Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion : Spring/Summer 2020

esposito

Gonzo wrote: »

Surely this chart is a bit OTT for Ireland.

Still looks amazing though. Not often you see that at all for our little country. Just hoping to see some decent lightning and hear continuous thunder in Dublin even if it's only for a couple of hours. I'll be happy with that.

pad199207

Gonzo wrote: »

Surely this chart is a bit OTT for Ireland.

Everybody to Kildare/Meath so

Oneiric 3

To Alcohol wrote: »

What about cats?

They're more 'chill'.

spookwoman

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

They're more 'chill'.

2 of our indoor cats would disagree with you on that. I can guarantee there will be dogs around here going nuts tomorrow if the thunder and lightning starts.
Is it due to get windy as well, wondering should I take the parasol down

Kermit.de.frog

pad199207 wrote: »

Everybody to Kildare/Meath so

What are you babbling about?

Dublin's in there like swim wear.

This is our moment :pac:

Little snowy old me

Looking forward to tomorrow. Will make the most of the sunny weather in the morning so I'll get the grass cut and ill do a few errands. Back at lunchtime to relax and hopefully we wil see some activity by evening. I'm in West Dublin, near Kildare so I may even jump in the car and drive inland if storms are in the area.

pad199207

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

What are you babbling about?

Dublin's in there like swim wear.

This is our moment :pac:

Ok I’ll say Greater Dublin then. Does that sound better?

pad199207

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

What are you babbling about?

Dublin's in there like swim wear.

This is our moment :pac:

Ok I’ll say Greater Dublin then. Does that sound better?

jimmynokia

I have to drive from Dublin to cavan from 12 pm tomorrow evening then back down to Oldcastle, Trim direction on way back then home looks like im in for some night have two dashcams and two cameras fully charged ready to go...

Kermit.de.frog

pad199207 wrote: »

Ok I’ll say Greater Dublin then. Does that sound better?

rovers_runner

North Sligo and South Donegal will be the place to be again tomorrow.
It got a serious going over the last weekend.
Mullaghmore head across to Killibegs and around Bundoran and Donegal Town I'm thinking looking at the runs after dusk.

Oneiric 3

Some big storms over northern Spain earlier today and it this same air mass that will bring tomorrow's potential up over the east of Ireland.

To Alcohol

Gonzo wrote: »

Surely this chart is a bit OTT for Ireland.

Lifted index values rarely go below -7. Is this chart a nonsense?

SeaBreezes

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Sky is spectacular here in north Dublin particularly looking east. Charred up and not dissimilar to what you'd see in the US mid west desert regions this time of year.

Unusual to see here and screaming instability to come :cool:

Took a pic of it earlier, south coast near kinsale.

Gonzo

To Alcohol wrote: »

Lifted index values rarely go below -7. Is this chart a nonsense?

it's very unlikely to be as intense as that shows. If we get to half that level of risk we are doing really well. Even for the south-eastern UK you don't see thunderstorm risk charts that intense very often.

I'd be happy just to see a few flashes of lightning tomorrow night, i'm hoping it stays mostly dry, warm and sunny during daylight hours tomorrow to get the most out of the potential heat.

mike2084

Is North Kerry out of the firing line tomorrow? I ask this as being one of the few on here that's terrified of thunderstorms

Gaoth Laidir

To Alcohol wrote: »

Lifted index values rarely go below -7. Is this chart a nonsense?

Not only is it nonsense, it's absolute nonsense.

Meteorite58

AROME as high as 1500 to 1600 J/Kj in places, dont see that every day and quite a reliable model, not one to overdo it that is for sure.

Paso Fino

Charging up the GoPro with the hopes that we'll get some sparks in North Dublin - everything crossed that we get a good show

igCorcaigh

If Cork misses out again, I'm going to move.

pad199207

What a sky

SeaBreezes

Another sky pic.. like a painting!

igCorcaigh

Anyone know why or what weather pattern caused the lovely cloudscapes this evening?

Gaoth Laidir

Those alcotumuls floccus and castellanus were reported at 11,000-12,000 feet at Dublin Airport and Casement tonight. Layers of upper instability, as seen in this ECM sounding for the Dublin area at 21Z. That moist layer just above 700 hPa will be the source of the instability that formed the clouds.

Oneiric 3

It's that type of late evening where everything is still and you can hear sounds from miles away. Currently listening to the delightful sound of droney boy racer cars having some sort of rally somewhere.

Larbre34

igCorcaigh wrote: »

If Cork misses out again, I'm going to move.

Cork just isn't geographically suited to storms I think. Big old pool of deep permanently cold ocean on your doorstep.

Dank Janniels

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

It's that type of late evening where everything is still and you can hear sounds from miles away. Currently listening to the delightful sound of droney boy racer cars having some sort of rally somewhere.

Afew of the townlands having Bonfire Night tonight, plumes of smoke drifting over the fields and bogs

DOCARCH

I am going to temporarily close this thread for today and tonight.

All discussion for today and tonight's (potential) events >>> https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2058090101

Meteorite58

(Moved post from event thread )


More on the way today ( edit ), might even see sparks in the SW. Some very heavy showers showing up and getting breezy and windy on the coasts.




ECM showing decent CAPE values in Leinster earlier in the day and later in Northern counties. Early afternoon very decent CAPE values in the SW, fair chance of thunderstorms and possibly a few along Southern coasts also.

Lapse rates good, Low level shear good. Deep layer Shear not bad, Lapse rates very good with very cold uppers spreading inland during the day. Bit of a negative tilt on the upper Low, nice vorticity , might see a few funnels.

So, over to us in the SW tomorrow afternoon, we will show you how it is done

lolie

Radar starting to look very lively up north now.