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Cold Spell - Feb 7th to 13th 2021 - Chat

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭Reckless Abandonment


    Kermit must be warming his mittens..


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,907 ✭✭✭Stevieluvsye


    Pretty much set in stone that we'll see snow and some serious eough cold. For how long, that's up in the air. I'm predicting some disruptive snow, especially in Dublin and surrounding counties. Mid to late next week has potential with Atlantic fronts for some possible severe snow events


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,410 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Once again Cork looks marginal? Correct? :-(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,318 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    leahyl wrote: »
    Once again Cork looks marginal? Correct? :-(
    How do you mean again? We got more snow than anywhere in 2018 and in general have been doing well...
    It could go either way for Cork but in general looks as good as anywhere else


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,410 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    How do you mean again? We got more snow than anywhere in 2018 and in general have been doing well...
    It could go either way for Cork but in general looks as good as anywhere else

    Well more often than not we don’t get snow, yes we got it in 2018 but it’s not like anytime there is a system that we get the biggest hit. Usually misses out on us. Cork is a big county and I suppose I'm referring to the city and suburbs. North Cork all nearly always get something.


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    leahyl wrote: »
    Once again Cork looks marginal? Correct? :-(

    Not all the time
    Plenty of opportunities
    From an imby perspective this is more 2010 than 2018,though slightly less cold without being marginal
    Wind is Northeast so for shower fetch,you need to look Northeast to see how much water your fetch has
    Greater than 60kmhs of water brings good showers
    Double that or more along the east coast leading to much of the east getting streamers
    Its not due East like 2018 was,so shower distribution WILL be different

    Regarding Cork, ahead of any Atlantic clash,a southeast flow would batter Cork but that's all too far ahead at this stage


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,030 ✭✭✭Slashermcguirk


    More snow than anywhere in 2018?? Kildare, Wicklow and even Wexford got the most. Parts of Dublin got a lot too. I recall cork getting some but nowhere near what fell in the east
    How do you mean again? We got more snow than anywhere in 2018 and in general have been doing well...
    It could go either way for Cork but in general looks as good as anywhere else


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,959 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Good man Matty ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,301 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Met Eireann “Big Change” on the way with a cold spell coming


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,907 ✭✭✭Stevieluvsye


    They have now mentioned it on Morning Ireland about this potential........MT will give it the green light also in about 10 minutes


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Met Eireann “Big Change” on the way with a cold spell coming

    Yeah that Matthew Martin fellah on radio one,must be a coldie ;):p
    Sounded very chirpy as he declared heaven for bread suppliers there:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭Reckless Abandonment


    Anyone else getting ads like this..
    I think the frog is profiting off all this :)

    Screenshot-20210203-080040-Chrome.jpg


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 624 ✭✭✭Humberto Salazar


    All set for tremendous battleground stuff next week. Very much 1947esque. I'd think Munster could get a lot of snow from the possible setups we are being shown. Shades of Feb 1978 snow down there. Leinster gets the early show Sunday/Monday. Almost within the reliable range now. Yesterday's low over SE UK and Holland not such a factor.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,301 ✭✭✭pad199207


    All set for tremendous battleground stuff next week. Very much 1947esque. I'd think Munster could get a lot of snow from the possible setups we are being shown. Shades of Feb 1978 snow down there. Leinster gets the early show Sunday/Monday. Almost within the reliable range now. Yesterday's low over SE UK and Holland not such a factor.

    That’s why I’m still a little bit wary. That signal for that low could easily come back again to ruin things for us and a good part of S Britain. My hand was still on the fence on Monday but now it’s just the little finger grasping onto it. :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,508 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    pad199207 wrote: »
    That’s why I’m still a little bit weary. That signal for that low could easily come back again to ruin things for us and a good part of S Britain. My hand was still on the fence on Monday but now it’s just the little finger grasping onto it. :D

    Weary or wary?!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,301 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Weary or wary?!

    Coffee is just kicking in. Cut me some slack :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,508 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Coffee is just kicking in. Cut me some slack :D

    You could be both!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 88 ✭✭Holy Duck


    All set for tremendous battleground stuff next week. Very much 1947esque. I'd think Munster could get a lot of snow from the possible setups we are being shown. Shades of Feb 1978 snow down there. Leinster gets the early show Sunday/Monday. Almost within the reliable range now. Yesterday's low over SE UK and Holland not such a factor.


    Easy now......


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43,037 ✭✭✭✭SEPT 23 1989


    Better get down to the hardware for snow shovels before the run on them starts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,749 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    Our old friend Weathercheck was in his old boards.ie mode this morning giving the 7.55 forecast on radio 1 :D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,508 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    All set for tremendous battleground stuff next week. Very much 1947esque. I'd think Munster could get a lot of snow from the possible setups we are being shown. Shades of Feb 1978 snow down there. Leinster gets the early show Sunday/Monday. Almost within the reliable range now. Yesterday's low over SE UK and Holland not such a factor.

    Ok who has hacked into your boards account?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,327 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    Speak Now wrote: »
    Our old friend Weathercheck was in his old boards.ie mode this morning giving the 7.55 forecast on radio 1 :D

    That's mad. Well done to him. We all know he likes his snow!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,327 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    They have now mentioned it on Morning Ireland about this potential........MT will give it the green light also in about 10 minutes

    Would have been nice if he'd gone into a bit of detail;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,508 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Speak Now wrote: »
    Our old friend Weathercheck was in his old boards.ie mode this morning giving the 7.55 forecast on radio 1 :D

    Word has it he still lurks in our midst.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,410 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Speak Now wrote: »
    Our old friend Weathercheck was in his old boards.ie mode this morning giving the 7.55 forecast on radio 1 :D

    Wait a minute, Weathercheck is a meterologist?! How did I miss this??!!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,907 ✭✭✭Stevieluvsye


    leahyl wrote: »
    Wait a minute, Weathercheck is a meterologist?! How did I miss this??!!

    Not sure he is a meterologist


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66 ✭✭Zogabomb


    Not sure he is a meterologist

    Yep he is, for Met Eireann.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,907 ✭✭✭Stevieluvsye


    Zogabomb wrote: »
    Yep he is, for Met Eireann.

    Oh ok, thought he was more of a fair weather reporter


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 251 ✭✭Cw85


    Is it time to remove the word Potential yet? ðŸ˜႒


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 624 ✭✭✭Humberto Salazar


    Ok who has hacked into your boards account?

    Ha ha, took my meds this morning, all looking good...

    In all seriousness though, battleground does have the risk of milder weather washing out the cold from time to time. But it's risk v reward. The reward for snow lovers could be great. Could be, potentially yada yada...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,327 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    More snow than anywhere in 2018?? Kildare, Wicklow and even Wexford got the most. Parts of Dublin got a lot too. I recall cork getting some but nowhere near what fell in the east

    Actually you are both correct in a way. For the first 3 days, i.e. the streamers, Cork arguably got the most as there was a 200km fetch from south of Wales and there was pretty much a streamer train for 3 days. Places out by the Old Head of Kinsale had 6 feet drifts before storm Emma. Im in suburbia and I had 40cm in the middle my garden before storm Emma (and plenty more evaporated). But storm Emma really only added a little down here, we got that floating glitter, so by the end of the spell the places you mention certainly had the most.

    But yeah, I agree with the sentiment about it being wrong to say Cork would miss out again. Since Jan 2010 we have had 3 notable (days off school) snow events (Inc. 10 Jan 2010 when a southerly system stalled over us and we got 12 hours of snow not received anywhere else) and loads of other days with lying snow. Most winters we get some transient lying snow at worst off some slider system. We went 6 years without any snow from Christmas day 2004 to Jan 2010 that gave rise to the Cork Snow Shield jokes on here, but there have been plenty worse places on the Island for snow since.

    In terms of next week though, I don't like the uppers down here. We are on the fringes of -8s only. If you want sure snow next week, take Dublin and Wicklow every time on current charts. For Munster it's risk and reward though. We may miss out totally, but equally we are first in line if there was an Atlantic battleground so could end up buried up to our necks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,508 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Ha ha, took my meds this morning, all looking good...

    In all seriousness though, battleground does have the risk of milder weather washing out the cold from time to time. But it's risk v reward. The reward for snow lovers could be great. Could be, potentially yada yada...

    Yeah could be big reward but very rarely works out well and ends any cold period. Will be an interesting 10 days ahead.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 198 ✭✭The Wordress


    Will the North West get much snow from this? :confused :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,508 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Will the North West get much snow from this? :confused :)

    The East is in the best position to benefit at the moment.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,220 ✭✭✭Davaeo09


    Will the North West get much snow from this? :confused :)

    Be patient like the rest of us if you want an accurate answer/forecast
    This one will go down to the wire

    Cold yes
    How cold - we will see
    How much snow - we don't know yet

    If you haven't seen them check out MTs forecast it will give you an idea just how tricky this has been for our experts here and at the met offices


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,570 ✭✭✭Tyrone212


    Will the North West get much snow from this? :confused :)

    North Donegal Inishowen, buncrana areas will if its like 2018. The majority of the rest of NW won't see a single flake if its like 2018.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 198 ✭✭The Wordress


    Tyrone212 wrote: »
    North Donegal Inishowen, buncrana areas will if its like 2018. The majority of the rest of NW won't see a single flake if its like 2018.

    Boo :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,584 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Tyrone212 wrote: »
    North Donegal Inishowen, buncrana areas will if its like 2018. The majority of the rest of NW won't see a single flake if its like 2018.

    That was painful , in the end I was nearly glad to see the atlantic break through to end the suffering.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 550 ✭✭✭weatherfiend


    highdef wrote: »
    I don't think we're likely to see scenes such as those in the attached video I made in 2018 in North Kildare, close to the Meath border.

    Brilliant video thanks for sharing


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 485 ✭✭KingdomRushed


    Well the GFS 6z, I am liking it so far, the cold uppers are in across Ireland almost 24 hours later, and by Monday morning the whole country is enveloped in cold. Due to stronger high pressure in Greenland the undercutting of low pressures systems is looking cleaner. An upgrade again in the earlier frames at least,


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 412 ✭✭Reversal


    Well the GFS 6z, I am liking it so far, the cold uppers are in across Ireland almost 24 hours later, and by Monday morning the whole country is enveloped in cold. Due to stronger high pressure in Greenland the undercutting of low pressures systems is looking cleaner. An upgrade again in the earlier frames at least,

    The range of outcomes post 144hrs on each GFS run is staggering. The NH profile is entirely different on every run. It's not usually like that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭lucernarian


    Zogabomb wrote: »
    Yep he is, for Met Eireann.

    Matt is actually working for Met Eireann?!? Any proof of this? :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 831 ✭✭✭lapua20grain


    You would know there was something in the offing the weather forum currently has at the time of typing 371 (116 members & 255 guests) watching this forum


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 833 ✭✭✭bazlers


    I spy with my little eye lows trending further south. Good to keep the easterly flow sustained.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,838 ✭✭✭Calibos


    Bray Seafront didn't do well from the BFTE and Emma in 2018. The rest of Bray did fantastic from Emma.

    All of Bray got 2-3 inches from sporadic Streamers before Emma hit. The Pesky IOM or Angelsey Shadow screwed us out of anything more. In other words, while there may have been several days of Streamer activity on the east coast before Emma, I think Bray got under 1 streamer for about 2 hours in total and thats where we got our 2-3 inches.

    Then Emma hit. Most of Bray a few hundred meters back from the Seafront and up on higher ground in Bray got buried in Snow and drifts. However the Gale Force winds of Emma lifted Salty Sea Spray aloft and effectively spread natures de-icer for the first few hundred metres inland along with the dumping of Blizzard snow. So in the vicinity of the seafront it was melting as fast as it was falling and our snow levels never grew past that 2-3 inches we already had from the streamers. In fact it ruined the 2-3 inches from the streamers as it water logged it and made a lot of it slushy.

    So from a highly IMBY perspective down here near Bray Seafront, 2018 BFTE and Emma was a massive disappointment. Had I lived in my old gaff in Bray in the estate behind Tescos on the Vevay Road which is about 50m asl and about 1km inland, I would have been in Heaven.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,186 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Early snow warnings from UK met for Sunday/Monday.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭lucernarian


    Reversal wrote: »
    The range of outcomes post 144hrs on each GFS run is staggering. The NH profile is entirely different on every run. It's not usually like that.
    With the lack of a true Scandi High, it's especially difficult to forecast this. I'm not ramping this for after Monday just because of how unusual the synoptics are.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,382 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Next week: Current indications suggest it will turn very cold next week with widespread frost and ice. Falls of sleet and snow are expected, especially in Leinster, with significant accumulations possible. c/o Met Eireann


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 222 ✭✭bosco12345


    Will the North West get much snow from this? :confused :)

    Probably not if being realistic, but theres always a chance.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,580 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Tyrone212 wrote: »
    North Donegal Inishowen, buncrana areas will if its like 2018. The majority of the rest of NW won't see a single flake if its like 2018.

    If this turns out not to be brief, winds will probably go to the north at some stage. You could benefit from frontal snow events too, but if systems get as far as the very north west it could mean the mild air wins out. Ideally We need to see systems stalling then moving back south.


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