Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Donald Trump discussion Thread IX (threadbanned users listed in OP)

17273757778164

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,099 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I expect Trump to accuse the state official of wrongdoing in overseeing the count if Dr Oz loses the race and to make calls for a recount if its close [either way] for Dr Oz oh the grounds of "count errors". I don't see Trump resisting either the temptation to speak/broadcast to the media on that point regardless of the wishes of his camp and the candidates not to give the media a quote on the result.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,099 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I'd have to dive deep into the candidates background for at least a decade [maybe even prior to the availability of Twitter and other public sites] to get a good reading of where they STOOD and STAND on issues involving sections of US voters at personal levels. As politics is the issue, sanity of the candidates doesn't seem to count where their electoral comments and statements are concerned, as soundbites seem to get the votes in.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,908 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Trump has been whining , but none of the candidates have made any mention of any of his usual guff.

    They are saying fairly reasonable things like "When all the votes are counted I'm confident that I'll win".

    Now , it remains to be seen if Oz in particular stays like that if his current ~1k vote lead was to disappear in a recount..



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,882 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,908 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Well..

    I think it's generally viewed the "Dr Oz" would be the weaker candidate in the head to head next November - The attack ad's write themselves really.

    For a start he's not from Pennsylvania and aside from going to College at Penn State for a few years 30+ years ago has never lived there - His "address" for the Primaries is his sisters house.

    So I guess the Democrats would probably be happy with a messy divisive re-count with all kinds of name calling and Trumpian nonsense followed by Dr Oz limping over the line having pissed off most of the party apparatus in the State.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,274 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    McCormick is a billionaire who was responsible for shipping plenty of jobs to China something which his opponent Fetterman should have a lot of fun with.

    Oz is snake oil salesman but he clearly has charisma and will have the full backing of Trump and the establishment Republicans. I think he will look at Youngkin in Virginia, yes keep Trump happy but try and keep him at arm's distance.

    Oz is favorite simply because it could be a red wave, but the worry for him is the governor they have chosen for the same state is a lunatic who could drag down the whole GOP ticket in that state.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,099 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I'm left with relying mostly on CNN for a regular info boost as a reasonably safe source [though I know it does have a bias, in so far as it is the complete opposite of Fox "news"]. I use snippets from WaPo and The NY Times as well as Politico. Today/tonight CNN is reporting that Mike Pence is campaigning in Georgia for Brian Kemp - which has excited Trump into commenting that MP is doing so to seek relevance. Trump has reportedly gone after Brad Raffensperger again as well.

    Thing is: is there a section of the GOP using Kemp to hit back at Trump and weaken his grip on its voters? If there is, does it include Senator McConnel?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,274 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Chris Christie, George Bush and a lot of the GOP establishment have rocked up behind Kemp.

    Kemp if you are a Republican has governed quite conservatively, passed a restrictive abortion bill, loosened gun laws, very pro big business and also had a much more laisses faire attitude to covid than Trump who actually at the time criticized him for not locking down. He also passed a restrictive voting bill which was cheered by pretty much every GOP person bar Trump who obviously said it did not go far enough.

    His numbers are solid enough in Georgia so can understand the GOP wanting him to win and their is still a lot of bitterness towards Trump for losing the two Georgia senate seats in 2021 which was mainly due to Trump telling people that voting doesn't matter and Perdue running a wretched campaign where he literally had nothing to say bar "MAGA" .

    Its all very bizarre, Perdue has spent only a few million of his personal savings on this campaign which is pennies for him and only agreed to run because Trump pestered him into doing it and obviously his ego at the time got the best of him. From all accounts he has eased up in the last week or two also despite been 30 points down in the polls.

    Their is also the even more bizarre sub plot of some in the middle who may even lean towards the Dem in November favoring Kemp because they have watched Perdue debase himself twice for Trump and don't want to take a chance in him winning in November even if he would be the easier candidate for Stacy Abrams to beat.

    In amusing news Mo Brooks who had his endorsement from Trump rescinded because he slightly eased up on the "stop the steal" drivel has actually surged somewhat since then. Trump called Mo "woke" at the time which is hilarious as Mo is anything but that, the Dem equivalent would be an AOC primary challenger calling her a "white supremacist.


    https://www.politico.com/news/2022/05/22/trump-mo-brooks-alabama-senate-00034249



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,274 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Pence according to reports for a while is running no matter if Trump does in 2024 and he knows rocking up for Kemp will go down poorly with Trump. He's never going to go all out attack on Trump but if he has a chance to bait Trump he will.

    He's probably the only big hitter that is certain to run if Trump does, people like Hailey and RDS I dunno if they want the hassle of dealing with Trump on the debate stage but neither of those 2 have had to deal with lunatics planning to hang you either because Trump lost in 2020. 😕



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,908 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Now it gets interesting - McCormick submitted a lawsuit seeking to have certain mail-in ballots included in the count - The ones in question are ones that were "undated" by the voter which the Georgia court have recently said should be included because even though the voter didn't date them they'd have both a postmark and they are all dated/stamped on receipt so none of them could be "late".

    Trump will no doubt weigh in again further spreading doubt among Georgia republicans about the value of their votes..



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,019 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    Will they even debate Trump should he decide to run?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,274 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Its a great question.

    And also the issue is how hard can you go after Trump as even if you win you will need to keep him happy as a chance he could threaten running as an independent out of spite which would hand the presidency to the Dems. I can understand the likes of Hailey and RDS who are young thinking its not worth the hassle.

    Their is a few Republicans who have zero chance of winning such as Larry Hogan who is probably salivating at the thought of going after Trump on the debate stage though.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,908 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    The more of them that run , the easier it will be for Trump - That was a large part of his 2016 Primary win.

    There were so many of them running voters couldn't coalesce around a competitor to him.

    If there is a segment of the GOP serious about keeping him out , they need to pick one maybe two people and lock in behind them. If there are ~10 randomers running , it's a cake walk for Trump as he has ~30% minimum absolutely nailed on in support of him.

    And Pence is absolutely categorically not that person , he is the absolute personification of an empty suit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,274 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    I have read articles about blue state governors like Larry Hogan and Chris Sunanu running along with Mitt Romney. All three of those are vocally anti Trump and while the media can dream about them winning a primary their is zero chance of anyone running on a strong anti Trump campaign winning.

    Realistically if you are a GOP donor and want Trump gone, best case scenario is to get behind a DeSantis and console yourself with the fact he won't spend all his time tweeting rubbish.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,908 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    I'd agree - The strategy is not a "anti-Trump" one but simply "Not Trump".

    Let him rail about Stolen elections ad infinitum and just focus on actual real stuff like Jobs and the Economy etc.

    Whilst not saying it out loud , the position should be "Do you want a lunatic who will only be concerned with getting revenge on everyone that wronged him or do you want someone working on stuff that impacts your life?"

    Not that I think anyone in the GOP actually gives a damn about the average voter , but that strategy is the only one that has a chance at being a differentiator.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,432 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    If the ones that do not want Trump were serious, they could do a Ross Perot and suck votes from the Republicans if they got the right candidate. A vote of 5% would make all the difference, but they need to take those votes from Trump rather that the Dems.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,908 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    They might not want Trump , but they absolutely don't want a Democrat.

    Trump won't win an Election is a fair fight , but if the result from 2020 was repeated in 2024 the GOP have done enough work (and are doing more in 2022) to ensure that results like Pennsylvania , Arizona and Georgia would be flipped to Trump regardless of the actual result.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,432 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    The Bush crowd do not want Trump, and there are plenty of old school GOP people do not want Trump. It is to the correct candidate to split the vote - that will be the trick. The correct candidate should aim to win the Primaries.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,099 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    So if the above was the GOP scenario in order to foul up Trump's hope of becoming the 47th, wouldn't it be better for them to have Pence as one of the candidates [especially if they wanted DeSantis to be the actual GOP presidential candidate in 2024 - a mere 18 months away] to play with Trump's mind? The notion of Trump shouting at Pence across the media would have to be unsettling for the Trump family and his staffers.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,908 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    The Bush camp definitely don't want Trump , but not to the extent that they would give the White House to a Democrat for another 4 years just to keep Trump out.

    The time for the GOP to stop Trump is during the primary and "splitting the vote" in a FPTP Primary election is exactly the worst thing to do - That's what happened in 2016 when they had more than dozen people running.

    Trump only got above 50% of the vote in the final few rounds when it was down to just Cruz and Kasich running against him- But the damage was already done long before then as he had all the momentum - He was winning states with 25/30% of the total vote early on.

    Before the primaries start, they need to pick a candidate and convince all the others to sit 2024 out and give whoever it is a free run at Trump.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,099 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    If Trump keeps taking all things as personal from any other GOP personality who looks like being a possible candidate, will his actions be enough to persuade actual GOP voters it would be better to vote for a different GOP personality as a candidate in order to defeat Biden, who may appear to be somewhat of a wartime president. I actually don't see Biden going for a second term due to his age as he's not of the Trump egotistic class but I could be wrong. I don't know how the electorate would take to the Dems running a woman for the 47th and how much that would be a gift for whomever the GOP sent forward.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,274 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Jeb loves RDS for what its worth.

    The Bush brigade loath Trump but they will always back him over a Dem sadly. Trump for all his populist bluster didn't govern that differently than them unfortunately. The tax cuts for example were adored by all the "moderate" GOP folks for example. Ultimately the problem the "establishment " GOP have with Trump is they think he is a moron rather than his policies. Someone like Mitch for example who loves reading books would loath been in his presence unless their was something in it for him.

    I don't really see how you beat Trump at all, ideally all get behind one candidate and all the also rans drop out early, but the egos that will be running and they will all have massive war chests so they will all overstay their welcome.

    Imagine telling Cruz to drop out early for example to rally behind someone to beat Trump?😂

    Any plan to beat Trump has sounded like West wing fan fiction sadly.

    I had hoped he would have got distracted with truth social or ideally legally not be allowed to run , but "pigs flying " etc.

    If you want to go down a dark road, maybe health reasons, he looked in terrible shape in his Piers Morgan interview. He definitely lost a good amount of weight last year, but sadly I suspect he is one of those people when it comes to weight it doesn't take much for him to lose discipline and put it back on.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,274 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Amusingly Kemp looks like he will win this primary easier than he did in 2018 when he had Trump's full blown support.

    Raffensperger cruising to victory also.

    Georgia will be interesting in November, a resounding win for Kemp who now has to beat Stacy Abrams who will know she is the outsider but if she somehow was to win in a probable red wave it would be hugely impressive and make her a serious candidate for a future presidential campaign.

    Herschel Walker v Raphael Warnock for senate, Walker has plenty of skeletons but an NFL icon who has Trump and the GOP establishment behind him, Warnock is formidable but its still a red state so plenty to do.

    MTG won her primary easily, I hope the DNC don't waste much money on trying to unseat her as it would be a total waste of time, better spending the cash in more competitive races.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,274 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Took the Brian Kemp blowout as gracefully as expected.


    He cost them 2 senate seats in that state in 2021 , can he blow it again for Kemp?🤣


    https://twitter.com/jonathanvswan/status/1531641422952247298

    Post edited by Rjd2 on


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,908 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    The article he quotes as evidence of this humongous fraud was written by Emerald Robinson. Her evidence is simply that Donald Trump is awesome and that no one that he supports could possibly lose.. Seriously , that's it , that's the evidence.

    Emerald Robinson ,who is so utterly batsh!t crazy that Newsmax fired her for claiming (among other things) that the Covid vaccine had a tracker in it made by Satan.

    Newsmax thought she was mental.. Newsmax!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,274 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    I read through the "piece" for amusement sake and this is the part where she highlights how Kemp "stole the primary"...


    [quote]

    President Trump had endorsed quite a few candidates in Georgia, including David Perdue in the gubernatorial race with Brian Kemp, and Jody Hice in the race for Secretary of State against Brad Raffensperger. His endorsements were decisive in almost every political race in America this year. So why was Georgia such an outlier?

    Sure, Georgia is an open primary state — Democrats are allowed to vote in the GOP primaries there — but that’s not the real story. Look at the RCP polling average: Brian Kemp was getting 52% of the votes and his main challenger, David Perdue, was getting 38% of the votes just before the race.

    On Primary Day in Georgia, Kemp gets 74% and Perdue gets 22%. Nobody in any election in America gets 74% of the votes. Ever. It doesn’t happen.

    Obvious fraud.


    [/quote]


    That's literally it, Kemp was soaring in the polls towards the end so yeah its more than believable and "Nobody in any election in America gets 74% of the votes. Ever. It doesn’t happen.",,,,,,yes it does happen in many primaries especially when the incumbent is popular and has the backing of the part of the party ffs.

    Heck out of curiosity also checked MTG in one of the reddest states in Georgia who I assume Emerald adores and she got 74% of the vote v the chosen Democrat in 2020. 😃



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,099 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    It's been reported that Peter Navarro has been arrested by the FBI and is currently in custody on a contempt of congress charge for not complying with a congress witness subpoena issued by it to him. A response from Trump associates is likely to this arrest and detention in custody.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,099 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    McCormick has conceded to Oz in the ballot on whom will be the Republican Senate nomination in the Pennsylvania race.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,274 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    I don't think that is a bad pick for the GOP. He isn't an idiot so won't debase himself to much and will try and do a Youngkin, aka play footsie with Trump but keep him at a distance. The concern will be the governor on the ticket who is a full blown stop the steal lunatic.

    The Blake Masters endorsement while expected as Thiel was always going to give him a bag of money to do so will be interesting to see how it works out.

    He should come through a primary and then faces Mark Kelly who is a strong enough Dem in a state where the Dems have done a lot of good work in over last few years behind the scenes unlike the Arizona GOP which is a bipartisan laughing stock.

    Not sure how such a pretend populist will do at all, Vance at least in Ohio should be ok as its solidly red state unlike Arizona.

    https://www.axios.com/2022/06/03/trump-endorsement-blake-masters-arizona-senate-primary



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,099 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Something I saw and heard earlier on CNBC about Trump and the 06 Jan coup attempt in Washington got me surprised. It was a GOP politician saying Trump was wrong in failing to use the three vital hours that day - when he did nothing to bring their illegal activities to an end - to address those involved on national TV and tell them to stop what they were doing at the Capitol building because they was wrong. The issue being discussed on CNBC was whether Trump could face trial in federal court in relation to his choice NOT to act and cause the insurrectionists to stop what they were doing and to disperse. OK on that.

    In news from two days ago: In a much-anticipated ruling, Judge David Carter methodically walked through the privilege claims of Trump attorney John Eastman and, in the end, handed the January 6 Committee and federal investigators some potentially valuable evidence that might otherwise have remained shrouded as work product or attorney-client communications. Judge Carter noted that a crucial email dated December 22, 2020, which he ordered produced, “referred to ‘the January 6 strategy’ as a known plan to eight other people.” This email establishes that the “January 6 Strategy” had existed for some time and that it involved not only Eastman and Trump but many others within the ambit of the White House.

    This ruling is the second from Judge Carter on the issue of John Eastman claiming executive privilege on what was discussed between him and Trump in the White House in Jan 2021 [04 to 07 Jan]. In his prior ruling, Judge Carter had been focused solely on the period between January 4-7, 2021, when Trump and Eastman were seeking to pressure Vice President Pence to overturn the election by unilateral decree. Carter ruled then that the “crime-fraud” exception to the attorney-client privilege applied.

    The new Carter ruling is important because the Email dated 22 Dec 2020 made plain reference to the 6 Jan 2021 Strategy planned by Eastman as Trumps lawyer, for a future event in the following year on the date of the reading into the congress record of the presidential election result by Trump's V/P. The email shows clear reference to pre-planning for what would amount to a criminal act against congress, against the constitutional requirement to read into the record the election result by stopping Congress through forceful violence. It is illegal for a lawyer to be involved in any preplanning of any future illegality on behalf of a client. Such illegality would void any attempt to claim lawyer-client privilege over conversations between Eastman and Trump between 22 Dec 2020 and 07 Jan 2021 which Eastman tried to assert existed between him and Trump.

    Much of what I typed above in Para's 2 and 3 involving Judge Carter and his rulings is from a report by Jay Kuo in the Home»News»Terrorism section in the Second Nexus publication

    CAPITOL RIOT

    A Judge Just Gave Four Gifts to Jan 6 Investigators—Trump's Lawyer Can’t Be Happy




Advertisement