National: Severe Cold/ Snow Discussion (Thanks to all!)

Weathercheck, is this 48 hour one different ?



M.T. we need you!!!! (hope this works)

I give up it seems a bit hype over the last few days for nothing,logging out

hmmm.. me thinks that the talk of a downgrade was a crowd dispersal technique !! Well played !;)

temp dropped to 3 degrees in Letterkenny, the rain stopped over an hour ago and the skys cleared briefly, now theres heavy cloud cover.

Firstly, I think that widespread snow is still somewhat likely over Friday night. I said that the models were overdoing it and when they've made such a dramatic swing in the other direction, it's hard to take them as seriously. Though having checked the NAE's charts it's a little disappointing.

The programmed path of Friday night's fun and games still look a little dubious to me, and something akin to the UKMO's output yesterday evening except shifted further south is looking the most likely outcome for me, barely though as there are a lot of options to choose from. There's a good chance that the remnants of the Polar Vortex comes a bit further south and west than expected and that itself could deliver the goods over Saturday, on top of the strengthening LP skirting Cork on Friday night, albeit in the north and east.

The other thing - about this Polar Low development today: there ain't much of a polar low expected by me to hit Ireland anyway, as the 500hPa temperatures near or upwind of Ireland aren't up to scratch. As the sea is a bit warmer than other occasions I could see a PL being sustained with perhaps -39 or -38 degree air but not with the -35/-36 air just to the north of Ireland. What I would hope for is that the remains of the PL brings some organised snow to the northern half of Ireland later this evening. So lots to look forward to still, but it certainly won't be another December 2000.

millymoo wrote: »

I've been reading this thread and the last one and must say I have become very interested in the weather! I give the hubby a little breakdown every night and he wonders where I'm getting my info
I'm in meath and right now it's 5.9 degrees and sunny.
Hard to see anything changing in the near future :mad:
Oh I do love the snow but was housebound big time last time round....
I wonder now if we may just have a white Christmas?....

So what charts or models do you base this on :rolleyes:

Can I ask why so many people on the weather forum want snow? What's the fascination with it?

The last snowfall made me very cold, stranded me at airports, made it dangerous to get to work and cost me hundreds of euro in missed work hours, flight changes, etc.

I'm due to fly to England again this weekend so I for on hope not a flake of snow falls in either country.

Iancar29 wrote: »

IM still being optimistic... I just have too!...

We cant let all the hype just go like that when theres still more runs to look at!

Yeah, things changed drastically in that run, I wouldn't be surprised to see the same happen in the next run.

Keep the faith people ! :pac:

jonnyfingers wrote: »

Can I ask why so many people on the weather forum want snow? What's the fascination with it?

The last snowfall made me very cold, stranded me at airports, made it dangerous to get to work and cost me hundreds of euro in missed work hours, flight changes, etc.

I'm due to fly to England again this weekend so I for on hope not a flake of snow falls in either country.

Weather enthusiasts love extremes be it heavy rain, strong winds, freezing conditions, snow,hail or heat. If you're not a weather nut it's hard to explain. Some people like to watch 30 men chase a egg around a pitch (I believe they call it rugby). It's just each to their own interests.
Anyway as we all know the Mother Nature will do what she pleases regardless of what weather anybody wishes for.