Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

M.T. Cranium · 04-11-2024 07:29AM

Monday, 4 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... very mild and generally dry despite small amounts of rain on Tuesday and towards next weekend. Cloudy but with somewhat brighter skies at times.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and patchy drizzle, mist on northern hills, mild with highs 13 to 15 C.
TONIGHT will be overcast with mist, drizzle and fog patches, lows around 9 or 10 C.
TUESDAY variable cloud, rain at times near west coast and spreading later into midlands and north. Mild, moderate southerly winds developing, highs 13 to 15 C.
WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will be exceptionally mild for time of year, generally dry, moderate southerly breezes and perhaps a few glimpses of the sun despite a lot of cloud, lows 10 to 12 C and highs 14 to 17 C.
NEXT WEEKEND there could be another minor rainfall amount from a weak frontal system, as winds veer around more to the southwest. It will stay quite mild with lows near 8 C and highs near 13 C.
NEXT WEEK high pressure will build up again. This time, given the even lower sun angle and a higher surface pressure, more of an inversion is likely to develop and dense fog could become part of the picture, while coastal districts will likely have very similar weather to the past few days, mild and dull with highs 11 to 13 C.

My local weather on Sunday was overcast with a few brighter moments, dry and cool with highs around 3 C. We are bracing for a heavier snowfall coming in on Monday afternoon and evening, possibly 10-15 cm.

M.T. Cranium · 05-11-2024 08:27AM

Tuesday, 5 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS ... very mild, mostly dry.
FORECASTS
TODAY will see small amounts of rain in western and later northern counties, 1-3 mm likely at most. Brief showers could fall elsewhere with trace amounts. Highs near 15 C.
TONIGHT fog patches, drizzle, mild, lows 8 to 11 C.
WEDNESDAY to about SUNDAY will remain very mild and highs could reach 16 or 17 C at times.
A stronger high will form closer to Ireland next week, it could stay very mild in coastal areas and turn a bit cooler inland especially if expected overnight fog and low cloud persist into daytime hours.
My local weather was snowy and 15-20 cm fell, at elevations above 500-600 m (we are near 1000 m) ... it was a cold rain down in the Columbia valley. Roads were apparently quite bad outside of town as the snow was a heavy wet snow mixed with drizzle. Very warm weather has returned to eastern parts of N America (for election day) and Tropical Storm Rafael has formed near Jamaica, heading for central Cuba.

M.T. Cranium · 06-11-2024 07:37AM

Wednesday, 6 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... very mild to weekend, mostly dry ... colder next week under stronger high pressure, coastal areas moderately mild, inland could be quite chilly although not quite "wintry" ... fog and low cloud may become a problem when it turns colder but enjoy the next few days as some brighter intervals will develop and temperatures will be well above average.

FORECASTS

TODAY as well as THURSDAY, FRIDAY and SATURDAY ... partly cloudy and very mild, just a slight chance of passing showers around late Friday into Saturday. Highs 15 to 17 C. Nights will stay very mild near 10 C.
SUNDAY ... Variable cloud, turning a bit cooler, lows near 8 C and highs near 12 C.
NEXT WEEK ... Temperatures will settle at a lower level as high pressure builds up over Britain. Coastal highs near 10 C, inland closer to 7 C. A lot of low cloud and fog is expected, so nights will only be a few degrees cooler.
It may begin to turn quite mild again towards end of next week.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with cloudy intervals and cool, with 10-15 cm snow cover gradually settling and patches turning quite icy after a brief thaw as highs reached 2 C. Some record highs were noted in eastern U.S. states with readings as high as 29 C and quite widespread 20-25 C readings.

M.T. Cranium · 07-11-2024 08:01AM

Thursday, 7 November, 2024 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... very mild and dry to weekend, a little less mild next week and turning colder in stages through later parts of November.

FORECASTS

TODAY will remain partly cloudy and very mild, moderate southerly breezes, highs 14 to 17 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy and mild, lows near 10 C.
FRIDAY cloudy with a few breaks, highs 12 to 15 C.
SATURDAY partly cloudy, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 C.
Little change from that outlook into first half of next week, and then it may start to turn a little colder each day later next week.

My local weather on Wednesday was partly cloudy to overcast and cool with a high near 3 C. Snow remains on the ground although it is getting increasingly icy and disappearing from areas exposed to any sunlight. It remains record warm in eastern North America.

M.T. Cranium · 08-11-2024 07:33AM

Friday, 8 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... mild and generally dry with some light rain at times mostly in western counties ... turning a little colder towards end of next week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast, and mild, with a few outbreaks of drizzle or light rain in western and south coast counties. Highs 12 to 15 C.
TONIGHT will be overcast with spotty light rain, lows 7 to 10 C.
SATURDAY will be mostly cloudy with a few light showers, mostly in western counties. Highs 12 to 15 C.
SUNDAY cloudy with afternoon sunny intervals. Lows 7 to 9 C and highs 11 to 14 C.
MONDAY a little colder especially overnight, partly cloudy to overcast, lows 2 to 6 C and highs 8 to 11 C.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY may see temperatures recover somewhat towards 12 or 13 C. It will stay dry.
Later next week and weekend of 16-17 Nov, colder in northerly breezes, temperatures in 5 to 8 C range, slight frosts possible.
After that there are indications of a milder and more unsettled interval as high pressure finally weakens and moves away, allowing the dormant Atlantic to regain control.

My local weather on Thursday was partly cloudy to overcast with low cloud hanging around on hills, highs near 4 C.

M.T. Cranium · 09-11-2024 07:26AM

Saturday, 9 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... mild and generally dry with some light rain at times mostly in western counties today and tonight ... turning a little colder towards end of next week.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few light showers, mostly in western and northern counties. Highs 12 to 15 C.
TONIGHT overcast with brief showers, misty. Lows 7 to 9 C.
SUNDAY drizzle or light rain ending during the morning, cloudy with afternoon sunny intervals, highs 11 to 14 C.
MONDAY a little colder especially overnight, partly cloudy to overcast, lows 2 to 6 C and highs 8 to 11 C.
TUESDAY to THURSDAY may see temperatures recover somewhat towards 11 or 12 C. It will stay dry but some areas could see dense fog and low cloud with dew lasting well into the days. This would be most likely inland south and midlands.
Later next week and weekend of 16-17 Nov, colder in northerly breezes, temperatures in 5 to 8 C range, slight frosts possible. Staying rather cold to about Monday 18th, then warming up again into 10-12 c range with frost-free nights returning.

My local weather on Friday was overcast and a sluggish milder trend began as highs reached about 4 or 5 C, but snow and ice persist on the ground.

M.T. Cranium · 10-11-2024 07:37AM

Sunday, 10 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... staying fairly dry after a small amount of rain today, and relatively mild although slowly declining temperatures towards more normal mid-November values by end of week.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with a band of light rain or drizzle moving east through Leinster this morning. Slow and gradual clearing will follow from west to east, possibly only reaching east coast by mid to late afternoon. Highs 13 to 15 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy and rather chilly, lows 2 to 5 C.
MONDAY will also be partly cloudy and it will be relatively mild again with highs 12 to 14 C.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY, little change foreseen, cloudy with sunny breaks, mild. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 12 to 14 C.
THURSDAY cloudy with isolated showers, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 11 to 13 C.
FRIDAY partly cloudy, breezy, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 10 to 12 C.
NEXT WEEKEND will turn a bit colder in north to northeast breezes (it will turn a lot colder in Britain). In Ireland, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 8 to 11 C. Over in Britain, could be closer to a range of -1 to +6 with passing wintry showers, but it doesn't look as though Ireland will get into the main channel of colder air before somewhat milder air pushes back from the west by Monday.
MONDAY 18th will likely turn milder again with highs near 13 C. Another cold front may arrive by TUESDAY 19th with winds becoming northerly and highs 8-10 C. As confidence in outlook is lower by then, will just mention potential for a few rather cold days after 20th, with milder air returning before end of month.

My local weather on Saturday was cloudy and damp with a few spots of rain but nothing measurable, highs near 6 C. Eastern U.S. reached day 41 of an extended drought and there are spot wildfires in places like northern NJ and the Hudson valley of NY state. A bit of rain later today may slightly ease this situation. Temperatures have remained quite high through this dry spell although fluctuating and currently cooling back down to mid-November normal values.

M.T. Cranium · 11-11-2024 08:11AM

Monday, 11 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... dry and relatively mild although slowly declining temperatures towards more normal mid-November values by end of week. Much colder next week.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy and relatively mild again with highs 12 to 14 C.
TONIGHT partly cloudy, lows 3 to 6 C.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY, little change foreseen, cloudy with sunny breaks, mild. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 12 to 14 C.
THURSDAY cloudy with isolated showers, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 11 to 13 C.
FRIDAY partly cloudy, breezy, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 10 to 12 C.
SATURDAY windy and turning a bit colder, winds northerly 40 to 70 km/hr, passing showers, lows near 5 C and highs 7 to 9 C.
SUNDAY breezy and rather cold, sleety showers possible in a northerly wind, lows near 3 C and highs near 7 C.
MONDAY 18th briefly milder, quite windy, rain at times, lows near 5 C and highs near 12 C.
Around TUESDAY 19th even colder air will arrive and it could be cold enough for mixed wintry showers including snow on hills, if current guidance holds. Lows near -1 C and highs near 5 C for several days before it begins to warm up gradually towards end of the week; very windy and unsettled, even stormy, conditions could then follow with rapid fluctuations in temperatures as storms could be fast-moving on a west to east track (this towards 23rd to 25th of November, given the time scale, this outlook is no better than medium confidence for now.

My local weather on Sunday was cloudy with some fog and drizzle, highs near 5 C.

M.T. Cranium · 12-11-2024 08:27AM

Tuesday, 12 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Mild and dry although nights inland quite cold and foggy, which could lead to persistent low cloud in a few places holding down daytime temperatures. Much colder next week and potentially rather stormy at times.

FORECASTS

TODAY will see some persistent low cloud and fog inland, locally highs may be held down to 6-8 C, but where some sunshine develops and in most coastal areas, highs 10-12 C.

TONIGHT another case of clear to partly cloudy skies giving rise to local fog and mist, lows in a range of -2 to +4 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will likely be quite similar to today, with a mixture of low cloud inland and partly cloudy to sunny skies around coastal areas, with similar results in terms of highs and lows.

FRIDAY will have stronger westerly breezes so it's likely to be more uniform in terms of milder temperatures prevailing, lows 1-4 C and highs 11-13 C.

SATURDAY gradually turning a bit cooler with a few showers in a west to northwest wind. Lows near 7 C and highs 9 to 11 C.

SUNDAY turning colder again, with possible sleety showers and temperatures steady 3-6 C.

By Sunday night into Monday, a rather wintry looking storm is set to move past the southern coast. Sometimes when models show this sort of setup five to seven days in advance, the end result is a stronger push back of mild air so I would caution at this point, a potential for rain-snow mixtures by elevation could change as an outlook before we get to the event. Cold and dry for a couple of days after that event, and another possible scenario of mixed wintry precip by Thursday with an even greater chance of this forecast changing a lot, closer to the time. We are on more of a watch than a warning situation as far as any really serious wintry weather at this point.

There is still the indication of more variable and stormy conditions to follow in the last third of the month.

My local weather on Monday was overcast and chilly with light rain and highs near 4 C.

M.T. Cranium · 13-11-2024 08:20AM

Wednesday, 13 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... mild and dry daytime hours now to about Saturday and then turning colder in stages for next week. Wintry precipitation will become possible but it's not really a certain outcome yet.

FORECASTS

TODAY will become partly cloudy or even sunny (especially around coastal areas) and there probably won't be as persistent low cloud and chilly foggy conditions by mid-day as yesterday, although it could be the case in one or two spots well inland. Highs for most in the 10 to 14 C range, warmest near south coast.
TONIGHT partly cloudy to overcast, probably not as cold as recent nights inland, but again, one or two places could still see brief spells of clear skies leading to fog. Lows generally 5 to 10 C, locally a bit colder.
THURSDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast and mild, highs 10 to 14 C.
FRIDAY will become a bit more breezy but still quite mild, lows 5 to 8 C and highs 11 to 15 C.
SATURDAY will become rather windy by afternoon, and will gradually turn a bit cooler. Some scattered showers will come and go in northern regions. Lows near 7 C and highs near 12 C, dropping off to 8 C by afternoon in the north.
SUNDAY expect it to be considerably colder in a brisk northwest to north wind, lows near 3 C and highs 5 to 8 C. Likely a few bands of sleety showers, local falls of hail and snow on higher peaks. Sunny intervals in areas not covered by shower bands. Winds northwest to north 50-80 km/hr.
MONDAY to WEDNESDAY will bring in a cold but largely dry northerly air flow, there could be a few sea effect "streamers" in a few spots and those would likely be producing a variety of mixed wintry forms but could be rather isolated too. Lows -2 to +2 C and highs 4 to 7 C in this interval.
THURSDAY 21st into FRIDAY 22nd is currently looking like the "showdown" between the cold air and the milder Atlantic air masses which will not be pushed all that far south or west and will be lurking around trying to get control back. As usual, some guidance at this rather long time frame is suggesting a battleground scenario and bands of rain near south coast and snow inland. It could indeed happen that way, or the return of milder air could be stronger and faster (which could place the actual outcome of snow further north). We aren't really going to know details of how the cold spell breaks down until we get into it next week.
Guidance also suggests that once vanquished the cold air will be replaced by very mild air for a few days, starting around Monday 25th, so we may not have seen the last of the 13-15 C readings.

My local weather on Tuesday was overcast and a bit milder with intervals of light rain and highs near 7 C. We're expecting a rain-snow mix later Wednesday as a strong storm hits the coast and spreads moisture inland. Meanwhile south of Jamaica, tropical storm Sara is likely to be born in the next day or two, and models suggest it will become a hurricane, and possibly quite a strong one, near the north coast of Honduras. (Mitch 1998 formed in this area but so far the outlook is a bit different keeping potential Sara off the coast; eventually it would curve northwest across the Yucatan and northeast into southern Florida towards the time the cold spell is ending in Ireland, in ten to twelve days ... and remnants of Sara will no doubt be swept into the central Atlantic by end of the month. I'm hoping models are correct and it does not loop around into Honduras like Mitch did 26 years ago, causing a huge amount of death and destruction; the storm has potential to be very damaging if it approaches land.

M.T. Cranium · 14-11-2024 08:34AM

Thursday, 14 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Mild and overcast, drizzly at times, turning colder in stages weekend and next week, some snowfall threats but not confirmed yet, cold to persist to about 25th of November then very mild and wet.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be overcast with a few breaks near south coast, and drizzly at times, highs 11 to 14 C.
TONIGHT overcast with patchy drizzle and mist, lows 7 to 9 C.
FRIDAY variable cloud, occasional drizzle, highs 11 to 13 C.
SATURDAY partly cloudy to overcast, brief showers, becoming rather breezy (westerly 40-70 km/hr). Lows near 5 C and highs near 10 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy, windy and cold with bands of mixed wintry showers bringing some sleet or snow to northern hills, hail or cold rain showers at lower elevations, some areas dry with sunny intervals between bands. Lows near 2 C and highs 5 to 8 C.
MONDAY partly cloudy and cold, isolated wintry showers in north mostly, lows near 1 C and highs near 7 C.
TUESDAY could turn quite stormy especially in parts of the north and east. Low pressure will either track into Ireland from the west or form in place over the Irish Sea. Either way, some snow could develop in colder air in place over inland north including most of Ulster, north midlands, north Leinster. There is a risk of strong winds developing (one model shows gale force northerly winds around Dublin, other sources do not show this). Parts of the south could be quite mild briefly, or at least the more severe cold will not set in until the low passes. Potentially temperatures will be 2-4 C in north and 7-10 C in south. There is potential for 5-10 cm of snow in north but this is far from confirmed yet.
WEDNESDAY and first part of THURSDAY are likely to be dry and cold, with isolated wintry showers and some sunny breaks both days. Lows -2 to +2 C and highs 3 to 7 C.
Later THURSDAY into early FRIDAY potential exists for a second wintry scenario, this time in the south, as low pressure could form and move past Munster towards the Channel and n France. In that scenario a cold rain on the south coast would turn to wet snow inland with some wintry mixtures present further north also. Other guidance is less definite on this scenario and would lead one to believe bands of wintry showers might be feeding in from the northwest. Either way, temperatures would be quite chilly, in the range of -1 to +4 C.
This cold spell looks set to end gradually on weekend of 23-24 Nov with generally dry conditions, before a strong push of very mild air returns around Monday 25th for several days. It could snow briefly ahead of that return then strong southwest winds and heavy rain seem likely.

My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with wet snow not accumulating much, and temperatures steady near 1 C. Tropical Storm Sara is still in formative stages, has been labelled Potential Tropical Cyclone 19, and model guidance for it has removed (for now) some of the more extreme possible scenarios but it still looks dangerous for flooding rainfalls in Honduras.

M.T. Cranium · 15-11-2024 08:19AM

Friday, 15 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Mild spell is almost at an end, turning colder in stages, with potential for wintry conditions in a few areas next week, generally cold and dry for most. Very mild and wet weather is expected to push back in rather quickly around Sunday 24th.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with a few brighter spells in the south, patchy drizzle, moderate westerly breezes setting in from north to south, highs 12 to 15 C.
TONIGHT overcast with a few light showers, breezy, lows near 7 C.
SATURDAY outbreaks of light rain across northern counties at first, spreading further south, winds west veering to northwest 40 to 70 km/hr, highs near 8 C in north, 11 C in south.
SUNDAY partly cloudy, breezy to windy, colder, some bands of mixed wintry showers forming in strong northwest to north winds, cold. Lows near 2 C and highs 5 to 7 C.
MONDAY turning milder again briefly, at least in southern counties and some parts of midlands, bands of rain, sleet and snow developing by afternoon and evening, with the greatest snow risk inland northern counties 4-7 cms, becoming windy as the storm intensifies overnight into Tuesday. Temperatures likely to remain steady in range of 1 to 4 C in north, 4 to 7 C midlands and Dublin region, 7 to 10 C south.
TUESDAY windy and cold, some risk of an early interval of snow in strong northerly winds behind the departing low pressure area, east Ulster and parts of Leinster most at risk, wintry showers will form in bands from Atlantic affecting west Ulster and Connacht, parts of west Munster, while south midlands and east Munster, parts of south Leinster could remain more dry with some wintry sunshine. Temperatures will be close to freezing and will only rise to near 4 C at most, except near 7 C along Atlantic coasts.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY continued cold and windy, further bands of wintry showers likely, some snow accumulations are likely at least on hills. Lows near -3 C and highs near 5 C, on average.
The disturbance discussed yesterday that could be near the south coast by Thursday into Friday is still a possible detail in this forecast but is still not accepted by all guidance, so for now we'll leave it at a risk of an interval of accumulating snow in the inland south and possibly other areas.
By FRIDAY and following weekend, intervals of dry wintry cold to be followed rather quickly by a trend towards southerly winds and rain with rising temperatures. It could be as cold as -4 C early Saturday 23rd and as mild as 10 C by late Sunday 24th.
The milder spell may not persist for the rest of November as guidance indicates further battles to come between mild and cold air masses.

My local weather on Thursday was overcast with light rain and highs near 2 C, slowly melting a slight fall of snow the previous day. Tropical Storm Sara continues to track west towards n.e. Nicaragua and eventually the northern coast of Honduras. It's now seen as unlikely to reach hurricane intensity but could bring flooding rainfalls to parts of central America.

M.T. Cranium · 16-11-2024 08:00AM

Saturday, 16 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Mild spell is about to end, turning colder in stages, with potential for wintry conditions in a few areas next week, generally cold and dry for most. Very mild and wet weather is expected to push back in rather quickly around Sunday 24th if not earlier.

FORECASTS

TODAY outbreaks of light rain across northern counties at first, spreading further south, winds west veering to northwest 40 to 70 km/hr, highs near 8 C in north, 11 C in south. A few brighter intervals may develop by afternoon.
TONIGHT variable cloud, breezy, cool, passing showers, lows around 2 to 5 C.
SUNDAY partly cloudy, breezy to windy (NW 40-60 km/hr) until falling off calm by mid-afternoon with a slight easterly breeze developing then, colder especially north of a Dublin to Galway line, some bands of mixed wintry showers forming over Ulster in early period of strong northwest winds, highs near 5 C in north, 7 C central and 9 C south.
MONDAY turning milder again briefly, at least in southern counties and some parts of midlands, bands of rain, sleet and snow developing by afternoon and evening, with the greatest snow risk inland northern counties 4-7 cms, becoming windy as the storm intensifies overnight into Tuesday. Temperatures likely to remain steady in range of 1 to 4 C in north, 4 to 7 C midlands and Dublin region, 7 to 10 C south.
TUESDAY breezy to windy and cold, some risk of an early interval of snow in strong northerly winds behind the departing low pressure area, east Ulster and parts of Leinster most at risk (0100-0700h), wintry showers will form in bands from Atlantic affecting west Ulster and Connacht, parts of west Munster, while south midlands and east Munster, parts of south Leinster could remain more dry with some wintry sunshine. Temperatures will be close to freezing and will only rise to near 4 C at most, except near 7 C along Atlantic coasts and in west Munster generally.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY continued cold and windy, further bands of wintry showers likely, some snow accumulations are likely at least on hills. Lows near -3 C and highs near 5 C, on average.
The disturbance discussed for several days that could be near the south coast by Thursday into Friday is still a possible detail in this forecast but even today is still not accepted by all guidance, so for now we'll still have to leave it at a risk of an interval of accumulating snow in the inland south and possibly other areas.
By FRIDAY and following weekend, guidance is now beginning to look suspiciously like a very fast breakdown, the European model is already going for a fast return of strong southwest winds later Friday into Saturday and other guidance has moved up the timetable of mild southerly winds too. At some point around Friday night it seems likely that a fast-moving warm front will end the cold spell with a fast transition of sleet to rain, and temperatures will soar to around 12-13 C by the weekend and into the first part of the following week. Further oscillations of temperature seem likely beyond that as guidance indicates further battles to come between mild and cold air masses.

My local weather on Friday was overcast with a very low cloud deck, about equal to our elevation at times, and drifting upslope towards us from the Columbia valley. It was mild enough to keep melting what little remains of snow at our elevation, 6-7 C. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Sara continues to drift west along the northern coast of Honduras bringing torrential rains and flooding to parts of that country and into Guatemala, Belize and the eastern Yucatan of Mexico where the storm will eventually die out later this weekend.

M.T. Cranium · 17-11-2024 08:46AM

Sunday, 17 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Mild spell is about to end, turning colder in stages, with potential for wintry conditions in a few areas next week, generally cold and dry for most. Very mild and wet weather is expected to push back in rather quickly around next weekend.

FORECASTS

TODAY partly cloudy to overcast, breezy (NW 30-50 km/hr) until falling off calm by mid-afternoon with a slight easterly breeze developing then, colder especially north of a Dublin to Galway line, rain or showers starting out in northern counties later moving south, followed by falling temperatures and some isolated wintry showers, highs near 6 C in north, 8 C central and 10 C south.

TONIGHT mostly cloudy, rain or sleet in parts of north and drizzle in central counties, cold in north, lows 2-4 C north, 4-6 C central and southern counties.
MONDAY turning milder again briefly, at least in southern counties and some parts of midlands, bands of rain, sleet and snow developing by afternoon and evening, with the greatest snow risk inland northern counties with potential for 4-7 cms on hills, and 2-4 cms lower elevations; becoming windy as the storm intensifies overnight into Tuesday. Temperatures likely to remain steady in range of 1 to 4 C in north, 4 to 7 C midlands and Dublin region, 7 to 10 C south.
TUESDAY breezy to windy and cold, some risk of an early interval of snow in strong northerly winds behind the departing low pressure area, east Ulster and parts of Leinster most at risk (0100-0700h), wintry showers will form in bands from Atlantic affecting west Ulster and Connacht, parts of west Munster, while south midlands and east Munster, parts of south Leinster could remain more dry with some wintry sunshine. Temperatures will be close to freezing and will only rise to near 4 C at most, except near 7 C along Atlantic coasts and in west Munster generally.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY continued cold and windy (NW 40-60 km/hr), further bands of wintry showers likely, some snow accumulations are likely at least on hills. Lows near -3 C except in a few coastal districts where flow is off the ocean, lows 2 or 3 C there; and highs near 5 C, on average. Any snow-covered locations will probably stay colder (2 C). Also, risk of an interval of wet snow or sleet inland southwest around Thursday afternoon.

FRIDAY will begin to turn milder, as winds back to southwest, rain may be preceded by snow and sleet in north, temperatures rising to near 8 C in south, but holding at 2-5 C north.

Very mild and breezy to windy next weekend, highs 10-13 C, heavy rain in parts of south and west. The following week could see mild air holding on, or further battles of mild and cold.

My local weather on Saturday was overcast with snow developing, about 10 cm is now on the ground, and temperatures were near freezing all day. A coastal windstorm will develop as this disturbance moves inland and redevelops as a strong low in the northern plains states. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Sara continues a slow westward drift and the main impact is flooding rainfalls over a wide area.

M.T. Cranium · 18-11-2024 08:54AM

Monday, 18 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... colder after a mix of rain (south) and snow (north) today and tonight. Mostly dry for many during the week, some scattered wintry showers. Turning much milder and potentially very windy by Friday night into Saturday.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy, rain will spread into most areas and begin to mix with sleet and then snow over parts of the north midlands and Ulster, higher parts of Connacht, by afternoon or evening. Quite windy at times near south coast (southwest 50-80 km/hr) but not very windy elsewhere, and mildest in south (10-12 C), central counties from west to east will be near 7 C, and north will remain close to 4 C before slumping to 2 C when snow begins.

TONIGHT outbreaks of snow and sleet will move gradually a bit further south with some heavy falls on hills in Connacht, north midlands and north Leinster, Ulster. It will stay mild until almost dawn in parts of the coastal south, holding near 10 C, but temperatures elsewhere will fall gradually to -2 C north, +2 C central and +5 inland south. Total snowfalls in some higher elevations near 5 cm, slushy accumulations possible at lower elevations. Watch for icy roads in the morning commute.

TUESDAY windy and cold with bands of snow showers feeding in from the Atlantic (some coastal rain and hail), sunny breaks in some eastern and southern counties, northwest winds 40-70 km/hr, giving a wind chill of -3 C as temperatures stall out around 3-5 C at best.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will continue windy and cold with scattered wintry showers and a few intervals of wet snow or sleet over parts of the southwest and west Ulster, north Connacht. Lows near -3 C and highs near 4 C (modified in places near ocean).

FRIDAY snow or sleet at times will change to rain, becoming heavy at times in south. Strong south to southwest winds by the overnight hours. Temperatures slowly rising in north and central counties to around 3-6 C, but rising faster in south to 12 C.

SATURDAY we are now on a storm watch due to a conflict in guidance, the European model (recently upgraded I am told) is showing a very strong low pressure area off the northwest coast, while other guidance has more moderate but essentially similar developments, all likely to produce gale to storm force winds (south to southwest), and locally heavy rainfalls. Any lying snow would melt rapidly adding to a flood risk. Temperatures would likely be in the 10-13 C range. 25-75 mm of rain is possible, heavier amounts in hilly southwest and western counties. Not too convinced that the very strong low is "for real" in this scenario but even without it, windy and mild with heavy rain. We'll see if this feature (a) persists on further runs of the European model and (b) appears on other leading sources of guidance.

Any mild spell is likely to last two or three days to around late Monday or Tuesday and be followed by slight (compared to this week) cooling, and further mild temperatures after that.

My local weather on Sunday was overcast and foggy with the heavy overnight snow partially thawing to leave slushy conditions in places, and that was followed by sleet and northwest winds as the low pressure centre tracked past us into Montana where it's developing into quite a strong low. Tropical Storm Sara is heading inland in the Yucatan.

M.T. Cranium · 19-11-2024 08:19AM

Tuesday, 19 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Cold and generally dry with scattered sleety or wintry showers this week. Turning much milder Friday night with heavy rain in west, strong winds in all regions Saturday. A little colder again Sunday. Settled weather will dominate next week with near average late November temperatures.

FORECASTS

TODAY a band of sleet or cold rain, with snow on hills, will continue to push south, losing intensity but possibly leading to intervals of accumulating snow in parts of the midlands (north Tipps and surrounding counties) 2-4 cm possible. Higher parts of Dublin, Kildare, Wicklow and Laois could see some slushy accumulations. Further north, partly cloudy and cold, bands of wintry showers likely to develop by mid-day. South coast still in milder air until mid-morning then turning colder with sleety showers. Winds generally northwest 30-50 km/hr. Highs 2 to 5 C. (7 to 9 C south coast)

TONIGHT partly cloudy, frosty and cold, a few wintry showers coming and going, icy roads by morning. Lows -3 to +2 C.

WEDNESDAY partly cloudy, scattered wintry showers, cold. Highs near 4 C. Wintry showers more frequent in west Ulster and higher parts of Connacht.

THURSDAY variable cloud, wintry showers. Risk of sleet or wet snow at times in west Munster. Lows near -3 C and highs near 4 C.

FRIDAY partly cloudy to overcast, turning a bit milder in south, but staying quite cold central and north. Risk of an outbreak of snow but this is not confirmed yet. Lows near -3 C and highs near 7 C in south, 4 C central, 2 C north.

FRIDAY NIGHT into SATURDAY windy and turning very mild with heavy rain at times, 30-60 mm potential in west, 15-30 mm elsewhere, winds southwest 70-120 km/hr, but risk of a severe windstorm reduced as guidance now shows the low further off the west coast. Temperatures will rapidly rise to 12-14 C.

SUNDAY turning colder in the early morning hours as winds shift to strong westerly 60-90 km/hr. Temperatures will fall off to around 6 C by morning and stay in a range of 6-8 C all day in strong west-northwest winds, passing showers some with hail.

NEXT WEEK looks generally rather placid and settled as high pressure builds in and temperatures will likely be in a normal range, highs near 7 or 8 C and overnight lows sometimes frosty at least inland.
It then looks fairly mild for the first week of December.

My local weather on Monday was cloudy and cool with highs near 2 C at our elevation, 6 C in the snow-free Columbia valley nearby. The snow line is at around 700 meters (we are at 1,050 at my place). Snow cover increases to 10 cm locally and 20 cm on nearby ski hills.
A coastal storm is brewing for late Tuesday night over the BC and WA-OR coasts, but will not move very far inland.

M.T. Cranium · 20-11-2024 08:02AM

Wednesday, 20 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Cold and generally dry with scattered sleety or wintry showers this week. Turning much milder Friday night with heavy rain in west, strong winds in all regions Saturday. A little colder again mid-day Sunday. Settled weather will dominate next week with near average late November temperatures.

FORECASTS

TODAY partly cloudy to sunny, cold, frost may linger in shaded areas; scattered wintry showers mainly in northwest, some snow accumulations 2 to 4 cm mostly on hills. Highs near 4 C.
TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with some clear intervals in eastern counties, cold, lows near -3 C except 0 to 2 C in southwest where rain will move inland and turn to sleet and snow over parts of Clare, Limerick, Kerry, Cork and nearby portions of other counties. On higher ground inland, 5-8 cm could accumulate. Northern suburbs of Cork could see 2-4 cm, a sleety mix can be expected near the south coast. Icy roads will be widespread not only in zones having recent falls of wintry precip, but also from black ice conditions in dry areas.
THURSDAY variable cloud, wintry showers. The local bands of sleet and snow at times in west Munster will taper off to drizzle or ice pellets. Lows near -3 C and highs near 4 C. Another icy night will follow with poor driving conditions especially on secondary roads.
FRIDAY partly cloudy to overcast, turning a bit milder in south, but staying quite cold central and north. Risk of an outbreak of snow over Connacht and midlands later afternoon and evening, potential for 5-10 cm locally, ahead of a fast thaw and heavy rain. Lows near -3 C and highs near 7 C in south, 4 C central, 2 C north.
FRIDAY NIGHT into SATURDAY windy and turning very mild with heavy rain at times, 30-60 mm potential in west, 15-30 mm elsewhere, winds southwest 70-110 km/hr, Temperatures will rapidly rise to 12-14 C.
SUNDAY turning colder in the morning hours as winds shift to strong westerly 60-90 km/hr. Temperatures will be very mild overnight into Sunday morning (11-13 C) and will then fall off to around 6 to 9 C by afternoon in strong west-northwest winds, and passing showers some with hail.
NEXT WEEK looks generally rather placid and settled to early Wednesday, as high pressure builds in and temperatures will likely be in a normal range, highs near 7 or 8 C and overnight lows sometimes frosty at least inland. An area of sleet could move past the south coast around Tuesday night but may not spread inland. It will then turn milder again later in the week and November will likely end with several days near or above 10 C and occasional rain. This mild pattern looks set to continue into early December.
My local weather on Tuesday was overcast and cold (-2 C) but with only a dusting of additional snow. A strong storm is off the west coast and strong east winds are flowing out of various river valleys and inlets, so that locally winds are 80-120 km/hr but generally in a range of about 40-70 km/hr. Rain will be moderate rather than heavy, but a secondary low late Thursday into Friday could bring heavier rains up the coast. Most of this activity will weaken beyond the coastal ranges and we're expecting 6-10 cm of snow today and wet snow or sleet by Friday as it warms slowly.
-- Peter for IWO

M.T. Cranium · 21-11-2024 07:36AM

Thursday, 21 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Very cold for two more days, a few outbreaks of sleet and snow today in west Munster as heavy snow ends across parts of Galway and Clare. Friday largely dry and a bit milder in southern counties. Much milder and very windy at times with heavy rainfalls, combined with melting snow giving rise to serious flooding risks especially in western counties.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and dry for parts of Ulster, north midlands, Leinster, highs 3-5 C. Heavy snow ending this morning across parts of Mayo, Roscommon, Galway, Clare, a few sunny breaks developing, highs 1-3 C. Icy roads will continue to be a problem all day in rural areas. For west Munster, a cold rain will turn to sleet and then snow inland, while staying a sleety cold rain on the south coast. Inland rapid accumulations 5-8 cm are possible as cold air undercuts and drops temperatures there to near freezing. A bit of freezing drizzle near end of this snowfall event could make roads very slick in parts of west Munster. It will stay too mild for snow in coastal Kerry with rain continuing, heavy at times, and highs 4-7 C. Snow will fall on higher ground inland however.
TONIGHT icy in areas that get sleet or snow during the day, but no new precipitation is likely except perhaps in parts of the northwest where 2-4 cm of snow is possible. Lows -4 to -1 C. Widespread icy roads and dangerous travel conditions especially outside large towns and inland.
FRIDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks. There may be a few afternoon outbreaks of sleet but in general it looks likely to remain dry until the warm air arrives in the south late in the day. Highs will be near 4 C north to 7 C south.
SATURDAY will feature a very rapid temperature rise, and locally heavy rainfalls of 30-50 mm, melting any lying snow quite rapidly, and the combination may lead to serious flooding in some parts of the west and southwest. Winds south to southwest 70-110 km/hr with potential for higher gusts near Galway Bay late morning. Temperatures will quickly rise to 12-14 C.
SUNDAY continued windy and rather mild, lows near 8 C and highs near 11 C. Some rain at times especially over coastal south and west. Winds southwest 60-90 km/hr.
MONDAY now looking very windy as the deep low pressure we've been tracking appears to be on a slower path and won't be passing northern counties until mid-day Monday. Winds westerly 70-110 km/hr for most but could gust to 130 km/hr in exposed northern coastal districts. Passing showers of rain and hail with some thunder possible, lows near 5 C and highs near 9 C.
The rest of next week looks rather chilly for a few days before much milder air returns around late Wednesday or early Thursday. Mild spells will continue into early December.

My local weather on Wednesday was a steady snowfall that has now surpassed 15 cm, and shows no signs of letting up. Temperatures are near -3 C.

M.T. Cranium · 22-11-2024 07:44AM

Friday, 22 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... much milder with heavy rain, strong winds, temperatures peaking Saturday then slowly falling back to normal late November values as winds ease by Tuesday. After a brief clearing of skies and local frost, milder air will return gradually on southeast to southerly breezes later next week.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast, with rain showers feeding in from the North Atlantic on a dying northwesterly breeze. Some showers will turn to sleet or snow well inland but many areas will have a dry day. Highs 5 to 8 C.
TONIGHT wind and heavy rain will arrive from storm Bert tracking north to the west of Ireland. Temperatures will rise rapidly and 20 to 35 mm of rain will fall in western counties, 10 to 20 in the east. A brief interval of sleet could precede the arrival of the milder air in parts of the north-central regions. Winds increasing to southerly 50-80 km/hr, temperatures reaching 10-12 C in south, 7-9 C central and 4-6 C northern counties. By dawn, some flooding likely underway especially where rapid snowmelt is occurring.
SATURDAY very mild and windy with further heavy rain at times, more showery as day progresses. Winds south-southwest 70-110 km/hr, 20-40 mm additional rainfall in west, significant flooding and mudslides could occur around hills in western counties, as all snow cover is likely to have melted by noon. Highs 12-15 C.
SUNDAY continued very windy and not quite as mild as temperatures will stall at 10-12 C overnight and drop slowly especially further west, into a range of 7-9 C, with strong to gale force southwest winds 70-110 km/hr. A little additional rain mostly near hills in western counties. Some squally showers likely to produce thunder and hail.
MONDAY continued very windy especially in Ulster, as Bert slowly drifts towards Scotland. Winds westerly 60-90 km/hr for most but still in the 70-110 km/hr range further north. Bands of rain or drizzle with some partly cloudy skies between them, lows near 6 C and highs near 8 C.
TUESDAY a slight northwesterly flow at first may feed in some chilly showers after a low of about 2 to 5 C. Skies will be variable and winds light by afternoon, highs 7 to 9 C.
From WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY, a slow warming trend is generally foreseen. One model (GFS) wants to spin out a separate low that would bring sleet or a cold rain to parts of the south and east. Other guidance tells us to expect just a gradual warming trend in southeast winds ahead of a strong push of milder air due to arrive by Friday, so temperatures Wednesday to Friday are likely to be increasing slowly (with a brief fall-back if the GFS were to prove correct with its Wednesday low, as colder air would try to push back behind that, ultimately not succeeding anyway).
What we can see of early December so far looks quite mild and snow-free as well as largely frost-free, but not overly stormy or wet either.

My local weather on Thursday was overcast and rather foggy at times with a slight mist of wet snow in the air as temperatures rose slightly to near -2 C.

M.T. Cranium · 23-11-2024 07:48AM

Saturday, 23 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... very mild and windy, some further bursts of moderate to heavy rain (30-50 mm already fell last night) with temperatures staying above normal through Monday. Cooler Tuesday, some sleet in southeast by Wednesday, then warming up again to 10 C or higher by end of next week.

FORECASTS

ALERT for local flooding developing rapidly this morning. We anticipate that small drainage systems in western counties and near other high ground in south, east and Ulster, will reach flood stage soon and peak before noon. Don't drive into flowing water on roadways, and be alert for local mudslides (landslips).

TODAY very mild and windy with further heavy rain at times, more showery as day progresses. Winds south-southwest 70-110 km/hr, 20-40 mm additional rainfall in west, significant flooding and mudslides could occur around hills in western counties, as all snow cover is likely to have melted by noon. Highs 12-15 C.
TONIGHT windy and very mild, occasional rain, winds south-southwest 60-90 km/hr, temperatures steady 12-14 C.
SUNDAY continued very windy and not quite as mild as temperatures will stall at 12-14 C overnight and drop slowly especially further west, into a range of 7-9 C, with strong to gale force southwest winds 70-110 km/hr. A little additional rain mostly near hills in western counties. Some squally showers likely to produce thunder and hail.
MONDAY continued very windy especially in Ulster, as Bert slowly drifts towards Scotland. Winds westerly 60-90 km/hr for most but still in the 70-110 km/hr range further north. Bands of rain or drizzle with some partly cloudy skies between them, lows near 6 C and highs near 8 C.
TUESDAY a slight northwesterly flow at first may feed in some chilly showers after a low of about 2 to 5 C. Skies will be variable and winds light by afternoon, highs 7 to 9 C.
WEDNESDAY intervals of sleet or rain in southeast, as winds briefly back into northeast 40-60 km/hr. Dry conditions away from this offshore disturbance moving into Britain. Cool with lows -2 to +3 C and highs 5 to 8 C.
THURSDAY cold to start, warming up gradually in a strengthening southeast flow 30-50 km/hr, occasional light rain, lows -2 to +3 C, highs 8 to 10 C.
FRIDAY to SUNDAY (1st Dec) milder, occasional rain, highs near 12 C and strong southerly winds, turning colder for a few days after this mild spell ends.

My local weather on Friday was overcast and foggy with persistent light snow, about 5 cm additional on top of recent falls. It looks very wintry here now. The long dry spell in eastern states ended over the past two days with a mix of rain and snow, heavy snow falling inland and in parts of the Great Lakes region.

M.T. Cranium · 24-11-2024 08:13AM

Sunday, 24 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Mild and windy, some additional rain, to late Monday into early Tuesday; colder mid-week then mild again, only small amounts of rain expected with next mild spell.

FORECASTS

TODAY continued very windy with some sun at times, showers and isolated thunderstorms developing over western counties mostly, winds increasing again later to southwest 70-110 km/hr, temperatures steady in a range of 8 to 11 C. Some squally showers likely to produce thunder and hail.
TONIGHT partly cloudy to overcast, windy (very windy at times in north), winds westerly 70-110 km/hr, bands of rain or drizzle forming, lows 5 to 7 C.
MONDAY continued very windy especially in Ulster, as Bert slowly drifts towards Scotland. Winds westerly 60-90 km/hr for most but still in the 70-110 km/hr range further north. Bands of rain or drizzle with some partly cloudy skies between them, lows near 6 C and highs near 8 C. Winds easing gradually afternoon and evening hours.
TUESDAY a slight northwesterly flow at first may feed in some chilly showers after a low of about 2 to 5 C. Skies will be variable and winds light by afternoon, highs 7 to 9 C.
WEDNESDAY showers of sleet or rain in some parts of east, as winds briefly back into northeast 40-60 km/hr. Dry conditions more prevalent further west with better sunshine values. Cool with lows -2 to +3 C and highs 5 to 8 C.
THURSDAY cold to start, warming up gradually in a strengthening southeast flow 30-50 km/hr, occasional light rain, lows -2 to +3 C, highs 8 to 10 C.
FRIDAY to SUNDAY (1st Dec) milder, occasional rain, highs near 12 C and strong southerly winds, turning colder for a few days after this mild spell ends but back to mild and windy conditions soon into December.

My local weather on Saturday was overcast and milder with a slight thaw as a result, slushy underfoot. Highs near 2 C.

M.T. Cranium · 25-11-2024 08:22AM

Monday, 25 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Mild and windy, some additional rain, to late Monday into early Tuesday; colder mid-week then mild again, only small amounts of rain expected with next mild spell.

FORECASTS

TODAY continued windy especially in Ulster, as Bert slowly drifts towards Scotland. Winds westerly 60-90 km/hr for most but still in the 70-110 km/hr range further north until easing mid-day. Bands of rain or drizzle with some partly cloudy skies between them, with highs 7 to 10 C. The most persistent rain will be in west Munster where 10-15 mm could fall. Much less or remaining dry in some eastern counties. Winds easing gradually afternoon and evening hours.
TONIGHT will become partly cloudy to clear with isolated wintry showers in the north, colder, lows 1 to 3 C, local frost and icy roads on higher terrain inland south, Ulster, north Connacht.
TUESDAY a slight northwesterly flow at first may feed in some chilly showers after a low of about 2 to 5 C. Skies will be variable and winds light by afternoon, highs 7 to 9 C.
WEDNESDAY showers of sleet or rain in some parts of east, as winds briefly back into northeast 40-60 km/hr. Dry conditions more prevalent further west with better sunshine values. Cool with lows -2 to +3 C and highs 5 to 8 C.
THURSDAY cold to start, warming up gradually in a strengthening southeast flow 30-50 km/hr, occasional light rain, lows -2 to +3 C, highs 8 to 10 C.
FRIDAY to SUNDAY (1st Dec) milder, occasional rain, highs near 12 C and strong southerly winds, turning colder for a few days after this mild spell ends but back to mild and windy conditions soon into December.

My local weather on Sunday was overcast and the high near +1 C, a slushy mess on some side streets in town, good snow conditions a bit higher up in ski country.

M.T. Cranium · 26-11-2024 07:38AM

Tuesday, 26 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... a quiet spell of weather with some sunshine at times, slight frosts at night, gradually warming up again later in the week and over the weekend.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with a few cloudy intervals and isolated wintry showers near eastern coast, highs 5 to 8 C.
TONIGHT mostly clear with fog becoming widespread, some freezing fog may create slippery road conditions after midnight. Lows -2 to +3 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated sleety showers, cold, especially where low cloud or fog persist, some sunny breaks developing near coasts and in the north and west inland. Highs could be held down to 3-5 C in some places but will recover to 8 C under sunshine.
THURSDAY after a rather cold start, variable cloud and milder with outbreaks of rain near southwest coast, lows -1 to +4 C and highs 7 to 11 C.
FRIDAY to SUNDAY will be mild, with intervals of rain each day, not especially heavy or persistent, some breaks in overcast at times, lows 5 to 7 C and highs 10 to 13 C. Moderate south to southwest winds.
NEXT WEEK will continue milder than average (for early December) and a few strong frontal systems will pass, with settled spells later in the week as higher pressure builds to south. Highs generally 8 to 12 degrees and nights mostly well above freezing.

My local weather saw additional 5-10 cm snowfalls and temperatures were steady near the freezing point.

M.T. Cranium · 27-11-2024 07:11AM

Wednesday, 27 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... quite cold today, foggy to start, slowly turning milder through next few days, and generally mild in early to mid-December, rainfalls not excessive.

FORECASTS

TODAY ... be alert this morning for black ice on roadways, patchy dense fog and alternating poor visibility and low sun angle, a lot of different hazards for the morning drive ... low cloud and fog may hang around to mid-day in some inland areas, bright sunshine will break through elsewhere, and there could be very brief sleety showers near east and north coasts, with highs 5 to 8 C.
TONIGHT increasing cloud, cold with frost dissipating in some areas, foggy at times, lows -2 to +3 C.
THURSDAY cloudy, outbreaks of rain in south, milder, highs 8 to 11 degrees, could remain a bit colder in Ulster.
FRIDAY mostly cloudy, showery outbreaks of rain, mild, lows near 7 C and highs near 12 C.
SATURDAY breezy and mild, winds south-southwest 50-70 km/hr, rain at times, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 C.
SUNDAY variable cloud, some showers and some sunny breaks, lows near 7 C and highs near 12 C.
MONDAY partly cloudy, isolated wintry showers, colder, winds northwest 40-60 km/hr, lows near -1 C and highs near 5 C.
It will warm up quickly on Tuesday 3rd, with rain, and locally strong southwest winds, highs near 12 C. Another rain-producing system will be following about two days later, and then a longer mild and settled spell is possible similar to how November began.

My local weather on Tuesday was mostly cloudy (a thin stratus layer just above our elevation, sunshine above that) and the high was about -2 C.

M.T. Cranium · 28-11-2024 07:55AM

Thursday, 28 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Turning milder through next few days, and generally mild in early to mid-December, rainfalls not excessive but frequent; a brief colder turn on Monday will only last about a day and a half.

FORECASTS

TODAY cloudy, outbreaks of rain in south and west spreading gradually to midlands and central Leinster by afternoon, milder, highs 8 to 13 degrees, remaining coldest in Ulster.
TONIGHT cloudy, occasional rain, very mild, lows 9 to 12 C.
FRIDAY mostly cloudy, showery outbreaks of rain, mild, with highs near 13 C.
SATURDAY breezy and mild, winds south-southwest 50-70 km/hr, rain at times, lows 8 to 11 C and highs near 13 C.
SUNDAY variable cloud, some showers and some sunny breaks, lows near 8 C and highs near 12 C.
MONDAY partly cloudy, isolated wintry showers, colder, winds northwest 40-60 km/hr, lows near -1 C and highs 5 to 8 C.
It will warm up quickly on Tuesday 3rd, with rain, and locally strong southwest winds, highs near 12 C. Another rain-producing system will be following about two days later, and then a longer mild and settled spell is possible, similar to how November began.

My local weather on Wednesday was overcast and cold with a high near -3 C. Cloud ceiling was at or below our elevation. A brief drive around revealed that while we have 30-40 cm of snow, a few hundred meters lower down there is only a thin 5 cm covering.

M.T. Cranium · 29-11-2024 07:05AM

Friday, 29 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Mild with frequent rain but total amounts near average for time of year.

FORECASTS

TODAY mostly cloudy, showery outbreaks of rain gradually spreading north, mild, with highs near 13 C. Moderate southerly winds 50-70 km/hr.
TONIGHT breezy, very mild, occasional rain, lows 8 to 11 C.
SATURDAY breezy and mild, winds south-southwest 50-70 km/hr, rain at times, lows 8 to 11 C and highs near 13 C.
SUNDAY variable cloud, some showers and some sunny breaks, lows near 8 C and highs near 12 C.
MONDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers some with hail, but also fairly widespread sunshine away from north and west coasts, colder, winds northwest 40-60 km/hr, lows near -1 C and highs 5 to 8 C.
TUESDAY rain will arrive after midnight and last for part of the morning, as temperatures spike at around 8 C. It will begin to clear in the afternoon as winds veer westerly 50-70 km/hr. Temperatures steady 6-8 C.
WEDNESDAY partly cloudy to overcast, lows near 3 C and highs near 9 C.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY will be mild and breezy to windy, with occasional rain, strong south to southwest winds, highs 12 to 14 C.
The following week will bring a mix of dry, rather mild days, and wet very mild days, as flow will be from the west-south-west after crossing Atlantic.

My local weather on Thursday was gloomy, multiple cloud layers were present at elevations just below and just above our elevation, and a freezing drizzle was falling at times in temperatures near -2.

M.T. Cranium · 30-11-2024 08:31AM

Saturday, 30 November, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... mild with occasional rain this week, a little colder and generally dry the following week, until very mild and windy near mid-December.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be breezy and mild, winds south-southwest 50-70 km/hr, rain at times later but amounts generally small, highs near 13 or 14 C.
TONIGHT breezy, very mild, occasional light rain, lows 9 to 12 C.
SUNDAY variable cloud, some showers and some sunny breaks, winds gradually veering to westerly, highs near 12 C.
MONDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers some with hail, but also fairly widespread sunshine away from north and west coasts, colder, winds northwest 40-60 km/hr, lows near -1 C and highs 5 to 8 C.
TUESDAY rain will arrive after midnight in the early morning hours, and will last for part of the morning, as temperatures spike at around 8 to 11 C. It will begin to clear in the afternoon as winds veer westerly 50-70 km/hr. Temperatures then steady 6-8 C.
WEDNESDAY partly cloudy to overcast, lows near 3 C and highs near 9 C. Becoming very windy late in the day with rain arriving in western counties. Winds southwest 70-110 km/hr overnight into Thursday.
THURSDAY breezy to windy, passing showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 10 C.
FRIDAY very mild and windy with rain, lows near 7 C and highs 12 to 14 C.
By weekend of 7-8 Dec, higher pressure will begin to replace the unsettled regime and this high will build up to about 1045 mbs by early in the following week. Expect several dry days with a lot of low cloud, some sunny breaks, and temperatures in the 4 to 8 C range as the air mass will be modifying but not extremely cold. A slight west to northwest wind regime will continue with the high expected to crest just south of Ireland. By about Friday 13th Dec and weekend of 14th-15th, this high will be over south-central Europe and strong Atlantic lows will return to the general vicinity bringing in strong southwest winds, rain and very mild temperatures by mid-December (possibly rising to 14 C). In general December is looking like a rather mild month with temperatures 2 to 3 deg above average and near or below normal rainfall amounts. If there's going to be any wintry weather it would likely occur near the Christmas holiday period.

My local weather on Friday was overcast with a high near -1 C. Much colder air is streaming into eastern regions and there are bands of very heavy lake effect snowfall in the lower Great Lakes region.

M.T. Cranium · 01-12-2024 08:28AM

Sunday, 1st of December, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Relatively mild this week, although chilly on Monday. Small amounts of rain will total around half the average for early December. The second week of this outlook period looks quite dry with temperatures a bit cooler at times but not a severe wintry cold likely, returning to very mild and windy by mid-month.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy, breezy and mild with a few passing showers, and some hazy sunshine at times. Highs 12 to 14 C.
TONIGHT variable cloud, breezy, turning colder, strong northwest winds at times in Atlantic coastal counties, hail showers possible there. Lows 1 to 4 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy with fairly generous sunny breaks in most regions, more chance of passing showers (some with hail) near Atlantic coasts towards the midlands. Cool with moderate northwest winds dying out by afternoon. Highs 5 to 8 C.
TUESDAY after increasing cloud overnight puts an end to a brief early frost, rain will spread in. This system has slowed down and is now expected to push through central counties in the early afternoon and eastern counties by evening, so rain may linger in the east for most of the daylight hours while western counties see partial clearing with a gradual windshift to westerly. Lows -1 to +4 and highs 8 to 11 C.
WEDNESDAY variable cloud, breezy, rather cool but starting to turn milder late in the day as winds increase to southwest 50-80 km/hr; lows 2 to 5 C and highs 7 to 10 C. Rain by evening lasting overnight.
THURSDAY will be windy and mild with intervals of rain followed by partial clearing, strong southwest winds 60-90 km/hr, lows near 5 C and highs near 12 C.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY will remain quite mild with occasional rain, temperatures in the 7-10 C range, and risk of strong winds at times especially near Atlantic coasts.
By SUNDAY clearing and turning cooler, as winds become northwest 40-60 km/hr. A very strong high will form to the west of Ireland, while turning the winds almost northerly at times, the flow will originate from the Atlantic and temperatures next week will only drop slightly, into the 5-8 C range, with rather extensive low cloud and some sunny breaks in the mix. If there are any frosts they will be brief and isolated under clear skies. It will likely turn quite mild again by end of next week (around Friday 13th into following weekend) and winds will be strong southwesterly.

My local weather on Saturday was overcast with a high near zero C. Some parts of the lower Great Lakes region are digging out from very heavy snowfalls (near Erie, PA, 125 cm or more).

M.T. Cranium · 02-12-2024 08:30AM

Monday, 2 December, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... variable from day to day as disturbances track past Ireland this week, several bouts of rainfall expected Tuesday, late Wednesday and Friday, almost a normal amount of rain for the interval, then a dry week to follow as strong high pressure slowly drifts towards and then past Ireland next week. A brief return to very mild and windy near end of next week.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be a partly cloudy to sunny and rather cold day with a strong northwest wind at first, passing showers with hail quite widespread in western and northern counties, but these will tend to die out before reaching most eastern and south coast locations. Less windy by afternoon and calm overnight leading to a frost. Highs near 8 C.
TONIGHT clear with increasing cloud over western counties before midnight preventing frost there, but lows -2 to +3 C in eastern counties.
TUESDAY variable cloud in the morning, outbreaks of rain mostly confined to Atlantic coast at first, spreading across Munster in the afternoon. Some parts of Ulster and Leinster may see very little rain from this weak and disorganized system. Highs 5 to 9 C.
WEDNESDAY mostly cloudy, a few brighter intervals at first, strong southwest winds developing, 60-90 km/hr, rain by evening, lows near 4 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
THURSDAY windy and rather mild, rain ending before mid-day, lows near 5 C and highs near 11 C.
FRIDAY a low will track through Munster and south Leinster, possibly near the coast or a bit inland. The south coast could warm up to 10-12 C as it passes, and other regions will stay rather chilly with a sleety rain developing on northeast winds 40-60 km/hr. Lows near 2 C and highs near 5 C in many areas, but 5 to 10 C closer to the low.
SATURDAY becoming quite windy, northwest 50-80 km/hr, variable cloud, lows near 5 C and highs near 8 C.
SUNDAY breezy and cool, partly cloudy to overcast, lows near 3 C and highs near 7 C.
MONDAY and TUESDAY, possibly extending to later in the week, a nearly calm and dry interval with extensive low cloud likely, some sunshine near coasts mainly, and lows 2 to 5 C, highs 4 to 7 C, as a strong high will be near the south coast or even further north.
Guidance is somewhat split on how long that calm spell might persist before at least one strong wave of low pressure, possibly more, come in from the Atlantic around Friday 13th into weekend of 14th-15th. Some guidance wants to reload high pressure fairly quickly but at this time range I don't trust the output very much and would not be surprised if the actual trend is more unsettled.
My local weather on Sunday finally cleared up a little and we had our first sunshine in over a week, with temperatures near -2 C. It was misty over nearby hills and then clouded over during the afternoon

M.T. Cranium · 03-12-2024 07:55AM

Tuesday, 3 December, 2024 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... variable from day to day as disturbances track past Ireland this week, several bouts of rainfall expected Tuesday, late Wednesday and Friday, almost a normal amount of rain for the interval, then a dry week to follow as strong high pressure slowly drifts towards and then past Ireland next week. A brief return to very mild and windy near end of next week.

FORECASTS

TODAY variable cloud in the morning, outbreaks of rain mostly confined to Atlantic coast at first, spreading across parts of Munster and also parts of Connacht and Ulster in the afternoon. Some parts of the midlands and Leinster may see very little rain from this weak and disorganized system. Highs 5 to 9 C.
TONIGHT patchy light rain or drizzle ending, misty, lows near 4 C.
WEDNESDAY mostly cloudy, a few brighter intervals at first, strong southwest winds developing, 60-90 km/hr, rain by afternoon in west, evening further east, lows near 4 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
THURSDAY windy and rather mild, rain ending before mid-day, lows near 5 C and highs near 11 C.
FRIDAY a low will track through Munster and south Leinster, possibly near the coast or a bit inland. The south coast could warm up to 10-12 C as it passes, and other regions will stay rather chilly with a sleety rain developing on northeast winds 40-60 km/hr backing to strong northwesterly 60-100 km/hr in some coastal areas. Lows near 2 C and highs near 5 C in many areas, but 5 to 10 C closer to the low. It should be mentioned that guidance is not very unified on this system and there has been a tendency for European models to shift south while the U.S. GFS has shifted closer to central counties now (reversal of earlier trends). So an accurate forecast on this system may be a day or two away yet.
SATURDAY becoming quite windy, northwest 50-80 km/hr, variable cloud, some outbreaks of rain near north and west coasts, lows near 5 C and highs near 8 C.
SUNDAY breezy and cool, partly cloudy to overcast, lows near 3 C and highs near 7 C.
MONDAY and TUESDAY, possibly extending to later in the week, a nearly calm and dry interval with extensive low cloud likely, some sunshine near coasts mainly, and lows 2 to 5 C, highs 4 to 7 C, as a strong high will be near the south coast or even further north.
Guidance is somewhat split on how long that calm spell might persist before at least one strong wave of low pressure, possibly more, come in from the Atlantic around Friday 13th into weekend of 14th-15th.

My local weather on Monday was partly cloudy and a bit milder at around 2 or 3 C. Our day trip revealed that there was no snow at all in the nearby valley, and a heavy snow cover only exists above 800m now.

Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

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