Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

M.T. Cranium · 02-02-2025 08:54AM

Sunday, 2 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... It's going to be difficult to know which part of the day will give a better view of the coming six weeks of weather (folklore alert), but if you want an early spring, take a look this morning, if you would prefer six weeks of winter, check after lunch. Then also in the spirit of "groundhog day" we'll do it again on Tuesday with another morning of showers followed by clearing. That time the clearing should last a few days or even longer in some northern regions. It will turn quite a bit colder after Tuesday morning also.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be overcast with a little further rain in eastern counties this morning, followed by a slow clearing trend already starting to develop near the Atlantic coast. Breezy but not overly windy, highs 9 to 11 C. It may be foggy or misty at times near the end of the rainfall in eastern counties.
TONIGHT a few clear intervals, rather cold, foggy at times, lows around 3 C.
MONDAY cloudy with outbreaks of rain spreading gradually further east, moderate southerly winds 40-60 km/hr, mild, highs 10 to 13 C.
TUESDAY morning showers, isolated thunderstorms, followed by partial clearing, passing showers of rain, hail or later sleet or snow on higher terrain in north, as colder air surges in from the west, dropping temperatures from morning highs near 10 C to afternoon and evening readings of 2 to 5 C. Winds becoming westerly 40 to 60 km/hr.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny, winds dying down by afternoon as high pressure builds, cold. Lows -2 to +2 C, highs 4 to 7 C.
THURSDAY to SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny and quite cold, possibly a bit of persistent low cloud streaming into south coast in a southeast wind, but generally dry and bright with lows in a range of -5 to -1 C and highs 3 to 7 C. A few sheltered spots near Atlantic coasts could stay a bit milder.
A disturbance may approach from the south around the weekend of 8-9 Feb and this could produce sleet or a cold rain in some southern counties but it looks like this system will be deflected away from Ireland as the cold high swells up again; later in its life cycle it may begin to bring in milder southerly winds. Eventually a more active weather pattern is likely but some guidance is showing further cold episodes to come.

My local weather on Saturday was cloudy at times with a bit more snow, near -2 C, and also featured a few hours of blue skies and sunshine at mid-day; we are between two parts of a complex storm that is going to bring more snow but mainly to our south from now on as cold arctic high pressure slowly sinks south towards us from the Yukon.

M.T. Cranium · 03-02-2025 08:17AM

Monday, 3 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS ... Mild and showery to Tuesday morning, then a colder and drier regime will take over, lasting for about a week to ten days. It will not be as severe as the January cold spell and in fact temperatures in the western counties may not fall very far below average, more so in eastern counties but several degrees above the values seen in the January cold spell.
FORECASTS
TODAY will bring increasing cloud in eastern regions followed by outbreaks of rain already starting in western counties. Rather foggy or misty especially on higher terrain. Highs 10 to 12 C.
TONIGHT breezy with further rain, totals 20-30 mm in some places, lows near 7 C.
TUESDAY gradual clearing from the west ending most of the showers, followed by redevelopment of a few hail or sleet showers in a colder westerly flow, as temperatures drop gradually from near 10 C in the morning to 5 C by afternoon; moderate westerly winds of 40-60 km/hr.
WEDNESDAY partly cloudy to sunny, colder, lows -2 to +2, highs 6 to 9 C. Winds dying off during the day.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY will be partly cloudy or sunny in most areas, but some low cloud could stream into the south coast on light southeast winds. Cold, with sharp frosts, lows -4 to +1 C and highs 5 to 8 C except 8 to 10 C in western coastal areas.
SATURDAY a few showers, some sleety or wet snow mixing in, but north may remain dry, and this system will be weak in general, before high pressure rebuilds. Lows near -2 C and highs near 7 C.
A few more days of dry and rather cold weather will follow, before a gradual rise in temperatures after mid-month.
My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy with snow showers in the vicinity, not very much fell locally. Coastal BC saw poor road conditions from a fall of 3-5 cm of wet snow there. Much colder air is spreading into our region from the northeast, already having taken over the central parts of Canada.

M.T. Cranium · 04-02-2025 07:48AM

Tuesday, 4 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Once the rain ends later this morning, some places may remain dry for about a week or even longer, and it will be quite cold although not as wintry as the cold spell in January.

FORECASTS

TODAY rain will end soon in western counties and by mid-day in the east. Clearing and turning colder, with a few showers developing in a brisk westerly wind, some showers dropping hail or (over higher parts of the north) sleet and snow. Temperatures 8 to 10 C but falling off somewhat in the afternoon. Winds becoming westerly 40 to 60 km/hr.
TONIGHT partly cloudy to clear, only a few remnant showers near Atlantic coasts. Cold with scattered frost well inland, lows -2 to +3 and winds westerly 30 to 50 km/hr.
WEDNESDAY partly cloudy to sunny, isolated showers in north dying out, highs 5 to 8 C.
THURSDAY to SUNDAY dry and cold, with mixtures of cloud and clear skies, some sharp frosts developing, lows -4 to +2 C, and cool by day, highs 4 to 8 C. Light southeast winds in general. A weak frontal system is likely to be just offshore by Saturday in western counties but guidance suggests it won't succeed in bringing any significant rainfall to land before it breaks up over the weekend.
NEXT WEEK a gradual increase in cloud as temperatures edge up a little each day, then a return to some rain at times and windier conditions as the high pressure block breaks down. Temperatures will then average closer to 10 C by day and 3 C at night.

My local weather on Monday was cloudy and cool with a little light snow (less than 1 cm), and a high of -3 C. The colder air is just to our north now and is likely to arrive before morning, turning it a lot colder for daytime readings the rest of the week.

M.T. Cranium · 05-02-2025 08:17AM

Wednesday, 5 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Dry and rather cold for about a week now, followed by a gradual return to more average mid-February temperatures and eventually rain and some windy (so far not looking stormy) conditions towards 16th to 20th of February.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, these more frequent in northern counties where some light showers are still possible this morning. Highs 6 to 9 C.

TONIGHT clear with a few clouds, cold, local frosts, lows -2 to +2 C.

THURSDAY to SUNDAY the weather will remain cold and dry for most places, with a mixture of cloud and sun by day, clear skies at night allowing frosts to be widespread away from west coast which may largely escape them. Lows -4 to +1 C and highs 3 to 7 C. There could be a bit of cloud and light rain in Kerry around Saturday morning from a weak passing disturbance offshore, and also, some parts of the east could see very brief and light wintry showers Friday or Saturday (these will be more widespread in England where a deeper cold air mass will be present then).

NEXT WEEK looks like it will remain fairly quiet with a gradual return of stronger southwest breezes eventually, and temperatures will respond by slowly climbing back towards 10 C which is normal for mid-February. Also eventually some rain and stronger winds at times will be possible but so far the bulk of storm activity appears likely to remain well out to sea.

My local weather on Tuesday was cloudy with a few light flurries and it was quite a bit colder at -7 C. Snow has finally come to lower elevations after a largely bare-ground scenario in January, our weekend snowfalls appear to have given 10 cm down in the valley.

M.T. Cranium · 06-02-2025 07:45AM

Thursday, 6 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Cool and dry for a week to ten days, only very small amounts of rain likely in just a few areas of the south. A slow return to more active weather conditions is likely beyond Friday 14th.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly sunny and cool, any frost will gradually dissipate this morning. Highs 6 to 9 C.

TONIGHT clear with a few clouds, frost returning to most inland counties. Lows -4 to +1 C.

FRIDAY sunny with increasing cloud across parts of the southeast, cool. Highs 6 to 9 C.

SATURDAY cloudy across the south, light rain or drizzle may be located offshore near Cork and Waterford and could make some occasional forays inland a few miles. This is the outer edge of a disturbance expected to move west and then south across the Channel region and northern France. Most of Ireland will escape the moisture if not the cloud, and further north there will likely be a mixture of cloud and sun. Lows near -2 C and highs near 8 C.

SUNDAY partly cloudy to overcast, moderate east to southeast winds will bring in more low cloud than previous days, lows near -1 and highs near 7 C.

NEXT WEEK the pattern remains "blocked" by high pressure slowly decaying over Britain, so Ireland will be in a rather cloudy southeast flow with a few showers or (on higher ground) sleety mixtures, but very small amounts are expected in almost all locations, so it will be more of a "sleet droplets spotted drifting down" than accumulations. Highs will remain in the range of 5 to 9 C. Nights will not be as cold because of the increase in cloud, the average low will be 1 to 3 C.
After Friday 14th, a more active pattern will slowly resume as the blocking high settles back into central Europe and allows some weak Atlantic systems to graze Ireland and northern Britain. Rain will likely be almost average for the month in some parts of the south but trends will remain quite dry further north. Temperatures will occasionally be a little above 10 C but there are no indications of unusual early spring warmth as has been the case in several recent Februaries.

My local weather on Wednesday was cloudy with sunny breaks, followed by an interval of light snow this evening, and it has been very cold all day, with a high only around -10 C. Low pressure located in Idaho is dividing the west into very mild and very cold sectors. Parts of Utah and Nevada had record highs near 20 C the past few days, and it's around 27 C in southern Arizona. This divided scene will change to all regions cold by Friday, and some active mixed wintry weather will be heading across central and eastern states (if Elon Musk allows it).

M.T. Cranium · 07-02-2025 08:34AM

Friday, 7 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS ... Dry and cool for about a week, milder starting around Friday 14th.
FORECASTS
TODAY ... sunny to partly cloudy, cool, increasing cloud by afternoon in south, highs near 8 C.
TONIGHT ... rather cloudy except in Ulster, north Leinster where frosts still possible, otherwise lows zero to 3 C.
SATURDAY ... mostly cloudy south, partly cloudy north, cool in easterly breezes, a bit of drizzle or light rain could hit south and east coasts by morning. Highs near 8 C.
SUNDAY ... partly to mostly cloudy, cool, lows near 3 C and highs 5 to 8 C. Some patchy light rain or sleet is likely near south coast and in south Leinster more generally.
NEXT WEEK will continue rather cold with a few showers (some wintry on higher terrain and near the east coast at times) but little accumulation is expected, a slushy coating of 1 or 2 cm could develop at times; lows generally -1 to +3 C and highs 5 to 8 C but it could be colder during sleet or wet snow intervals, with moderate east winds at times making it feel raw and quite cold.
It's looking milder for the week starting 14th February, highs could reach 11-13 C, in the south and west at first, as cold air is gradually expelled, then further north ... however, some guidance reloads another cold spell before the end of the second week of our outlook.
My local weather on Thursday was cloudy and cold, with a bit of light snow mostly before sunrise, highs near -9 C.

M.T. Cranium · 08-02-2025 08:43AM

Saturday, 8 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS ... Rather cold and dreary weather will prevail with small amounts of sleety rain at times, although some places will be dry while others see small amounts of precipitation. A little milder midweek, then guidance diverges into two camps about whether or not a second cold spell will begin and whether snow might fall during that (in about ten days' time). These later developments are not really into a reliable time frame yet so speculation is the name of the game.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy in the east and south, to partly cloudy west and north. There will be outbreaks of drizzly and cold light rain turning to sleet or wet snow on higher terrain in the southeast. Highs near 5 C in the damper conditions, and 7 or 8 C where cloud breaks for any length of time. Moderate east winds will add a chill.
TONIGHT variable cloud, lows 1 to 4 C (could see brief frosts well inland where skies don't remain cloudy all night).
SUNDAY variable cloud, isolated wintry showers, highs 5 to 8 C. Moderate east winds 30-50 km/hr (50-70 km/hr near Irish Sea coast and south coast).
MONDAY and TUESDAY will be similar, except that winds will turn a little more to the southeast, and this will bring some light rain at times near south coast by Tuesday. Lows 1 to 3 C and highs 5 to 8 C both days.
WEDNESDAY a little milder with rain at times, winds south-southeast and highs reaching 9 or 10 C.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY will be rather variable and temperatures may fall back slightly to around 7 or 8 C.
After that, by weekend of 15th-16th, an east to southeast flow will be bringing cool and generally dry conditions for a time, then guidance diverges as to whether this leads to a milder southerly regime, or a tightening up of gradients leading to a brief snowfall and renewed cold for a day or two, followed by a slow warming trend -- all guidance seems to get to a similar end point by about two weeks from now, in that milder air will eventually win out, the intermediate time period seems to be the most uncertain portion.
My local weather on Friday was sunny and very cold, after a morning low around -20 C it struggled to get much past -15 C at our elevation. Very cold air has sagged south into most of the northern half of the U.S. "lower 48 states" and this is driving a developing snowstorm towards the northeastern states and New England for tonight and Sunday.
In the clear skies locally I was able to see the nearly full moon high overhead around 10 p.m. midway between Jupiter and Mars. If anyone has clear skies tonight, you'll be seeing the moon closing in on Mars which is located between the "twins" of Gemini (Castor and Pollux).

M.T. Cranium · 09-02-2025 08:46AM

Sunday, 9 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS ... Rather cold and dreary weather will prevail with small amounts of sleety rain at times, although some places will be dry while others see small amounts of precipitation. A little milder midweek, then colder air will try to push back west -- at this point, it seems more likely to stall over Britain where it could be cold enough for widespread snow by 20th to 25th, whereas Ireland could stay in a milder zone well above freezing. This situation looks rather tentative and could go either way before then.
FORECASTS
TODAY will bring variable amounts of cloud, with patchy drizzle, light sleet or wintry showers, and some places managing to remain dry anyway, with chilly highs 5 to 8 C. Moderate east winds 30-50 km/hr (50-70 km/hr near Irish Sea coast and south coast).
TONIGHT cloudy with a few clear intervals, cold, isolated wintry showers, lows -1 to +3 C.
MONDAY and TUESDAY will be similar, except that winds will turn a little more to the southeast, and this will bring some light rain at times near south coast by Tuesday. Lows 1 to 3 C and highs 5 to 8 C both days.
WEDNESDAY a little milder with rain at times, winds south-southeast and highs reaching 9 or 10 C.
THURSDAY to SUNDAY will be relatively mild in southerly winds, although parts of east Ulster could have east winds and colder temperatures at times. Highs will be generally 8 to 12 C. It will be quite windy by Thursday and Friday, easing off into the weekend.
After that, we enter a period of uncertainty where the colder air over central Europe tries to push back through Britain; most guidance seems to be saying it will not get past Wales or Dorset and the southwest tip of England as well as most of Ireland (except possibly east Ulster) will stay relatively mild for another week; chances of it turning colder then are probably around one in three at this stage.
My local weather on Saturday was mostly cloudy with a few glimpses of the sun, with light snow falling intermittently, and very cold temperatures still holding around -10 C. We are supposed to get into an even colder air mass by Monday so not looking forward to that, but at least the sun will be out. Intermittent snow at present across most of New England and upstate New York, some places could see over 10 cm, New York City got a bit of sleet and wet snow and will escape major impacts.

M.T. Cranium · 10-02-2025 08:49AM

Monday, 10 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... cloudy, cold with scattered outbreaks of sleety light rain, wet snow on some hills at times, slowly warming up in rather raw and increasingly strong southeast winds mid-week, considerably milder by weekend and next week, heavy rainfall at times in south by then.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals in the west, and a few outbreaks of light, sleety rain with a bit of wet snow possible on higher slopes, highs 4 to 6 C. Winds easterly 40 to 60 km/hr will add a chill effect making it feel closer to 1 or 2 C.
TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy and cold with isolated wintry showers, lows 1 to 3 C.
TUESDAY will be similar to today with winds slowly turning to the southeast, a few wintry showers in the mix, and highs near 6 C.
WEDNESDAY will become quite windy with outbreaks of rain moving north in western counties, just scattered brief showers likely further east, and some of this rain could turn to a wintry mix of sleet and snow on hills in north Connacht and west Ulster. Winds southeast 50 to 80 km/hr, lows 1 to 3 C and highs 5 to 8 C
THURSDAY and FRIDAY will be windy with outbreaks of heavier rain moving gradually northeastward across all regions, winds south-southeast 60 to 100 km/hr, some stronger gusts in exposed coastal areas. 10 to 30 mm rainfalls are likely (heavier falls in southwest to central counties). Lows both days 3 to 5 C and highs 7 to 10 C.
By the WEEKEND of 15th-16th, a little milder especially in south and west where highs could reach 12 C. Less frequent rain and winds not as strong but still fairly brisk southerly 40 to 60 km/hr.
During the wet and windy interval this week, Britain will be in colder air masses (lows near -5 C and highs near 2 C) and some snow could fall at times. There's a chance of that regime spreading into a few parts of east Ulster and north Leinster at times but most of Ireland should stay milder, relatively speaking.
Next week looks quite mild and this milder air will spread into Britain also, bringing their temperatures up to similar values to Ireland (11-13 C at times).

My local weather on Sunday was sunny and frigidly cold, near -15 C, and it has dropped to -20 C outside this evening. Moon almost full and now moved past Mars. Jupiter and Venus are very bright and prominent (Jupiter is due south around 11 p.m., Venus is high in the southwest after sunset). Our cold air mass has pushed about as far south as the Grand Canyon in northern Arizona and all of Utah and most of Nevada were below freezing after a record mild spell of about a week's duration. Texas is still very warm, and this air mass contrast is spawning a series of storms for central and eastern states in coming days; Washington DC could see 15 cm of snow mid-week, and a stronger storm will follow along a more northward track into the Great Lakes. There could be widespread travel disruptions in the eastern U.S. air space.

M.T. Cranium · 11-02-2025 07:57AM

Tuesday, 11 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Increasingly wet starting in the southwest late today and the trend will work its way north and east over several days, but the southwest will remain wetter throughout. Sometimes quite windy and raw feeling as temperatures stay a bit below average, coming up slowly by the weekend. Latest guidance suggests this milder trend will be reversed briefly for a couple of days then the milder air will gain a better foothold by about Tuesday of next week, after which it will become increasingly unsettled and sometimes quite windy and wet.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals possible in the west before mid-day. Scattered outbreaks of sleety light rain, wet snow on some higher terrain. Cold with highs only 4 to 6 C.
TONIGHT rain will spread in from the south but will be heavier in western counties generally, and could be accompanied by sleet or wet snow on hills in Connacht and west Munster. Lows 2 to 4 C.
WEDNESDAY rather windy and showery with moderate southeast winds 40 to 70 km/hr, highs 5 to 8 C.
THURSDAY windy with intervals of rain, lows near 4 C and highs 6 to 9 C. Winds southeast 50 to 90 km/hr.
FRIDAY variable cloud, showers, lows near 4 C and highs near 9 C.
SATURDAY a bit milder in the south and west, outbreaks of rain more persistent in north and east, temperatures steady 8 to 10 C in the south and west, 5 to 8 C in east and north.
SUNDAY and MONDAY will be rather cool and cloudy with a few outbreaks of rain in east to southeast winds, lows near 2 C and highs near 7 C. There could be some wet snow in parts of Ulster where lows could be closer to -1 C.
Milder air will return around Tuesday 18th and after that a much more active Atlantic-driven southwesterly flow will bring in some stronger winds (23rd at present looks borderline stormy) and heavy rainfalls. Eventually, parts of west Munster and south Connacht could see twice normal rainfalls for February, locally 200 mm of rain is expected in the next two weeks alone (accumulating steadily rather than all at one time).

My local weather on Monday was sunny and very cold, after a morning low of -25 C it struggled up to around -10 C, with a bit of a northerly breeze to add wind chill; we are going to stay quite cold for about a week now. Snow is approaching the Washington DC region and 15-20 cm is possible in some parts of northern Virginia and Maryland. This snowfall will only extend briefly as far north as NYC and will largely bypass New England. A second storm will follow along a more northerly track and bring snow to the Midwest and lower Great Lakes.

M.T. Cranium · 12-02-2025 08:06AM

Wednesday, 12 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Cloudy, occasional rain becoming heavier by Thursday, several more intervals of wet weather with the odd dry day between them in coming weeks. Temperatures will trend upward gradually.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy and there may be a bit of rain at times in western counties, patchy drizzle further east. Rather cold in a southeast wind 30-50 km/hr. Highs 5 to 8 C.
TONIGHT some rain and stronger winds will arrive in west Munster and will start to spread north and east, reaching midlands by dawn. Lows 1 to 4 C. Winds southeast 50 to 70 km/hr.
THURSDAY will be windy with rain moving gradually further north and east, finally reaching north Leinster and Ulster by evening. Winds southeast 60 to 90 km/hr, some higher gusts near coasts. Highs 6 to 9 C (near 11 C southwest).
FRIDAY will see another band of rain moving across the country, followed by partial clearing and milder temperatures for Munster and parts of Connacht where highs will reach 11-12 C (still 7 to 9 C further east and in Ulster).
SATURDAY intervals of light rain or drizzle, cool, lows near 3 C and highs near 8 C.
SUNDAY variable cloud, a bit milder again, lows near 3 C and highs 8 to 10 C.
Next week will be milder especially in western counties at first, eventually the milder trend will cover all regions and highs will often be in the 11-13 C range, with increasing risks of heavy rainfall and strong winds as Atlantic storms become stronger again. There's nothing on long-range charts to alarm us necessarily but around 24th (yeah I know) there's a fairly strong low that has been on maps for several days now around 23rd-24th. At present it does not appear to be severe, just strong.

My local weather on Tuesday was once again sunny and cold, with the high barely making it to -10 C. Meanwhile, Washington DC had around 15 cm of snow during the day Tuesday and roads in northern Virginia became virtually impassible (not too many drivers bother with snow tires in that region, apparently; it's the same when it snows in Vancouver unlike here in the mountains where everyone has lots of practice driving in snow and the roads are better maintained also).

M.T. Cranium · 13-02-2025 08:43AM

Thursday, 13 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Mostly cloudy, frequent rain in all regions for several days, somewhat drier by the weekend, then rain resuming but often confined to western counties in a mild southerly flow. Becoming more unsettled towards weekend of 22-23 Feb and into the second week in the outlook period.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be windy with rain developing this morning in the west, moving gradually further north and east, finally reaching north Leinster and Ulster by evening. Winds southeast 60 to 90 km/hr, some higher gusts near coasts. Highs 6 to 9 C (near 11 C southwest).
TONIGHT rain will continue, some falls of 20 to 35 mm possible in total with local flooding on roads, foggy especially on higher terrain. Rain may be sleety in north at first. Lows 3 to 7 C.
FRIDAY will see another band of rain moving across the country, followed by partial clearing and milder temperatures for Munster and parts of Connacht where highs will reach 11-12 C (still 7 to 9 C further east and in Ulster).
SATURDAY partly to mostly cloudy, a few intervals of light rain or drizzle more persistent near coasts, rather cool, lows near 3 C and highs near 8 C.
SUNDAY variable cloud, a bit milder again, lows near 3 C and highs 8 to 10 C.
MONDAY and TUESDAY of next week will continue rather cool in a southeast breeze, rain will spread north near the west coast but may make little further eastward progress. Highs 6 to 10 C mildest in west and near south coast.
Later next week will turn milder, and eventually the milder trend will cover all regions and highs will often be in the 11-13 C range, with increasing risks of heavy rainfall and strong winds as Atlantic storms become stronger again. The disturbance we have been tracking for around 23rd-24th still appears relatively strong but not severe by this winter's earlier standards.

My local weather on Wednesday was once again sunny and cold with a high near -12 C. It appears that we'll be slowly easing our way out of the deep freeze in coming days with much milder weather due in about a week, so our severe winter spell has probably peaked now. Snow is spreading into the Midwest and southern Ontario tonight into Thursday and some places could see 15-20 cm.

M.T. Cranium · 14-02-2025 08:29AM

Friday, 14 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Becoming milder over the coming week, rain at times but some brighter intervals will start to mix in, and winds will be generally moderate southerly.

FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy, and a band of rain will move steadily northeast, weakening gradually after a strong start in Munster this morning. Some parts of the southwest could see some afternoon sunny breaks. Highs 10 to 12 C there, and 7 to 9 C in most other parts of the country.
TONIGHT will be cloudy with fog and mist developing, some outbreaks of light rain, lows 4 to 6 C.
SATURDAY cloudy with a few brighter spells once the morning fog and mist break up, followed by scattered showers, highs 8 to 10 C.
SUNDAY early morning rain could be heavy across southern and central counties, remnants of that will clear east during the morning and the rest of the day will become partly cloudy and milder, lows near 5 C and highs near 11 C.
NEXT WEEK in general will be milder, except at first in north Leinster and east Ulster which will be getting a slightly colder southeasterly flow from Britain. Eventually all regions will become equally mild and some days will see highs into the 12-14 C range, nights will be free from frost and lows 5 to 8 C. Rain will be frequent in western counties, and heavy on Monday, when it will probably spread into central and eastern counties briefly. Later in the week, a few more outbreaks of rain will be more confined to western counties rather than spreading across all regions. Winds will be moderate to strong southerly at times.
The weather system we've been tracking for 23rd-24th has tended to downgrade in most recent guidance to the extent that it now just looks like all the rest of the weather pattern for the coming two weeks. Another energy peak appears around 27-28 February. There are no signs at this point in time of systems that we would expect to bring alerts (other than a few yellow alert situations possibly).

My local weather on Thursday started out sunny and cold again but cloud spread in during the afternoon and light snow is falling now; the bitter cold has been replaced by more normal -6 C readings. A powerful storm system is forming over Colorado and Kansas today, and will track to the lower Great Lakes by Saturday night. Blizzard conditions are possible in the U.S. Midwest into southern Ontario as it tracks past those regions. The east coast will get a brief warmup into the 10-13 C range followed by a blast of cold air wrapping around the storm which will redevelop off the New England coast on Sunday. This one is headed more for Iceland than Ireland on all current guidance. It may factor into Irish weather around mid-week in the form of a stronger southwest flow.

M.T. Cranium · 15-02-2025 08:22AM

Saturday, 15 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Cloudy skies may begin to brighten more frequently in coming days but there will still be quite a bit of rain especially over south and west, and also temperatures will be milder.

FORECASTS

TODAY will bring cloud and mist to start off in most places, but skies could brighten at times especially further west and north, before some light rain begins to move into the southeast this afternoon. Highs 8 to 10 C.
TONIGHT rain will develop across the southwest becoming rather persistent after midnight there. Cloudy with widespread mist and fog elsewhere, lows 4 to 6 C.
SUNDAY rain will weaken to showers moving further east and the afternoon will become partly cloudy in some areas, highs 8 to 12 C.
MONDAY intervals of rain, heavy at times especially in west Munster where 20-40 mm is possible. Lows near 7 C and highs near 12 C.
TUESDAY partly cloudy to overcast, mild, some further rain likely mostly in western counties, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 C.
The rest of the week will be mild and unsettled but some dry intervals will be in the mix, highs 11 to 13 C. It will become even milder by Saturday next (22nd) then temperatures will fall gradually for a few days as a weak push of cooler air gets trapped over the region in a split flow pattern.

My local weather on Friday was overcast, we had about 3-5 cm of snow during the early morning but nothing further fell during the day and the high was a more temperate -4 C. A strong storm is brewing over the plains states and heading for the Midwest and lower lakes where some places could see 40-50 cm of snow and blizzard conditions by tonight and Sunday.

M.T. Cranium · 16-02-2025 08:05AM

Sunday, 16 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS ... Rather cloudy, frequent rainfall more persistent near Atlantic coasts, turning milder.
FORECASTS
TODAY mostly cloudy with some brighter intervals in central and eastern counties, once morning fog and mist break up, showery rainfalls continuing near Atlantic coasts, making some progress further east by afternoon but then tending to fragment to isolated showers. Highs 8 to 10 C.
TONIGHT foggy or misty, lows 4 to 6 C.
MONDAY rain becoming heavier and more persistent in western counties, 10-20 mm widespread there, some eastward drift of the rain during the afternoon and it will overspread the east coast by evening. Moderate southerly winds and highs near 10 C.
TUESDAY a bit more rain at times but generally somewhat drier, lows near 5 C and highs near 10 C.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will turn very mild with occasional rain and brief brighter intervals, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 C. Moderate to strong south-southwest winds 60-90 km/hr at times.
FRIDAY showers more isolated, lows near 5 C and highs near 11 C. Winds diminishing gradually.
WEEKEND to MONDAY will continue a bit unsettled, but with somewhat lighter breezes, and temperatures in a range of 9 to 12 C by day, and 3 to 7 C overnight.
My local weather on Saturday was overcast but dry, and temperatures were a bit milder again, reaching -3 C. Snow began after sunset and has accumulated to about 5 cm. Meanwhile, a snowstorm is setting up for the next day or so across the lower Great Lakes and inland New England, southern Quebec. This low will become quite strong when it reaches the Atlantic by Monday and will be just northwest of Ireland by Thursday but so far it does not appear likely to produce severe winds when it gets closer to Ireland, just an increase as noted in the forecasts above. It is trending faster and closer to Ireland in recent guidance so we need to keep an eye on it.

M.T. Cranium · 17-02-2025 08:26AM

Monday, 17 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Becoming milder with frequent rain especially in the western counties, sometimes quite windy but no damaging windstorms are indicated.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy in the east and overcast in the west with outbreaks of rain, gradually spreading further east but tending to weaken before reaching the east coast by late afternoon. Moderate southerly winds and highs near 11 C southwest, 7 to 9 C elsewhere.
TONIGHT cloudy, foggy or misty, patchy drizzle and mild, lows around 5 C.
TUESDAY variable cloud, occasional rain mostly near Atlantic coasts, highs 8 to 11 C.
WEDNESDAY windy and wet with some intervals of heavy rain, winds south-southwest 60 to 90 km/hr, lows near 6 C and highs near 13 C.
THURSDAY breezy to windy, a few showers, and a few brighter intervals, winds southerly 40 to 70 km/hr, lows near 6 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
FRIDAY once again windy and wet as another strong frontal system passes, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 or 14 C. Winds southwest 70 to 100 km/hr.
SATURDAY will be a little cooler between systems, with a few sunny breaks and highs near 8 C.
SUNDAY (23rd) that rather strong system we were tracking last week is back on the maps with renewed energy and it could be a low-level alert situation for winds and rainfall with temperatures around 12 C.
A gradual cooling trend will set in for the week following, as temperatures fall back close to late February normal values of highs near 9 or 10 C. It probably won't be as wet or as windy as the coming week.
So far the guidance does not go to extremes on the coming storm possibilities but given the history of this past winter we are keeping a very close eye on all guidance especially for 18th-19th and 23rd-24th, hopefully we can get through these two with just yellow alert conditions in most populated areas.

My local weather on Sunday was overcast with snow that left a fairly deep new coating of 15-18 cms. That replenishes our snow pack to its highest point so far this winter, 65 cms. That also happens to be the report out of Toronto after a second major snowfall event earlier Sunday, and it's very close to a record snow depth established there in January 1999. I found a sequence in their historical records in Feb 1846 that could have been deeper but they only had records of snowfalls and not snow depths for that far back. The same storm brought damaging freezing rain to parts of New York and southern New England, and a blizzard further north in the St Lawrence valley. It is turning out to be quite a harsh winter in many parts of North America.

M.T. Cranium · 18-02-2025 07:54AM

Tuesday, 18 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Becoming milder with frequent rain especially in the western counties, sometimes quite windy but no damaging windstorms are indicated.

FORECASTS

TODAY variable cloud, occasional rain mostly near Atlantic coasts, highs 8 to 11 C.

TONIGHT will be overcast with rain developing, lows near 7 C.

WEDNESDAY windy and wet with some intervals of heavy rain, winds south-southwest 60 to 90 km/hr, and highs near 13 C.

THURSDAY breezy to windy, a few showers, and a few brighter intervals, winds southerly 40 to 70 km/hr, lows near 6 C and highs 9 to 12 C.

FRIDAY once again windy and wet as another strong frontal system passes, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 or 14 C. Winds southwest 70 to 100 km/hr.

SATURDAY will be a little cooler with a few sunny breaks and highs near 8 C.

SUNDAY windy and mild, rain heavy at times, winds southwest 70 to 110 km/ r, highs near 12 C.

NEXT WEEK rather unsettled but not as windy, temperatures near 10 C.

My local weather was cloudy and milder with highs near -1 C.

M.T. Cranium · 19-02-2025 08:28AM

Wednesday, 19 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Becoming milder with frequent rain especially in the western counties, sometimes quite windy but no damaging windstorms are indicated.

FORECASTS

TODAY a few sunny breaks this morning, as last of overnight rain departs northeast, then becoming windy and wet with some intervals of heavy rain by afternoon and evening, winds south-southwest 60 to 90 km/hr, and highs near 13 C.
TONIGHT rain tapering off to showers, mild and breezy, lows 6 to 8.
THURSDAY breezy to windy, a few showers, and a few brighter intervals, winds southerly 40 to 70 km/hr, and highs 9 to 12 C.
FRIDAY once again windy and wet as another strong frontal system passes, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 or 14 C. Winds southwest 70 to 100 km/hr.
SATURDAY will be a little cooler with a few sunny breaks and highs near 8 C. Isolated showers near Atlantic coasts.
SUNDAY windy and mild, rain heavy at times, winds southwest 70 to 110 km/hr, lows near 7 C and highs near 12 C.
NEXT WEEK rather unsettled but not as windy, highs 8 to 10 C. Rain rather frequent but overall not as heavy as rest of this week is expected to be. Thursday 27th-Friday 28th could see a rather windy frontal passage. Following week (first week of March) looks very unsettled and could become stormy, hoping it won't go to extremes.

My local weather on Tuesday was partly cloudy and mild (by recent standards, near our seasonal average) with a high of 2 C. We're starting to get a slow thaw of snow near busy roads etc but it's not mild enough to change the overall snowpack. Very cold air has dropped into the south-central U.S. and created near-blizzard conditions in the plains states. Temperatures were only around -15 C in strong winds as far south as Oklahoma and north Texas. A snowstorm is now developing in the inland southeast but appears likely to avoid regions north of Virginia as it moves out into the Atlantic on Wednesday night and Thursday.

M.T. Cranium · 20-02-2025 08:37AM

Thursday, 20 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS ... Mild with frequent rain especially in the western counties, sometimes quite windy but no damaging windstorms are indicated. Cooler after Sunday although not dropping below late February averages by more than a degree or so.

FORECASTS
TODAY breezy to windy, a few showers, and a few brighter intervals, strong gusts at times this morning to 90 km/hr, winds easing later to southerly 40 to 70 km/hr, and highs 9 to 12 C.
TONIGHT windy and wet, 10-15 mm rain likely, winds southerly 60 to 90 km/hr, lows near 7 C.
FRIDAY once again windy and wet (strongest winds before noon) as another strong frontal system passes, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 or 14 C. Winds southwest 70 to 100 km/hr easing later to westerly 50 to 70 km/hr as temperatures fall off to near 9 C.
SATURDAY will be a little cooler with a few sunny breaks, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 8 to 10 C. Isolated showers near Atlantic coasts. Breezy but becoming very windy after nightfall.
SUNDAY windy and mild, rain heavy at times, winds southwest 70 to 110 km/hr, lows near 7 C and highs near 12 C.
MONDAY and TUESDAY breezy to windy, rather cold, passing showers may contain hail, lows near 5 C and highs near 8 C.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy with a break in the showers until rain arrives later in the day, lows near 2 C and highs 8 to 10 C.
Once again rather windy and wet at times as February closes out a week from today (and Friday 28th), then more unsettled in early March, as I mentioned yesterday, no systems that go to extremes on the charts but it's a long way off and quite active looking so fingers crossed we don't see any intensification, most threatening looks are around 1st and 7th of March, and it could be rather cold for a few days between those peaks of Atlantic storminess (but so far only as strong as today's windy weather) ...

My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with wet snow that turned to drizzle (started as drizzle in lower elevations) and temperatures were near +1 C but it felt quite raw and chilly. Spring is probably at least a month away here. Some heavy snow fell between Raleigh NC and Richmond VA but it didn't extend further north and that storm is now well out into the Atlantic (its remnants will become the predicted event for Sunday (23rd). It was extremely cold in all central regions of the U.S. and Canada. A modified version of that cold will reach the east coast later today but it will lose its extreme chill.

M.T. Cranium · 21-02-2025 08:29AM

Friday, 21 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS ... Mild with frequent rain especially in the western counties, sometimes quite windy. Cooler after Sunday although not dropping below late February averages by more than a degree or so.
FORECASTS
TODAY will start off windy and wet with continued strong winds especially in parts of Leinster before noon, as another strong frontal system passes, with highs near 13 or 14 C. Winds south-southwest 70 to 110 km/hr easing later to southwesterly 50 to 70 km/hr as temperatures fall off to near 9 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with a few showers and breezy, lows near 3 C inland, 6 C near coasts.
SATURDAY will be a little cooler with a few sunny breaks, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 8 to 10 C. Isolated showers near Atlantic coasts. Breezy but becoming very windy after nightfall.
SUNDAY windy and mild, rain heavy at times, winds southwest 70 to 110 km/hr, lows near 7 C and highs near 12 C. Like today, the strongest winds will be around sunrise and through the morning hours.
MONDAY to THURSDAY, breezy to windy at times, rather cold, passing showers each day may contain hail, lows 2 to 5 C and highs near 8 C in most places, closer to 10 C in south.
By FRIDAY 28th FEB, windy and wet again with highs near 11 C.
The week of 1st to 7th of March looks quite unsettled and windy at times with frequent rain.
My local weather on Thursday was overcast with quite a low ceiling and spits of sleety light snow but no accumulation, highs near +1 C.

M.T. Cranium · 22-02-2025 07:56AM

Saturday, 22 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... After a generally pleasant day today, rain and wind will return on Sunday. Following that, considerably colder at times, variable skies with intervals of rain mid-week and Friday night into Saturday as March arrives.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, brief passing showers this morning in west and north, likely to be mostly dry in south and east but can't rule out an isolated shower mid-day. Highs 8 to 11 C.
TONIGHT increasing cloud, lowest temperatures in the evening will be 3 to 5 C then it will warm up in a strong south to southwest wind, with heavy rain by morning. Winds increasing to southerly 50 to 80 km/hr.
SUNDAY very windy at first with squally showers and isolated thunder, followed by partial clearing and further showers. Winds south-southwesterly 70 to 110 km/hr, veering to west-southwesterly at about 50 to 80 km/hr. Highs near 13 C.
MONDAY will be breezy to windy and colder with passing showers, some containing small hail. Lows near 3 C and highs near 8 C. Winds westerly 40 to 70 km/hr with higher gusts possible.
TUESDAY partly cloudy with showers more isolated, lows near 1 C and highs near 8 C.
WEDNESDAY overcast with intervals of rain, these becoming heavy during the late afternoon and evening in parts of southwest Munster to south Leinster. Lows near 3 C and highs near 9 C.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY will continue rather cool and partly cloudy with occasional passing showers, lows near 3 C and highs near 8 C.
FRIDAY NIGHT into SATURDAY (1st of March) will bring rain and moderate southeast to south winds. Temperatures will be 8 to 10 C.
The following week will be rather active, but latest guidance shows colder high pressure forming over north-central Europe and sometimes interacting with the Atlantic flow, more likely to bring colder air to Britain than Ireland, but it could result in a deflection of stronger winds towards northwest counties only.

My local weather on Friday was overcast with drizzle turning to wet snow in the evening, about 5 cm new snow has fallen and the temperature has been steady near the freezing point.

M.T. Cranium · 23-02-2025 08:10AM

Sunday, 23 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Today, Wednesday and Friday night into Saturday will be wet intervals, but only today will also feature strong winds, the days in between the wet days will be partly cloudy with just a few scattered showers, and some sunshine at times, with temperatures near average for late February (after today's above normal readings).

FORECASTS
TODAY will be windy and wet to around mid-day, with bursts of heavy rain all morning before partial clearing sets in. At that point, the strong south-southwest winds 70-110 km/hr will ease slightly to southwest 50-80 km/hr. Variable cloud and scattered showers will follow. Highs near 13 C.
TONIGHT partly cloudy, isolated showers, lows 3 to 6 C.
MONDAY partly cloudy, a few showers more widespread in west and north, moderate westerly breezes 40 to 70 km/hr, highs 8 to 10 C.
TUESDAY variable cloud, a few showers, cool. Lows 1 to 3 C and highs 7 to 10 C.
WEDNESDAY outbreaks of rain, mostly light after some heavier showers in the morning, lows near 5 C and highs near 10 C. An interval of heavier rain could develop overnight across parts of the south.
THURSDAY gradual clearing, cool. Lows 2 to 5 C and highs 7 to 9 C.
FRIDAY sunny intervals, increasing cloud, rain by evening in moderate southeast to south winds. Lows -2 to +3 C and highs 8 to 11 C.
SATURDAY (1st of March) will be overcast and breezy with frequent showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 11 C.
The first week of March will be generally rather mild and a little unsettled, but no strong winds are indicated.

My local weather on Saturday was overcast, about 10 cm of snow was on the ground by sunrise, then it became generally dry with spits of sleety light rain or snow but no real accumulation added, and it turned a bit milder with a high near 2 C (7 C in the nearby valley where most of the recent snow has now melted, we're still stuck with a large snow pack of about 60 cm).

M.T. Cranium · 24-02-2025 07:51AM

Monday, 24 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Temperatures near average, occasional showers but not as much rain as recently, and also not as windy.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be breezy with passing showers but also a reasonable amount of sunshine, winds westerly 50 to 70 km/hr, showers more frequent in west and north. Highs 8 to 10 C.
TONIGHT will bring some clear intervals and lows of 2 to 5 C.
TUESDAY variable cloud, a few showers, highs near 10 C.
WEDNESDAY a band of showers will pass during the morning, latest guidance has weakened this system and it may clear completely by evening. Lows near 5 C and highs near 10 C.
THURSDAY variable cloud with sunny intervals more frequent by afternoon, isolated showers. Lows near 1 C and highs near 9 C.
FRIDAY increasing cloud by afternoon after some places have a frosty start, rain into the overnight hours will be fairly light (again, guidance has weakened this system also). Lows -2 to +2 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
SATURDAY a few showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 11 C.
The trend into early March is starting to look warmer and we could see temperatures into the mid-teens at some point.

My local weather is also turning milder, as blocking over North America breaks down to allow Pacific air masses easier access to western Canada. Sunday's high was around 5 C here and 10 C in snow-free valleys. A little light rain was falling at times, for the first time all winter.

M.T. Cranium · 25-02-2025 08:31AM

Tuesday, 25 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Temperatures near average, occasional showers but not a large accumulation this week, and also not as windy as the previous week.

FORECASTS

TODAY sunny intervals at first, showers building in west and north, some making it across to east coast by mid-day and afternoon, with variable cloud replacing the sunshine, a few showers may be thundery, highs near 10 C.
TONIGHT some rather heavy showers (5-15 mm) in western counties will tend to weaken moving east and some parts of Leinster could remain dry or at least see less than 2 mm. Lows around 5 to 7 C.
WEDNESDAY the remnants of this band of showers will pass during the morning, and it may clear partially if not completely by evening. with highs near 10 C.
THURSDAY variable cloud with sunny intervals more frequent by afternoon, isolated showers. Lows near 1 C. Highs near 9 C.
FRIDAY increasing cloud by afternoon after some places have a frosty start, rain into the overnight hours will be fairly light (again, guidance has weakened this system also). Lows -2 to +2 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
SATURDAY a few showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 11 C.
SUNDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers, lows near 4 C and highs near 10 C.
The trend into early March is looking warmer and we could see temperatures into the mid-teens at some point.

My local weather on Monday was overcast with temperatures steady between -1 and +1 C. This allowed the slushy mess to freeze leading to very slippery conditions in a few spots.

M.T. Cranium · 26-02-2025 08:36AM

Wednesday, 26 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Temperatures near average, occasional showers but not a large accumulation this week, and also not as windy as the previous week. Warmer next week.

FORECASTS

TODAY some scattered showers in a rather disorganized pattern, so hit or miss rainfall amounts of 1 to 5 mm in addition to the variable amounts that occurred last night in some regions. Sunshine will break out in a few places between the clusters of showers. Westerly breezes will also be variable in strength, gusty near stronger showers. Some south central counties could see a brief thunderstorm. Highs 8 to 11 C.
TONIGHT a gradual clearing trend and becoming rather cold especially inland, lows 1 to 4 C.
THURSDAY variable cloud with sunny intervals more frequent by afternoon, isolated showers, with highs near 9 C.
FRIDAY sunny at first with increasing cloud by afternoon after some places have a frosty start, rain into the overnight hours will be fairly light. Lows -2 to +2 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
SATURDAY a few showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 11 C. There will likely be more persistent rain near northwest coasts than elsewhere and some places in the inland southeast could remain dry.
SUNDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers, lows near 4 C and highs near 12 C.
MONDAY will become very mild and hazy, with a spring-like high of 12 to 15 C.
It will stay dry for a few days next week, before some more persistent rain develops towards late Wednesday (5th March) into Thursday 6th March. Temperatures will remain a little above normal for early March.

My local weather on Tuesday was overcast with light rain or melting snow at times, temperatures steady near 2 or 3 C.

M.T. Cranium · 27-02-2025 08:25AM

Thursday, 27 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Relatively dry, as any frontal systems will be fairly weak until later next week. Increasingly mild after two rather cool days today and Friday.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly sunny and rather cool, with some patchy frost this morning slow to clear in shaded areas. A few isolated and very brief showers could come and go across parts of the north and northwest. Highs 8 to 10 C.
TONIGHT clear with widespread frost, lows -3 to +2 C. Some patchy freezing fog possible towards dawn.
FRIDAY will start out frosty with scattered areas of fog inland, then sunshine will be dimmed by afternoon as higher cloud layers move in from the west. Highs 8 to 11 C.
SATURDAY a few outbreaks of light rain in the west and north, spreading further east but becoming patchy before dying out before reaching all areas of Leinster and east Munster by afternoon. Lows near 4 C and highs near 11 C.
SUNDAY some morning fog then hazy and rather mild, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
MONDAY patchy morning fog, hazy and mild daytime hours, lows near 4 C and highs near 13 C.
TUESDAY increasing cloud, mild, lows near 4 C and highs 13 to 15 C.
WEDNESDAY 5th to SATURDAY 8th March, more frequent rain in a southerly flow, becoming foggy at times, lows generally 7 to 9 C and highs 11 to 13 C.

My local weather on Wednesday was overcast and relatively mild with highs near 5 C. A slow melt of our extensive deep snow pack is underway with just a slight reduction in local snow depth where it hasn't already been removed.

M.T. Cranium · 28-02-2025 08:27AM

Friday, 28 February, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... A rather quiet weather pattern will prevail with dry conditions in most areas until well on into the later portions of next week, when some rain can be expected. Temperatures will slowly rise to somewhat above average values for a while, then may drop back gradually and go below average for a portion of mid-March. Some blocking tendencies are beginning to show up on later parts of recent computer runs and while I wouldn't say a really cold easterly is a high probability, some cooler east winds could be in the mix.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with increasing afternoon cloud in western counties. Morning frost and a few fog patches may be slow to clear in shaded valley locations inland. It will be quite pleasant by mid-day and not very windy away from Atlantic coasts. Highs 8 to 11 C.
TONIGHT patchy light rain near western coasts, staying partly cloudy to clear further east. Lows -1 to +3 C east, 2 to 5 C west.
SATURDAY the west coastal rain (even there not very heavy) will tend to fragment into isolated showers as it tries to push east into the drier air mass, and some places may stay dry. Highs 8 to 11 C.
SUNDAY hazy and rather mild by afternoon after a chilly start, lows -2 to +3 C, highs 9 to 12 C.
MONDAY cloudy with some hazy sun at times, mild. Lows 3 to 6 C and highs 10 to 14 C.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will continue partly cloudy to overcast and relatively mild with lows 4 to 7 C and highs 9 to 13 C.
Some rain is likely later in the week, gradually developing in slow-moving and rather weak low pressure areas replacing the high pressure as a dominant feature. Temperatures will fall into a narrow range of about 7 to 10 C much of the time. Some clearing will come and go in this rather low-energy weather regime, and eventually it could transition to a colder easterly flow.

My local weather was pleasantly mild for the first time in our very slowly developing spring here, and the high was around 7 C, closer to 12 C in snow-free valleys. Our snow pack has sagged a little but also it's being subjected to daily freeze-thaw cycles turning piles of cleared snow into icy obstacles here and there while some parts of the town get quite slushy underfoot. Eastern regions have had a milder week than most of the past winter. Highs have been into the range of 14 to 18 C in the east coast states. It's about to turn much colder there starting on the weekend.

M.T. Cranium · 01-03-2025 07:37AM

Saturday, 1 March, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... A rather quiet weather pattern will prevail with small amounts of rain today and a dry interval to Thursday when rain may resume in places. Temperatures rising gradually to become 3 to 4 deg above average.

FORECASTS

TODAY a band of rain, weakening as it edges eastward, will start off in north midlands to west Munster, and may have lost most of its limited moisture before passing Dublin late morning to mid-day. Parts of the southeast will remain dry and in western counties a slow clearing trend will follow the morning showers. Highs 8 to 10 C.
TONIGHT partly cloudy with fog patches, lows -1 to +3 C, scattered light frost in central counties.
SUNDAY and MONDAY will be similar, partly cloudy to overcast, a bit hazy if sunshine develops, and also a bit milder. Highs 10 to 13 C.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will likely turn very mild with a few intervals of hazy sunshine, coastal fog near south coast at least, and highs inland 12 to 15 C. Overnight lows in range 3 to 7 C.
By THURSDAY an interval of frequent light rain will begin and spread east, highs 11 to 13 C.
NEXT WEEKEND will likely be slightly cooler as it clears from the northwest, highs near 9 or 10 C and a touch of frost inland.
Another very mild spell will follow.

My local weather on Friday was sunny and mild, with highs close to 10 C, and probably 14 to 17 C in most lower elevations of the region.

M.T. Cranium · 02-03-2025 08:23AM

Sunday, 2 March, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Turning warmer gradually, with generally dry weather to Thursday, then several days of light showery rain. Another dry spell is expected to begin around Sunday 9th.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with sunny breaks, and rather misty near hills, highs 10 to 12 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with a few clear intervals, lows 3 to 5 C.
MONDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with patchy drizzle near northwest Atlantic coasts but otherwise generally dry, highs 11 to 13 C.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY will be spring-like as a little sun from time to time helps boost temperatures into the 14-16 C range away from any cooling sea breezes. Some southern coastal areas could be cloudier with mist or fog and highs 10-12 C. Nights will be mild too (lows 4 to 7 C).
THURSDAY to SATURDAY expect an increase in southeasterly wind to 40-60 km/hr, and occasional passing showers or outbreaks of rain, possibly heavy at times inland south to west midlands and Connacht. Highs will be 10 to 12 C in this wetter interval.
By SUNDAY 9th another dry spell is expected to begin and there could be a slight chill at first as Ireland will be on the far outer edges of an extensive European cold air mass, more noticeably cold in Britain and possibly near Irish Sea coasts in Ireland. This dry spell could slowly warm up as winds turn more southeasterly.
Another disturbed interval is likely by mid-month. Temperatures will stay near average or a little above and I see some potential for very warm spells in the second half of March.

My local weather was sunny and very mild on Saturday, people were walking around in spring-like clothing for the first time this year, and highs were near 12 C despite our remnant snow pack. A clear evening gave a fabulous view away from any light pollution of the very early crescent moon near Venus. This will repeat in a different orientation tonight, if your skies clear for any time, have a look near the western horizon. Jupiter is also prominent, not as bright as Venus but located almost overhead after sunset now, and Mars off to its left (east). They are very easy to find on either side of Orion high in the southern skies by 8-9 p.m. local times.

M.T. Cranium · 03-03-2025 08:58AM

Monday, 3 March, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Becoming quite warm midweek, dry to Thursday in many places, a few days of showery rain to Saturday and another dry spell setting in by around Sunday.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast, milder, highs 11 to 13 C.
TONIGHT overcast, misty, mild. Lows 4 to 7 C.
TUESDAY partly cloudy, some spells of warm sunshine inland, highs 12 to 15 C. South coast could remain "socked in" by low cloud and fog, drizzle, highs near 11 C.
WEDNESDAY, partly cloudy and warm again, lows near 6 C and highs 13 to 16 C. Again, south coast may see fog and low cloud.
THURSDAY increasing cloud, outbreaks of light rain spreading from west to east late in the day, lows near 7 C and highs 12 to 14 C.
FRIDAY variable cloud, a few showers, lows near 7 C and highs 12 to 14 C.
SATURDAY breezy with showers and isolated thunderstorms, winds southeast 40-60 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs near 12 C.
SUNDAY could see gradual clearing and only a few isolated showers as the southeast flow brings in warmer air, highs could be back into mid-teens.
Long term, after a few more pleasant days, it's possible that a pattern change will allow colder air back into the picture, but this is probably not carved in stone yet.

My local weather was sunny with high cloud at times, mild with a high near 12 C. It turned much colder in eastern regions of North America and some places were 30 (F) degrees colder than the previous day. It was a largely dry cold front with a bit of snow in northern New England.

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