General Elections. The Constituency of Tipperary

realdanbreen · 07-02-2020 12:41pm

Joe Hannigan @ 3/1 is my bet, great value.

History Queen · 07-02-2020 5:11pm

My predictions seat wise:

1xFF (Cahill)
3x Ind ( Lowry,McGrath, Hannigan)

Not sure on last seat... I suspect it'll go to Alan Kelly for a finish

tipptom · 07-02-2020 6:21pm

realdanbreen wrote: »

Joe Hannigan @ 3/1 is my bet, great value.

Who's doing 3/1 dan?

If SF are supposed to be getting this almighty poll boost then they would have to take a seat here but I guess history and low performance compared to the polls would go aginst that and he should really be 6/1

maudgone · 07-02-2020 7:37pm

Hannigan now at 13/8 on PP, Healy out to 5/1.

Purple Mountain · 07-02-2020 7:40pm

Mattie was on the streets of Tipperary Town this evening. Was in great chatting form.

tipptom · 07-02-2020 8:22pm

Purple Mountain wrote: »

Mattie was on the streets of Tipperary Town this evening. Was in great chatting form.

Don't think Ahearn will get many votes around Tipp Town.

mahoney_j · 07-02-2020 10:04pm

Lowry mattie Kelly Cahill and hanigan was my original prediction ,hasn’t changed

digzy · 08-02-2020 12:52am

tipptom wrote: »

Don't think Ahearn will get many votes around Tipp Town.

Not off the lefties on Facebook anyway!
However fg took 4 of the 7 seats in the LEA last local elections. There’s plenty fg voters there. Whether they go Aherne or Newman is another thing!
Can’t see Browne getting anywhere close. Completely unknown outside the LEA and lost his council seat last time

brightspark · 08-02-2020 1:55am

Glad to see Mattie McGrath and Joe Hannigan weren't awarded their costs for the High Court action they rushed into.

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/crime-and-law/courts/high-court/two-politicians-withdraw-legal-action-over-tipperary-vote-1.4164039

brightspark · 08-02-2020 1:59am

Marley Miniature Sport wrote: »

Is Marese Skehan still on the ballot paper? Genuine question

Yes

https://www.irishexaminer.com/breakingnews/ireland/marese-skehans-name-to-remain-on-ballot-with-tipp-vote-set-to-go-ahead-on-saturday-979896.html

Purple Mountain · 08-02-2020 2:21am

mahoney_j wrote: »

Lowry mattie Kelly Cahill and hanigan was my original prediction ,hasn’t changed

I'm sorry but who even is Joe Hannigan?
I'd never heard of him until his leaflet came through my door and tbh I wasn't impressed with 'Jo e Hannigan'.

Wrongway1985 · 08-02-2020 3:57am

Predict an embarassment for Tipp myself

2 FF
2 FG
1 Labour

Mattie,Goldsboro
Lowry,Ahearn
Kelly

Hope I'm wrong

Grab All Association · 08-02-2020 4:09am

Garrett Ahearn won’t get a seat. His ego is worse than Kelly.

Lowry
Mattie
Cahill
Alan Kelly
Hard to say if Seamus Healy will get in.

If Seamie Morris was running this time, he’d have got it this time. Him and David Doran were the ones building up Sinn Féin in Tipperary for years.

Wrongway1985 · 08-02-2020 4:23am

Grab All Association wrote: »

If Seamie Morris was running this time, he’d have got it this time. Him and David Doran were the ones building up Sinn Féin in Tipperary for years.

You never know Seamie behind a Hannigan vote, I see he hopes SF do well overall just not in Tipp!

Big Ears · 08-02-2020 10:59am

Purple Mountain wrote: »

I'm sorry but who even is Joe Hannigan?
I'd never heard of him until his leaflet came through my door and tbh I wasn't impressed with 'Jo e Hannigan'.

He's a publican from Kilbarron and a former County hurler.
Politics wise he's a councillor in the Nenagh area, and was the only Tipperary candidate from the part of Tipp that was thrown into Offaly last time.
He received over 5,000 first preference votes in that election, but didn't receive many transfers from Offaly voters and was eliminated on the 4th count (finishing 6th).

He's also the chairman of the Tipperary County Football Board, and was the driving force behind the Thomas McDonaghs club and the growth of football in the Northern part of the County.
His son George played midfield for the Tipp Footballers for many years.

He'll be very popular in the northern 3rd of the County and around the Nenagh area. A big thing for him will be how he does south of Nenagh and north of Thurles. That's an area he'll need to get transfers from. Beyond there and particularly in the South (unless they're football people) most probably won't have a notion who he is.

realdanbreen · 08-02-2020 11:59am

Purple Mountain wrote: »

I'm sorry but who even is Joe Hannigan?
I'd never heard of him until his leaflet came through my door and tbh I wasn't impressed with 'Jo e Hannigan'.

Well said Mattie!

elperello · 08-02-2020 1:45pm

realdanbreen wrote: »

Well said Mattie!

You said I was Mattie on Tuesday.

It's getting like Spartacus

Purple Mountain · 08-02-2020 2:35pm

Big Ears wrote: »

He's a publican from Kilbarron and a former County hurler.
Politics wise he's a councillor in the Nenagh area, and was the only Tipperary candidate from the part of Tipp that was thrown into Offaly last time.
He received over 5,000 first preference votes in that election, but didn't receive many transfers from Offaly voters and was eliminated on the 4th count (finishing 6th).

He's also the chairman of the Tipperary County Football Board, and was the driving force behind the Thomas McDonaghs club and the growth of football in the Northern part of the County.
His son George played midfield for the Tipp Footballers for many years.

He'll be very popular in the northern 3rd of the County and around the Nenagh area. A big thing for him will be how he does south of Nenagh and north of Thurles. That's an area he'll need to get transfers from. Beyond there and particularly in the South (unless they're football people) most probably won't have a notion who he is.

Exactly. That's me

This constituency is too big.

Xenophile · 08-02-2020 9:26pm

Good weather in the early part of the day will have suited candidates who have the support of the grey brigade.

Bad weather and darkness will have discouraged many half hearted supporters.

digzy · 08-02-2020 10:09pm

https://www.rte.ie/news/election-2020/2020/0208/1113979-turnout/

Wrong again!!

Xenophile wrote: »

Good weather in the early part of the day will have suited candidates who have the support of the grey brigade.

Bad weather and darkness will have discouraged many half hearted supporters.

Vizzy · 08-02-2020 10:26pm

Turnout was around 60% at one of the Polling Stations at 6.00pm

Xenophile · 08-02-2020 10:54pm

digzy wrote: »

https://www.rte.ie/news/election-2020/2020/0208/1113979-turnout/

Wrong again!!

Maybe you would like to tell me what is 'Wrong again'

digzy · 08-02-2020 11:11pm

Xenophile wrote: »

Maybe you would like to tell me what is 'Wrong again'

The turnout isn’t down on last time. Despite the weather which you suggested would keep ‘half hearted voters’ at home ....
You deal with anecdotes, I deal in facts!!

Wrongway1985 · 09-02-2020 1:42am

Prediction suggests Labour lose 2 seats hopefully Brutal and AK47

History Queen · 09-02-2020 10:54am

Anyone at the count centre? I've never been at one before, can anyone go in to observe or do you have to be affiliated with one of the candidates?

elperello · 09-02-2020 11:30am

History Queen wrote: »

Anyone at the count centre? I've never been at one before, can anyone go in to observe or do you have to be affiliated with one of the candidates?

I don't know about Tipp but generally speaking they are not public events.
You need a pass usually arranged through candidates.

dogcat · 09-02-2020 11:37am

https://twitter.com/RTETipp/status/1226452324807299072

09-02-2020 11:58am

The latest tallies are in at #Tipperary . Lowry leads at 16% followed by Browne (SF, 11%), McGrath (IND, 10%), Jackie Cahill (FF, 9%), and then Kelly (LAB, 8%)

It wasnt me123 · 09-02-2020 12:12pm

I hate to see Lowry do so well - I think we as a County should be better than that - IMO our political representatives should be held to a higher standard and not be crooked or have a strong whiff of brown envelope about them.

secondrowgal · 09-02-2020 12:13pm

Lowry, Sinn Fein and Mattie McGrath... Once again, Tipperary the laughing stock of the country, and that's saying something when there are the likes of the Healy-Raes in Kerry :mad:

giveitholly · 09-02-2020 12:15pm

secondrowgal wrote: »

Lowry, Sinn Fein and Mattie McGrath... Once again, Tipperary the laughing stock of the country, and that's saying something when there are the likes of the Healy-Raes in Kerry :mad:

Does that not say a lot about the other candidates running,they can't be up to much if the above are getting in

secondrowgal · 09-02-2020 12:17pm

giveitholly wrote: »

Does that not say a lot about the other candidates running,they can't be up to much if the above are getting in

I think that the Pope, Luke Skywalker, Mother Theresa, Leonardo Da Vinci, Stephen Hawking, Marie Curie could run in Tipperary and Lowry and McGrath would still get elected. It says more about the people of Tipperary that we keep voting for these jokers.

09-02-2020 12:26pm

Tally update. With 45% of boxes completed:
Lowry - 16%
Browne - 12
McGrath - 11
Jackie Cahill - 9
Kelly - 9
Healy - 7
Ahearn - 6
Newman Julian - 5
Goldsboro - 5
Hannigan - 4
O'Donnell - 3
Farrell - 2
Dolores Cahill - 1
Skehan - 0
#TippGE2020
Frim Tipp FM on Twitter..

julyjane · 09-02-2020 1:08pm

I'm nowhere near Lowry's area and didn't give him a scratch but to keep getting returned comfortably time and time again he must be doing something right

Helpneeded86 · 09-02-2020 1:08pm

My god Browne....we are ridiculous.

09-02-2020 1:22pm

RTE Tipperary
First count expected in Tipperary between 6:30 & 7pm. #GeneralElection2020 #ge2020

callaway92 · 09-02-2020 1:23pm

Helpneeded86 wrote: »

My god Browne....we are ridiculous.

Ya I feel kinda ill from it to be honest.

He’s polling well everywhere in the county meaning it’s a Sinn Fèin thing rather than a Browne thing to be honest.

jlm29 · 09-02-2020 1:34pm

callaway92 wrote: »

Ya I feel kinda ill from it to be honest.

He’s polling well everywhere in the county meaning it’s a Sinn Fèin thing rather than a Browne thing to be honest.

Definitely a Sinn Fein thing. A lot of my friends were planning on voting Sinn Fein, in spite of him rather than because of him.

The_Honeybadger · 09-02-2020 1:43pm

FG got their strategy wrong in Tipp it seems. Madness running two candidates from the same part of the county

It wasnt me123 · 09-02-2020 1:53pm

The_Honeybadger wrote: »

FG got their strategy wrong in Tipp it seems. Madness running two candidates from the same part of the county

They weren’t the same part of the County - Clonmel and either Nenagh or Thurles, can’t remember - had never heard of her before and unfortunately for him, Garret Ahern wasn’t a very friendly fellow and not overly liked.

elperello · 09-02-2020 2:01pm

It wasnt me123 wrote: »

They weren’t the same part of the County - Clonmel and either Nenagh or Thurles, can’t remember - had never heard of her before and unfortunately for him, Garret Ahern wasn’t a very friendly fellow and not overly liked.

Not trying to be smart in correcting you Tipp lads

She is from Westmeath and is Kate O'Connell's sister.

Vet in Cashel and farm between Golden and New Inn.

jlm29 · 09-02-2020 2:05pm

It wasnt me123 wrote: »

They weren’t the same part of the County - Clonmel and either Nenagh or Thurles, can’t remember - had never heard of her before and unfortunately for him, Garret Ahern wasn’t a very friendly fellow and not overly liked.

They’re both based in the south of the county, not FGs original strategy, but they were very close in votes when the party voted on who to run. I don’t think there was anyone strong in north tipp, and FG probably wanted to run a woman as well. Much as it pains me to say it, because he wasn’t up to much, I think Tom Hayes would have had more of a chance than Ahearn, Ahearn doesn’t have the personality for the job, and was banking on his surname to get him elected.

Helpneeded86 · 09-02-2020 2:08pm

Garret Ahearn not getting in is one upside to this. I posted something on here a few nights ago that I removed quickly. But he should never be near public office in my opinion. A few in Clonmel might know what I am on about.

The_Honeybadger · 09-02-2020 2:25pm

jlm29 wrote: »

They’re both based in the south of the county, not FGs original strategy, but they were very close in votes when the party voted on who to run. I don’t think there was anyone strong in north tipp, and FG probably wanted to run a woman as well. Much as it pains me to say it, because he wasn’t up to much, I think Tom Hayes would have had more of a chance than Ahearn, Ahearn doesn’t have the personality for the job, and was banking on his surname to get him elected.

Whatever way they both got nominated they are pulling from the same bloc and have succeeded in splitting the vote almost bang down the middle. I honestly don’t know how the party didn’t see that coming.

What is the SF candidate like? I’ve never heard of him before, is he a councillor?

Big Ears · 09-02-2020 2:25pm

Helpneeded86 wrote: »

My god Browne....we are ridiculous.

Tbf if Peadar Toibin is to be believed he won't be making any decisions anyway, it'll be done for him. So from that point of view the actual calibre of the Sinn Fein candidate in the constituency is irrelevant.

It wasnt me123 · 09-02-2020 2:30pm

I wouldn’t be looking to Peadar Toibin for honesty either - how anyone voted for Aontu is beyond me

mahoney_j · 09-02-2020 2:54pm

The_Honeybadger wrote: »

Whatever way they both got nominated they are pulling from the same bloc and have succeeded in splitting the vote almost bang down the middle. I honestly don’t know how the party didn’t see that coming.

What is the SF candidate like? I’ve never heard of him before, is he a councillor?

Know little of him but honestly don’t think the vote was for him but more for sf.thats a simillar story around country I bet .worrying times

digzy · 09-02-2020 3:29pm

The_Honeybadger wrote: »

FG got their strategy wrong in Tipp it seems. Madness running two candidates from the same part of the county

Think HQ wanted Newman. Fg ran their selection committee and Aherne came out top, barely ahead of her. They only ever intended to run one.
I’m presuming there was a fear Newman might run independently and hurt Aherne’s chances.

So they had to run her possibly due to the gender quota/ party hq/her vote from the selection committee.

Either way fg called it badly. They should’ve one seat given their number of councillors across the county.

Brown is a complete joke. If I ran for sf I’d probably have done as well.
Best thing about sf getting into power would be the electorate realising the emperor has no clothes

Helpneeded86 · 09-02-2020 4:06pm

What is Brownes background? Unemployed on the ballot paper. I mean we are not exactly in times of high unemployment.

jlm29 · 09-02-2020 4:14pm

Helpneeded86 wrote: »

What is Brownes background? Unemployed on the ballot paper. I mean we are not exactly in times of high unemployment.

And now he’ll never need to think about working again

General Elections. The Constituency of Tipperary

Comments