General Elections. The Constituency of Tipperary

primary 2 · 27-02-2016 11:22pm

it looks like the last seat will be a battle between kelly and smith, smith should pick up alot of coonans transfers but kelly should pick up alot of morris transfers so where will hayes transfers go? will they go like the partys have been promoting,so to kelly or will smith get a few?

Xenophile · 27-02-2016 11:44pm

It was a good idea to suspend the count at 22.00. Counters will need to be very fresh tomorrow as it looks like that it's going to be a tight finish !

primary 2 · 28-02-2016 12:02am

Xenophile wrote: »

It was a good idea to suspend the count at 22.00. Counters will need to be very fresh tomorrow as it looks like that it's going to be a tight finish !

call it! do you think kelly will pull away or will the gap close

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 12:05am

primary 2 wrote: »

call it! do you think kelly will pull away or will the gap close

Kelly will pull it off ! Thanks to his hard work and hard neck, the transfers he gets from John Delaney will help him win it !

It wasnt me123 · 28-02-2016 12:10am

Xenophile wrote: »

Kelly will pull it off ! Thanks to his your hard work and his hard neck, the transfers he gets from John Delaney will help him win it !

FYP

Shame really, I wish you were back on Tipp FM. Loved the show

honeybear · 28-02-2016 12:21am

Hate to say it but think Morris elimination will favour Kelly

solerina · 28-02-2016 10:14am

CrowdedHouse wrote: »

Whatever about Lowry, that's some vote for Mattie McGrath

I didn't think that was ever in doubt, I used to grin every time I read on here that he would struggle. Mattie does an awful lot for people in South Tipp, anyone I know who had ever asked him for help with anything is still singing his praises.

mahoney_j · 28-02-2016 10:52am

I think Kelly will get in and take last seat ,ironically with transfers from Seamus Morris when he is illiminated .

tipptom · 28-02-2016 11:42am

mahoney_j wrote: »

I think Kelly will get in and take last seat ,ironically with transfers from Seamus Morris when he is illiminated .

Would a good few of Morrises votes go to Healy though as they are of fairly close ideologically?

I get geographically that Kelly will get the most of them but I don't think it will be as much as people think.
I think Healy still has a fighting chance,Maureen o Sullivan? was at home in her sitting room considering what to do next in her life when she had to go back to the count centre to accept her "lost" seat.

tipptom · 28-02-2016 11:50am

No matter what you think of Mattie that was a phenomenal person poll,wonder what he got from N Tipp.

Guess what I was hearing about Hayes election canvas came true on paper.

primary 2 · 28-02-2016 12:00pm

so it is looking like two from healy.kelly,smith and hayes. It was on the radio that noel coonan advised his voters to give there number 2 to smith so if this happens smith should be still ahead of hayes when morris is eliminated so you would think kelly and smith would get a nice few as kelly is nenagh based and near roscrea but with healy being left wing he will proably do well also so if hayes is eliminated out of healy smith and kelly who would be best placed to win the two seats? if smith is eliminated first i think hayes might just make ahead of healy

frankz · 28-02-2016 12:35pm

Distribution of Coonans votes

McGrath + 245 = 13064. elected

Cahill + 427 = 9530

Kelly + 1069 = 9456

Hayes + 2347 = 9373

Healy + 95 = 8572

Smith + 600 = 8165

Morris +167 = 6205 = eliminated.

frankz · 28-02-2016 1:32pm

Distribution of Morris votes

Healy + 2855 = 11427

Cahill +584 = 10114

Kelly +502 = 9958

Hayes + 187 = 9560

Smith + 726 = 8891 = eliminated

CrowdedHouse · 28-02-2016 1:43pm

I'd say Kelly got considerably less than he was hoping for in the last count

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 1:48pm

Fianna Fail's Michael Smith has been excluded after the fifth count and it looks like it could be a straight shootout for the final seat between Labour's Alan Kelly an FG's Tony Hayes.

Who would have thought that this would be the finish ?

touts · 28-02-2016 1:48pm

frankz wrote: »

Distribution of Morris votes

Healy + 2855 = 11427

Cahill +584 = 10114

Kelly +502 = 9958

Hayes + 187 = 9560

Smith + 726 = 8891 = eliminated

Three seats and Four left.

Party means Cahill is in. Geography means Kelly is in. Hayes won't pick up 2000 more of whats left than Healy so Healy will hang on and FG will lose both seats.

frankz · 28-02-2016 2:58pm

Distribution of Smith votes

Cahill + 4948 = 15062. Elected

Healy + 602 = 12029

Kelly + 1109 = 11067

Hayes + 383 = 9943

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 3:05pm

Alan Kelly is elected, a tremendous performance from him. Getting 10% of the first preference votes while the Labour Party nationally only got 6.6%.

jonski · 28-02-2016 3:22pm

Xenophile wrote:

Alan Kelly is elected, a tremendous performance from him. Getting 10% of the first preference votes while the Labour Party nationally only got 6.6%.

Are you kidding me .... A sitting minister scraps in to the last seat .

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 3:25pm

jonski wrote: »

Are you kidding me .... A sitting minister scraps in to the last seat .

You got it right he is a scrapper !

macjohn · 28-02-2016 3:37pm

Xenophile wrote: »

Alan Kelly is elected, a tremendous performance from him. Getting 10% of the first preference votes while the Labour Party nationally only got 6.6%.

Ya, he will be elected after the distribution of Cahills surplus.
He is almost there! :-)

frankz · 28-02-2016 3:50pm

Distribution of Cahill Surplus

Healy + 845 = 12874

Kelly + 683 = 11750

Hayes + 494 = 10437. eliminated.

Healy and Kelly elected (without reaching quota)

Final result

macjohn · 28-02-2016 4:03pm

jonski wrote: »

Are you kidding me .... A sitting minister scraps in to the last seat .

Ah - Simon Coovney
Joan Burton,
did same.

Hardly unusual.

James Reilly & Tom Hayes scrapped and didn't get there.

Just as a couple of examples

macjohn · 28-02-2016 4:03pm

frankz wrote: »

Distribution of Cahill Surplus

Healy + 845 = 12874

Kelly + 683 = 11750

Hayes + 494 = 10437. eliminated.

Healy and Kelly elected (without reaching quota)

Final result

Thanks for providing the updates after each count. Much appreciated.

maudgone · 28-02-2016 4:27pm

jonski wrote: »

Are you kidding me .... A sitting minister scraps in to the last seat .

He's back until the next GE. Fair play to him, and all the other 157 TD's. Just get over it.

28-02-2016 4:38pm

jonski wrote: »

Are you kidding me .... A sitting minister scraps in to the last seat .

It might knock some of the arrogance out of him

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 4:47pm

Deleted User wrote: »

It might knock some of the arrogance out of him

Shur don't you know he said " Power is a drug and it suits me"

There is no doubt that he will be looking to unseat Joan Burton as party leader.

Interesting times ahead !

28-02-2016 5:10pm

Xenophile wrote: »

Shur don't you know he said " Power is a drug and it suits me"

There is no doubt that he will be looking to unseat Joan Burton as party leader.

Interesting times ahead !

I just hope, for the sake of his Marriage that he doesn't do a Mick Fitzgerald on it and say it was better than sex! He looked that excited to have gotten through!

EternalHope · 28-02-2016 5:19pm

jonski wrote: »

Are you kidding me .... A sitting minister scraps in to the last seat .

that is nonsense, how could he scrap when the votes are cast

jonski · 28-02-2016 5:29pm

EternalHope wrote: »

that is nonsense, how could he scrap when the votes are cast

It was in response to the statement that 'it was a great performance from him '. He is a sitting minister and he was elected in last place , that doesn't seem like a great performance to me .

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 5:42pm

jonski wrote: »

It was in response to the statement that 'it was a great performance from him '. He is a sitting minister and he was elected in last place , that doesn't seem like a great performance to me .

Give credit where credit is due, He got 10%

Nationally the party only got 6.6%.

This a tremendous performance when compared nationally ! Especially when one considers what a difficult portfolio he held !

Do you have to be reminded that some Ministers lost their seats ?

jonski · 28-02-2016 5:52pm

Xenophile wrote:

Do you have to be reminded that some Ministers lost their seats ?

Well I certainly don't need to be reminded of how fanatical his followers are .

touts · 28-02-2016 5:56pm

Xenophile wrote: »

Give credit where credit is due, He got 10%

Nationally the party only got 6.6%.

This a tremendous performance when compared nationally ! Especially when one considers what a difficult portfolio he held !

Do you have to be reminded that some Ministers lost their seats ?

Well fair play to him. He held on when no one gave him a hope.

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 8:03pm

jonski wrote: »

Well I certainly don't need to be reminded of how fanatical his followers are .

I think you mean committed followers. Sounds very much like sour grapes !

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 8:07pm

Xenophile wrote: »

I think you mean committed followers. Sounds very much like sour grapes !

More accurate to say committed supporters !

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 8:10pm

jonski wrote: »

Well I certainly don't need to be reminded of how fanatical his followers are .

Sour grapes !

jonski · 28-02-2016 8:17pm

Xenophile wrote: »

I think you mean committed followers. Sounds very much like sour grapes !

I'll make no secret of the fact that I don't like the guy , I find his attitude and arrogance disgusting . But he won't be representing me here in Limerick and the good people of Tipp are entitled to vote for whom ever they want . I do find his followers to be a bit fanatical as well though , but shur you probably get that with all the candidates .

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 8:33pm

jonski wrote: »

I'll make no secret of the fact that I don't like the guy , I find his attitude and arrogance disgusting . But he won't be representing me here in Limerick and the good people of Tipp are entitled to vote for whom ever they want . I do find his followers to be a bit fanatical as well though , but shur you probably get that with all the candidates .

Good to see you mellow a little ! Too many "hail fellow well met" have brought the country down the tubes !

jonski · 28-02-2016 8:46pm

Xenophile wrote: »

Good to see you mellow a little ! Too many "hail fellow well met" have brought the country down the tubes !

I wasn't aware I was anything but mellow . It wasn't me posting 3 replies in rapid succession screaming Sour grapes at the end

.

Shur maybe this result will encourage a bit of humility in the young man .

tayto lover · 28-02-2016 8:49pm

jonski wrote: »

I wasn't aware I was anything but mellow . It wasn't me posting 3 replies in rapid succession screaming Sour grapes at the end .

Shur maybe this result will encourage a bit of humility in the young man .

He's an arrogant power hungry twat.

28-02-2016 8:56pm

tayto lover wrote: »

He's an arrogant power hungry twat.

But, he is ever so pleasing to the eye.

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 8:59pm

jonski wrote: »

I wasn't aware I was anything but mellow .

Mellow ? You are the only one here that mentioned fanatics !

tayto lover · 28-02-2016 9:00pm

Deleted User wrote: »

But, he is ever so pleasing to the eye.

You won't see or hear much of him anymore. They only have 6 seats and no speaking time.

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 9:06pm

tayto lover wrote: »

You won't see or hear much of him anymore. They only have 6 seats and no speaking time.

As much as you would love that, sorry to disappoint you. They will probably take two more seats

Dublin Bay North and Longford Westmeath. They just need to take one of these.

tayto lover · 28-02-2016 9:10pm

Xenophile wrote: »

As much as you would love that, sorry to disappoint you. They will probably take two more seats

Dublin Bay North and Longford Westmeath. They just need to take one of these.

Drat.
They are much weaker now though thankfully. Butts kicked.

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 9:16pm

tayto lover wrote: »

Drat.

Drat, never heard of it !

jonski · 28-02-2016 9:19pm

Xenophile wrote: »

Mellow ? You are the only one here that mentioned fanatics !

But I only mentioned it , I didn't shout it out in a massive font

I did decide to reel it in a bit though as I was worried about your blood pressure , no need to thank me .

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 9:26pm

jonski wrote: »

But I only mentioned it , I didn't shout it out in a massive font

A big difference between sour grapes and fanatics

I did decide to reel it in a bit though as I was worried about your blood pressure , no need to thank me .

Such a disingenuous statement, you can thank me for this if you like !

It wasnt me123 · 28-02-2016 9:35pm

Deleted User wrote: »

But, he is ever so pleasing to the eye.

Specsavers, two for the price of one - make an appointment

Xenophile · 28-02-2016 9:39pm

It wasnt me123 wrote: »

Specsavers, two for the price of one - make an appointment

Beauty is in the eye of the beholder. Personally I always got more value in Extra Vision

General Elections. The Constituency of Tipperary

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