Advertisement
Help Keep Boards Alive. Support us by going ad free today. See here: https://subscriptions.boards.ie/.
https://www.boards.ie/group/1878-subscribers-forum

Private Group for paid up members of Boards.ie. Join the club.
Hi all, please see this major site announcement: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058427594/boards-ie-2026

Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

1253254255256258

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 4 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Very cold with widespread sunshine and dry weather for two more days, with exceptions of some rain or sleet changing to snow near southwest coast, and wintry showers moving across northern counties, in moderate but chill-inducing northwest winds. More unsettled mid-week with rain, sleet, or snow at various elevations from several disturbances. A possible storm system Thursday into early Friday is shown crossing Ireland on one of the major forecast models (GFS) but heads further south into France on most guidance. Either way this interval could bring some mixed falls again. Turning slightly milder around the following weekend.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY many places will have sunshine interrupted by passing snow showers, possibly sleet or hail close to sea level, and those showers will be more frequent in Ulster and Connacht. An area of cold rain over the Atlantic west of Kerry and Clare will move across west Munster and could change to sleet and then snow especially at higher elevations some distance inland. That will come to an end by late afternoon. Highs 2 to 6 C, with frost lingering in shaded spots to mid-day.

    TONIGHT mostly clear and very cold with the wintry showers dying off to some extent. Lows -6 to -2 C.

    MONDAY will be partly cloudy with scattered wintry showers, moderate northwest winds, highs near 4 C.

    TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY, outbreaks of rain, sleet and wet snow, separated more by elevation than on a regional basis but also more chance of snow further north and east. Lows both days near -2 C and highs near 5 C.

    THURSDAY as mentioned in the outlook, some uncertainty about the track of a strong low, if it moves through Ireland, there could be outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow with associated strong east to northeast winds; if it tracks further south, weaker disturbances will still bring some outbreaks of sleet or rain. Temperatures will likely be around 4 to 6 C either way.

    FRIDAY into SATURDAY, a second low will approach the north and bring in slightly milder air, most sleet or snow will then change to rain, with moderate southwest winds. Highs near 8 C.

    By SUNDAY windy and rather cold with passing showers becoming wintry inland on higher ground, highs near 6 C.

    Somewhat colder again after these disturbances with signs of further battleground patterns as new outbreaks of cold clash with a rather weakened Atlantic regime.

    My local weather on Saturday was overcast with wet snow changing to rain. A brief clearing after sunset revealed a view of the full moon close to Jupiter. The moon was aligned with the earth around 10:00h Saturday and the earth moves past Jupiter on the 10th of January. Those positions meant that the moon was seen closest to Jupiter (where clear skies prevailed) around five hours before they both rose over western North America, so parts of eastern Canada may have witnessed that although there are outbreaks of snow in many places there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 5 January, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TODAY will be very cold with widespread icy conditions, some persistent freezing fog, some areas of low cloud and some sunshine in the mix, with snow showers (possibly hail near coasts) drifting southeast at least as far as the midlands at times. Highs 1 to 5 C.

    TONIGHT outbreaks of sleet or wet snow, turning to rain at times near west coast. Lows -3 to +2 C.

    TUESDAY further outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow, with the snow more likely in Ulster and parts of Leinster, and at higher elevations generally. Highs 5 to 8 C.

    WEDNESDAY cloudy with occasional rain, still mixing with sleet or wet snow in some areas. Lows near -1 C and highs near 8 C.

    THURSDAY some sunny intervals in north, overcast across midlands and south, a cold rain that could turn to wet snow inland will spread in from the south. The details depend on which guidance wins out as suggested tracks for low pressure range from near south coast (which would spread heavier amounts of mixed precipitation into many areas), to northern France (which might limit both the spread and the amount that falls). Either way, temperatures will be around 5 C if not colder during snowfall, and winds northeast backing to north 50 to 70 km/hr (possibly stronger if storm is closer to south coast).

    FRIDAY cloudy with a few breaks, occasional mixed wintry showers, lows near -1 C and highs near 7 C.

    SATURDAY milder with rain and moderate southwest winds, highs near 10 C.

    SUNDAY turning colder again in west to northwest winds, showers turning wintry later, highs near 7 C.

    The outlook for the following week is for colder weather to stage a comeback and highs dropping back into a range of 3 to 7 C. There are indications of a possible easterly flow developing later in the week but at first the cold air would be coming out of the northwest to north.

    My local weather on Sunday was overcast with a cold drizzle at times, highs near 2 C.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 6 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … A gradual warming trend will remove the sub-freezing air mass gradually with some parts of Ulster and north Leinster holding on to the colder air longer, but eventually all parts of the country will turn milder with outbreaks of sleet or snow in a few places, rain more widespread.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY some rain will push into the inland south and midlands, where it may fall as freezing rain or sleet for a time this morning, icy roads are quite possible in these regions. Overcast throughout with later outbreaks arriving after the colder air has moderated so less threat of sleet or ice but still possible to find a few pockets of entrenched cold creating localized slippery conditions in the east and north. Highs near 7 C south and west, to 4 C north and east.

    TONIGHT variable cloud, some further wintry showers, cold with lows -2 to +2 C.

    WEDNESDAY will see more progress made by milder air with rain at times, fog and drizzle on higher ground. Still some localized ice and sleet on hills mainly. Highs 7 to 9 C.

    THURSDAY the consensus of guidance now is that a very strong low will track a little further south before becoming a major storm system for northern France and southeast England by late Thursday; travel in those regions could be disrupted. Over Ireland a weaker northeast flow with some outbreaks of sleet and cold rain likely, snow could fall on higher terrain. More clear intervals further north could allow for some sunshine in Ulster and north Connacht at times. Lows -3 to +2 C and highs 4 to 8 C. Still watching this carefully because it wouldn't be the first time forecast models would return to an earlier solution close to the event.

    FRIDAY rather windy and turning a little milder in stages from the northwest, highs eventually reaching 7 or 8 C after a rather cold start. Sleet or wet snow may precede rain showers. Lows -2 to +3 C and highs near 8 C.

    SATURDAY windy and milder with rain at times, lows near 5 C and highs near 11 C.

    SUNDAY into MONDAY windy and turning a bit colder, passing showers could be wintry on higher ground, highs 5 to 8 C with winds west to northwest 50 to 80 km/hr.

    Another milder system could follow; the Atlantic will try to maintain control despite very cold arctic air building up gradually over northern Europe and pushing slowly west. A battleground scenario is likely at some point and eventually the cold air may return.

    My local weather on Monday was mostly cloudy with a few brief glimpses of blue sky, and a chilly wind with highs around 2 C.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 7 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Somewhat milder with occasional outbreaks of rain mixing to sleet or wet snow in some northern counties and on higher ground. Rather chilly and damp in general next week, with some risk of even colder weather according to some but not all guidance. Setting up for another stormy end to January, as the jet stream gains energy towards the anniversary of storm Eowyn.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be cloudy with outbreaks of rain moving gradually east from Atlantic coastal counties; some mixing with sleet or wet snow could occur later in Ulster and north Leinster. Highs 6 to 9 C.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy and rather cold with lows -2 to +3 C. Sleety showers may continue in parts of Ulster and Connacht.

    THURSDAY cold rain spreading across the south may mix with wet snow on higher ground. Staying dry across parts of the north. Moderate northeast winds, 50 to 70 km/hr. Highs 5 to 8 C.

    FRIDAY breezy and cool with passing showers, northwest winds 40 to 60 km/hr, lows near 3 C and highs near 7 C.

    SATURDAY increasing cloud followed by rain by evening or overnight, lows -2 to +3 C, highs near 8 C.

    SUNDAY rain could turn heavy at times in the southwest. Lows near 5 C and highs near 10 C.

    NEXT WEEK looks rather chilly and damp with some intervals of easterly flow, but some guidance has backed away from a very cold scenario that was being shown in earlier model runs (for now anyway). I believe the ingredients will be coming together later in January for a more stormy interval, let's hope it is only a pale imitation of storm Eowyn which occurred on 24th of January last year. (of course this current date is about the timing of the 1839 Big Wind storm). The Thursday storm will be quite strong moving into France but Ireland is only going to see a glancing blow from that one.

    My local weather on Tuesday was overcast with some snow at first, leaving 7-10 cms to clear away at mid-day, when it was around -3 C. So while it looks quite wintry outside, we have only 25% of the snow pack we would normally have in January here (10 cm vs 40 cm on average). We have seen snow depths of around 65 cm later in the winter season in most of the recent winters and I've been told there was over two meters of snow one winter "back in the day" so if that shows up, I will be heading south for sure (after I get to see it of course).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 8 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Temperatures will continue to moderate slowly, with occasional outbreaks of sleety rain with some wintry mixtures on higher ground. Not much change is expected through next week and much colder air seems to be destined to remain further north and east for the time being, with indications of a more stormy period to follow.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY some cold rain will spread across the southern half of the country by late morning, and on higher ground it could turn to snow, or sleet. Winds in this zone will increase to northeast 50 to 70 km/hr and possibly higher near some coasts. The northern edge of this rain is likely to be around Dublin to Galway. North of that, partly cloudy to overcast and cool with isolated showers, and not as windy as in the rainfall zone, 30 to 50 km/hr. Highs 4 to 7 C for most but temperatures could fall back to near 1 or 2 C in higher areas that see mixed falls.

    TONIGHT rain and sleet ending but followed by a few wintry showers in a northerly flow, cold with lows -2 to +2 C.

    FRIDAY variable cloud, scattered wintry showers possible, rather chilly with highs 4 to 7 C.

    SATURDAY mostly dry with increasing cloud, rain into the southwest by late afternoon or evening. Lows -2 to +3 C and highs 6 to 9 C.

    SUNDAY overcast with rain turning heavy at times in parts of Munster, lows near 5 and highs near 11 C.

    MONDAY and TUESDAY will stay fairly mild with strong winds at times, and further rain or showers, until colder air begins to filter back in later Tuesday. Temperatures almost steady in a range of 5 to 10 C.

    A rather cool and damp weather pattern will follow, as relatively weak disturbances push through interacting with a generally cold maritime modified arctic air mass having taken the long way round from Greenland, so temperatures will be in the 6 to 10 C range a lot of the time. Much colder air that some guidance was suggesting might push into Ireland now appears unlikely to move this far west (or south) but we cannot be entirely sure it won't play a role eventually. Perhaps more likely, I believe, the ingredients are there for later January to turn quite stormy.

    My local weather on Wednesday was overcast and cold wiith a few snowflakes in the air but no new accumulations after a dusting of ice and snow in the early morning. It was around -5 C. A brief mild spell has moved into the eastern U.S. and will last about two days with rain and highs near 12 C before the prevailing cold pattern returns on the weekend.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 9 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Gradually turning milder, rain at times over the weekend into Monday and Tuesday, then somewhat colder again with further showers at times. Indications of potential stormy conditions eventually before month is over.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few sunny intervals, most frequent in some central counties. Wintry showers will feed across parts of the west in moderate northwest winds of 40 to 60 km/hr. Highs 4 to 7 C.

    TONIGHT will see fewer wintry showers with partial clearing, quite cold with frost forming inland, lows -3 to +2 C.

    SATURDAY frosty for several hours in some areas, isolated freezing fog possible, before gradually warming up under partly cloudy skies to near 7 C. Rain will spread into western counties by late afternoon and evening. This rain will spread further east overnight, bringing a risk of sleet or freezing rain to some inland northern counties at first.

    SUNDAY mild with occasional rain, fog and drizzle over some northern counties, lows near 5 C and highs 10 to 12 C.

    MONDAY partly cloudy, with showers, lows near 5 C and highs near 9 C.

    TUESDAY some outbreaks of light rain likely especially over the southeast, lows near 4 C and highs near 8 C.

    Later in the week, somewhat colder with more outbreaks of rain but with some mixing on higher terrain and in the north. Eventually would expect Atlantic to become more energetic with strong low pressure areas, not able to be too precise on timing or how close to Ireland these might track but with a tighter jet stream developing it could become stormy at some point.

    My local weather is quite cold with light snow at times, brief sunny intervals too, highs near -5 C. There is still not much of a snow pack given that this is a ski resort town, but at least the ground is now covered with powdery snow over top of the previous icy slush.

    As you may have heard, the storm that tracked south of Ireland on Thursday brought damaging winds to Cornwall, northern France and the Channel Islands, and considerable snow in parts of central England and Wales. The storm has weakened now and is tracking east through Belgium towards Germany. Winds have settled back to moderate northerly in affected areas and travel disruptions should ease soon.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 10 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Milder by Sunday, and staying a little milder than average for most of the coming week, with occasional rain starting tonight.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be slow to warm up especially in the midlands and inland north; some persistent frost and freezing fog may be encountered in valleys. Further south, partly cloudy to overcast and chilly but above freezing with afternoon highs 5 to 8 C. A few wintry showers could fall in west Ulster and north Connacht. Rain will spread into the west by evening.

    TONIGHT rain will spread across all regions, rather light and intermittent in the south, more persistent further north, lows 3 to 6 C.

    SUNDAY a few brighter intervals during the morning before another batch of rain, turning heavy in parts of Munster, spreads in during the afternoon and evening. Milder with highs 10 to 12 C. Moderate to strong southwest winds will develop near Atlantic coasts by evening, 50 to 80 km/hr in exposed areas.

    MONDAY variable cloud, a few showers, moderate west-southwest winds and lows near 5 C, highs near 10 C.

    TUESDAY occasional rain or drizzle, foggy at times, temperatures steady around 6 or 7 C for most places, could warm a bit higher than that inland west with sunny intervals developing

    WEDNESDAY outbreaks of rain will be rather sleety on higher ground, moderate southwest winds, lows near 4 C and highs 8 to 10 C.

    THURSDAY variable cloud, showers, lows near 2 C and highs near 8 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK: Weak frontal systems at times bringing cloud and rain, but also a few brighter intervals, temperatures near average with highs 7 to 10 C. A few slight frosts possible but generally not particularly cold for time of year. No major developments later (yet) as far as storm potential with the strongest activity remaining a bit further north to the 25th at least.

    My local weather on Friday was overcast with a bit of light snow to start the day, but it remained dry later with a very low cloud ceiling that looked thin enough that the sun was probably shining on nearby peaks above the cloud deck, not as cold as recently with highs near -1 C.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 11 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Today will be quite mild with an interval of rain and strong winds by evening. The rest of the week will be closer to average in temperature, with showery rainfalls most days. The week following will see some dry days in the mix as high pressure slowly gains some influence and Atlantic fronts weaken further. It could then reverse to a stormy end to the month.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY after some bands of rain move through this morning, a few hours of partly cloudy and mild weather, followed by more rain and an interval of strong southwest winds 60 to 90 km/hr, peaking during the late afternoon and early evening. Highs 11 to 13 C.

    TONIGHT variable cloud, a few more showers ending later with lows 2 to 5 C.

    MONDAY mostly cloudy, showers, moderate southwest winds, highs near 9 C.

    TUESDAY some rain mostly confined to southeast during the morning, sunny intervals developing further west, rather chilly with lows near 4 C and highs near 7 C.

    WEDNESDAY rain may begin as wet snow or sleet over parts of the north, moderate west-southwest winds, lows around 2 C and highs 7 to 9 C.

    THURSDAY mostly cloudy, occasional light rain, highs near 8 C.

    FRIDAY and SATURDAY partly cloudy, cool, showers and sunny spells, highs near 7 C. Slight frosts will return.

    SUNDAY 18th will bring occasional light rain and temperatures 7 to 9 C.

    The following week could have some dry intervals and limited amounts of sunshine due to distant high pressure pushing slowly towards the west over central Europe. Weak disturbances mean it will not be entirely dry. Active storms will be confined to western and central Atlantic but one could eventually breaks through and hit the western counties late in the month.

    My local weather on Saturday was cloudy with a few brighter intervals, and mild with highs reaching +2 C. This was not enough to start much of a thaw but it felt pleasant anyway. Colder air is moving east and replacing a brief milder spell that peaked on Friday on the east coast of the U.S.; much colder weather is following with threats of snowfalls late in the week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 12 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Temperatures will remain near average most of this week, with occasional rain or showers. After next weekend, it could turn slightly colder with more frequent dry intervals but not a totally dry regime.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy, with a few showers, more persistent in west and north, and moderate southwest winds, highs near 9 C.

    TONIGHT cloudy with outbreaks of light rain, foggy in some places, lows 3 to 6 C.

    TUESDAY some rain mostly confined to southeast during the morning, sunny intervals developing further west, rather chilly with highs near 7 C. TUESDAY NIGHT clear intervals and some patchy frost inland, lows -2 to +4 C. Some sleety light rain could develop towards morning.

    WEDNESDAY rain may begin as wet snow or sleet over parts of the north, moderate west-southwest winds, lows around 2 C and highs 7 to 9 C.

    THURSDAY mostly cloudy, occasional light rain, highs near 8 C.

    FRIDAY and SATURDAY partly cloudy, cool, showers and sunny spells, highs near 7 C. Slight frosts will return.

    SUNDAY 18th will bring occasional light rain and temperatures 7 to 9 C.

    The following week will see greater influence for chilly high pressure edging west towards Ireland, and just a few limited intervals of light rain or sleet from weaker disturbances trying to push through the increasing blocking influence. Winds will become mostly easterly and at times northerly during this spell, with more active weather remaining out to the west.

    My local weather on Sunday began with a fresh fall of around 7 cm of snow that ended before sunrise; the rest of the day was overcast but dry with temperatures steady near the freezing point.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 13 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Rather chilly for the rest of this week, and most of next week, but more frequent outbreaks of light rain until weekend, then a generally dry interval, possibly leading to more active weather near end of month.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY outbreaks of rain across the south and east with gradual clearing to follow from the west, sunny intervals for most places by afternoon, highs 5 to 8 C.

    TONIGHT some clear intervals and frosty, with cloud starting to spread into the west after midnight bringing an early end to frost there. Lows -3 to +3 C.

    WEDNESDAY will bring a sleety cold rain that could mix with wet snow on hills especially in northern counties. Highs will be 5 to 8 C. Some intervals of moderate southwest winds near south coast.

    THURSDAY partly to mostly cloudy, light rain at times, lows near 3 C and highs near 7 C.

    FRIDAY showers but some sunny intervals developing, as winds begin to back to the southeast, lows near 2 C and highs 6 to 8 C.

    SATURDAY mostly sunny with a few isolated showers, cool. Lows -3 to +2 C and highs 5 to 8 C.

    SUNDAY variable cloud, a few showers, lows near freezing, highs near 7 C.

    NEXT WEEK some sunny intervals likely most days in light easterly winds, turning a bit colder mid-week after a few more days in the 5 to 8 C range, some later highs could be 2 to 5 C … frosts will become sharper as the week progresses. Breaking to a more active westerly flow by end of next week.

    My local weather on Monday was cloudy and mild with a high near 3 C. We are going into a very mild pattern which will probably mean low cloud and a slow thaw of what little snow cover we do have now (about 15 cm in town and perhaps 30 cm at higher elevations).



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 14 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Temperatures will be near average for most of the coming week, and there will be fairly frequent light rainfalls but also some brighter intervals.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY rain will gradually push into western counties but will not arrive in the east before mid-day or early afternoon, so there may be a few sunny spells at first there. Rain will be heavier in the west and there could be an isolated thunderstorm. Highs near 8 C west, 5 C east.

    TONIGHT rain tapering off to showers and ending around midnight in the east, with clearing skies further west. Lows 2 to 5 C.

    THURSDAY will bring a mixture of cloud and sunshine in eastern counties, more overcast for the west where rain will be more frequent. Highs 6 to 8 C.

    FRIDAY variable cloud, brief showers in a light southeast flow, some could contain melting small hail, as it will be quite chilly at cloud top heights. Lows near -1 C and highs near 7 C.

    WEEKEND looks a little unsettled at times in a continuing southeast to east wind, highs near 7 C.

    NEXT WEEK some sunshine at times and rather cold, some sharper frosts may develop, but not entirely dry with a few showers developing; Atlantic fronts may try to return later in the week and may only be able to spread cloud and rain into western counties.

    My local weather on Tuesday was cloudy with a few brighter intervals and very mild with highs 6 to 10 C around the region.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 15 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Rather chilly temperatures and frequent outbreaks of light showery rain that could mix with hail at times, but also a few sunny breaks most days.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly cloudy in the east and more overcast further west where showers will likely be more frequent. Highs 5 to 8 C.

    TONIGHT showers more confined to Atlantic coasts, sleety at times on hills. Clear intervals elsewhere, fog patches and frost forming, lows -2 to +3 C.

    FRIDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with widespread light showers, some turning to hail with thunder possible. Chilly with highs 4 to 7 C. Some slippery road conditions during and after hail showers.

    SATURDAY mostly cloudy with scattered showers, lows -2 to +3 C and highs 5 to 8 C.

    SUNDAY becoming cloudy with outbreaks of rain or sleet on higher ground. Lows -3 to +2 C and highs 5 to 8 C.

    NEXT WEEK looks rather similar as a weak push of colder air from the continent clashes with a rather low-energy Atlantic regime, which may manage to get one warm sector as far as Ireland during that time, so while most days will be close to 7 C, it could warm up slightly towards 10 C later in the week.

    My local weather started out very foggy with reduced visibility, but blue skies could be seen and by early afternoon the fog had retreated into the valley so we were then in brilliant sunshine with a dazzling white cloud at ground level on the southern horizon. Back to fog this evening though. In the sun it warmed up to around 7 C.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 16 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Rather cool and generally showery but with some brighter intervals likely most days.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will bring partly cloudy skies with bands of showers that could produce a little hail accompanied by thunder. These will tend to drift northwards in a slack southeasterly wind flow. There would be a risk of brief localized instances of slippery road conditions during and after hail showers. Highs 5 to 8 C.

    TONIGHT the showers will be more confined to coastal areas, dying out generally before dawn; frost and patches of freezing fog will develop in valleys inland. Lows -3 to +3 C.

    SATURDAY similar weather conditions will prevail with scattered showers, some sunny intervals, and highs 5 to 8 C.

    SUNDAY variable cloud, a cold sleety rain may set in over western counties towards late afternoon, spreading slowly further inland overnight into Monday morning. Lows Sunday will be -2 to +3 C and highs 5 to 8 C.

    MONDAY showers and sunny spells, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 6 to 9 C.

    Most of next week will see only slight changes day to day as weak disturbances die out while approaching the southwest coast, so overall not a lot of rainfall or hail/sleet on high ground, and slight frosts at night, daytime highs around 7 C. Eventually this rather placid regime may give way to a colder easterly. It appears that the potential for Atlantic storms is going to remain over the west-central Atlantic basin for a while longer as very cold air is now set to start flowing off the east coast of North America fairly regularly to the end of the month.

    My local weather on Thursday repeated the sunshine and fog bank mixture of the previous day, with similar results, and it was around 7 C locally, 10 C in some valleys. The dank fog is quite widespread over lower portions of the northwestern U.S., Spokane WA and Boise ID had it most of the day with highs only reaching 2 or 3 C. Further south into Utah and Nevada it's not as moist so a dry sunny regime prevails there. So far this month, Denver Colorado has averaged 6 C above their January normal and there is no snow except quite high up in the Rockies there. Much colder weather is flowing through the Great Lakes region towards the northeastern states which have had a week of rather mild temperatures too. Snow will be sparse except for lake effect.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 17 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Partly cloudy to overcast most days with showers or towards mid-week longer intervals of rain, temperatures staying in the recent near-normal range.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast, longer sunny intervals may be found in parts of west Munster. Showers will be more frequent in Leinster and Ulster, but not entirely absent elsewhere. Light southeast winds or variable further west, highs 6 to 9 C.

    TONIGHT variable cloud, showers dying off gradually, patchy frost may develop inland, lows -2 to +3 C.

    SUNDAY increasing cloud with isolated showers at first, longer outbreaks of rain over southwest towards late afternoon and evening, highs 5 to 8 C.

    MONDAY to WEDNESDAY expect fairly frequent outbreaks of rain especially over the south and west, from a series of weak disturbances, trending stronger by mid-week. Thus winds will increase although staying mostly from a similar (southeasterly) direction. Highs all three days will be close to 8 C and overnight lows 2 to 5 C. It looks as though Wednesday could see some rather strong wind gusts around south and east coast counties as an Atlantic storm curves northward some distance inland along the western coastal counties.

    By later in the week there may not be a lot of change with the overall pattern static for a few more days, but eventually there is a signal for a colder dry spell with east winds and temperatures a few degrees lower with frosts returning.

    My local weather on Friday was also unchanged with a cold frosty start under clear skies with fog locally, then hazy sunshine and mild with highs to about 5 C. The sun angle is so low that these mild temperatures are unable to melt the ice that has accumulated during recent freeze-thaw cycles.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 18 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Frequent rain spreading from southwest starting later today, and persisting most of the week, with winds mostly from a southeasterly direction, and temperatures not far from average.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly cloudy to sunny in most places with just a few isolated showers at first. Rain will spread into the southwest by late afternoon or evening. Highs 6 to 9 C.

    TONIGHT overcast with rain, moderate southeast winds, lows near 5 C.

    MONDAY rain tapering off to showers, highs 6 to 9 C.

    TUESDAY intervals of rain, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 6 to 9 C.

    WEDNESDAY increasing cloud with rain overnight into Thursday morning. Temperatures steady near 7 C.

    THURSDAY and FRIDAY rather windy at times, outbreaks of rain could turn rather heavy in places. Temperatures will continue to range between 5 and 10 C.

    By the following weekend, fewer showers and a gradual clearing trend as easterly winds develop, temperatures in a range of 4 to 8 C.

    The week of 26 to 30 January may be dominated by a dry and rather cold easterly flow so there could be more sunshine too, along with moderate east winds, but cloud from Irish and North Seas will be part of the picture too.

    My local weather on Saturday was cloudy and quite cold, with no return of the mild sunshine of recent afternoons, and the fog somewhat elevated at hilltop elevations. It was around -3 C for the high. Very icy conditions in some areas. On the other hand, there is no snow or ice at all at lower elevations into the nearby Columbia valley.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 19 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … The coming week will see frequent rain and this will eventually become rather heavy with up to twice normal amounts. Temperatures will remain close to the recent range of 5 to 10 C. Eventually colder air will clash with these disturbances and some snow is possible especially in central and northern counties, in the second week of this outlook.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be cloudy with further outbreaks of rain becoming showery, moderate southeast winds and highs 6 to 9 C.

    TONIGHT variable cloud, a few showers, foggy in central and northern counties; lows 2 to 5 C.

    TUESDAY partly cloudy to overcast, rain at times, highs 5 to 8 C.

    WEDNESDAY to SATURDAY will remain similar with frequent outbreaks of rain, heavy at times in southern counties, highs 5 to 8 C, occasional strong southeast winds as lows circle around over the region.

    By SUNDAY and into the following week, easterly winds at times, turning somewhat colder especially over Ulster and parts of north Leinster, which may lead to snow rather than rain. Some intervals of dry weather also, as the east winds bring in cold continental-sourced air masses. At this time distance, the details are not really very reliable but it does look like an increasingly wintry theme over the second week of the outlook.

    My local weather on Sunday was overcast, foggy and cold with temperatures near -4 C. Some snow fell in parts of the eastern U.S. ahead of an outbreak of bitterly cold air now moving through the Great Lakes region and about to reach the coast later today.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 20 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Frequent rain to the weekend, temperatures near average. Turning colder during the following week with a risk of some snow at times.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY a band of moderate to heavy rain will continue to move northeast across the midlands and Leinster into Ulster by afternoon. Some brighter intervals will follow the rain. Moderate southeast winds 40 to 60 km/hr at times. Highs around 7 to 9 C.

    TONIGHT overcast, light rain or drizzle, fog. Lows 3 to 6 C.

    WEDNESDAY a few outbreaks of light rain, highs 7 to 9 C.

    THURSDAY and FRIDAY into SATURDAY, outbreaks of rain and occasional strong southeast winds, rain could be heavy at times in the south. Lows 3 to 6 C and highs 6 to 8 C.

    From SUNDAY on, a trend towards colder weather with further disturbances bringing sleet or snow at least over some eastern and northern counties. Highs may drop back to the 2 to 5 C range, and lows -4 to 0 C.

    My local weather on Monday was foggy and cold with highs around -2 C. The eastern and central regions of North America are steadily entering a very cold interval that may lead to heavy snowfalls on the east coast later this week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 21 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Frequent rain with somewhat more variable conditions by next week, turning a bit colder after another few days of near average temperatures.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY outbreaks of rain becoming heavier from the south into central counties before a general fragmenting of the rain into more isolated showers later on. Highs 6 to 8 C.

    TONIGHT cloudy with light rain at times, lows 3 to 6 C.

    THURSDAY variable cloud, showers, highs 5 to 8 C.

    FRIDAY into SATURDAY, intervals of heavier rain with strong east-southeast winds especially near south coast where these may gust 70 to 100 km/hr at times. Pulses of heavier rain will come and go, moving slowly further north until the entire system begins to weaken and drift north through central counties by late Saturday. Temperatures will be fairly steady in a range of 5 to 7 C.

    SUNDAY and MONDAY variable cloud, sleety showers as it turns somewhat colder in east winds, lows 1 to 3 C and highs 5 to 7 C.

    The rest of next week will probably see only minor changes with somewhat colder temperatures at times leading to a risk that sleet or even snow will be in the mix, but this may turn out to be only on higher terrain.

    My local weather on Tuesday was very similar to previous days, low cloud and fog, with temperatures just below the freezing point all day. The eastern U.S. will be preparing for the possibility of a heavy snowfall this coming weekend with heavy freezing rain possible in parts of North Carolina.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 22 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … continued rather wet and cool with a slight drop in temperatures starting early next week that may bring about a mixing of rain with sleet and wet snow at times.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will bring a few showers, more frequent in east and north, with brief brighter intervals mostly in south and west. Highs 5 to 8 C.

    TONIGHT some clear intervals north, cloudy with light rain at times south. Lows 1 to 4 C.

    FRIDAY rain will spread gradually across the south from a low off towards Biscay, and south coastal districts could see moderate east-southeast winds to 50-70 km/hr. Variable cloud and a few showers, less windy further north. Highs will be 6 to 9 C.

    SATURDAY the offshore low will weaken but will move inland across Munster and later Connacht, bringing frequent showers if nor a steady light rain; further east and north rain will be more showery. Moderate southeast winds will die out as the low weakens further. Lows 3 to 5 C and highs 6 to 8 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with showers more isolated than previous days. Lows 1 to 4 C and highs 6 to 9 C.

    MONDAY slightly colder with rain that could turn sleety on hills, with wet snow developing inland and on northern hills later in the day. Temperatures steady 3 to 6 C, perhaps falling off slowly later.

    TUESDAY rather cold with wintry showers, lows -2 to +3 C and highs 4 to 7 C.

    It appears that the weather regime for the week following this outlook will bring further intervals of chilly wet conditions and one or two colder days when winds turn more northerly at times. There will likely not be large variations from normal though.

    My local weather was overcast and foggy at times with a cold east wind as we are now in the outer fringes of a large arctic high dropping south over the prairies towards the Midwest U.S.; our high was around -4 C. Large portions of the central and eastern U.S. are bracing for a blast of very cold air followed by snow and some sleet or freezing rain from Friday to Monday. There may be travel delays at major U.S. airports over the weekend, on Sunday in particular.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 23 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Rather wet especially in the south, with frequent outbreaks of rain spreading north across the country. These could mix with sleet and snow as it turns a bit colder early next week, Tuesday looks to be the day most likely to see any wintry conditions. After that, a gradual reversal of trends back towards milder wet conditions. Some areas may begin to feel impacts of excessive ground moisture.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be quite breezy across the south and east as a low well to the south drifts closer, with its strong easterly circulation and occasional rain reaching the south coast by afternoon and evening, winds will increase to easterly 60 to 90 km/hr in some exposed locations. Not nearly as windy further north and in central inland counties, where skies will be more variable, and rain more showery. Highs 6 to 8 C.

    TONIGHT continued windy with rain in the south, 20-40 mm totals by Saturday morning in parts of west Munster could cause local flooding. Variable cloud with showers and more moderate easterly breezes further north, lows in general 3 to 6 C.

    SATURDAY as the low begins to push inland and weaken, rain will become more showery across the south, and winds will ease to 30-50 km/hr. Highs 6 to 9 C.

    SUNDAY variable cloud, a few showers, lows 1 to 4 C and highs 5 to 8 C.

    MONDAY rather chilly with outbreaks of rain turning sleety later in the day on higher ground in the north. Lows 1 to 4 C and highs 4 to 7 C.

    TUESDAY variable cloud, wintry showers or wet snow possible on higher ground in Connacht and more widely in Ulster. Rain or hail showers more likely in Munster and Leinster. Lows -1 to +2 C and highs 3 to 5 C north, 5 to 8 C south.

    Following this, more unsettled weather with precipitation showery more than well-organized most days, temperatures may gradually turn milder and peak near 10-12 C at some point around the first few days of February.

    My local weather is still about the same, cloudy with a slight fog and low cloud ceiling, the odd snowflake but just enough to brush off the car, with a cold east wind and highs near -7 C. It will slowly warm up here as the very cold arctic high over the prairies drops southeast and allows a milder southwest wind to reach us. A major winter storm is brewing over the southern plains states today and will move towards the east coast to produce a snowstorm there by Saturday night into Sunday. Frigid temperatures are expanding from central Canada into the midwestern U.S. and will reach the northeast states on Saturday ahead of the snowstorm. Damaging freezing rain is predicted for parts of the inland southeastern U.S. (TN, NC, s VA at risk).



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 24 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Frequent rain especially over southern counties, sometimes quite windy, and chilly although temperatures will average close to normal for this time of year. By the way, today is the anniversary of storm Eowyn and today's low is currently quite intense too but it will weaken gradually over the next twelve hours so the results will be quite different.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be windy with rain, heavy at times, spreading through the central counties after dropping 15-25 mm over Munster and south Leinster. The low will weaken by its landfall this evening near Waterford. Gusts of 50 to 80 km/hr from the northeast will shift further north and west before ending by afternoon. Outside the areas of heavy rain and strong wind, variable cloud, showers and some moderate east winds, highs 6 to 8 C.

    TONIGHT mostly cloudy, a few more outbreaks of rain, lows 3 to 6 C.

    SUNDAY variable cloud, showers, highs 5 to 8 C.

    MONDAY overcast with rain, heavy at times, chilly, lows 3 to 5 C and highs 6 to 8 C.

    TUESDAY into WEDNESDAY could become very windy at times especially over the south and east, and temperatures may drop briefly to a level where rain could become sleety with wet snow on hills. Temperatures steady 4 to 6 C, lower on some northern hills if snow develops.

    Further unsettled wet weather will follow. There are rather vague signs of a more variable regime into early February where some drier days will be in the mix, but this has failed us several times over the past few weeks at this longer time range.

    My local weather turned sunny with cloudy intervals but it remained quite cold with highs near -8 C. A severe winter storm is now forming over the south central U.S. and heading for states further east where a bitterly cold air mass is already in place. Temperatures at Chicago on Friday never rose above -20 C and it was even colder further north. Snowfalls of 15 to 40 cm are predicted for large portions of the Midwest, Ohio valley, and inland northeastern U.S., with sleet and freezing rain in parts of the mid-Atlantic and inland southeastern states.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 25 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Frequent rain although today may bring some dry intervals. It will become a little colder by Tuesday and some higher northern regions could see wintry mixtures as the rain continues elsewhere. A somewhat less unsettled regime is spreading west towards Britain and there could be a few dry days in the mix by the first week of February although overall the Atlantic energy remains quite high. Luckily the developing U.S. storm will head towards Portugal so the stormiest weather this week will be to the south.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY cloudy with a few breaks. The dying storm that passed through Leinster overnight is now in Connacht with further outbreaks of rain likely to persist to mid-day there. Highs 6 to 9 C.

    TONIGHT mostly cloudy, occasional rain, lows 1 to 4 C.

    MONDAY a cold rain will spread in and turn rather heavy at times, possibly mixing with snow on some hilly terrain. Highs 5 to 7 C.

    TUESDAY rain continuing through the morning in the east, with some dry and brighter intervals further west. As the rain spreads into Ulster, some areas of Connacht and west Ulster could see snow or sleet. Lows -1 to +3 C, highs 3 to 7 C.

    WEDNESDAY to SATURDAY further outbreaks of rain as temperatures slowly return to higher values around 7 to 9 C.

    The following week could see more mixed and variable conditions in a similar temperature range.

    My local weather was ideal for the annual winter festival in our town, sunny with highs near -4 C. A major snow and ice storm has developed as expected, and is moving from the central U.S. into the eastern regions. Parts of southern Ontario will also see heavy snow, but the heaviest snowfalls expected are around the Ohio valley, Pennsylvania, New York state and New England (25-50 cm amounts in general there). This low will be swept across the Atlantic fairly quickly, but its remnants will strike Portugal rather than Ireland or Britain, around Tuesday. Very strong westerly winds and locally heavy rains will occur there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 26 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Frequent rain, occasional strong winds, and temperatures near average for late January.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY a band of rain will slowly move across the country from west to east, with temperatures near 5 or 6 C. About 10 to 15 mm of rain is likely. Some brief clearing could take place once the rain has passed through southwestern counties, this could allow temperatures to reach 8 C. Foggy on higher terrain.

    TONIGHT cloudy, rain at times, lows 1 to 4 C

    TUESDAY windy with rain, mixed with sleet or wet snow on some northern hills. Highs 5 to 8 C for most. Winds southeast 50 to 70 km/hr.

    WEDNESDAY variable cloud, showers, lows 2 to 5 C, highs 7 to 10 C.

    THURSDAY to SUNDAY now looking like a steady-state repeating cycle of daily outbreaks of rain with brief clearances, and temperatures near 4 C overnight, near 9 C in daytime hours.

    A slightly colder and drier theme may develop eventually but there may be some back and forth between that tendency and the current regime.

    My local weather on Sunday was overcast with a few snowflakes in the air, and highs near -5 C. Heavy snow and sleet has moved through the eastern regions. Toronto had more snow than on any other January day in its long climate record (starting 1840). Nearly 50 cm fell across the city. It may be close to the all-time record for any month which is near that value in December 1944 as well as March 1870. Many U.S. locations had 30-50 cm snowfalls in some cases followed by hours of sleet. Freezing rain was a big problem in a few areas further south. This storm will try to catch up to the low due to hit Ireland on Tuesday. It will get entangled in that low's cold front but will eventually slide across Portugal and Spain on Tuesday night bringing very strong winds and heavy rainfalls there. The storm had the name "Winter Storm Fern" in America (these names are given out by the Weather Channel and are not very widely used by other agencies). I have not heard if Portugal's met service are proposing a name for it and they are likely unaware of the name Fern. The storm will also impact the Azores around Tuesday morning to mid-day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 27 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Wet and sometimes quite windy, temperatures near average. I am looking into how much it would cost to get this pattern to go away, for your sake, and for mine.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY storm "Chandra" is making the grand tour of the east coast on its way to north central Ulster, very strong east winds will blow most of the day across Ulster and north Leinster as a result, and winds further south will begin to edge around to northerly later as it goes by, then westerly by late in the day. Waves of heavy rain will move along with it, turning to sleet on higher hills in west Ulster and north Connacht. Snow may hit summits there. Rather chilly in the north especially, highs 3 to 6 C there, 7 to 9 C for most other regions. About 15-30 mm of rain for many, locally up to 45 mm inland north.

    TONIGHT breezy and damp with drizzle at times, lows 2 to 6 C.

    WEDNESDAY variable cloud, showers, another burst of strong winds later in the day, highs 6 to 9 C.

    THURSDAY and FRIDAY will continue windy and wet with frequent showers to intervals of steady rain. Winds will be quite strong from the south especially towards Friday morning. Temperatures will be steady in the 6 to 8 C range.

    WEEKEND OUTLOOK not much different with several more systems lined up to have a go at Ireland (what did you do to deserve this? I don't know …) with more rain and showers and temperatures still in that same range 6 to 8 C.

    All through next week, it's a case of very little change but incrementally colder air is trying to find ways of extending its realm from Scandinavia west to Iceland and south into the central Atlantic. This means the circulating moist air will be getting more unstable and slightly colder so that hail showers may become more frequent in the mix. Eventually it appears that the colder air will have even more domain conquered and that may allow it to start to modify these frequent disturbances towards more wintry outcomes.

    My local weather on Monday was mostly cloudy but it was a fairly high and thin overcast at times so you could see the Sun (dimly visible as they say) although it cast no shadows. Highs near -2 C so feeling a bit milder, helped by light winds. The eastern states and southern Ontario are digging out of winter storm Fern and its 40-60 cm amounts of snow and sleet. That low as described yesterday is trying to catch up to Chandra's circulation but will fall short and then hurtle into Portugal by about midnight to 0600h Wednesday bringing some very strong westerly winds and over higher terrain in northwest Spain heavy rains. The eastern U.S. could be hit by another big snowstorm next Sunday or Monday, but some guidance has that a bit too far from the coast to produce much snow on land. That low would be somewhere near Iceland by about the 4th of February, helping to energize the jet stream across the Atlantic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 28 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRRENDS … Frequent rain, but a few breaks in the cloud at times. Temperatures rising slightly but staying within 1 to 2 deg of average.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly cloudy for a good part of the day as rain slowly gathers over the southwest, moving into other parts of the country through the afternoon and evening. Highs 7 to 9 C.

    TONIGHT rain rather persistent and heavy at times, lows 4 to 7 C.

    THURSDAY frequent showers, lows 4 to 6 C and highs 7 to 9 C..

    FRIDAY rain at times, lows 4 to 6 C and highs 7 to 9 C.

    SATURDAY another break from rain for some areas lasting a good part of the day before a later spread of heavy rain lasting into the night. Lows 2 to 5 C and highs 7 to 10 C.

    SUNDAY variable cloud and showers, lows 3 to 6 C and highs 7 to 10 C.

    Overall, little change through next week.

    My local weather on Tuesday was overcast with highs near -2 C. There were odd cloud formations of a mainly altostratus variety showing a tendency to organize like wave clouds. The sun could be seen at times in weaker portions of these formations. It is now looking like another snowstorm for the east coast of the U.S. this weekend with that low being not far from Ireland by 4th of February in a weakened state — it will be very strong when it passes North Carolina however. Very cold air already in place over the northern half of the eastern-central U.S. will surge around behind this storm and cover the eastern Gulf and Florida with near-record cold by Sunday. Believe it or not there could be snow flurries as far south as Orlando FL and frosts to Miami.

    Post edited by M.T. Cranium on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 29 January, 2026 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Frequent rain, temperatures a little above average.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will bring some dry intervals at first in east and north ahead of a slowly spreading area of light rainfall across parts of Munster. This rain will fragment to showers as it moves further north. Highs 7 to 9 C.

    TONIGHT overcast, occasional showers, lows 3 to 6 C.

    FRIDAY cloudy, outbreaks of rain continuing, widespread minor flooding will be an issue (check with relevant authorities for details). Highs 6 to 9 C.

    WEEKEND will not be as unsettled with longer dry spells and perhaps some sunshine at times, showers more isolated and brief. Highs both days 7 to 10 C. Mild nights but a wide range of temperatures possible if skies clear.

    MONDAY will then turn quite windy and wet with highs near 9 C.

    NEXT WEEK some days will be partly cloudy to overcast with just showers, but Thursday 5th looks wetter again.

    My local weather on Wednesday started out with a light snowfall that was barely 1.5 cm deep. This was followed by rather mild temperatures and very low cloud ceilings with gleams of sunshine on nearby hills, never reaching my location directly. Highs near 2 C. The weekend east coast storm looks like it might only hit a few outer coastal areas, notably s.e. Virginia and n.e North Carolina, and possibly Cape Cod. It will then go past Nova Scotia and Newfoundland with moderate impacts there, and will be sucked into the endless gyre of low pressure areas over the eastern Atlantic, losing its identity there by Wednesday, some remnants of it would be part of the rain around a week from today.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 30 January, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Round and round and round it goes, when it ends, nobody knows. Well, there's a faint chance of a colder and drier trend developing about ten days from now. This coming weekend will not be as wet as the previous week either. Rain does return for Monday, and again Thursday after some showers in between.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY variable cloud and scattered showers, moderate southeast winds, highs 7 to 10 C.

    TONIGHT rain may spread inland from the east coast as a weak low drifts north towards Ulster by morning. Further west, foggy with drizzle or showers. Lows 3 to 6 C but could be closer to freezing anywhere that clears briefly.

    SATURDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers, except for parts of the northeast with more frequent showers for the morning at least. Highs 7 to 10 C.

    SUNDAY mostly cloudy, some brighter intervals, scattered light showers, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 7 to 10 C.

    MONDAY rain spreading in from the south around mid-day, 10-20 mm likely. Lows 1 to 4 C and highs 6 to 9 C.

    TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY partly cloudy to overcast, showers, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 7 to 10 C.

    THURSDAY back to intervals of rain, temperatures steady 6 to 9 C.

    An unsettled regime will continue for a few more days but there is a faint signal for drier, colder weather to arrive from the northeast before mid-February.

    My local weather started out with a 3-cm snowfall that turned to drizzle later, with temperatures near 1 C. We witnessed a totally unexpected mass gathering of robins in our vicinity with three hundred or so in various trees outside, the attraction was a mountain ash tree loaded with berries. Why this happened then and not some other day must have something to do with the berries fermenting. By early afternoon they were all gone to some new adventure. We are used to seeing a couple of them at a time but have never seen anything like this gathering. Meanwhile, the southeast U.S. is getting ready for a very cold outbreak with some snow at first; frosts could reach even southern Florida by Sunday morning. The resulting snowstorm appears most likely to miss the rest of the east coast although it may give a glancing blow to Cape Cod on its way to dropping 30-40 cm on Monday in Nova Scotia and Newfoundland. You'll be seeing remnants of this low around next Thursday there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 31 January, 2026 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Rain will tend to become a little less frequent with some drier days in the mix, widespread rain around every third or fourth day, and showers on some other days. Temperatures will be a little above average.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY showers will be heaviest towards the north, and there will be more frequent sunny intervals in the south and later central counties. Highs 7 to 10 C.

    TONIGHT variable cloud, lows 2 to 5 C, isolated showers.

    SUNDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers, highs 7 to 10 C.

    MONDAY increasing cloud from the south followed by rain and moderate east winds, lows 1 to 4 C, highs 7 to 9 C.

    TUESDAY a few more showers but partial clearing later in the day, lows 3 to 5 C and highs 7 to 9 C.

    WEDNESDAY partly cloudy to overcast, a few showers, lows near 3 C and highs near 8 C.

    THURSDAY rain at times, highs near 10 C.

    This cycle will continue with the next day of more concentrated rainfall looking to be around Sunday 8th-Monday 9th.

    My local weather on Friday was foggy with a cold rain most of the morning, turning partly to mostly cloudy but dry by afternoon, highs 2-3 C. It is quite a slushy mess outside now. The southeastern U.S. states are preparing for an unusual winter storm with very cold air pushing well south into Florida where a few places could see light snowfalls too in strong northerly winds. This storm will then bypass the rest of the U.S. east coast and hit Nova Scotia with 20 to 40 cm of snow on Monday, Newfoundland will see 10 to 20 cm.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 1 February, 2026 ___ Forecasts of Ireland

    TRENDS … Rain will become less frequent and most of the remaining unsettled intervals will be confined to the south. After mid-week temperatures will begin to fall gradually and some easterly flow may contain a few wintry showers.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY the overnight outbreaks of rain will gradually diminish and begin to drift further east, to be followed by partly cloudy skies, highs 7 to 9 C.

    TONIGHT clear intervals, cold, local frosts. Lows -2 to +3 C.

    MONDAY sunny with cloudy intervals across parts of the north and central counties. Becoming cloudy in the south before rain reaches the south coast by afternoon into evening. Highs 5 to 8 C.

    TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY partly cloudy with showers, lows 2 to 5 C and highs 6 to 8 C.

    THURSDAY rain will slowly advance north but parts of Ulster may remain dry. Lows 2 to 5 C, highs 6 to 9 C.

    The interval from FRIDAY to MONDAY (9th) will be showery with the skies partly to mostly cloudy, highs will slowly drop back towards 4 to 7 C, and nights will be slightly frosty by the weekend also.

    The following week will see a colder easterly flow developing, dry for the most part other than some wintry showers generated by the passage of the Irish Sea by the chilly air mass. Highs 4 to 7 C with lows -3 to +2 C. By about Thursday (12th) an Atlantic frontal system will try to push into this cold air mass and the result may be wet snow or sleet turning to rain near the milder south coast.

    My local weather on Saturday was overcast with a cloud ceiling near or just below our elevation so when we drove down to the nearby valley that layer was just above the valley floor. Another cloud deck was a little above our home location. Rain spread in by afternoon and the high ranged from 3 C on higher ground to 5 C in valleys.

    North Carolina saw widespread snowfalls of 10-20 cm and locally heavier totals up to 40 cm near Charlotte. This snow is beginning to pull away now and will reappear on land in eastern Canada on Monday. Very cold air has spread across Florida, the current early morning temperature in Orlando is -2 C, with north Florida close to -5 C.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,547 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 2 February, 2026 __ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS … Rain less frequent and more confined to southern counties. An easterly wind flow will prevail and it will be a little colder at times, but limited wintry potential, before a more settled and possibly frosty regime mid-month.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be quite windy (easterly 50 to 80 km/hr) across the south and moderate east winds will appear later in central counties especially near the east coast and Galway Bay. Rain will move slowly further inland from the southwest coast but many places further north may remain dry. Cloud will increase there however. Highs 5 to 8 C. Feeling cold in the wind, closer to freezing in terms of apparent temperatures.

    TONIGHT rain will continue to push slowly further north, but amounts will be generally rather slight. The moderate east winds will continue to spread north too. Lows 3 to 5 C.

    TUESDAY variable cloud, a few more showers. Highs 5 to 8 C.

    WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY little change, mostly cloudy with a few sunny breaks, passing showers in an easterly breeze of 40 to 60 km/hr at times. Lows 1 to 3 C and highs 5 to 8 C.

    WEEKEND into following week more settled intervals, could turn quite cold briefly in northerly winds. Temperatures slowly falling through this interval before recovering to present levels.

    My local weather on Sunday was overcast with some rain at times, highs near 3 C. It continues to be quite icy in places and the sparse snow cover is now largely frozen too. There is no snow on the ground below 700 meters elevation (the valley near the Columbia River drops to 450 meters above sea level). North Carolina was recovering from the heavy snowfall which is reported to be settling and evaporating (sublimating) rather than melting. Florida had near record lows Sunday morning but many places had a colder reading on 1st Feb 1977. It was so cold that the women's golf tournament near Orlando could not be resumed and had to be called early. In contrast, the men's tour was playing in perfect spring weather at San Diego, sunny and 24 C.

    Today is Groundhog Day in North America and the main attraction is Punxsatawney Phil (in central PA) who will emerge soon to foretell the weather trend over coming six weeks. Since it's likely to be partly cloudy, organizers will be able to show off Phil's forecasting acumen at a time of their choosing and by the looks of the charts, they may want to pick a sunny spell (six more weeks of winter). Not surprisingly, scientific studies of such matters reveals almost a negative correlation over the years, in other words, Phil and some of his colleagues have been wrong more often than not, but the problem with this sort of investigation is to balance what constitutes six more weeks of winter in a given location. It is actually quite normal for there to be freezing temperatures and snow in eastern North America well into April and more years have the "winter" outcome than would verify at random in a partly cloudy climate (average sunshine per day at that location is a little better than in Ireland but not by much, around 3-4 hours out of 9 to 10 possible). There are quite a few minor rivals around the continent and some are not groundhogs but other burrowing animals. I believe the tradition derives from medieval Europe when it was the badger which was used in the same way. In a very cloudy climate it makes sense that sunshine in early February would tend to be associated with blocking high pressure and cold weather. This is somewhat less true of North American climate where sunny and cloudy days can occur rather at random in various spells of weather, as may also be the case in Ireland.

    So in other words the groundhogs and badgers, etc, are no better or worse than their human counterparts and in any case their efforts can be somewhat manipulated by humans with their own idea of what might verify.



This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement
Advertisement