White Xmas 2004

ninebeanrows · 22-12-2004 10:59PM

Please Mike dont worry about those ridiculus
computerised forecasts their the laughing stock
of most boards

Trotter · 22-12-2004 11:44PM

Just wondering, Im in Waterford, and I havent seen snow for years! Any chance of me makin a snowman just for old times sake?!

The Muppet · 23-12-2004 08:02AM

The UTV forecast is giving snow down the east coast for Christmas Eve. \o/

ninebeanrows · 23-12-2004 08:19AM

UTV lol their forecasts leave alot to be desired lets say!

OK things looking great with two troughs set to move south
across the country one on Friday night and the other
on Christmas morning approaching Dublin by aroun 10am.

These bands will be probably made of of showers but
they will be prolonged! If your living in the southeast
try and just hope for a shower because its probable
you wont see any snow lying anyway. Late
into Christmas day as the wind moves to a direct
Northerly Eastern counties may be plaqued by some
frequent showers as shown on the 3rd image so stay
tuned

Trough just clearing east

Another trough reaching the south coast

And that pecular feature in the Irish Sea

keu · 23-12-2004 08:29AM

if your living in the southeast
try and just hope for a shower because its probable
you wont see any snow lying anyway.

awh for the love of god...I was getting all excited, doesn't get to snow down here much at all, tired of watching snow on the telly in other parts of the country and none here..c'mon snow, move down waterford way.

ninebeanrows · 23-12-2004 08:37AM

You still have a decent chance of seeing lying snow, your just
in the worst position to get some

Villain · 23-12-2004 09:30AM

What do you think the chances of getting lying snow in carlow are?

ninebeanrows · 23-12-2004 09:57AM

I would expect Carlow to see some lying snow yes

CrowdedHouse · 23-12-2004 11:42AM

Maybe I've no soul or something but why would anybody Want snow in Ireland-cold and dangerously slippy stuff !

cajun_tiger · 23-12-2004 11:52AM

bah hum bug to you to!!!
i cant wait coz my little girl keeps going on about snow(shes never seen any)

ninebeanrows · 23-12-2004 11:53AM

Because its wonderful and the things that dreams are made
of and also the fact that its rarier that lion's poop here
in Dulbin!

CrowdedHouse · 23-12-2004 12:08PM

Well i hope no elderly relative slips and breaks their bones cos with our 'health service'........

...still i suppose I can test out all the great things the salesman said were on my car like 4wd,ESP,ABS ..xyz...and claim under the warranty when I stick it in the wall.......!!

.....and may all your Christmases be White .........

23-12-2004 12:11PM

Anything coming down during friday will most likely be sleety rain with snow confined to the hills and the north.
The fun will really begin late into friday and during Xmas day

ninebeanrows · 23-12-2004 12:25PM

Yes indeed things are looking very interesting for all
areas north of a Wicklow on Friday Night (not picking
Wicklow to annoy anyone!!) as a frontal band of snow
moves into Ulsters ensuring them at least a white Christmas
it will then push south to affect most areas but i feel it
will dy out as it passes to far south. On Christmas day
things look like getting interesting late AM as another
feature moves in from the North bringing further appreciations
to Ulster, Leinster and Connacht. I expect areas of Ulster to
recieve upto 20cm's of snow and im expecting overall falls
to even out at 3-5cm's for the Dublin region if everything
goes well. This is enough to cause chaos in a city that will
be in a frenzy doing last minute shopping and all sorts. 5 cm's
of snow is enough to bring Dublin to a standstill and if it
comes off it duely will

Enjoy and dont be disappointed if it doesnt come off

23-12-2004 12:42PM

Weathercheck wrote:

(not picking
Wicklow to annoy anyone!!)

I think you will find that on balance wicklow gets more snow than portmarnock every winter,it has 3000ft mountains you know

I expect it will get a lot more than portmarnock this time too

Enjoy and dont be disappointed if it doesnt come off

Hey after five pages of confidence, charts and stuff, don't tell me you're losing the faith

A Dub in Glasgo · 23-12-2004 05:04PM

Looks like the temperature in the most northerly observation station in the UK is plummeting

Lerwick

ninebeanrows · 23-12-2004 05:44PM

Fax charts are again excellant with at least 2 troughs
crossing the entire country

Things look sweet
for a white Christmas with the first band crossing the
country late on Xmas Eve and during the late morning
on Christmas day

Enjoy the snow

Supercell · 23-12-2004 06:42PM

Hmm latest charts are showing west as best (and NI) ..wonder if we are going to see anything above a dusting here in Dublin if at all..but who knows maybe some showers will make it to here as snow..personally would put Dublin snow probability > 1cm about 30% over Fri-Sat period.
For the midlands and west would say significant accumulations are very likely.

23-12-2004 06:46PM

I've copied and pasted a post from Beat on another board(I'm sure she won't mind,I've edited out the private bits).
Beat lives in cleveland Ohio where 2 or 3 cms of snow looks more like a hard frost...

BEAT wrote:

Sorry but I have to do it...I know you may not care but I have to blow some steam....
I hate the city I live in,

Why the sudden change of mood you ask? I went from happy and singing to angry and psycho all because I woke up this morning to 2 almost 3 feet of snow and not one snow truck had cleans my street.
They have known all week this was coming and we were warned all week...so why werent there any trucks ready and cleaning it up you ask?
Because my city is cheap and the cut the budget on snow trucks for side streets...only main streets get cleaned then if they can spare some time they go after teh side streets...in the meantime my car is stuck in the street and will not move can not move because it is stuck in piled up snow...and i am not the only one.

So because i dont drive a truck or suv I am being punished,
think about it, 2 feet of heavy wet snow. I couldnt do it, my legs and back finally gave out and I am stranded.
I tripped and fell walking up the driveway to add to my frustration.

BTW, this is just from my trip home from work. Here is what happened this morning...

oh, this is just the beginnig.....this morning I managed to get out of my garage and out of the driveway, i got stuck but managed to get unstuck all to go to work I finally get to work after driving through hell and high water...literally highwater...city is flooding from the freezing rain and snow.
I get to the office after tripping and getting my foot stuck in my coat and ripping it, my poor trench coat.
I walk in the office and only my boss is there...he tells me,
you can go home no one else is coming in!
the worst day this city has seen in over 100 years!
driving home you read about, I ofcurse couldnt get back up the driveway, I tried to shovel it but the shovel broke and I stabbed my hand with it.

23-12-2004 06:50PM

Longfield wrote:

Hmm latest charts are showing west as best (and NI) ..wonder if we are going to see anything above a dusting here in Dublin if at all..but who knows maybe some showers will make it to here as snow..personally would put Dublin snow probability > 1cm about 30% over Fri-Sat period.
For the midlands and west would say significant accumulations are very likely.

It's looking like that alright
The southwest eg Kerry and west Cork could get a good cover as well, they would be very prone to Atlantic showers when the wind is north west which more than likely will be falling as snow.

ninebeanrows · 23-12-2004 07:00PM

Earthman may i ask have you been to Bratislavia i used
to live there as a young one well for about 6 months!

Although the Irish Met forecast may not have inspired
you with confidence i am still very confident that bands
of snow sshowers will push south on Xmas eve night and
again on Christmas Day. I think Dublin could see upto
5cm's of snow

I dont think that southern coasts
will be cold enough for snow but further inland it will be.
Western and Norhtrn areas will be affected by accumalations
of snow of upto 20cm's. Happy Xmas all

ninebeanrows · 23-12-2004 07:03PM

I must also add that the radar will be our best friend late tomorrow
on seeing whether snow will be widspread. I also think that the Irish
Met are underestimating rainfall across Southern parts tomorrow morning
and into the afternoon which will turn to sleet on it back edge as i moves
south

23-12-2004 07:13PM

Speaking of Met Éireann I notice they have updated their severe weather advisory and taken out the bit about heavy accumilations...

They are now saying snow may lie in places which means they're not expecting significant falls.

Yes I was in Bratislava on Sunday, just to do a last bit of Xmas shopping as all the shops in Vienna were shut.
It still has the air of communism about it as you can see it for all it's high rise appartment buildings for a while before you get there.
The slovakians are the cute ones though, they are just across the border as near to Austria as Newry is to Dundalk and about a 50 min drive from vienna they had all their centres open and they were packed out.

Supercell · 23-12-2004 07:15PM

Weathercheck wrote:

I think Dublin could see upto
5cm's of snow I dont think that southern coasts
will be cold enough for snow but further inland it will be.
Western and Norhtrn areas will be affected by accumalations
of snow of upto 20cm's. Happy Xmas all

5cm's in Dublin is a possibility if the showers make it to here in numbers..its a slim chance but definately is one..as you say all eyes on the radar images tomorrow

ninebeanrows · 23-12-2004 07:26PM

I thought to cheer you up from dying of pessimism i'll show
you a few fax charts below in order are the 36h, 48hr and
60hr charts. The first trough will push south tomorrow night
the second Christmas morning and then eastern areas may be
affected by a quasi-stationary trough

http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/brack0a.gif
http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/brack1.gif
http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/brack1a.gif

Enjoy and remember theres a good possibility of a widespread WHITE
Christmas could we ask for much more

Im confident that Dublin will see a dusting come Christmas morning
at least and if thats all i get i'll be happy

Im looking
forward to seeing one of those squally heavy snow showers
with the major chance of 2 prolonged bands moving south

Scubadevils · 23-12-2004 08:28PM

Weathercheck wrote:

Im looking
forward to seeing one of those squally heavy snow showers
with the major chance of 2 prolonged bands moving south

You reckon these might hit the east coast? - beginning to feel we wont see the snow in Dublin

I want snow that compacts under your feet and you cant see the ground

23-12-2004 08:35PM

Felixdhc wrote:

I want snow that compacts under your feet and you cant see the ground

Oh that lovely crunch feeling as you walk in it

Well if you don't see it in your neck of the woods, just head up to Lamb Doyles, or better johnny foxes there should be plenty up there.

Gonzo · 23-12-2004 11:03PM

Felixdhc wrote:

You reckon these might hit the east coast? - beginning to feel we wont see the snow in Dublin
I want snow that compacts under your feet and you cant see the ground

my feelings exactly.... even if we get a dusting i'll be gutted... at this stage with the talk of 'severe snow' and an onslaught of fancy snow charts on these boards over the past month or more I think most posters here will be really dissapointed if its not some sort of a decent fall... a few flurries is not gonna set anyones world on fire... it wud need to be at least 2 or 3 inchs deep at the minimum to be deemed a success, no blades of grass showing thru the snow etc... and hard compact snow/ice on the roads, it wud also have to cover most of the country to have any great effect rather than just a few coastal fringes of the west and northern ireland.

ninebeanrows · 23-12-2004 11:11PM

Well Gonzo its inevitable that your going to be disappointed then!
This cold spell aint anything special in its own right but
its timing is supreme!

Just to focus on the east coast, confidence is beginning
to grow that eastern areas north of say Wicklow can expect
a prolonged period of snow around 6pm on Saturday. It is associated
with a developing feature north of northern Ireland. Eastern
Northern Ireland will be hit hard with upto 6 inches of snow likely.

Another period for possible snow in the East is later tomorrow
night as a trough moves throught the country.

Heres how i see it for Dublin and Eastern counties
of Wicklow, Dublin, Meathe and Louth. On Xmas
morning we should wake upto a light dusting of snow
possibly 1cm but showers will pack in prolonged
snow over Northern Ireland and slowly tricle down the
east coast. It will be a close run situation and at the moment
only areas north of Wicklow will be affected and no more
than 60 miles inland form the east coast. Upto 10cm's may
fall from this feature around Dublin and more further north
please stay tuned to forecasts to watch for development
of this feature as it could get very bad in these locations
late on Christmas

Danno · 24-12-2004 12:50AM

Looks like a 120 mile wide strip from Tyrone to Kilkenny is gonna get the snow... :cool:

White Xmas 2004

Comments