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Charts ( Up to T120 ) Winter 2023/2024 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

12467

Comments

  • #92
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 879 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    How long does it look like it will last? Will it be cleared through by Sunday night or linger into Monday morning’s commuter time?



  • #93
    Donegal Ken
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 518 ✭✭✭Donegal Ken


    More a morning and early afternoon event and moves through quickly and cleared by Sunday evening and night



  • #94
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,619 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Gfs produces high orange or low red territory wind gusts.

    108-289UK.gif


    www.weatheire.com



  • #95
    PukkaStukka
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,281 ✭✭✭PukkaStukka


    Am I right in saying that the severity of Sunday's "storm" has diminished somewhat in the most recent model runs?



  • #96
    adocholiday
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,197 ✭✭✭adocholiday


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121629782#Comment_121629782

    It's not as severe as it was initially showing with the 150km/h+ gusts, but still looking like a significant event across various parts of the country depending on which model you look at. There is a downward trend across the models for now but it's a very complex system and absolutely will change between now and Sunday, so just keep an eye on the forecasts in the mean time.



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  • #97
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,944 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Another deep area of LP bringing in strong winds for Tues /early Weds. Not as strong on the ECM will see how it pans out.

    gfs_z500_mslp_eu_fh54-90.gif


    Untitled Image


    Untitled Image




  • #98
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,944 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ..

    https://twitter.com/Petagna/status/1748814602433949770/photo/2




  • #99
    Eibhir
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,710 ✭✭✭Eibhir


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121646284#Comment_121646284

    February 1988 and February 1990 storm after storm vibes.



  • #100
    .Donegal.
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,098 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Yellow - Wind Warning for Antrim, Armagh, Down, Fermanagh, Tyrone, Derry

    Tuesday

    Update - Likelihood of impacts increased. Wind speeds increased slightly. Southern boundary of the warning area brought a little further south.



  • #101
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,619 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    After a calmer day tomorrow, there is a risk of another named storm Storm Jocelyn on Tuesday into Wednesday AM. It tracks to the NW of Ireland, but could still bring Yellow Alert level gusts of 90kmh+ to the west. Drier again on Wednesday before more rain arrives Thursday.

    animffu6.gif


    www.weatheire.com



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  • #102
    Ivy Whispering Paperwork
    Posts: 1,264 ✭✭✭ Ivy Whispering Paperwork


    Not looking too bad for Tuesday at the minute. Latest GFS keeps the low a good bit North of us.

    Untitled Image




  • #103
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,944 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121652124#Comment_121652124

    Yeah windy to v windy along coasts, windy overland for a time but looks like remaining in Yellow warning for parts of the country especially the W and NW need to keep an eye on the NW, possibly close to Orange level for a time, v wet too with possibly 20 to 25mm in parts of the W and NW.

    Untitled Image


    xx_model-en-328-0_modusa_2024012200_46_949_63.png xx_model-en-328-0_modez_2024012200_46_949_63.png




  • #104
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,944 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Some rain overnight and clear spells tomorrow before a windy/ blustery front crosses the country from Thurs evening into Fri morning pulling in cold air after it. The 528dam line moves over parts of the W and NW, ECM showing wintry showers of sleet and snow for higher ground especially the NW...a few white mountain caps by Friday maybe.

    After a mild day tomorrow getting up to around 12C in places turning a bit cooler Thurs night into Fri morning but getting a bit milder again towards Fri to around 8 or 9 C it would seem.


    FSXX12T_36.gif


    Untitled Image


    Untitled Image


    xx_model-en-328-0_modez_2024012412_42_949_308.png modez_20240126_0600_animation.gif


    Untitled Image


    Untitled Image


    Untitled Image


    Untitled Image xx_model-en-328-0_modez_2024012412_45_949_157 (1).png




  • #105
    Robwindstorm
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 805 ✭✭✭Robwindstorm


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121668015#Comment_121668015

    That cold front tomorrow night looks like it might produce a whopper of a squall line when it crosses the country.



  • #106
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,944 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121668180#Comment_121668180

    A few people might get woken up all right with squally wind and rain going through. Some CAPE available mainly in the W and NW, maybe around the coasts, will see if any thunderstorms develop a bit in the frontal passage or any reports of localised strong gusts or downdraughts, best chance towards Northern counties perhaps. Sharp temperature drop as the front passes.

    Untitled Image


    Untitled Image


    Untitled Image Untitled Image




  • #107
    InAtFullBack
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,052 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    Thought there would be a bit of a discussion about Sunday night here, a few runs have been hinting the prospect of back-end snow on a stalling front across south central and eastern areas into Monday morning:

    image.png

    It has been showing for a few runs now...



  • #108
    InAtFullBack
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,052 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    GEzL_bwWYAAUno_.jpg

    !2Z today, and 18Z tonight shown above.



  • #109
    InAtFullBack
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,052 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    GExM7kKXsAAicCU.jpg

    This morning's 06Z



  • #110
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,239 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Spotted that this morning. Was also on 00Z. Few other models supporting it (as far as I can see).



  • #111
    InAtFullBack
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,052 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121678873#Comment_121678873

    This could be our reward for missing out on the snow last week?

    //Clutches straws harder//



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  • #112
    sparrowcar
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,919 ✭✭✭sparrowcar


    Looks like the overnight sunday system will be rain with sleet on the hills. MT's forecast says similar 🙃



  • #113
    pureza
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,226 ✭✭✭pureza


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121680688#Comment_121680688

    BBC graphics on their latest news 24 forecast courtesy of a meteogroup model blend,shows snow over the Wicklow mountains and Mount Leinster on the Carlow Wexford border



  • #114
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,619 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    A windy period in store for Tuesday night into a Wednesday PM with a Yellow Alert possible for Galway, Mayo and Donegal. SW winds could bring gusts of 90-110kmh in exposed coastal locations there. Much less windy conditions further south. A deep depression will impact Norway.

    arpegeuk-52-57-0.png b.jpg a.jpg


    www.weatheire.com



  • #115
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,619 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Clearing skies will see ice and frost form in many areas tonight, with temps dipping to -2c in sheltered inland areas. Much milder (3-5c) near coasts.

    frost.jpg frost2.jpg ss.jpg


    www.weatheire.com



  • #116
    sdanseo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,276 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121701655#Comment_121701655

    ..and then shooting up to 11-13°C by Friday afternoon. Practically summer!

    image.png




  • #117
    WolfeEire
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,619 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Plenty to be resolved regarding the boundary line from midweek. Ulster favoured for snow risk

    20240204_142842.jpg 20240204_142836.jpg gens-0-0-90.png


    www.weatheire.com



  • #118
    .Donegal.
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,098 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Surprised to see snow as early as Tuesday from this mornings gfs. Possibly will disappear on the next one.

    image.png




  • #119
    .Donegal.
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,098 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Out to 108 gfs and a decent snow covering for most.

    image.png




  • #120
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,465 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Good UKMO, ok GFS. It's on alright. Just need to iron some creases.



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  • #121
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,441 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    The control is much better than the op, with lots of potential!! Worth a watch over the next 24hrs. Ukmo is best sofar. Gfs control below:


    image.png




This discussion has been closed.
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