Winter FI Charts

TheInquisitor

Its called Fantasy Island for a reason people!!

TheInquisitor

She's still truckin in from the north west. No push back Still going for the 9th. Come on darkman2 ,dear god what more can i do to get you to start a new rollarcoaster of a thread!?

patneve2

Could be some nice thundery wintry showers if we got a nice Northerly/NorthW. The strong March sun can help some decent cbs bubble up (without fizzling out as they cross the country). Fingers crossed.

Harps

Almost every model in agreement on the 9th, still means nothing until its closer but it looks quite likely we'll get a northerly.

I'd be perfectly content if it came to nothing but one last blast wouldnt go amiss

MiNdGaM3

The 0z GFS brings the -5C 850hPa temps in earlier by about 9 hours (than the 18z), but the air pressure is a lot lower, isobars more slack and it only lasts little over a day before westerlies come sweeping in. The ECM is having none of it unortunately.
Hopefully this isn't the start of the downgrades we've become accustomed to over the last 2 months...

TheInquisitor

Its still truckin in from the north west on the GFS for the 9th however we've lost pretty much every Model except for GFS below and BOM....Hate to be the bearer of bad news but...downgrades all around except for GFS which i suppose is almost an upgrade since the cold isn't being pushed out a few days and also its a blanket of -6 uppers all over the country. Its still on for the 9th aswell..

TheInquisitor

I can't believe there aren't more people on here. Loads of models spinning out loads of chances of some serious cold weather arriving from the 9th. Load at this chart for gods sake!!!!!

Harps

Unless the ECM and UKMO show something its nothing to get excited about really, ECM is only showing -6 temps at best

thetonynator

It's the GEFS at 252 hours, added to the fact that any snow that falls will be slush in an hour or two, it's a wonder theres anyone posting here at all!!!

Speak Now

Shouldnt it be spring FI charts

TheInquisitor

I'll just leave these here...

MiNdGaM3

Hmmmmm....

TheInquisitor

hummm hummmmmm......

Snow risk chart for same day......

BEASTERLY

We started off we were looking at the 4th, only yesterday it was the 9th and now the 13th, Its out running us here!

Which is a shame as im getting a twinge of excitement loooking at those charts:D

Nabber

You can never catch up on it.

In 3 more days we will be on the 19th.

Just like in Feb

derekon

Two words come to mind when looking at FI Charts - "carrot" and "stick"

MiNdGaM3

Can this be my birthday present!?

bb1234567

emm mindgam is that in a reliable timeframe?? ..could it be true or possible?? I certainly hope so :D:D:D
On another note Joe bastardi is back ...nd even better look what he posted !!

"I darn well know to look for a trough over the east 6-10 days later ( day 9 and beyond. And the idea that the trough in Europe will retrograde
so that arctic air may be able to get back into central and western Europe
is in the cards ( more on that later)"

Joe bastardi is usually pesimistic of severe cold in europe- he didnt even forecast the cold of december until it was certain to arrive..nd was confident of no cold returning this winter after december ended,so this has got to be good- oh i hope we get some good cold and snow sooon ...PLEASE OH PLEASE :D:D:D:)

TheInquisitor

Where the hell is Beasterly i have something to show him.....

TheInquisitor

Quite a big change in the last 2 outputs on GFS. Instead of an easterly we're now talking about a northerly although to be fair at this timescale im surprised it still has it at all being so far out

TheInquisitor

A couple more on the bandwagon