Easterly Blast Part III(potential snow for east)

Snowbie

Continue to post on current developments regarding thread title.

Keep on topic'ish as us Irish tend to get excited about the slimmest chance of snow(ok me too) and less singing untill the snow starts falling then singing allowed

Please feel free to start a thread about seperate cold type wintry events (FI included)

So fingers crossed at a short but interesting event.
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Dublin Weather

Snowbie

Deleted User wrote:

Is that anaprop off Dublin and down the East coast?
And coming out of south west wales heading westward?

I would say that is precip alright. We might get it flirting with the east right through the night but not amounting to much.

darkman2

Worth watching the areas of instability or showers as they approach Eastern England and how they develope because those areas will be with us tomorrow. I still think the best chance of snow will be tomorrow evening and for a while tomorrow night. The rest of tonight should be essentially dry.

Danno

Well, thats me off for the night - work bekons in the morning - hopefully it snows 6ft overnight and we get an extension to the Christmas Hols! Doubt it tho

Back tomorrow evening!

Wertz

I couldn't give a flying f*ck about snow, but the wind here since about 5 this evening has been bitter, howling in the chimney, gusting to strong gale straight in off the sea and I'd be surprised if there hasn't been damage somewhere along the east coast. Exceptionally dry though.
Someone said they saw a snowshower in Ardee earlier today....dunno how accurate that was...certainly was dark enough all damn day.

repr

Wertz wrote: »

I couldn't give a flying f*ck about snow, but the wind here since about 5 this evening has been bitter, howling in the chimney, gusting to strong gale straight in off the sea and I'd be surprised if there hasn't been damage somewhere along the east coast. Exceptionally dry though.
Someone said they saw a snowshower in Ardee earlier today....dunno how accurate that was...certainly was dark enough all damn day.

Glad you brought that up the wind even this far North has been pretty severe with this easterly since about 4pm only just calmed down bout an hour ago.

The best thing is though round the coast the waves where breakin like crazy with floodin on the coast roads not often we get this wind direction though on the East coast.

Pretty crazy. Sayin that the west was stomy as well I think Malin head had some mad gusts

repr

Showers starting to break out in Irish sea And they showin as snow

http://img91.imageshack.us/img91/6245/netwaether222222ai0.png

http://img211.imageshack.us/img211/7980/netweathhheruu3.png

Scubadevils

Its funny actually, I just drove from Dublin City Centre to North County Dublin and the temp on the car leaving the City was 7.5c and dropped to 4c by the time I got home...hardly cold enough for snow? Oh and I left town at about 2am. It did feel pretty cold though in that wind.

I was out all day and didn't get to lurk here or on NW etc, I assume things are looking better for snow - has there been an upgrade since this morning???

ninebeanrows

It looks like im the lone ranger!!

I actually didnt keep to my promise about my drinking!

Im abit better than New Years but only a tad!..

Off to look at the charts!

the 0z!

ninebeanrows

The 00z shows SIGNIFIGANT rainfall/snowfall in the east coast.

Temperatures @ 1c dews @ -1c.

Looks like there could be a few centimerters of the white stuff at low levels tomorrow in the east.

Looks pretty amazing really:D

DOCARCH

Current Met E weather forecast is emphasising snow more for Ulster with wintery showers elsewhere! Currently rain shower at Dublin Airport:(

However, I feel today will be one of those days that something mayhappen! Although I am starting to get a little worried about a possible lack of ppn around these parts!

Villain

Yep Met E have said snow on lower ground in Ulster, however what they have also said is

Friday: Heavy rain will spread from the west during the late morning and afternoon, and may be preceded by snow for a time over the north midlands and Ulster

There could well be a decent amount of snow in that breakdown even though it will be very brief.

WARNING: Tonight will have severe frosts with temps going as low as -6c inland, thats cold.

DOCARCH

I think if the wind backed ever so slightly just north of east we would have a far better chance of seeing something in Dublin today.

Showers are packing in to the east of the UK at the moment but there is a very clear line or north/south divide between those having showers and those not. Showers are actually, it appears, moving northwestwards. I also see that the blob of ppn over the north of france is falling as rain or freezing rain despite temps being at or just below freezing.

All the weatherstations I've just looked at on the East coast support snow with temps between 0c and shy of +3c (mothman is 3.5c) but crucially dewpoints around -2c or -3c.
Those temps and dewpoints are impressive in a near galeforce at times. Northeasterly off the irish sea.
The north easterly component also lends itself to potential shower distribution along the coast.
Perfect conditions for the sneachta later really if the temp doesnt rise.I'm guessing it wont rise fiven the cloud and the wind.

(Hope I haven't jinxed this by saying what I've said...oh well)

arctictree

Showers just starting to form now in the North Irish Sea:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/index.html

Lets see what happens now....

A

darkman2

I think south of Louth we may struggle today tbh. The instability over Eastern England pushing west looks a bit far of a Northerly track for my liking

DOCARCH

Light snow showers at Aldergrove now - lucky them:rolleyes:

All I can say is back wind back!!!

Met E could well be correct if that wind dosn't back a little. Gerry in Glasnevin may not even have to light his blow torch - but I'd say he still has the matches ready!:D

darkman2

darkman2 wrote: »

I think south of Louth we may struggle today tbh. The instability over Eastern England pushing west looks a bit far of a Northerly track for my liking

I wouldnt make that assessment untill lunchtime or early afternoon.
The wind down this way for instance is North East.
I'd also be thinking the barometer being at circa 1000mb means instability.

That said the ever reliable GFS at 12hrs suggests you are right.

DOCARCH

DOCARCH wrote: »

Met E could well be correct if that wind dosn't back a little. Gerry in Glasnevin may not even have to light his blow torch - but I'd say he still has the matches ready!:D

Oh I'd say he'll need the blow torch at some point because if anything falls out of the sky today in Glasnevin,it won't be shleeeet,it will be snow

Snowbie

Some light snow flurries heading towards Down/Louth counties

arctictree

arctictree wrote: »

Showers just starting to form now in the North Irish Sea:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/index.html

Lets see what happens now....

A

Yes they have appeared out of nowhere-though they are possibly a pepping up of what blew off the north of England overnight.
They would have died on reaching liverpool bay but would pep up on crossing the warm sea.
Thats 1000mb instability for you.
Wind direction up there is due East so I'd say they are slamming into North Dublin northwards.
It can only be good if they are developing that early.
I'll be lucky to get a flurry down here I reckon as there are 2 things set against me (1) The wind is blowing off a Dry part of Britain so (2)I'd be relying on the short sea track to create showers-possible but less likely.


Definitely looking good for Dublin northwards though compared to down here and I'd say Gerry might want to borrow a ciggy lighter as matches are unlikely to work well on that roof

Snowbie

Deleted User wrote: »

Definitely looking good for Dublin northwards though compared to down here and I'd say Gerry might want to borrow a ciggy lighter as matches are unlikely to work well on that roof

You can almost see tomorrows headline
" Man on top of Met HQ roof gets impailed on that sharp point with what looks like a flame thrower pointing eastwards.Heaven knows why he got up there,but we dont know how much fuel he has left in the flame unit. God speed and keep warm":D

Just had a light flurry here with a definite few flakes there.WooT!:D

rc28

A few snow flakes falling in the wind there, small flakes though. Lots of dark clouds around with a precip-giving look about them. 2.0c here

darkman2

I have a light shower coming here - we shall see:rolleyes:

By lunchtime you will see more of them darkman2 and snowbie.They will be blowing into Down louth and meath as well as north Dublin at a pace by then so ye should see a bit of that being on its bottom flank.
The air down here is too dry so I might see nothing bar a light flurry come evening.

Temp down this way is steady below 3c with a -2c dp.

No precip likely though

Snowbie

Another flurry now.

Im watching the Net weather 5 min weather radar and the band that is moving off the north sea has shifted a tad now more from a NW movement to a more WNW.
As the LP swings into France this should become W then hopefully WSW so you might see a few flakes later on Black Briar. Its not set in stone here yet but really looking forward to this evening.Now praying for the Irish sea to deliver and pep back up the showers which i have confidence in.

JackieChan

In Dublin city lots of heavy looking clouds passing over atm, look to be heading due West,

rc28

JackieChan wrote: »

In Dublin city lots of heavy looking clouds passing over atm, look to be heading due West,

Yes but they don't have much, if anything, falling out of them- just a few very light flurries. More small flakes falling here now.

Xcweather is useful for following the wind direction and where the showers will go next-http://xcweather.co.uk/

I've been watching a few showers pep up in morecambe bay over the last half hour- they should be heading this way so keep an eye on them.

JackieChan

will do.
I think the first wave is for Danno in Laois so that he gets a little bit of snow later!
Haven't seen anything fall here in Dublin 8

JackieChan

JackieChan wrote: »

will do.
I think the first wave is for Danno in Laois

Lol is it getting down there via scotty's transporter-being beamed there like?
Highly highly unlikely that precip is going down there from the irish sea unless activity peps up markedly.

ninebeanrows

Just had a light flurry there! And again.

Clouds building up now;)

darkman2

Heavier snow shower here but only slightly. A bit of sletty rain too. Saw a snow flurry earlier so obviously getting on the wrong side of marginal now at the coast.

ninebeanrows

Proper snow shower now, light but nice!

ninebeanrows

These are good signs folks, the showers are going to build all day.

Current sat

ciaran76

Just had a 2 min shower/flurry of snow here in Swords. Didnt last long and didnt stick. It was too light.

The Hill Billy

Looking north from a high vantage point in Dublin city centre there seem to be quite a few showers rolling in over the north city & county.

arctictree

The latest radar shows a marked increase in activity NE of Dublin.

In fact Dublin could be right in the firing line. No flurries here yet!!

A

DOCARCH

darkman2 wrote: »

Heavier snow shower here but only slightly. A bit of sletty rain too. Saw a snow flurry earlier so obviously getting on the wrong side of marginal now at the coast.

Yeah - temps up a bit now. They are having rain in parts of the UK with lower temperatures than we have at present, albiet with slightly higher dewpoints.

My ideal scenario would be that wind continues to back a little further north, shower activity builds across Irish Sea this afternoon but showers stay off shore 'til after dark so that temps. fall back a bit, wind drops (a little - need some wind to get activity over the Pennines) so that any showers blown in will have more time to dump their loads! Wishful thinking but here's hoping! :rolleyes:

Have to go away now as this weather is playing absolute havoc with my work today!!!

rc28

NW radar isn't picking up any of those fluries over dublin. I'm not sure if the premium it costs is worth it- it never seems to be that accurate and picks up way too much anaprop so you never know what is real and what isn't. Meteox do 15 minute updates for free.http://meteox.com/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur

rc28

arctictree wrote: »

The latest radar shows a marked increase in activity NE of Dublin.

In fact Dublin could be right in the firing line. No flurries here yet!!

A

NW radar keeps showing precip just to the east of dublin at every 15minute interval when I think the dublin radar does a slightly higher-res capture. You can see this on the meteox radar too. The wind is blowing easterly so showers to the NE might miss dublin.

Weathercheck

Weathercheck wrote: »

These are good signs folks, the showers are going to build all day.

Current sat

Yeah you can see the convection building rightly on that in the fattest section of the Irish sea from liverpool outwards.A lot of that will be a pepping up again of the stuff pushing acrosss yorkshire which has dried out by the time it gets to liverpool or manchester.
It soaks up more moisture heading across.

Despite the sunshine down this way the temp is struggling at about 2.5c and a minus dew point,it's all good in the hood...if only the NE wind would pull down some of that precip.
It would have to be snow if it got here.
Big ask so far.
We need the precip to pep up a good bit and it has to about 3pm for signs of that to be happening.
I'm liking this swing NE in the wind,it can be good

ninebeanrows

Temperatures are prime for snow here now, you just need abit of zip into the shower to counteract any of the suns heat, for example if you have a shower the temp will dip!

If we get the wind backing NE, we are in business, it is between now and midnight that we should see some good snow showers, from 3 or 4pm it should really get going!

Oh im getting excited:D Because the Irish sea looks like it is getting its gear on:D

arctictree

Looks good - This weather watching is playing havoc with my day job!!

darkman2

A bit of a streamer going on here atm. Shower one after the other. Mostly light - the odd moderate burst. Mostly sleety snow, hail and some rain.

LookingFor

darkman2 wrote: »

A bit of a streamer going on here atm. Shower one after the other. Mostly light - the odd moderate burst. Mostly sleety snow, hail and some rain.

Ditto here in D15. Nothing you could call pure snow, and quite light, but it has dulled up quite a lot now.

Could we have confirmation of wind directions from ye guys further up north?
Are ye ENE?

You need that NE element to drift that precip south over Dublin a bit more as opposed to heading into Belfast.

And it's deffo needed down here

edit it's NE down here the whole time which is encouraging.
The fact that the temp is sitting at 2.5 or so in such a strong sea wind is also good in the hood

ninebeanrows

A fairly decent shower to my east, just heading to the north.

Ronaldsway isle of man is reporting snow showers at 1220

ninebeanrows

Aint enough beef in the showers just yet, but we have a good 12 hours of really cold air over us and the sea.

ninebeanrows

Another sprinkling of snow pellets here.

Now i want some proper flakes!

darkman2

I would say the wind is slightly North of an Easterly direction right not.

I can see some moderate showers coming on shore now though.