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Is Elon Musk hurting Tesla? (Mod Note Post #1)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,242 ✭✭✭sk8board


    you’ve given “rockets to Mars” as an example of Musk’s engineering prowess - not only something that doesn’t exist, but also something that’s not even under discussion with NASA for their vast array of project approval steps at the moment, and a Mars mission wouldn’t be approved for years even if a shuttle existed to do it.

    Space travel does not work like FSD software releases do. You don’t just bang it out there and see what happens.

    The technical complexities that haven’t even been addressed yet are massive, wait 6 months to arrive, hope there’s literally zero hitches, land on Mars (unmanned initially, for many flights), and then do likely something similar to what NASA did on the surface of Mars with Pathfinder in 1997.

    Then queue decades of continuous flights to build ‘something’ etc etc; almost certainly something similar to the ISS, but on land - ie tiny, and for scientific research - similar to Pathfinder 28 years ago, but with the slim chance of there being an astronaut on the ground.


    do you see what ‘rockets to Mars’ implies at a technical level? I’ve VASTLY underestimated everything, above, too.


    musk saying something, and it existing, and two very divergent things. Musk is an incredibly smart intuitive business man who built zip.com in the 90’s and x.com in the early 00’s.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 161 ✭✭reaction238


    Again, you're just another person showing their ignorance. Everything he is doing is working towards going to Mars. At no point did I specify a time frame or that it has been accomplished. One of the rockets blew up yesterday. This is the process. It doesn't change the fact that he is building rockets for Mars and to suggest otherwise just confirms you are simply full of hate and you don't fully understand why. You might want to pause and take stock of your surroundings. Who is in your life influencing your opinions, what apps you are using and maybe take time to understand how the algorithms work to feed your prejudices and surround you in this bubble of hate that you are in. Its obsessive and unhealthy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,220 ✭✭✭yagan


    Will you lot park the "is Musk a genius or not" debate?

    The question of this thread is about him personally wading into politics by funding Trump and leading his DOGE campaign which has even got backlash from Trump voters.

    EVs were around before Musk, he just backed a desirable model compared what had been available on the market at that point.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,977 ✭✭✭MojoMaker


    Musk is a finance guy, no more no less. He is certainly not an engineer or a technical guy in any shape or form. He hires good people and makes sure they are well rewarded financially to perform their best work. So far this strategy has worked - if you ignore Twitter 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,242 ✭✭✭sk8board


    you’re telling us he’s actively involved in building rockets to go to Mars (zero evidence), and we’re telling you he’s been mostly tweeting and doing drugs for about 2 years now (daily evidence). Let’s just leave it - it’s impossibly to debate this when all you do is condescendingly describe us as being in a bubble of hate, when really we are just interested in current affairs.

    If he died in the bath of an overdose next week I’m pretty sure SpaceX will continue building rockets just fine without his active involvement :)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,242 ✭✭✭sk8board


    this thread started in 2022!

    At this stage I think it’s fair just say “Is Elon musk hurting Tesla? Yes”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 108 ✭✭6.5x55 seller ammo


    … But also no?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 161 ✭✭reaction238


    Its perfectly valid to the debate. To suggest he is not acrively involved in building rockets for Mars is entirely false and most definitely you need to examine your social feeds and question the information you are being fed.

    I couldn't give a toss of he is taking drugs. I wpuld care if he dies in the bath, his companies will continue but he would be badly missed.

    Maybe something we can agree on is I really wish he would drop the politics.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 161 ✭✭reaction238


    This is an example of what the problem is. People (largely political oppossition) jave built up this false narrative about him and it is being fed to minions like yourself to propagate the nonsense. It's the aggressive nature of it. You grasp onto something and use it as a bludgeon on people who really do not give a damn about your opinion. As soon as it os debunked, you move onto something else. He's the reason behind Trumps politics - false. He's a Naz* - false. He's a racist - false. He's on drugs - evidence says false but besides, nobody cares. He's not building rockets to Mars - false.

    II'm not completely naive. I'm sure there is some truth in there somewhere. He is a billionaire after all, you don't get that rich by being a perfect moral citizen.

    But the constant barrage of utter nonsense is exhausting. Just give it a rest because you all come across as pathetic lunatics. You are being manipulated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,346 ✭✭✭KCross


    It's the aggressive nature of it.

     Just give it a rest because you all come across as pathetic lunatics.

    I hope you see the irony there.

    You are being manipulated.

    I agree everyone should look outside their bubble but I think you might be well advised to do the same yourself. With respect you do seem entrenched in your view of him and maybe you are also in your own bubble?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,755 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    Some gall to call people "manipulated" when you're defending Elon Musk of all people, and then claiming that things were "debunked" simply because the person involved told you so. You don't understand how it's you being manipulated? Are heads really buried that deep in the sand?

    For example, you're dismissing "he's on drugs" as false about a man who went on the Joe Rogan and smoked weed on camera. And you claim "nobody cares" but Tesla shares dropped 6% immediately after he did that, so someone cares.

    Beyond all that, in the context of this thread, the only thing that really matters is - do people who are in the market for a car think that Tesla is a company run by someone competent and stable, and will they therefore get a reliable car that's likely to hold value well. Every single bit of evidence over the last few years, even pre-Trump-alliance, says no. That is the bottom line, and people with their head in the sand can continue to defend Musk for whatever gain they think that will get them, but the reality of plummeting sales is still waiting there to face, and there's nobody else to blame but Elon Musk.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 161 ✭✭reaction238


    The differnece is I'm sticking to facts, actually.

    How do you know you are in a bubble?

    Well let's first agree that they do exist and there are companies who specialise on generating false narratives and inflating bubbles. They are commonly used in American politics by both sides. If you disagree with that then I'm sorry, you're a lost cause.

    So whst are the tell tale signs you are in one of these bubbles? First, there will be some sort of label associated with whatever the narrative is. In Musk's case these would be labels such as liberal or progressive. You're part of a worthy cause, with the moral high ground.

    Secondly, the narrative keeps changing. It's a never ending barrage. Each of which is debunked, before moving onto the next. But the damage is already done. Its written in the narrative, there's millions of people who are adamant they have the moral high ground and it is their duty to attack anyone who refuses it. They are Naz*'s, Maga, people with no morals. They must be taken down as part of the cause and to give you the dopamine ping of satisfaction that you stuck it to a Naz* online.

    Then there's the progression to the real world. Damaging Tesla's etc. These people deserve it. They support Musk, they're Naz*'so, they are inferior. You have the moral high ground. You are superior, you're above them. They need to be taught a lesson.

    Honestly, it's quite hard to get the point across in an Internet post.

    But I think you really need to be aware, whether you agree or not, there are people who are completely outside of the "narrative". Completely. They didn't ask for your opinion, they don't agree with your opinion, they don't care about what you read online and they are increasing fed up with having to listen to it and have it forced down their throats.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 161 ✭✭reaction238


    Smoking a joint is now "on drugs"? Its legal and was done in his spare time. The same logic would apply to anyone having a drink.

    He released a drug test. Oh let me guess, its false.

    Tesla stock goes up and down all the time. I'm a shareholder. People have knee jerk reactions to the news all the time. Some of us actually count on it as it because an entry point to invest more. NOBODY cares that Musk smoked a joint. The argument that it matters is part of the narrative. You use the fact it dropped 6% to try and prove your point when actually it proves the opposite. 6% is nothing and proved nobody cared.

    I'm not taking anyone's word for anything. But besides, the onus is on you to prove.your accusations are true, its not up to me to prove they are wrong.

    Its like someone saying to an atheist, prove God doesn't exist. Its a nonsense argument used.by someone who is clearly wrong,misled or....in a bubble.

    Post edited by reaction238 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,977 ✭✭✭MojoMaker


    Musk is very good at getting money to flow to programs and initiatives, and quite good at keeping investors happy.

    What he's not good at is strategic and technical direction, people management, and governance (and regulating manifestations of his personality disorder). Tesla as a company has done well in many ways, and part of the continued success is the veil Musk is able to cast over the organisation which kept lots of influential people happy.

    He is now hurting the brand, I think we are all agreed there. Is it stopping Irish sales of Tesla products? I'm not sure, and why should it? One might argue that the foundation is well and truly built now - a task he is good at - and maybe it's time he found a new project and left the growth of Tesla to others with different skill sets?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,301 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Simple question, why isn't Elon suing the Nyt for libel if their allegations of ketamine use are untrue? He can afford to do so and that very fact makes it incredibly unlikely that the NYT haven't got a **** tonne of proof.

    This seems more like a case of Elon fans not being able to accept that he's a pretty scummy individual who has ruined the rep of Tesla.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 161 ✭✭reaction238


    Tesla is integral to his mission to Mars. Battery, solar, autonomous systems, thermal management and Tesla motors are all part of the design of starship.

    Outside of Tesla he also needs starlink and the boring company.

    There was a point where everything he does was part of his plan to send humans to Mars.

    That changed when he got involved with Twitter and politics, but there is even still an argument X was required for free speech (more important on Mars where everything will be remote) and the politics was all to do with being able to run his companies the way he wants to and has always done. Namely a strict work ethic (e.g no remote work) and freedom to hire people based on merit and not their race or gender.

    It's another stick people use. That its racism. There is no doubt about it, you will see different races, religions and genders going to Mars. But they will be highly skilled and talented.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 161 ✭✭reaction238


    As far as I'm aware he has admitted to "using Ketamine". But again, its this toxic negativety around everything that is the issue. It's being fed to people who are lapping it up and thrive on it. What's the next thing, the excitement of it all!

    You would expect scandals, some people would love to be the one to bring down a billionaire. You see it against all of them, Bezos, Gates, even Bono ffs.

    But this is utterly relentless. It's orchestrated, intentionally toxic and purposefully inciting hatred not just to Musk, but to anybody who is not part of the morally high society of liberals.

    He is not "doing drugs" or "using ketamine" in the same way any other person being treated for depression would describe themselves as "using" Ketamine or any other SSRIs.

    It's just more petty arguments founded in ignorance. And a complete insult and discrimatory to people with depression and who are neuro-divergant.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,301 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    He's using enough ketamine to cause bladder problems. Any usual person and that would be considered problematic drug abuse. So far the conclusion is the NYT are entirely right but you think it's false.

    The man is not a victim in this scenario. I'm also neurodiverse and have suffered from anxiety and depression btw. I've never needed to be high on the job and if I was, I'd be fired. An SSRI is not remotely comparable to Musk on ketamine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 635 ✭✭✭DrPsychia




    You are accusing everyone who disagrees with you of being in a "bubble of hate." You are the one who calls people "minions" and "pathetic lunatics." You are the one who dismisses every valid criticism as a "false narrative" propagated by a political opposition. You are so deep inside your own bubble that you've mistaken its reflective surface for a window.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 161 ✭✭reaction238


    He was asked to provide a drug test, which he did and published it to the world. But go on let's.hear it. It's fake of.course.

    Somebody who was prescribed Ketamine for neurological condition and subsequently becomes addicted deserves sympathy, not poilitical vitriol.

    I'm not defending it, I'm saying the evidence so far is its not true. Let the NYT produce the evidence. If it's true, I will feel sorry for him and I hope he gets he gets help. Nobody chooses to become an addict. Nobody enjoys being an addict.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 635 ✭✭✭DrPsychia


    I'm certain the worlds richest man can buy someone elses piss, like countless athlethes throughout history who faked drug tests for so long.

    I have no sympathy for him. There's almost nothing he can't buy, or experience. He can access the worlds best and cutting edge treatments for addiction and mental health. He rubs shoulders with the worlds most famous, powerful and richest people. He is a terrible father with a breeding obsession. He supports fascist movements and autocratic regimes. He rails against western democracy, yet he says nothing about communist countries that he has business investments in, like China. He's afraid of Putin and Trump. He's a thin skinned narcissist.
    Like the orange criminal, he was born with a platinum spoon and never knew what it was like to live in the real world.

    He could have used his incredible wealth as a force for good like many other billionaires have done, instead he used it to elect an abomination. He is a disgrace and needs to be ousted from Tesla.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,755 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    No, I don't think you're understanding this correctly - there is zero onus on me to prove or disprove anything about Musk's drug use. It doesn't matter what I think (just as it doesn't matter what you think or how much you try and defend him on this) - what matters is what the market as a whole thinks - about him, about Tesla.

    The facts about Musk's drug use, Nazi-leanings, his political connections, etc. - these facts don't matter, what matters is the market perception. Because Musk is the head of company that sells products where people won't buy if they have suspicions about longevity, reliability, quality.

    So, let's talk about proof and facts - Tesla sales are crashing and the company's future is extremely bleak. This has been caused by one person, and you know this rightly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 161 ✭✭reaction238


    A fascist and a communist. That is the definition of damed if I do and damed if I don't. Nobody and nothing can pass the liberal moral test unless it has been set out and distributed amongst the blue haired tribe. You've all demonstrated one thing. You're all in the same bubble and all rabble the same toxic nonsense.

    It's all them and us with you. Toxic, bitchy, aggressive and divisive. In all manners of life.

    I'm going to agree with one thing and then I'm done. He needs to get out of politics and it most definitely is harming the Tesla brand.

    p.s I'm picking up my new Tesla tomorrow. I can't wait. Think of me what you want, I don't give a crap. But if any of you nut jobs dares to approach me with your agenda we're going to have a debate. Maybe I'll see one of you out there in the real world.

    Fair well and good luck.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,301 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    And once again back to ranting. Musk has made his own bed and Tesla is suffering because of it. You reference toxic and bitchy behavior which perfectly encapsulates Musk's day to day antics at this stage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 635 ✭✭✭DrPsychia


    If you stop ranting and take some time to actually read, you'll learn a lot because way you defend him indicates that you don't read enough.

    Even if you disregard and ignore well written and reputable news articles and instead read his tweets, replies and reposts you'd see he supports individuals, ideologies, and political movements that are overtly racist, antisemitic, homophobic, and aligned with the basic principles of white supremacy and fascism.

    That is not the type of person you want as CEO of Tesla, or any company.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,755 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    I'm going to agree with one thing and then I'm done. He needs to get out of politics and it most definitely is harming the Tesla brand.

    I'm glad this could be admitted, that's all that really counts for this thread tbh - even his more ardent and militant fans think Musk is a liability for Tesla.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,977 ✭✭✭MojoMaker


    You mean ardent and militant fans of the cars surely? Think we agreed many months ago on here that he is a liability to the company - sorry if that takes the wind out of the ranting sails though.

    Curious choice of adjectives all the same. Whiff of bitterness?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,755 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 432 ✭✭Woodie40


    great post, an abomination of a person. How anyone can support him or any if his ventures is beyond comprehension.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 635 ✭✭✭DrPsychia


    Unfortunately there has been many people in this thread who ardently support Musk's behaviour, not only defending the cars. From what I can gather, their support often appears to stem from pure emotion, rather than the facts, or a healthy mixture of both.
    I understand why people defend the cars to an extent, particularly when it comes to effiency, power output and the UI but no matter how I have tried, I cannot comprehend how people can support his character and behaviour.

    I acknowledge that Musk did a good job at hiring brilliant engineers who built good cars(and rockets) with the limitations he placed on engineering directions, but the same man has also kneecapped the company not only by his Sieg Heil, but his focus on cutting costs. Autopilot is worse than it was 7 or 8 years ago when the MS had radar.

    Andrej Karpathy, one of the worlds leading experts in deep learning and computer vision, struggled to deliver a reliable and consistent camera-only system that met Musks demands. Andrej talked about Musks management style, where he had to fight to recruit and retain talent, fighting Musks desire for quickly firing those he deemed as underperforming. He left for OpenAI after ~5 years at Tesla and said that Musk valued the appearance of staff looking busy in the office. Before he Senior Director of AI at Tesla, Elon went through 6 Directors of AI - each lasting 6 months.
    This is clearly ositive punishment where an office environment is driven by negative reinforcement. Employees are motived not the chance of success but by the avoidance of failure, therefore staff are focused on not messing up rather than truly innovating.

    Musk's grand idea for FSD is solely based on cutting sensor inputs to the bare bone to get the job done as cheaply as possible. He has this idea that Camera-only FSD is possible because humans have eyes, but yet he ignores the fact that humans are in fact complex multi-sensory beings because for example;

    1. We have a vestibular system which allows us to feel acceleration, deceleration, skiding, body roll.
    2. Hearing, which gives us important context of what's happening around us.
    3. Brain: a processor which was refined by millions of years of evolution to understand the very basics of experienced physics and intent, and social cues. We bring prior experience or lived experiences to situations; We know that an empty plastic bag on the road won't cause damage to a car whereas a plastic bag sized rock will cause damage, nor is a shadow of a overpass an immovable object that we're about to crash into. It's extremely difficult to replicate this aspect of learned experience or common sense in into any Autonomous driving system, let alone a camera-only system.

    He is the most successful conman in history in the way he created a flywheel of faith with his narratives. Of course SpaceX isn't simply a company built to launch satellites cheaper than NASA, it was formed to 'make humanity a multi-planetary species'. He is able to package and communicate pipe dreams/ideas in such a way that leaves investors foaming at the mouth for more.

    So despite a long history of missed FSD targets and promises, investors remain locked in due their own cognitive biases such as confirmation bias, sunk cost fallacy, prospect of exponential returns, and the narrative of an unparalleded data moat.



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