LongShotValue "Flat" 100 Bets to Broke AGAIN

longshotvalue

Ripon 17:05, Ours looks well overpriced in this one, ran well last time, and is of a higher mark on all weather.. first 2 pulled clear on last run, im finding it difficult to knock him out of the placed

2 Points Each Way Victor chandler 12/1

longshotvalue

Equiano , Sprint Cup Saturday, Forgetting his last run, the form of his 2nd to SSB over 6 earlier on this year was his best ever run, and there is nothing betweeen the 2 . 8/1 Look Really Good Value


3 Points Each Way VC 8/1

Woddle

aidankkk wrote: »

Ripon 17:05, Ours looks well overpriced in this one, ran well last time, and is of a higher mark on all weather.. first 2 pulled clear on last run, im finding it difficult to knock him out of the placed

2 Points Each Way Victor chandler 12/1

Good man aidankkk

Verance

aidankkk wrote: »

Equiano , Sprint Cup Saturday, Forgetting his last run, the form of his 2nd to SSB over 6 earlier on this year was his best ever run, and there is nothing betweeen the 2 . 8/1 Look Really Good Value


3 Points Each Way VC 8/1

9/1 Sportingbet!

longshotvalue

aidankkk wrote: »

Ripon 17:05, Ours looks well overpriced in this one, ran well last time, and is of a higher mark on all weather.. first 2 pulled clear on last run, im finding it difficult to knock him out of the placed

2 Points Each Way Victor chandler 12/1

nnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnoooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

f sake nearly made it, still decent place money went of 14/1

longshotvalue

Verance wrote: »

9/1 Sportingbet!

even better, trainer is bullish enough this morning that he is in great form so looks value, and will surly be shorter on the day.. id say hell be 11/2 or worse on the day..

Verance

What's up with Equiano, big drifter on the exchanges!

longshotvalue

Verance wrote: »

What's up with Equiano, big drifter on the exchanges!

Not Declared,:( The trainer was really positive on monday:mad:, andyway 6 points down the drain Sorry to all... Have to find other value in this race now..

longshotvalue

2:30 Haydock
Betfred "The Bonus King" Be Friendly Handicap
I like the look of Desert Phantom in this race; he has dropped a lot in ratings this year, and has had a couple of very positive runs. He looked to be in with a decent chance of placing at least last time but didn't get a good break when needed. This might signal a return to some form which, of the current mark, makes his price of 20/1 Paddy Power look good value. He hasn't had a lot of running for a 4yo and was an excellent 2yo. He is coming into this race fresher than most of the field - which can count towards the end of the season.
2 Points Each Way


3:05 Haydock
Betfred Kingspin Old Borough Cup (Heritage Handicap)
I'm going with the outsider of the field here as there was a lot to like about the running of Macarthur in the Northumberland Plate, coming from last to 7th over the last 2 furlongs and it was at least a sign of some kind of return to form. There is the appearance of a 7lbs claimer in this race for the first time, and it really puts him in on a very low weight. I think his last run can be ignored (it would have to be) as it was over too short a distance. Currently 48.0 win and 8 to place.
1pt win, 1pt place

3:35 Haydock
Betfred Sprint Cup (Group 1)
All the form points to Starpangledbanner winning this race as most of his main rivals are not running - but he's just not value at 2.56 and AOB didn't seem to be as confident as he was before previous races when he spoke earlier this week. I'm going to give Kingsgate Native a great chance to return to form here, as I'm finding it difficult to find any other dangers in the field - and he may be better suited to the good going than Regal Parade. He hadn't a great race last time but that can often happen in these sprints and that run has made a decent price available for this. He is currently 10/1 with Paddy Power

2 Points Each Way

longshotvalue

2:30 Haydock
Betfred "The Bonus King" Be Friendly Handicap
I like the look of Desert Phantom in this race; he has dropped a lot in ratings this year, and has had a couple of very positive runs. He looked to be in with a decent chance of placing at least last time but didn't get a good break when needed. This might signal a return to some form which, of the current mark, makes his price of 20/1 Paddy Power look good value. He hasn't had a lot of running for a 4yo and was an excellent 2yo. He is coming into this race fresher than most of the field - which can count towards the end of the season.
2 Points Each Way

Non runner..

Going for Archers Road, in the same race i was torn between the 2 anyway.. He is very consistant of this mark and some of his form reads well with the fav for this race.. Didnt really get the run of the race last time, but still ran well.. Looks well overprice at 16/1 with Stanjames. Im sure the low draw is built into his price, but there is alot of decent horses low, and it mightnt work out that bad.


1 Points Each Way 16/1 Stan James

longshotvalue

Kempton 2:45

Once More Dubai, C&D winner, excellent win in better race in mayden earlier this year which may have taken a bit of time to get over. Looks well overpriced especialy to place on betfair. 28 win 6 place

1 Point win 3 Points Place

longshotvalue

Desert Sea, 2:05 doncaster. Has solid form this year and is 2lbs down from excellent Ebor form has won on the course, and look great value at 16/1 EW with LAdbrokes

2 Points Each Way

longshotvalue

Sea Of Leaves, Doncaster 3:50.. Strange decision to run 2 days in a row, but some form lately makes the mark look good, and i detected a bit of expectation of something happening soon in one the the recent races..

1 Point each way 25/1 Ladbrokes..

longshotvalue

Tastahill, Doncaster CUP 2:40, this trip may be his ideal and was staying on last time, just looks a bit overpriced, in a race where there may not be much between a lot of the runners.

1 point Each way 25/1 Stan James

Nulty

Well done Aidan. two placers

longshotvalue

Nulty wrote: »

Well done Aidan. two placers

yeah happy enough, just not firing in winners in this tread tough, just about keeping in profit...

longshotvalue

[FONT=&quot]14:45 Doncaster,[/FONT][FONT=&quot]Ladbrokes Portland
[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]Striking Spirit, [/FONT][FONT=&quot]was in super form earlier on this year, of a 5 lbs lower mark but has a claimer on today to bring him down to around the same mark. He’s had a bit of a break and may be set out for this race. The extended 5F here may be his perfect trip. He is drawn in the middle which will give him both options. On looking at his 2nd in the Wokingham again it looks a really good run given that he met a potential star.[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]There is a fair few quid queueing up on betfair to back it and ladbrokes are the Value at the moment at 25/1[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]2 Points Each Way 25/1 Ladbrokes[/FONT]

Nulty

I have him too, just a little worried about the ground. His best form and only wins came on GF. Its a lottery of a race though.

longshotvalue

14:15 Sandown, Berrylands Handicap (Div 1)
Osiris Way: has some good C&D form earlier this year off the same mark, and has had a decent break, which has proved beneficial in the past. The draw is not ideal but he looks to represent value off this mark.


2 Points Each Way 20/1 Stan James Coral.. I honestly tought hed be half that price..

longshotvalue

15:55 Doncaster, Eddie Stobart Park Stakes (Group 2)


Balthazaar's Gift. last run in the Betfair cup was eye-catching in that he didn't really have the run of the race and looked to be really getting into gear at the end, admittedly with a few others. Has run well in all his races this year and has had less racing than the majority of the field, which counts at this time of the year. He looks the best value of the potential winners in what could be tight race with very little between a number of runners. Currently 19.5 win 5.3.

1pt win, 1pt place.

thesandeman

Just letting ye know: Ladbrokes are paying 5 places in the 2.45 if 20+ go to post. Striking Spirit was still 25s about an hour ago.

almat1981

Good luck today aidenkk . You deserve a couple of winners.

longshotvalue

14:25 Goodwood, Bluebay Handicap


Carnaby Street, Like to look of this one here, he is broung out quickly from a half decent run during the week, where he appeared to be travelling well, then just jinked and was eased after. Must be in with a chance on perfect going and distance.

1 Point Each Way 20/1 Bet365

longshotvalue

17:15 Goodwood,Terry & Geraldine Earle Handicap

Tartan Gunna, looks a bit of value here, has come down to a decent mark, and has course and distance for in the past. Overpirced

1 Point EW 14/1 EW Coral

Nulty

Well done on Balthazars.

Tartan Gunna 2nd behind Nationalism whos trying to get penalty for the Cambridgeshire please

longshotvalue

aidankkk wrote: »

15:55 Doncaster, Eddie Stobart Park Stakes (Group 2)


Balthazaar's Gift. last run in the Betfair cup was eye-catching in that he didn't really have the run of the race and looked to be really getting into gear at the end, admittedly with a few others. Has run well in all his races this year and has had less racing than the majority of the field, which counts at this time of the year. He looks the best value of the potential winners in what could be tight race with very little between a number of runners. Currently 19.5 win 5.3.

1pt win, 1pt place.

Thank god for that, not enough winners in this tread, BSP 25 5.8

2 4ths today , as well..

almat1981

Well one aidain, well deserved mate for all the work put in looks like you may be coming back on form with 3 4th's and a winner .

POINTBREAK

aidankkk wrote: »

15:55 Doncaster, Eddie Stobart Park Stakes (Group 2)


Balthazaar's Gift. last run in the Betfair cup was eye-catching in that he didn't really have the run of the race and looked to be really getting into gear at the end, admittedly with a few others. Has run well in all his races this year and has had less racing than the majority of the field, which counts at this time of the year. He looks the best value of the potential winners in what could be tight race with very little between a number of runners. Currently 19.5 win 5.3.

1pt win, 1pt place.

Nice one Aiden. I missed it because I was out until 4am and spend the day rushing about, but I got the 2 pricewise winners.

almat1981

POINTBREAK wrote: »

Nice one Aiden. I missed it because I was out until 4am and spend the day rushing about, but I got the 2 pricewise winners.

Good one pointbreak looks like everyone on the forum had at least 1winner today

thesandeman

^^Yep. Profitable day for Boardsies. Anyone know how Woddle done? Not found his posts yet :-S