Snow Ice Warning for Ireland 29 Jan to 03 Feb 2019 See Mod Note in OP

Easterly Beasterly · 27-01-2019 7:50pm

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Mod Note: Where is Met Eireann saying Extremely cold with disruptive snow.

I'm not sure they said disruptive but they did say widespread snow on Thursday after the news at 6

esposito · 27-01-2019 7:54pm

Easterly Beasterly wrote: »

I'm not sure they said disruptive but they did say widespread snow on Thursday after the news at 6

As much as I want to see widespread snow, this is not set in stone and is subject to change. Eastern coastal counties unlikely to see snow at ground level due to the onshore easterly wind (as of now)

Easterly Beasterly · 27-01-2019 7:56pm

esposito wrote: »

As much as I want to see widespread snow, this is not set in stone and is subject to change. Eastern coastal counties unlikely to see snow at ground level due to the onshore easterly wind (as of now)

Ah yeah I hear ya.. I was just passing on what Met E said on their bulletin. It struck me as quite bullish this far out.

munsterlegend · 27-01-2019 7:56pm

Given the models volatility i’m amazed they are going as far as Thursday with any forecasts.

ninebeanrows · 27-01-2019 7:57pm

Fairly significant snowfall away from southern and eastern coastal districts for Thursday on the EC 12z.

Meteorite58 · 27-01-2019 8:04pm

ECM 12Z showing widespread snow for Thurs.

Mortelaro · 27-01-2019 8:06pm

After that on Saturday from the ECM,we have this,should it be right,520 dam and -7 uppers in a northeasterly
Pretty sure anything falling out of the sky in that would be frozen

Muckka · 27-01-2019 8:07pm

It's getting beyond a joke now, the snow or any dusting at all is constantly 4 days away..

Wasn't it supposedly going to throw some Icy moisture our way this evening ?

munsterlegend · 27-01-2019 8:08pm

Easterly Beasterly wrote: »

I'm not sure they said disruptive but they did say widespread snow on Thursday after the news at 6

To be fair in Ireland a cm or 2 is disruptive on the roads.

Meteorite58 · 27-01-2019 8:11pm

Slow moving deep area of LP, 850 hPa Temps just round -4C in general.

munsterlegend · 27-01-2019 8:17pm

Muckka wrote: »

It's getting beyond a joke now, the snow or any dusting at all is constantly 4 days away..

Wasn't it supposedly going to throw some Icy moisture our way this evening ?

Have you been watching the models this winter? It’s usually 7-10 days away.

Santy2015 · 27-01-2019 8:34pm

Meteorite58 wrote: »

ECM 12Z showing widespread snow for Thurs.

Kanturk is getting it &#55357;&#56904;

Meteorite58 · 27-01-2019 8:37pm

ECM 12Z for Tues .

IMO

Weak front passing over the country giving rain, sleet and snow probably getting lighter towards the E, followed by wintry showers and I think a trough might produce more organised snow showers later in the day. Snow in places , mainly elevated ground. Cold day.

Freeze beginning early after dark.

Muckka · 27-01-2019 8:57pm

munsterlegend wrote: »

Have you been watching the models this winter? It’s usually 7-10 days away.

I tried to be neutral with my 4 day's.
I'm hoping for cold choppy conditions to fish for cod from the shore.

Gaoth Laidir · 27-01-2019 9:05pm

The Germans have a term for what we'll get this week: Nasskalt. That horrible wet cold that's of use to no-one. Temperature and dewpoints both in low single figures, cold wet slop.

There is still no signal of anything of any interest at low levels this week. Where is the cold dry boundary level going to come from? Modified Greenland air that will be sitting around here for a few days. Lovely for mountainyman and some higher dwellers, not much for the rest of us. Look beyond the model output for a moment and think of the bigger picture.

Meteorite58 · 27-01-2019 9:05pm

The Low on Thurs coming straight out of Canada. Very low thickness , cold airmas.

Gaoth Laidir · 27-01-2019 9:08pm

Meteorite58 wrote: »

The Low on Thurs coming straight out of Canada. Very low thickness , cold airmas.

The first chart is 500 hPa height, not thickness.

Gaoth Laidir · 27-01-2019 9:22pm

Latest Met Éireann online forecast not mentioning anything about widespread snow or disruption.

Issued at: 27 January 2019 16:11

TONIGHT - SUNDAY 27TH JANUARY
Outbreaks of showery rain will mainly affect the west and southwest of the country this evening and tonight, with good dry and clear periods elsewhere. Lowest temperatures of -1 to +3 degrees with frost and icy stretches forming across many parts of Ulster and Leinster. Light northwest breezes.

TOMORROW - MONDAY 28TH JANUARY
Frosty in many places tomorrow morning. Otherwise the day will be bright with good spells of sunshine but also with scattered showers, mainly across Ulster and Connacht. A cold day with highs of 4 to 8 degrees in fresh westerly winds.

NATIONAL OUTLOOK
HEADLINE: Unsettled and becoming colder with frost and wintry precipitation.

On Monday night scattered showers will become confined to Atlantic coastal counties. However, a spell of rain will affect the west and southwest later and become widespread by morning, turning wintry with the risk of some accumulations on higher ground. Lowest temperatures will be around -1 to +2 degrees with widespread frost. Southwesterly winds will be mostly light to moderate.

Tuesday will be very cold with outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow which will later clear to scattered wintry showers and some sunny spells. Top temperatures will reach just 2 to 6 degrees. Southwesterly winds will veer northwest and freshen.

Tuesday night will be very cold with scattered wintry showers and clear spells. Lowest temperatures will fall to between zero and -3 degrees with a widespread hard frost.

Wednesday will continue cold with scattered wintry showers becoming isolated and mostly dry later with good sunny spells. Top temperatures will be around 3 to 7 degrees and fresh west to northwest winds will ease.

Wednesday night will be dry with good clear spells at first and it will turn very cold with lowest temperatures falling to -1 to -5 degrees with a severe frost. However, cloud will increase from the southwest with a spell of persistent rain affecting the west and southwest by dawn.

On Thursday a spell of rain, sleet and snow will gradually clear northward to scattered wintry showers. Staying rather cold with afternoon temperatures of just 1 to 7 degrees in freshening easterly winds.

munsterlegend · 27-01-2019 9:26pm

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Latest Met Éireann online forecast not mentioning anything about widespread snow or disruption.

That was there at 9am this morning so may be a bit out of date for the updated model view on Thursday which looks like the possible snow date.

Btw Siobhan Ryan said on forecast after 6pm news widespread snow on Thursday if you want to have a look.

pistolpetes11 · 27-01-2019 9:27pm

Arrr do the eyes deceive me 😂😂😂😂

There won’t be a loaf left on the shelves , what ever happens this week and personally I think it maybe a watered down mix , enjoy it where ever the white gold falls !

Easterly Beasterly · 27-01-2019 9:31pm

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Latest Met Éireann online forecast not mentioning anything about widespread snow or disruption.

I just rewatched the weather after 6pm news with Siobhan Ryan. She did say Rain, Sleet and Snow. She said there could be a dusting anywhere on Tuesday and snow could be become more of a problem and more widespread later in the week.

I'm not expecting much here but it did strike me as a pretty snowy forecast!

JanuarySnowstor · 27-01-2019 9:33pm

For Cork fans here goes:
Tuesday early rain clearing but turning to snow over hills before it does. Then showers packing in from early afternoon with lying snow likely by nightfall over high ground. As most of Cork is hilly a lot will see snow.
Wednesday further snow showers early on then becoming dry after noon. Severe frost at nightfall with temps falling below minus 5
Thursday depends on whether the wind can stay off shore. Further inland towards limerick / tipperary heavy disruptive snow.
Expect warnings to be issued either tonight or in morning.
As for the dubs.....best chance Thurs

Snowbiee21 · 27-01-2019 9:36pm

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

For Cork fans here goes:
Tuesday early rain clearing but turning to snow over hills before it does. Then showers packing in from early afternoon with lying snow likely by nightfall over high ground. As most of Cork is hilly a lot will see snow.
Wednesday further snow showers early on then becoming dry after noon. Severe frost at nightfall with temps falling below minus 5
Thursday depends on whether the wind can stay off shore. Further inland towards limerick / tipperary heavy disruptive snow.
Expect warnings to be issued either tonight or in morning.
As for the dubs.....best chance Thurs

Up the dubs

ninebeanrows · 27-01-2019 9:40pm

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

The Germans have a term for what we'll get this week: Nasskalt. That horrible wet cold that's of use to no-one. Temperature and dewpoints both in low single figures, cold wet slop.

There is still no signal of anything of any interest at low levels this week. Where is the cold dry boundary level going to come from? Modified Greenland air that will be sitting around here for a few days. Lovely for mountainyman and some higher dwellers, not much for the rest of us. Look beyond the model output for a moment and think of the bigger picture.

A little overly negative perhaps! Maybe this will be the case for certain coastal parts of the south and east but there is the chance of some decent snowfall for parts.

It isn't going to match Emma but beggars can't be choosers.

Rare enough you see Ireland pinpointed potential anomalous snow at Day 4

aisling86 · 27-01-2019 9:47pm

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

For Cork fans here goes:
Tuesday early rain clearing but turning to snow over hills before it does. Then showers packing in from early afternoon with lying snow likely by nightfall over high ground. As most of Cork is hilly a lot will see snow.
Wednesday further snow showers early on then becoming dry after noon. Severe frost at nightfall with temps falling below minus 5
Thursday depends on whether the wind can stay off shore. Further inland towards limerick / tipperary heavy disruptive snow.
Expect warnings to be issued either tonight or in morning.
As for the dubs.....best chance Thurs

Think I'll take out the kids sledge! Hopefully we will see a bit in Macroom if not were not far from the top of millstreet country park where it's usually beautiful powder snow.

munsterlegend · 27-01-2019 9:50pm

aisling86 wrote: »

Think I'll take out the kids sledge! Hopefully we will see a bit in Macroom if not were not far from the top of millstreet country park where it's usually beautiful powder snow.

I am near Mallow so hoping for something similar!!

Meteorite58 · 27-01-2019 10:05pm

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

The first chart is 500 hPa height, not thickness.

Was reading the dam values and from the Fax chart.

Andrew00 · 27-01-2019 10:21pm

Wow exciting forecast from Siobhan there after the 9bells news

pauldry · 27-01-2019 10:23pm

Therel definitely be heavy snow in many locations this week. Tuesday or Thursday. Pigmuck other days.

Was 0c in Collooney on way home. But was raining. Unfortunately my dew point temp reader got smashed by storm anonymous last night so id say they are still positive but snow will be here this week.

Ulster will do well. Other locations dustings. Thursday South has potential

Snowbiee21 · 27-01-2019 10:24pm

Andrew00 wrote: »

Wow exciting forecast from Siobhan there after the 9bells news

“Where all gonna die”

Marengo · 27-01-2019 10:25pm

Very like the January 8th to January 12th 1991 cold spell. Snow to many, sleet to some.

Gaoth Laidir · 27-01-2019 10:25pm

Easterly Beasterly wrote: »

I just rewatched the weather after 6pm news with Siobhan Ryan. She did say Rain, Sleet and Snow. She said there could be a dusting anywhere on Tuesday and snow could be become more of a problem and more widespread later in the week.

I'm not expecting much here but it did strike me as a pretty snowy forecast!

Just watched her after the 9 news and she said Thursday possibly more widespread sleet and snow. So snow at higher levels.

Gaoth Laidir · 27-01-2019 10:37pm

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Was reading the dam values and from the Fax chart.

Apologies for that.

An Ri rua · 27-01-2019 10:43pm

Andrew00 wrote: »

Wow exciting forecast from Siobhan there after the 9bells news

I find every forecast from Siobhan exciting.
But I hear you.

Santy2015 · 27-01-2019 10:48pm

An Ri rua wrote: »

I find every forecast from Siobhan exciting.
But I hear you.

Siobhan is good

Kamili · 27-01-2019 10:49pm

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

“Where all gonna die”

Of boredom?

That's not against Siobhan, it's just against the limboesque weather.

Didn't see the report though.

Mortelaro · 27-01-2019 10:51pm

Marengo wrote: »

Very like the January 8th to January 12th 1991 cold spell. Snow to many, sleet to some.

Does that analogue mean we're getting an early Feb 91 equivalent around the end of Feb start of march :pac:

sryanbruen · 27-01-2019 10:51pm

Kamili wrote: »

Of boredom?

That's not against Siobhan, it's just against the limboesque weather.

Didn't see the report though.

No, Andrew00 said "were all gonna die" earlier and that's what Snowbiee21 was having a mick at.

Snow Garden · 27-01-2019 10:55pm

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Just watched her after the 9 news and she said Thursday possibly more widespread sleet and snow. So snow at higher levels.

These are the weeks we long for. All we need is hope!
Failing that at least we know the mountain will be full of white gold by next weekend.

JanuarySnowstor · 27-01-2019 11:06pm

I'll keep it simple.
If the 18z gfs is right we are looking at a nationwide red alert come Thursday

munsterlegend · 27-01-2019 11:08pm

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

I'll keep it simple.
If the 18z gfs is right we are looking at a nationwide red alert come Thursday

The pub run JS!!

derekon · 27-01-2019 11:13pm

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

I'll keep it simple.
If the 18z gfs is right we are looking at a nationwide red alert come Thursday

LOL, such drama! Cold rain folks, would be very surprised if it's anything else, snow from the West is always marginal at best, Midlands might do well. But a Nationwide red alert? Come on, let's get real!!!!

D

Snowbiee21 · 27-01-2019 11:14pm

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

I'll keep it simple.
If the 18z gfs is right we are looking at a nationwide red alert come Thursday

Ah here your gonna send me in to a cardiac arrest

typhoony · 27-01-2019 11:18pm

derekon wrote: »

LOL, such drama! Cold rain folks, would be very surprised if it's anything else, snow from the West is always marginal at best, Midlands might do well. But a Nationwide red alert? Come on, let's get real!!!!

D[/QUOTE

Correct, any type of on-shore winds keeps it sleety in the West, at least until Thursday when the winds swing into the SE Direction

TECH85 · 27-01-2019 11:19pm

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

I'll keep it simple.
If the 18z gfs is right we are looking at a nationwide red alert come Thursday

Can u show us the chart please

derekon · 27-01-2019 11:21pm

typhoony wrote: »

derekon wrote: »

LOL, such drama! Cold rain folks, would be very surprised if it's anything else, snow from the West is always marginal at best, Midlands might do well. But a Nationwide red alert? Come on, let's get real!!!!

D[/QUOTE

Correct, any type of on-shore winds keeps it sleety in the West, at least until Thursday when the winds swing into the SE Direction

So the SE winds would turn it to snow?

JS, I've no problem being corrected if we all end up getting a dumping of snow!!!!

D

United road · 27-01-2019 11:22pm

Cant read charts, but amazed how those on here who can, read them so differently and call things so differently, one mentions rain, one mentions countrywide status red alerts!!

Think i will stick to tried and tested, wait for a start up Kermit Thread, let Sryan weigh in and back it up, then await sign off from GL, normally when those things align we get what we want!
Well i do anyway

munsterlegend · 27-01-2019 11:25pm

Psychicmedium wrote: »

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Will there be a red alert Thursday? Or even snow on lower levels??

leinad · 27-01-2019 11:25pm

Psychicmedium wrote: »

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Well is it going to snow this week?

Oscar Bravo · 27-01-2019 11:25pm

Psychicmedium wrote: »

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Will the GFS be correct on Thursday ? :pac:

Snow Ice Warning for Ireland 29 Jan to 03 Feb 2019 *See Mod Note in OP *

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Snow Ice Warning for Ireland 29 Jan to 03 Feb 2019 See Mod Note in OP