FI Charts (+T120 onwards) Autumn/Winter 2015 - see Mod Note post #1

gerrybhoy

pad199207 wrote: »

Yeah and by next weekend it will be pure depressing from an Ireland perspective!

Why?

WheatenBriar

gerrybhoy wrote: »

Why?

Because the dynamics will only support high ground snow, those temps are way over cooked in my opinion by a crucial few degrees

NMB

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UXoNE14U_zM :D:D:D

Stealthfins

Carnacalla wrote:

That's pure depressing from a West Clare perspective.

Also from a North Clare perspective.

weatherfiend

NMB wrote: »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UXoNE14U_zM :D:D:D

Brilliant!!!

Nabber

Some of the perbs on the GEFS are beauties

Nabber

Some of the perbs on the GEFS are beauties

Nabber

WheatenBriar

If this,if that,if the other goes there and this alligns itself beside that,there may be
But that kind of posting here or on uk sites is hopecasting
Its actually childish

In short No,not at the moment

I also think its confusing for those not in the know to be posting perturbation charts here minus context
Context is how likely those charts are,how many other perturbations are similar etc

Nabber

We still doing this? Never give up

Rebelbrowser

Only 11 days away. Its a near certainty.

SeaBreezes

'Cept for Cork... AARRRGGGGHHHHH .. thats it, Im gonna have to move, if only so theres a HOPE of snow on FI :-)

Rikand

WheatenBriar wrote: »

If this,if that,if the other goes there and this alligns itself beside that,there may be
But that kind of posting here or on uk sites is hopecasting
Its actually childish

In short No,not at the moment

I also think its confusing for those not in the know to be posting perturbation charts here minus context
Context is how likely those charts are,how many other perturbations are similar etc

Welcome to Fantasy Island

nacho libre

nagdefy

nacho libre wrote: »

The one FI chart all winter that will probably come true Just a little too late for most of our liking

weisses

What is the long term FI in regards to rainfall ? .. Desperate looking/hoping for a bit of drier weather

nacho libre

weisses wrote: »

What is the long term FI in regards to rainfall ? .. Desperate looking/hoping for a bit of drier weather

No sign of High pressure taking hold in the next two weeks. It looks like a continuation of the current pattern, maritime airflow, with snow becoming more frequent at night given the sea surface temperature will soon be at their coldest during this time of year, alternating with milder periods, then as the fronts pass through they re- introduce a colder flow from the north west. There is an outside chance of an even colder airflow developing in early March, which would lead to a lot of drier weather in your part of the world, with snow streamers or cold rain/ sleet for the east and north east.

Nabber

End of winter and the charts start to look decent

pauldry

have a feeling for some snow in the next 3 weeks...could even be a lot.

the arctic is shovin a lot of cold down while the pacific is givin them a relatively balmy -5c should be -25c to -30c there at present

Atlantic may reject but definitely the best snow opp of the Winter about to happen end Feb start Mar

mickger844posts

pauldry wrote: »

have a feeling for some snow in the next 3 weeks...could even be a lot.

the arctic is shovin a lot of cold down while the pacific is givin them a relatively balmy -5c should be -25c to -30c there at present

Atlantic may reject but definitely the best snow opp of the Winter about to happen end Feb start Mar

The 12z ECMWF is a cold run but will the precipitation be there is the question. It wouldn't surprise me at all if we saw snow any time up to St. Patricks Day.In the short term a welcome mostly dry week ahead will give the saturated land a chance to dry out.