighter amounts into much of Connacht, the midlands, and east Munster, eventually reaching some parts of Leinster, but towards evening the rain will be fragmenting to showers. Some parts of Ulster could remain dry if rather cloudy. Highs 17 to 19 C.
TONIGHT the remnants of the showery rainfall band will edge southeast into south Leinster and east Munster where a further 5-10 mm is possible. Skies will become partly cloudy further north. Lows 10 to 13 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, highs 18 to 21 C.
MONDAY will be breezy and rather cool with isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY are looking fairly cloudy with drizzle in low marine cloud layers near some coasts, but variable cloud inland, rather warm away from the coastlines, lows near 12 C and highs 18 to 21 C.
By THURSDAY a partly cloudy to sunny regime will develop and temperatures may warm up as high as the 23-25 C range for a few days. It looks at present like this good spell of weather might last about four days through the weekend of 21st-22nd, then it would be back to the more unsettled pattern of this past week with temperatures falling back into the 15-18 C range.
My local weather was sunny with smoke haze back and hot with highs near 32 C. Down at the coast they are into even hotter temperatures with some record highs near 39 C. The outlook for Tropical Storm Fred remains about the same, as it pushes towards the Florida Straits later today.
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Saturday, 14 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 14 to 20 August 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average about 1.0 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal, and much of that will occur today.
-- Sunshine will average 75 per cent of normal, it will be rather cloudy but each day should have some sunny breaks.
-- Winds will average closer to light than moderate speeds most of the time.
FORECASTS
TODAY rain will move into the western and central counties, with pulses coming and going so that it probably won't be raining all day in many places, just a few hours separated by dry intervals. Amounts of 10 to 20 mm appear likely. Some parts of north Ulster will probably escape with trace amounts, and the south coast won't be as wet as further inland until perhaps the late afternoon or evening hours. Highs about 15 to 17 C.
TONIGHT the rainfall will begin to fragment to scattered showers across the south with partial clearing spreading in from the north, with winds turning northerly 30-50 km/hr. Lows about 10 C for most, 12 C near south coast.
SUNDAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, still a few lingering showers in south Leinster mostly, and moderate northwest winds. Highs will be 18 to 20 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, lows near 9 C and highs near 19 C.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY are looking generally rather dry apart from some coastal drizzle in Connacht and west Ulster, but rather cloudy most of the time. There could be some more generous sunny breaks in Leinster and east Munster. Highs through mid-week will remain near seasonal averages (19-21 C) with lows around 10-12 C.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY are now looking a bit more unsettled, with cloud, a few showers, and muggy conditions, highs near 20 C -- the warm and dry spell expected seems to be waiting for one more disturbance to come and go before perhaps taking over for the period SUNDAY 22nd to TUESDAY 24th. The temperature could rise a few degrees then if sunshine takes over.
My local weather was hazy with smoke, and warm although the air is so murky it probably didn't get as hot as it would have otherwise, highs near 27 C. Much higher readings have been noted in other parts of the west where skies are less smoky. Meanwhile, Fred continues to plod along near Cuba and cannot strengthen much until later today over open water again; meanwhile Tropical Storm Seven has formed in a similar location to where Fred started and looks to follow a similar track over the next five days.
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Sunday, 15 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 15 to 21 Aug --
-- Temperatures will average about 1.0 deg above normal.
-- Rainfall will average 25 per cent of normal values.
-- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal values.
-- Winds generally light, occasionally moderate, and from a northwesterly direction until turning southwesterly late in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be rather cloudy with a few breaks developing by afternoon and evening. Light outbreaks of drizzly rain may give a further 1 or 2 mm accumulations in some places.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with lows 9 to 12 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with isolated showers, moderate northwest winds 30-50 km/hr, highs 17 to 19 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy in the south and east, to overcast west and north where some coastal fog or drizzle is possible. Lows around 12 C and highs around 20 C.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will be similar with perhaps longer bright spells developing, at least in the south and east, and slightly warmer temperatures possibly as well with daily highs 19 to 22 C. Nights will be mild with lows around 12 C. There could be outbreaks of drizzle or light rain in Ulster at times.
FRIDAY will bring a weak frontal system with moderate southwest winds and outbreaks of light rain, 3 to 5 mm possible in places, lows near 14 C and highs 19 to 21 C.
SATURDAY looks to remain rather unsettled in a moist southwest flow, some light rain here and there, highs near 20 C.
SUNDAY and MONDAY next (22nd-23rd) may see a slightly warmer temperature regime before the Atlantic returns to resume the more unsettled pattern of the past week.
My local weather on Saturday was hazy and very warm with highs near 32 C. We are looking at a considerable change early next week with a prediction of daytime temperatures only in the 15-20 C range and some heavy rainfall potential as a front stalls to our south. For the time being, all of the western U.S. bakes away under a strong upper level ridge, record highs in a number of locations. The scenario remains the same for Fred (not yet recovered to t.s. status and southwest of Key West FL) and Grace following along and heading into the Dominican Republic now.
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Monday, 16 August, 2021 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 16 to 22 Aug 2021 --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values, although possibly a bit above for overnight lows and a little below average for daytime highs (due to the cloudy regime). The second week ahead may be 1-3 deg above normal though.
-- Rainfall will be slight in general, 25 to 50 per cent, and much of that will likely come around Friday. However there will be somewhat more frequent light rain or drizzle than this might suggest.
-- Sunshine will be lucky to reach 75 per cent of normal, and is likely to be capped near 50 per cent in many parts of the north.
-- Not very windy most of the time, winds often light northwest.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter spells in the south at times. Light drizzly showers will move through Ulster with 1-2 mm amounts likely there. Highs 17 to 19 C.
TONIGHT will remain rather cloudy with spotty drizzle, lows 11 to 14 C.
TUESDAY will be cloudy with a few sunny breaks, and isolated light showers in the north. Highs 18 to 21 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy, rather warm and humid, isolated showers possible, lows near 13 C and highs near 20 C.
THURSDAY will be overcast with outbreaks of drizzle or light rain at times in the south, lows near 14 C, highs 19 to 21 C.
FRIDAY will be mostly cloudy with showers, 3 to 7 mm can be expected with this rather weak system, and lows near 15 C, highs 18 to 21.
SATURDAY will see partly cloudy skies and more isolated showers, lows near 12 C and highs near 19 C.
From SUNDAY 22nd on, there could be an improvement to partly cloudy to sunny days with little if any rain expected for several days, and highs edging up into the 23-25 C range. Winds are expected to turn a little more easterly as high pressure crests over Scotland during that week, which may allow for quite warm conditions in most of Ireland away from the east coast. This would likely break down to heavier showers near the end of August according to current guidance (but that is two weeks away).
My local weather remained rather hot and smoky with highs close to 35 C. We are watching fronts pushing south towards us, the downside will be gusty winds which won't help the fire fighting (nothing going on really close to here luckily), but the upside will be the potential for some heavy rain showers and much cooler temperatures by about Tuesday. We're probably stuck with the current situation for most of Monday though. Meanwhile, T.S. Fred recovered and will soon be making a landfall in northwest Florida. Grace is now the one having difficulty maintaining intensity near Hispaniola. But there is some potential for Grace to move on over several days to the south of Cuba and into the Gulf of Mexico; some guidance shows it developing into a strong hurricane but this is not a very high confidence forecast. Tropical Depression 8 has formed near Bermuda and will drift further west; some guidance shows this becoming a hurricane not too far off the U.S. east coast later in the week towards next weekend. Again, there are equal chances it won't develop to that extent and will stay out to sea.
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