Risk Of Severe Wintry Conditions With Strong Winds. (High Risk-Ulster, Connaught)

barney 20v · 03-02-2013 11:16pm

I can't help but notice a new more realistic view being shown by many posters on the various weather forums lately...

downwiththatsor · 03-02-2013 11:16pm

Looks promising for a few cms at least http://www.weatherweb.net/tvweather/uksnow42.gif

delw · 03-02-2013 11:23pm

DanRu wrote: »

Looks like a whiteout to me.

But it's pink

Oscar Bravo · 03-02-2013 11:24pm

A 2221 update from Met Eireann....Short and Sweet lol

Windy tonight with scattered light showers.
Lowest overnight temperatures of 3 to 7 degrees.

Tomorrow
Monday: A very windy day with a mixture of sunny spells and passing heavy, wintry showers.
Feeling cold with highest temperatures of 7 to 10 degrees in strong to gale force westerly winds

Pangea · 03-02-2013 11:30pm

Just seen the BBC NI forecast, not great really, He did mention that its hard to tell which places will get snow. Up to 10cms on some hills. In other news its got very noisy here with the wind! If tomorrow is windier it should be interesting with the cold air around.

Min · 03-02-2013 11:33pm

There is going to be a horrible wind chill effect, which will be far worse than any snow.

maquiladora · 03-02-2013 11:35pm

Pangea wrote: »

Just seen the BBC NI forecast, not great really, He did mention that its hard to tell which places will get snow. Up to 10cms on some hills. In other news its got very noisy here with the wind! If tomorrow is windier it should be interesting with the cold air around.

Yep, some hills should see snow alright. Could be nasty conditions up there with the winds too. On low levels then a mix of rain, hail, sleet, and in places maybe turning to snow for a while before turning back to rain later.

downwiththatsor · 03-02-2013 11:39pm

Min wrote: »

There is going to be a horrible wind chill effect, which will be far worse than any snow.

Will feel bitter for sure http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=cold

acassells80 · 03-02-2013 11:52pm

Have to travel from Dublin to mayo by car on Wednesday afternoon , love the snow just hate driving in it

(

Speak Now · 03-02-2013 11:57pm

acassells80 wrote: »

Have to travel from Dublin to mayo by car on Wednesday afternoon , love the snow just hate driving in it (

You should be fine, unlikely to be too much snow settling at low levels especially during day light hours.

downwiththatsor · 03-02-2013 11:58pm

acassells80 wrote: »

Have to travel from Dublin to mayo by car on Wednesday afternoon , love the snow just hate driving in it (

I think your trip should be safe enough at these temps :pac:
http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20130203/18/69/ukmaxtemp.png

talkabout · 04-02-2013 12:06am

Its very windy here at the moment (Ballybofey, Co Donegal), stronger than any day last week.

Weathering · 04-02-2013 12:16am

maquiladora wrote: »

Yep, some hills should see snow alright. Could be nasty conditions up there with the winds too. On low levels then a mix of rain, hail, sleet, and in places maybe turning to snow for a while before turning back to rain later.

Have to disagree with u Maq,I reckon up here in Donegal we will get lots of snow tomorrow evening. I'm 40m above sea level so I'll let u know either way

Mr Cumulonimbus · 04-02-2013 12:20am

18Z GFS and NAE have decent dew points for snow overnight Mon/Tues. But by midday Tues they have risen to plus 3 and plus 4 in many northern and western parts. Not good.

Xenji · 04-02-2013 12:31am

Wind is picking up here in Mayo now, nice strong gusts, hoping for some snow tomorrow night here.

Oscar Bravo · 04-02-2013 12:41am

Wasnt expecting the wind to be this strong tonight!! (Castlebar)

downwiththatsor · 04-02-2013 12:44am

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Wasnt expecting the wind to be this strong tonight!! (Castlebar)

Met eireann 3 hour forecast map shows pretty strong winds off the north west coast
http://www.met.ie/weathermaps/3hr-wind.gif

Geomy · 04-02-2013 12:47am

It's getting strong in Clare too and seems to coming from a northern direction...

And down the chimney

eskimocat · 04-02-2013 12:53am

Its really picking up here too.... love the sound of the wind howling! Nice! (Dromahair)

pauldry · 04-02-2013 1:00am

here too . a taster before the madness of the first half of the week

brianthomas · 04-02-2013 1:04am

Gettin gusty here in Dublin. So I assume it's worse in the west. Bring it on....

Irish Steve · 04-02-2013 1:04am

If the map I've just seen on Sky News is anything like what happens, tomorrow could be more than "interesting" for the northern half of the country.

They have just shown a significant bank of snow coming down from the North on a strong Westerly, but then managed to get a large "lump" of white precipitation coming down from the North towards the Eastern side of Leinster, to about Wicklow. Quite how we get a Northerly flow in a predominantly Westerly flow at the moment eludes me, but if it happens, then a lot of bets are off,

Donegal and the North was not visible under the cover of cloud, and whatever is falling is going to be moving at significant speeds. The words hills and blizzards were mentioned several times, and to further east than Ireland, into the North of England as well.

In some respects, if it wasn't that a national broadcaster had just put it out on the air, comments like this would be more appropriate in the ramping thread, and I'm the first to acknowledge that right now, I don't have maps or good reason to validate that forecast. Sky must have something that they are basing this on, I am assuming that the latest models have moved up a gear on the next 24 hours weather.

Xenji · 04-02-2013 1:07am

Irish Steve wrote: »

If the map I've just seen on Sky News is anything like what happens, tomorrow could be more than "interesting" for the northern half of the country.

They have just shown a significant bank of snow coming down from the North on a strong Westerly, but then managed to get a large "lump" of white precipitation coming down from the North towards the Eastern side of Leinster, to about Wicklow. Quite how we get a Northerly flow in a predominantly Westerly flow at the moment eludes me, but if it happens, then a lot of bets are off,

Donegal and the North was not visible under the cover of cloud, and whatever is falling is going to be moving at significant speeds. The words hills and blizzards were mentioned several times, and to further east than Ireland, into the North of England as well.

In some respects, if it wasn't that a national broadcaster had just put it out on the air, comments like this would be more appropriate in the ramping thread, and I'm the first to acknowledge that right now, I don't have maps or good reason to validate that forecast. Sky must have something that they are basing this on, I am assuming that the latest models have moved up a gear on the next 24 hours weather.

How did Mayo look?

Rock Lesnar · 04-02-2013 1:11am

The wind has really picked up here all of a sudden, 5mins ago there was nothing at all

brianthomas · 04-02-2013 1:12am

Xenji wrote: »

How did Mayo look?

10 degrees and sunny skies ;-)

yorlum11 · 04-02-2013 1:14am

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Wasnt expecting the wind to be this strong tonight!! (Castlebar)

Me either its wild enough in Westport also.Hopefully some snow in similar winds tomorrow night!

Rock Lesnar · 04-02-2013 1:15am

Dead Calm again, must've been just a passing Tornado

Irish Steve · 04-02-2013 1:18am

Xenji wrote: »

How did Mayo look?

Lost underneath a very fast moving westerly flow, with white predominant from the latter part of the day onwards. Some of that was large wind arrows, the rest of it was white cloud, (snow), with few breaks in it.

Just been looking at the 2200 Met.ie forecast, and that too seems to have been upgraded in terms of what's going to be happening country wide, while they are suggesting a milder spell later in the week, they seem to be suggesting that the majority of the week is going to be cold, or worse.

Mint Sauce · 04-02-2013 1:23am

Some nice howling gusts in Sligo town at the mo.

Washington Irving · 04-02-2013 1:25am

Wind has been picking up the last hour here (location on left). Fairly gusty atm

04-02-2013 1:32am

Wind also picking up here in Dundalk.

Irish Steve · 04-02-2013 1:35am

OK, can now provide some backing for that sky forecast.

http://weather-news.sky.com/weather/

Snow potential as far south as Galway Dublin line by 2100 tomorrow, and for a change, the Mournes are the snow shadow for the Isle of Man

Looks like an amazing streamer going over towards the UK from around Newry area, with possibilities as far south as Louth Meath border by that time.

Seems at odds to me with the guidance from other forecasts, but we're almost at the nowcasting stage with this, the winds over here on the East of Meath are a lot stronger already than I was expecting them to be, they've come up significantly over the last couple of hours.

Elmer Blooker · 04-02-2013 1:35am

Irish Steve wrote: »

Just been looking at the 2200 Met.ie forecast, and that too seems to have been upgraded in terms of what's going to be happening country wide, while they are suggesting a milder spell later in the week, they seem to be suggesting that the majority of the week is going to be cold, or worse.

I couldn't find anything in that 2200 ME forecast that mentions or even suggests a milder spell?

The extended outlook suggests it will become colder still through next weekend with scattered outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow but a lot of dry weather too.

Irish Steve · 04-02-2013 1:41am

Elmer Blooker wrote: »

I couldn't find anything in that 2200 ME forecast that mentions or even suggests a milder spell?

Thursday will see the light northwesterly winds backing westerly but it will still be very cold and still another frosty night. It'll be mostly dry but outbreaks of rain will affect western areas at times.

That suggests to me that it's become slightly milder for a while before returning to cold or more. Rain means above zero for a while.

That said, ME have, along with everyone else, ramped the forecast compared to what we were seeing, and I will not be surprised to see that yellow warning up to Wednesday night get extended to some degree.

04-02-2013 1:42am

hellboy99 wrote: »

Wind also picking up here in Dundalk.

Sounds stronger than any of the recent "events".

04-02-2013 2:13am

Deleted User wrote: »

Sounds stronger than any of the recent "events".

It does alright, gust of just over 60km/h a few minutes ago. I decided to pull my bin in, don't fancy picking up a load of rubbish in the morning.

Oscar Bravo · 04-02-2013 2:40am

Recent Gusts at 1am....Malin Head 50kts,Finner 49kts and 36kts at Knock....nice and breezy alright.

Pangea · 04-02-2013 2:47am

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Recent Gusts at 1am....Malin Head 50kts,Finner 49kts and 36kts at Knock....nice and breezy alright.

Just got one super gust here that shook the house

Redsunset · 04-02-2013 3:37am

showforecast.cgi?lightningmap=yes&fcstfile=2013020506_201302040038_0_stormforecast.xml

The thunderstorms will be sub-severe although convection over Ireland, UK, Belgium/the Netherlands and far NW Germany may be accompanied by strong to isolated severe wind gusts given strong LL flow. Marginal hail will be another issue given rapidly cooling lower/mid troposphere.

I've also made this animation showing thickness levels to give you an idea of the different airmass approaching. Note the source comes from Polar eastern Canada and Greenland and gets some maritime mixing but still able to hold its own to retain -40 air at 500mb. Also note the higher thickness levels around the low indicating the milder sector that will be over us come Tuesday afternoon.

rilz · 04-02-2013 5:49am

I love this weather. So unpredictable even BBC said they didn't have a clue what showers will fall. Be a good day tomorrow. Looking out for t-storms along with blizzards

weathernut · 04-02-2013 7:21am

Just watching BBC forecast its giving heavy snow showers this monday eve down as far as limerick but says it will turn to rain and 7 degrees on Tuesday with NW winds:...... I thought Tuesday was going to be the snow day..

DOCARCH · 04-02-2013 7:24am

Lovely 'feed' of showers can be seen this morning on sat over the North Atlantic.

http://www.sat24.com/

ninebeanrows · 04-02-2013 7:40am

yes please

DOCARCH · 04-02-2013 7:47am

Now your talkin' WC!

Nice undercut.

irelandspurs · 04-02-2013 8:00am

Our estate is like a slalom course this morning with all the bins down,also very chilly.

Weathering · 04-02-2013 8:24am

Gust of 61knots at Malin head 7.00am. Met.ie have enchanced wind gust of up 120kmph and later 130. too be caught in high level route with snow and tgose gusts would be unreal.

shmaupel · 04-02-2013 9:07am

Fairly blustery here in south Donegal. Really can't wait to see how this evening turns out, can't say I've ever seen it snow in high wind before.

Pangea · 04-02-2013 9:12am

Very noisy here all night, hard to sleep wind and hail banging the window. Great snow and wind upgrade on met.ie. Pity to see the word melt on there for tuesday though, waste of snow.

Conrach · 04-02-2013 9:22am

Both the UKMO and NW have upgraded the wind gusts for my postcode but drastically downgraded my risk of snow, from midnight last night when I went to bed.

I seem to be getting alot of dry spells.

Redsunset · 04-02-2013 9:32am

Enjoy any over night snow as Yes it will be milder on Tuesday.

Some very windy conditions on the way. Enjoy while it lasts. Then perhaps a colder trend to follow but that's for a different thread.

Risk Of Severe Wintry Conditions With Strong Winds. (High Risk-Ulster, Connaught)

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