Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

Del.Monte · 10-11-2018 10:23PM

Del.Monte wrote: »

In a real quandary this morning

England v All Blacks

No-hopers England to win @ 9/2 is throwing good money away and NZ -14 @ 10/11 looks to be the sensible option although England always manage to raise their game against the All Blacks?

Perhaps try scorers are the way to go? Damien McKenzie starts at full-back and @5/4 for an anytime try looks good; Beauden Barrett @ 13/8; Ioane Rieko try at 8/11 a certainty?; Aaron Smith 13/5; Sonny Bill 16/5; Codie Taylor 2/1 and assuming England aren't nilled Chris Ashton 17/10.

Wales v Australia:

Australia > 10.5 in the 1st half @ 4/5
Tryscorers: Beale 9/2; Hooper 9/2; and Halfpenny 6/1

Confused? I am, and I haven't even dealt with France/SA or Ireland/Argentina yet.

Well, things didn't quite go according to plan - especially on the Ashton bet which I foolishly thought better of. Anyway, 33% down after those two games I quit and didn't bother with the Ireland or South Africa games.

sydthebeat · 10-11-2018 11:13PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

some fun bets for the weekend

Thanks Wales

The real mccoy 91 · 14-11-2018 03:36PM

Scotland look the bet of the weekend to me straight win @6/4 only lost to the all blacks in their last 10 at home. South Africa without faf too

sydthebeat · 14-11-2018 04:22PM

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Scotland look the bet of the weekend to me straight win @6/4 only lost to the all blacks in their last 10 at home. South Africa without faf too

would prefer to see the weather forecast closer to the game.

Currently looking like perfect weather conditions, but it may be worth waiting 36hrs for more clearer forecast.

sydthebeat · 14-11-2018 04:23PM

ireland to win by 13+ @ 8/1

Del.Monte · 14-11-2018 07:21PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

ireland to win by 13+ @ 8/1

Surely worth a few Euros as the ABs are playing well below par but then again the England game may have given them a fright.

aloooof · 15-11-2018 09:57AM

I hate to say it but I think NZ by 1-12 points @ 7/4 is very good value.

sydthebeat · 15-11-2018 03:07PM

aloooof wrote: »

I hate to say it but I think NZ by 1-12 points @ 7/4 is very good value.

take that if you can get it

same bet is 8/5 on PP ... with 13+ @7/4

you sure you read it correct?

aloooof · 15-11-2018 03:09PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

take that if you can get it

same bet is 8/5 on PP ... with 13+ @7/4

you sure you read it correct?

Was that yesterday on betfair, has come in to 17/10 today. Not sure if that's since team announcement.

EDIT: Betfair also have NZ 13+ at 15/8

sydthebeat · 15-11-2018 03:18PM

yeah PP odds are always poor when it comes to rugby.

heebusjeebus · 15-11-2018 03:57PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

yeah PP odds are always poor when it comes to rugby.

PP also have NZ winning margin 1-12 at 2/1 too. Think ye are confusing this market with the handicaps.

aloooof · 15-11-2018 03:59PM

heebusjeebus wrote: »

PP also have NZ winning margin 1-12 at 2/1 too. Think ye are confusing this market with the handicaps.

Don't think so. Just checked it now, winning Margin market for NZ 1-12 is 8/5 as syd said.

https://www.paddypower.com/rugby-union/international-matches/ireland-v-new-zealand-28639996

heebusjeebus · 15-11-2018 04:21PM

aloooof wrote: »

Don't think so. Just checked it now, winning Margin market for NZ 1-12 is 8/5 as syd said.

https://www.paddypower.com/rugby-union/international-matches/ireland-v-new-zealand-28639996

Ah ok. I got it earlier at 2/1. Probably before the squad announcement.

franglan · 16-11-2018 01:23AM

Gone for NZ - 2 @7/10. We'll see if it's great valyeah!

The Caveman · 16-11-2018 12:31PM

any advice for putting €20 on Scotland vs SA Game?

sydthebeat · 16-11-2018 03:10PM

The Caveman wrote: »

any advice for putting €20 on Scotland vs SA Game?

Under 48.5 points

This could be a slogfest of forwards

sydthebeat · 16-11-2018 03:29PM

The real mccoy 91 · 16-11-2018 05:25PM

The Caveman wrote: »

any advice for putting €20 on Scotland vs SA Game?

My money is going on Scotland to win also will be playing seymour and hogg anytime tryscorers 6/4 and 11/5

The real mccoy 91 · 16-11-2018 05:27PM

Right have 2 of the 3 games covered with my bets
Scotland win 13/10
Hogg anytime 11/5
Seymour anytime 6/4

Ashton to score 2 tries 6/5
Ashton hat trick 4/1
Ashton motm 12/1

Just need to figure out ireland now
Atm I like the 7/2 about stander and ringrose anytime they look a touch big imo

Leinstertomas · 17-11-2018 12:59PM

Ireland +10
Scotland +9
Georgia to beat Samoa
Treble just over 2/1. Slightly cautious maybe but think that's decent odds.

Also gone for a wee double on Hogg to score anytime and Ashton to score 2 or more at 4/1.

The real mccoy 91 · 17-11-2018 01:20PM

James Ryan motm 12s
Stander anytime 7/2
Mckenzie anytime 2/1

The real mccoy 91 · 17-11-2018 01:21PM

Adding one for the England game
George first try ashton to score 2+ tries 20/1

Kinda looking at it as 20/1 on George first as I think ash will have a field day

sydthebeat · 19-11-2018 10:47PM

chris farrell 3/1 to make the RWC squad

i think thats value

Squidgy Black · 20-11-2018 03:05PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

chris farrell 3/1 to make the RWC squad

i think thats value

I'd argue that those are fairly low odds. Will he beat out Addison considering Addison can cover back three also? Wouldn't be surprised to see Aki/Henshaw/Ringrose, 5 halfbacks, Stockdale/Larmour/Kearney/Earls/Conway and then Addison.

thomond2006 · 20-11-2018 03:16PM

Farrell is coming off a very serious injury and he had a history of injuries at Ulster. I'd probably need at least 5/1.

sydthebeat · 20-11-2018 03:39PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Farrell is coming off a very serious injury and he had a history of injuries at Ulster. I'd probably need at least 5/1.

fitness and form is assumed

theres quite a bit in farrells development to light him as a schmidt favourite and target.

if it was a straight shoot out with him and addison i think hed get it, i think we've plenty of utility cover in the squad if it was selected tomorrow.

obviously at 3/1 its an outside gamble, i just think theres value there currently.

sydthebeat · 21-11-2018 06:27PM

i think USA are very under estimated, and ireland over estimated at a 38 point spread.

The eagles have lost 1 game out of 11 in a year, which includes wins over Scotland, Samoa and Argentina.. so they arent coming as whipping boys.

Ireland will have wholesale changes with Joe surely giving starts to the likes of Big Stu, Addison, Kilcoyne, Porter, Ross Byrne, Roux, Herring etc.... at least anyone who hasnt started a game yet.

The real mccoy 91 · 21-11-2018 07:48PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

i think USA are very under estimated, and ireland over estimated at a 38 point spread.

The eagles have lost 1 game out of 11 in a year, which includes wins over Scotland, Samoa and Argentina.. so they arent coming as whipping boys.

Ireland will have wholesale changes with Joe surely giving starts to the likes of Big Stu, Addison, Kilcoyne, Porter, Ross Byrne, Roux, Herring etc.... at least anyone who hasnt started a game yet.

But you could look at the flip side as all the replacements will be out to make enough of an impression to seal their place in the squad for next year? It's a tricky one but I think we have quite decent strength in depth at this stage

sydthebeat · 23-11-2018 03:41PM

hoping for a lucrative weekend

thomond2006 · 23-11-2018 03:47PM

How does one 'power up'?

Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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