Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

sydthebeat · 02-04-2017 04:01PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

The betting between Edinburgh and la rochelle had been a bit all over the place. Started with burgh +2, went to +5 after team announcements and back to +3 now.

Leinster started -4 and drifted to - 5 before returning.

Surprisingly munster have stayed steady on - 9 throughout the week when I though they would be lumped on.

My bets for the weekend are :

Munster - 9 @10/11

Acca
Leinster / munster / clermont / sarries win
@ 3/2

Saders / Saders - 9 / bath / munster a/ leinster / ospreys - 9 / munster - 9 / rochelle - 2
@ 48/1

Wasps - leinster double result @ 11/2

First score leinster pen @ 6/4

Some advice please.

So my bets this weekend have been good all round, with munster the big earner so far.
3 units staked for 6 returned.

Now the query.
I've 2.8 units on the 4 accumulator to return 7, or I can cash out now for 5.

I've 1 unit on the 8 acca to return 48 only needing ospreys - 9

So, let's say I've 7 units staked, possibility to max return of 61.

I can cash out now on Clermont and put 11 units on stade to return 20...id be up 13 for the weekend. Also 1 unit on the handicap draw to return 14.
I could wait on Clermont and lay 13 on stade +10

Is that the best use of resources without having to dip back into my bank balance?

ShamoBuc · 02-04-2017 04:06PM

If you are confident, let them run.
Or take the 4 Accum cash out and let the rest ride, maybe get a better cash out in play.

sydthebeat · 02-04-2017 04:12PM

ShamoBuc wrote: »

If you are confident, let them run.
Or take the 4 Accum cash out and let the rest ride, maybe get a better cash out in play.

I've lost too many times on Clermont this season and I've no confidence in them.... So I'll probably cash out of they don't take command in the next 10 mins of the second half.

If I cash out I'll definitely lump it on stade, it would mean im up about 300% if they come in. Doing that I'd also put 2 units on the handicap draw which would also put me up 300%

If ospreys win by 10 happy fecking days, I'd be up about 700%
Ospreys win by more and I'm up 400%

sydthebeat · 02-04-2017 04:39PM

Not worth my while cashing out now... Come on Clermont-Ferrand!!

02-04-2017 04:39PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

Not worth my while cashing out now... Come on Clermont-Ferrand!!

I think they'll do it in the end. Very poor game though.

Edit - and there we go.

sydthebeat · 02-04-2017 04:47PM

Cashed out for 5.5

02-04-2017 04:49PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

Cashed out for 5.5

Good shout.

sydthebeat · 12-04-2017 09:53AM

early bets this week

single
leinster -3 @ 10/11

acca
hurricanes -4, jaguares -2, stormers -3 @ 6/1

Buer · 12-04-2017 09:59AM

Accumulator of Cheetahs +21.5, Blues +14.5, Kings +24.5, Sunwolves +45.5.

sydthebeat · 12-04-2017 10:10AM

Buer wrote: »

Accumulator of Cheetahs +21.5, Blues +14.5, Kings +24.5, Sunwolves +45.5.

in and around 5/2 again?

Buer · 12-04-2017 10:32AM

sydthebeat wrote: »

in and around 5/2 again?

Slightly more. About 11/4. Less confident on this one than more recent weeks.

sydthebeat · 12-04-2017 10:42AM

Buer wrote: »

Slightly more. About 11/4. Less confident on this one than more recent weeks.

blues the dodgy ones imo,

chiefs will be hungry after last weeks defeat and might just beat that cheetahs spread too... but might be a bit wrecked too and happy to fall over the line

i think your kings and sunwolves are probably safe

Buer · 12-04-2017 10:53AM

sydthebeat wrote: »

blues the dodgy ones imo,

chiefs will be hungry after last weeks defeat and might just beat that cheetahs spread too... but might be a bit wrecked too and happy to fall over the line

i think your kings and sunwolves are probably safe

Yeah, Cheetahs was the last one I put on. Was very unsure about them. I'm hoping the Stormers game has taken a bit out of them whilst the Cheetahs have had a week off.

The Hurricanes have looked a little sloppy at times in recent weeks. Stumbled to their win last week and needed two late tries to seal it against the Reds.

The Blues haven't been superb but have been able to hang in there in all their games. Biggest losing margin has been 15 points away to the Chiefs. All depends on the Hurricanes and how they go, I feel. Barrett not being suspended is a boost.

sydthebeat · 13-04-2017 12:44PM

i think glasgow are highly over handicapped at -30 against a zebre side coming full of confidence
glasgow have a lot of the dirt trackers out too.

STADEdeLUC · 14-04-2017 11:36AM

Ben Youngs 5/6 to make the squad with P.Power 1/25 and 1/7 in other places, surely a brilliant bet

sydthebeat · 14-04-2017 12:42PM

STADEdeLUC wrote: »

Ben Youngs 5/6 to make the squad with P.Power 1/25 and 1/7 in other places, surely a brilliant bet

where are you seeing him at 1/25 ??

everywhere i look hes 5/6 (1.83) equal with greg laidlaw.

and if its a toss up between them, laidlaw might make it for his leadership, place kicking and 10 ability.

edit:

rhys webb at 8/13 on that kingmaker is a much better bet, if you can find somewhere to place the bet

STADEdeLUC · 14-04-2017 01:02PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

where are you seeing him at 1/25 ??

everywhere i look hes 5/6 (1.83) equal with greg laidlaw.

and if its a toss up between them, laidlaw might make it for his leadership, place kicking and 10 ability.

edit:

rhys webb at 8/13 on that kingmaker is a much better bet, if you can find somewhere to place the bet

https://imageshack.com/i/pogaD10Hj

1/25 with coral 1/7 with boyles, Just with Murray being out of action, will he risk just taking Webb as backup?

sydthebeat · 14-04-2017 10:35PM

sydthebeat wrote: »

i think glasgow are highly over handicapped at -30 against a zebre side coming full of confidence
glasgow have a lot of the dirt trackers out too.

Hope no one was listening

Buer · 15-04-2017 03:55PM

Buer wrote:

Accumulator of Cheetahs +21.5, Blues +14.5, Kings +24.5, Sunwolves +45.5.

Bloody Sunwolves. 4 line outs lost in the Crusaders 22 in the closing minutes. Just needed one kick.

diusmr8a504cvk · 17-04-2017 11:06AM

Saracens and Clermont to win their semis at 1.62 on Paddy Power.

Buer · 21-04-2017 08:02AM

This morning's dodgy accumulator:

Sharks - 4.5
Crusaders -6.5
Kings +30.5
Hurricanes -8.5

Pays around 11/4.

sydthebeat · 21-04-2017 08:22AM

Singles
Highlanders @ 10/11 (-40.0)
Leinster @ 10/11 (+4.0)

acca
Hurricanes Waratahs Lions Crusaders Chiefs Bulls Highlanders Sharks @ 7/4

Neil3030 · 22-04-2017 07:38PM

Few bets for tomorrow, all singles:

Leinster +4 - evens
Leavy anytime try - 17/2
Ringrose anytime try - 4/1
Over 4.5 total tries - evens

thomond2006 · 23-04-2017 09:17PM

Neil3030 wrote: »

Few bets for tomorrow, all singles:

Leinster +4 - evens
Leavy anytime try - 17/2
Ringrose anytime try - 4/1
Over 4.5 total tries - evens

Good call on Ringrose. I hope that balanced out the others (unlucky on Leavy!).

Neil3030 · 24-04-2017 06:31PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Good call on Ringrose. I hope that balanced out the others (unlucky on Leavy!).

Man I lost the plot completely when the try got reversed, lol. Aside from the Leavy bet, that would have put Leinster ahead with a tonne of momentum behind them, and the total tries in the game to 3 with a good bit of time left. Ringrose's magic did indeed calm me a little though.

typhoony · 28-04-2017 02:42PM

Glasgow +18 and Zebre +40

100 euro double makes 50 euros profit

Printing money?!?

thomond2006 · 28-04-2017 02:52PM

Glasgow have nothing to play for so I'd be wary of them phoning it in if they're under pressure. At least Zebre are fighting for a spot in Europe.

typhoony · 28-04-2017 04:29PM

thomond2006 wrote: »

Glasgow have nothing to play for so I'd be wary of them phoning it in if they're under pressure. At least Zebre are fighting for a spot in Europe.

Leinster have made wholesale changes, Glasgow have named a strong team, not completely out of it mathematically and will want to prove a point. think they will push Leinster very close.

I probably should have added Scarlets at +7 also

STADEdeLUC · 28-04-2017 09:34PM

How does the light situation in the RDS affect bets? Result stands after 60mins? I've Leinster -6 backed wouldnt mind if they voided all bets

typhoony · 28-04-2017 09:46PM

typhoony wrote: »

Glasgow +18 and Zebre +40

100 euro double makes 50 euros profit

Printing money?!?

easy money, both teams beat the handicap easily, was sweating on the floodlights not coming back

Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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