Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 5 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … After a dry day today, expect frequent rainfall and occasional strong winds for about a week. Some signs of improving weather conditions mid-month.

FORECASTS

TODAY will bring some sunny intervals with a general increase in cloud cover later in the day. Highs 16 to 20 C.

TONIGHT variable cloud, staying dry in most areas, some rain developing in the southwest, lows 11 to 14 C.

SATURDAY cloudy and rather breezy with occasional rain, heavier and more persistent in western counties. Highs 16 to 18 C.

SUNDAY outbreaks of heavy rain, winds increasing to southerly 40-70 km/hr, veering westerly on Atlantic coasts by evening. Lows 11 to 14 C and highs 15 to 18 C. Very windy at times on Sunday night along the west coast, peaking over Connacht around midnight at southwest 70-110 km/hr.

MONDAY very windy at times, squally showers and isolated thunderstorms, then variable cloud and moderate southwest winds by afternoon, further showers. Lows near 12 C and highs near 16 C.

TUESDAY rain may be heavy at times across the south, and will be persistent in most areas, lows near 11 C and highs near 15 C.

WEDNESDAY variable cloud, showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

It will remain quite unsettled into the following weekend; there are some signs of an improving trend in the following week (after Sunday 14th), with somewhat warmer temperatures and longer dry intervals.

My local weather stayed very warm but a rather thick layer of smoke haze kept temperatures down a bit so the high was closer to 30 C. It is oppressively smoky outside now (late evening).

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 6 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Frequent rain over the coming week, temperatures near or a little below average. Slight improvements likely in the following week.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be mostly cloudy with some intervals of light rain, turning heavier in the south and west by later in the day, highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT quite windy and mild with rain, isolated thunderstorms, winds south to southwest 50 to 70 km/hr. Lows 12 to 14 C.

SUNDAY breezy, rain tapering to showers, winds southwest 50 to 80 km/hr.

MONDAY breezy, showers, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY rain becoming heavier across the south again, intermittent light rain further north, lows near 12 C and highs 15 to 17 C.

WEDNESDAY variable cloud, some light rain or drizzle, mist or fog over some higher terrain, lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.

THURSDAY to SATURDAY will be windy and unsettled with frequent showers and temperatures generally in the mid-teens.

The week starting SUNDAY 14th looks a bit less unsettled and temperatures could occasionally be a little higher too, into the 18-20 C range.

My local weather on Friday was sunny, hazy and hot; the forest fire smoke was still in the mix but less intense than the previous day. This allowed the high to reach 32 C.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 7 September, 2025 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Unsettled this week, with rather frequent but generally light rainfalls adding up to near normal amounts for a week. Temperatures a little below average especially daytime.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with afternoon sunny breaks developing, although it may remain cloudy all day in Leinster. Some outbreaks of moderate rain this morning mostly confined to Leinster. Scattered showers will follow from the Atlantic, in moderate to strong southwest winds 40 to 70 km/hr. It will be less windy near the east coast until quite late in the day. Highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, moderate westerly winds, lows of 8 to 10 C.

MONDAY variable cloud, showers but more organized rain by late afternoon and evening, breezy with highs 15 to 18 C.

TUESDAY further outbreaks of rain, lows near 9 C and highs 14 to 17 C.

WEDNESDAY variable cloud, breezy with showers, lows near 9 C and highs 15 to 19 C.

THURSDAY cloudy, occasional rain, cool, westerly winds 40 to 70 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY windy with some sunny intervals in south, rain spreading across northern counties, winds southwest 70-100 km/hr in exposed locations. Lows near 8 C and highs near 19 C.

SATURDAY windy with showers and risk of thunderstorms, lows near 14 C and highs near 18 C. Winds westerly 70-100 km/hr in exposed locations.

SUNDAY clearing with strong west to northwest winds diminishing. Lows near 12 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

After a few more settled days another interval of unsettled and sometimes quite windy weather will follow.

My local weather on Saturday was hazy with the smoke back to a more oppressive level, highs around 27 C. The Atlantic hurricane season remains rather quiet, a system being watched in the tropical region west of Africa has lost potential to develop and currently no potential storms are being shown on most guidance. There is a cat-4 hurricane (Kiko) southeast of Hawaii but this is expected to weaken before it gets closer to the islands.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 8 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … The rest of this week will be rather unsettled but temperatures will slowly be recovering to higher values. Any real improvement would be fairly brief, around Wednesday of next week (17th), and there's a high probability of another unsettled week following closely behind.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers, winds moderate westerly 40-60 km/hr. Highs will reach 15 to 17 C.

TONIGHT intervals of rain, heavier in the south, and winds turning to the southeast then south at variable speeds, lows 8 to 10 C.

TUESDAY rain continuing, some fog and drizzle also, rather cool, highs 16 to 18 C.

WEDNESDAY windy with outbreaks of light rain, lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C. Winds southwest 40 to 70 km/hr.

THURSDAY breezy and cool, intermittent light rain, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY windy with intervals of rain, strong southwest winds, lows near 11 C and highs near 17 C.

WEEKEND will continue unsettled with some rather stormy conditions near Atlantic coasts, generally windy with showers and temperatures around 15 to 18 C.

The five-day work week following (15th to 19th) could briefly improve to partly cloudy and generally dry conditions, but there's nothing showing up to resemble a late summer spell, and unless that comes in October, it looks like a disturbed autumnal regime will remain in control (although there would be some brief respite from time to time).

My local weather on Sunday was hazy (some intervals of very poor air quality, other times not quite as bad) and hot with highs near 31 C; a thunderstorm developed by evening and was quite active to our north but we only got the outer edges of it (lightning was striking various hills outside the town). This activity dissipated after sunset. By the way, full moon has just happened and anyone with breaks in the overcast tonight would see the moon rising up considerably higher in the southeast to southern skies than its very low aspect in midsummer zenith transits. (I can see a very orange full moon out my window now)

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 9 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Generally unsettled with occasional strong winds, temperatures near average. It will be rather wet especially over west-central counties.

FORECASTS

TODAY outbreaks of rain will continue for most of the morning, with a slow partial clearance following on as winds veer from southerly to westerly around mid-day. Scattered showers will develop in that flow this afternoon. Highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT cloudy with fog and mist, occasional rain. Lows near 9 C.

WEDNESDAY breezy to windy with passing showers or longer intervals of light rain, winds west-southwesterly 50 to 70 km/hr, highs 16 to 19 C.

THURSDAY breezy to windy with occasional rain, winds westerly 60 to 80 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

FRIDAY windy and cool with rain, heavy at times, winds westerly 60 to 90 km/hr, lows near 7 C and highs 13 to 16 C.

SATURDAY partly cloudy, passing showers, lows near 7 C and highs 14 to 17 C.

SUNDAY windy with showers, some with hail and thunder, winds westerly 70 to 110 km/hr, strong and possibly damaging gusts could develop in coastal Connacht and west Ulster. Lows near 10 C and highs near 15 C.

MONDAY breezy and cool with passing showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 14 C.

The guidance for the following week is no real improvement and it seems that autumn has set in without the usual September warm spell and summer replay. Perhaps that means a settled spell will develop very late in the month or in early October.

My local weather continued rather hazy and quite warm with scattered showers and thunderstorms; highs were around 27 C.

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 10 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Generally unsettled, but heavier rainfalls in west and north. Temperatures close to normal for mid-September. Very windy at times this weekend.

FORECASTS

TODAY will become quite breezy to windy by afternoon, with passing showers. As temperatures cool aloft, showers will become more blustery with a tendency to hail and thunder especially in Connacht and west Ulster. Winds westerly 40 to 70 km/hr, highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT breezy and cool with showers, moderate westerly winds, lows near 8 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY will both be windy and cool with passing showers, lows near 8 C and highs 13 to 16 C. Winds westerly 50 to 80 km/hr in exposed locations.

SATURDAY somewhat less blustery and slightly milder with winds southwest 40 to 60 km/hr, a few brief intervals of rain and some sunshine at times also. Lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

SUNDAY could turn out quite stormy as deep low pressure passes to the north, with a strong gradient developing that could produce westerly gales of 70 to 110 km/hr. Squally showers, and rather cool, lows near 10 C and highs 14 to 16 C.

MONDAY still rather windy with passing showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 15 C.

Slightly less unsettled mid-week next week, then back to another series of passing lows, one or two looking rather strong at this uncertain time range.

My local weather was sunny with cloudy intervals and very warm, a bit less smoky but still hazy and near 29 C.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 11 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Unsettled, sometimes quite windy, temperatures may begin to rise slowly next week.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be breezy and cool with passing showers, some heavy with hail and thunder, winds westerly 40 to 70 km/hr, highs 13 to 16 C.

TONIGHT will be breezy with showers, lows 7 to 9 C.

FRIDAY continuing breezy to windy with showers and a few brighter intervals, winds westerly 50 to 80 km/hr, highs 12 to 15 C.

SATURDAY intervals of cloud and sun, less windy and fewer showers although some will continue mainly over northern counties. Lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

SUNDAY windy with showers, winds westerly 60 to 90 km/hr, possibly stronger near northwest coasts. Lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

MONDAY windy with showers, winds west-northwest 50 to 80 km/hr, lows near 7 C and highs around 14 C.

TUESDAY a few sunny breaks then increasing cloud, wind and rain returning, highs near 16 C.

Later in the week there may be longer settled spells and somewhat higher temperatures (18 to 20 C appears possible).

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny with cloudy intervals. A number of thunderstorms built up to our east, north, and west by afternoon with quite impressive cloudscapes, but no audible thunder and no rain. It was quite warm again with a high near 26 C.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 12 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Generally unsettled, sometimes quite windy, temperatures near to slightly below average.

FORECASTS

TODAY continuing breezy to windy with showers and a few brighter intervals, winds westerly 50 to 80 km/hr, highs 12 to 15 C.

TONIGHT partly cloudy, a few passing showers, cool and breezy, lows near 7 C.

SATURDAY intervals of cloud and sun, less windy and fewer showers although some will continue mainly over northern counties with highs 16 to 18 C. Rain overnight into Sunday morning with strong southeast to south winds, veering westerly by morning, 50 to 80 km/hr.

SUNDAY windy with showers, winds westerly 60 to 90 km/hr, possibly stronger near northwest coasts. Lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

MONDAY windy with showers, winds west-northwest 50 to 80 km/hr, lows near 7 C and highs around 14 C.

TUESDAY a few sunny breaks then increasing cloud, wind and rain returning, highs near 16 C.

WEDNESDAY variable cloud, showers, breezy. Lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

It may become slightly warmer at times later in the week but it will remain generally unsettled with occasionally strong south to southwest winds.

My local weather on Thursday was sunny, hazy and warm with highs near 25 C.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 13 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Very unsettled with frequent windy frontal passages in coming days, temperatures generally close to average.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out with a few blustery showers and isolated thunderstorms racing east, most of this activity should be done by mid-day leading to a brief interval of more tranquil weather ahead of tomorrow's windy episode. Highs 16 to 19 C. Winds briefly quite strong this morning, westerly 60 to 90 km/hr. There is a risk of wind damage with any well-developed cells especially around north Leinster and east Ulster. Winds will decrease to southwest 40 to 60 km/hr with sunny spells this afternoon.

TONIGHT will become very windy with squally showers developing. Winds southeast to south 60 to 90 km/hr. Lows near 11 C.

SUNDAY windy with squally showers, partly cloudy to overcast skies becoming more sunny later in the afternoon. Winds westerly 70 to 110 km/hr, possibly higher gusts near Atlantic coasts. Highs 16 to 19 C.

MONDAY windy and cool with outbreaks of rain, winds west-northwest 60 to 90 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs near 14 C.

TUESDAY rapidly clouding over after some clear spells overnight, rain and strong southwest winds possibly 70-110 km/hr, as a new storm develops and moves rapidly through northern counties. Lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

WEDNESDAY still quite windy with showers, winds westerly 50 to 80 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs 14 to 16 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY could see a brief interval of more settled weather although with risk of some rain at times in some coastal areas both south and north, highs will be near 18 C.

More unsettled weather lies beyond, but with a chance for rising temperatures later in the month.

My local weather was sunny and warm with highs near 25 C. It was quite hazy again with a faint odour of smoke although at this time of year we get a lot of misty days anyway.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 14 September, 2025 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Very unsettled and frequently quite windy to mid-week, somewhat improved briefly around Thursday into early Friday, but more wind and rain could return after that.

FORECASTS

TODAY windy with heavy and potentially squally showers and some thunderstorms, partly cloudy to overcast skies becoming more sunny later in the afternoon. Winds southerly veering to westerly 70 to 110 km/hr, possibly higher gusts near Atlantic coasts. Highs 16 to 19 C.

TONIGHT and MONDAY windy and cool with outbreaks of rain, winds west-northwest 60 to 90 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs near 14 C.

TUESDAY rapidly clouding over after some clear spells overnight, rain and strong southwest winds possibly 70-110 km/hr, as a new storm develops and moves rapidly through northern counties. Lows near 10 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

WEDNESDAY still quite windy with showers but also some brighter intervals especially in Munster and Leinster, winds westerly 50 to 80 km/hr, lows near 8 C and highs 15 to 19 C.

THURSDAY not as windy, mixture of cloud and sunshine, some brief showers possible. Lows near 8 C and highs near 19 C.

FRIDAY increasing cloud, windy, rain by afternoon and evening. Lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C.

WEEKEND of 20th-21st variable cloud, breezy, showers, highs near 16 C.

The week following could be somewhat less disturbed as transitory high pressure tries to assert itself, but quite a mixture of weather conditions is likely.

My local weather on Saturday was hazy, with sun and some patchy high cloud, highs near 25 C.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 15 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Unsettled, windy at times, temperatures near average.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast and windy with frequent showers across the north, some quite heavy. Winds west-northwest 50 to 80 km/hr. Showers will become fairly isolated in the south by afternoon. Highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT variable cloud, isolated showers but rain may continue near north coast. Lows 7 to 10 C.

TUESDAY will bring increasing cloud followed by rain and stronger winds returning by evening. Highs 15 to 18 C.

WEDNESDAY windy at times with showers, more frequent near south coast and across parts of Ulster. Lows near 11 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

THURSDAY variable cloud, not as windy, occasional light rain. Lows near 10 C and highs 14 to 17 C.

FRIDAY sunny intervals, cloud increasing by afternoon, rain by evening. Lows near 7 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK is for rain and wind at times on Saturday, breezy with showers Sunday, temperatures in 15 to 18 C range.

The following week could turn rather chilly at times, then warming up towards end of the month, potentially very windy to stormy depending on evolution of strong Atlantic lows associated with potential hurricane moving through Azores region. Far too early to speculate on details, just looks like a volatile scenario for western Europe generally around two weeks from now.

My local weather was cloudy with afternoon light rainfalls of 1-3 mm, highs near 20 C. This is the first remotely chilly day we've seen in a while around here.

Historical note: in 1944, a strong hurricane (before the days of naming them) moved up the east coast of the U.S. after sinking an American military vessel with a loss of 300 lives near Bahamas; it moved just southeast of NYC and brought 240 mm of rain in a three-day interval (12-14 Sep) there. This storm is now referred to as the Great Atlantic Hurricane of 1944. Its remnants died out near Greenland on the 16th.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 16 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Frequent changes between rain and wind, and brief clear and sunny spells, temperatures generally near average.

FORECASTS

TODAY could see a few sunny breaks at first, except in Ulster where moderate rain is moving east. By early afternoon cloud will increase followed by rain spreading in from Munster. Winds will pick up rapidly later in the day. Highs 16 to 18 C.

TONIGHT rain heavy at times, winds southerly 50 to 80 km/hr, veering to southwest by morning. Lows 10 to 13 C.

WEDNESDAY will bring some partly cloudy intervals to most regions, more cloud in south coast counties with occasional rain. Moderate southwest to west winds. Highs 15 to 18 C.

THURSDAY variable cloud, some outbreaks of light rain. Lows near 9 C, highs near 17 C.

FRIDAY mixture of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers, lows near 6 C and highs near 17 C.

SATURDAY most regions will be cloudy, but north Connacht and west Ulster could see a few sunny intervals. Rain will be spreading north towards south Leinster during the afternoon, at this time range it's a bit uncertain as to how much of the country will eventually see rain from this system as it targets Wales and western England for Saturday night. Lows near 6 C and highs 14 to 16 C.

SUNDAY breezy and cool with passing showers in a northerly wind, lows near 8 C and highs 12 to 15 C.

Rather chilly for several days in first portion of the final week of the month, then warming slowly, perhaps a bit more settled too. Isolated frosts could develop in a few locations.

My local weather on Monday was cloudy with early morning rain, and a slow clearing trend by late afternoon, highs near 19 C. Starting to feel autumnal now. Northerly breezes have managed to clear out the smoke which is still being produced by wildfires south of the border, but that smoke is now heading towards Spokane WA and northern Idaho.

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 17 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Frequent outbreaks of rain, temperatures near average to late Friday, rather cool on the weekend, returning to near average next week with perhaps a slight warming trend and less unsettled then.

FORECASTS

TODAY will bring partly cloudy skies eventually with a few more outbreaks of rain possible, moderate southwest to west winds. Highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy, rain at times by morning. Lows 8 to 12 C.

THURSDAY variable cloud, outbreaks of light rain with a slow clearing trend by late afternoon. Highs 15 to 18 C.

FRIDAY variable cloud, showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

SATURDAY (some uncertainty as forecast dependent on exact track of northward moving low pressure) windy and cool with rain becoming heavy at times in Leinster and east Ulster where 30-50 mm could fall by late in the day, 10-30 mm in other regions. Winds northerly 30-50 km/hr. Temperatures steady 10 to 13 C.

SUNDAY rain continuing to mid-day in Leinster and east Ulster, variable cloud further west with intermittent showers, northerly winds 40 to 60 km/hr, cool, lows near 8 C and highs 13 to 16 C.

MONDAY partly cloudy, breezy, cool, isolated showers. Lows near 6 C and highs 13 to 16 C.

Later in the week it may turn a bit warmer at times as high pressure builds to the north and east inducing a southeasterly wind flow. The wild card is that a slowly decaying mid-Atlantic hurricane and other cyclonic activity could push into this flow and return wet weather, but details are nearly impossible to determine at this time range.

My local weather turned sunny by mid-morning and it then warmed up gradually to reach 25 C by afternoon.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 18 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... not as windy for a few days, intermittent rain will continue, becoming quite heavy in the east by Saturday. A dry and cool interval will follow, warming gradually to pleasant autumn conditions by later portion of the month, if high pressure can hold off distant Atlantic storms.

FORECASTS
TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals in the east at first. Rain may be rather heavy at times in west Munster with the possibility of thunder. This rain will tend to spread northeast over the day and reach Ulster by evening. A few parts of the east may not see very much rain however. Highs 17 to 20 C.
TONIGHT overcast with occasional light rain, lows 11 to 14 C.
FRIDAY variable cloud, some rain at times but also a few sunny breaks especially in Connacht and west Ulster. Highs 17 to 20 C.
SATURDAY heavy rain will spread into the eastern half of the country during the early morning hours and will persist most of the day with 20-40 mm possible. Further west, variable cloud, strong northerly winds developing, some passing showers. Lows 8 to 11 C and highs 11 to 14 C.
SUNDAY the rain should begin to taper off to drizzle and partial clearing will follow; winds will continue to be moderate to strong northerly with a few passing showers, lows near 8 C and highs 13 to 15 C.
MONDAY sunny with cloudy intervals, cool, northerly breezes dying out as a calm overnight interval brings a risk of frost to some inland counties by Tuesday morning. Monday's highs will be 12 to 15 C.
TUESDAY sunny after any early fog clears, isolated frost possible, lows -1 to +4 C. Highs near 16 C.
The regime following on will likely be settled with mild southeast winds, some cloud and some sun, but there appears to be some risk of Atlantic storms well out to the west of Ireland breaking into this block at some point. Details will not become too clear for several days yet.

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny and warm with highs near 24 C.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 19 September, 2025 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Occasional rain through Sunday, then cool and dry for several days.
Guidance for Saturday's frontal complex has changed with the result that some parts of Leinster may avoid rain for a good part of the day; hopefully this feature will not revert back to the more unsettled outlook previously.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with a few brighter spells in northern counties, occasional rain may be heavy at times in parts of the south and east. Highs 16 to 18 C.
TONIGHT rain will taper to drizzle near the southeast coast, and some clear spells may develop further north, with cloud and rain in the north and west at times. A northerly breeze will develop. Lows 8 to 12 C.
SATURDAY the new outlook calls for the rain to stay mainly offshore moving north towards Wales and northwest England. If this holds, some parts of the east and south coastal counties could see a few sunny breaks before cloud wraps around from the north by later afternoon. A front will develop across the north and west, where it will be cooler, with showers and risk of thunderstorms. Highs 13 to 16 C, warmest inland southeast.
SUNDAY variable cloud, moderate north winds 40 to 60 km/hr, passing showers and cool, lows near 8 C and highs 13 to 15 C.
MONDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers, northerly breezes dying out, cool. Lows near 6 C and highs 12 to 14 C.
TUESDAY risk of isolated frost in central counties, fog patches more widespread giving way to hazy sunshine. Lows -1 to +4 C and highs 11 to 15 C.
The most likely outcome later in the week is for a slow warming trend, fairly dry even if rather cloudy, in a southeast wind flow. Highs would be 17 to 19 C. If Atlantic disturbances including remnants of expected Hurricane Gabrielle (currently a developing tropical storm) break through this blocking high, wet weather could resume but this is not expected before about the first of October at this point.

My local weather on Thursday was sunny, hazy and very warm, with highs near 29 C.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 20 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Occasional rain over the weekend, a generally dry week ahead with rather cool temperatures at first, slowly warming towards the following weekend when rain may return.

FORECASTS

TODAY some light rain near the east coast will linger in a few parts of the coastal southeast, with some dry intervals for inland Leinster and the midlands to south coast. Another frontal band of rain is pushing into the north and west, and will spread over all regions this afternoon and evening, as northerly winds increase gradually to 30-50 km/hr (50-70 near Atlantic coasts). Highs 13 to 15 C.

TONIGHT rain will continue with moderate northerly winds, lows 8 to 11 C.

SUNDAY variable cloud, passing showers, cool northerly breezes. Highs 12 to 15 C.

MONDAY mixture of sun and cloud, cool, isolated showers mainly near northern hills. Lows near 6 C and highs near 14 C.

TUESDAY risk of frost, some patchy fog, then hazy sunshine. Lows -1 to +4 C, highs 12 to 16 C.

WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will turn a little milder in southeast winds, rather cloudy with some brighter spells in north, lows near 6 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

Rain could return around the weekend of 27-28 September, and a more unsettled regime will develop.

My local weather remained sunny and very warm with highs near 25 C. In the early dawn we had a great view of a very close conjunction of the crescent moon and Venus. Apparently if you were able to see the moon in north central Canada, Venus went behind it for a brief time but that wasn't visible here. New moon is on Sunday. October will open with a harvest full moon event this year.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 21 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Mostly dry this week apart from a few showers today, cool to mid-week, warming slowly mid-week, and some rain at times by weekend.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with a few passing showers in a moderate northerly breeze, quite cool with highs 13 to 16 C.

TONIGHT partly cloudy, breezy near coasts, lows 4 to 8 C.

MONDAY partly cloudy, isolated showers, highs 12 to 15 C.

TUESDAY isolated frosts, morning fog patches, followed by intervals of cloud and sun, lows -1 to +4 C and highs 12 to 16 C.

WEDNESDAY hazy sunshine with cloudy intervals in south and west, lows 3 to 7 C and highs 13 to 17 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY will continue partly cloudy with slowly rising temperatures, lows 4 to 8 C and highs 17 to 19 C. Some fog patches likely around sunrise.

SATURDAY cloudy with occasional rain, highs near 17 C.

A rather quiet pattern is indicated with some risk of Atlantic storms breaking through, but this is the less likely of two outcomes as the blocking high will become quite strong for about a week.

Gabrielle is about to become a hurricane southeast of Bermuda and will slowly approach the central Atlantic northwest of the Azores. Most guidance then weakens it gradually and it dies out well to the west of Ireland while another tropical system follows along a similar track.

My local weather on Saturday was hazy, and very warm with highs 28-30 C in the region.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 22 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Cool and dry for several days, milder towards end of the week. Uncertainty currently exists for eventual track of Atlantic hurricane Gabrielle, the remnants could be fairly close to the south or west coast by Friday but model forecasts continue to evolve, at the moment no threat of severe weather is considered very likely.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with greater amounts of cloud in northern counties by afternoon, chance of a brief shower near higher terrain there. Highs 12 to 16 C.

TONIGHT clear with a few clouds, frost will be observed in some rural low-lying areas, lows -2 to +3 C. Fog will also develop and could be rather dense near rivers and small lakes.

TUESDAY hazy sunshine with patchy higher cloud, cool, light winds, highs 12 to 16 C.

WEDNESDAY cloudy with some hazy sunshine at times, more frequent in east and north. Lows 2 to 7 C and highs 13 to 17 C.

THURSDAY partly to mostly cloudy, milder, lows 5 to 10 C and highs 15 to 19 C.

FRIDAY partly to mostly cloudy, lows 7 to 12 C and highs 16 to 20 C.

As stated, outlook is quite uncertain as guidance continues to adjust track of extratropical remnant low of Gabrielle, it may be around mid-week before we have very reliable track guidance. Beyond that event it appears likely to turn quite mild and eventually rather unsettled again.

My local weather changed considerably after a week of warm, dry weather; it was cloudy with showers and around 18 C, and then a near-severe thunderstorm developed with brief intervals of very strong wind and hail. We managed to get through that without losing electricity and then it turned quite foggy before clearing.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 23 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Cool and dry for a few more days, slowly warming up towards weekend when a small amount of rain is possible. Mild and generally dry next week also, as long as Gabrielle heads for a landfall in northwest Spain or southern France, and stays away from Ireland.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with patchy higher cloud, more cloudy at times near Atlantic coasts. Highs 14 to 17 C.
TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with fog patches developing, lows 3 to 7 C.
WEDNESDAY partly cloudy, some light rain at times near Atlantic coast, highs 14 to 18 C.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY partly cloudy, pleasant, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.
SATURDAY could bring some rain at times, highs near 16 C.
SUNDAY back to partly cloudy skies and highs near 17 C.

Gabrielle has unexpectedly developed into a major hurricane (cat-4) and threatens to move directly towards the Azores around late Wednesday or Thursday morning (still around cat-1 or 2). From there it's most likely to keep moving generally east and will only make a weak linkage to the frontal system approaching Ireland on Saturday, when its remnants could be near the northwest coast of Spain. Keeping a close eye on this, as any move towards Ireland could bring a significant change to this outlook.

My local weather on Monday was sunny with morning cloudy intervals, the cloud stayed in valleys most of the day as an elevated fog but drifted away from here at mid-day. Highs were around 17 C and it will be warming back into the 20s this week.

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 24 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Warming slowly, mainly dry apart from some rain on Saturday.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with some cloudy intervals in western counties where rain could brush outer coasts by late in the day. Highs 16 to 19 C.
TONIGHT partly cloudy with fog patches, lows 5 to 9 C.
THURSDAY sunny with cloudy intervals, highs 17 to 20 C.
FRIDAY increasing cloud, becoming breezy especially near south and west coasts (southeast to south 40-60 km/hr). Lows 6 to 10 C and highs 17 to 20 C.
SATURDAY overcast with occasional rain, lows near 10 C and highs 15 to 17 C.
SUNDAY variable cloud, isolated showers, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.
NEXT WEEK will be generally cloudy with occasional brighter intervals, and frequent light rain in northern counties in a moderate southwesterly flow, temperatures will be fairly mild for the transition to October, 16 to 19 C, and nights quite mild also.

Gabrielle weakened slightly on Tuesday and is still aiming at the Azores for a visit on Thursday, likely near lower end of cat-1 intensity by then. Latest guidance suggests a landfall on Saturday near Lisbon, Portugal, and just a weak linkage between those remnants and the front passing through Ireland which is currently entering the western Atlantic from Newfoundland. A second weaker tropical system is likely to follow a few days later and remnants of that one could be somewhere near Ireland by early October.

My local weather was sunny and a bit warmer again with highs near 21 C. It is also very warm this week in southeast Europe and the Ukraine-southern Russia region, highs have been close to 30 C or even a little above that in places. If you're following the Ryder Cup golf event near NYC, apparently the practice day on Thursday is likely to be rained out but the weather then looks fairly good for the three days scheduled (Friday to Sunday) with highs near 25 C.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 25 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Apart from some rain on Saturday, the general trend is mild and dry.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals more frequent in western counties, highs 16 to 20 C.

TONIGHT partly cloudy, fog patches, lows 6 to 10 C.

FRIDAY increasing cloud, moderate southerly winds developing, highs 16 to 20 C.

SATURDAY rain from early morning to mid-day, showers clearing east later. Lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.

SUNDAY variable cloud, highs near 18 C.

NEXT WEEK mild, breezy, some rain at times heavier in northern counties. Highs 17 to 19 C.

There is no change in the tropical outlook, Gabrielle will move through the Azores Thursday night into Friday morning and later its remnant low will reach central Portugal. Humberto is now a named storm and also threatens to become a hurricane, looking more like it will track further north and proceed towards Iceland eventually.

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny and quite warm at 24 C. Summer keeps on trying to continue here well after its usual expiry date.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 26 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Temperatures near average, rain expected for part of Saturday and again on Tuesday, but other days mainly dry.

FORECASTS

TODAY will bring increasing cloud from west to east, best of any sunshine in Leinster and midlands, east Ulster. Rain will arrive in the southwest around late afternoon. Highs 17 to 20 C.

TONIGHT overcast with rain heavy at times, 10-15 mm likely. Lows 10 to 13 C.

SATURDAY rain continuing for part of the morning in Leinster and Ulster, gradually clearing in Munster and Connacht, although isolated showers could pop up later too. Eventually partly cloudy skies will spread to all regions. Highs 15 to 18 C.

SUNDAY partly cloudy to overcast, isolated showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

MONDAY partly cloudy, lows near 5 C and highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY a few showers, breezy, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.

Generally settled for rest of the week but remnants of now distant hurricane Humberto could drift through Ireland around weekend of 3-4 October (looks quite weakened after a slow passage across the Atlantic). Meanwhile now extratropical Gabrielle is moving through the Azores with wind gusts to 120 km/hr reported. Its weakening remnant low will reach Portugal as the frontal system moves through Ireland on Saturday, the two systems will have a limited amount of interaction. As Humberto strengthens in the western Atlantic north of Bahamas, another storm, to be named Imelda, will develop to its west and move into South Carolina by Sunday-Monday. Ahead of that the northeast U.S. is clearing out after some rain on Thursday and weather should be generally good for the Ryder Cup (near NYC). My local weather remained hazy and very warm on Thursday, with highs near 25 C.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 27 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Rain moving east today, variable cloud most days this coming week with a bit more rain Tuesday and following. Highs near normal but nights will be mild.

FORECASTS

TODAY … Some heavy showers are approaching the east coast and will pass within an hour or two, lingering a bit over north Leinster and east Ulster. Slow and partial clearing will follow but some isolated showers will develop in partly cloudy conditions; highs 16 to 18 C.

TONIGHT … variable cloud, isolated showers, lows 7 to 10 C.

SUNDAY … partly cloudy, isolated showers, highs 15 to 18 C.

MONDAY … partly cloudy, lows 4 to 7 C, and highs 15 to 18 C.

TUESDAY … overcast, rain more persistent in north, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

REST of WEEK similar, breezy at times. A more unsettled pattern will develop into October.

Humberto became a major hurricane earlier (cat-4) and is likely to move gradually across the Atlantic, being more or less fully absorbed by non-tropical disturbances further north well before its remnants reach western Europe. A second tropical storm (to be named Imelda) is forming to the west of Humberto; this one will approach the Carolinas then start to meander around the western Atlantic for at least a week as it loses contact with Humberto and gets blocked from northeastward motion by strong high pressure over the northeastern U.S. … my local weather on Friday was sunny with a high near 21 C. Weak disturbances are now moving inland from the Pacific but making slow progress pushing inland beyond the Cascades.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 28 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Rather unsettled later in the week, temperatures warming slowly, possibly very windy by next weekend as extratropical Humberto passes well to north.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers mostly in northern counties. Highs 15 to 18 C.

TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, lows 8 to 10 C.

MONDAY will be cloudy with rain spreading into west and north late in the day or overnight. Highs 15 to 18 C.

TUESDAY will be overcast with rain, showery in south, more steady in the north. Moderate southwest winds 50 to 80 km/hr, lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

WEDNESDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and passing showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C.

It will stay unsettled to the weekend with intervals of rain and moderate south to southwest winds, highs 17 to 19 C. Humberto, now a very strong cat-5 hurricane west of Bermuda, will enter the picture by Friday (according to most guidance) and an extratropical gale will develop, but probably quite some distance northwest of Donegal. As this outlook is subject to considerable uncertainty, we are on storm watch (but not an alert) until Humberto's exact track is determined.

Beyond that weekend, further unsettled conditions and possibly another extratropical event when Imelda (now forming near Bahamas) follows Humberto's track and moves past Ireland by around Tuesday or Wednesday 7th-8th October.

My local weather on Saturday was overcast with a few brighter spells, and highs near 21 C.

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 29 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Showers of abuse followed by times of doubt, eventual happiness. Oh wait that's the Ryder Cup. For the weather, increasingly unsettled, windy at times, potentially stormy around Friday due to close approach of extratropical Humberto.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be rather cloudy with some brighter intervals in the south and east. Occasional light rain in north central counties this morning dying out later over east Ulster. Heavier rain likely by evening in west and north. Highs 16 to 19 C.
TONIGHT cloudy, breezy, rain at times, fog and mist, lows near 12 C.
TUESDAY rain more persistent in northern counties, more showery in south, breezy (southwest 40 to 70 km/hr), highs near 18 C south and 15 C north.
WEDNESDAY variable cloud, showers, breezy, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.
THURSDAY rain heavy at times, risk of thunderstorms, lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.
FRIDAY the potential is growing for a moderate to strong wind event with heavy rain sweeping through at least the northern counties if not all of Ireland, as guidance indicates that extratropical Humberto will track closer to Ulster than originally shown yesterday. If so, winds could possibly be in the 70 to 120 km/hr range in many areas and 90 to 140 km/hr in the north. This is still not by any means a "carved in stone" situation and forecasts will continue to evolve. Temperatures could edge up towards 20 C in brief warm sector passage but the big story will be potential wind damage if this actually comes to pass.
Storm watch continues, still a bit early for a hard alert (warning) yet (others may disagree and issue them). Guidance is still spread over a fairly wide range and some models have a less intense solution at this point so confidence in the more extreme forecast is low to moderate. I don't expect that warnings will be issued before late Tuesday, if at all, awaiting better model consensus. A problem for the models is that Humberto will be interacting with now-TS Imelda following on behind it, and these interactions always pose difficulties for model forecasting. The most intense forecast so far (on the U.S. GFS model) has a very close interaction which I find somewhat odd looking on the 72-96h charts. Still, the GFS is not alone as the ICON (German based model) is also quite intense, others more moderate so far.

Another windy and wet interval is likely to follow after the weekend of 3-4 Oct where a brief dry slot could move through around Sunday. By late Monday remnants of Imelda arrive and it could also turn quite warm briefly with that event.
My local weather on Sunday was hazy and warm with highs near 21 C and considerable forest fire smoke reported to be giving very poor visibility further west (by recent arrivals at our home), I would call it moderately bad here.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 30 September, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Unsettled, rather windy at times, potential for an interval of stormy conditions on Friday. Gradual improvements through the weekend into following week with warmer temperatures.

FORECASTS

TODAY … Mostly cloudy, light rain at times, becoming more persistent later in the day, moderate southwest winds 40 to 70 km/hr, highs near 18 C.

TONIGHT … Cloudy, rain, fog and drizzle, lows near 12 C.

WEDNESDAY … Variable cloud, a few passing showers, highs near 18 C.

THURSDAY … Rain may turn heavier at times, risk of thunderstorms. Moderate southerly winds. Quite humid, lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

FRIDAY … Still tracking remnant low generated by Humberto. Guidance is sadly all over the place, perhaps not surprising since the situation is quite complicated. There are some models showing a very strong low and potential wind damage; other guidance suggests a more moderate low could push through central or northern counties, leading to a steady rain in the north and moderate southwest winds in the south with showers. There are a few other possible outcomes also. We can be fairly sure that temperatures will be in the 15-18 C range. Sorry to say, there is no really reliable guidance on this at present and a definitive forecast is going to have to wait for later model consensus, hopefully not so late that preparations will be rushed if needed.

Following this event, most guidance agrees that Saturday will be cool and breezy to windy (northwest 40 to 70 km/hr) with highs near 13 C. Sunday will see the start of a warming trend. The latest guidance on Imelda suggests it will push so far north that its only real influence will be to allow high pressure to swell up with very warm air moving towards Ireland around Monday and Tuesday of next week (could reach 22 C in places).

My local weather on Monday was overcast but dry with a fairly warm high of 18 C.

If I feel that there is any growing consensus for Friday's forecast challenge, I may put in an update around late afternoon. Otherwise let's hope that by Wednesday morning there is some better consensus available. (timing of any intense wind event would most likely be mid-day Friday into evening hours in Ulster)

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 1 October, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … Rain will be frequent and strong winds may develop later Friday into Saturday. Exact details are still somewhat uncertain.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, highs 16 to 19 C.

TONIGHT into THURSDAY, rain will be heavy at times, as southerly winds of 40-60 km/hr develop. Temperatures steady in a range of 13 to 17 C. Rainfalls 20-45 mm, some potential for flooding in west Munster and Connemara.

FRIDAY still on storm watch, latest guidance gives some hope that the Atlantic gale will stay far enough north to avoid damaging wind gusts over land, but this is not yet confirmed. Rain is likely to resume after a short break and could once again become heavy and possibly thundery in places. Lows near 10 C and highs 17 to 19 C. There is a strong chance of winds gusting above 80 km/hr and a moderate chance of an alert being issued for 110 km/hr gusts, but details remain sketchy as the low responsible has not really developed yet, it will start its life during the forthcoming demise of Hurricane Humberto which is transferring some of its energy to this low, and leaving behind energy that Imelda could absorb.

Some recent model solutions show a very intense low pressure system approaching the Hebrides in n.w. Scotland by late Friday and there could be very high impacts with this storm in western Scotland if so; my concern is that the trend in later model runs could be back south again to involve Ireland in these higher impacts. Let's hope not, but there remains some chance of this outcome, and if so it should begin to show its hand by later Wednesday.

SATURDAY seems very likely to be a windy and cool day with winds west-northwest 50 to 80 km/hr, possibly higher near northwest coasts. Passing showers with some sunny spells in the mix. Lows near 9 C and highs near 14 C.

SUNDAY variable cloud, a few showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 17 C.

The future evolution of Imelda is even more uncertain now, a brief warmup to near 20 C could occur around Monday before winds turn gradually westerly and then northerly bringing a colder spell later in the week. Some models give promise of a longer mild spell than others. It depends on how much latitude Imelda's remnant low gains before dying out and guidance has been all over the map literally on that question (the remnant is shown near Portugal on one model and near Iceland on another one).

Once again, if the situation around Friday's potential alerts for wind and rain changes there may be an updated forecast before tomorrow morning. The Thursday rainfall may cause some local flooding and that part of the forecast is higher confidence now.

My local weather on Tuesday started out damp with cloud and mist clearing partially by afternoon, pleasant high near 18 C.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 2 October, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Stormy conditions at times through early Saturday, then calming down gradually to a more tranquil spell of autumn weather early next week.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be cloudy with rain heavy at times, especially in west Munster and Connemara, where 40-70 mm could cause serious flooding problems. Elsewhere, 20-40 mm will be more typical and there could be localized flooding in areas of poor drainage. Highs near 18 C, feeling quite muggy. Moderate south winds will veer to southwest by tonight.

TONIGHT will be cloudy with a few showers and some brief clear intervals. Lows 12 to 14 C.

FRIDAY will become very windy and wet as storm Amy moves past the northwest coasts by evening. Another 15-30 mm rain will be widespread in southwest winds 50-80 km/hr. Intervals of much stronger winds will be possible in parts of the western and northern coastal areas (80 to 120 km/hr). So far, the worst case scenario of a direct hit from this monster storm is being avoided but it's going to come disturbingly close to Donegal and north Ulster before slamming into western Scotland on Friday evening. Temperatures will be in the 15 to 18 C range. Some wind damage is possible in Connacht and Ulster, more isolated damage elsewhere.

SATURDAY the winds will veer to west-northwest 70 to 100 km/hr and cooler air will arrive, with variable cloud and passing showers, some with hail and thunder. Lows near 10 C and highs 14 to 17 C.

SUNDAY Partly cloudy, isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 15 C.
Early next week there is a chance of warmer temperatures as subtropical air moves towards the south and southwest, highs could be into a range of 18 to 21 C, with variable skies, some sun, some cloud, and further north a chance of showers. This nicer spell of weather could last a few days, since Hurricane Imelda's latest signals are for a gradual collapse in mid-ocean without having all that much impact on Ireland (but the situation is fluid and this could change). Eventually a more unsettled and windy pattern is likely to be re-established.

My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with a few breaks, low cloud and mist at times, rather autumnal as it only reached a high near 15 C.

Watch for updates and if in flood-prone areas, listen for public alerts and warnings through this wet interval ahead.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 3 October, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland
Storm Amy is rapidly developing off the west coast this morning and there could be brief intervals of very strong winds almost anywhere in Ireland as the storm moves past Donegal and north Ulster towards western Scotland. There will be potential for storm surges on south and west coasts, with waves overtopping seawalls in places this afternoon and overnight. Driving longer distances today will involve exposure to rapidly changing conditions and at the least you should plan for some necessary delays if squally conditions threaten. Avoid crosswinds in particular (winds SSW most of the day, WSW by late afternoon and evening). There will likely be scattered power outages and minor wind damage; isolated severe wind damage is possible (near any tornadic wind streaks that develop).
TODAY ... Becoming cloudy with rapidly increasing south to southwest winds 70-110 km/hr, showers and isolated thunderstorms. Risk of tornadic wind streaks developing especially in parts of Connacht, west Munster and inland south Ulster. Conditions likely to deteriorate rapidly towards mid-day and stormy through the afternoon into early evening. Scattered wind damage is possible. Because some of the strongest wind gusts could be associated with thunderstorm cells, the coastal fringes may not be the only places to see damaging wind gusts. But conditions will be quite variable both place to place and hour by hour as the storm accelerates towards northwest Scotland. Highs 16 to 20 C. Local wind gusts to 140 km/hr cannot be ruled out due to the type of convective-based risks associated.. Some clearing from west at times by late afternoon as winds veer to westerly 70-120 km/hr.
TONIGHT very windy, passing squally showers, winds westerly 70 to 110 km/hr. Lows near 10 C.
SATURDAY very windy with variable skies, passing showers with some hail and thunder, winds west-northwest 60 to 100 km/hr, easing slowly later in the day.
SUNDAY and MONDAY may be a relatively tranquil contrast with some sunshine at times, highs 17 to 20 C.
It will likely become rather unsettled again later next week, and turn cooler in stages.
My local weather on Thursday was cloudy all morning, then partly sunny by afternoon, with a high of 17 C.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 4 October, 2025 __ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS … After a windy and squally day in parts of the north in particular, conditions will improve considerably through Sunday and Monday; a weak front will bring some rain back into northern counties on Tuesday but then higher pressure will build up, and it will stay relatively mild for early October well into the middle portions of the month before a return to windy and unsettled weather.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy to overcast, very windy across the north with frequent squally showers there, hail and thunder included; showers more isolated further south with a few sunny breaks, as westerly winds 70-110 km/hr gradually ease by late afternoon. Highs 13 to 16 C.

TONIGHT a few clear intervals, showers more isolated and confined to northwest, lows 3 to 7 C.

SUNDAY cloudy with sunny breaks, isolated showers, not as windy. Highs 14 to 18 C.

MONDAY partly cloudy, mild. Lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C inland south and east, 15 to 17 C elsewhere.

TUESDAY a few outbreaks of light rain in north, variable cloud in south, lows near 10 C and highs near 15 C north, 19 C south.

WEDNESDAY to around a week thereafter, hazy sunshine most days, cool nights becoming frosty later in the spell, but days fairly warm, highs 15 to 19 C at first, isolated 20 C inland south and east; closer to 13 to 16 C later on in the dry spell. Lows 5 to 10 C will fall off to near freezing outside larger cities.

It will then become quite windy and unsettled around mid-October.

My local weather on Friday was sunny, with morning light frosts and afternoon highs near 18 C.