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AUTUMN WEATHER 2015 - GENERAL CHAT THREAD

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Comments

  • #632
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    12Z GEM, further north, lower pressure.

    zneOY1r.gif


  • #633
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,516 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Heavy rain here in west clare for the past few hours now, places starting to flood at this stage.


  • #634
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,516 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Meanwhile looking at the charts the cold spell for the 21st seems to be still there,
    Rtavn1265.gif


  • #635
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,249 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Interesting how the same output looks different there!

    I would feel more comfortable with what its parent model shows in its 12z run later. Various HIRLAM runs can differ a lot in any one run.

    New Moon



  • #636
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,634 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Interesting how the same output looks different there!

    Meanwhile, the 12Z ARPEGE packs a punch...Gusts up to 130 km/h inland from the coast. Lively!


    thanks Maq for the updates. so what warnings based on this should ME have out? orange?


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  • #637
    WheatenBriar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,170 ✭✭✭WheatenBriar


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    Heavy rain here in west clare for the past few hours now, places starting to flood at this stage.

    Just started light rain in Arklow from that system now after a dry day
    Looks like we'll get 2 or 3 hrs here right on its northern edge


  • #638
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Check out the difference between the 12Z GFS and 12Z GEM for 3pm tomorrow.

    Barney is a tricky little one.

    bN0KUKC.gif
    5bC8cdv.gif


  • #639
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,516 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    munsterlegend wrote: »

    thanks Maq for the updates. so what warnings based on this should ME have out? orange?

    Should gusts be expected to exceed 130km/h or mean speed 80km/h then its a red. If they are just below 130km/h expect an orange.


  • #640
    Rock Lesnar
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,888 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    How much rain is due tomorrow from this system, accuweather app on phone says about 10-12mm.

    Is this about right?


  • #641
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    UKMO

    lPl1NCM.gif
    82Z5AP0.gif


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  • #642
    WheatenBriar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,170 ✭✭✭WheatenBriar


    Rock Lesnar wrote: »
    How much rain is due tomorrow from this system, accuweather app on phone says about 10-12mm.

    Is this about right?

    Thats under egging the cake a lot Id say for meath/louth
    Significant wind probable too with Barney


  • #643
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,249 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    I have to say it but the name 'Barney' for a storm just sounds a bit ridiculous. In the other parts of the world for example, they have the likes of Hurricane Andrew or Typhoon Vamco. Big names for big worthy storms. 'Storm Barney' on the other hand just sounds so lame and comical and to be frank, slightly embarrassing if one was to discuss it with their social peers. Add to that, the name 'Barney' instantly invokes images of fluffy purple pink dinosaurs that grin at you in a rather creepy, unnerving way.

    New Moon



  • #644
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Looks strong enough on the 12Z EURO4. Sustained winds 90+ km/h along the coast here.

    15111715_2_1612.gif


  • #645
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    I would feel more comfortable with what its parent model shows in its 12z run later. Various HIRLAM runs can differ a lot in any one run.

    8z6rJKa.gif


  • #646
    km79
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,541 ✭✭✭✭km79


    Rock Lesnar wrote: »
    How much rain is due tomorrow from this system, accuweather app on phone says about 10-12mm.

    Is this about right?

    that's in line with yr.no and MTCs forecast of 10-20 mm generally
    seems to sweep up fairly quick


  • #647
    Rock Lesnar
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,888 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    WheatenBriar wrote: »
    Thats under egging the cake a lot Id say for meath/louth
    Significant wind probable too with Barney

    Great more probable flooding, dont mind the wind, Rain i detest


  • #648
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,617 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    a very interesting forecast there on Radio 1 from met eireann which ended in "please stayed tuned to the latest forecasts as the development of storm Barney is uncertain and wind warnings are like to be updated regularly" , during the forecast she also said "it will become stormy in the south and south east of the country tomorrow afternoon"


  • #649
    Rock Lesnar
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,888 ✭✭✭✭Rock Lesnar


    km79 wrote: »
    that's in line with yr.no and MTCs forecast of 10-20 mm generally
    seems to sweep up fairly quick

    I hope it sweeps up very very quick, so quick that it forgets to rain


  • #650
    Clonmel1000
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,047 ✭✭✭Clonmel1000


    Any mention of the snow that posters here are predicting for the weekend?


  • #651
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    12Z ECM quite similar to 12Z ARPEGE. Maybe even a tad stronger at 24 hours.

    ECU1-24_kpi8.GIF
    arpegeuk-2-24-0_jtk2.png


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  • #652
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,617 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    1746 update on Met eireann
    It will also be become extremely windy or stormy over the southern half of the country as southwesterly winds will increase across Munster and parts of south Leinster for the afternoon and early evening. Winds will be strongest for coastal counties. Highest temperatures of 8 to 13 degrees


  • #653
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Shannon, Fastnet, Lundy :
    ... increasing gale 8 to storm 10, perhaps violent storm 11 later

    12Z GEM has a small area of 80 km/h mean winds over the north midlands. This could be completely wrong of course.

    4YC0etb.png


  • #654
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,516 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    The weather before the news was disappointing, let's see afterwards.


  • #655
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    For what it's worth, 12Z ICON is showing gusts up to 140 km/h on the coast here.

    15111717_2_1612.gif


  • #656
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,516 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    West Clare looks like it will be completly hammered tommorow


  • #657
    Padster90s
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 272 ✭✭Padster90s


    I don't think Evelyn even mentioned the lows name!


  • #658
    maquiladora
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Padster90s wrote: »
    I don't think Evelyn even mentioned the lows name!

    That might be for the best. :oBarney, in fairness like....


  • #659
    squarecircles
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,343 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Padster90s wrote: »
    I don't think Evelyn even mentioned the lows name!


    What was the point in naming the lows
    If they're not even going to bother using them.


  • #660
    snowstreams
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,347 ✭✭✭snowstreams


    Carnacalla wrote: »
    West Clare looks like it will be completly hammered tommorow

    It sure does. Are you used to that sort of wind there?
    I'm near athenry but a bit worried because the trees still have a few leaves. I hope they don't come down with those inland gusts.


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  • #661
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,516 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    snowstreams wrote: »
    It sure does. Are you used to that sort of wind there?
    I'm near athenry but a bit worried because the trees still have a few leaves. I hope they don't come down with those inland gusts.

    Not really used to those winds in this far, maybe out towards loop head but now in towards Kilrush.


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