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18-01-2015, 16:43   #1
Kermit.de.frog
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Cold discussion 18th Jan onward - cold for at least 5 more days, some snow

Hi guys. A brand new thread to discuss the continuing below average and cold period of weather and continuing potential snow risks. Here are the key points for the coming week or so.
  • Next 5 days at least very cold
  • Very low night time minima (sub -6 c lows inland most nights)
  • Daytime temperatures staying in low single figures
  • Mostly dry through the week
  • Frost and ice most nights
  • Snow in places Monday night and Tuesday night
  • Ulster and north Connaught, higher ground in Leinster most at risk
  • Wintry showers at times in the northwest and briefly along east coast midweek
  • Milder weather may break through by Sunday
  • High degree of uncertainty and volatility in 4 - 6 day forecast range, forecast will evolve

And off we go, again

Last edited by Kermit.de.frog; 19-01-2015 at 14:19.
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18-01-2015, 16:49   #2
howlinwolf
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Kermit I admire and thank you for all your hard work over the last week or so with the threads and posts but do we really need another cold spell thread?. we already have two threads, the general snow lovers thread and one for the upcoming days cold and snow....will this thread really add anything extra, there is a danger that some important posts from the likes of yourself and maq and mt will be lost somewhere in the pile.

Last edited by howlinwolf; 18-01-2015 at 16:51. Reason: forgot a word
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18-01-2015, 17:00   #3
Kermit.de.frog
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Originally Posted by howlinwolf View Post
Kermit I admire and thank you for all your hard work over the last week or so with the threads and posts but do we really need another cold spell thread?. we already have two threads, the general snow lovers thread and one for the upcoming days cold and snow....will this thread really add anything extra, there is a danger that some important posts from the likes of yourself and maq and mt will be lost somewhere in the pile.
Howlinwolf, Lumi suggested a new event thread. I guess the other thread will be locked. Probably too long and unwieldy. Wanted to wait for the 12z GFS/UKMO. Tocky the one similarity with 2010 and other long cold snaps is that the model forecast return to milder weather tends to get pushed back.

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18-01-2015, 17:03   #4
howlinwolf
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Originally Posted by Kermit.de.frog View Post
Howlinwolf, Lumi suggested a new event thread. I guess the other thread will be locked. Probably too long and unwieldy. Wanted to wait for the 12z GFS/UKMO.


ahh ok. I suppose that makes sense, try to keep it up to date. again thanks for all the input lately.
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18-01-2015, 17:14   #5
ffarrell7
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I am certain of snow falling away from the east coast...especially west Dublin and higher areas of South Dublin..tomorrow is supposed to be colder as well....it may be wet snow but snow it will be....even the weather forecast is confident if snowfall in eastern areas and quite heavy.....but I agree ....on the coast from arklow to Drogheda it could be marginally....sleet or a mix of rain and snow...
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18-01-2015, 18:05   #7
Nabber
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I love these photos with dogs in them. Someone always comes on to say lovely dogs... They be lovely, but they are in the way if the snow

Not hopeful for Dublin for snow at sea lvl. Think we may be the wrong side of marginal. But I dont think the cold snap will shift too easily. We may end up with a east flow from a french low. Although Europe is not as cold as we'd like, but it is colder than the Atlantic
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18-01-2015, 18:10   #8
Kermit.de.frog
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STATUS YELLOW

Low Temperature Warning for Ireland
Cold tonight with lowest temperatures of -1 to -5 degrees C leading to severe frost. Untreated road surfaces and paths will accumulate ice, becoming very slippy and dangerous. Patches of freezing fog may also occur.

Issued:Sunday 18 January 2015 12:00
Valid:Sunday 18 January 2015 12:00 to Monday 19 January 2015 10:00
http://www.met.ie/nationalwarnings/default.asp
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18-01-2015, 18:13   #9
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Lovely dogs...
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18-01-2015, 18:22   #10
 
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BBC forecast said temps could get as low as -10C over snow fields in Northern Ireland tonight, still widespread snow across most of Ulster this afternoon going by the MODIS sat image so a good chance it'll be the coldest night of the winter so far
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18-01-2015, 18:26   #11
pauldry
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Sligo wont be seen any snow I doubt.

Its much less cold overall.

Snow on hills and ulster this week
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18-01-2015, 18:38   #12
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Just a quick map on tomorrow night's snow potential before I head out.

Yellow being a sleety mix and purple being snow .


I'd love to be wrong and that all the areas get snow though
Attached Images
File Type: jpg snow risk.jpg (59.7 KB, 8681 views)
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18-01-2015, 18:50   #13
Mech1
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Just a quick map on tomorrow night's snow potential before I head out.

Yellow being a sleety mix and purple being snow .


I'd love to be wrong and that all the areas get snow though
Pity RTE didnt employ you, much more in the picture now!

1st weather chart I understand!
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18-01-2015, 19:01   #14
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[IMG][/IMG]

preferred chart
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18-01-2015, 19:05   #15
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Tanks Ian. Whilst I'm ever the dreamer, a healthy slice of reality never goes amiss. But I'm secretly hoping your wrong too, what with being located slap bang in middle of that yellow blob on t'coast.
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