Cold Spell Forecasts and Synoptic Forecast Discussion - 26/11/1020 onwards

Slogger Jogger

A couple of inches of snow outside my house here near Aughrim in Wicklow. Still falling heavily amid regular lightning flashes and thunder rolls.

munsterlegend

looking at the met eireann radar that looks a fairly organised band on the east coast! hopefully it doesn't fragment and may reach down cork! clutching at straws i know! just had a snow flurry though so at least technically there was snow...!

Su Campu

darkman2 wrote: »

I told you so:D:D:D Where is Su Campu - is he not on to deny it? Much like last April then:rolleyes:

Well done darkman, you are quite the genius and we all bow to your superior knowledge! :pac: But what's this about April? Do enlighten us.

Assuming it was proper snowflakes and not hail that fell in Bray then I have no problem admitting I was wrong - this isn't a competition like you seem to think! :rolleyes: While you were up all night I was getting a good night's sleep and am happy to confirm that I woke up to a 1cm covering this morning, and it was snowing lightly a while ago.

It was a mix of graupel and snow at Dublin Airport last night, but in the midst of it all they DID have a rain report!! :D:D

[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270930Z 04018G33KT 9999 SHGS FEW012 SCT018CB BKN200 02/M02 Q1010 TEMPO 5000 BKN012 10691095[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270900Z 03018KT 9999 VCSH FEW012 SCT018CB BKN200 02/M02 Q1009 TEMPO 5000 BKN012 10691095[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270830Z 04014KT 9999 TSGS FEW010 SCT018CB BKN050 02/M01 Q1009 TEMPO 4000 BKN010 10691095[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270800Z 04015KT 9999 -SHSN FEW010 SCT018CB BKN050 01/00 Q1008 TEMPO 4000 BKN010 10591593[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270730Z 03010KT 9999 -SHSN SCT018CB SCT020 BKN050 01/M00 Q1007 TEMPO 4000 BKN010 10591593[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270700Z 36010KT 9999 -SHRA SCT018CB SCT020 BKN050 01/M00 Q1007 TEMPO 4000 BKN010 10591593[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270630Z 02015KT 9999 FEW007 SCT018CB BKN050 01/M00 Q1007 TEMPO 4000 BKN010 10591593[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270600Z 05007G18KT 330V070 9999 FEW005 SCT018CB BKN040 01/M01 Q1007 TEMPO 4000 BKN010 10591593[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270530Z 35010KT 9999 SCT005 SCT018CB BKN030 M00/M01 Q1007 RETS TEMPO 4000 BKN010 10591593[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270500Z 31008KT 4000 TSGS SCT007 BKN018CB BKN100 M01/M01 Q1007 TEMPO 2500 BKN005 10290095[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270430Z 31008KT 8000 TSSN SCT007 BKN018CB BKN140 M01/M01 Q1007 TEMPO 2500 BKN005[/FONT]
[FONT=Monospace,Courier]EIDW 270400Z 31012KT 9999 TS SCT018CB BKN140 M02/M02 Q1006 NOSIG[/FONT]

As I said yesterday I'd expect the snowline to stay at the coast today, but I still wouldn't be surprised to hear of some rainy reports before the coldest uppers set in later. And if I'm wrong, no big deal - it won't ruin my Saturday!

Gerry M.

Big Daddy Cool

wonders can anybody tell me if the snow has finished in county meath for the day, at the minute it looks like it has, very sunny, no thaw though.

ninebeanrows

Staying with a strong ENE feed through the week.

Cosmo Kramer

With all the snow reports there doesn't seem to be much forecasting going on this morning, how are things looking longer term, any sign of a breakdown on the FI charts or is it snowmageddon until Christmas?!

Thanks.

munsterlegend

Su Campu wrote: »

Well done darkman, you are quite the genius and we all bow to your superior knowledge! :pac: But what's this about April? Do enlighten us.

Assuming it was proper snowflakes and not hail that fell in Bray then I have no problem admitting I was wrong - this isn't a competition like you seem to think! :rolleyes: While you were up all night I was getting a good night's sleep and am happy to confirm that I woke up to a 1cm covering this morning, and it was snowing lightly a while ago.

It was a mix of graupel and snow at Dublin Airport last night, but in the midst of it all they DID have a rain report!! :D:D
As I said yesterday I'd expect the snowline to stay at the coast today, but I still wouldn't be surprised to hear of some rainy reports before the coldest uppers set in later. And if I'm wrong, no big deal - it won't ruin my Saturday!

Gerry M.

Su any chance on the charts of a more organised widepsread snow event (i.e. down south as well!) showing in the charts? MT in his daily forecast has mentioned a low spreading west tomorrow.

WesternZulu

The one time I don't want it to snow, have to drive from Galway to Drogheda tomorrow...looks like it's going to be a nightmare

Please snow Gods leave a window tomorrow afternoon for a nice thaw to kick in and it can snow all it wants after that then.

Su Campu

munsterlegend wrote: »

Su any chance on the charts of a more organised widepsread snow event (i.e. down south as well!) showing in the charts? MT in his daily forecast has mentioned a low spreading west tomorrow.

Maybe you should ask darkman!! :pac:

I haven't seen the latest runs so MT's forecast would be more up to date. The 18Z GFS was showing the low crossing the Irish Sea, bringing onshore winds to the southwest and SW winds to the east, which wouldn't help things here. But for Munster it did have the lowest thicknesses, so if that were to happen then I'd say today's east could be tomorrow's south!

munsterlegend

Su Campu wrote: »

Maybe you should ask darkman!! :pac:

I haven't seen the latest runs so MT's forecast would be more up to date. The 18Z GFS was showing the low crossing the Irish Sea, bringing onshore winds to the southwest and SW winds to the east, which wouldn't help things here. But for Munster it did have the lowest thicknesses, so if that were to happen then I'd say today's east could be tomorrow's south!

i'll take that - better than a no!

irishdub14

The M2 Buoy's dew point is -2.1 for 10:00!

TheMilkyPirate

tuesday looks like ALOT of fun on the east coast

Big Daddy Cool

baraca wrote: »

tuesday looks like ALOT of fun on the east coast

any of this fun heading towards meath at all

Defcol

Big Daddy Cool wrote: »

any of this fun heading towards meath at all

Yeahh, anyone know if were likely to see anything worthwhile from this spell?

Eastcoastryan

Can anyone give an indication as to how they think the next 24 hours will pan out, have conditions changed today? is there potential for more snow on the east coast today or tonight??

nacho libre

snaps wrote: »

Is this the thread for future events and forcasts about what the GFS etc are rolling out? All these threads are having reports posted in them, Im getting confussed. I would like to see what the next week is looking like, what thread should I be looking at?

have you become gollum-esque since yesterday's event;)

i think in a ene feed we'll struggle to get any snow for a while. we could get some leftovers if a low or trough were to push westwards

ninebeanrows

What is this that NAE develops this evening... interesting

Big Daddy Cool

weathercheck does that mean county meath might get some snow

Cassidy28

Just saw bbc weather looks very promising for the east coast later tonight and tomorrow evening for more heavy snow;)

ninebeanrows

Big Daddy Cool wrote: »

weathercheck does that mean county meath might get some snow

If came off, yes.

Big Daddy Cool

Weathercheck wrote: »

If came off, yes.

ok sounds good, but how big is the ''if''

Defcol

Weathercheck wrote: »

What is this that NAE develops this evening... interesting

Yowsa!:eek: What would be the timeline on that?

naughto

Defcol wrote: »

Yowsa!:eek: What would be the timeline on that?

between half 5 and quater to 6:D:D:D

nacho libre

well, perhaps by the end of the week some will want to see the back of snow;), but for those that don't it doesn't seem as if we'll be returning to anything majorly mild. i just hope when the inevitable milder air attack comes that the cold air will put up a better fight than Audley Harrison did, so we can get some frontal snow!

Defcol

Would i be right in saying this is for tonight?

JFKIRELAND

ThunderSnow in November - Who'd have thunk it!!:D
Loving it - although Air temp has crept up to 3.4C and DP is now up to -0.1c.

Need a front - What are the chances?

Bring it on.....:) JK

snaps

Looking at sat24, there seems to be a lot of cloud forming to the North of Ireland. Would be great if this starts coming in around sunset.

maquiladora

Defcol wrote: »

Would i be right in saying this is for tonight?

Yep.

kn2k10

Looking at Met Eireann's 5-Day Weather

All at once the temperature, amount of rainfall and the cold easterly winds will blow snow all across the country

I'm happy to see where my county is positioned on the map

isle of man

temps have not really got above 0c today here yet.

going between-1 to 1c but mainly at -1c.

but no snow again