Cold week ahead, change is on the way ............

snaps · 15-03-2013 6:23pm

Don't understand bellmullet showing 2c? I'm currently reporting 9c on both car and weather station? I'm not a million miles from bellmullet?

downwiththatsor · 15-03-2013 7:24pm

Ecmwf keeping it cold at 120hrs

decies · 15-03-2013 7:25pm

Getting milder from next Thursday folks we will be grand don't worry

ninebeanrows · 15-03-2013 7:47pm

Can't help myself :P

ECM at 168hrs would give blizzards for many areas of Ireland and the UK. The ECM 12z is very good for cold, with the more intense cold making over Ireland next week.

ECM snow forecasts shows the low approaching from the southwest Thursday giving a period of snow and the 12z run would increase this risk further.

patneve2 · 15-03-2013 7:49pm

Weathercheck wrote: »

Can't help myself :P

ECM at 168hrs would give blizzards for many areas of Ireland and the UK. The ECM 12z is very good for cold, with the more intense cold making over Ireland next week.

ECM snow forecasts shows the low approaching from the southwest Thursday giving a period of snow and the 12z run would increase this risk further.

Praying that when that Atlantic LP approaches us it elongates and drags the bitter air over Scandinavia. Need elongated LP pleasseee :rolleyes:

Elmer Blooker · 15-03-2013 7:56pm

a couple of hundred miles further south?
why not with such a powerful block.

ECM0-192.GIF?15-0

ninebeanrows · 15-03-2013 8:01pm

Haha The ECM would give astonishing snow depths in parts of the north which snow lasting for 48hrs or more! Obviously not going to happen but interesting to see the idea of taking the low further south. There is a substantial block to the north.

pauldry · 15-03-2013 8:03pm

Sleet shower in Sligo 3c

JanuarySnowstor · 15-03-2013 8:18pm

Yes certainly an interesting ECM, of course supported by gfs to an extent
It now looks like the mild air will not win out and eventhough it may be marginal for snow at times there is no route back to mild for now.
We aint a million miles away from something special and with such deep cold to our East it's certainly not too late for the white stuff

ninebeanrows · 15-03-2013 10:42pm

ECM Ensemble suite suggesting increased confidence of a more continental easterly flow (with lower dew-points) from Tuesday with increased risk of snow to low levels especially in the east. Thereafter the Ensemble suite struggles to bring the low pressure far north and there is potential for the cold air to row back over Ireland next weekend.

A very wintry outlook which would have the boards weather servers in melt-down if it were January.

ninebeanrows · 15-03-2013 10:45pm

The Japanese model would have us heading for our coldest March on record if it were to occur.

Weathering · 15-03-2013 10:47pm

Weathercheck wrote: »

The Japanese model would have us heading for our coldest March on record if it were to occur.

Crazy Japanese Bast.ards

ninebeanrows · 15-03-2013 11:03pm

Of note, the temperature in the Irish Sea is down to 7.2c at M2. So air modification will be less than earlier in the winter, which could help to top the balance.

ninebeanrows · 15-03-2013 11:04pm

A nice chart at 108hrs from the 18z GFS for your evenings musing.

gfs-2-108.png?18?18

Tom Cruises Left Nut · 15-03-2013 11:04pm

Weathercheck wrote: »

A nice chart at 108hrs from the 18z GFS for your evenings musing.

Oh you :pac:

ninebeanrows · 15-03-2013 11:07pm

The high to the north looks to be very significant, you'd have to say odds on it all shifting another good chunk further south in the future runs is likely.

downwiththatsor · 15-03-2013 11:15pm

Looks cold for the parades, nae will be interesting tomorrow.

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2013/03/15/basis18/ukuk/prty/13031712_2_1518.gif

Intense precipitation blob on the way for the south west

3hr-rain.gif?2218

patneve2 · 15-03-2013 11:20pm

Wow 18z GFS upgrades mid-week potential

Elmer Blooker · 16-03-2013 12:25am

Weathercheck wrote: »

The Japanese model would have us heading for our coldest March on record if it were to occur.

interesting to note that the coldest March of the 20th century was in 1962 and another very cold March was 1916, both of the following winters were severe.

The first ramp for winter 2013/14 I think.

dexter647 · 16-03-2013 12:37am

Elmer Blooker wrote: »

interesting to note that the coldest March of the 20th century was in 1962 and another very cold March was 1916, both of the following winters were severe.
The first ramp for winter 2013/14 I think.

Tom Cruises Left Nut · 16-03-2013 12:37am

Elmer Blooker wrote: »

interesting to note that the coldest March of the 20th century was in 1962 and another very cold March was 1916, both of the following winters were severe.
The first ramp for winter 2013/14 I think.

Good man, now I am ramped up and its ages to winter ! ha :pac:

redsteveireland · 16-03-2013 1:00am

Enjoying watching this develop.

On a side note, i see Hungary stole our snow storm - http://www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-wires/20130315/eu-europe-snow/?utm_hp_ref=technology&ir=technology

Pangea · 16-03-2013 1:56am

The word mild banished from met.ie forecast now, remaining cold for the week.

DOCARCH · 16-03-2013 8:20am

ECM not giving up or backtracking this morning.

Bit of a battleground situtaion over Ireland next week with low pressure to our south and dividing line between 'mild'(er) and cold air over the middle of the country.

Speak Now · 16-03-2013 8:24am

Severe frost this morning.

Deank · 16-03-2013 9:21am

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

Severe frost this morning.

The ice was so thick here when I looked out I thought there had been a light dusting of snow.

Rock Lesnar · 16-03-2013 10:17am

Deank wrote: »

The ice was so thick here when I looked out I thought there had been a light dusting of snow.

ah your just obsessed with Snow now :P

Deank · 16-03-2013 10:22am

Rock Lesnar wrote: »

ah your just obsessed with Snow now :P

Snow what :pac::D

decies · 16-03-2013 10:24am

Beauftul mild sunny day in Waterford ,long may it continue .

Pangea · 16-03-2013 10:24am

Snowing in Parts of Co.Antrim at the moment.

Speak Now · 16-03-2013 10:29am

decies wrote: »

Beauftul mild sunny day in Waterford ,long may it continue .

A mild 3 degrees! Lovely in the Sun though, Sun has done a right job on the frost already. Was -2 when i got up at 8.

Macy0161 · 16-03-2013 11:15am

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

Severe frost this morning.

My garden max min thermometer (at 2metres height) had a minimum of -5.9 for last night.

decies · 16-03-2013 12:34pm

7 deg and glorious in the south east

Pangea · 16-03-2013 1:00pm

MET UK warning for the North

Issued at - 16 Mar 2013, 11:25
Valid from - 16 Mar 2013, 21:00
Valid to - 17 Mar 2013, 09:00

There is a risk of icy patches forming on untreated surfaces later on Saturday evening and during the early hours of Sunday, particularly where surfaces have been left wet by earlier showers.

Further wintry showers are possible in the north, whilst an area of more widespread rain, sleet and hill snow is expected to spread from the north later in the night. Accumulations of snow will be restricted to high ground, with a risk of 3-8 cm over the Antrim and Sperrin Hills with strengthening northwesterly winds increasing the risk of accretion on power lines.

The public should be aware of the risk of disruption from these wintry hazards.

DominoDub · 16-03-2013 1:10pm

Just had a heavy Hail storm out of nowhere in Dublin City D2 ..not showing on the radar.

dacogawa · 16-03-2013 1:17pm

DominoDub wrote: »

Just had a heavy Hail storm out of nowhere in Dublin City D2 ..not showing on the radar.

Same here (D4) soft hail constant for 10 mins, grass went white even though it's warm, weird...

Elmer Blooker · 16-03-2013 2:16pm

max at Dublin Airport yesterday was 9.9c which means temps have been in single figures here for exactly a month since it reached 13c on Feb 16th.
temps for March are 3.2c below normal so far.

bcmf · 16-03-2013 2:50pm

Left the house in Balbriggan area at 8.30 on the bike for a jaunt around North County Dublin. The cars had a thick coat of frost but roofs and ground were fine.
After approx 1 hour had to take my jacket off.Sunny for most of the spin and when sheltered from the wind was pleasant. But once you got into the wind it was a different story. Very Chilly.

snowtime · 16-03-2013 2:54pm

DominoDub wrote: »

Just had a heavy Hail storm out of nowhere in Dublin City D2 ..not showing on the radar.

Saw the cloud top of that shower from Skerries, narrow but impressive. Looks like there is another one building now in much the same place!

DominoDub · 16-03-2013 3:59pm

snowtime wrote: »

Saw the cloud top of that shower from Skerries, narrow but impressive. Looks like there is another one building now in much the same place!

Yep ..just unloading some more Hail now ...great watching the Convection build up as it moves across Dublin Bay

snowjon · 16-03-2013 5:27pm

It's snowing in Bangor ! Very wet snow after sleeting most of the day so far:)

rilz · 16-03-2013 5:31pm

Snowing very heavy here on East coast of Antrim. Wasn't expecting that

sparrowcar · 16-03-2013 5:34pm

Decent sized hail falling at Dublin airport right now. Largest hail I've seen in years.

snowjon · 16-03-2013 5:35pm

Heavy snow in Bangor now - this is really unexpected!!!

sparrowcar · 16-03-2013 5:36pm

Not sure if you can see it in pic

stooge · 16-03-2013 5:48pm

Snowing heavy for last hour in county down (middle). Starting to stick. Big huge flakes.

snowjon · 16-03-2013 5:51pm

stooge wrote: »

Snowing heavy for last hour in county down (middle). Starting to stick. Big huge flakes.

Yes - grass starting to turn white even here on the coast!!

John.Icy · 16-03-2013 6:11pm

Glad snow is falling in Down, even by the sea!

Egg on the faces of many who said it wouldn't be cold enough.

Come back in April? Nah I think I'll stick around the next week and hopefully many people can see some ninja snow.

mountainy man · 16-03-2013 6:43pm

Have had three snow showers this afternoon, not settling here but it is further up the mountain at aprox 350m, tonight could be interesting, its 1.9 C here right now and falling fast.

Pangea · 16-03-2013 6:56pm

Some huge pink blobs over Larne at the moment on raintoday radar, if you do a quick twitter search for Larne, you can see photos of snow there.

Cold week ahead, change is on the way ............

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