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NBA Betting Thread 2013/2014

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 556 ✭✭✭sligoface


    Frustrating night to put it mildly. Clips erase a 22 point deficit to come back and win but don't cover, Wiz blow a 17 point lead, after the Pacers tie it in the 4th the Wiz go go on a 9-0 run only to completely collapse. I know basketball is like that, wouldn't mind if I benefitted from it once in a while but it seems lately I am never on the right side in these games where a team comes back from a big deficit, always on the team that blows it. Last round Toronto in game 5 and Spurs in Game 4 both blew huge leads of 26 and 20 points, won the games but ended in a push and a loss against the spread when both should have been winning bets.

    I feel like a bit like a Liverpool fan today I guess.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭neil.p.b


    Spurs to sweep tonight. No magic fix for the blazers and i can't see the spurs not showing up they'll want to wrap this up asap. On the spread plus a little wager at -13.5 for 4/1.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 556 ✭✭✭sligoface


    Indiana has lost game 1 at home in the first 2 series, and with Miami only giving 2 pts it looks too easy to take the Heat. Indiana have turned things around, showing the ability to close out games and I think everyone would like to see a team that can finally offer a credible challenge to the Heat. I suppose it's a matter of will the game 1 blues continue for Ind or are they due a game 1 win.

    I'm going for the latter, Pacers are good enough to at least make this a long series, and think the teams will split the first 2, so I'm happy enough to take a chance on the home dog tonight, if they lose I'll back em again in game 2 to get even. If they win I go Miami in game 2.

    Though I do wish Stephenson hadn't come out with those comments about Wade's knee, giving the Heat bulletin board material is not very wise at all.


  • Site Banned Posts: 26,456 ✭✭✭✭Nuri Sahin


    sligoface wrote: »
    Indiana has lost game 1 at home in the first 2 series, and with Miami only giving 2 pts it looks too easy to take the Heat. Indiana have turned things around, showing the ability to close out games and I think everyone would like to see a team that can finally offer a credible challenge to the Heat. I suppose it's a matter of will the game 1 blues continue for Ind or are they due a game 1 win.

    I'm going for the latter, Pacers are good enough to at least make this a long series, and think the teams will split the first 2, so I'm happy enough to take a chance on the home dog tonight, if they lose I'll back em again in game 2 to get even. If they win I go Miami in game 2.

    Though I do wish Stephenson hadn't come out with those comments about Wade's knee, giving the Heat bulletin board material is not very wise at all.


    Yup.

    Scott Foster is the ref too, which is worrying.


  • Site Banned Posts: 26,456 ✭✭✭✭Nuri Sahin


    Thankfully road favouritsm ref Scott Foster had no real impact on the game.

    Look forward to seeing the lines for Game 2. Hopefully a reverse swing.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 556 ✭✭✭sligoface


    Had a feeling that even with the Pacers winning handily and still being at home that they'd still be dogs for game 2. They won't score points like that again but I think they will still play tough basketball.

    However, Miami off a loss is the best spot to take them, and the things they did wrong in game 1 are the easiest to correct, while the things the Pacers did right, like hit loads of 3s, is hard to repeat. Even playing their best game of the playoffs the Heat had cut the lead to 3 and with the way the Pacers shot the ball they would have beat most teams by 20+ instead of 11.

    With game 3 not till Saturday, I think Miami will feel they need to respond tonight big time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,344 ✭✭✭buyer95


    K.D under 9 rebounds. Direct opponent Kawhi Leonard is one of the best rebounders in the league at his position. Generally when I post here I jinx myself, but feck it, I said I'd share my thoughts anyway!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 556 ✭✭✭sligoface


    As bad as they looked in game 1 I'd say OKC will most likely win either game 2 or 3, gonna go ahead and take them small tonight, got +6 early which is pretty good value, and good teams tend to respond after gettng blown out. Anyway if they lose again I'll just take them at home in game 3. Gotta love the playoffs!

    A bit of value in the under as well possibly with the Thunder likely looking to play strong defense as a team and denying passes to the paint to try and get stops without Ibaka.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 556 ✭✭✭sligoface


    I guess OKC didn't get blown out by enough in game 1, but they definitely did in game 2. Despite the Ibaka injury having obvious effect, and SA looking like a complete machine,I'd be genuinely shocked if OKC lose again tonight. SA went 7 games with the 8th seed, now they're gonna go up 3-0 on the 2 seed who was the league MVP. Nah.

    Durant got to the line more than any player in the league this year and I'd say there will be free throws aplenty in this game for him and OKC. Line opened at -2 and is now at 2.5 despite getting blown out 2 games in a row. Tells me all I need to know.

    Teams that get blown out tend to respond, couple that with going home and a longer than normal break and OKC gets the nod for a nice bet tonight. Also the ganging up on one person by the media and fans (Scott Brooks in this case) seems to galvanize teams, a la Hibbert last series.

    For a bit of balance, have to say i read a quote from a Spurs player saying they realized that game 2 was 'a dangerous win', as in they could relax and let OKC back in it after only winning half the amount of games needed to advance. Shows how amture and smart they are and how well they are coached. And I don't like picking teams just because they are in 'must win' situations, must win does not equal 'will win', I've learned that much. And I like the Spurs to win the title, but I'm still all over OKC tonight.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,344 ✭✭✭buyer95


    Chalmers over 8.5 points
    Hill under 11.5 points


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 556 ✭✭✭sligoface


    Okc Sa, game 6. Due for a tight defensive struggle. Under 206.5.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,113 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    Anything for tonight, heat look good for the handicap


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,108 ✭✭✭BQQ


    Anything for tonight, heat look good for the handicap

    Heat often play badly after a long rest. (Eg pacers game 1)

    Don't want to put you off, but I think Spurs will win tonight by about ten points


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,344 ✭✭✭buyer95


    Game on tomorrow guys!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,108 ✭✭✭BQQ


    buyer95 wrote: »
    Game on tomorrow guys!

    Ah yes.
    I actually thought it was Thursday today.

    The waiting is killing me


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,344 ✭✭✭buyer95


    BQQ wrote: »
    Ah yes.
    I actually thought it was Thursday today.

    The waiting is killing me

    Me too bro, me too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,113 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    BQQ wrote: »
    Heat often play badly after a long rest. (Eg pacers game 1)

    Don't want to put you off, but I think Spurs will win tonight by about ten points

    Nice I took the spurs handi and overs.is LeBron buckled now?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,344 ✭✭✭buyer95


    Good old aftertiming.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,710 ✭✭✭✭Paully D


    I'll be taking the Heat to win straight up in game two.

    They've won 12 consecutive times following a loss in the playoffs which speaks for itself and the criticism that LeBron has got over this cramping issue will have him extremely fired up. If they lose on Sunday then they'll have to win 4 of 5 games which, in all probability, isn't going to happen against the Spurs, so the consequences of a 2nd defeat in a row are stark.

    Heat to win at 7/4 (Paddy Power).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,113 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    Everyone on the heat train?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,344 ✭✭✭buyer95


    Everyone on the heat train?

    I don't have a stake in tonights game, but I fancy the spurs to win.


  • Registered Users Posts: 105 ✭✭Dariukas


    Heat to win tonight ?

    Great odds.. reckon could happen 11+...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,113 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    Dariukas wrote: »
    Heat to win tonight ?

    Great odds.. reckon could happen 11+...

    on less some one can convince me other wise ill leave this bar the spurs to win by 21+ points


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,147 ✭✭✭PizzamanIRL


    Dariukas wrote: »
    Heat to win tonight ?

    Great odds.. reckon could happen 11+...

    Thanks for getting my hopes up. It's tomorrow, not tonight.:(

    And no I don't think Miami will win.


  • Registered Users Posts: 105 ✭✭Dariukas


    Thanks for getting my hopes up. It's tomorrow, not tonight.:(

    And no I don't think Miami will win.

    Hah, i'm a day ahead... I still hope they can come back and win one game... :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,147 ✭✭✭PizzamanIRL


    Nerlens Noel looks a good bet at 10/1 for Rookie of the Year.

    One year practice/experience with an NBA team ahead of all the other rookies.
    Might get a sympathy vote by the media if he puts up decent-ish numbers just because he missed his first year.
    Maybe I'm clutching at straws.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,344 ✭✭✭buyer95


    Nerlens Noel looks a good bet at 10/1 for Rookie of the Year.

    One year practice/experience with an NBA team ahead of all the other rookies.
    Might get a sympathy vote by the media if he puts up decent-ish numbers just because he missed his first year.
    Maybe I'm clutching at straws.

    Noel was a projected 1st pick in a very weak draft.Wiggins, Parker, Exum and Smart all stand to have better seasons imo.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 914 ✭✭✭The Phantom Jipper


    Anybody see any standouts on the Paddy Power / Ladbrokes markets for the over under on team wins this season?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,301 ✭✭✭padraig_f


    Anybody see any standouts on the Paddy Power / Ladbrokes markets for the over under on team wins this season?

    Pistons over 34.5 looks good to me. Stan van Gundy in charge, have some talent on the roster in Monroe and Drummond.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 914 ✭✭✭The Phantom Jipper


    Portland to win the Northwest looks good now surely? 10/11 with William Hill.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,344 ✭✭✭buyer95


    Money on Love over 17.5 points tonight. Love said today he doesn't know his role in the offense and wants more touches. Look for LeBron and co to try and get him shots tonight.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,710 ✭✭✭✭Paully D


    Noticed this on Oddschecker if anyone is interested. The prices for the Eastern conference winner.

    876ce117497fe579eb5bf355bbb0d301.png

    You'll notice Boylesports have the Hawks at 12/1, while they are as short as 3/1 elsewhere. E/W terms are 1-2, half the odds. So if you take the Hawks e/w with Boyles you're getting 6/1 on them to reach the Eastern final. Wizards at 33/1 e/w would give you odds of 16.5/1 on them getting to the Eastern final! It's clear that every team listed is wrongly priced at those odds.

    However, they have the rest of the teams in the market priced all over the place too. So if any other teams take your fancy, jump on before they realise their mistake!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,818 ✭✭✭Bateman


    Did you manage to get anything on this? I went on today and they'd no futures up at all, someone's probably getting a slap on the wrist there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,554 ✭✭✭✭yabadabado


    Those were the prices for the teams to win the championship and was a fault with oddschecker.When you clicked the link on oddschecker it brought you to outright winner not conference winner.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Has anyone seen this crap where you do a team + points and they lose in OT and it counts as a loss?

    I'm just happy it wasn't the only loser from my 6 teams, also had GSW -8.5 :/... But the Cavs game is down as a loser too.

    That makes no sense, if you've a team +1.5 and they go to OT than surely that's a win.

    Worst thing was I added that by accident, happened twice yesterday on bet365 mobile, need to be weary of that.

    This standard practice across the chains?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,113 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    Has anyone seen this crap where you do a team + points and they lose in OT and it counts as a loss?

    I'm just happy it wasn't the only loser from my 6 teams, also had GSW -8.5 :/... But the Cavs game is down as a loser too.

    That makes no sense, if you've a team +1.5 and they go to OT than surely that's a win.

    Worst thing was I added that by accident, happened twice yesterday on bet365 mobile, need to be weary of that.

    This standard practice across the chains?

    No the handicap includes all over time !


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    No the handicap includes all over time !

    That's pretty stupid isn't it?
    It makes absolutely no sense to ever do the + team if the favourite gets two bites at it.

    I generally don't do the +, was just a mistake last night so I guess it won't generally effect me but I can't get my head around including OT.

    Thanks


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,113 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    That's pretty stupid isn't it?
    It makes absolutely no sense to ever do the + team if the favourite gets two bites at it.

    I generally don't do the +, was just a mistake last night so I guess it won't generally effect me but I can't get my head around including OT.

    Thanks

    Not really its just the way it goes for american sports ,nhl nfl baseball all the same.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 679 ✭✭✭Lt J.R. Bell


    That's pretty stupid isn't it?
    It makes absolutely no sense to ever do the + team if the favourite gets two bites at it.

    I generally don't do the +, was just a mistake last night so I guess it won't generally effect me but I can't get my head around including OT.

    Thanks
    No, the NBA itself don't give points for drawing at full time. It's win or loose even in overtime. Why would a bookies be different?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,818 ✭✭✭Bateman


    Nets the big bet tonight


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,147 ✭✭✭PizzamanIRL


    It's not over until it's over. Orlando, Philly and Knicks apparently have a chance to win the East still, according to Paddy Power.
    They have the same for the West
    Capture.png

    You know it's bad when you have the same Rookie of the Year odds as a player who went down with a season ending injury on opening night. Good job bookies.

    Capture.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,818 ✭✭✭Bateman


    Atlanta still a bit of value I wonder. They're bound to be under-valued if they have an Eastern series final v Cleveland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,710 ✭✭✭✭Paully D


    Grizzlies +10.5 @ Warriors.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,977 ✭✭✭Soby


    If I weren't tailing a former poster, I'd have taken the Grizzlies +10.5 last night. Wonder if Conley is back next game?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,318 ✭✭✭Absoluvely


    Bet365's courtsider made a little typo in the Hawks game tonight.
    It was available for a good 15 seconds but I didn't manage to take advantage.
    lolz

    DzkfpS6.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,710 ✭✭✭✭Paully D


    Cavs ML @ Hawks, evens (Bet Victor).


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