League of Ireland Betting 2017

Bateman

I like the Dundalk and Cork bets – I can see them both hacking up this week. The Bray game will not be straightforward, Corcoran will make a difference for us and will have come on for the minutes last week, bad and all as we were. I have a nagging suspicion that Bray are not anywhere near as good as they look on paper. A fully fit Rovers side will, easily, easily finish above them and will be above them by the time the second series of games is complete.

MD1990

Bohs vs Limerick - Bohs Asian Handicap +0.25 1.87

Think this is great value. Limerick are in very poor form scoring few goals & they lost the reverse fixture 1-0. They have not won in 7 games in all comps.

Bohs have got Corcoran back scoring 2 against Bray. He linked up very well with Ward vs Bray.
Pender was also superb against Bray & he is in good form to handle Ogbene.

Drogheda vs Bray - Bray win 1.75

Drogheda are in terrible form. Winning 2 in 13 & getting hammered at Cork. They did draw there last 2 home games but both were against Bottom 6 sides.
Bray have beaten both Derry & Dundalk away from home this season which suit them with there pace.
Gary McCabe will be back from suspension as well.

ShamoBuc

City-1, rovers, dundalk, Bray just short of 10/1

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

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Cork City -v- Drogheda Friday 7.45pm
Cork -2 AH (GENERAL) @ 1.90 MEDIUM STAKE

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Galway -v- Finn Harps Friday 7.45pm
Galway win (GENERAL) @ 5/6 SMALL STAKE

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Bray Wanderers -v- Bohemians Friday 7.45pm
Bray -0.75 AH (GENERAL) @ 1.90 SMALL STAKE

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2 from 3!
:cool:

ShamoBuc

Pp have a loi extratime.ie enhancement of Pats, Bray, dundalk 7/1 That's about double the odds, can't link it but...football....tournaments...airtricity prem lge.....specials.
Never seen it before, but at those odds, get on!

Gavin "shels"

They've linked up recently afaik, good odds tbh.

eh i dunno

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Pp have a loi extratime.ie enhancement of Pats, Bray, dundalk 7/1 That's about double the odds, can't link it but...football....tournaments...airtricity prem lge.....specials.
Never seen it before, but at those odds, get on!

Gone at the first hurdle I'd guess

ShamoBuc

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Pp have a loi extratime.ie enhancement of Pats, Bray, dundalk 7/1 That's about double the odds, can't link it but...football....tournaments...airtricity prem lge.....specials.
Never seen it before, but at those odds, get on!

3 goals in 6 home games, they score 3 in the first half tonight, Typical!

Level 5 Vegan

They post it on the site each week (although they seem to have actually forgotten to link it in the post this week) http://www.extratime.ie/articles/18989/stephen-walshs-betting-column---week-15/

It's an enhanced treble each week but is generally a fairly horrible prediction, as is unfolding again this evening, the first time I actually partook and stuck a tenner down

ShamoBuc

ShamoBuc wrote: »

City-1, rovers, dundalk, Bray just short of 10/1

Rovers win but city only win 2-1 having been behind at HT, Maguire slipping when he missed his pen.

awhir

Any recommendations on tonight?

ShamoBuc

awhir wrote: »

Any recommendations on tonight?

Bray and Dundalk the obvious win double.

On the ht double and -1 double as well.

Bohs game is hard to gauge but I'm on over 2.5 and smaller on Bohs win btts 5/1

Edit no goals in either Bray or dundalk games, that would have been a very big odds double, overs comes in for bohs game.

Bateman

MD1990 wrote: »

Bohs vs Limerick - Bohs Asian Handicap +0.25 1.87

Think this is great value. Limerick are in very poor form scoring few goals & they lost the reverse fixture 1-0. They have not won in 7 games in all comps.

Bohs have got Corcoran back scoring 2 against Bray. He linked up very well with Ward vs Bray.
Pender was also superb against Bray & he is in good form to handle Ogbene.

Drogheda vs Bray - Bray win 1.75

Drogheda are in terrible form. Winning 2 in 13 & getting hammered at Cork. They did draw there last 2 home games but both were against Bottom 6 sides.
Bray have beaten both Derry & Dundalk away from home this season which suit them with there pace.
Gary McCabe will be back from suspension as well.

Pender injured shortly before kick off, might have been the difference between us getting a point and nothing

Gavin "shels"

***LEAGUE OF IRELAND BETS***
3 bets last weekend with it being Medium and Small wins, and a Small loss. Myself, Aidan, Graeme and Alan have discussed and are happy with the below bets! Three Small bets.

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Finn Harps -v- Limerick Friday 8.00pm
Bottom side Harps away was usually a tough place to go but not in recent times. They have lost 4 of their last 5 home league games. Crowds have gotten smaller in Ballybofey which helps away sides.
Limerick come into this game on the bounce of an away win in Dalymount park against Bohemians. New manager Neil McDonald was in charge for that game and I expect Limerick to go on a little run now that the managerial issue for them is sorted.
Limerick have a fully fit squad for this one and have already picked up a number of away wins. We fancy them to pick up the points here in a hard fought win.
First game between the sides finished 1-1 inn Limerick but Limerick are much improved since then. here is a lot of talent in their squad with the likes of Lee Lynch, Robbie Williams, Sean Kelly, Ogbene and Tosi who are all fine players.
As always Horgan has played up his sides injury worries but it would be no surprise to see some of these in the starting side. ''Ciaran O’Connor and Kilian Cantwell are back from suspension, Horgan says that both Paddy McCourt and Barry Molloy are extremely doubtful for the Limerick game while Gareth Harkin and Caolan McAleer weren’t fit to train on Wednesday night. Meanwhile, B.J. Banda and Eddie Dsane remain longer term absentees.
“Kilian Cantwell and Ciaran O’Connor are available after suspension. We still have injury problems again and with the quick turnaround from Monday night, Gareth Harkin is in bother with a hip problem and Caolan McAleer is still troubled by that foot injury and shouldn’t really have played against Pat’s. Gareth and Caolan weren’t able to train on Wednesday. On top of that, Paddy McCourt and Barry Molloy are both extremely doubtful with hamstring and groin injuries. ''

Limerick -0.25 AH (GENERAL) @ 1.90 SMALL STAKE

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Athlone -v- UCD Friday 7.45pm
Athlone have been well documented over the last number of weeks due to irregularities in betting in a number of their games. The inquisition however, in our opinion has not stopped them in their alleged spot fixing in game. Just last week a dubious penalty and yet another late late goal (95th min).
With that said, their home record is ok with 10 of their 13 points coming from Home where they average over a goal a game. (1.3) in the "leaky" defence they have shipped 30 goals in 13 games. Almost clipping conceding 2.5 goals per game.
For UCD this is a must must must win game with Waterford and Cobh playing each other the night after. A chance to close the gap on both of them ahead of the game Saturday.
Goals have been seemingly no issue for UCD this season with 19 (leagues 2nd highest) and averaging close to team 1.5 goals per game.
Our prediction would be that UCD will win this game comfortably, maybe netting 3 times, but we also feel Athlones home form may draw a goal from them also.

Over 2.5 Goals (GENERAL) @ 4/5 SMALL STAKE

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Shelbourne -v- Cabinteely Friday 7.45pm
Short write up here. 5th -v- 4th in Tolka Park, with both teams out of form. Having seen Shels gutless performance against Wexford last Friday, I can't see Shels beating Cabinteely. Shels have struggled up front this season.
Cabinteely started the season well, they managed to build an OK team this and have caused teams bother this season. Shels struggled on the opening game to Cabinteely in a game Shels won with a very late James English goal.
Shels James English and Alan Byrne return from suspension this week, however Derek Prendergast misses out having collected five yellow cards. Dylan Kavanagh and and Jackson Ryan are both injured, while Aidan Collins and Jamie Quinn are rated as doubtful.

Cabinteely Double Chance (GENERAL) @ 5/6 SMALL STAKE

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ShamoBuc

Looking at the extratime.ie pp special.

City, Limerick, ucd 6/1

I expect city to beat rovers, I will be taking city -1 and city win btts separately.
Limerick beat bohs away and Harps had a bit of a shock home win the last day, this will be the dodgiest one I think.
UCD should also win as it's Athlone.

I liked last weeks special and it went awful, but I'm still going to throw 20 on it this week.

Richmond Ultra

I've a fiver on it. It should be okay. Limerick will be the dodgy one but they should be beating Harps if all the talk of Europe and league titles will amount to anything.

The other two ones look very safe.

ShamoBuc

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Looking at the extratime.ie pp special.

City, Limerick, ucd 6/1

I expect city to beat rovers, I will be taking city -1 and city win btts separately.
Limerick beat bohs away and Harps had a bit of a shock home win the last day, this will be the dodgiest one I think.
UCD should also win as it's Athlone.

I liked last weeks special and it went awful, but I'm still going to throw 20 on it this week.

Limerick did indeed prove to be the dodgy one, but it was value at 6/1

City -1 and city win btts comes in nicely, 4-1

gseanmart

Sham Rovers to beat Bray tonight at home? 11/10 with PP

Division

Dundalk v Cork is an interesting matchup. I'm still refining but so far this is where I'm at.

What are you thinking on this one? Any insights?

ShamoBuc

This is a very hard game to call. Considering our form, city dnb looks good. City are normally tight away from home and are well capable of getting a result, They will not want to lose, now more than ever, keeping the momentum going into the break will be a huge factor.
I think it will be a tough uncompromising game and I will be taking a red in the game, draw at HT (11/10) as well as city dnb (11/10)

Division

Sligo Rovers v Finn Harps

Both Teams To Score (Yes) - Percentage Chance

Paddy Power: 60% - Odds 1.67

William Hill: 52.35% - Odds 1.91

My betting model before adjustments for recent news: 63.54% - Odds 1.58

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Which of us are closest to what you think the real percentage is?

crustyjuggler

Keep in mind that Morrissey is suspended for Harps though .

Division

Very difficult to find a good resource for the league that will give news more than a day before the game. You are just aware he got a red card or you have a good news source?

The red card is obvious but an accumulation of yellows is easy to miss and injury news is very difficult to get.

ShamoBuc

Division wrote: »

Very difficult to find a good resource for the league that will give news more than a day before the game. You are just aware he got a red card or you have a good news source?

The red card is obvious but an accumulation of yellows is easy to miss and injury news is very difficult to get.

He was sent off in their last match, straight red, easier to keep up when you actually follow the league and the loi football threads on here and elsewhere.

Gavin "shels"

On Dundalk/Cork - it's live on RTE which generally means a dull game... well at least very game shown normally is.

inforfun

I guess Cork is due a win as i think they are a bit stronger than last season where Dundalk went backwards a bit
But they have a **** plastic pitch in Dundalk which helped them to a great home form over the last few seasons.

And all that wisdom is open to be shut down by someone actually watching the LOI. I will not be mad. I promise

joeysoap

inforfun wrote: »

I guess Cork is due a win as i think they are a bit stronger than last season where Dundalk went backwards a bit
But they have a **** plastic pitch in Dundalk which helped them to a great home form over the last few seasons.

And all that wisdom is open to be shut down by someone actually watching the LOI. I will not be mad. I promise

Wow! We got to June before mention of the 'new' plastic pitch. And to be fair to Cork City, JC didn't mention it until he was asked about it.

Derry will be all weather next year and Dalymount when it's developed in the future

The last pitch was Sh*te, this pitch looks good and I haven't heard one 'away' manager mention it post match.

Fwiw Dundalk beat Maccabi, and drew with AZ and Legia on grass pitches, saying that, the are not as strong this year and City have definately improved. Clean sheet in the last 4 league matches, but that might be due to the opposition.

inforfun

I find all plastic pitches ****e, not just Dundalks. It wasnt an attack on Dundalks pitch

It is easy to prove that "plastic" clubs have an unfair advantage at home. That is why i mentioned it that they have a plastic pitch.

You play football on grass. Only exception i am willing to make is for Tromso because they are north of the pole circle.

joeysoap

inforfun wrote: »

I find all plastic pitches ****e, not just Dundalks. It wasnt an attack on Dundalks pitch

It is easy to prove that "plastic" clubs have an unfair advantage at home. That is why i mentioned it that they have a plastic pitch.

2016 (1st) - 38 home points, 39 away points (1 match more)

2015 (1st) - 40 home points (1 match more) - 38 away points

2014 (1st) - 40 home points ( 1 match less) - 34 away points

2013 (2nd) - 33 home points (1 match more) - 35 away points

And

2012 (11th and last) 11 home points - 9 away points (even no. of home/away)

If you'r good (or bad) plastic or grass doesn't make that much difference. Fwiw Dundalk say they may change to grass in the future but didn't have enough time for a grass pitch to bed in this year.

Gavin "shels"

***LEAGUE OF IRELAND BETS***
3 bets last weekend with just one winning Myself, Aidan, Graeme and Alan have discussed and are happy with the below large bet! Tough set of fixtures so keeping it to a minimal. We were weighing up Bohs (but potential injuries) could be worth a bet depending on teams, Aidan will be at the game so potential inplay bet. Both Teams to Score in the Dublin Derby between Rovers/Pats was also mentioned.

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Cobh -v- Wexford Friday 7.45pm
3rd placed Cobh host last placed Wexford. Wexford come into the back of this on a 5-0 loss away to Longford. While Cobh on the back of a 0-0 draw with League leaders Waterford and previously a 1-0 win over 2nd placed UCD.
Cobh have been solid at home this season with 4 wins and 3 draws - managing 4 clean sheets. Cobh are always a tough team to break down in St.Colmans Park, even against the best.
Wexfords away form this season reads one draw (first away game of the season) with the last 6 aways being losses with them also failing to score in all 6 while conceding 14.
Wexford only had 4 players on the bench against Longford last week. Of their starting 11 last week, 2 of these our missing due to suspension and 1 to injury. Wexford are having to call up a few U19 players in their place. This will be a depleted Wexford team!

Cobh -0.75 AH (GENERAL) @ 1.70 LARGE STAKE

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inforfun

joeysoap wrote: »

2016 (1st) - 38 home points, 39 away points (1 match more)

2015 (1st) - 40 home points (1 match more) - 38 away points

2014 (1st) - 40 home points ( 1 match less) - 34 away points

2013 (2nd) - 33 home points (1 match more) - 35 away points

And

2012 (11th and last) 11 home points - 9 away points (even no. of home/away)

If you'r good (or bad) plastic or grass doesn't make that much difference. Fwiw Dundalk say they may change to grass in the future but didn't have enough time for a grass pitch to bed in this year.

Dundalk dominated the league and more than likely would have done so on grass, gravel or asphalt as well. They were by far the best team.

Where it does get iffy is for example a club like Heracles in Holland whose history in the eredivisie looks like this
https://gyazo.com/fa5f57b21f8ced19e4118770c15fc6a4
5 years eredivisie in 50 years prior to switching to a plastic pitch in 2003. Immediately better results in the 1st division, promotion and bar 1 season, never in real trouble for relegation.

ShamoBuc

Pp have their extratime.ie of Bohs, Rovers Cobh at 4/1 about a point higher than bet365
Like the last 2 weeks, looks good on paper but I would like to think this has a very real chance of winning. Bohs are a bit hot and cold but at home to drogs you would have to fancy them, saw drogs v city and they were absolutely Awful! Rovers at home are always hard to beat and Pats are bottom for a reason. Cobh are in good form and Wexford are bottom for a reason.

I am putting 50 on it as I do think it has a very good chance.

For interest in the big game on network 2
City dnb 11/10
McMillan anytime 6/4

Guffy

Dundalk, derry, rovers 13/2 on betway if anyone is interested

Trimm Trabb

My bets for tonight are combinations of the following:

Cobh -1 (got at 6/4 but value gone now)
Shamrock Rovers win 8/13
Sligo v Finn Harps BTTS 8/11
Under 2.5 Athlone v Waterford 11/10
Under 2.5 Derry v Galway 5/6
2 or 3 goals in Dundalk v Cork 10/11

Cobh and Sligo-Harps BTTS my main interests. Cobh to win both halves 10/3 also - Wexford have been very very poor this year.

ShamoBuc

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Pp have their extratime.ie of Bohs, Rovers Cobh at 4/1 about a point higher than bet365
Like the last 2 weeks, looks good on paper but I would like to think this has a very real chance of winning. Bohs are a bit hot and cold but at home to drogs you would have to fancy them, saw drogs v city and they were absolutely Awful! Rovers at home are always hard to beat and Pats are bottom for a reason. Cobh are in good form and Wexford are bottom for a reason.

I am putting 50 on it as I do think it has a very good chance.

For interest in the big game on network 2
City dnb 11/10
McMillan anytime 6/4

Cobh barely scramble a win. Bohs draw and rovers are drawing with 10 men currently , is there someone up there who doesn't like these trebles? All 3 sides put in below par performances.

City win...rather easily, so it's not all bad.

Trimm Trabb

Trimm Trabb wrote: »

My bets for tonight are combinations of the following:

Cobh -1 (got at 6/4 but value gone now)
Shamrock Rovers win 8/13
Sligo v Finn Harps BTTS 8/11
Under 2.5 Athlone v Waterford 11/10
Under 2.5 Derry v Galway 5/6
2 or 3 goals in Dundalk v Cork 10/11

Cobh and Sligo-Harps BTTS my main interests. Cobh to win both halves 10/3 also - Wexford have been very very poor this year.

1/6 - my head will remain hung in shame for the rest of the evening.

Bateman

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Cobh barely scramble a win. Bohs draw and rovers are drawing with 10 men currently , is there someone up there who doesn't like these trebles? All 3 sides put in below par performances.

City win...rather easily, so it's not all bad.

Bohs have been moedrate at home and much better away for a couple of years now, absolutely no urgency in the home games but often overpriced on the road, very frustrating

Gavin "shels"

Gavin shels wrote: »

Cobh -0.75 AH (GENERAL) @ 1.70 LARGE STAKE

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Was a half win!

Bateman

Derry look the bet of the year this weekend

ShamoBuc

Bateman wrote: »

Derry look the bet of the year this weekend

Not sure about that.
Bray have lost 2 of 8 at home.
Derry have won 2 of 8 away scoring 7 goals in those 8 games.

I'll be on over 2.5 and maybe take a chance on over 3.5
Also over 1.5 fhg in Finn Harps game 9/4

Gavin "shels"

***LEAGUE OF IRELAND BETS***
Summer break is over! We closed off the first half of the season off with a half win on a Large Stake. Myself, Aidan, Graeme and Alan have discussed and are happy with the below 3 bets! We were weighing up Cork -1.5 (but potential injuries and players out) could be worth a bet depending on teams.

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UCD -v- Shelbourne Friday 7.45pm
3rd place play 6th in Belfield on Friday evening, with 12 points and 18 goals separating them. Last time the two met in Belfield, Shels were utterly humiliated after being 4-0 down with 29 minutes of the game. Since then, Shels have also managed to be mauled by relatively new side Cabinteely 4-1 in Tolka Park which is one of the low points in the clubs 122 year history.
UCD come into this just 4 points off top spot, while Shelbourne have managed just 4 points in their last 8 League games, of which they've failed to score in 5 of the 8 games.
Shelbourne look like being down to the bare minimum player-wise, with both James O’Brien and Dave O’Leary suspended, Aidan Collins and Chris Lyons missing out through injury, Mikey Murphy (exams) and Alan Byrne (away) unavailable and Jack Tuite and Mark Hughes doubtful, both having tonsillitis during the week.

UCD Win (GENERAL) @ 10/11 MEDIUM STAKE

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Waterford -v- Cabinteely Friday 7.45pm
Waterford are top of 3 teams who remain in with a chance of promotion from the first division this season. They finally kicked into top gear in the previous game with a 6-1 demolition of Athlone Town in a game where double figures would not of flattered the score line.
Cabinteely have been a tough side this season but with 3 players suspended including goalkeeper they may find the task of coming to Waterford a daunting one with the Blues picking up 19/21 pts at home this season.
The previous game in the RSC between both sides ended in a 3-0 win for Waterford and we expect something similar if Waterford have the same shooting boots on as last time out.

Waterford -1 AH (GENERAL) @ 1.80 SMALL STAKE

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Longford -v- Cobh Saturday 7.30pm
5th host 2nd on Saturday evening, with Cobh coming into this on the back of 3 wins and 1 draw of which all 4 were clean sheets. Longford have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, their 5 goals came against bottom side Wexford - a game which was "new manager syndrome" for caretaker manager Gary Cronin.
Last time out, Longford failed to score against a Shelbourne side who played the 2nd half with just 9 men - a game which finished 0-0.
Cobh are normally a solid team at home but realistically they shouldn't be losing to an out of form Longford team away.
Longford were struggling with injuries before the break, no team news of yet but they could be without a few again.

Cobh Draw No Bet (Boyles) @ 23/20 SMALL STAKE

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Trimm Trabb

The extratime.ie special this week is Cork, UCD and Bray-Derry BTTS at 11/2.

Guffy

Trimm Trabb wrote: »

The extratime.ie special this week is Cork, UCD and Bray-Derry BTTS at 11/2.

??? Where?

Pp enhanced... ok

ShamoBuc

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Not sure about that.
Bray have lost 2 of 8 at home.
Derry have won 2 of 8 away scoring 7 goals in those 8 games.

I'll be on over 2.5 and maybe take a chance on over 3.5
Also over 1.5 fhg in Finn Harps game 9/4

Bray win 3-2 happy with that, only 1 fhg in rovers game, forgot to mention it but my favorite bet of the season when city are at home came in again, -1 second half handicap

Gavin "shels"

Don't remember the last time I've witnessed Shels come from behind to win, a game of two halves. Medium lost but Waterford Small won. Cobh up later still.

Shanotheslayer

Gavin shels wrote: »

Don't remember the last time I've witnessed Shels come from behind to win, a game of two halves. Medium lost but Waterford Small won. Cobh up later still.

Was so upset by this myself.

I saw UCD 1-0 up at HT and was watching the RBall.

UCD had 5 corners to Shels 1. I took Shels RT7 as they seemed to start quick 2nd half. 23/1.

Pulled it back to 5-5 corners, but then UCD got two. Couldn't believe it.

Division

How do you think Cork will approach the game against Derry with the Europa League game on next week?

ShamoBuc

Division wrote: »

How do you think Cork will approach the game against Derry with the Europa League game on next week?

Full steam ahead I think. Don't think players will be rested, they had their 2 weeks off already.
City have a fairly decent record in Derry, although the match is not actually in the brandywell.

City and over 2.5 8/5
City win btts 13/5 take my fancy


Loi accum
City, Dundalk, Rovers, Bray dnb, over 2.5 in bohs game nearly 9/1

Division

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Loi accum
City, Dundalk, Rovers, Bray dnb, over 2.5 in bohs game nearly 9/1

I like this accum. Will swap in BTTS instead of over 2.5 goals as 1-1 is quite likely I think.

ShamoBuc

4 of the 5 games last Friday were over 2.5

10 on the overs at 22/1 on pp for added interest.

Also taking city and rovers double at 13/10