Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 20 May, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS will continue quite bland, with temperatures near or slightly above average, rainfall 25 to 50 per cent of normal but quite dry most of the week after a few minor outbreaks this weekend, and cloud-sun ratios about average too, with a rather cloudy start.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter spells mostly around southeast coastal districts. Outbreaks of light rain will be scattered throughout most other regions and amounts will be 3-5 mm on average, with highs 16-18 C.

TONIG T will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few outbreaks of drizzle or light rain, lows 10 to 12 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few more showers, more places will remain dry than today though, and highs will be 17 to 19 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 19 C.

TUESDAY to FRIDAY the weather will be dominated by high pressure located fairly close to western Ireland and there could be some sunshine at times each day with temperatures fairly warm inland, reaching highs of 18 to 22 C. Low cloud, fog and sea breezes may hold some coastal temperatures down to around 16 C. Overnight lows will be fairly mild, in the 7-10 C range, and winds generally light, sometimes moderate southwesterly in Ulster and coastal Connacht.

Little change is foreseen for next weekend and into the following week with the high pressure only weakening slightly and allowing a few very minor frontal systems to break through with small amounts of rainfall.

My local weather remained very warm and dry with hazy sunshine dimmed somewhat by the forest fire smoke drifting around from northern Alberta and northeast B.C., but a more southerly wind flow will start to clear us out slowly over the weekend while it remains quite warm. Eastern regions of North America have been rather cool recently and some heavy rain is expected in parts of the northeastern states over the weekend.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 21 May, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... The rather featureless weather regime will continue, with perhaps a slightly brighter theme as high pressure located in the eastern Atlantic drifts closer to Ireland this week. There will only be small amounts of rain (if any) and cloud will likely diminish to allow for near average sunshine, or a bit better than average away from some cloudier coastlines.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, amounts only 1-3 mm in most locations. Highs 17 to 19 C.

TONIGHT will continue partly cloudy, misty or foggy in some areas, and mild, lows 9 to 12 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, highs 18-20 C.

TUESDAY to FRIDAY will bring a settled and probably brighter interval with at least partly cloudy to sunny skies, highs 19 to 22 C except a bit cooler near some coasts where low cloud or fog may be persistent due to a light wind gradient. Nights will remain rather mild with lows 7 to 11 C.

There will only be gradual change in this pleasant regime through the weekend of 27th-28th and the week following, but the high by then will be weaker and located a bit further south, allowing some weak frontal systems to make inroads at times, even so, not expecting very heavy rainfalls from them, and some sunny intervals will continue despite an increase in cloud cover then. Temperatures will remain near or slightly above normal values.

My local weather was mostly sunny and warm all day (high 26 C), then a few scattered thunderstorms rolled through along a weak cold front, and with winds more southerly the smoky haze we had around here last week was reduced. We are gradually going to lose the warm temperatures as a more normal regime sets in.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 22 May, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS will be generally pleasant and almost summer-like, although highs will likely remain in the low 20s at most, and 16-18 C closer to some coasts. Not much if any rainfall is expected, and sunshine will probably improve gradually and could eventually surpass normal values at this peak of annual sunshine in many parts of Ireland (the southeast can do a bit better in July but many places average more sunshine in May than any other month).

FORECASTS

TODAY will be rather cloudy to start, with isolated light showers, but by afternoon some longer sunny intervals are possible, with highs of about 18-21 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with lows 5 to 9 C.

TUESDAY to FRIDAY, expect similar conditions each day, a mixture of cloud and sunshine, with a slight and gradual warming trend, highs 18-21 C may increase to 20-23 C later in the week. At all times there could be some patchy coastal fog and low cloud especially near northern and western coasts. Very weak frontal troughs will try to break into the high pressure and might set off one or two showers later in the week in parts of Ulster mainly. Nights will be clear to partly cloudy, and may develop some fog or mist, with lows generally 6 to 10 C (one or two colder spots could drop lower if skies are clear all night at some point).

By next weekend, this pattern will be slowly becoming a bit more unsettled but changes may be subtle with a bit more cloud and isolated showers mainly north and east, temperatures staying fairly warm. Into the following week, the trends may continue to change very slowly as high pressure will be reluctant to break down entirely, but it could be cloudier than this coming week with similar temperatures, as we approach June.

My local weather was rather active with some heavy thunderstorms moving past us to the south, and our portion was perhaps closer to moderate but with some long rolling thunder at times, and about 10-15 mm of rain in some brief heavy downpours. Otherwise partly cloudy and around 23 C, dropping to around 15 C during the storms. Some progress has been made with the widespread fires to our north and northeast, and some heavy rain is developing over those regions which will help.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 23 May, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain very pleasant with dry and relatively warm weather for at least a week ahead, and some sunshine getting past variable amounts of mostly higher cloud.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly sunny despite rather extensive layers of high and mid-level clouds. It may prove brighter in the south and east but all areas will have a similar sort of temperature regime with highs 18 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with lows 5 to 8 C.

From WEDNESDAY into the coming weekend, each day will be fairly similar, with intervals of cloud and sun, highs 19 to 23 C and overnight lows in the range of 5 to 8 C. It's possible that if skies become clear one or two locations will drop closer to 2 or 3 C but this will be an isolated event. Also if there is unbroken sunshine one or two locations well inland could reach 24 C or perhaps mid-20s. One or two isolated showers could develop around Wednesday afternoon or evening along sea-breeze boundaries inland.

While there are subtle differences from day to day especially after this coming weekend, the uncertainty on timing and intensity is greater than the range of possible differences, which in weather forecasting means there is no gain in trying to outline these differences days in advance. It may not rain again in some places for about ten days to two weeks. The breakdown of this warm, dry spell has to be described as uncertain too, but at the moment the models have the idea of a gradual turn to cooler northeast winds and eventually some embedded showers in that flow.

My local weather turned a lot cooler due to persistent low cloud and morning rain or drizzle. It became rather foggy for a while, then brightened a bit by late afternoon, with highs 12 to 15 C in the region. Rain spread over some of the extensive wildfires to our north. We will be back into sunny and rather warm weather once this disturbance loses energy and begins to break up later today.

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 24 May, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead remain warm, dry and increasingly sunny. Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal values. Sunshine will be about 25 per cent above normal, or even more (twice normal would be the upper limit).

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly sunny and warm, with some patchy cloud near northwest coasts; highs near 22 C inland, 18 to 20 C coastal districts. Slight chance of a brief shower near inland convergence zones of sea breezes, towards late afternoon.

TONIG T will be clear with some patchy fog near coasts. Lows 5 to 9 C.

TOMORROW and FRIDAY, also most of the WEEKEND, will remain similar with highs 21 to 24 C inland, 16 to 19 C coastal areas. Nights clear to partly cloudy and lows 4 to 7 C inland, 5 to 10 C coastal and urban areas. Light and variable winds in general with local sea breezes.

NEXT WEEK, this pleasant weather regime may begin to break down slowly, but Monday and Tuesday may display little change. By mid-week, from perhaps as early as Tuesday but more definitely Wednesday (31st) east winds and cloud with outbreaks of rain, possibly thundery in places, with highs 16 to 19 C. The high pressure area now controlling the weather will be pushed further north but will try to build back in later in the week towards 1-3 June and there could be a few more days like this current spell by then.

My local weather was quite cloudy with brief sprinkles of rain and temperatures near 18 C, until blue skies began to appear by mid-afternoon, and it has now cleared out to give a good view of the crescent moon near Venus. Eastern regions of the U.S. are coming under the influence of high pressure with an early season tropical disturbance forming off the southeast coast this weekend (which includes Memorial Day, on Monday 29th). We don't observe that in Canada and last weekend was a long holiday weekend here.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 25 May, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week remain dry and relatively warm, with at least normal amounts of sunshine and some cloudy intervals in the mix.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals in a few places, it looks more likely to be sunny than yesterday's widespread cloudy skies around mid-day, and could be sunny all day in places. Some marine cloud layers could drift inland over coastal counties at times but it looks rather "hit or miss" in all but perhaps northern coastal regions. Quite warm inland with highs 19 to 23 C. Some coastal sea breeze cooling locally will result in a few places staying around 16 or 17 C.

TONIGHT will be clear with a few cloudy intervals persisting in places that do see daytime cloud cover. Lows 4 to 7 C inland, 5 to 10 C coastal and urban areas.

FRIDAY will continue partly cloudy or sunny and dry, with highs around 22 C.

SATURDAY could see some outbreaks of cloud and isolated showers from a weak frontal system dropping south across eastern counties. Some western counties will remain mostly sunny. Lows 5 to 10 C and highs 18 to 22 C.

SUNDAY partly cloudy to sunny, lows 5 to 8 C and highs 18 to 22 C.

The outlook for next week has changed somewhat as the high now appears less likely to weaken mid-week and the unsettled easterly flow may remain well to the south. On the other hand this may return to model guidance in coming days so I wouldn't totally abandon the possibility yet. Today's guidance looks quite dry into the late stages of next week and then slowly becomes more cloudy and unsettled. Temperatures will stay in a similar range next week.

My local weather was partly cloudy all day and there were impressive towering cumulus clouds that eventually formed thunderstorms moving from east to west; we had some loud thunder and small amounts of rain. Before that started it was rather warm (20 C) and it looks like we are going to have a prolonged spell of this sort of variable weather. Meanwhile, typhoon Mawar moved past Guam and is heading west towards Luzon and Taiwan, but model guidance suggests this powerful (and unusually early) storm will stall before hitting those islands around 29-30 May and will be swept east over the following week. Remnants of it may hit North America's west coast in early June. This may release a lot of latent heat into the circulation. My summer long-range thoughts are as follows: a rather warm and sometimes quite dry summer for Ireland and Britain, with occasional bursts of heat that might be oppressive on one or two occasions. I expect it will be rather variable from week to week with some intervals of unsettled weather but the trends will be on the warm and dry side of normal.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 26 May, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS continue dry, relatively warm and sunny with some cloud at times, more frequently in northern counties.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with a few cloudy intervals in some locations, and warm inland, with highs around 21 or 22 C. Some coastal areas will stay a bit cooler near 18 C.

TONIGHT will be clear with a few clouds, and lows 5 to 8 C.

SATURDAY will bring more of a mix of cloud and sunshine, and some areas could stay cloudy for fairly long intervals, with highs around 20 C. Some isolated sprinkles of rain could occur from widely separated showers but rainfall amounts will be very small, if any does occur.

SUNDAY will be cloudy with some brighter intervals across the south and some central counties, lows 4 to 8 C and highs 14 to 18 C for most, could be held to around 12 C in parts of north Ulster, and could also rise to 20 C in any southern locations that are sunny. This cooler scenario is dependent on a lot of marine layer cloud forming and staying in place, where this does not happen there won't be much of a drop in temperature.

Most of next week will remain dry and sunshine will return (if it goes away for any part of the weekend), and there are indications that it could become a bit warmer too, with highs possibly into the low or even mid 20s well inland and in western counties, as there will be a slight easterly breeze cooling east coast and some south coast locations. A general breakdown of this fine spell of weather is currently expected around 7th to 9th of June, approximately.

My local weather on Thursday was partly to mostly cloudy with passing showers that did not drop much rain and also were not thundery, with the high around 19 C. We are looking at somewhat warmer conditions here for the coming week but no return to hot weather.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 27 May, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain dry, a little warmer than average except for a cooler spell Sunday. Plenty of sunshine but perhaps more cloud at times this weekend.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny at first, with increasing cloud across western and northern counties, where some light drizzly showers could develop later. The highs will range from 16-18 C west and north to 20-22 C south and 18-20 C east.

TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy with lows 9 to 12 C.

SUNDAY will be rather cloudy but some sun may appear at times across the south and some central counties by afternoon, more clearing by evening, and highs 14 to 17 C for many, 17 to 19 C in some sunnier places further south.

NEXT WEEK the high is not going away and this brief cloudier interval will likely fade out to a return of more sunny skies with just coastal cloud in a few locations. Temperatures will be somewhat warmer in western counties due to a moderate easterly breeze, so expect highs of 21-23 C in the west, and 16-18 C east, possibly around 20 C south coast, and 15-18 C in Ulster but sometimes closer to 20 C also. Nightly lows will be 6 to 10 C. A rather gradual change to cooler and mainly dry but cloudy conditions will take place around 7th to 9th of June with temperatures falling to the cooler 13-16 C range by day and 5-8 C at night. It never looks all that unsettled during this cooler spell and rainfalls may not be much more than 5-10 mm at most.

My local weather on Friday was pleasant with a mixture of sun and cloud, no showers locally but some on radar further west, highs near 24 C.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 28 May, 2023 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS will return to warm, sunny and dry after today's brief cloudy and somewhat cooler interlude. A more lasting end to the warm and dry spell may come around ten days from now.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with a few sunny intervals, somewhat cooler than previous days, highs 16 to 18 C, and 13 to 15 C in parts of north Ulster. It may be more frequently sunny in a few locations and those places could reach 20 C.

TONIGHT will become clear with lows 5 to 8 C.

All of next week looks sunny and warmer again, especially in the western half of the country where highs may climb into the 21-24 C range. Somewhat cooler near east and south coasts in a light to moderate easterly breeze; highs 16-19 C. Nights will be generally mild, temperatures briefly falling to lows around 6-10 C but at this time of year because of the early sunrise times, those values warm to 15 C by the time many people start their day.

The warm, dry spell could last into the weekend of 3-4 June and perhaps a few days beyond that, but eventually the high pressure area responsible is expected to pull back far enough to the west to allow a cooler, and cloudier northeast wind flow to arrive, with showers likely -- but that may not begin until around 7 to 9 June.

My local weather on Saturday was sunny with cloudy intervals, and late afternoon thundershowers moving in from the northeast. It was warm during the sunny intervals and reached about 23 C.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 29 May, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain warm, dry and largely sunny, with somewhat cooler temperatures in the eastern half of the country, near average, compared to 2-4 deg above normal in the west. Light easterly breezes will become more frequently moderate by next weekend.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny and warm, with highs 21-23 C west, 17-19 C east.

TONIGHT will be clear and cool, lows 5 to 9 C.

TUESDAY will be mostly sunny and warm, with a more moderate easterly breeze. Highs 22-24 C west, 15-18 C east.

WEDNESDAY, little change, sunny and warm, moderate easterly breezes, highs 21-23 C west, 14-17 C east.

From about THURSDAY to the following TUESDAY (6th) little change in this pattern is expected, there may be a slight increase in the easterly wind speeds and this may push the somewhat cooler air further into central counties and reduce the temperatures further west gradually towards 20 C. Then cloud is likely to increase and some rain may spread in from the south by about 8th-10th of June, but further dry spells may follow that.

My local weather was mostly cloudy with passing but brief thundershowers in a north to northwest flow, and highs reached near 20 C.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 30 May, 2023 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain very similar, warm and dry with plenty of sunshine and a slowly increasing easterly breeze over the coming week to ten days, resulting in a lengthy dry spell that may only begin to break down around the 7th or 8th of June.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny and warm with highs 22 to 24 C western and central counties, 16 to 19 C eastern counties. Moderate easterly breezes of 20-40 km/hr at times.

TONIGHT will be clear with lows 5 to 10 C.

WEDNESDAY and the rest of the week into the WEEKEND of 3rd-4th June will remain similar, with perhaps a slightly stronger easterly breeze at times, keeping the contrast between warm west and somewhat cooler east in place. Nights will remain quite similar too.

This fine spell of weather may give way to some rain by about 7 to 9 June, but the amounts may not be as much as might be needed by then to break developing drought conditions. There was a fairly good reserve of soil moisture before this spell began but even so, it's only a matter of time until perhaps a few problems develop with wildfires or low stream levels. It remains to be seen if this will get worse later in the summer or come and go.

My local weather on Monday was similar to yours with mostly sunny skies, although some build-up of daytime cloud occurred, and there were distant showers not very close to my location. It was quite warm at about 25 C.

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 31 May, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain the same, warm and dry, with plenty of sunshine, and warmest in western and central counties, somewhat cooler eastern counties.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny and warm, in fact very warm in some western counties with highs 22 to 25 C, cooler near east coast and for some distance inland as easterly breezes flow across the chilly Irish Sea, highs 16 to 19 C.

TONIGHT will be clear with lows 6 to 9 C.

THURSDAY to the middle of next week, little change from the above, temperatures similar to the range predicted for today, although there could be a bit of cloud around at times by about Saturday, not a big change expected but a source for possible brief and very localized showers in east Ulster and north Leinster. Would not expect any change to temperatures for various regions, but if a day comes along with somewhat reduced easterly flow, then Leinster could warm up to similar values to those further west.

By about Thursday, 8 June, more cloud will appear and breezes will become southeast 30-50 km/hr, some outbreaks of light rain could move across parts of west Munster and perhaps further north. Even so, the dry spell may continue in many areas for several more days with more significant rains possible but not yet confirmed around mid-June.

My local weather was sunny with increasing amounts of high cloud, and no showers developed anywhere close to here, with highs around 25 C.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 1 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain warm, dry and mostly sunny, with temperatures closer to average values in the east. Any breakdown of this pattern could be delayed to around Friday 9th or Saturday 10th of June.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly sunny with a few afternoon cloudy intervals in some eastern and northern counties. Highs 22 to 25 C in western and some central counties, 15 to 19 C east and north, 17 to 22 C south. Moderate east winds at times freshening near south and east coasts.

TONIGHT will be clear and pleasant with lows 5 to 9 C.

FRIDAY and this coming weekend will remain similar, with perhaps a bit more cloud in the mix at times, but even so, plenty of sunshine in many locations, and temperatures similar to today.

NEXT WEEK will provide little if any change from the general pattern and it is not likely to rain again until near the end of the week or possibly even over the following weekend of 10-11 June, with that potential being mainly over southern parts of the country. Eventually as the very persistent high pressure weakens, a return to westerly flow will probably begin around mid-month but it's too far away to be very confident of rainfall amounts once there are some active fronts; these could prove to be fairly weak for a while.

My local weather on Wednesday was mostly sunny and breezy with a high around 23 C, pleasantly cool in the shade, and around 12 C now towards 11 p.m. local time here. With all the clear skies no doubt you've seen very bright Venus in the west for a couple of hours after sunset. Mars is also visible, in the southwest. The "twins" Castor and Pollux currently occupy the space between Venus and Mars. Meanwhile the moon is approaching its full phase which it reaches on the weekend overnight 3rd-4th. You'll notice that it will be riding very low in the south as we reach a peak in a lunar declination cycle where summer full moons are five degrees below the ecliptic plane.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 2 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain generally warm, dry and sunny with some coastal cloud and cooler temperatures locally.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly sunny except in some eastern counties near the coast, where low cloud or fog may persist to mid or late morning hours. Although the sun is likely to appear by afternoon, rather cool in those locations; highs 22 to 25 C for many western and central counties, 15 to 19 C east and 17 to 21 C south coast. Moderate easterly winds at times.

TONIGHT will be clear with some coastal cloud after midnight. Lows 6 to 10 C.

This same pattern will keep repeating with slight variations day to day, until around Friday 9th or even into the weekend of 10th-11th. Some days will have more extensive coastal cloud and fog than others, and it may be quite hit or miss as to where these cloud banks appear. Further west it is likely to remain sunny and warm. Temperatures will be in a similar range for this entire interval, but one or two days may turn out warmer in eastern counties if the wind direction changes for any brief intervals to reduce the time that the air mass spends over nearby cool sea waters.

After about the weekend of 10th-11th, a cooler northeast wind is likely to replace this regime and temperatures will fall back especially in western regions as there will probably be less contrast east to west, in the 14 to 18 C range. Some small amounts of rain can then be expected. Even so, some days after the breakdown could also be mostly sunny and a bit warmer again.

My local weather on Thursday was sunny with a high of about 25 C. We are gradually warming towards another hot spell in the low to mid 30s next week.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 3 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead remain dry, mostly sunny apart from some morning cloud or sea fog in a few exposed locations, and warm at least away from the cooler east coast.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly sunny after a few areas of cloud or misty sea fog burn off. Warming rapidly despite quite a cool start in places (an overnight low of 2 C reported at Mountdillon) to reach highs of 22 to 25 C in western and central counties, 15 to 19 C eastern counties, and 17 to 21 C across the south and parts of Ulster. Light to moderate eastery breezes.

TONIGHT clear with some early morning fog or low cloud mainly near coasts. Lows 4 to 8 C.

SUNDAY will continue similar with a mixture of sun and local (mostly morning) cloud, and highs similar to today.

MONDAY and TUESDAY little change expected, perhaps a slow increase in patchy cloud more persistent in some northern counties than over the weekend, and temperatures in a similar range. Isolated showers possible by Tuesday in the north.

From mid-week on, continued dry and at least some sunshine for most locations each day with rain staying away (apart from isolated and brief sprinkles) until at least the weekend of 10th-11th when a few areas mostly in the inland southwest could see small amounts. Temperatures won't change very much except that as winds turn more southeast, the south coast will get a more direct marine flow and the east coast could see somewhat higher readings at times.

The longer term guidance is probably so unreliable in this situation that a summary of it would provide little useful info, but just on a statistical basis it is bound to become more unsettled eventually, and temperatures are likely to remain rather warm in general but there will always be some chance of a cooler spell of northeast winds (although that signal is not as strong now).

My local weather on Friday was sunny with a few afternoon clouds, and a high of about 25 C.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 4 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week now finally begin to show some changes approaching, with a very gradual breakdown of the warm, dry regime, with small amounts of rain possible around Tuesday, but a more widespread rainfall by about Friday or Saturday. Temperatures will average 2 to 3 deg above normal in the west, but cooler east winds will leave the east close to average with some places slightly below.

FORECASTS

TODAY will continue mostly sunny and warm in western and central counties, where highs of 23 to 26 C are likely. Local sea breezes on the west coast as well as the south coast could bring in some sea fog in a few locations and highs closer to 20 C. Eastern counties will be cooler because of the easterly breeze, and there may be more frequent cloudy intervals especially north of Dublin, with highs of 16 to 19 C.

TONIGHT will be clear with a few cloudy intervals in the north and east, lows 6 to 9 C.

MONDAY little change with sunshine and highs 22 to 25 C west, 17 to 20 C east.

TUESDAY some sunshine persisting in west, more frequent cloudy intervals central and east, with a few showers possible in Leinster and Ulster, small rainfall amounts expected. Temperatures similar to Monday.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, lows 7 to 10 C and highs 20 to 23 C.

FRIDAY mostly cloudy with a few showers, but possibly heavier outbreaks of rain in some parts of Munster. Lows 8 to 12 C, highs 19 to 22 C.

NEXT WEEKEND now looks a bit more unsettled but still relatively dry with a few outbreaks of rain and variable amounts of cloud, temperatures around 10 to 13 C overnight and 18 to 21 C in the daytime hours.

The following week will likely see a return to westerly flow and passing fronts with associated rainfalls that may return conditions to normal by mid-month to the 20th of June.

My local weather was sunny and breezy with a high near 26 C. A very low full moon was rising in the southeast around sunset.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 5 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week show some subtle changes approaching, with a very gradual breakdown of the warm, dry regime, and even some small amounts of rain possible around Tuesday, but a more widespread rainfall is possible by about Friday or Saturday. Temperatures will average 2 to 3 deg above normal in the west, but cooler east winds will leave the east close to average with some places slightly below.

FORECASTS

TODAY will continue mostly sunny and warm in western and central counties, where highs of 23 to 26 C are likely. Local sea breezes on the west coast as well as the south coast could bring in some sea fog in a few locations and highs closer to 20 C. Eastern counties will be cooler because of the easterly breeze, and there may be a few cloudy intervals especially north of Dublin, with highs of 16 to 20 C.

TONIGHT will be clear with a few cloudy intervals in the north and east, lows 7 to 11 C.

TUESDAY some sunshine persisting in south and west, more frequent cloudy intervals central and east, with a few showers possible in north Leinster and Ulster, but only small rainfall amounts are expected (traces to 2 mm). Temperatures similar to today, highs 20 to 24 C for most, 16 to 19 C under more persistent cloud and near east coast.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, lows 7 to 10 C and highs 20 to 23 C.

FRIDAY mostly cloudy with a few showers, but possibly heavier although isolated outbreaks of rain in some parts of Munster. Lows 8 to 12 C, highs 19 to 22 C.

NEXT WEEKEND now looks a bit more unsettled but still relatively dry with a few outbreaks of rain and variable amounts of cloud, temperatures around 10 to 13 C overnight and 18 to 23 C in the daytime hours.

The following week will likely see a gradual return to southwest to westerly flow and passing fronts with associated rainfalls that may return conditions to normal by mid-month to the 20th of June.

My local weather was sunny with a high near 29 C. A still apparently full moon was rising in the southeast around 10:30 p.m., with an orange glow. A hot spell is developing for us while eastern regions of North America will be quite cool for early June, New York City came within one degree of breaking its daily record low of 9 C set in 1926 and other locations in the northeastern U.S. did set records. Previous weeks of hot, dry weather over Quebec have created a lot of forest fire smoke that is now drifting southwest towards parts of the northeastern U.S. ... Alberta wildfires are partly diminished but some smoke from those is spreading east and later south towards the Midwestern states.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 6 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead ... still quite frequent dry and sunny spells, but a gradual increase in cloud and then showers by Friday, after some localized showers today mostly in northwest counties. Temperatures will remain fairly warm except where moderated by sea breezes from the east, winds turning more southeast to south by weekend.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny and warm in many areas, as patchy cloud and isolated showers spread slowly west across Ulster and north Connacht. Rainfall of 1-3 mm is expected in a few locations there but it will remain very dry elsewhere. The highs will follow the familiar pattern now of 22-25 C west, 18-20 C north and near south coast, 15-18 C east coast. Rather weak sea breezes at times may confine the cooler readings to within a few kms of coastlines.

TONIGHT will be clear with a few cloudy intervals in the north and east, lows 8 to 12 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will be mostly sunny, with partly cloudy skies in some parts of the north, lows 8 to 12 C and highs 18 to 24 C.

FRIDAY mostly cloudy with a few showers in south and west, but possibly heavier although isolated outbreaks of rain in some parts of Munster. Partly cloudy to sunny in east and north with isolated showers possible. Lows 8 to 12 C, highs 19 to 22 C.

NEXT WEEKEND will be somewhat cloudier in general, with sunny breaks at times, and sporadic outbreaks of mostly light rain more likely in south and central counties. Lows 11 to 14 C and highs 19 to 23 C.

NEXT WEEK will continue variable with some sun at times most days and more frequent showers so that by end of next week rainfalls of 20-40 mm may have fallen across much of the country.

My local weather was sunny and very warm with a high near 30 C. It cools down quickly after sunset as the air mass is very dry. Currently about 15 C in town and 8 C in higher elevations outside town (just came in from sky-watching, Venus continues to dominate western sky, Antares is now prominent low in the south). Rising of the waning gibbous moon next two or three nights will advance from about midnight to 2 a.m. local times. This makes sky watching better with the darker late evening skies. I live a bit closer to the equator than most of you, but even so it is just barely dark here by 10 p.m. nowadays with sunset at about 8:50 p.m., probably almost an hour later in Ireland I would imagine. (also a bit east in my time zone making sunset earlier)

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 7 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead include a generally warm temperature regime of 2 to 3 deg above normal, perhaps closer to 1 C near some coasts; sunshine falling back to more average amounts after a long spell of very sunny weather, but this trend may not set in until around Friday; rainfall finally returning to the weather picture, but gradually and even so not reaching normal amounts for over a week to ten days in many parts of Ireland.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals, those more frequent in Ulster, north Leinster, and possibly near some other coasts. The highs will range from about 25 C in the inland west, to 17 C on the east coast, with 20 C in some central and southern counties. Moderate easterly breezes at times.

TONIGHT will be clear with a few clouds, lows 7 to 10 C.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy, breezy, and warm with highs 17 to 20 C east, 20 to 23 C west.

FRIDAY variable cloud, a few showers, lows 10 to 13 C, highs 20 to 23 C.

WEEKEND cloudy with sunny breaks, outbreaks of showery rain at times, locally heavy but for most areas 5-10 mm amounts most likely. Rather oppressive with higher humidity, lows 12 to 15 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

NEXT WEEK currently looks like it may see a minor return to the warm, dry easterly breeze setup we now have, for a few days, before a more substantial breakdown of the blocking can take place. So there could be a fair amount of sunshine again next week and highs in a similar range to what we have seen in the past week(s).

My local weather heated up more and reached 34 C, with very low humidity, so that it does cool off relatively fast after sunset (19 C at 10 p.m.). We are going to hit even higher temperatures for several days as an upper-level ridge sets up over this region.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 8 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Temperatures will average 2 to 4 deg above normal, as the east begins to turn warmer also. It will remain rather dry despite some rain at times mostly on this coming weekend. Amounts will likely be 25 to 50 per cent of normal at best. More substantial rainfalls are still about ten days to two weeks away. Sunshine will not be quite as frequent or widespread but may still manage to exceed average slightly.

FORECASTS

TODAY will bring patchy cloud and hazy sunshine, with a moderate southeast breeze 40-60 km/hr by afternoon; highs 21-24 C west, 17-19 C east. It could rain at times this afternoon in a few parts of south Kerry but most of that rain will stay just offshore.

TONIGHT will be cloudy across the south and west, with some rain by morning in Kerry and Cork. Partly cloudy with clear intervals further north. Lows about 8 to 10 C except 12 to 14 C under cloud.

FRIDAY will see some outbreaks of light rain across west Munster spreading north into west Connacht, amounts 2-5 mm. Other regions partly cloudy, warm and dry except for isolated showers; highs will reach 20 to 23 C.

SATURDAY warm and more humid, a few showers, isolated heavy and possibly thundery downpours moving up from southeast into central counties. Amounts variable, 3 to 15 mm. Lows 12 to 14 C and highs 20 to 24 C.

SUNDAY will also be warm and humid with a few more showers, one or two possibly thundery. Lows 13 to 15 C and highs 21 to 24 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, lows 12 to 14 C and highs 22 to 25 C.

The rest of next week looks fairly dry until perhaps the weekend of 17th-18th when parts of the north could see some rain at times. The week will be partly to mostly sunny and cooling will return to eastern counties as winds return to an easterly direction after a brief southerly interval on this coming weekend. The highs expected for next week will be in the 19 to 25 C range east to west and could go a bit higher in parts of inland western counties.

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny with patchy high cloud, and hot, with a high near 35 C. Smoke from forest fires in Quebec and parts of eastern Ontario made air quality very poor across eastern Canada and the adjacent northeast U.S. including NYC which had "dangerous" air quality readings. Residents of many cities were being advised to stay indoors or wear N-95 masks if venturing out. We had those conditions here for a week in the summer of 2021 and I know first-hand it can make it very difficult to breathe if you are exposed to the smoke particles from forest fires on that scale.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 9 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS are towards somewhat more humid weather with similar temperatures or perhaps in some eastern counties even a bit warmer, and with more cloud in the mix leading to at least some rainfalls, even so, 25 to 50 per cent of normal might be about all that will occur in most locations.

FORECASTS

TODAY will bring some outbreaks of light rain across west Munster spreading north into southwest Connacht, amounts 2-5 mm. Other regions partly cloudy, warm and dry except for isolated showers; highs will reach 19 to 24 C.

TONIGHT will be cloudy across the south and west, with some showers by morning across parts of the south. Also mostly cloudy but with some breaks in east and north, isolated showers possible. Lows 12 to 14 C.

SATURDAY warm and more humid, a few showers, isolated heavy and possibly thundery downpours moving up from southeast into central counties. Amounts variable, 3 to 15 mm, highs 20 to 24 C.

SUNDAY will also be warm and humid with a few more showers, one or two possibly thundery. Lows 13 to 15 C and highs 21 to 24 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, lows 12 to 14 C and highs 22 to 25 C.

The rest of next week looks fairly dry but with enough patchy cloud and humidity that isolated showers could develop almost anywhere, but coverage will be mostly in the 10 to 20% range, until the weekend of 17th-18th when it is possible that even warmer temperatures could develop (near 28 C). That could eventually lead to a thundery breakdown from the south or southeast, by about Tuesday 20th, but evolution at that distance is more speculation than carved in stone. The models are showing the potential for more significant rainfalls in that week, it's "wait and see" on that outcome. Before that, dry soils may only see partial replenishment from this weekend's showers and sporadic additional rain next week.

My local weather was partly cloudy with enough sun in the mix to boost temperatures back into the low to mid 30s. Some thundery outbreaks of rain have been moving past us to the south, from east to west, all evening with distant thunder but no rain here yet. The overcast is keeping it quite muggy in contrast to previous nights, and it is still 23 C at 10 p.m. ... I saw a bear walking along a nearby street during the evening, they have been largely absent this spring in town compared to numerous sightings all four of the other years we have been living here. Meanwhile they continue to suffer from poor air quality from forest fire smoke in eastern Canada and the northeastern U.S., and also more moderate smoke problems appeared around Vancouver today but that smoke is confined to the lower Fraser valley region, coming from new fires in that region.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 10 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS are towards somewhat more humid weather with similar temperatures or perhaps in some eastern counties even a bit warmer, and with more cloud in the mix leading to at least some rainfalls, even so, 25 to 50 per cent of normal might be about all that will occur in most locations. Sunshine will be closer to average values.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with a few intervals of hazy sunshine, warm and more humid, with a few showers, isolated heavy and possibly thundery downpours moving up from southeast into central counties. Amounts variable, 3 to 15 mm, highs 20 to 24 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy, misty and warm, lows 13 to 16 C. A few showers may persist mainly in central counties.

SUNDAY will also be warm and humid with a few more showers, one or two possibly thundery. Lows 13 to 16 C and highs 21 to 24 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy, warm and humid, with showers more frequent in eastern counties and becoming quite isolated by afternoon further west, lows 12 to 15 C and highs 22 to 25 C.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy, warm and humid, with afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows 13 to 16 C and highs 22 to 26 C.

The rest of next week looks fairly similar, warm and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing although perhaps a bit of a break from that daily cycle around end of the week as it becomes more sunny and quite warm with potential for highs inland to reach 27 C or a bit higher.

The outlook for the following week continues to change from one model run to another, the most recent effort shows continued very warm and slightly unsettled conditions continuing. There have been other runs showing a change to more widespread rainfalls so that option is probably a second possible development. It does look quite likely to remain warmer than average.

My local weather on Friday brought much needed rain to the immediate vicinity, 10-15 mm fell in frequent showers, without thunder, but it stayed rather warm considering the low cloud and rainfall, at around 20 C. A little further north the rain held off all day and it was warmer with some sunny breaks.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 11 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week include warm to very warm temperatures 2 to 4 deg above normal, near average rainfall from increasingly frequent showers and local thunderstorms, and some hazy sunshine most days, amounting to near normal totals.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be rather cloudy with some spells of warm, hazy sunshine, and scattered showers with isolated heavier thunderstorms. Central counties are most at risk for those. Rainfall amounts of 5-10 mm will be typical with isolated 15-20 mm downpours possible. The highs will be 22 to 25 C except for some local sea breeze cooling. Mist or fog may come and go near coastlines.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy, misty and warm, lows 13 to 16 C. A few showers may persist mainly in central counties.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy, warm and humid, with showers more frequent in eastern and northern counties and becoming quite isolated by afternoon further west, lows 12 to 16 C and highs 22 to 26 C.

TUESDAY will be partly cloudy, warm and humid, with afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows 13 to 16 C and highs 22 to 26 C. counties and becoming quite isolated by afternoon further west, lows 12 to 16 C and highs 22 to 26 C.

Each day following during this week will follow a similar pattern with various regions seeing outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms and temperatures well above normal, lows near 15 C and highs near 25 C and possibly higher.

In the following week, stronger disturbances will develop to the southwest and these will interact with the warm, humid air masses to create some locally heavy rainfalls. Some places, believe it or not, may end up with above normal rainfalls by end of June at this rate, but it will remain very warm and some places could escape the downpours and stay rather dry as a result. There appears to be only a slight pattern to this rainfall potential and as usual it would be the higher parts of Connacht and Ulster most likely to see the highest rainfall totals.

My local weather started out gloomy with a bit more rain but it slowly cleared during the afternoon and warm sunshine boosted temperatures to 22 C.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 12 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS will slowly change all week, at least in terms of rainfall, which will begin to add up to normal amounts in many locations, or even greater than normal amounts in parts of Connacht and west Ulster. Daily outbreaks of showers and locally heavy thunderstorms will tend to develop over central counties with a west to northwest drift during the afternoons and evenings. The lowest rainfall totals will likely be along parts of the south and east coasts. Temperatures will remain quite warm and sunshine will be much reduced compared to last week, but it won't be cloudy all the time in all locations.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out rather cloudy and misty with a few isolated showers. Around late morning or mid-day, showers and thunderstorms may develop fairly rapidly over inland Leinster and the eastern parts of Connacht, with somewhat more isolated showers elsewhere. By later afternoon, heavy downpours are possible over parts of central Connacht and west Ulster. Rainfalls of 5 to 20 mm are likely. Warm and humid, highs 21 to 26 C, with some local sea breeze cooling possibly accompanied by sea fog or low cloud near coasts.

TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy, with showers continuing in some western counties until around midnight. Fog or mist may follow. Warm and muggy with lows 14 to 17 C.

TUESDAY will see a repeat of this daily cycle of shower and thunderstorm development, and probably in similar areas. In fact, this monsoon-like pattern seems likely to repeat on a daily basis although with day to day variations as to where the heaviest showers and thunderstorms develop. Each day is likely to see similar temperatures, but these will vary with the rainfall as well as by time of day. The daily highs all week will be in the range of 21 to 26 C and overnight lows will remain quite elevated, 12 to 17 C and it may be rather oppressive, especially in urban areas. By the weekend, some heavier and more persistent bands of rainfall may develop across parts of the north with warm, humid conditions further south and more scattered outbreaks of showers. Temperatures will remain similar. Then by the following week, expect more organized areas of frontal rainfall and temperatures in a rather narrow range most of the week with lows 14 to 18 C and highs 20 to 23 C. By end of the month, total rainfalls may be as much as 100 to 150 mm in parts of the west and north, and a more average 50 to 100 mm in the east and south.

My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy to sunny and very warm again, with highs near 30 C.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 13 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain similar, warm and humid with daily showers and thunderstorms heaviest in Connacht and west Ulster; sunshine near average.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy, very warm and humid, with showers and thunderstorms developing and moving slowly westward, eventually leading to some heavy downpours in Connacht (especially western coastal districts and nearby hills. Local rainfalls of 10-25 mm possible but amounts elsewhere mostly 3 to 7 mm. The highs will be 22 to 26 C. Some slight cooling from sea breezes near most coastlines.

TONIGHT will continue warm and muggy with the showers and local heavier storms dying out, becoming misty or foggy. Lows 13 to 18 C.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY (and weekend) ...

This pattern will only change very slowly, with day to day variations as to where the heavier showers and storms develop, but with a tendency to repeat so that eventually, total rainfalls in parts of Connacht and west Ulster will become rather high, 70 to 120 mm is possible over a week to ten days. Other parts of the country may see totals of 40 to 70 mm. The daily highs will remain in a similar range (22 to 27 C) to the end of this week and probably into the weekend and possibly even most of the following week. Nights will continue quite warm too (13 to 19 C). There may be a slight trend towards less widespread shower activity late in the week and then a growing trend towards more concentrated rainfalls later in the following week as blocking begins to break down and Atlantic frontal systems collide with the warm, humid air mass.

My local weather on Monday was partly cloudy and very warm, with a high near 30 C. Thunderstorms developed over hills and were drifting towards the southwest, but cells on either side managed to avoid dropping any rain locally.

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 14 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain warm, humid with continued heavy rainfalls in some western regions, closer to average in east. The weekend may become quite unsettled then a slight improvement is possible next week. Sunshine amounts near normal. Temperatures 3 to 5 deg above normal.

FORECASTS

TODAY will feature some hazy sunshine and generally warm temperatures reaching highs of 22 to 26 C. Some scattered showers will develop mostly over central to western counties mid-day, and as they develop drifting west towards Galway and Connemara, some could become heavy or severe locally with potential for 20-40 mm of rain leading to localized flash flooding. Frequent lightning may also be a hazard. These severe potentials will be closely watched (on the forum if not by myself, so check the thunderstorm thread).

TONIGHT will continue warm and muggy with the showers and local heavier storms dying out, becoming misty or foggy. Lows 13 to 18 C.

THURSDAY may see a general repeat performance with a similar potential for heavy rainfalls locally in some western counties, otherwise warm and humid with more isolated showers and thunderstorms, highs 22 to 26 C.

FRIDAY will likely become more overcast and showers that develop may be more widespread. Lows 13 to 17 C and highs 21 to 25 C.

WEEKEND unsettled with mostly cloudy skies, frequent showers and isolated thunderstorms, lows 14 to 18 C and highs 20 to 24 C.

NEXT WEEK little change but it may slowly reverse form and become a bit less unsettled each day to mid-week, temperatures possibly rising a degree or two as a result of more sunny breaks returning. Eventually, a more organized pattern of disturbances will take over, with potential for more heavy rainfalls especially in Connacht and west Ulster.

My local weather on Tuesday was sunny to partly cloudy, hot (32 C) and humid, with passing thunderstorms; a first round of those missed by a narrow margin but wind gusts were strong from the south. A second line produced some rain and thunder around an hour ago. More rain is likely by morning as it turns cooler.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 15 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead ... It will remain warm although closer to normal by Sunday-Monday, and there will be widespread showers and thunderstorms from today to Monday, with a drier trend after that. Rainfall amounts will range from near normal in east to twice normal in west and north. Sunshine may be somewhat below normal due to all the cloud associated with the convection.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be warm and humid with some hazy sunshine this morning. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop across the inland western counties and north-central regions including parts of west Ulster. Some of these may be quite heavy and rainfalls of 10-30 mm are expected. Some parts of the east may remain dry; highs 21 to 25 C.

TONIGHT will be muggy with showers and thunderstorms dying out around midnight in western and northern counties. Lows 13 to 17 C.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms, highs near 23 C.

SATURDAY and SUNDAY will bring further showers and mostly cloudy conditions, lows 14 to 18 C, highs 20 to 23 C Saturday, 18 to 21 C Sunday. Total rainfalls over Friday to Sunday will range from 30 mm in east to 70 mm in west, with some variations locally.

By MONDAY this monsoonal spell will begin to transition to partly cloudy and less unsettled, with temperatures near 22 C by afternoon.

TUESDAY to around the end of the week, possibly into the weekend of 24th-25th, may be generally dry and warm with partly cloudy to sunny skies. A few isolated showers could still intrude.

The end of the month may turn hot in France and parts of England, and stay warm in Ireland, but with an increasing risk of showers and thunderstorms as fronts press in from the Atlantic and interact with the hot air mass further east. At this point there are no strong signs of the expected heat (30-33 C in parts of England) would spread into southeast Ireland and 24-26 C appears to be the most likely peak there.

My local weather turned much cooler with occasional light rain and a northerly wind with faint evidence of smoke from distant fires still underway well to our north. Temperatures were only in the 13-15 C range and it is currently only 8 C outside at almost midnight local time.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 16 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead ... It will remain warm although closer to normal by Sunday-Monday, and there will be widespread showers and thunderstorms from today to Tuesday, with a somewhat drier trend after that. Rainfall amounts will range from near normal in east to twice normal in west and north. Sunshine may be 25 to 50 per cent below normal due to all the cloud associated with the convection.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with best of any morning sunshine in Ulster; showers and thunderstorms will develop across the south and will spread north, becoming heavy at times in central and some western counties; highs 18 to 21 C for most, 21 to 25 C in Ulster and north Leinster. Rainfalls 10 to 20 mm will be typical.

TONIGHT will be muggy with further showers and thunderstorms not entirely dying out after midnight, foggy after rain ends, lows 14 to 18 C.

SATURDAY more heavy showers and thunderstorms likely, some 20-30 mm amounts possible in midlands. Muggy with highs 18 to 22 C.

SUNDAY showers and thunderstorms, lows 14 to 18 C and highs 18 to 22 C. Some further heavy amounts likely.

MONDAY and TUESDAY, little change is expected, as more disturbances spread north in a south to southwest flow of very humid air, lows 13 to 17 C and highs 17 to 22 C.

Later in the week showers may be a little less widespread but there will be some additional rainfall in places, in partly cloudy, warm and humid conditions, lows 13 to 17 C and highs 18 to 24 C.

Another pulse of stronger showers and thunderstorms may arrive by weekend of 24th-25th as hot, humid air moves from France into eastern England where temperatures could top out around 31 C. It will remain in the mid-20s in Ireland during this unsettled period. Some improvements later towards end of June as weak high pressure builds to the south; temperatures falling back slightly to low 20s.

My local weather on Thursday was partly cloudy and hazy from smoke at higher levels in a northerly breeze, highs near 20 C.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 17 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead ... It will remain warm and humid, with frequent showers and thunderstorms. Rainfall may amount to 50 or even 75 per cent above normal. Temperatures will be 1 to 3 deg above normal. Sunshine will be less frequent than in recent weeks and may be capped at 50 per cent of normal.

FORECASTS

TODAY frequent heavy showers and thunderstorms likely, some 20-30 mm amounts possible from inland southeast to midlands and eventually northwest counties. A few brighter spells in some coastal areas, and highs 18 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will be muggy with further showers and thunderstorms not entirely dying out after midnight, foggy after rain ends, lows 14 to 18 C.

SUNDAY showers and thunderstorms, lows 14 to 18 C and highs 18 to 22 C. Some further heavy amounts likely.

MONDAY and TUESDAY, little change is expected, as more disturbances spread north in a south to southwest flow of very humid air, lows 13 to 17 C and highs 17 to 22 C.

There may be some slight improvement around mid-week although some showers and thunderstorms will continue, then another more unsettled period will follow by the weekend of 24th-25th. Temperatures will remain similar. The following week leading to end of the month may be somewhat more settled with near average temperatures.

My local weather on Friday was overcast with a brief downpour around sunset, and highs around 20 C.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 18 June, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead ... Temperatures will average 1 to 3 deg above normal. Rainfall will average near normal to 50 per cent above normal in parts of the west and north. There will be a break from frequent showers around mid-week then a return around Friday. At the present time the outlook for the following week (25th to early July) is generally dry. Sunshine will be infrequent this week but may return to longer spells in the more settled interval mid-week, and after this week ends.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms developing, fairly widespread by afternoon especially in Connacht, midlands, west Munster and parts of Ulster. Local amounts of 10-20 mm likely there, with highs 18 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will be cloudy, warm and humid, with showers dying out. Some fog patches and lows 14 to 17 C.

MONDAY and TUESDAY will see continued frequent showers and thunderstorms with mostly cloudy skies. Tuesday may be somewhat more active than Monday but both days will add 10-20 mm amounts in more active western zones, and 5-10 mm in parts of the east. Both days will see lows of 14 to 17 C and highs 19 to 23 C.

By WEDNESDAY partly cloudy with just a few isolated showers, lows 12 to 15 C and highs 21 to 24 C.

THURSDAY partly cloudy to sunny, lows 10 to 13 C and highs 21 to 24 C.

FRIDAY rain becoming heavy at times, lows 12 to 15 C and hghs 20 to 23 C.

WEEKEND of 24th-25th partly cloudy, a few showers and thunderstorms, with a gradual clearing trend, lows 11 to 14 C and highs 18 to 23 C.

Most of the following week will be dry with some sunshine at times, highs in mid-20s. Some higher temperatures likely early in the week in parts of Britain and France (low 30s).

My local weather on Saturday was partly cloudy with a high near 22 C. .