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Audi CEO: sale of ICE cars will collapse in 2026

124

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    Disinformation works. You only have to look at the last referendum campaign to see that.

    Christ, you're one of those, it makes complete sense now !



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    They should, but they don't! Because they are ignorant…

    Ignorant of what exactly ?



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Regional East Moderators Posts: 8,099 Mod ✭✭✭✭liamog


    Probably better to look at the UK market for info like that, the site https://www.howmanyleft.co.uk/vehicle/nissan_leaf#tax is a good resource



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    And as I keep saying very few people want such a highly limited car, a car is supposed to offer freedom not restrictions, maintenance on cars isn't a whole lot, depending on the car you get. A lot of people out there are capable of maintaining their own cars.

    People are not afraid of change, but often people don't want it, when these cars are good enough for people they will buy them until not they won't and you nor I have the right to criticise whatever people choose this is their right although I feel many people here would rather people not to have the right to choice lol.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,005 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    I've covered that several times. Some people for whom a degraded cheap EV would be a perfect fit, don't even consider them because they don't know they are a perfect fit and have false preconceptions about EVs in general. In other words: ignorance at play.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    Ah I know they are not for everyone and you simply should NOT buy one if it doesn't meet your requirements. But the average car does 35km in Ireland.

    No you don't you think EV is for everyone and they suit all but everyone's just too ignorant lol, wow!

    The average 2nd family car does less than that. So that means for thousands and thousands of familie in the market for a cheap 2nd family car, that never does more than 50km or so in a day, these would be perfect. Yet very few people are buying them. And I think igorant is the perfect word. Sounds harsh, but the very definition of how @sh81722 just described his neighbour is ignorant. Which literally means not knowing, being completely misinformed.

    Thousands of families don't want handicapped cars, just get it in your head. They are not ignorant people.

    "the meaning of ignorant"
    lacking knowledge or awareness in general; uneducated or unsophisticated.

    One could conclude from reading your posts that your attitude is both obtuse and ignorant "lacking awareness in general" as to the needs, wishes of people who drive cars and not understanding the majority of people do not want limited range cars that take a long time to charge for more limited range and look like spaceships inside or something some school Children designed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,036 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    or people want to, on occasion, go further than the 70kms max range a cheap EV would give them in the depths of winter at motorway speeds.
    But you know this, yet……..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    But so what if they don't want the poxy EVs when they might want a car that's nicer to drive around in ? freedom of choice, or would you rather have this freedom removed so that people drive cars you feel they should be driving ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    In fairness I dont think there a need for that last sentence for the want of a better word! One of the main reasons people wont buy these cars is they are very compromised owing to their short range. Grand for a 2nd/3rd car if you know you'll never need it for more than 40-60km in any one day during the winter, otherwise they are a complete pita requiring 100% soc every morning and a top up during the day. For eg I dropped kids to school this morning used 7% of L30 range. Then had to do a 30km journey to pick up a item and returned with 17% SOC. I then had to plug in for a couple of hours before heading off again to do some other pick ups etc. Now normally Id get away with a full charge overnight but the problem with short range cars is that they have no capacity to deal with the unexpected which for many is a no no!

    But Unkle feels everyone should be driving electric cars because he says so and everyone who doesn't well, they're just ignorant.

    So while some people consider it ignorance, others just see a car that doesnt fit their use case. However, IMO used EVs from about 2019/20 onwards will make very good value used options in the years ahead, as even with slightly degraged batteries they will have still have 250km+ range even on a bad day which is far more attractive and flexible that a degraded but cheap 60km range Leaf.

    It doesn't even matter if electric suits someones use case, if people don't want them then that's fine too, people should have the choice to buy what car they want and I do know a lot of people are turned off the look both inside and out, a lot of car interiors now look like Sh1t.

    As Ive said before early Leafs are one of the main reasons people I know are delaying switching to a used EV. Im sure people will harp on nostalgically about them in the future but really they represent the past in terms of EV motoring. Long live the early Leafs, great cars pity about their batteries

    No one I know even when I had the Leaf will tell me today they are interested in EV even seeing me on my 3rd EV a lot of people just don't like all the tech and would rather a car that's cheaper with less annoying tech that goes for both EV and ICE.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,161 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    When you look at recent German car market trends, one can reasonably conclude that the Audi CEO is either very out of touch or seeking attention.

    The KBA figures showed that heavy SUVs with high fuel consumption were Germany’s fastest growing vehicle segment. “The latest KBA figures are a wake-up call,” wrote Greenpeace transport expert Benjamin Stephan.

    That German trend isn't likely an anomaly, either:

    Even Cleantechnica is trying to find a way to positively spin the fact that sales of plugins and BEVs did not increase as a proportion of sales in Europe in the past year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 812 ✭✭✭amdaley28


    At the end of the day each individual owner / driver is different.

    What suits you or I may not suit others. I have driven diesel & petrol cars throughout my life because that's what was available.

    Now there is also electric to choose from so I choose to drive a Phev which gives me the best of both worlds. I can plug in, charge up & use electric for short local trips & use petrol for longer journeys.

    Electric is great if you can charge at home & have enough battery to be able to get back home again on a daily basis without having to resort to public chargers. Outside the major cities & urban area the public charging infrastructure isn't there yet. I expect that with the advances in battery technology & big improvement in the charging network especially in rural areas electric will become very commonplace in the next few years.

    However diesel & petrol vehicles will be with us for many years to come.

    Another thing to consider is ?

    If I buy a diesel or petrol car & drive average mileage then I should still be able to drive that vehicle in ten years time & get similar range.

    Will i be able to do drive an electric vehicle for the same time & still get similar range ?

    Now if you can afford to change your car every three or four years then it won't make much difference but there are a lot of people out there who for economic or personal reasons can't do that.

    It often comes down to pure initial cost & has nothing to do with knowledge or ignorance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,725 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    A car that can do 60km per day and costs 2 or 3 euros to charge from empty absolutely gives people 'freedom' to do 95% of the day to day travel if they live within an urban environment

    It doesn't allow 'freedom' to go on the long road trip or intercity journeys, but if people are on a low income, have a driveway to charge their car in and want personal transport in their day to day life, the fact that EVs are so cheap to run is more liberating than an ICE that costs hundreds of euros to service even if it's never driven, hundreds more to tax every year, and costs greater than 5 times more per kilometre driven in fuel costs



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,725 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    'Ignorant people'

    You can be ignorant about a topic without being an 'ignorant person'

    Literally everyone is ignorant about the vast majority of things that there is to be knowledgeable about

    Saying someone is ignorant about the details of EV ownership is not an attack on their character, it just means that they do not know enough about BEVs to be able to have a fully informed opinion, and for most people, it's not because they're too stupid to understand, it's because they've been misinformed, or they have never cared enough about the subject to investigate it properly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,725 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Sorry to break it to you, but your 10 year old Diesel car is almost certainly getting worse fuel economy on it's 10th anniversary compared to when it was brand new unless you spend a lot of money over the years keeping fully on top of maintenance over and above the usual service items. This means if you fill it up with a full tank in year 1, and the same full tank in year 10, you'll likely get shorter range for the same amount of fuel. (this will cost more per KM of driving)

    While a BEV might suffer reduced range over time, the costs per KM of driving should be about the same as the motor won't degrade in performance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,490 ✭✭✭BrianD3


    Comical stuff. A bangernomics EV with a 60 km range is about as useful as an ancient vintage car. Less so really. Even if someone never ventures outside of Co. Dublin, the M50 is 45 kms long each way.

    Tiny range EVs are not going to be saving anyone significant money as they are only suitable for very limited use. And for such limited use, maintenance and fuelling costs of ICE cars are also very low. So while you'll save on fuel with an EV, you're saving a high percentage of small number.

    They're the very opposite of liberating. You won't be turning on the heater on a cold day and they have no headroom whatsoever for anything unexpected or spontaneous. Unexpected travel happens to people all the time.

    As usual we have wild exaggerations. Forget about intercity travel, a 60 km EV can't get from Lucan to Bray or Lucan to Balbriggan and back on a single charge. Hundreds more to tax an ICE? My Megane DCi costs 80 euros more per year to tax than a Fluence ZE, for that I have a proper car with a 1000 km range that weighs >350 kg less than a Fluence ZE and I can turn into a small van in seconds - unlike this rubbish.

    The severe limitation of cars like these could actually cost someone money as they can't take advantage of opportunities. Spot a great bargain on adverts.ie but seller is located in the barren wasteland that is Co. Kildare? Ah well, maybe the next one will be within the range of the car.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The other side is that an old diesel is going to be much more polluting now than when it was new. The NCT/CVRT emission test for diesels are way too lenient and you can for example pass without a working DPF even when those have been fitted under most diesels since mid-noughties. The same about worn injectors.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,263 ✭✭✭Buddy Bubs


    They're not a perfect fit, they're a very poor outdated product and people are not ignorant of that fact. 5k is a lot of money for people it's a relic, a beta testing version of what came after.

    Pretty much the worst way to spend money unless you're an energy hobbyist getting kicks from charging and conservation. Range anxiety every single day and plugging in every single day. It will be out of action charging a lot too.

    I don't think I could convince a single person I know to bring one of those into their lives.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,005 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    Yeah, I have clearly said an old cheap degraded battery EV is not for those people. Not aimed at you Tom, but FFS folks, would you please not put words into my mouth that I haven't said?

    In particular Mad_Lad seems to be at this a lot. Not sure if it is on purpose or he isn't aware. The latter is worse.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,005 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    This exactly. It seems some people are needlessly taking offence because of their ignorance of the word ignorance LOL 😂



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,263 ✭✭✭Buddy Bubs


    I'm not sure about that unkel, you claim to know everyone in your estate and have as much knowledge of their driving habits as well as they do, where they go each day and then tell them they are doing it all wrong by calling them ignorant to your own pet hobby. You wont win many people over like that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,161 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Why is this cheap to run BS so entrenched in this country?

    Lets wind the clock back to 2006 for a minute, before Gormley and the greens used their green logic to distort the market. Back then I was looking at the cost of ownership with a view to purchase, not the cost to run. I ran the numbers on at least 4 different vehicle makes, using acceleration performance as the main comparative criteria. Back then it was comparing diesel vs petrol.

    In every instance the petrol was cheaper to own up to 100-120k km, by which time most people would have changed cars. Why would this be when diesels have far better fuel economy? It was because petrol was cheaper than diesel, which is the natural economic reality of refining oil where you get a lot more petrol than diesel per barrel. But the biggest reason was that diesels are significantly heavier, and so were more expensive to manufacture and so had significantly higher purchase prices - not to mention higher maintainance costs.

    Initial purchase price matters a great deal in terms of overall ownership cost. It's also a far larger entry barrier for those on low incomes than running costs.

    EV's are todays diesels. They are very heavy and consequentially require a lot of expensive and exotic materials to manufacure and are therefore very expensive to make compared to a petrol ICE. They are a terrible purchase option for those on low incomes who will all have to borrow likely the full amount to purchase. They are cheap to run only if you have a driveway, which in itself might be an uncommon prerequisite for those on low incomes.

    There is nothing 'liberating' about an EV being cheap to run when they are so expensive to buy and finance.

    Look at this nonsense:

    But on a home charger at €0.43, a complete battery top-up would mean
    just €0.05/km, slightly more than half the cost of the Astra petrol. If
    you could run it like this permanently, you would soon recoup the
    additional €3,848 purchase price of the electric model in saved energy
    costs alone.

    Soon? WTF! That's a difference of €0.04c per km, so 96,200 km to break even. The Irish average annual kilometerage is a bit over 14K, so soon is around 6.8 years.

    Call me abnormal, but my definition of soon is a lot shorter than the time for a child to complete their primary education.

    As for your ICE costing five times more per km to run claim, a link would be nice.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    How about if you energy costs 0.08 instead of absurdly high price of 0.43 for domestic energy?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 812 ✭✭✭amdaley28


    Any car which isn't maintained to the highest standards will invariably degrade in performance & range.

    Some years ago I ran a 15 year old Seat Inca diesel van in my business. It was regularly serviced including clutch, glo plugs, battery etc & it ran like a swiss watch. It never failed to pass its DOE test every year. I used to think the thing ran on vapours it was so economical😏 I was stopped on a back road one night by customs doing a diesel check. There was so little diesel in the tank that he couldn't get a sample so had to go rooting under the bonnet.

    I wonder how far a 10 year old Bev will get you on a full charge ?

    As i've said previously it's a matter of economics for a lot of people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,161 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    How much does 1 Kwh of Electricity cost in Ireland?

    One “unit” or one KwH of electricity costs 35.83 cents in March 2024 . (Including VAT)
    This figure is based on Electric Ireland’s standard rates.

    https://www.moneyguideireland.com/much-average-electricity-bill.html

    I'm very happy for you that you get your electricity at such a low rate. Claiming it's typical might be a stretch of the truth. I'll tell you what, find us a link to an independent and reputable EV running cost comparrison that uses 0.08c as the typical electricity rate in Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,005 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    In my cul de sac, of about 20 houses. And yes I have "won over" several of them to EVs. And PV for that matter. They will never go back.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,375 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    Two suppliers offer that rate for a window of three or four hours during the night. There is at least one more offering 14c for the full 11-8 window. Electric Ireland will give you a rate averaging 17c for the same nine hour window (averaged over 7 hours at 19c and 2 at 11c).

    That's at least four suppliers offering substantially less than the rate you quote.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 812 ✭✭✭amdaley28


    Here's an interesting video on an old Leaf.

    Some information about batteries etc.

    Might be of interest to some.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,385 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    im paying 12.5c for an 9 hour night rate, using 43c is madness.

    Your point on the average mileage is well made tho, shows EVs would be suitable for most.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,161 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    You only get a cheaper night time rate by paying higher standing charges and higher daytime rates, so you should shift these increased costs over to your EV charging costs.

    The reason you’ll need to shift at least 27% is that although NightSaver meters are “free” to install, there is an additional fee added to your standing charge (around €45-€50). As such, you won’t see any benefit from cheaper night rate electricity unless you push for more than 27% of electricity consumption at night.

    A NightSaver tariff is a cheaper price of electricity for the nighttime usage. While the daytime unit rate on this tariff is slightly more expensive than a regular daytime rate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,375 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    That sounds true, but it's not. Lots of variations in the market. Like Electric Ireland who have one of the highest standing charges in the market, also one of the most expensive day rates and a middling night rate. Energia would be cheaper than them across the board.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,385 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    my day rate is 25c, and about 50 percent of the usage is over night funnily enough if you charge your ev at night that happens 😂

    Sounds like you need to shop around



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,725 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Also, most petrol cars would be lucky to get 35mpg in urban driving. To get 10c per km, you're looking at something closer to 50mpg (for example, a 2013 Yaris averages about 35mpg combined)

    My old petrol car was getting about 12l per 100km in short urban runs, I replaced it with an 8 year old leaf for the short trips and the savings in fuel paid for the cost of the Leaf.

    Kept the petrol car for the long trips we do a couple of times a month and as a 2nd car for when we need it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,725 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    What plan are you on? (out of curiosity as we're due to renew soon and that sounds like a good option)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,263 ✭✭✭Buddy Bubs


    Mat Watson video on the topic. Haven't watched yet so I don't know the results



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,385 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,725 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Thanks Cyrus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,556 ✭✭✭denismc


    I wonder was Matt Watson following this thread?

    Is Unkel Matt Watson?,🤔



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 66,005 ✭✭✭✭unkel
    Chauffe, Marcel, chauffe!


    With Pinergy you pay 5c night rate and you get a €100 welcome bonus. The day rate is 41c or something like that, but I never buy anything but night rate

    Charging my BMW i3 from empty to full for 100-150km range, costs me €0.80. Would be about the same for an old Leaf / Fluence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    People need choice, but there are those here and in Government who would love nothing more than to remove this choice and remove ICE from sale tomorrow if they could and one big reason is they're big tech heads and feel piston power has no place in 2024 simply because it is old tech. Emissions aside for a moment, there are genuinely people who believe we must have the latest and greatest tech for no other reason than because it's the latest and greatest in their minds and all the tech and screens appeal to many tech heads, those who must have the latest iphone etc.

    The technology needs to progress naturally and when it's good enough at a good price people will swap, I did it mostly because I'm nuts at the best of times, I certainly wouldn't have bought a Leaf, an i3 or a much more expensive id3 tour 5 if there weren't some screws loose.

    For the majority of people cars are something to transport them and their families and they are just tools nothing more and people need to stop judging others and respect their decisions whatever they buy, banning ICE or whatever cars people want will just force more and more to keep their cars longer and longer.

    Of course you won't be able to drive an EV and in 10 years have the same range, you'll be even more limited and fast charging will get slower and slower as the internal resistance of the battery increases, it could even reach the point where acceleration is effected too if it degrades even more.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    There's a lot more company cars in Germany and a Lot more expensive cars than you'd see in Ireland, again, a lot of company cars.

    IF the ICE ban goes ahead, a couple of things may happen, the E.U car industry dies unless it blocks Chinese EV sales. That won't happen because China will probably block luxury car brands from Europe. Either way the E.U car industry will be severely f1cked due to the higher costs to make EV and competition from Chinese electric cars.

    German car companies are good to work for pay well part of the reason they cost more. If we support Chinese electric cars we're really supporting the fact a lot of employees work in **** conditions and very long hours not to mention the environmental concerns from buying Chinese cars that don't care about anything environmental. This is what we're going to support because the European manufacturers will not be able to compete with such a loss of revenue from ICE cars.

    Unless, Efuel saves the day then ICE ban isn't going to happen which is the most likely outcome, a 2035 ICE ban isn't going to happen either in Ireland or anywhere else.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    How about a new Arteon vs. new ID.7? It would not make much sense in my mind to spend my hard earned on anything new but an EV.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    You're deluded if you think a lower to run 60 Km range car offers freedom to lower income people/families who can't drive further and fill up in a min or two, servicing doesn't cost a bomb if you have a cheap car and a lot of people can do it themselves. I used to do most maintenance on my diesels except timing belt, Oil and filters every 15K kms is not several hundred a year from an indi.

    What is low income these days, under 40 K ?

    As I said before where's the cries to bring back our depleted forest, I mean real trees not spruce for industry ? this would be more productive than trying to get people to change to a tech that doesn't suit them or is the real reason getting everyone into modern tech or lowering emissions ? what do people think is the best way to achieve lower emissions, trying to convince people to drive EV or Farmers to plant trees ? all our forest is long gone and what a shame that is but people think that trying to convince people to buy electric cars is the best way to lower emissions ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    Add to this the depreciation, my id3 tour 5 has lost a lot on depreciation and the extra range of the larger battery hasn't held any value more than the lower range battery.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    You forgot to factor in high depreciation on the EV, my id3 tour 5 with 77 Kwh battery has as much value now as the 58 Kwh roughly same mileage lol. I won't be stung again. This is my 3rd EV. I'll either keep it or buy a ICE with much nicer interior.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,385 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    He might even get accused of trolling and get a thread ban lol.

    Cost to buy vs cost to run vs range.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    Yeah like the rest of them the cheap 9 hr off peak is gone replaced by new more expensive peak rate and only 4 hr EV rate lol.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    Nonsense, I've driven a 1.0L Yaris both 2015 and 2000 version and got way higher than 35 mpg imp mpg that is, more like 5.2 L/100 km or 54.32 imp mpg. I have seen higher mpg out of the yaris 1.0L.

    Our 2.2 L diesel outlander could only dream of such economy.

    Even my mothers Ford Fiesta 2010 1.4 L Torque converter auto can't do more than 6.6 L/100 kms no matter how you drive it. That's 42.8 imp Mpg



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 994 ✭✭✭Mad_Lad


    What is a low income salary these days 40 k and below ?

    Anyway, ICE doesn't cost hundreds a year to maintain if driving 15k kms or less, if I were a low income car buyer with a family, mortgage, bills, my concerns would be the cost to buy and the cars ability to bring me anywhere I wanted without restriction that being range and recharge times.

    MY missus has a Opel Cross country as a courtesy car while the Outlander waits for clutch slave cylinder and clutch replacement, the bings and bongs infuriate her as the car constantly beeps at here to keep in lane despite here being in lane, she said she'd definitely not buy a modern car if this is what they do, many think the same, tech is grand and all until it becomes annoying.



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