AUTUMN WEATHER 2015 - GENERAL CHAT THREAD

maquiladora

Carnacalla wrote: »

Still no wind warning.

I'm disappointed with ME as of late

Yellow warning is out.

JCX BXC

maquiladora wrote: »

Yellow warning is out.

Bit late, all three main airports (probably knock too) have recorded winds in excess of 65km/h in the last few hours.

pad199207

Unreal gusts in Naas here at the moment

weatherfiend

Here in sandyford too. Roof is about to lift off and the side of the house afraid to let the dogs out 😞

Oscar Bravo

Finner camp gusting 53 knots on the 11pm reports, all stations gusting between 30 knots and 53 knots. lots of wind shear reported at Dublin airport with diversions happening. dirty night out there!

maquiladora

18Z models are still split on Tuesdays low.
GFS, JMA, NAVGEM, EURO4 would give stormy conditions inland over the south. HIRLAM and ARPEGE keep it weaker and further south with winds offshore grazing the coast.

rustyzip

Babysitting my friends kids tonight in Sandymount and holy cow.... The wind is Mad. I can't remember it being this bad. Upstairs doors are literally shaking and the kids are petrified. Can't get them to sleep. Dog won't stop Barking. Car alarms going off!!! Are the winds due to feck off any time soon?!

JCX BXC

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

Finner camp gusting 53 knots on the 11pm reports, all stations gusting between 30 knots and 53 knots. lots of wind shear reported at Dublin airport with diversions happening. dirty night out there!

Dublin just had a mean speed of 42knots, which is 78km/h, just 2 km/h of a red warning.

maquiladora

Carnacalla wrote: »

Dublin just had a mean speed of 42knots, which is 78km/h, just 2 km/h of a red warning.

Where are you seeing that? Dublin Airport is 29 knots at 11pm.

maquiladora

http://www.estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygon/showforecast.cgi?text=yes&fcstfile=2015111706_201511152306_1_stormforecast.xml

JCX BXC

maquiladora wrote: »

Where are you seeing that? Dublin Airport is 29 knots at 11pm.

Im listening into ATC.
4 aircraft diverting to SNN and several holding.

Gonzo

crazy wind here about 30 minutes ago, garden chairs and table knocked over. Wind seems to be easing slightly now.

Oscar Bravo

midnight reports, Dublin airport gusting to 51 knots likewise with Malin Head, Baldonnel up around the same at 50 knots. pressure rising a bit now, winds will be easing from now on.

Weatherproof79

Millions of Euros worth of damage in Donegal. Worst flood of the river finn for a long time. A hotel car park in ballybofey was destroyed when the river finn levelled the wall and 3 cars were swept away with it. 15 other cars destroyed but remained in the car park. Thankfully it collapsed in the middle of the night or people could have been swept away.

People had to be evacuated from their homes in Donegal town. In Castlefinn the river finn burst its banks flooding lots of houses and local businesses and it has been described as the worst flooding in the area since the 1960's. Areas around lk badly flooded and certain roads remain closed overnight.

I'm surprised this didn't make the news on Rte and I see there was no warning thread here. The models were showing over 200mm for the mountains of Donegal so no surprise. Met ie did have a orange warning. I guess Donegal really is the forgotten County xD. The clean up operation will last a long time

FWVT

Carnacalla wrote: »

Im listening into ATC.
4 aircraft diverting to SNN and several holding.

The mean winds that ATC report to aircraft are 2-minute means, very different to the standard 10-minute means.

The highest 10-minute mean at Dublin Airport was 20 m/s (39 kts) sometime between 11 pm and midnight, as reported in the midnight synop.

maquiladora

Models are still split over Tuesdays potential stormy conditions. ECM, HIRLAM, ARPEGE don't make much of it. EURO4, ICON, NAVGEM, GEM showing stormy conditions. Normally ECM/HIRLAM is rock solid at this range, but the 36 hour fax chart also sides with the EURO4 so it can't be dismissed yet.

Padster90s

Seen a BBC weather forecast this morning, they're going with the southerly track for the system by the looks of it. Southern England and Wales.

maquiladora

Padster90s wrote: »

Seen a BBC weather forecast this morning, they're going with the southerly track for the system by the looks of it. Southern England and Wales.

Met Office:

A deepening area of low pressure is likely to track east across southern Ireland and then central parts of the UK during Tuesday afternoon and evening, with a swathe of very strong winds potentially developing on the southern flank of the low. At this stage, the worst of the winds are expected to reach West Wales mid to late afternoon, sweeping rapidly eastwards during the evening. There remains a good deal of uncertainty in this evolution and particularly the location of the strongest winds, so this Warning will be kept under review and updated as necessary.

Padster90s

BBC said it's now second named storm. Barney. That escalated fast!

maquiladora

Oneiric 3

Met have a Yellow out.

Wind Warning for Wexford, Clare, Cork, Kerry, Limerick and Waterford

Southwest winds will bring strong winds of mean speed 55 to 65 km/hr and gusts of 90 to 110 km/hr during Tuesday.

Issued: Monday 16 November 2015 10:00

Valid: Tuesday 17 November 2015 12:00 to Tuesday 17 November 2015 20:00

maquiladora

Yellow Warning from Met Eireann now. It's looks stronger than that on other models but since HIRLAM shows it weaker it makes sense they went with Yellow for now at least.

Schadenfreudia

Padster90s wrote: »

BBC said it's now second named storm. Barney. That escalated fast!

As in Barney Rubble? :eek:

Bad one coming....

Oscar Bravo

Barney rubble lol

maquiladora

12Z HIRLAM looks to be on board the Barney train now. 982mb low peaking just at the west coast and quickly crossing the country. Will see what the rest of the 12Z models do soon.

ninebeanrows

Looks quite stormy along the east coast tomorrow

maquiladora

Mean winds. 12Z HIRLAM. The Met Eireann warning will need updating. 95 km/h on the west coast. Brief period of inland gales as it quickly crosses the country.

JCX BXC

Wouldn't like to be doing much tomorrow!

Oneiric 3

maquiladora wrote: »

Mean winds. 12Z HIRLAM. The Met Eireann warning will need updating. 95 km/h on the west coast. Brief period of inland gales as it quickly crosses the country.

The EMHI 12z run continues to have the strongest zone of winds slightly more to the south. (map shows gust speeds)

maquiladora

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

The EMHI 12z run continues to have the strongest zone of winds slightly more to the south. (map shows gust speeds)

Interesting how the same output looks different there!

Meanwhile, the 12Z ARPEGE packs a punch...Gusts up to 130 km/h inland from the coast. Lively!