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Ukraine (Mod Note & Threadbanned Users in OP)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,065 ✭✭✭✭Danzy




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,984 ✭✭✭jmreire


    That opinion is a very optimistic outlook for Putin Tooka. Before jumping to what will happen after Ukraine, best wait until he has finished this war first. And things being the way they presently are militarily, the outlook is far from good for him. And that's before considering the economic repercussions which are now starting to kick in. After this has finished, I don't think that Putin will be in any position to do any more invading, at least for several years, if ever. All the advantages he once had pre-invasion, are now gone. Surprise, Powerful Military capabilities ( now debunked ), while the flaws and drawbacks to his planning are becoming more apparent every day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 434 ✭✭tooka


    I get what you are saying but when I say invading I mean targeted bombing

    it’s quiet unclear what is happening in the war, we are told so many stories that contradict themselves it’s laughable, the daily mail by far the worst offender

    I guess what I am saying is that we have no idea who is winning the war and who is losing the war and is there actual battles going on it is it Russia mass bombing certain areas

    its a very confusing war that has had very little deaths but lots of propaganda



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,984 ✭✭✭jmreire


    You can be sure of one thing Tooka, Putin is not winning. And he is not going to either. His 3 day event has now gone into its 2nd month, with Ukrainian forces getting stronger and stronger. And why are they resorting to long range shelling? I'll tell you why, the cost in dead and injured soldiers is too high, that's why. Families of killed soldiers will not be silenced for ever. As for not knowing how many have been killed ( never mind injured) Bringing soldiers from Chechnya and Syria,? why? Replacing dead and injured Russian soldiers maybe? Asking the Chinese for munitions and MRE's. My God! they cannot even feed their soldiers in the field. So it will drag on for another while...weeks month's even years. Yes years, because that's how long Ukrainians' are prepared to fight on for. Even if there a ceasefire or some kind of agreement made, its my belief that Ukraine will never stop until it has recovered what was stolen from it. Putin made a fatal error invading Ukraine, based on what he was told by his advisors. And its far from certain that even now, he knows exactly what the true situation is,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 665 ✭✭✭goldenmick


    @tooka - its a very confusing war that has had very little deaths but lots of propaganda


    Very little deaths??

    I don't know where you get your information from or what papers you read but you're 100% wrong.

    Thousands have already died and thousands more will die.

    At least the quality of your posts have not deteriorated... that would be difficult as they are ALL garbage.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,202 ✭✭✭amandstu


    Who recognizes the ,Russian status of Crimea or the 2 "Russian" regions of East Ukraine?

    Ukraine has ,in my view the internationally legally recognized right to pursue those claims both diplomatically and militarily.


    Whether they would be well advised to do so seems unlikely and I think Zelensky knows this and some negotiated arrangement is his aim.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,984 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Of course, Zelenskys primary aim now is to stop the fighting and killing. Thats a given, but that's not to say that Putin is going to get everything he want's in any settlement. So yes, an agreement will be made, neither side will be 100 % ( or even a lot less) happy, but it will end the war. But that will not be "End of Story" I think. Ukraine, will rebuild and become stronger. Russia???? That's an open-ended question. Only time will tell how that plays out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 434 ✭✭tooka


    thousands ?

    ukriane are telling us they have lost thousands but also they have killed thousands

    none of this verified which it could easily if Ukraine released their footage

    this war has zero footage by either Ukrainians or Russians or media

    we do not know what is happening in this war



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 935 ✭✭✭Detritus70


    So, decimate the tax take, stop borrowing and just go to the magic money trees?

    Fully Automated Luxury Gay Space Communism



  • Posts: 0 Chaya Slimy Fax


    The US was backing Ukraine and Georgia to join Nato back in 2008 but Germany were against it, soon after Russia annexed both to ensure they couldnt join it. This war was coming for along time



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,362 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    As usual your post has a fatal logical deficit which you willfully ignore - the age of cheap carbon based energy has ended and isn't coming back. Energy prices have been rising for a while and took off when Russia invaded. You even reference how "the energy price increases the last few weeks in Ireland" but your post seems to suggest this is due to "the green option" rather than Russia's war.

    It is our over-reliance on carbon based energy which will move millions of people into severe poverty, we need to move to a better mix of energy sources with greater security and not relying on untrustworthy regimes. Yes carbon based energy sources will continue to be a vital component of the energy mix for a long time but its importance needs to reduce.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 440 ✭✭myfreespirit


    Yes, we do know what is happening in this war. The Russki murderers are getting their asses kicked with the help of NATO weapons.

    Death to Russia!

    Long live Ukraine!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,734 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Personally speaking I can. Living in rural Ireland gas is an alien concept. I see gas bottles for sale in the petrol station but the last time one of them was inside the door of our house was for my late grandmothers super ser heater circa 35 years ago. I save a plot of turf every year €500 euro for 8 tons approx, foot it and draw it home myself, heats the house lovely every day for the entire winter. And I will definitely be doing it this year again and it’s tedious work but every sod I turn and lift I will be thinking to myself f**k you Putin and your gas you wouldn’t last five minutes out here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,512 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    If you have zero idea what's happening, why did you state earlier "there have been very little deaths."

    When challenged on this claim, you think resort to smokescreen and deflection tactics, "we do not know what is happening".

    That's not a credible jump from post to post.

    When the true picture emerges, do you really think there will have been very little deaths in places like Mariupol which have been subjected to war crimes by Russia, city flattened, cut off?

    Why would Ukraine release footage which could give a tactical advantage to Russia? Just to satisfy some randomer on the internet?

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,571 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    That's also rather glossing over the fact that apparently before social media existed and portable camera were everywhere, no one had the slightest clue what was going on in any way ever apparently.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,219 ✭✭✭Economics101


    Tooka, you seem to know just as much about Economics and Finance as you do about everything else. 😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,010 ✭✭✭✭28064212


    When are you going to address your claim that Poland invaded Germany in 1939?

    A reminder, for anyone that thinks this poster is debating in good faith:

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,512 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,904 ✭✭✭beggars_bush


    Trump administration gave putin free reign and Obama's administration never tried to check his growing ambitions.

    The US has been very soft with Russia for 20 years



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,327 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    so tookas had some upgrades (going with demoralisation about economic impacts of Russia's war of aggression is better, cleverer) but we're not all goldfish I expect. Still maybe it is as well to remind people of clumsier posts earlier.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,369 ✭✭✭liamtech


    Im really only reconnecting with this story today - been out for the count for days, despite 5 negative antigen tests - ugh - bad week - anyway

    What do we think of the attack on a target in Russia proper today? As i understand it some Ukrainian choppers crossed the border and attacked an oil depot? Im assuming the Russian forces are concentrated in the Ukraine so, attacking a target in Russia was easier - they were vulnerable to an attack on the rear? Im trying to catch up with this story, so do correct me if im wrong. Bravo Ukraine though

    Do we have any further indications RE casualties in Russian Military?? When i was last active it looked like a figure of 10,000 aprox - which was then retracted - and i heard NATO estimates up to 15k.

    As for tooka - ugh i am not responding to him - im ignoring him. Over the past few days (high temperature and fever) i keep seeing his posts 'quoted' - and i dont know whether to laugh, scream, or assume im hallucinating - i recommend ignoring him of course

    One thing i wanted to mention in particular is Finland joining NATO - i recall seeing that the writing is on the wall for This. Do we have any word on Sweden?

    This will be the real defeat for Russia now - Think about what they will have 'accomplished' - imagine the hypothetical 'outcome list' of this war

    • Ukraine Cede Donbas/Crimea to Russia
    • Ukraine Armed Neutral - not a member OF NATO - but armed by the west with advanced weapon systems
    • Ukraine to join EU
    • Finland to join NATO (check out their air-force!)
    • Sweden to join NATO (also! check out their home grown Air-force of Saab Gripens!)
    • Russia sanctioned, leaving Russian economy in the toilet
    • Foreign companies abandon Russia
    • Russian Airlines banned from Non Russian Aligned Airspace - seized Western Leased Aircraft eventually rendered useless due to components embargo by airbus and Boeing
    • Russia forced to invest in home grown aircraft - it will take YEARS for them to get back up to speed on this front (and the cost will be immense)
    • Technological boycott leaves Russia disadvantaged in comparison to the west

    I seem to recall seeing that Finland could be admitted to days within days of a membership application - i put this down to the technological prowess of their military - its already at NATO standard so -

    So Russia will have achieved VERY LITTLE - at a massive cost in manpower, machinery, credibility, and the financial cost is extreme -

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Posts: 0 Chaya Slimy Fax


    Best time for Finland to join would be now as the Russias army is distracted. Russia would have a hard time attacking Sweden anyhow.

    I would see Chinese companies moving in to fill the void. Some western companies have only suspended their operations as long as the war is short term.

    Russia has had the biggest gains in the south, they control the railway lines which would sort the logistic issues. The Russians are going to concentrate their troops in the south/east over the coming weeks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,202 ✭✭✭amandstu


    Oh that attack across the border seems very significant to me.

    Logistics seems to be Russia 's Achilles heel and I heard military analysts on CNN suggesting their mooted redeployment might be impossible in short order.


    Also that lines of surrendering troops might be days away.


    Incredible if that comes to pass.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,369 ✭✭✭liamtech


    I dont believe China would be willing to pick up the slack entirely - sure they could help? But they already quickly threw water on the Air Craft Parts end of things - that will cripple Russia long term -

    Not sure if the above was shared (possibly was an by yours truly - i cannot remember, this week is a blur :( , but anyway view FYI)

    The above explains the situation, and adequately throws more water on the idea of China 'just stepping in' - i think China will assist, but in many areas they cannot simply fill the gap

    As for NATO - i think this is more a game with the Russians.

    • NATO is a defensive Alliance - should not actually be viewed as 'offensive'
    • Russia has 'chosen' to view it as Offensive - and has invaded a democracy to 'deter' said state from joining NATO
    • Possibly inevitable that Ukraine will NOT join NATO (receiving arms from NATO states will undoubtedly continue)
    • Finland and Sweden joining - strengthens NATO - MASSIVELY
    • As i understand it, both nations have a level of military prowess sufficient that no 'alignment precursor period' would be necessary
    • They merely 'request' to join - and within a short period (could be days if i understand correctly) - they are in

    So it solidly destroys the Russian 'gain' from this war - strategically i mean - they went to war to stop 'one' nation from joining - result; 2 others join - and one with a border on Russia

    and the above doesn't even take into account

    • Germany re-arming
    • Baltic's increasing military spending
    • UK France and US, stationing increased levels of military units along the Russian Border (and Belarus SSR)

    Bottom line - Russia doesnt like NATO - Russian actions have increased strength and capability OF NATO

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 434 ✭✭tooka




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,369 ✭✭✭liamtech


    Obviously trapping Russians in Ukraine sans supplies/logistics - is a win for sure

    (Call me paranoid) but i will await full confirmation that Ukraine ACTUALLY did this (they are yet to confirm are they?) - i only mention it as a rather paranoid thought occurs to me

    • Russian ineptitude leads to explosions at depot
    • Russia blames Ukraine
    • provides footage etc

    I know the footage of the explosion has been Geo-Location confirmed (by sky) - has the footage of the choppers been confirmed? Genuine question btw. Like i said this is the first time in days when im fully reconnecting with this ongoing situation

    Hey - if the Russians have been hampered further - no complaints here - would be fantastic!!

    Slava Ukraini

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,991 ✭✭✭kravmaga


    Yes this is getting very interesting, the camera footage of the attack appears to be a number of missiles launched into the large oil depot in Belgorod which is 22km from the north eastern Ukraine border with Russia.

    Very brave mission by the Ukraine Armed Forces or by its special forces unit. This could be to draw Russian army back from the front lines.

    Does not look like the missiles were launched from a helicopter, more a long range missile attack S300 missile system from within Ukraine territory. Sky news have the footage which looks like a massive oil depot terminal.

    This is not the 1st attack on Belgorod, last week a large ammunition's depot also experienced a large explosion.

    https://news.sky.com/video/ukraine-war-huge-fire-at-russian-oil-depot-12579478

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10665295/Suspected-arms-depot-western-Russia-destroyed-Ukrainian-missile.html



  • Posts: 0 Chaya Slimy Fax


    no coutnry can help Russia on the spare parts of airlines as they are bound by international rules. But in stuff like retail the chinese could take more of a market share. Not one chinese company has pulled out of Russia.

    Russia dosnt care about nato as long as ukraine are not part of it. Russia sees ukraine as been part of Russia, this war is about history and legacy for putin. The nazis as such, is about ukraine becoming westernised.

    At best if Nato are re-arming, they can give their old weapons to Ukraine, as for Russia attacking Nato that will never happen. This war started in 2014, Putin wanted to make sure nato and eu memebership were not going to happen by annexing Ukraine, while at the same time building up his own army for a full invasion. Donbas now wants to join the russian federation simply because they were russians all along fighting in ukraine for the last 8 years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    @kravmaga Does not look like the missiles were launched from a helicopter, more a long range missile attack S300 missile system from within Ukraine territory. Sky news have the footage which looks like a massive oil depot terminal.

    Unguided rockets were fired from the helicopters ,the s300 is an anti aircraft missile and isn't used attack ground targets



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,991 ✭✭✭kravmaga


    But thats a very risky operation so to travel 22km into Russian territory who you would imagine have anti aircraft systems in place for protection.

    I cant find 100% confirmation that the missiles were fired from 2 UAF helicopters.

    Is it not possible that the UAF used a ground to ground long range missile system to attack the oil depot in Belgorod.?



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