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Turning Colder Thursday - Wintry Showers/Snow to High Ground

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    #242
    Slashermcguirk
    Registered Users Posts: 1,980 ✭✭✭Slashermcguirk


    It’s hard enough to forecast one week ahead, no way of knowing an easterly won’t arrive in 2 weeks, let alone 2 months. Sure up until a week ago people on here seeing mild muck winter. It’s already snowing and not just on high ground
    Gonzo wrote: »
    this spell was never going to amount of anything away from high ground in Donegal and Northern Ireland. We need an easterly and unfortunately doesn't look we'll get one till maybe February or March if we're lucky.

    Atlantic cold spells are modified too much most of the time and nearly always depend on being above 200 meters in the north-west of the country to see any lying snow that sticks around for more than a few hours.

    The trend for this month is a cool first half of December but never really cold enough for snow in low lying areas at any point and then a return to the westerlies and mild for the second half of December.


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    #243
    Humberto Salazar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 624 ✭✭✭Humberto Salazar


    Enjoy the snow those who see it. It could be the last this winter. Blowtorch southwesterlies likely for the rest of winter. We'll be lucky to see a hard frost or two at best.


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    #244
    lostweekend3
    Registered Users Posts: 58 ✭✭lostweekend3


    Humberto Salazar wrote: »
    Enjoy the snow those who see it. It could be the last this winter. Blowtorch southwesterlies likely for the rest of winter. We'll be lucky to see a hard frost or two at best.

    Nonsense. It’s easy to say that as it’s our prevailing wind and the form horse but it may and probably won’t turn out like that. Nobody knows what the weather in Ireland will be like in 3 or 4 weeks time. The weather will do what it wants and that could involve some surprises. No way this winter can be written off.


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    #245
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    lostweekend3 wrote: »
    Nonsense. It’s easy to say that as it’s our prevailing wind and the form horse but it may and probably won’t turn out like that. Nobody knows what the weather in Ireland will be like in 3 or 4 weeks time. The weather will do what it wants and that could involve some surprises. No way this winter can be written off.

    Wise words; thank you. Love optimism....


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    #246
    Slashermcguirk
    Registered Users Posts: 1,980 ✭✭✭Slashermcguirk


    I love how people are writing off the winter and its already snowing on 3rd December! you couldnt make it up, Ireland comes into its own when it comes to people moaning and spouting negativity

    cheer up and embrace the fact that its snowing already 3 days into winter, even if its not snowing in your own garden.


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    #247
    An Ri rua
    Registered Users Posts: 4,475 ✭✭✭An Ri rua


    Snow visible on Capard Ridge all day today. Slieve Bloom Mountains, Northeast.


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    #248
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,892 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Gonzo wrote: »

    Atlantic cold spells are modified too much most of the time and nearly always depend on being above 200 meters in the north-west of the country to see any lying snow that sticks around for more than a few hours.

    The trend for this month is a cool first half of December but never really cold enough for snow in low lying areas at any point and then a return to the westerlies and mild for the second half of December.

    Where are you getting information that the second half of December will be mild?? It's the 3rd December and if anything the synoptics are looking v good


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    #249
    Cluedo Monopoly
    Registered Users Posts: 8,709 ✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Great to see snow on the Connemara mountains today.

    Hard frost this evening. Cold one in store.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



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    #250
    dexter647
    Registered Users Posts: 1,218 ✭✭✭dexter647


    Gonzo wrote: »
    this spell was never going to amount of anything away from high ground in Donegal and Northern Ireland. We need an easterly and unfortunately doesn't look we'll get one till maybe February or March if we're lucky.

    Atlantic cold spells are modified too much most of the time and nearly always depend on being above 200 meters in the north-west of the country to see any lying snow that sticks around for more than a few hours.

    The trend for this month is a cool first half of December but never really cold enough for snow in low lying areas at any point and then a return to the westerlies and mild for the second half of December.

    How can you possible say we won't get an easterly till February or March?...Hard enough to predict the weather a few days out here let alone a couple of months away...


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    #251
    Slashermcguirk
    Registered Users Posts: 1,980 ✭✭✭Slashermcguirk


    It’s the unbearable negativity. At best forecasts in Ireland can be done 5 days out, I think a full week is nearly impossible. The idea that we could already know what will happen the second half of December let alone January and February is farcical
    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    Where are you getting information that the second half of December will be mild?? It's the 3rd December and if anything the synoptics are looking v good


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    #252
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,736 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    dexter647 wrote: »
    How can you possible say we won't get an easterly till February or March?...Hard enough to predict the weather a few days out here let alone a couple of months away...

    at the moment there appears to be too much energy up over Greenland to hold any blocking for a sustained amount of time and there is a trend towards a very active Atlantic for January. Of course these are just predictions and the weather does what it wants. If luck is on our side we would be looking for a SSW in December to perhaps bring in more sustained and reliable blocking in January or early February, cutting off the Atlantic and then we could be in with a chance of a long fetch easterly or proper northerly. Of course even a decent SSW does not guarantee that we can tap into decent cold, but it certainly helps.


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    #253
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,851 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Could have dangerous roads later on and in the morning.

    2.0C here near Tralee.

    Wind has gone near calm. NW

    Less showers but just had a sleety one.


    https://wow.met.ie/

    0QaRFVf.gif

    WmLwzva.png


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    #254
    Jimbob1977
    Registered Users Posts: 2,239 ✭✭✭Jimbob1977


    Frozen windscreen at 4.30pm in Limerick.


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    #255
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,851 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    More precipitation in the E, SE and S tomorrow, bit wintry on higher ground, should get a few white caps, Wicklow Mts could get a bit of a pasting.

    anim_yhm1.gif


    3347_xjr4.png

    3637_xhq9.png


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    #256
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,903 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Yes it's an interesting spell here in the Northwest but it wont bring any severe cold and as mentioned earlier mild weather is nailed on after mid month. The only hope is that before it we get a proper snow fest which I wouldnt entirely write off due to the long hours of darkness temperatures over 6c will be rare in the next 2 weeks


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    #257
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,886 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Not going to happen all the showers are missing us out West


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    #258
    lostweekend3
    Registered Users Posts: 58 ✭✭lostweekend3


    pauldry wrote: »
    Yes it's an interesting spell here in the Northwest but it wont bring any severe cold and as mentioned earlier mild weather is nailed on after mid month. The only hope is that before it we get a proper snow fest which I wouldnt entirely write off due to the long hours of darkness temperatures over 6c will be rare in the next 2 weeks

    Mild weather is nailed on is it. You’re some man.


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    #259
    Slashermcguirk
    Registered Users Posts: 1,980 ✭✭✭Slashermcguirk


    Can everyone cut it out with stuff like mild is ‘nailed on’ after mid month. It’s absolute nonsense. Even met Éireann always say anything more than 5 days out is crystal ball stuff. There is zero chance anybody can forecast 2-3 weeks away!

    Can we not just see how the weather conditions evolve each week at a time without the ridiculous month, two month ahead predictions and assumptions. They are completely meaningless


    quote="pauldry;115504992"]Yes it's an interesting spell here in the Northwest but it wont bring any severe cold and as mentioned earlier mild weather is nailed on after mid month. The only hope is that before it we get a proper snow fest which I wouldnt entirely write off due to the long hours of darkness temperatures over 6c will be rare in the next 2 weeks[/quote]


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    #260
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    WBT are now well down where we want them where there's no precipitation, but where there is they're too high for snow. Reports are still of the rainy type.

    The 00Z aviation chart is below.

    535080.png

    535081.png

    535082.png


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    #261
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Slashermcguirk wrote: »
    Can everyone cut it out with stuff like mild is ‘nailed on’ after mid month. It’s absolute nonsense. Even met Éireann always say anything more than 5 days out is crystal ball stuff. There is zero chance anybody can forecast 2-3 weeks away!

    Can we not just see how the weather conditions evolve each week at a time without the ridiculous month, two month ahead predictions and assumptions. They are completely meaningless


    Well said. After the wonderful snowday many of us have had it is sad to see it debunked. I get the interest etc but ..

    Just has been grand and as I said yesterday even had it not snowed etc here I would have been delighted for others. Sharing the pleasure. As so many here have :D


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    #262
    lostweekend3
    Registered Users Posts: 58 ✭✭lostweekend3


    Slashermcguirk wrote: »
    Can everyone cut it out with stuff like mild is ‘nailed on’ after mid month. It’s absolute nonsense. Even met Éireann always say anything more than 5 days out is crystal ball stuff. There is zero chance anybody can forecast 2-3 weeks away!

    Can we not just see how the weather conditions evolve each week at a time without the ridiculous month, two month ahead predictions and assumptions. They are completely meaningless

    Well said Slasher!

    quote="pauldry;115504992"]Yes it's an interesting spell here in the Northwest but it wont bring any severe cold and as mentioned earlier mild weather is nailed on after mid month. The only hope is that before it we get a proper snow fest which I wouldnt entirely write off due to the long hours of darkness temperatures over 6c will be rare in the next 2 weeks
    [/quote]


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    #263
    Reiketsu
    Registered Users Posts: 1,096 ✭✭✭Reiketsu


    A light dusting of snow here in County Derry, around 83m elevation.


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    #264
    BringBackMick
    Registered Users Posts: 1,086 ✭✭✭BringBackMick


    Snow this evening is falling quite heavily not far from Falcarragh


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    #265
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,903 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Back up to 7c tomorrow in Sligo suddenly. I thought it wouldnt go above 6c for days. Maybe it's just a brief mild sector with the wind and rain of weekend. Sunday looks pretty cold and dry only 3 or 4c

    Re being banned from giving long range weather forecasts on a weather thread I dont think it's the biggest sin to say mild weather is pretty nailed on when the weather models that showed a trend towards cold are showing a trend towards mild. After all we do live in Atlantic dominated Ireland where our weather is dominated by fairly mild Atlantic weather 90 per cent of the time so there is a high chance of this happening but I will say I was wrong on December 16th if I am.


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    #266
    RedPeppers
    Registered Users Posts: 606 ✭✭✭RedPeppers


    Snowing away here in north Galway


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    #267
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    An Ri rua wrote: »
    Snow visible on Capard Ridge all day today. Slieve Bloom Mountains, Northeast.

    There is a light dusting on the 'Blooms:

    129096197_3501990879915006_5206810148003249727_o.jpg?_nc_cat=102&ccb=2&_nc_sid=8bfeb9&_nc_ohc=5aCP47PkWesAX-LCKS1&_nc_ht=scontent-dub4-1.xx&oh=861e07157cfdeea5e83ec3ccc49e584f&oe=5FEE8794

    A few more pics on the LaoisWeather Facebook Page.


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    #268
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    First snow shower of the season here. Brief but lay.

    https://streamable.com/krjpip

    New Moon



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    #269
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,656 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Well, Well, after being outside earlier in clear skies I assumed we were going to have a dry night, so imagine my surprise when i looked outside a few minutes ago to see a dusting of snow on the ground!


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    #270
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    nacho libre wrote: »
    Well, Well, after being outside earlier in clear skies I assumed we were going to have a dry night, so imagine my surprise when i looked outside a few minutes ago to see a dusting of snow on the ground!
    Your legendary snow dance worked!
    giphy.gif?cid=ecf05e47r38sf38b4cgibewz63r51yzai8t8yrzdrakpfaqd&rid=giphy.gif

    New Moon



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    #271
    Wine Goddess
    Registered Users Posts: 550 ✭✭✭Wine Goddess


    nacho libre wrote: »
    Well, Well, after being outside earlier in clear skies I assumed we were going to have a dry night, so imagine my surprise when i looked outside a few minutes ago to see a dusting of snow on the ground!

    Where are you again, Nacho? Dead jealous I am


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