Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

FI Charts (+T120 onwards) Autumn/Winter 2015 - see Mod Note post #1

Options
1…78101213…24

Comments

  • Options
    #272
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    The EC mean 850 hPa temp profile out to day 10. Seems to be hinting at an increasingly tight thermal gradient developing in western Atlantic. If it continues this theme, it sure could be a potentially interesting run up to Christmas.

    371551.PNG

    New Moon



  • Options
    #273
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,540 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    The EC mean 850 hPa temp profile out to day 10. Seems to be hinting at an increasingly tight thermal gradient developing in western Atlantic. If it continues this theme, it sure could be a potentially interesting run up to Christmas.

    371551.PNG

    Very similar to Christmas week of 2013?

    The two storms of the 23rd and 27th of that year

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



  • Options
    #274
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Yes the ECMWF shows a 210-kt jet coming off New Foundling later in the week so that is bound to latch onto something and possibly give a storm that is not yet showing up on the models. I notice too a very zonal jet pattern for a while too, which may stir the polar vortex tank a bit give a very brief cold outbreak.


  • Options
    #275
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Very similar to Christmas week of 2013?

    The two storms of the 23rd and 27th of that year

    Impossible to say at this point, but looking at the anomaly version of the same chart above, there does look to be a grim potential.

    371552.png

    New Moon



  • Options
    #276
    Captain Snow
    Registered Users Posts: 602 ✭✭✭Captain Snow


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    The EC mean 850 hPa temp profile out to day 10. Seems to be hinting at an increasingly tight thermal gradient developing in western Atlantic. If it continues this theme, it sure could be a potentially interesting run up to Christmas.

    371551.PNG
    Then after that a few polar lows embedded in a cold Arctic flow.........:pac:


    http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/sst.anom.anim.week.html

    Still cold Atlantic. Does,nt look to be decreasing.


  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #277
    Captain Snow
    Registered Users Posts: 602 ✭✭✭Captain Snow


    ecmt850_240_YES.png
    click image upload


    Or maybe a super low forming off the coast of Norway pulling down Arctic Air....


  • Options
    #278
    Captain Snow
    Registered Users Posts: 602 ✭✭✭Captain Snow


    h850t850eu_New_Storm_1.png
    forum image hosting


    See how this goes?


  • Options
    #279
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Bit of a horror show FI chart here for Christmas Day. Atmospheric river...

    gfs-2-288.png?12

    santa-boat.jpg


  • Options
    #280
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    How did we miss this one? Someone come pick my jaw up off the floor !!
    gensnh-20-0-384.png.375c6f8a7cfb80efb79230816507a1c4.png


  • Options
    #281
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,540 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    How did we miss this one? Someone come pick my jaw up off the floor !!
    gensnh-20-0-384.png.375c6f8a7cfb80efb79230816507a1c4.png

    I don't believe this....

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #282
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    This is the FI thread, nothing here should be believable ! lol


  • Options
    #283
    teddybones
    Registered Users Posts: 173 ✭✭teddybones


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    This is the FI thread, nothing here should be believable ! lol

    Would make a nice post Christmas weather event if ya Don't happen to get what you want off Santa.


  • Options
    #284
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    teddybones wrote: »
    Would make a nice post Christmas weather event if ya Don't happen to get what you want off Santa.

    Or a nice Christmas present. Print it off, frame it and give it to someone...


  • Options
    #285
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users Posts: 6,075 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    .... a day at the beach with a picnic of turkey sandwiches?

    gfs-0-336.png?6

    Its almost funny at this stage, after winters 13/14 and 14/15 we thought it couldn't get any worse but it is!! :D
    I would bet my gaff that this winter is going to be dominated by a euro high.


  • Options
    #286
    B17G
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭B17G


    Comes charging through on the 23rd/24th. Quite a few ensembles seem to be showing a stormy setup 7 to 10 days out.

    gens-9-1-228_ebt3.png
    gens-9-1-240_lin4.png


  • Options
    #287
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Guys can we keep this thread for FI charts?
    This thread is for posting/discussing/analysing FI CHARTS ONLY i.e. Charts in the unreliable time frame, generally +T120 onwards


  • Options
    #288
    MidMan25
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,027 ✭✭✭MidMan25


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Guys can we keep this thread for FI charts?

    Are there any worth showing? :pac:

    doXwfgW.jpg


  • Options
    #289
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Both 12Z GEM and GFS showing a potential storm on the 23rd, but less developed on this GFS op run. Still impressive to see two models with something similar at that range.

    gem-0-210.png?12
    gfs-0-204.png?12

    GEM also has another deepening low approaching from the southwest on the 24th at the end of the run.

    gem-0-240.png?12


  • Options
    #290
    Lumi
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,466 ✭✭✭Lumi


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Guys can we keep this thread for FI charts?

    I've moved a number of Off-Topic posts into the Winter Chat Thread
    This thread is for posting/discussing/analysing FI Charts ONLY

    Thanks


  • Options
    #291
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,540 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    B17G wrote: »
    Comes charging through on the 23rd/24th. Quite a few ensembles seem to be showing a stormy setup 7 to 10 days out.

    gens-9-1-228_ebt3.png
    gens-9-1-240_lin4.png

    Ah here, this is copying 1997 all over!

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #292
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    25th, 26th, 27th.... :mad:

    gfs-2-264.png?18
    gfs-2-288.png?18
    gfs-2-300.png?18


  • Options
    #293
    hatrickpatrick
    Registered Users Posts: 17,797 ✭✭✭✭hatrickpatrick


    Which eejit was it who predicted a ridiculously stormy winter on account of the record El Nino?
    I'm holding them INDIRECTLY responsible for the sh!te it looks like we'll have to put up with. :D


  • Options
    #294
    patneve2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    Looking very poor for any prospects of decent cold - arctic oscillation index forecast to hit +5 in just over a week. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao_index_ensm.shtml


  • Options
    #295
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    A few runs have been showing HP building up towards Scandi, if it locks into place, things would start to get interesting into the new year!
    371814.png


  • Options
    #296
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users Posts: 6,075 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    does it get any more zonal than this - a westerly all the way from Newfoundland to Mongolia. Its not even depressing anymore. its just laughable :D

    gfsnh-0-162.png?18


  • Options
    #297
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Not the first time we've seen hints of stormy conditions around the 22nd.

    132-21UK.GIF?16-12


  • Options
    #298
    WheatenBriar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,170 ✭✭✭WheatenBriar


    Elmer Blooker wrote: »
    does it get any more zonal than this - a westerly all the way from Newfoundland to Mongolia. Its not even depressing anymore. its just laughable :D

    gfsnh-0-162.png?18
    Aye circulating around one of the biggest expanses of polar vortices I've seen in a long time
    The jetstream is barrelling into the best area possible (us :() to support those vortices and keep them in there


  • Options
    #299
    Iancar29
    Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Polar vortex comes to play on the 12z ... :pac:
    372037.png

    372036.png


  • Options
    #300
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,133 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    It's a sad day when its just a rain belt for the rest of the month and we're looking beyond 2 weeks for signs of cold :(


  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #301
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,944 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    cherryghost wrote: »
    It's a sad day when its just a rain belt for the rest of the month and we're looking beyond 2 weeks for signs of cold :(

    Nah it's just Winter in Ireland, but FI only brings us to start of the 2nd Winter month so plenty of FI charts to drool over yet :P


Advertisement