FI Charts (+T120 onwards) Autumn/Winter 2015 - see Mod Note post #1

Gonzo

cherryghost wrote: »

It's a sad day when its just a rain belt for the rest of the month and we're looking beyond 2 weeks for signs of cold

it's even sadder when the signs of cold will continue to remain 2 weeks ahead untill they are pushed all the way out to May then a run of north-easterlys through June and July!

Gaoth Laidir

The ECM ensemble mean says more of the same for at least 15 days...

Storm 10

Any update on storms over the holiday period or have they gone off the charts.

Darwin

From what I can see nothing out of the ordinary yet on either the ECM 0z or GFS 6z, although the GFS does show a deep low close to northwest on Christmas eve. With that said, there is a powerful Jetstream over Ireland and the UK for most of next week so the potential is there for something to emerge (hopefully not of course!)

Nabber

Early morning of the 24th

ninebeanrows

Nabber wrote: »

Early morning of the 24th

Just what we want, a bit of disruption for the airports on Xmas eve

Fortunately (for me) I think this is being brought forward, but a long way to go and looking a bit turbulent for air travel next week.

maquiladora

maquiladora

:eek:

shmaupel

maquiladora wrote: »

:eek:

Jeebus!

leahyl

That better not happen!!! I have a wedding that day!!!!

Iancar29

Chris_5339762

Well at least the flood waters would be blown away.

cherryghost

Snow on higher ground xmas eve is a possibility in the latest runs

B17G

ECM going for ice cream weather on the 29th.

dexter647

^^^^^
Potential for a scandi high to develop??

Nabber

ECMF showing some HP, stalling the westerlies and ushering in the southerlies...





Would be nice at this stage to at least have the HP set up shop over us and gave some clear frosty nights

Villain

Nabber wrote: »

ECMF showing some HP, stalling the westerlies and ushering in the southerlies...


Would be nice at this stage to at least have the HP set up shop over us and gave some clear frosty nights

Yup and all those Kids that get drones and helicopters etc could do with some calm weather

WheatenBriar

Villain wrote: »

Yup and all those Kids that get drones and helicopters etc could do with some calm weather

Speaking of which,does yours have much range

Villain

WheatenBriar wrote: »

Speaking of which,does yours have much range

About 3km :P

cherryghost

snaps

Both gfs and gem trying to build a scandi high after Christmas up to new year.

Oneiric 3

ECM at 192hrs tonight. Shows the potential for an intense Atlantic storm to develop towards the end of the month with a central pressure of 930 hPa. Long way off but the GFS showed something similar this morning (don't have the bandwidth to view latest runs )

maquiladora

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

ECM at 192hrs tonight. Shows the potential for an intense Atlantic storm to develop towards the end of the month with a central pressure of 930 hPa. Long way off but the GFS showed something similar this morning (don't have the bandwidth to view latest runs )

maquiladora

Keep an eye on that one shown for the 28/29th.

Gaoth Laidir

The ECMWF has an overall strengthening of the Atlantic trough over the next 10 days compared to the last 10. No hint of blocking.

500 hPa height aomalies

Last 10 days



Next 10 days

Nabber

Der she blows land lovers

maquiladora

Interesting UKMO at 144 hours. Storm approaching the southwest and probably still deepening. Another low developing out in the Atlantic that might take a similar track.

munsterlegend

maquiladora wrote: »

Interesting UKMO at 144 hours. Storm approaching the southwest and probably still deepening. Another low developing out in the Atlantic that might take a similar track.


still a long way to go though i suppose. looks like there will be a storm but where

maquiladora

A different kind of FI chart from the GEM. Scandinavian High, Eastern Europe in the freezer and cold air heading our way by the end of the run.



Between potential storms and a potential easterly, FI looks interesting but very uncertain naturally.

ninebeanrows

:eek::eek::eek::eek: