Severe Winter Weather, Snow/Ice - Sun 25th Feb (Onwards) READ MOD NOTE POST #1

Snow angel · 24-02-2018 12:01PM

Musicman2000 wrote: »

It’s not going to happen like that , you are better off ignoring that chart completely.

Sorry do you mean the blizzard won’t happen or the 850 temps won’t get back that high with snow cover?

George Sunsnow · 24-02-2018 12:04PM

kod87 wrote: »

would it be snowfall though with uppers of 0 to -3, the lower temps will be low but above freezing at that stage? To me it would become a wintry mess at that stage.

Dewpoints
Surface air temp
Watch those

I don’t think that low will go that far north
I’d say it will in reality reach Dublin and no further so I’d expect an all snow event from it

catrat12 · 24-02-2018 12:06PM

What are the chances of a red warning

Drumpot · 24-02-2018 12:07PM

George Sunsnow wrote: »

Dewpoints
Surface air temp
Watch those

I don’t think that low will go that far north
I’d say it will in reality reach Dublin and no further so I’d expect an all snow event from it

Looks like Bettystown will once again be sheltered from the worst. Even on some of the graphs it’s shown pretty much everywhere with snow but right on the east coast getting rain or snow!

cherryghost · 24-02-2018 12:07PM

George Sunsnow wrote: »

Dewpoints
Surface air temp
Watch those

I don’t think that low will go that far north
I’d say it will in reality reach Dublin and no further so I’d expect an all snow event from it

Yep, the current models keeps the warm pool south and the cold pool sitting on the majority of ireland. It's a dream scenario

Balmed Out · 24-02-2018 12:07PM

So any word on how this will play out on the South Coast particularly clonakilty to cork city?

irish1967 · 24-02-2018 12:08PM

peasant wrote: »

The Cork snowshield is just off for a week away in the Northwest around Donegal Bay:D

(much nicer there than Cork anyway)

Sitting right on the edge of Donegal Bay (40ft from waters edge)
I have the distinct feeling looking at most charts that I will be lucky to see any snow whatsoever this week.

Am I right ?

JCX BXC · 24-02-2018 12:08PM

Balmed Out wrote: »

So any word on how this will play out on the South Coast particularly clonakilty to cork city?

Nothing new other than the several comments over the last few pages.

ZX7R · 24-02-2018 12:10PM

George Sunsnow wrote: »

Dewpoints
Surface air temp
Watch those

I don’t think that low will go that far north
I’d say it will in reality reach Dublin and no further so I’d expect an all snow event from it

George Sunsnow is correct, also add the cold that will all ready be entrenched with possible snow cover in place and the wind coming off a very cold UK and the precipitation will also be heavy I would not worry about the upper temperature been - 3 - 5

George Sunsnow · 24-02-2018 12:11PM

Drumpot wrote: »

Looks like Bettystown will once again be sheltered from the worst. Even on some of the graphs it’s shown pretty much everywhere with snow but right on the east coast getting rain or snow!

I’d say all snow
No marginality whatsoever even on the coast up there
The airmass is likely to be freezing from cloud to ground

highdef · 24-02-2018 12:11PM

catrat12 wrote: »

What are the chances of a red warning

Personally, I think a red warning at some stage during the coming week

igCorcaigh · 24-02-2018 12:13PM

ZX7R wrote: »

George Sunsnow is correct, also add the cold that will all ready be entrenched with possible snow cover in place and the wind coming off a very cold UK and the precipitation will also be heavy I would not worry about the upper temperature been - 3 - 5

Ah, so it seems that the rule of adding 10C to uppers to get ground temp is very much context dependent then...

George Sunsnow · 24-02-2018 12:14PM

irish1967 wrote: »

Sitting right on the edge of Donegal Bay (40ft from waters edge)
I have the distinct feeling looking at most charts that I will be lucky to see any snow whatsoever this week.

Am I right ?

https://twitter.com/liamdutton/status/967162216502956032

pad199207 · 24-02-2018 12:14PM

George Sunsnow wrote: »

I’d say all snow
No marginality whatsoever even on the coast up there
The airmass is likely to be freezing from cloud to ground

I’d be aware of marginality on the immediate coast

JCX BXC · 24-02-2018 12:14PM

2 days out, forecasts haven't gone haywire! Think it's safe to say that this won't be a repeat of the 2012 failed easterly.

Personally very excited here in West Clare, I'll look at making preparations today (people here will be a little slower as they can't comprehend the difference between an event from the East vs one from the north west, the latter being the most common and most disappointing).

Not sure what I can do ultimately. We've a gas heater that's entirely independent of electricity (it's portable and not connected to the mains), however everything else is electric, cooking, heating etc. If the power goes it's going to be fun! I'll try pick up a few foods edible without being cooked, maybe a bit of water and the other 'christmas' essentials!

Thanks to all my usual colleagues and the mods on this forum for making the build up to this very enjoyable, (perhaps too much so!). We'll likely remember this for years to come and this thread will be confined to the archives!

Stephen Hawkins football boots · 24-02-2018 12:15PM

Dublin still on target for snow?

JCX BXC · 24-02-2018 12:16PM

Stephen Hawkins football boots wrote: »

Dublin still on target for snow?

You'd have well heard if it wasn't being realistic!

George Sunsnow · 24-02-2018 12:17PM

pad199207 wrote: »

I’d be aware of marginality on the immediate coast

In sub 520 dam ?
Maybe 510 dam on tues and wenesday
I don’t think so

noble00 · 24-02-2018 12:17PM

I think my family are finally starting to believe me can't wait to say told ya , serious note at least they are getting some supplies now, just hope no person gets hurt next week

Strangegravy · 24-02-2018 12:19PM

Snow angel wrote: »

Sorry do you mean the blizzard won’t happen or the 850 temps won’t get back that high with snow cover?

I think he meant that the chart was in FI territory, at 180hrs, so far out that the chances of that scenario happening were very unlikely anyway.

You were right though, with that chart it could have been marginal for snow/rain in the south, but the cold that would be over us at that stage would have probably given us a better than average chance of snow.

But most of the in the know posters on here think that the GFS was pushing that low too high anyway, so either way it looks unlikely unless it keeps on showing up on future charts to come.

Mafra · 24-02-2018 12:19PM

noble00 wrote: »

I think my family are finally starting to believe me can't wait to say told ya , serious note at least they are getting some supplies now, just hope no person gets hurt next week

Lots of people will get hurt if it doesn’t material I suspect..

gerrybhoy · 24-02-2018 12:20PM

My better half committed the ultimate sin by telling the kids of pending snow,every five minutes it's 'Will it snow today?' ,meant to be Monday folks isn't it?

Snowbiee21 · 24-02-2018 12:21PM

gerrybhoy wrote: »

My better half committed the ultimate sin by telling the kids of pending snow,every five minutes it's 'Will it snow today?' ,meant to be Monday folks isn't it?

Tuesday evening

gerrybhoy · 24-02-2018 12:21PM

Stephen Hawkins football boots wrote: »

Dublin still on target for snow?

Nah get your BBQ dusted down

gerrybhoy · 24-02-2018 12:22PM

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

Tuesday evening

magic,least now I might get some peace,cheers

RocketRaccoon · 24-02-2018 12:22PM

JCX BXC wrote: »

2 days out, forecasts haven't gone haywire! Think it's safe to say that this won't be a repeat of the 2012 failed easterly.

Personally very excited here in West Clare, I'll look at making preparations today (people here will be a little slower as they can't comprehend the difference between an event from the East vs one from the north west, the latter being the most common and most disappointing).

Not sure what I can do ultimately. We've a gas heater that's entirely independent of electricity (it's portable and not connected to the mains), however everything else is electric, cooking, heating etc. If the power goes it's going to be fun! I'll try pick up a few foods edible without being cooked, maybe a bit of water and the other 'christmas' essentials!

Thanks to all my usual colleagues and the mods on this forum for making the build up to this very enjoyable, (perhaps too much so!). We'll likely remember this for years to come and this thread will be confined to the archives!

I assume Shannon will get a nice plastering aswell so?

ZX7R · 24-02-2018 12:24PM

igCorcaigh wrote: »

Ah, so it seems that the rule of adding 10C to uppers to get ground temp is very much context dependent then...

Simple answer yes, the snow showers /streamers forecast Ed from the Monday night would be reilent on cold uppers - 8and lower, but the Friday snow would have the cold factor all ready in place, reason's given all ready, similar to a front coming from the west and giving frontal snow

George Sunsnow · 24-02-2018 12:28PM

JCX BXC wrote: »

2 days out, forecasts haven't gone haywire! Think it's safe to say that this won't be a repeat of the 2012 failed easterly.

Personally very excited here in West Clare, I'll look at making preparations today (people here will be a little slower as they can't comprehend the difference between an event from the East vs one from the north west, the latter being the most common and most disappointing).

!

Even here in the east there’s a lot of that too along the lines of ‘Shur we never got any that was forecast all winter’
I expect they’re in for a rude awakening!

JCX BXC · 24-02-2018 12:29PM

RocketRaccoon wrote: »

I assume Shannon will get a nice plastering aswell so?

Possibly, to be honest our banner county is so far west I wouldn't expect snow until I see it falling. Shannon has the advantage of getting a TAF which should give you a better idea of the snow chances nearly 24, hours out.

If Friday stays on track you can be sure there's no avoiding it.

beefburrito · 24-02-2018 12:30PM

Mother Russia

How are you sleeping

Middle winter cold winds blow

From the tree's the snowflakes drifting

Swirling around like ghosts in the snow

MOTHER RUSSIA

IRON MAIDEN

Severe Winter Weather, Snow/Ice - Sun 25th Feb (Onwards) ** READ MOD NOTE POST #1 **

Comments

Severe Winter Weather, Snow/Ice - Sun 25th Feb (Onwards) READ MOD NOTE POST #1