Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

Buer

typhoony wrote:

easy money, both teams beat the handicap easily, was sweating on the floodlights not coming back

Both likely enough results but reflected in the odds, in fairness.

sydthebeat

Treble To Win
Highlanders @ 10/11
Handicap Betting(+15.0)
Highlanders v British & Irish Lions

Scarlets @ 10/11
Handicap Betting(-4.0)
Scarlets v Ospreys

Leinster @ 10/11
Handicap Betting(-3.0)
Ulster v Leinster

Double To Win
Blues @ 10/11
Handicap Betting(-7.0)
Waratahs v Blues

Hurricanes @ 10/11
Handicap Betting(-22.0)
Hurricanes v Stormers

Single To Win
Leinster @ 4/5
Grand Final Winner
Grand Final Winner 2017

Buer

Have thrown €5 on each of the NZ franchises to beat the handicap against the Lions. It's about 25/1.


Hurricanes (+4.0) @ 10/11
Chiefs (+7.0) @ 10/11
Highlanders (+15.0) @ 10/11
Crusaders (+6.0) @ 10/11
Blues (+13.0) @ 10/11

thomond2006

Buer wrote: »

Have thrown ?5 on each of the NZ franchises to beat the handicap against the Lions. It's about 25/1.

Are they **** hot or is the opposition just rubbish? Or Column A and B?

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Are they **** hot or is the opposition just rubbish? Or Column A and B?

Well... it's the Lions. Do you think the squad is rubbish? The NZ teams are all doing very well this season pretty much though.

sydthebeat

Buer wrote: »

Have thrown €5 on each of the NZ franchises to beat the handicap against the Lions. It's about 25/1.


Hurricanes (+4.0) @ 10/11
Chiefs (+7.0) @ 10/11
Highlanders (+15.0) @ 10/11
Crusaders (+6.0) @ 10/11
Blues (+13.0) @ 10/11

i can see the hurricanes beating that small spread, as at that stage it will be the 'non testers' starting

im not so sure about the crusaders, i think the lions set piece and power plays are better suited to playing them than say the chiefs or highlanders.....

and god only knows how the blues game could go.... theyve a squad good enough to beat the lions, but i think thats the game that gatland will be looking to start a lot of his main players.

Buer

thomond2006 wrote: »

Are they **** hot or is the opposition just rubbish? Or Column A and B?

Bit of both. The handicaps aren't massively generous but I reckon the Lions shouldn't even be favourites for one or two of these.

The Crusaders game is going to be very tough. They're on fire, are going to be playing at home in front of a partisan crowd who won't get to see the Lions in Canterbury aside from that game. It's far enough out from the test series that they could have a lot of guys available. I think the Blues expect to have test players released too.

There's a good reason the odds are so long and I'd expect the bet to fail but it stood out as an interesting one. I think it was Sean Fitz who said something along the lines of "If the Lions reckon NZ are aiming for a 3-0 tour, they're wrong. NZ are looking for a 10-0 tour".

irishbucsfan

Buer wrote: »

I think it was Sean Fitz who said something along the lines of "If the Lions reckon NZ are aiming for a 3-0 tour, they're wrong. NZ are looking for a 10-0 tour".

Janey mackers

That would be a disaster

Buer

irishbucsfan wrote: »

Janey mackers

That would be a disaster

IBF: Master of the understatement.

On the 2005 tour, the Lions didn't face any of the franchises. They played only NPC sides and the Maori team (who beat them).

And they struggled to put away those NPC teams. Aside from the Manawatu Turbos who were a division 2 team (they finished 6th of 9 in D2 that year), the biggest margin of victory was 22 points against Taranaki (who finished 9th of 10 in D1). Other margins of victory were 4 points, 14 points, 17 points, 11 points and 10 points.

Gatland has spoken about not wanting to go into the test series undercooked as has been the case in recent tours but I think this schedule really is biting off more than they can chew.

Buer

Chiefs (-11.5)
Rebels (23.5)
Cheetahs (22.5)
Hurricanes (-13.5)

Bazzo

Probably shouldn't have put Canes in 2/3 bets for the weekend. Looks like it'll be burst after the first game of the weekend

Buer

Bazzo wrote: »

Probably shouldn't have put Canes in 2/3 bets for the weekend. Looks like it'll be burst after the first game of the weekend

Can't really be too harsh on picking them when they're 2/6 off the kicking tee!

Just got another try so my bet might scrape in in. Any of those missed kicks and I'd be sorted. Ah well.

Bazzo

Buer wrote: »

Can't really be too harsh on picking them when they're 2/6 off the kicking tee!

Just got another try so my bet might scrape in in. Any of those missed kicks and I'd be sorted. Ah well.

You got there.

...Of course I had them at -19.5

Buer

Bazzo wrote: »

You got there.

...Of course I had them at -19.5

Ouch. I fluked it. Or perhaps would have been very unlucky if they didn't cover it. I'm not sure.

I could only laugh when they called for a scrum under the posts with a penalty and 20 seconds left on the clock.

The disparity in the handicaps out there is pretty ridiculous when you look into it. Some bookmakers were calling it as 24, some had it as low as half that.

sydthebeat

i had them -22... feck sake Beauden !

Bazzo

sydthebeat wrote: »

i had them -22... feck sake Beauden !

Think Jordie did the majority of the kicking. Those Barretts are great at a lot of things but consistent kicking isn't one of them.

sydthebeat

Bazzo wrote: »

Think Jordie did the majority of the kicking. Those Barretts are great at a lot of things but consistent kicking isn't one of them.

ah was it.. i was following it on UR.

anyway i think the bet of the weekend is Leinster -3

ive also a sneaky suspicion treviso will beat zebre

typhoony

Kieran Marmion is 6/1 with Skybet in the anytime tryscorer market, very generous

the Connacht v munster match obviously

Del.Monte

typhoony wrote: »

Kieran Marmion is 6/1 with Skybet in the anytime tryscorer market, very generous

the Connacht v munster match obviously

Only 3/1 with PP this morning and it's Munster v Connacht i.e. at Thomond Park - that's why I wouldn't touch it.

Buer

Blues - 6.5
Jaguares -4.5
Rebels +17.5
Crusaders +5.5

Del.Monte

Happy days - down the pub the usual anti every English team brigade were cheering on Clermont but we I won out! All those pints and daft bets long forgotten.

sydthebeat

2 weekend accas

Stormers (7.5)
Chiefs (11.5)
Western Force (18.5)
Lions (-5.5)
Hurricanes (-15.5)
@4.6


Hurricanes (-27.0)
Chiefs (+3.0)
Stormers (Scr)
Western Force (+13.0)
@13.3

culline

Anyone eyeing up some bets for the Lions tour. Is 3-0 NZ the best 10/11 shot you'll ever see?

Del.Monte

NZ Barbarians to beat the Lions @ 20/1 - surely worth a few Euros?

A real David and Goliath struggle between some farm boys and the very well paid Northern Hemisphere professionals is how the NZ Herald is running with it.

wp_rathead

Del.Monte wrote: »

NZ Barbarians to beat the Lions @ 20/1 - surely worth a few Euros?

A real David and Goliath struggle between some farm boys and the very well paid Northern Hemisphere professionals is how the NZ Herald is running with it.

I'm on Provincial Barbarians +38 @ evens
Weather is pure muck down there

Del.Monte

PP have all three Barrett brothers to score a try @ 66/1 for the believers, and a Drop Goal + a Yellow Card @ 8/1 is tempting.

I'll be going with Julian Savea anytime try @ 13/8 and a safety bet on a draw @ 25/1. The draw served me well last week when I was able to cash out early about 10 minutes before the end.

And a disloyal bet on the Lions to win @ 7/2.

Del.Monte

Hah! PP fails and I was prevented from cashing out early on the Draw.

elefant

Del.Monte wrote: »

PP have all three Barrett brothers to score a try @ 66/1 for the believers, and a Drop Goal + a Yellow Card @ 8/1 is tempting.

I'll be going with Julian Savea anytime try @ 13/8 and a safety bet on a draw @ 25/1. The draw served me well last week when I was able to cash out early about 10 minutes before the end.

And a disloyal bet on the Lions to win @ 7/2.

Some safety bet!

thomond2006

Current betting on PP for the Pro14 Champions

Leinster 15/8
Munster 11/4
Scarlets 5/1
Ulster 10/1
Ospreys 10/1
Glasgow 12/1
Cheetahs 14/1
Kings 25/1
Cardiff 33/1
Connacht 50/1
Edinburgh 175/1
Treviso, Dragons, Zebre 500/1

Neil3030

thomond2006 wrote: »

Current betting on PP for the Pro14 Champions

Leinster 15/8
Munster 11/4
Scarlets 5/1
Ulster 10/1
Ospreys 10/1
Glasgow 12/1
Cheetahs 14/1
Kings 25/1
Cardiff 33/1
Connacht 50/1
Edinburgh 175/1
Treviso, Dragons, Zebre 500/1

Dutchie on the two saffers (~8/1) for the craic.