Snow Ice Warning for Ireland 29 Jan to 03 Feb 2019 *See Mod Note in OP *

sjb25

When that word is mentioned in the weather forum

ZX7R

Ok what happened over night must have been a downgrade of some sort, even Mt forecast has back tracked quite a bit.

Will someone tell the two kids to grow up, it's like a kindergarten in here

RobbingBandit

Do I need to buy 5 bread or no bread

ZX7R

RobbingBandit wrote: »

Do I need to buy 5 bread or no bread

Buy 2 and one of those half pans, you be covered either way...

JCX BXC

Jaysus there's been alot of drama over the past 12 hours.

Will there be a red warning? No, definitely not, absurdity to think so! Will there be widespread snow? Quite possibly, but I doubt we'll really know until said precipitation actually falls. Models like the HIRLAM, ICON and ECM all suggesting snow makes me much more confidence, you watch the GFS for fun, if those other three hop on board you know there's something amiss!

Little snowy old me

MT's forecast is a downgrade. Very much not in line to what it was yesterday. Yet Met Eireann seem to be sticking to their prediction of widespread snow this week. Unusual to hear Gerry being bullish.

pad199207

Status Yellow - Snow-ice warning for Ireland

Very cold this week with scattered wintry showers, frequent across the southwest, west and north. Some accumulations of snow are expected. There will be widespread frost at night with icy stretches on untreated surfaces.

There is the possibility of a more significant spell of sleet/snow on Thursday.

This warning will be updated at 10am on Tuesday 29th January.

Issued: Monday 28 January 2019 09:00

Updated: Monday 28 January 2019 09:00

Valid from Tuesday 29 January 2019 06:00 to Saturday 02 February 2019 18:00

JCX BXC

Little snowy old me wrote: »

MT's forecast is a downgrade. Very much not in line to what it was yesterday. Yet Met Eireann seem to be sticking to their prediction of widespread snow this week. Unusual to hear Gerry being bullish.

And we reading the same forecast? I see very little difference between the two.

JCX BXC

On a very interesting note, MÉ's hourly forecast is showing sleet and snow at my location on Tuesday/Wednesday/Thursday.

Very interesting indeed.

CrowdedHouse

RobbingBandit wrote: »

Do I need to buy 5 bread or no bread

I still have a few in the freezer from last Tuesday - be grand

Graces7

ZX7R wrote: »

Ok what happened over night must have been a downgrade of some sort, even Mt forecast has back tracked quite a bit.

Will someone tell the two kids to grow up, it's like a kindergarten in here

I thought of offering them swords or pistols

munsterlegend

pad199207 wrote: »

Status Yellow - Snow-ice warning for Ireland

Very cold this week with scattered wintry showers, frequent across the southwest, west and north. Some accumulations of snow are expected. There will be widespread frost at night with icy stretches on untreated surfaces.

There is the possibility of a more significant spell of sleet/snow on Thursday.

This warning will be updated at 10am on Tuesday 29th January.

Issued: Monday 28 January 2019 09:00

Updated: Monday 28 January 2019 09:00

Valid from Tuesday 29 January 2019 06:00 to Saturday 02 February 2019 18:00

Could be an Amber warning for Thursday based on that. Will have a better idea I think after tomorrow where snow may fall.

Graces7

Cold fingers just lost me a whole post... grrr

Massive dark blue clouds swept in low across the Atlantic from the north and deposited a deluge. The path feels slightly crunchy underfoot but nothing visible and the nasty navy clouds have been swept away towards ???Galway??? mountains still covered so cannot yet see if they are whte topped and too ****** cold out there to cloud watch!

The wind came out of nowhere

KingdomRushed

GFS 6Z still showing a 50/50 split for rain and snow on Thursday, mostly rain in east. More snow in west

Kermit.de.frog

Yes, as per the OP, Orange warnings are a possibility or rather a probability this week.

Kermit.de.frog

A red warning is conceivable for Friday. The front on Thursday will wrap back round and winds will go off shore in the east. Disruption is likely there in moderate to heavy snowfall and that could lead to problems...whether it's a red or not is up to the authorities at the time.

Meteorite58

Mod Note: I t pains me to have to state this but the forum charter has to be upheld.

Posters who engage in personal attacks , trolling ,goading and being uncivil will incur infractions.

Stay on Topic.

ronnie3585

Muckka

Graces7 wrote: »

Cold fingers just lost me a whole post... grrr

Massive dark blue clouds swept in low across the Atlantic from the north and deposited a deluge. The path feels slightly crunchy underfoot but nothing visible and the nasty navy clouds have been swept away towards ???Galway??? mountains still covered so cannot yet see if they are whte topped and too ****** cold out there to cloud watch!

The wind came out of nowhere

Still sunny and calm here in Fanore Co Clare, took a walk on the beach.
Beautiful swell, glassy sea and not a surfer in sight.....

dermiek

Well I've tried in the past but can't make head nor tail of any of the charts, but I enjoy reading the experts opinions. It's great to read the input from you all. Keep up the good work. If I'd known that Gaoth and Kermit were going to have a "difference of opinion" then I'd have made a bowl of popcorn before reading it

JCX BXC

dermiek wrote: »

If I'd known that Gaoth and Kermit were going to have a "difference of opinion" then I'd have made a bowl of popcorn before reading it

Wasn't hard to forecast! An optimist and a pessimist will always clash

cyclops999

Met Éireann have issued 5 day weather warning

highdef

The latest GFS does not inspire much confidence. Perhaps the computers are beginning to get a grasp with the regards to the maritime source of the precipitation on Thursday.


The below expected precipitation intensity and type shows a sloppy mess (at best) for low lying areas.


The corresponding expected snow depths are nothing to write home about and these figures are probably optimistic.



As for the ICON, that is another major downgrade and is showing very little lying snow anywhere, apart from some higher ground. In addition, the precip is forecast to only get as north as about Meath.





ECM is looking good for areas south of a line from Galway to Dublin, with large accumulations on high ground/mountains.

Overall, a very messy picture but I think we need upgrades to improve hope of a decent covering for a fair whack the population. I don't hold much up for Dublin/east coast though.

Captain Snow

cyclops999 wrote: »

Met Éireann have issued 5 day weather warning

https://www.met.ie/warnings

Graces7

It is so volatile. Sudden high winds and deluges, then sun and flat calm. A restless unsettled time.

Sun out here now. Cloud banking in now.. The only constant factor is the intense cold

west mayo offshore arctic

daheff

Captain Snow wrote: »

https://www.met.ie/warnings

Yellow snow is something we should all be warned about


........i'll get my coat........its cold out there:pac::pac::pac:

average_runner

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

A red warning is conceivable for Friday. The front on Thursday will wrap back round and winds will go off shore in the east. Disruption is likely there in moderate to heavy snowfall and that could lead to problems...whether it's a red or not is up to the authorities at the time.

For the country or a certain region?

munsterlegend

The Euro4 is great for a lot of snow tomorrow but other models not so good.

Marengo

It's a bit like 1930s Europe on here this morning. Everyone veering to the left or the right and middle ground democracy lost.

Andrew00

It’s not looking good lads.

What a sh*t winter it’s been

vistafinder

la la land

D9Male

Just had a good look at 00z output and 06z GFS, and I fail to see grounds for optimism for anyone below 200m asl on Thursday. In fact, I have been tracking the charts for a few days and it was always odds against that populated areas would see decent accumulated snow later this week.

Zorya

Andrew00 wrote: »

It’s not looking good lads.

What a sh*t winter it’s been

Well, I'm in the NW hills and I am buying in extra spuds :mad: :mad: :mad: So there!!!!

Captain Snow

A Messy Wintery Week. Based on this mornings 06ZZ run.

Meteorite58

Hi Res models AROME and HIRLAM showing widespread wintry showers from early morning crossing the country.

highdef

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Hi Res models AROME and HIRLAM showing widespread wintry showers from early morning crossing the country.

And the latest GFSP is also showing an area of moderate snow moving across the country this coming night, perhaps more like sleet/rain further west. In addition, GFSP is showing more snow over more parts of the country for the event on Thursday (maybe into Friday).

pistolpetes11

vistafinder wrote: »

la la land

MOD NOTE

As the Mother used to say to me "if you have nothing good to say , say nothing at all "

Or in this case if you have nothing constructive to add to the conversation don't post here

RobertKK

The high ground in North Kilkenny gets snow every year including mild winters. We will see lying snow this week.

highdef

RobertKK wrote: »

The high ground in North Kilkenny gets snow every year including mild winters. We will see lying snow this week.

With many of the surrounding hills peaking out at over 300m, the chances are fairy good alright.

Marengo

My home place southe east Laois on KK border peaks at 337m so we almost always get snow like Robert KK.

Elmer Blooker

Andrew00 wrote: »

It’s not looking good lads.

What a sh*t winter it’s been

A vile winter! This cold spell is only a distraction. You can't make a silk purse out of a sow's ear - still no sign of northern blocking and the NAO going negative.
I thought the SSW might have salvaged this winter but it will probably be March and April when we see northern blocking.

Davaeo09

Marengo wrote: »

My home place southe east Laois on KK border peaks at 337m so we almost always get snow like Robert KK.

Im on the other side of the hills, more towards Tullaroan and 100% agree haha

davidsr20

Any updates since guys

jonny_b

Davaeo09 wrote: »

Im on the other side of the hills, more towards Tullaroan and 100% agree haha

Yeah gonna be jealous looking up at the killeshin hills looking at all the white stuff.

piplip87

Time for the thread to go yellow to match the warnings Hopefully we will get upgrades with every run from here on out

200motels

I'd say here in Waterford city we'll get rain as we're too near the coast.

JCX BXC

Lovely hail shower here in Galway. Nothing really sticking mind!

ffarrell7

The North-West delivers cold air but not very cold air like the East/North East wind.


Some areas of the North-west and North should do quite well out of this but I doubt the East will get much. Rarely does from this direction.
An easterly wind would pulverise the East coast as per usual.


Having said that the western suburbs of Dublin or parts of Meath away from the coast may get some lying snow....we will soon see..

Gaoth Laidir

highdef wrote: »

And the latest GFSP is also showing an area of moderate snow moving across the country this coming night, perhaps more like sleet/rain further west. In addition, GFSP is showing more snow over more parts of the country for the event on Thursday (maybe )]

It was also forecasting widespread snow just 6 hours out on Saturday night too and we just got a nice damp night out of it. Still, why let that get in the way of a good ramp!

Captain Snow

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

It was also forecasting widespread snow just 6 hours out on Saturday night too and we just got a nice damp night out of it. Still, why let that get in the way of a good ramp!

It delivered a lot of snow over higher ground, Carlow / Wicklow area.