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FI Charts (T120+ onwards) Autumn/Winter 2016/2017 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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    #362
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    Gfs 06z falling into line with ECM 0z and ensembles. The usual caveats apply of course. Amazing run though all the same :)

    222-7UK.GIF?10-6
    240-779UK.GIF?10-6


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    #363
    Captain Snow
    Registered Users Posts: 602 ✭✭✭Captain Snow


    Possible B-EAST developing.......:D To early to tell as we don"t know how this cold spell of weather will really pan out.

    qx4avn.png


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    #364
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    Latest ECM currently rolling out and still looking good for an Easterly to develop next week.


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    #365
    dexter647
    Registered Users Posts: 1,218 ✭✭✭dexter647


    mickger844posts wrote: »
    Latest ECM currently rolling out and still looking good for an Easterly to develop next week.

    Looking really good indeed but that ecm has lead us down the garden path many a time before.....Not getting excited yet...Once bitten twice shy and all that larksmile.png


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    #366
    snowstorm445
    Registered Users Posts: 932 ✭✭✭snowstorm445


    FI I know but Chrisht on a bike that's a mighty chart.

    https://nwf.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/uploads/monthly_2017_01/ECH1-192.GIF.png.e2fa74335f54daf68d238fce9b879ad6.png


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    #367
    space2ground1
    Registered Users Posts: 532 ✭✭✭space2ground1


    mickger844posts wrote: »
    Latest ECM currently rolling out and still looking good for an Easterly to develop next week.

    Forgive my ignorance but the ECM is showing the lines of pressure 7 days out to be lower than the pressure around Ireland. Would that suggest cold air but little or no cloud/precip given the relative high pressure surrounding us?


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    #368
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,724 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    ECM0-192.GIF?10-0

    Snow for all.

    Surely it's too good to be true, but nice to look at all the same


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    #369
    ArKl0w
    Closed Accounts Posts: 787 ✭✭✭ArKl0w


    rickdangerouss wrote: »
    The Easterly\Extended cold snap looks to have moved back west, could change again. Would think some chances of something, just not as strong.

    Moved east you mean
    It might be back later;)


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    #370
    highdef
    Registered Users Posts: 6,207 ✭✭✭highdef


    ArKl0w wrote: »
    Moved east you mean
    It might be back later;)

    Latest GFS shows that the cold that had been looking like moving back east is showing as moving west again towards us, in the latest runs.


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    #371
    Call me Al
    Registered Users Posts: 3,022 ✭✭✭Call me Al


    highdef wrote: »
    Latest GFS shows that the cold that had been looking like moving back east is showing as moving west again towards us, in the latest runs.

    Oh for God's sake!! On off on off on off.. Which is it!


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    #372
    MJohnston
    Registered Users Posts: 10,585 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    Call me Al wrote: »
    Oh for God's sake!! On off on off on off.. Which is it!

    It's both and neither, in varying degrees of probability until nearer to the time!


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    #373
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,746 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    Joe Bastardi is rather confident.

    https://twitter.com/bigjoebastardi/status/819155482283823105

    He thinks it will be like 2013.
    That was very cold but frosty, the countryside was burnt by frost, maybe we get snow this time which would be better.


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    #374
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,164 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    RobertKK wrote: »
    Joe Bastardi is rather confident.

    https://twitter.com/bigjoebastardi/status/819155482283823105

    He thinks it will be like 2013.
    That was very cold but frosty, the countryside was burnt by frost, maybe we get snow this time which would be better.

    He will eventually get lucky and get it right. Prone to hypebole and attention seeking


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    #375
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,724 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    gensnh-4-1-264.png

    Another interesting fi chart. Possible height rises in Greenland due to the pv moving east.
    There is certainly no sign of raging zonality at the moment from any of the models, but after Friday we will be on the mild side for several days, while England experiences a cool and dry continental feed.
    I think it's still very much game on for a more sustained colder outbreak


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    #376
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    The EC 12 Op is cheeky!!

    Would be probably colder than the coldest 0z EC Ensemble! Who would be a Forecaster

    ECM1-168.GIF


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    #377
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    Beast from the East is back ON. Another super ECM 12z run rolling out now. Charts to follow


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    #378
    ArKl0w
    Closed Accounts Posts: 787 ✭✭✭ArKl0w


    We are very much BACK in business


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    #379
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,724 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    ECM1-192.GIF?11-0

    Look at the low pressure in Iberia, surely the high can only go one direction from there, if the ECM is correct.

    Somewhere Gerry Murhpy's face is contorting with horror as he contemplates his next tv forecast after seeing the latest ECM :D


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    #380
    Deatr
    Registered Users Posts: 99 ✭✭Deatr


    Given that the pressure is high am I right in thinking that there won't be any snow with this just cold and frosty? If it comes off!


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    #381
    ArKl0w
    Closed Accounts Posts: 787 ✭✭✭ArKl0w


    nacho libre wrote: »
    ECM1-192.GIF?11-0

    Look at the low pressure in Iberia, surely the high can only go one direction from there, if the ECM is correct.

    Somewhere Gerry Murhpy's face is contorting with horror as he contemplates his next tv forecast after seeing the latest ECM :D

    Also look at the diving low in the Atlantic,heading for the Med?


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    #382
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,857 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Deatr wrote: »
    Given that the pressure is high am I right in thinking that there won't be any snow with this just cold and frosty? If it comes off!

    Pressure is a bit high for my liking, but, as somebody said yesterday, get the cold here first and then worry about snow!


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    #383
    Rougies
    Registered Users Posts: 2,676 ✭✭✭Rougies


    Deatr wrote: »
    Given that the pressure is high am I right in thinking that there won't be any snow with this just cold and frosty? If it comes off!

    Yes that chart is dry but 2 days later @240hrs it's showing possible snowmageddon!

    ECM1-240.GIF?11-0


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    #384
    ArKl0w
    Closed Accounts Posts: 787 ✭✭✭ArKl0w


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    Pressure is a bit high for my liking, but, as somebody said yesterday, get the cold here first and then worry about snow!

    Pressure is 1020 at 240


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    #385
    hotwhiskey
    Closed Accounts Posts: 592 ✭✭✭hotwhiskey


    Rougies wrote: »
    Yes that chart is dry but 2 days later @240hrs it's showing possible snowmageddon!

    ECM1-240.GIF?11-0


    Indeed it is! Nothing short of full blowen Blizzard conditions. If it did happen (not likely) 1947 setup. Epic.


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    #386
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,857 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    ArKl0w wrote: »
    Pressure is 1020 at 240

    I'll take that! :)

    Went back over my records of November/December 2010...it was pretty much dry once pressure was over 1025.


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    #387
    Rebelbrowser
    Registered Users Posts: 3,141 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    If it wasnt for the brief mild interlude on Sunday, snow falling tomorrow would hang around on north facing surfaces for quite a while....


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    #388
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,544 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Yeah, once I hit 1028mb on December 3, 2010, it was bone dry with no snowfall again 'til 4 days later, December 7 when pressure dropped back down to 1015mb.

    EDIT: Oops sorry didn't notice this was the FI Charts thread.

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #389
    Deatr
    Registered Users Posts: 99 ✭✭Deatr


    Thanks gents!! I'm off to Swedish Lapland on Monday with work hopefully I'll bring something back with me on Wednesday.


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    #390
    PokeHerKing
    Registered Users Posts: 4,317 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    T minus how many hours are we at if the beasterly confirms lads? NW is too hard to follow, charts just constantly get pushed back to 240+.. are we anywhere near a realistic time yet?


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    #391
    ArKl0w
    Closed Accounts Posts: 787 ✭✭✭ArKl0w


    Couple of points
    Easterlies don't need as low uppers as they travel over much more land than sea
    Consequently they can have very low dew points with the surface air they bring in
    This is type of already frozen conditions our easterly will be traveling over

    https://twitter.com/severeweathereu/status/819264825129861120


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