Charts ( Up to T120 ) Winter 2023/2024 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

SnowyMuckish

How long does it look like it will last? Will it be cleared through by Sunday night or linger into Monday morning’s commuter time?

Donegal Ken

More a morning and early afternoon event and moves through quickly and cleared by Sunday evening and night

WolfeEire

Gfs produces high orange or low red territory wind gusts.

PukkaStukka

Am I right in saying that the severity of Sunday's "storm" has diminished somewhat in the most recent model runs?

adocholiday

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121629782#Comment_121629782

It's not as severe as it was initially showing with the 150km/h+ gusts, but still looking like a significant event across various parts of the country depending on which model you look at. There is a downward trend across the models for now but it's a very complex system and absolutely will change between now and Sunday, so just keep an eye on the forecasts in the mean time.

Meteorite58

Another deep area of LP bringing in strong winds for Tues /early Weds. Not as strong on the ECM will see how it pans out.

Meteorite58

..

https://twitter.com/Petagna/status/1748814602433949770/photo/2

.Donegal.

Yellow - Wind Warning for Antrim, Armagh, Down, Fermanagh, Tyrone, Derry

Tuesday

Update - Likelihood of impacts increased. Wind speeds increased slightly. Southern boundary of the warning area brought a little further south.

WolfeEire

After a calmer day tomorrow, there is a risk of another named storm Storm Jocelyn on Tuesday into Wednesday AM. It tracks to the NW of Ireland, but could still bring Yellow Alert level gusts of 90kmh+ to the west. Drier again on Wednesday before more rain arrives Thursday.

Not looking too bad for Tuesday at the minute. Latest GFS keeps the low a good bit North of us.

Meteorite58

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121652124#Comment_121652124

Yeah windy to v windy along coasts, windy overland for a time but looks like remaining in Yellow warning for parts of the country especially the W and NW need to keep an eye on the NW, possibly close to Orange level for a time, v wet too with possibly 20 to 25mm in parts of the W and NW.

Meteorite58

Some rain overnight and clear spells tomorrow before a windy/ blustery front crosses the country from Thurs evening into Fri morning pulling in cold air after it. The 528dam line moves over parts of the W and NW, ECM showing wintry showers of sleet and snow for higher ground especially the NW...a few white mountain caps by Friday maybe.

After a mild day tomorrow getting up to around 12C in places turning a bit cooler Thurs night into Fri morning but getting a bit milder again towards Fri to around 8 or 9 C it would seem.

Robwindstorm

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121668015#Comment_121668015

That cold front tomorrow night looks like it might produce a whopper of a squall line when it crosses the country.

Meteorite58

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121668180#Comment_121668180

A few people might get woken up all right with squally wind and rain going through. Some CAPE available mainly in the W and NW, maybe around the coasts, will see if any thunderstorms develop a bit in the frontal passage or any reports of localised strong gusts or downdraughts, best chance towards Northern counties perhaps. Sharp temperature drop as the front passes.

InAtFullBack

Thought there would be a bit of a discussion about Sunday night here, a few runs have been hinting the prospect of back-end snow on a stalling front across south central and eastern areas into Monday morning:

It has been showing for a few runs now...

InAtFullBack

!2Z today, and 18Z tonight shown above.

InAtFullBack

This morning's 06Z

DOCARCH

Spotted that this morning. Was also on 00Z. Few other models supporting it (as far as I can see).

InAtFullBack

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121678873#Comment_121678873

This could be our reward for missing out on the snow last week?

//Clutches straws harder//

sparrowcar

Looks like the overnight sunday system will be rain with sleet on the hills. MT's forecast says similar 🙃

pureza

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121680688#Comment_121680688

BBC graphics on their latest news 24 forecast courtesy of a meteogroup model blend,shows snow over the Wicklow mountains and Mount Leinster on the Carlow Wexford border

WolfeEire

A windy period in store for Tuesday night into a Wednesday PM with a Yellow Alert possible for Galway, Mayo and Donegal. SW winds could bring gusts of 90-110kmh in exposed coastal locations there. Much less windy conditions further south. A deep depression will impact Norway.

WolfeEire

Clearing skies will see ice and frost form in many areas tonight, with temps dipping to -2c in sheltered inland areas. Much milder (3-5c) near coasts.

sdanseo

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121701655#Comment_121701655

..and then shooting up to 11-13°C by Friday afternoon. Practically summer!

WolfeEire

Plenty to be resolved regarding the boundary line from midweek. Ulster favoured for snow risk

.Donegal.

Surprised to see snow as early as Tuesday from this mornings gfs. Possibly will disappear on the next one.

.Donegal.

Out to 108 gfs and a decent snow covering for most.

Kermit.de.frog

Good UKMO, ok GFS. It's on alright. Just need to iron some creases.

JanuarySnowstor

The control is much better than the op, with lots of potential!! Worth a watch over the next 24hrs. Ukmo is best sofar. Gfs control below: