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Cheltenham 2021 Antepost
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You've dubbed me the Ante Post King (among other things :pac:) so he's what i have to date.
Singles:
Galvin 12/1 - NH Chase
Monkfish 10/1 - RSA
Delta Work 33/1 - Gold Cup (big price - i thought he ran well on Saturday)
Ballyadam 20/1 - Supreme and Ballymore
Multiples:
Galvin / Envoi Allen
Shishkin / Envoi Allen / Abacadabras
Shishkin / Abacadabras
Edited 03/11 to include:
Envoi Allen / Abacadabras
Envoi Allen / Shishkin (this a double i may top up again until the both inevitably become 6/4 shots)
Summary:
I think Galvin will be my strongest dart this year. GE loves winning this race and Galvin seems to tick all the boxes.
Ballyadam in both, think this lad in an aeroplane. Initially thought he was made for the Ballymore but a lot of chat about the Supreme so i went this way too. Can cash out at some point as prices have tumbled for both.
Envoi Allen will likely by in a lot of bets, he looks the real deal, and i also think Shishkin is too. The double pays about 12/1.
I thought i had Abacadabras backed as a single but apparently not, just in the bets above. I wouldnt be anyway concerned, he wants better ground and stronger pace. I still think he has a huge chance in the CH and at 10s now i think it big.
I've cashed out on Malone Road at no loss after his flop and cashed out all bar one of my Princess Zoe bets after she won the Cadran, for a profit as i had her at tasty prices and she went to 5/1. I left one bet open on her just in case but its going to be a loser. Sin é.
I've a few handicap plots (remember Glenloe
) that I have in my mind once those markets start to form. Some obvious but as always if you get in early you're generally getting 3 or 4 times the price it will be on the day.
Feel free to abuse me
I'm going to update this for full transparency. I cashed out both Ballyadam slips after he was stuffed over Christmas, probably should have kept one.
Tower Bridge; I've taken a lose on as i had him backed a few times.
Not sure if i have these listed somewhere else in the thread but here we go.
Hook Up 20/1 Mares novice hurdle
Saint Sam 14/1 (and 12/s) Boodles
Fakiera 14/1 AB (cashed out Ashdale Bob)
Kilcruit 10/1 Bumper
Gaillard Du Mesnil 8/1 Ballymore
Elimay 11/2 Mares Chase
Allaho 10/1 Ryanair
Chosen Mate/Entoucas both 25/1 Grand Annual
I'm really happy with them i must admit. Most prices have dropped dramatically.
Saint Sam wins the Boodle if he goes there. Which he will as he's been beaten twice by the fav and second fav, He's def their horse for it. Obviously the plan wasnt to place yesterday but i'm not sure how highly the handicapper will rate the winner even though it was a Grade 1. He just wins!!
Update here:
Monkfish, Allaho and Galvin all landed decent antepost bets for followers. Monkfish going off 1/4 was just unreal and will probably never happen again.
Entoucas second at 25/1 was sickening, as he should have won. Was the best horse.
Saint Sam well ran in the Boodles, beaten by a 80/1 shot. Awful pity he was held up last for most of the race... :rolleyes:
Kilcruit should have won but another stinker from Townend. Blackmore rode him asleep.
Elimay given another shocker by Walsh. Let Colreevy jump into her instead of letting her jump right and lose ground, but Walsh decided to help out by running and jumping alongside her
Hook Up and Fakeira both ultimately disappointing.
And Envoi Allen fell... I had EV in bets with Monkfish, Galvin and Shishkin. OH WHAT MIGHT HAVE BEEN
Either Monkfish or Galvin winning alone meant i would have been up for the festival with one bet. Again, it shows the huge benefits of ante post punting.
Some money definitely left behind this year, particularly with Entoucas, but all in all, a good week, but still a somewhat deflated feeling.0 -
Update here:
Monkfish, Allaho and Galvin all landed decent antepost bets for followers. Monkfish going off 1/4 was just unreal and will probably never happen again.
Entoucas second at 25/1 was sickening, as he should have won. Was the best horse.
Saint Sam well ran in the Boodles, beaten by a 80/1 shot. Awful pity he was held up last for most of the race... :rolleyes:
Kilcruit should have won but another stinker from Townend. Blackmore rode him asleep.
Elimay given another shocker by Walsh. Let Colreevy jump into her instead of letting her jump right and lose ground, but Walsh decided to help out by running and jumping alongside her
Hook Up and Fakeira both ultimately disappointing.
And Envoi Allen fell... I had EV in bets with Monkfish, Galvin and Shishkin. OH WHAT MIGHT HAVE BEEN
Either Monkfish or Galvin winning alone meant i would have been up for the festival with one bet. Again, it shows the huge benefits of ante post punting.
Some money definitely left behind this year, particularly with Entoucas, but all in all, a good week, but still a somewhat deflated feeling.
Still don't understand why you'd bother backing Monkfish ante post when you could have just backed him on the day.
Ante post punting makes no sense. Much easier to just pick the winner on the day of the race so you know he definitely has 4 legs.0 -
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Update here:
Monkfish, Allaho and Galvin all landed decent antepost bets for followers. Monkfish going off 1/4 was just unreal and will probably never happen again.
Entoucas second at 25/1 was sickening, as he should have won. Was the best horse.
Saint Sam well ran in the Boodles, beaten by a 80/1 shot. Awful pity he was held up last for most of the race... :rolleyes:
Kilcruit should have won but another stinker from Townend. Blackmore rode him asleep.
Elimay given another shocker by Walsh. Let Colreevy jump into her instead of letting her jump right and lose ground, but Walsh decided to help out by running and jumping alongside her
Hook Up and Fakeira both ultimately disappointing.
And Envoi Allen fell... I had EV in bets with Monkfish, Galvin and Shishkin. OH WHAT MIGHT HAVE BEEN
Either Monkfish or Galvin winning alone meant i would have been up for the festival with one bet. Again, it shows the huge benefits of ante post punting.
Some money definitely left behind this year, particularly with Entoucas, but all in all, a good week, but still a somewhat deflated feeling.
Can't see Walsh riding for JP for much longer. That ride on Elimay was one of the worst i've seen.0 -
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Plasandrunt wrote: »Looking at my book so far.
Supreme
Appreciate it @5/2
Arkle
Shiskin @2/1
Darver Star @14/1
Champion Hurdle
Abacadbras @6/1
National Hunt Chase
Galvin @20/1
RSA
Next Destination @ 9/1
Champion Chase
Put the Kettle on w/o Chacun@ 9/1
Marsh
Envoi Allen (rollup) @24/1
Ryanair
Allaho @ 10/1
Reel Steel @ 16/1
Stayers
Thyme Hill @12/1
Mares Novice
Hook up @16/1
Triumph
Duffle Coat @14/1
Paros @20/1
County Hurdle
Petit Mouchoir @25/1
Gold Cup
Santini @14/1
Mares Chase
Shattered Love @14/1
Ellfie @ 12/1
Some decent looking multis added to about 30 point worth of dead bets such as Ferny Hollow (Supreme), Easywork (RSA) and Pic D'orhy (Arkle)- what was I thinking.
Mixed bag really.
I done relatively well in the end but could have been so much better. Envoi Allen falling cost me over 600 points as I had him in doubles and trebles with Galvin, Allaho and Shiskin. When Galvin won I already had most of the money spent as I'd expected Next Destination to win with his late entry. A week later and I'm still so deflated over it.
Big thing for next year is to learn how to change my mind, despite the likes of Santini and Abacadbras not showing enough throughout the year I constantly stuck with them.0 -
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