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Winter Charts 2011/2012
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Irish Steve wrote: »If some of these charts become reality. it may well be that the Antrim coast is the area to be complaining about the Isle of Man shadow. That could be fun to watch
Have to admit, I think we're going to see some thought provoking weather if this comes about, and the models do seem to be coming together on some of this at the moment.
MT's comments on this are going to be more than interesting at some stage, given his track record and previous forecasts.
As several people have remarked recently, winter's far from over yet.
Don't worry, I've got all Snow Shadow complaint angles covered. That wind direction that would put Antrim in the IOM shadow would put Bray in the Anglesey/Hollyhead shadow. Always the pessimist is me!
Anyway, at least in the coming weeks my Location tag on boards will become relevent again rather than the curiousity its been for the last 12 months (especially during the Summer) 0 -
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spoken like a true winter roller-coaster rider but i really hope you get snow Trotter for your daddy/daughter moment,as visa would say "priceless"I spent Friday and yesterday watching the chart runs, this forum and the netweather one like a hawk. I learned one major thing.. I was only winding myself up!
I did learn a whole lot about the charts in one 24/48hr period though, enough to realise that Id continue to drive myself mad looking at it. You get lulled into a sense that the discussion is leading to a conclusion based on what you're looking at. Its almost like looking at a map to drive to a place knowing that theres only a 10% chance the place is actually there at all. You get wound into the charts forgetting that they aren't a reflection of what will happen at all really.. just a provider of building blocks for a trend.
Ive decided to stop looking every few hours now and just check in at this time in the evenings for a few mins to see what way the trends went that day. I'll check MT's forecasts in the mornings too just to take the edge off the cravings.
My motivation is to bring my 1yr old girl out and hear her say 'snow!'. It'd be one of those magic little Daddy/Daughter moments that I'll remind her off when she hates me when she's 15.
Im desperately hoping for a snowfall, nothing destructive just something that gives some lamp post staring time and that illusive daughter moment.
Do I think we'll get it this year? Honestly, no. My reason is that for every 10 times the charts have ramped me up, Ive seen snow once. I think I used up my 'once' in 2010.
I hope Im wrong!
Anyway.. waffle over. It seems the charts today are producing nothing of the hysteria of yesterday and seem to be preparing for a downgrade that may upgrade.
Not to be puntastic but it really seems to be all up in the air til 96 hrs out tells me otherwise. Maybe then I'll take my hands away from my eyes.
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spoken like a true winter roller-coaster rider but i really hope you get snow Trotter for your daddy/daughter moment,as visa would say "priceless"
I stood her 9 month pregnant mam out in the garden in the middle of the blizzard for a photo in December 2010 so that will have to do if it doesnt come off this year 0 -
spoken like a true winter roller-coaster rider but i really hope you get snow Trotter for your daddy/daughter moment,as visa would say "priceless"
Winter Jacket - €50... Gloves & Hat for Trotter's little girl - €15 .... the look on delw's face when he realises that's for Mastercard and not Visa.... priceless... :rolleyes: There are many things the charts can't predict, for everything else there's Mastercard 0 -
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pistolpetes11 wrote: »Jesus Christ ,
Nearly fallen off the chart ,
How's the NAO looking ?
The AO is heading negative just before the middle of the month. The NAO is trending toward neutral or just slightly into positive territory suggesting a weaker Atlantic influence in the middle third of January.
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Daniel2590 wrote: »http://images.meteociel.fr/im/3666/cfs-0-522_lsz6.png
Can anyone explain that 1025 inside a 955/960 low just south of Iceland?
Some sort of error in the output from the model or the graphing i'd say.0 -
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Not the easterly we are looking for. But if the low could drop further south it could be a nice set up. But this is FI, were things get pushed out by 6 more days, then by 7 days. Then we are into Feb, things get pushed out again. On comes March. Only the diehard Snowmen are around. The circle of pain for many people here.....
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High too close to us but at T159 Cold about to flow into Europe.
High at the wrong angle for us then
Then a cold south easterly
Pattern change ok, long way to go before we know if the cold comes anywhere near us though. Expect plenty of more mild then back to cold runs over next few days.0 -
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:eek::eek: ....
DAM THIS FORUM... DISTRACTING ME FROM MY MATHEMATICAL STUDIES!!! * SHAKES FIST!! *
... Now.... back to the charts... I MEAN ADVANCED CALCULUS!!
:rolleyes:
Haha snap! Have the thermodynamics book on one side of the laptop and the calculus book on the other but all my attention is going solely to the laptop
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