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FI Charts (+T120 onwards) Autumn/Winter 2015 - see Mod Note post #1

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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    12Z GFS still going for a rain/snow/rain "event" next weekend, for high ground at least, with low pressure dragging down a shot of polar maritime air.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Look at that low west of Iceland. 921mb.

    gfs-0-168_smm9.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,494 ✭✭✭Reckless Abandonment


    Look at that low west of Iceland. 921mb.

    gfs-0-168_smm9.png
    As much as I love a good storm . They can keep that one.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,995 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    bullseye !!


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Look at that low west of Iceland. 921mb.

    gfs-0-168_smm9.png

    As interesting as that low is, my eyes are still more drawn to that hugely bloated high building to our south. Why is it that anytime decent Atlantic storms developed, we nine times out of ten have blocking highs building up over us? :mad:

    New Moon



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,530 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    As interesting as that low is, my eyes are still more drawn to that hugely bloated high building to our south. Why is it that anytime decent Atlantic storms developed we nine times out of ten have blocking highs building up over us? :mad:

    What like Hurricane Joaquin on the 9th October?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    What like Hurricane Joaquin on the 9th October?

    Like countless others too. :mad:

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,530 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Like countless others too. :mad:

    Storm Abigail the week before was something though :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,660 ✭✭✭Darwin


    Eh? Storm Barney packed a serious punch around the middle of the country, with gusts of 126Km/h recorded in Oak Park Carlow. I don't understand why anyone would wish for windstorms...Iceland is welcome to the beast of a low if it transpires that way.


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Mod Note: Guys, lets keep on topic, thanks. This thread is about the future, not the past! :)


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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Scandinavian High in deep FI on the 18Z GFS with a nice cold pool over Europe rumbling westward.

    Pure La La Land stuff of course.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    An FI-storm on the 12Z GFS.

    E8N3yea.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    There's always one...

    VqQ9zmI.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,995 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Wind gusts


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Just for fun. End of the 18Z GFS. High to our north, cold pool over Germany tumbling our way.

    EUErMRz.png
    b5WEG71.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    1056mb. You never know what to expect on the auld GEFS.

    gens-1-1-324_oqm4.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,055 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    as expected the 1050 Scandinavian beast has disappeared and we're left with a 14c euro high! :(

    gfs-0-240.png?6


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,530 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    as expected the 1050 Scandinavian beast has disappeared and we're left with a 14c euro high! :(

    gfs-0-240.png?6

    I want snow, arctic / siberian air! :(:mad:


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Lucreto


    as expected the 1050 Scandinavian beast has disappeared and we're left with a 14c euro high! :(

    gfs-0-240.png?6

    Where the hell was this chart 5 months ago?


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,768 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Lucreto wrote: »
    Where the hell was this chart 5 months ago?

    It was 5 months away.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 244 ✭✭rickdangerouss


    Lucreto wrote: »
    Where the hell was this chart 5 months ago?

    Don't you know, Summer is the new Winter.

    You are so 1990.. :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Long way off so chances are slim to none but the ECM has been progging the potential for some prolonged periods of heavy rain to develop from waving frontal zones in a long fetch SW'ly over the course of next weekend for a couple of runs now. The charts currently are beginning to look worryingly like they did back in November 2009, not that there is any need for us to worry at this stage.

    369911.PNG

    New Moon



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 922 ✭✭✭FWVT


    The ECM Ensembles out to 15 days are also showing a continuation of this theme of a +NAO. No hint of cold going by this anyway.

    500-1000 hPa thickness, 500 hPa height average and standard deviation.

    ec-ens_nat_gh500mean_gh500std_thk500mean_2015112700_360.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    ECM with a big north atlantic low at 168 hours. A bit further south and this would be interesting here.

    ECM1-168_olf0.GIF


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    A more wintry FI from the GFS tonight.

    re60fBr.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,123 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Rtavn13213.gif

    Looks possibly interesting next Saturday morning

    The 850hPa as it a bit later :

    Rtavn13812.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,797 ✭✭✭✭hatrickpatrick


    0z is currently rolling out. The end of the last 18z was absolutely beautiful, let's see if it's still there on this run...


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,797 ✭✭✭✭hatrickpatrick


    Folks........ It's still there

    370185.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    Folks........ It's still there

    Stunning!


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,861 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Next weekend looking very windy driven by a strong jet ....

    kg0kjgh.png?1

    8Zkmnt2.png?1

    x6RJsN3.png?1


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