Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)
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Thursday, 23 March, 2023 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain similar, rather cool especially Sunday-Monday, unsettled with a few breaks around Monday, and sometimes quite windy especially Friday near south coast.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with showers or longer intervals of rain, including some thunderstorms. Becoming rather windy, southwest 40-70 km/hr, possibly 60-90 km/hr near Atlantic coasts. Highs 11-13 C. About 10-20 mm rainfalls in many areas.
TONIGHT continued breezy or windy, showers, lows 5 to 7 C.
FRIDAY windy with showers, isolated thunderstorms, risk of hail and rather cold with highs 8 to 11 C. A further 10-20 mm rain likely.
SATURDAY partly cloudy, showers more isolated although some chance of an interval of rain near south coast from a passing disturbance. Not as windy, but quite cool. Lows 3-5 C, highs 8-11 C.
SUNDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers may become wintry on northern hills, in particular later in the day. Lows 1-4 C and highs 7-10 C.
MONDAY some clearing skies but quite cold with frosts likely, lows -3 to +1 C, then sunny with cloudy intervals and highs 8-11 C. A few outbreaks of rain later in the day mostly near west and north coasts, stronger by late overnight hours into Tuesday.
TUESDAY rain followed by passing showers, windy, lows 5-8 C and highs 11-14 C. Winds increasing to southwest 50-80 km/hr. About 10-15 mm rain likely.
This windy and unsettled regime will continue on WEDNESDAY 29th and THURSDAY 30th, with temperatures around 13-15 C. Possible heavy rainfalls during this interval, stay tuned on that. Another colder spell is likely to follow on about the same timetable as the current forecast period, relative to the weekend of 1-2 April. It may not be as strong a push of cold air at that time.
My local weather produced another really stunning day of unbroken sunshine, and it was quite warm, in the range of 11-14 C over the snow-covered slopes and 14-18 C in the snow-free valleys. Checking for auroral activity after posting this, approaching geomagnetic storm levels in next 12-24 hours. I know the weather outlook for Ireland is not very conducive but if you find yourself in a rural setting with any breaks, check the northern horizon around midnight tonight and the following nights.
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Friday, 24 March, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 24 to 30 March --
-- Temperatures will average near normal values with a colder interval Sunday-Monday.
-- Rainfall will continue frequent and may amount to 50 to 100% above normal in the west, closer to average further east (around 25% above average).
-- Sunshine is expected to amount to perhaps 70 to 80 per cent of normal, but could approach average due to more frequent sun during the cooler interval.
-- Strong southwest to west winds on several occasions.
FORECASTS
TODAY will become very windy near the south coast and on parts of the west coast mainly south of Galway Bay. Winds southwest 60-90 km/hr with perhaps a few even higher gusts in some places. Frequent squally showers, some with hail and thunder, will be mingled with brighter intervals. Further north, less blustery and rain in longer intervals. Amounts 5-15 mm. Highs 8 to 12 C.
TONIGHT this blustery regime will gradually calm down to moderate northwest breezes and a few less active showers, lows 4-7 C.
SATURDAY some rain is expected across the south, and it could be rather persistent in counties from Cork to Wexford. More variable further north with a few showers but also some dry and bright spells. There may be longer outbreaks of light rain in Donegal and parts of Northern Ireland. Not as windy, with a tendency to southeast breezes sometimes 30-50 km/hr across the south. Highs 8 to 12 C.
SUNDAY will become largely dry after a few morning to early afternoon showers, some of which could be mixed and wintry on hills, after lows of only 1 to 4 C, and highs reaching about 7 to 9 C. Winds northeast to northerly 40 to 70 km/hr. Clear by evening in most places, turning frosty but cloud moving in from the southwest may limit the extent of frost Sunday night to Leinster and Ulster.
MONDAY increasing cloud, a few outbreaks of light rain mostly confined to west Munster during the day, becoming windy by afternoon and evening. More widespread rain developing by evening. Winds south to southwest 40-70 km/hr after a calm start in some places. Lows -2 to +4 C and highs 8 to 11 C.
TUESDAY mostly cloudy, moderate southwest winds 40-70 km/hr, with 10-15 mm rainfalls, lows near 7 C and highs near 13 C.
WEDNESDAY will also be unsettled with bursts of heavier rain likely (20-30 mm potential), windy across the south in particular. Lows near 7 C, highs 12 to 15 C.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY (31st) partly cloudy with showers, highs 12 to 15 C.
There may be a slightly less unsettled interval around the weekend of 1-2 April with near normal temperatures, trending to windy and wet later on (around 4-5 April) with falling temperatures towards end of that week.
My local weather underwent a rather drastic change. A weak cold front at mid-day capped the mild start at around 7 C, temperatures slowly fell to around 2 C and snow showers moved in, with one rather heavy burst of wet snow, followed by clearing in the past hour. That is good because it appears likely we might be seeing a good display of the northern lights here if it stays clear.
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Saturday, 25 March, 2023 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain similar, temperatures will average near normal, after a bit of a dip over the period Sunday to early Tuesday. Still a considerable amount of rain ahead although some central and northern counties might end up closer to average. Sunshine may start to improve with longer gaps between intervals of rain and cloud.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny at first, with a gradual increase in higher cloud dimming the sun by afternoon. A few showers remain active over parts of Ulster. Rain will move into the southwest during the afternoon and across the rest of Munster and south Leinster by evening. That system will bring about 5-10 mm, smaller amounts from widely scattered showers further north. Highs 11 to 13 C.
TONIGHT will bring a mixture of clear skies and cloud with the rain in the south pulling away by midnight. Lows 2-5 C.
SUNDAY will be a rather cool day, with a few outbreaks of light rain. The north may be as cool as 7-9 C, south 10-12 C. Moderate northeast to north winds will develop.
MONDAY will be rather cool also with scattered morning frosts and lows of -2 to +3 C. Sunny with increasing cloud for most, but a few early appearances of light rain ahead of a stronger front due in by the overnight hours. Highs 8 to 11 C.
TUESDAY will become milder with rain tapering to showers. Lows 7 to 10 C and highs 11 to 14 C. Winds southwest 40-70 km/hr.
WEDNESDAY mild and humid with a few intervals of rain, rather windy at times, southwest 50-80 km/hr in parts of north and west. Lows 7 to 10 C and highs 12 to 15 C.
THURSDAY variable cloud, some rain at times, lows 4 to 7 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
FRIDAY and the WEEKEND of 1-2 APR will be rather cool and showery in a west to northwest wind flow, temperatures around 10-12 C in the daytime hours and overnight lows 4-6 C.
By around 3-4 April, cool and dry as high pressure drops down from around Iceland. There could be slight frosts and daytime readings of 9-11 C. A colder arctic air mass could follow with temperatures falling even lower, but as usual I would qualify that by saying it's almost two weeks out, and could change, so limited confidence in the current guidance for that later interval.
My local weather has returned to winter mode, with about 5-7 cm of snow during the early morning, cloudy and cold all day with a few more snow showers, and highs near zero Celsius. Skies slowly clearing and I hope to see a good display of northern lights soon after posting this.
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Sunday, 26 March, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 26 Mar to 1 Apr --
-- Temperatures will average near normal but will be slightly below normal at times.
-- Rainfalls will be about 25-50 per cent above normal in western counties, closer to normal in the east.
-- Sunshine will be 75 per cent of normal to near average.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be a rather cool day, and rather cloudy with any sunshine dimmed by higher cloud layers. There will be a few outbreaks of light rain, more persistent around Galway, Clare and Limerick, into north Cork this afternoon. The north may be as cool as 7-9 C, south 10-12 C. Moderate northeast to north winds will develop.
TONIGHT clear with some cloudy intervals, scattered light frosts mostly inland north, midlands. Lows -2 to +3 C.
MONDAY will be rather cool also with scattered morning frosts and lows of -2 to +3 C. Sunny with increasing cloud for most, but a few early appearances of light rain ahead of a stronger front due in by the overnight hours. Highs 8 to 11 C.
TUESDAY will become milder with rain tapering to showers. Lows 7 to 10 C and highs 11 to 14 C. Winds southwest 40-70 km/hr.
WEDNESDAY mild and humid with a few intervals of rain, rather windy at times, southwest 50-80 km/hr in parts of north and west. Lows 7 to 10 C and highs 12 to 15 C.
THURSDAY variable cloud, some rain at times, lows 4 to 7 C and highs 10 to 14 C. Becoming quite windy late in the day with heavier rain across the south. Potential for wind gusts to 90 km/hr either Thursday late afternoon, evening or overnight.
FRIDAY will become less windy with showers less blustery by mid-day, lows and highs 8-11 C.
The weekend of 1-2 April is likely to be a bit cooler with variable cloud and a few showers in a west-northwest flow. Highs around 10 C. It may be frosty by Monday 3rd then sunny at times before more unsettled weather returns.
The further outlook calls for rain followed by colder weather and there is potential for it to become very cool (for April) by about the end of the first week of April. Details on this can be discussed when there is more confidence in the event.
My local weather stayed quite wintry on Saturday with a few light snow showers and highs around 0 C. Despite clear skies last night the aurora borealis display was faint here, apparently it began to die down just after crossing the regions east of us, so we just missed a good display.
NOTE: In Ireland and the U.K., clocks are now on "summer time" or one hour ahead of the winter time that was equal to Greenwich mean time or in the weather world, z time.
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Monday, 27 March, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week ahead are all generally close to average, with rainfall likely to be somewhat above normal in some parts of the west.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny and cool, with increasing cloud by afternoon. Some rain may reach the southwest by about sunset. Highs 8 to 11 C.
TONIGHT cloudy with rain spreading gradually across most regions. Lows early in the night 2-5 C but temperatures rising after midnight. Becoming rather windy by early morning.
TUESDAY will be breezy to windy at times, milder, with rain tapering off to showers, 15-25 mm amounts likely in total, southwest winds 50-80 km/hr. Highs 11-14 C.
WEDNESDAY will be breezy with showers or intervals of rain, lows 7-9 C and highs 12-16 C. Winds southwest 40-70 km/hr.
THURSDAY there is some chance of stormy conditions developing in parts of the south or even central counties but guidance has not converged on a reliable answer yet, as a low approaches the south coast. What is fairly certain is that rain will become more persistent through the day, and temperatures will be fairly steady around 10-12 C. If it does turn windy, it may be only the south coast directly affected. Hoping to have a more definitive forecast by later today (in which case will post an update) or tomorrow morning. Potential for 10-20 mm rainfalls and wind gusts 70-90 km/hr but those could skirt the south and arrive eventually in southwest England or northwest France.
FRIDAY will be breezy and rain will taper off to showers, with partial clearing by afternoon, temperatures steady 8-11 C.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY will be rather cool with a few showers likely each day, lows 3-6 C and highs 8-10 C, moderate northwest breezes at times. Clearing Sunday night and a chance of frosts again morning of Monday 3rd April (similar to the current situation). And once again that may give way to rain on the following day. Guidance continues to look quite cold for the following few days (around 5th-7th of April) with temperatures several degrees below normal (6-8 C) and potential for sleety or at least cold rain showers in a north to northeast flow.
My local weather on Sunday was cold with a few brief but heavy snow showers after some sunny intervals. Highs reached about 4 C but temperatures fell to near freezing as the snow showers moved through. Expecting more of the same today then a more settled week with normal late March temperatures.
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Tuesday, 28 March, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS will be somewhat above average for temperature, well above normal for rain at least in western counties and some central counties also, and near or slightly below normal in sunshine.
FORECASTS
TODAY the band of rain over eastern counties this morning will yield to clearing skies for a time, but showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop, and it will be quite mild with highs 14 to 16 C. Winds southwest 40-60 km/hr.
TONIGHT and WEDNESDAY further showers or intervals of rain, blustery, lows near 11 C and highs near 14 C. Winds southwest 50-80 km/hr.
THURSDAY variable cloud, some outbreaks of rain, with more persistent rain later in the day across Munster, parts of midlands and Leinster. Lows 6-8 C and highs 11-13 C. Amounts of 15 to 25 mm possible across the south by Friday early morning. Winds just moderate east-southeast or variable further north, as the system's stronger winds appear likely to stay off the south coast, tracking towards Cornwall and Brittany.
FRIDAY some further rain gradually tapering to showers or ending with partly cloudy intervals further north. Winds becoming northwest to north 30-50 km/hr. Lows near 8 C and highs near 12 C, possibly a bit cooler in Ulster.
SATURDAY a few more showers, afternoon sunny breaks, cool in a northerly wind flow. Lows 3-6 C, highs 7-10 C.
SUNDAY sunny with morning frosts, lows -2 to +3 C and highs 7-10 C.
MONDAY increasing cloud after some frosts in eastern counties, lows -2 to +5 C and highs 9-12 C. Some light rain by evening in west.
The following week looks a bit more settled in general, the constant parade of Atlantic disturbances will weaken and high pressure will begin to swell up to the north, possibly sliding gradually southwest past Donegal and Connacht into the eastern Atlantic. This will lead to a spell of fairly bland weather with a mixture of cloud and sun most days, small amounts of rain at most, and temperatures possibly a bit cooler than early April normals, although not by a large amount. A dry week will probably be very welcome in many places.
My local weather remained cool and somewhat wintry with snow showers around but mostly over mountain peaks on Monday. Longer sunny breaks allowed temperatures to rise slightly to 5-7 C. However it is below freezing at the present time. Speaking of time, I heard that my description of time zones was more accurate for the UK than for Ireland where (I am told) the present time arrangement is known as Irish standard time and the earlier setting in the winter is winter time. Anyway, I am also fairly sure that everyone knew about the time change before I mentioned it too.
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Wednesday, 29 March, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 29 Mar to 4 Apr --
-- Temperatures will average near normal to 1.5 deg above normal, with a gradual downward trend after quite a mild start.
-- Rainfall will be about 25 per cent above normal, but there will be a drying trend after Saturday.
-- Sunshine may reach normal totals with brighter conditions during the dry interval.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be breezy to windy, and quite mild again, with intervals of rain more showery in the south, longer intervals further north. Highs 13-16 C. Winds increasing to southwest 50-80 km/hr. One or two embedded thunderstorms may develop in the south-central counties. About 10-15 mm rain on average.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with a few showers and lows 6-8 C.
THURSDAY will be cloudy with sunny breaks, and showers. A longer and more persistent interval of rain will develop later in the day across the south and may spread into central counties at times. Highs 11-14 C.
FRIDAY rain will taper off to showers across the south, with variable cloud and a few showers at times further north. Lows 5-7 C and highs 11-13 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, cooler. Lows 4-6 C and highs 10-12 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with a few more isolated showers, most likely in the south midlands. Lows 3-5 C and highs 9-11 C.
MONDAY will bring mostly sunny skies, after morning frosts inland. Lows -2 to +3 C, highs 8 to 12 C.
The following week will be generally settled, with weak frontal systems around Tuesday 4th and small amounts of rain, yielding to more dominant influence of high pressure with several centres over the region. In general, temperatures should remain near average in Ireland although a slight easterly component may bring cooler days for southern Britain at times. At the moment, guidance shows this high pressure persisting to mid-April with just a slow drift north towards Ulster and western Scotland.
My local weather improved to mostly sunny on Tuesday, with a slight rise in daytime temperatures as a result, highs 7 to 9 C. A rather strong storm system is forming over Colorado and threatening the upper Midwest with yet another snowstorm (Minneapolis-St Paul or the "twin cities" have already had a near-record winter total and this could surpass the record). No doubt some more severe storms will develop further south again, and several more potent looking spring storms are on the charts for early April too.
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Thursday, 30 March, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week remain similar, rather mild, rainfall closer to normal than in recent intervals, and near normal sunshine. A dry spell is still expected in the days near end of this interval and beyond.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy with sunny breaks, and showers. A longer and more persistent interval of rain will develop later in the day across the south and may spread into central counties at times. Highs 11-14 C.
TONIGHT intervals of rain, 10-20 mm likely in south, 5-10 mm further north, and moderate south winds 40-70 km/hr near south coast, but stronger winds of this system will head offshore towards Cornwall and northern France. Some drizzle and fog further north. Lows 6-8 C.
FRIDAY rain will taper off to showers early across the south, with variable cloud and a few showers at times further north and eventually covering southern counties also. A further 5 mm of rain likely. Highs 11-13 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers or bands of light rain clearing by afternoon, somewhat cooler. Lows 3-6 C and highs 9-11 C.
SUNDAY will be mostly cloudy after brief clearing in the east where frost may occur, rain spreading in later in the day, 5-10 mm possibly. Lows -2 to +3 C east, 4 to 7 C west, and highs 8 to 11 C east, 11 to 14 C west.
MONDAY partly cloudy to overcast, milder air reaching eastern regions, occasional rain by afternoon. Lows 3 to 6 C, highs 12 to 16 C.
TUESDAY a few showers, mild. Lows 4 to 7 C, highs 12 to 15 C.
High pressure will gradually build up later in the week and bring more frequent sunny breaks, cutting off most of the rainfall for several days. Nights may be rather chilly (2-6 C) but daytime readings will be spring-like (12-15 C). Eventually this settled spell may end with colder northeast winds although another possible transition would be to mild southerly winds if the guidance shifts as colder scenarios sometimes do at this range. However at this point the southerly flow is being pushed further west when the high breaks down, after being rather close to western counties by the Easter weekend of 8th-9th. So the conclusion there is that a long-range outlook for Easter is fairly low confidence at this point as things may be in transition after a few pleasant days leading up to that weekend.
My local weather on Wednesday was sunny and reasonably mild (near 10 C after a frosty start).
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Friday, 31 March, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week ahead -- temperatures will be generally close to normal, rainfall somewhat less than average due to a drying trend, and sunshine near normal after a rather cloudy start.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy with showers, temperatures steady near 11 C, possibly reaching 13 or 14 in a few locations that enjoy a bit of mid-day sunshine. About 5-10 mm additional rain likely.
TONIGHT drizzle and fog, cool, lows 4-6 C.
SATURDAY cloudy with a few breaks, cool, occasional showers more widespread in the morning, clearing late afternoon and evening. Highs 8 to 12 C.
SUNDAY will be partly to mostly sunny, after some morning frosts inland. Lows -2 to +3 C, highs near 10 C east, 12 C west, with cloudy intervals near Atlantic coasts later in the afternoon and evening.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast and milder, with a few outbreaks of light rain mostly in western and northern counties. Lows 4 to 7 C, highs 12 to 15 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, mild. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 13 to 16 C.
A reasonably dry outlook beyond that, but as high pressure positions itself further north, a colder easterly flow (in time for Easter) seems likely. Expect temperatures to peak mid-week then fall off by a degree or two each day into the Easter weekend and beyond, with potential for some rather cold weather in the week after Easter. Some cloud and light rain or even sleet may accompany that colder spell, but that's mainly after Easter itself, when temperatures may still be around 10 C and conditions relatively dry.
My local weather on Thursday was sunny with highs around 12 C. It is very dry and the remaining snow is mostly evaporating away (amounts vary from traces in the nearby Columbia valley, to 15-25 cm around town here, to 30-50 cm in the nearby alpine).
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Saturday, 1 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for week of 1-7 April 2023 --
Temperatures will average near normal values.
Rainfall will amount to 50-75 per cent of normal, with a drying trend next week.
Sunshine will be near average although rather cloudy at first.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals, and occasional light rain 3-5 mm likely. Highs 10-12 C.
TONIGHT will become partly cloudy with clear intervals, some scattered frost is possible. Lows -2 to +3 C.
SUNDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, and isolated showers. Highs 9-11 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy and milder with occasional rain near Atlantic coasts. Lows 3-5 C and highs 11-14 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy and mild, lows 4-7 C and highs 13-16 C.
WEDNESDAY will also be partly cloudy to overcast with a few light showers, lows 5-8 C and highs 11-13 C.
THURSDAY and GOOD FRIDAY should be mostly dry with sunshine and a gradual cooling trend as a light easterly flow develops. Overnight lows will drop back close to the frost range inland. Daytime highs about 12 C on average.
EASTER WEEKEND looking mainly dry also, lows -1 to +3 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
Cooler during the following week (10th to 14th) in easterly breezes, highs 7 to 11 C. Some cloud and showers at times. Guidance is showing it cold enough for sleet or snow in parts of southern England by late in that week, but Ireland would probably escape that according to these maps.
My local weather on Friday turned cloudy and some light snow fell most of the day, only starting to accumulate this evening. Highs about 2 C.
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Sunday, 2 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain similar, temperatures near normal values, cooler at times late in the week, drier than past few weeks and some sun despite rather cloudy conditions after today's expected sunshine.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals. Highs 9-11 C north, 11-13 C central and south.
TONIGHT some clear intervals for eastern counties, lows -1 to +4 C. Overcast at times further west, lows 5 to 8 C.
MONDAY occasional light rain by afternoon in west, but otherwise partly cloudy, highs 12 to 14 C.
TUESDAY cloudy with a few breaks, occasional light rain, lows 4 to 7 C and highs 13 to 15 C.
WEDNESDAY overcast with a few showers, lows 5 to 8 C, highs 12 to 14 C.
THURSDAY partly cloudy, lows 3 to 6 C, highs 11 to 13 C.
GOOD FRIDAY partly cloudy to sunny, lows 1 to 4 C, highs 10 to 12 C.
The Easter weekend is looking rather cool and dry with light variable winds, and at least some sunshine, but details are somewhat uncertain, as colder air tries to spread west from central Europe, but a milder southerly flow may also be quite close to western counties of Ireland. The most likely outcome is partly cloudy and dry weather with near average or slightly cooler temperatures. Slight frosts could occur. The following week, these two trends will continue to interact, without much vigour so that changes day to day could be rather slight. There could be more cloud at times and small outbreaks of light rain near frontal boundaries that might tend to favour the inland south to west, as the two airstreams seem about equally balanced.
My local weather produced a heavy fall of wet snow in the early morning hours, which continued most of the morning on Saturday, 15 cm on the ground by afternoon. A few rather blustery snow pellet showers followed, and temperatures were stuck at about 1 or 2 C. It will remain rather cool and unsettled for several days. Friday's tornado outbreak died down as the fronts moved to the east coast of the U.S., but another powerful outbreak is likely by Tuesday.
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Monday, 3 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week ahead are mostly near average, although it may be somewhat drier, which will be a good thing after March produced close to twice normal rainfalls in most places.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy, although more overcast further west. Sunshine may be dimmed by high cloud at times. Spotty light rain could reach a few coastal areas in the west by afternoon or evening. Highs 13 to 15 C.
TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with light rain near western coasts. Lows 4 to 7 C.
TUESDAY will be mostly cloudy with the light rain moving gradually further east, and becoming somewhat heavier in a few places, eventually 3-7 mm amounts will fall. Highs 12 to 14 C.
WEDNESDAY will be breezy and showers will clear east, turning slightly cooler from west to east by afternoon. Lows 7 to 9 C and highs 11 to 14 C.
THURSDAY will be a little cooler in a northerly breeze, partly cloudy to overcast although risk of some rain at times near east coast in the morning. Lows around 5 C and highs 10 to 12 C.
GOOD FRIDAY and the EASTER WEEKEND are looking pleasant, some of the cooler air that was earlier expected to mix in from the east is being held back now and it's possible that all three days will be relatively warm, with highs 12 to 16 C. If any influence of that cooler air does manage to get this far west, it might drop temperatures slightly in the southeast or near the east coast, but in general, the prospects are good at this point. Some rain will be associated with fronts further west in the Atlantic so we have to put in a slight chance of showers for the west and north although it could work out mostly dry there as well.
This sort of bland but largely dry weather pattern could last into the following week but there will be an ongoing chance of a cooler day or two as the colder air mass will also be persisting over parts of central Europe and could work its way west at least for one or two days some time in the period. Details will be hard to pin down with not much energy in the overall setup for the week after Easter.
My local weather was partly cloudy, with a few snow showers around the region, very little additional snow fell here, and the high reached 4 C. That combined with the stronger April sun turned a lot of the recent snow to slush and ponded meltwater, but at higher elevations the new addition to the snow pack is not reduced much yet.
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Tuesday, 4 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week ahead include near average temperatures, somewhat less than normal amounts of rainfall, and about average sunshine.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be rather cloudy with a few brighter intervals this afternoon. One very weak band of light rain will push through eastern counties this morning, and a somewhat heavier band will arrive in the west by afternoon. Highs 11-13 C.
TONIGHT will be overcast with occasional rain, 3-5 mm on average. Lows 5-8 C.
WEDNESDAY will start out with some intervals of rain, a further 5-10 mm, then gradually tapering off to showers, rather breezy at times from the south, highs 12-14 C.
THURSDAY will be partly cloudy and cool with a few showers, one or two could be briefly heavy with thunder or hail, but also some longer sunny breaks developing, light northwest to north winds. Lows 3-5 C and highs 10-12 C.
GOOD FRIDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny, morning lows -1 to +3 C, highs 11-13 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with a bit of light rain by late afternoon or evening near Atlantic coasts, lows -1 to +3 C and highs 11-13 C.
EASTER SUNDAY at this point looking similar during the first part of the day, but perhaps a degree or two cooler in some eastern counties, partly cloudy, lows 2-4 C and highs 10-12 C. Showers and stronger winds may arrive by afternoon or evening, turning to a steady rain overnight.
EASTER MONDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast, breezy and cool, with showers continuing. Lows 3 to 5 C, highs 8 to 11 C.
It will stay rather cool for mid-April during the week after Easter and there may be some gusty southwest winds by mid-week into Thursday. Highs most days 10 to 12 C and showers most days.
My local weather on Monday was mostly cloudy with the appearance of snow showers although it held off locally, while evidently falling over nearby hilltops. It was quite cold, with ice on puddles of slushy meltwater almost all day, and highs of about -1 C. Meanwhile, a powerful storm system is taking shape over Colorado and Wyoming, set to track towards the upper Great Lakes. A blizzard warning is out for the northern plains states, but temperatures are pushing up towards 27 C in large parts of the central plains and this clash will bring about widespread severe storms by tonight, lasting through Wednesday as a cold front moves slowly east towards the Ohio valley. This could include some very strong tornados unfortunately.
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Wednesday, 5 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS are similar, except that rain mid-week next week may begin to return the totals to near average amounts again. It will be quite close to average in temperature, and cloudy enough to make the likely outcome 50-75 per cent of normal for sunshine.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few outbreaks of light rain, mild and humid, with some slight improvements by afternoon. Highs 13-15 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, lows 3-7 C.
THURSDAY will be partly cloudy and cool with a few showers, one or two could be briefly heavy with thunder or hail, but also some longer sunny breaks developing, light northwest to north winds, and highs 10-12 C.
GOOD FRIDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny, morning lows -1 to +3 C, highs 11-13 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with a bit of light rain by late afternoon or evening near Atlantic coasts, lows -1 to +3 C and highs 11-13 C. Some guidance now shows heavier rain spreading into more regions, but that change hasn't shown up on my preferred source yet (just to underscore some uncertainty on this outcome).
EASTER SUNDAY at this point looking partly cloudy during the first part of the day, with morning lows 2-5 C, and highs 11-13 C, then rain spreading in from the west by late afternoon or evening, turning to a steady rain overnight.
EASTER MONDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast, breezy and cool, with showers continuing. Lows 4 to 7 C, highs 8 to 11 C.
TUESDAY will continue rather cool, with some sunny breaks at first, followed by rain and possibly some stronger winds by late in the day, particularly in Connacht and west Ulster. Lows 2 to 5 C, highs 10 to 13 C. Potential for wind gusts to 80 km/hr or more in exposed coastal regions.
The theme from then on will be rather unsettled with a few brighter days in the mix, and more frequent rainfalls becoming heavier towards the week following the weekend of 15th-16th.
My local weather remains quite cold and more snow showers were in the vicinity at times, along with a few patches of blue sky but the sun had little success finding them. Highs reached perhaps 2 C. The expected severe weather outbreak is underway in the Midwest and seems to be slowly ramping up overnight, would expect a peak this afternoon in states including MI, IL, IN, OH, KY, TN, AR, MS and AL. It also became very warm, a number of locations were within a degree or two of record highs near 30 C in the central states. This warmth reached the east coast without the accompanying wind or storms, which may arrive there tonight or Thursday in reduced form.
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Thursday, 6 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain near average for temperature, normal to slightly above normal for rainfall, and below average by 25% for sunshine, although that category will start out well.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy with a few scattered showers this morning across southern and eastern counties mainly, then longer dry, sunny intervals by afternoon, moderate northwest breezes and highs 10 to 13 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to clear with some scattered light frost, lows -1 to +3 C.
GOOD FRIDAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, highs 11 to 14 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy in the east, lows 1 to 4 C , highs 10 to 13 C. Overcast further west with intervals of light rain near Atlantic coasts. Lows 3 to 7 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
EASTER SUNDAY will be overcast with outbreaks of light rain moving gradually east and becoming heavier late in the day. Lows 5 to 7 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
MONDAY will continue unsettled with rain during the morning, showers by afternoon, moderate westerly winds 40-60 km/hr. Lows 5 to 7 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
TUESDAY will start out with variable cloud and a few showers, turning to a steady rain later in the day and overnight into Wednesday. There could be strong winds near the south coast during this rainfall. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
WEDNESDAY the rain will taper off to showers with moderate northwest winds and cool, temperatures steady 7 to 9 C.
More unsettled weather will follow with alternating spells of partly cloudy weather with showers, and intervals of steady rain and stronger winds at times. Temperatures will be somewhat cooler than normal at times but a few days could also warm up to around 17 C.
My local weather on Wednesday was partly cloudy with highs near 5 C. The eastern severe weather outbreak was fortunately not too violent with plenty of moderate showers and gusty winds, but little by way of serious damage. Heavy storms remain along a stalled out front from Texas to Virginia.
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Friday, 7 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain similar: near average temperatures, rainfall gradually increasing to reach near normal totals, and after today, rather limited sunshine.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, but the sun will be dimmed by extensive higher cloud especially in western counties, with highs 11 to 14 C.
TONIGHT partly cloudy with lows 1 to 5 C east, 3 to 7 C west.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy in the east, and highs 10 to 13 C. Overcast further west with intervals of light rain near Atlantic coasts with moderate southeast breezes and highs 10 to 13 C.
EASTER SUNDAY will be overcast with some limited dry spells in the east at first, with outbreaks of light rain moving gradually east and becoming heavier late in the day. Lows 5 to 7 C and highs 10 to 13 C. By midnight total rainfalls of 5-10 mm likely.
MONDAY will continue unsettled with rain during the morning, showers by afternoon, moderate westerly winds 40-60 km/hr. Lows 5 to 7 C and highs 9 to 12 C. A further 5-10 mm rain.
TUESDAY will start out with variable cloud and a few showers; by late afternoon, squally showers will become widespread, turning to a steady rain later in the evening and overnight into Wednesday morning in parts of the north and central counties. There could be strong southwest to west-northwest winds in Munster spreading to the midlands and Leinster by the overnight hours with potential for gusts to 90 km/hr. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 9 to 12 C. About 20-30 mm rain on average.
WEDNESDAY the rain will taper off to showers with moderate northwest winds and cool, temperatures steady 7 to 9 C.
By THURSDAY a few breaks but rain resuming later, lasting into early FRIDAY 14th. Temperatures slightly milder with highs 12 to 14 C. The weekend of 15th-16th looks somewhat unsettled too, but could become a little warmer at 14 to 16 C. It may become windy again around Sunday 16th and then the following week will see a gradual downward trend in temperatures as winds turn more northerly.
My local weather on Thursday was overcast with a high of 6 C. Our snow pack is on its last legs now measuring 10-20 cm in places but receding away from open areas, although still quite deep in higher elevations outside town. Heavy rainfalls are spreading from Texas towards the southeast states and at some point late today could start to drench the golfers at the Masters, and this rain may continue all day Saturday, possibly forcing them to try to play two rounds on Sunday.
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Saturday, 8 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain near normal for temperatures, a little above normal for rainfall, and below average for sunshine, possibly by as much as half now that the sunny days have come and gone.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy after some morning brighter intervals in the south and east. It will stay dry in most places, but a few sprinkles of rain may be noted in the west at times. Highs 10 to 13 C.
TONIGHT cloudy with a few intervals of light rain near western coastal fringes, lows 4 to 7 C.
EASTER SUNDAY will be overcast with outbreaks of rain, becoming heavier by afternoon (west) and evening (east). Highs 10 to 13 C.
MONDAY will continue mostly cloudy, about 15-25 mm rain in total by morning, then showers and gusty westerly winds 40-70 km/hr, cool, highs 9 to 12 C.
TUESDAY will bring variable cloud at first, overcast skies later with rain and possibly strong winds. Different sources of weather guidance have different tracks for low pressure, some bring it in from the northwest, others create it over the Irish Sea and yet others track low pressure south of Cork. It depends on which track is correct as to how windy it might become, and some solutions have potential for wind gusts to 80 km/hr by late in the day or overnight. There is less uncertainty about 10-15 mm rainfalls and temperatures near 11 C.
WEDNESDAY is likely to be breezy and cool with rain at times, highs near 11 C.
THURSDAY to SATURDAY 15th will remain cool and rather unsettled at times with temperatures not likely to rise much above 10 C.
By SUNDAY 16th, milder and rather windy from the southwest, with highs close to 15 C. This milder interval may last a day or two longer, then it seems probable that cooler air will arrive from the north and eventually from an easterly source.
My local weather on Good Friday was overcast with drizzle or light rain, and highs near 6 C. This is allowing a slightly faster melt of the remnant snow but it still looks like winter around this elevation, even though a mile or two down the hill towards the Columbia valley, most of the snow has gone and a bit of greening up of the dormant grass is evident. A much warmer regime will develop to our southeast and spread in over the unusually persistent snow pack over the Dakotas and southern prairies where 40-60 cm of snow remains after some very cold weather with frequent snowfalls in March and early April. That snow will melt fast and run off into rivers bringing a flood concern on various time scales for that region. Meanwhile, steady rain over the southeastern states will probably delay the Masters where they postponed the second round after strong winds blew down trees on the golf course during Friday afternoon. It will also be much cooler with temperatures near 9 C all day. They may try to finish the second round but it would not surprise me if there isn't much progress made and they fall a day behind with perhaps a Monday finish in the works now.
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Sunday, 9 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS include near average or slightly colder than normal temperatures, above average rainfall by 25-50 per cent, and below average sunshine.
FORECASTS
TODAY will start out partly to mostly cloudy, with light showery rain slowly moving in from the western counties. By afternoon, heavier rain is likely. Highs 11 to 13.
TONIGHT intervals of rain will continue, 10-20 mm in total expected. Lows 6-8 C.
MONDAY will become quite blustery and cool with passing squally showers, winds westerly 40-70 km/hr. Highs 9-12 C.
TUESDAY will start out with variable cloud and showers. A windy interval is likely later in the day but details are yet to be "nailed down" with a slight risk of damaging winds (more likely these will develop later when the low crosses Britain). Rain could become heavy at times. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 10 to 12 C.
WEDNESDAY will be blustery and cold with passing showers, some with hail and thunder, and possibly wintry on hills. Lows 1 to 4 C, highs 7 to 9 C. Winds westerly 50 to 80 km/hr.
THURSDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and outbreaks of rain becoming heavy late in the day. Lows 3 to 6 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
FRIDAY will be rather mild with rain at times, lows 5 to 8 C and highs 12 to 15 C. This is basically the low that brought steady rain to the site of the Masters golf tournament yesterday, after slowly crossing the Atlantic all week. Details on its track by Friday are a bit uncertain and it could drop south to give longer intervals of rain in Munster, and also to allow cooler air into northern counties during the afternoon and evening with falling temperatures there.
By SATURDAY, clearing and cooler again, lows 1 to 4 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
SUNDAY 16th and MONDAY 17th, possibly also TUESDAY 18th may turn quite warm in a southeast wind flow, potential for highs of 17 to 20 C. But this will eventually give way to cooler east to northeast winds and cooler temperatures will return.
My local weather on Saturday was overcast and a bit milder with a bit of light rain by evening, highs near 8 C.
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Monday, 10 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 April --
-- Temperatures will average 1.5 to 2.5 deg below normal.
-- Rainfalls will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal.
-- Sunshine will average below normal by at least 25 per cent.
-- Strong westerly winds at times mid-week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will bring some heavy and squally showers, especially by afternoon, with a few brighter intervals after the morning rain clears eastward. Rather breezy, winds westerly 40-70 km/hr. Cool with highs 8 to 11 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy, breezy and cold with a few more passing showers, lows 1 to 4 C.
TUESDAY will begin with variable cloud and showers, and will become windy towards mid-afternoon and evening. Strong winds may develop overnight, southwest to west 70-110 km/hr, with rain becoming squally overnight. Temperatures will be around 8 to 10 C, falling off during the strong winds.
WEDNESDAY very windy at first, and quite cold with mixed wintry showers over any higher terrain, winds slowly easing to northwest 50-80 km/hr. Temperatures steady around 4 to 7 C. Some brighter spells late in the day.
THURSDAY will be cool and breezy with further showers at times, lows -1 to +3 C and highs 7 to 10 C.
FRIDAY intervals of rain, possibly a bit milder in the south for part of the day, remaining chilly further north, highs 6 to 12 C from north to south.
SATURDAY morning frosts and daytime sunny intervals, still rather chilly, lows -2 to +2 C and highs 7 to 10 C.
SUNDAY partly cloudy and milder, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 12 to 15 C.
Warmer for several days during the following week, potentially close to 20 C at times, then cooler again by about the end of the week (towards weekend of 22nd-23rd).
My local weather on Easter Sunday was overcast with light rain and a high near 6 C.
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Tuesday, 11 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain same as discussed yesterday, blustery, cool, rather wet and mostly cloudy but with improvements by late weekend.
FORECASTS
TODAY will become increasingly windy with intervals of rain building up to a blustery and perhaps squally frontal passage by afternoon. Winds increasing to south-southwest 50-80 km/hr, veering westerly with the frontal passage this afternoon. Some clearing may follow in western counties. Risk of thunder and hail. Highs 8 to 11 C.
TONIGHT will bring variable cloud, renewed outbreaks of rain and strong west to northwest winds in Atlantic coastal counties after midnight, rising to rather stormy levels of 80-120 km/hr. Kerry and other parts of west Munster may see some local wind damage. Lows 1 to 4 C. Some outbreaks of snow or sleet on higher terrain. Total rainfalls by morning 15-25 mm. Wind speeds away from west and south coast about 50-80 km/hr at times.
Watch for updates on today's and tonight's storm risks.
WEDNESDAY the very strong winds from the western counties will spread across the southern and some central counties, taking part of the day to build up to around 70 to 100 km/hr. Intervals of rain or hail, with some brighter intervals. Cold with temperatures steady 4 to 7 C. Sleet or snow possible on higher terrain. Tornadic cells are possible on a very limited scale, especially near the south coast. Further rainfalls of 5-15 mm.
THURSDAY still rather windy with further outbreaks of rain, 5-10 mm possible. Milder with lows 1 to 4 C and highs 8 to 12 C. Some outbreaks of light rain from a weak passing disturbance near the south coast by evening or overnight to Friday morning.
FRIDAY will see variable cloud, cool in the north, as winds turn northwest to north. Lows 3 to 5 C and highs 7 to 9 C north, 10 to 13 C south.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with showers, cool, lows 2 to 4 C and highs 7 to 10 C.
From SUNDAY on, warmer in stages, eventually reaching 18 to 20 C. This warmer weather will be fairly dry but could be cloudy with sunny breaks, and some outbreaks of light rain passing western and northern coastal counties. The warmer spell is expected to last for about a week, and may end with much cooler air returning from the north.
My local weather on Monday was overcast and mild with heavy rain much of the day. About 40 mm has fallen, and creeks on local hillsides are in flood stage from rapidly melting snow higher up. There was also some very dense fog especially outside town over melting snow. Although the local creeks are mainly embedded in deep ravines and can flood without doing much damage, there are places in the region where a debris torrent risk near the lower portions of mountain streams can be very dangerous. No reports of any damage yet but would not be surprised to hear some in the morning as the rain continues to fall tonight. Very warm air has moved over the snow pack in the northern plains states, snow-free locations soared to near 27 C but over the remnant snow it was much cooler, around 5-10 C. All that heat energy was going into removing the snow, which will be gone soon at this rate.
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Forecast Update ___ Tuesday 11 April 2330h
Just to confirm that the windstorm for west Munster is on track and will develop mostly after about 0300h overnight, peaking in intensity around 0600h. Winds will be westerly veering northwesterly 80-120 km/hr in Clare, Kerry and parts of Limerick and Cork. These very strong westerly winds will spread fairly rapidly across the south coast. Further inland, a slower development of windy conditions is likely as there is a rather slack gradient surrounding the two centres of low pressure approaching south-central and northern counties. In between will be a slack circulation that will persist through the late overnight and first part of the morning. Would expect winds over most other regions to pick up gradually tomorrow late morning and mid-day to reach a peak of northwest 70-110 km/hr. It will be a very cold day also especially in the winds, and passing squally showers or bands of precipitation could contain some wintry falls, moderate or even large hailstones are quite possible. Local wind damage potential is highest in the south and around Donegal Bay.
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Wednesday, 12 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week ahead, continued cool, unsettled and blustery at times to Friday, Saturday warming gradually, Sunday on will be warm and dry. It will balance out near average but two different regimes.
FORECASTS
TODAY very strong westerly winds in south coast counties, some other parts of Munster, 80-120 km/hr, with squally and thundery showers, hail and damaging wind gusts possible in that zone. Most other regions will begin the day with variable cloud, showers, and winds rather light and variable at times but gradually increasing to west-northwest 50-80 km/hr, some local gusts to 110 km/hr possible with squally showers of rain or hail. Potential for accumulations of snow on some hills. Very cold in the strong winds, highs 5 to 8 C. The very strong winds across the south will peak in intensity soon and will then gradually moderate slightly, until by afternoon all parts of the country will be in roughly equivalent moderate to strong west-northwest winds. If you are in south coast counties, would advise keeping a close eye on radar, weather forum reports, and the western skies, for any signs of incoming cells as one or two could develop tornadic wind streaks and produce considerable localized wind damage over small areas. As of forecast posting time the potential areas of concern are Kerry and southwest Cork. By 0800h this may have shifted further east.
TONIGHT continued rather windy, occasional rain or hail, cold with lows of 1 to 3 C.
TOMORROW will be less windy and not quite as cool, but still rather unsettled with a few showers here and there. Some intervals of moderate northwest winds but becoming more variable by afternoon. Intervals of rain across Munster during the evening and overnight to Friday morning, 5-10 mm likely.
FRIDAY any rain in the south will drift away to the southeast, but other areas of showers further north may appear in central and later southern counties, with small amounts expected. Rather cool with lows 2 to 5 C and highs 8 to 11 C.
SATURDAY variable cloud, a little warmer, a few outbreaks of light rain or drizzle, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 11 to 15 C.
SUNDAY and much of the following week will be partly cloudy to sunny, hazy and warmer. Highs 17 to 20 C. This warmth will fade out gradually later in the week but it may remain near or slightly above normal for quite some time.
My local weather on Tuesday was a mixture of rain and melting wet snow, as temperatures gradually slumped back down towards 2 C. Local creeks were in full flood stage and doing some minor damage where they run through populated areas. Further east it was very warm or even hot, with records set in many places in South Dakota and Wyoming, including 94F (34.4 C) at Pierre, SD (the previous record for the date was 84F (29 C). Even so, when this warm air got over a substantial snow pack in eastern North Dakota, some locations failed to reach 10 C despite full sunshine. Soundings showed that the warm air was overhead but not mixing down to the snow-chilled surface. One more day of that and all the snow will likely be gone. This very warm air is heading rapidly east and will be reaching the east coast today, building up to record warmth for eastern and central states over the coming three or four days. This will be connected to that warming I mentioned for Ireland next week, at least indirectly.
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Thursday, 13 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week ahead contain some good news, after a few more days of rather cool and unsettled weather, a warmer spell of mostly dry weather awaits for next week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will continue rather cool but the winds will abate soon, as one area of showers over the north persists to mid-afternoon, while another area of rain moves into west Munster late in the day. In between these, some clearing can be expected so sunshine will be more prolonged in the midlands than elsewhere. Highs around 10 C for most places.
TONIGHT some occasional rain for the south, 5-10 mm expected. A few of the northern showers may persist and drift further south to merge with outer edges of the southern system near the east coast. Longer dry spells near the central west coast. Lows 2 to 5 C.
FRIDAY will become partly cloudy after these weak systems move on, but a few showers will linger. More extensive clearing will then develop, with a risk of frost in central and eastern counties by late evening. Highs 10 to 12 C.
SATURDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny at times in the south and east. A weak warm front moving north will graze the western coastal counties bringing occasional drizzle or light rain. Lows -2 to +3 C and highs 11 to 15 C.
SUNDAY and MONDAY will be quite warm with partly cloudy skies and no more than isolated showers. Lows 5 to 8 C and highs 17 to 20 C.
This warm, dry spell will continue most of the week. A cooler sector rotating around the high pressure from an easterly source region will be more apparent in Britain than in Ireland but it could drop temperatures by a degree or two mid-week, before warmer readings return later in the week.
My local weather on Wednesday was mostly cloudy with showers of snow heavy at times, but whatever fell melted on contact. Highs were around 4 C. Very warm air covers most of the continent east of here, and today's high in New York City was 29 C, not quite matching the record of 32 C set in 1977. Today and tomorrow could be above 30 C in eastern regions of the U.S., and in many central states as well. The northern boundary of the very warm air has sunk south during the day as a weak bubble of arctic high pressure now covers western Canada, but temperatures with that air mass are about 5-10 C in the daytime. This has stopped the rapid snow melt for the time being.
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Friday, 14 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week ahead --
Temperatures will average 1-2 deg above normal, but it will be turning quite cold near the end of the week.
Rainfall will be slight in the east and south, to 25% in the west and north.
Sunshine will be near average.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers mostly over east Ulster and Leinster. Highs 12 to 14 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy in the east and south, with clear intervals, cold with lows 2 to 5 C. Further west, overcast with lows 5 to 8 C.
SATURDAY becoming mostly cloudy, some rain near west coast in the morning, spreading east by afternoon. Amounts 2-5 mm. Highs near 14 C.
SUNDAY will turn warmer with some hazy sunshine, cloudy intervals and lows 4 to 8 C and highs 17 to 20 C.
MONDAY will remain quite warm with lows 6 to 10 C and highs 17 to 20 C.
TUESDAY little change, highs 16 to 19 C.
WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY, remaining mostly dry and partly cloudy but with a cooler southeast breeze developing, highs a few degrees cooler each day, near 15 C at first, closer to 10 C by end of week. It may then turn very cool in a northeast flow from high latitudes. Some further cold outbreaks seem possible after that. Confidence in this guidance is only moderate due to the time scale.
My local weather on Thursday was cold (near 3 C) and overcast with a few breaks, and snow showers over the nearby mountains most of the day, which then drifted over us during the late afternoon and evening, 1-2 cm of new snow has fallen and it's still coming down gently now. Despite this, golf courses in the nearby valley are open now. With bare ground the temperature contrasts are increasing. Meanwhile, New York City hit 90 F (32 C) to set a record this time taking one away from 1977 which had held on to the previous day's record. Many other locations in the eastern and central U.S. were above 27 C. Over the past few days, a very heavy rainfall event hit Tampa-St Petersburg in Florida, 600 mm was reported at some places, and the airport was closed by flooding. That system is moving up the east coast but weakening rapidly.
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Saturday, 15 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain similar, mostly dry, turning warmer for a few days, then cooler late in the week.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast, with occasional light rain near Atlantic coasts at first, spreading gradually further east. Highs 12 to 15 C.
TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy with patchy light rain, lows 5 to 8 C.
SUNDAY will start out rather cloudy with a few intervals of drizzle, mist, then brightening up and becoming warmer by afternoon, highs 15 to 18 C.
MONDAY will be hazy and warm with lows 5 to 8 C and highs 16 to 19 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy and warm with lows 5 to 8 C and highs 17 to 20 C.
WEDNESDAY sunny intervals, a bit cooler in a fresh southeast breeze, lows 3 to 7 C and highs 12 to 16 C (cooler eastern counties and near south coast).
THURSDAY and FRIDAY will continue similar with partly cloudy skies and fresh southeast breezes, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 10 to 14 C.
There may be a slight upturn in temperatures with variable cloud and isolated showers around next weekend, then it may turn colder again during the last week of April.
My local weather on Friday was partly cloudy with a few light snow showers, still very cool for mid-April, highs near 5 C, and patches of blue sky showing signs of the volcanic dust layers from an eruption in Russia's Kamchatka peninsula; some airline operations have been affected by this volcanic dust as it spreads east in upper level winds. Eastern regions had another record-breaking warm day with New York City at 91 F (33 C) breaking a record set in 1941.
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Sunday, 16 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week ahead --
Temperatures will average near normal, quite warm today to Tuesday, but then cooler each day, the balance near average.
Rainfalls will be rather slight, around 25 per cent of normal.
Sunshine will be near average, although rather cloudy at times.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be rather cloudy at times this morning, with patchy drizzle. Some warmer sunny intervals will develop by afternoon. Highs 15 to 19 C.
TONIGHT will be hazy and misty in some low-lying areas, lows 5 to 8 C.
MONDAY will be partly cloudy and warm, highs 16 to 20 C, warmest inland northwest.
TUESDAY will continue partly cloudy and quite warm, lows 4 to 8 C, highs 15 to 18 C. A few showers may develop over western counties.
WEDNESDAY will turn somewhat cooler with moderate southeast breezes. Scattered showers but only small amounts of rain likely. Lows 3 to 6 C and highs 12 to 16 C.
THURSDAY will be mostly cloudy and cool, moderate east-southeast winds, and a few showers, lows 4 to 7 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
FRIDAY somewhat milder, a few showers, lows 4 to 7 C, highs 12 to 15 C.
The further outlook is somewhat unsettled with frequent cloudy intervals, a few showers and near normal temperatures around next weekend. A frontal battleground situation may develop in the final week of April with the potential for a north-south divide as far as temperatures, from near average in the south to cold in the north. Details are quite uncertain at this early stage.
My local weather on Saturday was partly cloudy and a bit milder with highs around 9 C. The eastern warm spell is slowly moderating to more seasonable temperatures but it was still relatively warm in most places on Saturday. Most of the snow in the Dakotas has melted and there are some localized flooding problems but other places are reporting a good outcome in that dry soil is soaking up the standing water before it can reach local rivers. Even so, developments in a week to two weeks are being watched for flood potential if heavy rain reaches the region.
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Monday, 17 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain similar, temperatures quite warm at first, considerably cooler by mid-week, the balance near average. Not much rainfall with perhaps 25 per cent of normal amounts. Some sunshine most days but the total near normal.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be rather cloudy at times this morning with warm sunny spells developing mid-day. Highs 16 to 19 C, cooler near east and south coasts where some low cloud and fog may persist longer.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy, hazy or misty, and mild with lows 6 to 10 C.
TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny at times, and warm although a stronger southeast breeze may bring sea breezes further inland. Highs 15 to 18 C and a slight chance of showers inland west late in the day.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast and cooler with a few showers, moderate east-southeast winds 30-50 km/hr. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
THURSDAY partly cloudy to overcast, showers, moderate southeast winds 40-60 km/hr, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 9 to 13 C.
FRIDAY mostly cloudy, showers, moderate east-southeast winds 40-60 km/hr, lows 3-6 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
Temperatures could recover slightly around the weekend of 22nd-23rd but it may remain rather unsettled and then an even colder air mass will try to push south -- this may cover only northern counties for much of the following week but could at times spread all the way to the south coast. Temperatures could fall to around 8-10 C daytimes and 1-3 C at night in this cooler air mass, and there might be rain showers or even wintry showers in a northeast wind.
My local weather was overcast with fog and mist, and light rain, with a chilly high of about 6 C. Temperatures remain well below normal for this region, we should be around 12-15 C at this point.
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Tuesday, 18 April, 2023 __ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week of 18 to 24 April --
-- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg below normal.
-- Rainfall will average 25 % of normal.
-- Sunshine will average 75% of normal.
-- Winds east to southeast, moderate at times.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be rather misty in eastern counties for part of the morning, all regions becoming sunny later on, and warm although a stronger southeast breeze cooling marine influence may be felt further inland. Highs 15 to 18 C and a slight chance of showers inland west late in the day.
WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast and cooler with a few showers, moderate east-southeast winds 30-50 km/hr. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 11 to 14 C.
THURSDAY partly cloudy to overcast, showers, moderate southeast winds 40-60 km/hr, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 9 to 13 C.
FRIDAY mostly cloudy, showers, moderate east-southeast winds 40-60 km/hr, lows 3-6 C and highs 9 to 12 C.
The WEEKEND will remain rather cool with variable cloud, a few showers, and winds northeast 30-50 km/hr. Lows around 5 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
NEXT WEEK will bring cool weather from the northeast, with mostly cloudy skies and a few showers, but warmer air may manage to push back into parts of the south later in the week, with rain along a frontal boundary moving into central counties at times.
My local weather on Monday was sunny with a few clouds, becoming overcast by evening, and cold. The high was only about 5 C but the sun made it feel a bit warmer out of the breeze.
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Wednesday, 19 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for the week ahead remain similar, cool, relatively dry and rather cloudy after today's brighter conditions.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy and cooler with moderate southeast winds. A few showers are likely across parts of the south and west. The highs will be 11 to 14 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with isolated showers, lows 2 to 5 C.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY will continue similar with partly cloudy to overcast skies, a few showers, and moderate east to southeast winds 30 to 50 km/hr. Lows 2 to 5 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
WEEKEND outlook is also similar with winds turning more to the northeast, cool with showers, lows 1 to 4 C and highs 10 to 13 C.
The outlook for next week is now somewhat milder as it appears that cool northeast winds will lose their control fairly quickly away from perhaps Ulster so that a frontal boundary now appears to be most likely to set up near the north midlands, so that somewhat warmer air (12 to 15 C) can move back into most of the south and some central counties.
My local weather on Tuesday began with a rather unwelcome appearance of snow, about 3-5 cm had fallen during the early morning hours. This took most of the morning to disappear despite continued cold and cloudy weather and a high of only about 3 C.
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Thursday, 20 April, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS remain rather cool and generally dry at first, increasing amounts of rain likely next week. Some sunshine at times but a lot of cloudy skies later in the interval.
FORECASTS
TODAY will be partly cloudy to sunny, with just a slight risk of showers. Highs 11 to 14 C.
TONIGHT mainly clear, cool. Lows zero to 3 C, patchy ground frost possible inland valleys.
FRIDAY increasing cloud, cool, showers or longer outbreaks of light rain. Moderate southeast winds and highs 8 to 12 C.
SATURDAY partly cloudy to overcast, occasional showers, cool. Lows 3 to 5 C and highs 8 to 12 C.
SUNDAY and MONDAY will bring similar conditions with temperatures struggling to rise much from Saturday's levels.
By TUESDAY somewhat milder in the south, rain at times. This warm front will push slowly north and replace the cool air mass in all regions by about THURSDAY 27th.
My local weather on Wednesday was partly cloudy and a bit milder with highs approaching 10 C. That is still a few degrees below normal here though and there is still a lot of snow in the forested areas around us, although it is pretty much all gone in town and at elevations below ours. Just a few early spring flowers down in the Columbia valley but little sign of action with the trees yet.
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