Cold Spell - Feb 7th to 13th 2021 - Chat

Slashermcguirk wrote: »

More snow than anywhere in 2018?? Kildare, Wicklow and even Wexford got the most. Parts of Dublin got a lot too. I recall cork getting some but nowhere near what fell in the east

Actually you are both correct in a way. For the first 3 days, i.e. the streamers, Cork arguably got the most as there was a 200km fetch from south of Wales and there was pretty much a streamer train for 3 days. Places out by the Old Head of Kinsale had 6 feet drifts before storm Emma. Im in suburbia and I had 40cm in the middle my garden before storm Emma (and plenty more evaporated). But storm Emma really only added a little down here, we got that floating glitter, so by the end of the spell the places you mention certainly had the most.

But yeah, I agree with the sentiment about it being wrong to say Cork would miss out again. Since Jan 2010 we have had 3 notable (days off school) snow events (Inc. 10 Jan 2010 when a southerly system stalled over us and we got 12 hours of snow not received anywhere else) and loads of other days with lying snow. Most winters we get some transient lying snow at worst off some slider system. We went 6 years without any snow from Christmas day 2004 to Jan 2010 that gave rise to the Cork Snow Shield jokes on here, but there have been plenty worse places on the Island for snow since.

In terms of next week though, I don't like the uppers down here. We are on the fringes of -8s only. If you want sure snow next week, take Dublin and Wicklow every time on current charts. For Munster it's risk and reward though. We may miss out totally, but equally we are first in line if there was an Atlantic battleground so could end up buried up to our necks.

highdef wrote: »

I don't think we're likely to see scenes such as those in the attached video I made in 2018 in North Kildare, close to the Meath border.

Brilliant video thanks for sharing

KingdomRushed wrote: »

Well the GFS 6z, I am liking it so far, the cold uppers are in across Ireland almost 24 hours later, and by Monday morning the whole country is enveloped in cold. Due to stronger high pressure in Greenland the undercutting of low pressures systems is looking cleaner. An upgrade again in the earlier frames at least,

The range of outcomes post 144hrs on each GFS run is staggering. The NH profile is entirely different on every run. It's not usually like that.

You would know there was something in the offing the weather forum currently has at the time of typing 371 (116 members & 255 guests) watching this forum

Bray Seafront didn't do well from the BFTE and Emma in 2018. The rest of Bray did fantastic from Emma.

All of Bray got 2-3 inches from sporadic Streamers before Emma hit. The Pesky IOM or Angelsey Shadow screwed us out of anything more. In other words, while there may have been several days of Streamer activity on the east coast before Emma, I think Bray got under 1 streamer for about 2 hours in total and thats where we got our 2-3 inches.

Then Emma hit. Most of Bray a few hundred meters back from the Seafront and up on higher ground in Bray got buried in Snow and drifts. However the Gale Force winds of Emma lifted Salty Sea Spray aloft and effectively spread natures de-icer for the first few hundred metres inland along with the dumping of Blizzard snow. So in the vicinity of the seafront it was melting as fast as it was falling and our snow levels never grew past that 2-3 inches we already had from the streamers. In fact it ruined the 2-3 inches from the streamers as it water logged it and made a lot of it slushy.

So from a highly IMBY perspective down here near Bray Seafront, 2018 BFTE and Emma was a massive disappointment. Had I lived in my old gaff in Bray in the estate behind Tescos on the Vevay Road which is about 50m asl and about 1km inland, I would have been in Heaven.

Reversal wrote: »

The range of outcomes post 144hrs on each GFS run is staggering. The NH profile is entirely different on every run. It's not usually like that.

With the lack of a true Scandi High, it's especially difficult to forecast this. I'm not ramping this for after Monday just because of how unusual the synoptics are.

The Wordress wrote: »

Will the North West get much snow from this? :confused

Probably not if being realistic, but theres always a chance.

Looks like I was right to order Yaktrax snowgrips for the family after the 2 inches we got at the beginning of January. Just a pity I forgot to warn the oul fella to let me know when the work van tyres needed changing so I could order some Michelin CrossClimates for it. He feckin bought new tyres for it 3 weeks ago without telling me. Arghh !! Might head out to Halfords in Carrickmines to pick up another pair of Snow Socks for the Van. Annoys me though because we only seem to get one snow period out of them before they are shredded which is expensive at €70 a pair. Though I guess thats better than my brother borrowing my car to collect his GF from work in Johnny Foxes in 2018 and despite several warnings from me, he failed to remove the Brand new Snowsocks off my wheels once he hit Tarmac on the N11 and shredded them after a single use. In one ear and out the other with that lad.

Looking good for my area south east Cavan. Always get the rewards from a good easterly

Any chance of a red warning folks

AuntySnow wrote: »

For our Cork friends, the 06z has a more southeasterly component which would pummel cork waterford,wexford and Aunty Snow on Tuesday as well as Eastern Ulster

A repeat of 2018 then before Storm Emma.