The Official Off Topic Thread

Colonel Sanders · 13-04-2014 3:59pm

Variance can be a cruel or kind mistress. Of my last 7 soccer bets 6 have won and the other is Athletico at home to Chelsea

Positive variance good, negative variance not so much!

ft9 · 13-04-2014 4:00pm

How much you profit in a year Col?

UrbanSea · 13-04-2014 4:01pm

Horse traded odds on and finished unplaced. Ah well

Colonel Sanders · 13-04-2014 4:04pm

ft9 wrote: »

How much you profit in a year Col?

Not actually up that much for the year. On a good run now but February was torturous. All evens itself out, although Prem markets are always all over the place this time of year. The relegation haunted teams are always too short. The good runs are great, the bad ones shake you

Hoping NFL draft day will see a huge swing in my fortunes however!

Colonel Sanders · 13-04-2014 4:05pm

Sunderland are 4 points adrift at the bottom. 2 games in hand but their next 2 are away to both Man City & Chelsea

Rock bottom is still on hopefully, although I did hedge out of it.

Hulk Hands · 13-04-2014 4:10pm

UrbanSea wrote: »

Stand Clear at Wetherby here.

Lost about 5l by being hampered and boxed in. Have to think he'd have won. E/w money is nice but still disapponting

UrbanSea · 13-04-2014 4:11pm

Hulk Hands wrote: »

Lost about 5l by being hampered and boxed in. Have to think he'd have won. E/w money is nice but still disapponting

Just had a score win no harm, didn't actually watch it just had BF in running, touched 1.8

Colonel Sanders · 13-04-2014 4:33pm

Anyone any stats on how sendings off affect matched

Chelsea were around 2.1 in play, dipped to 1.5 after the sending off. Touched what looks around 1.35 and settled back about 1.45. Seems excessive but that's just a guess

Colonel Sanders · 13-04-2014 4:36pm

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

Anyone any stats on how sendings off affect matched

Chelsea were around 2.1 in play, dipped to 1.5 after the sending off. Touched what looks around 1.35 and settled back about 1.45. Seems excessive but that's just a guess

Adding the Betfair price graph

ft9 · 13-04-2014 6:29pm

Who's everyone on for the Masters?
Had a small bet on Spieth just now 5/1

Colonel Sanders · 13-04-2014 6:36pm

ft9 wrote: »

Who's everyone on for the Masters?
Had a small bet on Spieth just now 5/1

It's best we don't talk about it

Didn't make the cut and haven't gone back in

ft9 · 13-04-2014 6:39pm

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

It's best we don't talk about it

Didn't make the cut and haven't gone back in

I never back anyone at the beginning, always just have a punt on someone in the final round. Not a figure worth talking about, purely for entertainment.

kiers47 · 13-04-2014 6:40pm

Last chance saloon have rickie fowler at 60/1. There are at least 7/8 players with a chance.

BumperD · 13-04-2014 7:09pm

BumperD wrote: »

US masters this week. I like to do a few each yr in the majors. I've spread myself thin for some very small ew stakes on this lot. All each way Cabrera, Jimenez, Moon Bae, Huh, liessman. Amongst the favs kuchar/day/stenson would be my picks but for the buttons I'm putting on I've gone for the longshot value.

All missed the cut bar 1 @ 200\1. What are the chances.....eh?

ft9 · 13-04-2014 9:11pm

Spieth is doing very well, keeping his **** together so far.

BumperD · 13-04-2014 11:34pm

Happy with my ew on Jimenez at 200/1. Makes up for plenty of dud golf bets last few yrs.

hawaii501 · 14-04-2014 11:26am

BumperD wrote: »

Happy with my ew on Jimenez at 200/1. Makes up for plenty of dud golf bets last few yrs.

Had Jimenez myself only because of the price. Also did Spieth who I thought was going to run away with when he went -8 but can't complain too much.
Bubba played fantastic

UrbanSea · 15-04-2014 8:11pm

Anyone chancing Kumbeshwar tomorrow

BumperD · 15-04-2014 9:03pm

UrbanSea wrote: »

Anyone chancing Kumbeshwar tomorrow

Are you and Aidan one and the same?!?! Or have a private hotline?? You two regularly put up exactly the same horses. Twice in the past week iirc.

Gringo180 · 15-04-2014 9:20pm

Anybody watching the Shergar documentary on tv3? That Derby field strung out like it was a grand national :pac:

Colonel Sanders · 15-04-2014 9:45pm

Massive odds on punt landed on Arsenal.

Pinnacle tweeted earlier that they'd been backed from 2.29 to 2.07 -1.5. Straight up win price collapsed too

ste2010 · 15-04-2014 9:46pm

Long run could be a clever bet in the punchestown gold cup. I wouldn't be surprised if he ran badly to reduce his mark for the national in the races that led up to it this season

NewApproach · 15-04-2014 10:00pm

ste2010 wrote: »

Long run could be a clever bet in the punchestown gold cup. I wouldn't be surprised if he ran badly to reduce his mark for the national in the races that led up to it this season

Chemical Nicky might be bent, but handicapping a Gold Cup winner would possibly be a step too far, even for him!

UrbanSea · 15-04-2014 10:14pm

BumperD wrote: »

Are you and Aidan one and the same?!?! Or have a private hotline?? You two regularly put up exactly the same horses. Twice in the past week iirc.

Just the kind of horses we back, well handicapped dropping down the weights.

Watching a Bronx Tale. The scene with the bikers in the bar is brilliant

ste2010 · 15-04-2014 10:22pm

NewApproach wrote: »

Chemical Nicky might be bent, but handicapping a Gold Cup winner would possibly be a step too far, even for him!

I don't know, if you think about it. The waley-cohens wanted a gold cup winner then a grand national winner..they knew he wouldn't have a chance in winning the gold cup again so perfect time to try the national even though he would never get around

ste2010 · 15-04-2014 10:26pm

That race will definitely break up. Can't see FL running to merits again.
Also the champion chase could break up.
Put a nice 98/1 double on long run and sizing Europe

UrbanSea · 15-04-2014 10:32pm

Anyone know how the ground is at Punchestown

ste2010 · 16-04-2014 6:29am

UrbanSea wrote: »

Anyone chancing Kumbeshwar tomorrow

I was considering it - but I think the distance will find him out..my appetite for cheltenham races tomorrow is not like it used to be. The first race looks like a colour changing rubix cube

Colonel Sanders · 16-04-2014 7:25pm

Punt on City even at short prices. Pinnacle have been well short of Betfair price all day but Tweeted a while back that City had lengthened -2.5

Slattsy · 16-04-2014 9:59pm

That Liverpool - Chelski game at Anfield is gonna be an unreal, atmosphere will be amazing.

Trying my hardest to get a ticket atm, dont care how much i have to pay.

Slattsy · 17-04-2014 12:35pm

I see this thread has gone to pot recently after a brief run through.
Anti-craic :rolleyes:

Slán

BumperD · 17-04-2014 1:17pm

I'll sell you a pool ticket for €3,000,000. Cash only.

Johner · 17-04-2014 6:50pm

Cracking night of darts tonight.

Gary Anderson v Adrian Lewis
Michael van Gerwen v Phil Taylor
Peter Wright v Dave Chisnall
Robert Thornton v Raymond van Barneveld
Michael van Gerwen v Adrian Lewis

What a line up! A few beers are in order.

Johner · 17-04-2014 6:54pm

Slattsy wrote: »

That Liverpool - Chelski game at Anfield is gonna be an unreal, atmosphere will be amazing.

Trying my hardest to get a ticket atm, dont care how much i have to pay.

You're going down Slatts!

Johner · 17-04-2014 6:54pm

I'm yelling Timber,
you better move, you better dance.

Johner · 17-04-2014 9:09pm

Farloe Tango is a ****ing legend of a dog. Never a dull race.

BumperD · 17-04-2014 9:25pm

Right. I'm off out for a skinful. The pub beckons. Timber!

BumperD · 18-04-2014 10:57am

13 hours seems like a lifetime ago. I have a pulse and a roof over my head. But a stonking head. Two hundred fathoms, whiskey barrel aged imperial stout. Strictly by the glass. Drink in moderation.

UrbanSea · 18-04-2014 12:13pm

Can't wait for the racing tomorrow

Johner · 18-04-2014 12:28pm

Did Our Mick run a decent race recently? I remember thinking he was just gone at the game after being pulled up a load of times but can't remember if he ran again.

UrbanSea · 18-04-2014 12:34pm

Johner wrote: »

Did Our Mick run a decent race recently? I remember thinking he was just gone at the game after being pulled up a load of times but can't remember if he ran again.

Yeah showed plenty behind Duke of Lucca when going off too hard in front at Ascot. Been given a big chance by the handicapper.

Have found a max bet for tomorrow. Dare I say it, one of the best handicapped horses in racing.

unitedrover · 18-04-2014 12:59pm

The money paid for some horses now is scary.

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/article/465/9271055/war-front-colt-smashes-sales-record

UrbanSea · 18-04-2014 1:14pm

unitedrover wrote: »

The money paid for some horses now is scary.

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/article/465/9271055/war-front-colt-smashes-sales-record

Cool more really love those War Fronts at the minute. Is Willie Brown the same fella who trained that High Chap filly for them that won at Dundalk a few weeks ago

NewApproach · 18-04-2014 1:17pm

UrbanSea wrote: »

Cool more really love those War Fronts at the minute. Is Willie Brown the same fella who trained that High Chap filly for them that won at Dundalk a few weeks ago

Yes

Johner · 18-04-2014 2:19pm

UrbanSea wrote: »

Yeah showed plenty behind Duke of Lucca when going off too hard in front at Ascot. Been given a big chance by the handicapper..

Ah yeah I remember now at Aintree! Ran really well for a long way.

Johner · 18-04-2014 6:57pm

Bought a rake of cans yesterday, selling them for a fiver a pop today. Anyone wanna buy a can?

Luap · 18-04-2014 7:16pm

Johner wrote: »

Bought a rake of cans yesterday, selling them for a fiver a pop today. Anyone wanna buy a can?

I'll take them, all of them.

BumperD · 18-04-2014 9:04pm

Couldn't wait any longer. Minstrels Easter egg opened.

jimjamcos · 18-04-2014 9:24pm

Johner wrote: »

Bought a rake of cans yesterday, selling them for a fiver a pop today. Anyone wanna buy a can?

Got my hair cut in a place beside Bus Aras today. Barber says "ya wanna bottle?" Look to the right and fully stocked mini fridge. "Don't mind if I do!"

Best barbers ever.

tomaussie · 19-04-2014 3:41am

Thinking that Swansea are maximum bet material.

Playing well without winning and will be busting a gut to win at St. James's park for the second year running. Would be a fourth win in a row against Newcastle. A win would see them pretty much safe.

Newcastle have been poor at home this season and might be on a mental holiday as they have little to play for.

2.75 is just about an acceptable price.

The Official Off Topic Thread

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