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Storm Ellen - 19th/20th August 2020

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Comments

  • #572
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,634 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    M.T. Cranium wrote: »
    From my point of view there was no real eastward trend, the models most trusted by met E happened to be those with the furthest west tracks. Also a slight shift east is not a downgrade except in the limited sense that places now to the west of the developing track will have a downgrade in their peak gusts. They will on the other hand get more rain than might have been predicted previously.

    Take this very seriously indeed if you live or are situated between Cork and Wexford and all the way inland up to east Galway, Sligo, Roscommon.

    When you say cork do you mean cork city or county? I presume county!


  • #573
    SomethingElse
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,536 ✭✭✭SomethingElse


    grinder23 wrote: »
    Hi Guys haven't a clue about any of this but I never see Longford mentioned lol anyone any idea what we could expect?

    Expect a risk of everything you own being lifted overnight. Don't expect any winds though.


  • #574
    John Hutton
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,301 ✭✭✭John Hutton


    Friend of mine camping in a tent on Achill island tonight - this is madness yes? Or am I overreacting?


  • #575
    Graces7
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Hard rain now, borne in on a rising breeze. ie a baby gale!

    The sky is a uniform grey; lying low in almost every direction. No mountains. Just grey cloud. Flat above a flat grey ocean. The air is stifling. Grey.

    And heavier rain. Is it beginning? Love the sound of it.

    Stay safe.

    PS If I fall asleep I will miss the storm however bad it is. A giftedness since childhood...


  • #576
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,496 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Mod Note: No more general debate in relation to warnings in this thread please.

    I will start moving posts here: https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057918791


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  • #577
    Shadylou
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 254 ✭✭Shadylou


    What has been downgraded, everything still seems to be the same on the met.ie website????


  • #578
    Seamai
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,250 ✭✭✭Seamai


    Two hours to 9pm and was just out to put the patio furniture in the shed, just a slight drizzle.
    I'm looking out and it's absolutely calm, not the slightest bit of movement, almost eerie.


  • #579
    pad199207
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,456 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Rapidly deepening

    022-F977-C-A70-C-44-E2-BA51-CADEBA715-F8-A.jpg


  • #580
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,759 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Wind has died down again in West Cork along with the rain going off again, calm before the storm v2 :p


  • #581
    squarecircles
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,343 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Rapidly deepening

    022-F977-C-A70-C-44-E2-BA51-CADEBA715-F8-A.jpg


    christ it looks like a savage day across iberia,how i wish i were there,in that blinding UV light and blue azure skies ,wading into calm warm water,among attractive tanned people with a beer in my hand.

    i remeber speaking to my peruvean friend in Barcelona back in february and he felt a bit down because it was rainy and chilly for a few days,they dont know theyre alive.Hed have to be drugged to the eyeballs living here.



    2020 is pure pigmuck.

    September might be beautiful ,who knows.Lets hope so.


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  • #582
    sdanseo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,291 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    12Z ECM out. Upgrades now all but certain for the SE and probably the midlands.
    6a0065d0811dc949d8de9cf8d5e24fcb.png
    4efbcc7e98813ab30a7d7b8b288a708a.png


  • #583
    leahyl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,492 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    sdanseo wrote: »
    12Z ECM out. Upgrades now all but certain for the SE.
    6a0065d0811dc949d8de9cf8d5e24fcb.png

    Cork still red?


  • #584
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,516 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Strangely calm in West Clare this evening, a breeze starting to pick up now, have gone for a walk as rain seems imminent.


  • #585
    irishgeo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,788 ✭✭✭irishgeo


    John Hutton wrote: »
    Friend of mine camping in a tent on Achill island tonight - this is madness yes? Or am I overreacting?

    think it may dodge this one, depends on what part of the island he is. some areas sheltered from a SE wind.


  • #586
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,355 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    If we don't have any forum members already in Dungarvan to Youghal especially near the coast there, perhaps somebody with a vehicle within 2 hours drive might like to do a live on the spot report as landfall seems most likely to be close to 9:30-10:00 p.m. on current developments.

    Wherever the low crosses the coast, about 30 miles east of there would be the maximum wind and storm surge impact zone. I would imagine there's some seaside caravan parks in that general area, those should probably be toured by local police and visitors warned to take shelter (perhaps this is already happening).

    If we do have current thread readers in that impact zone, could you let us know where you are situated and give us hourly or more frequent updates starting around 8 p.m. TIA.


  • #587
    nacho libre
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,097 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    While the west and parts of north west will most likely escape the worst of this storm, those areas could see a brief period of fairly strong winds later on Thursday after Storm Ellen is gone. So those dismissing taking precautions as pointless might want to reconsider that kind of thinking.


  • #588
    hurikane
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 690 ✭✭✭hurikane


    markjbloggs wrote: »
    If these trends continue, this should be hugely embarrassing for Met Eireann. Not the first time they have cried wolf in recent years of course but the impact of their warning on struggling tourism businesses should leave them open to some very difficult questions

    You reckon we’ll need a tribunal?


  • #589
    sdanseo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,291 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    leahyl wrote: »
    Cork still red?

    East of the city, by that map, very much so.

    My opinion - Waterford will go red, Wexford and most of the midlands will go Orange.


  • #590
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,634 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    leahyl wrote: »
    Cork still red?

    East Cork is anyway.

    The distances are so small it really is a nowcast at this stage. They get hurricanes wrong in USA right up to the last minute.


  • #591
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 13,106 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    For the record.

    dsiHAJj.gif


    MYB2XeX.gif


    6sxuV7D.gif

    GPY5U7p.png


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  • #592
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,249 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Interestingly, the 'ICON Flash' has stronger winds for the south tomorrow evening than at any time overnight (gust speed forecast for 7pm tomorrow)

    ntBb4xZ.png

    New Moon



  • #593
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 4,186 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Not even a breeze here in Cork city and very warm, just waiting for it to kick off ,as long as everyone stays safe I like a good storm , a mix of excitement and fear atm.


  • #594
    leahyl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,492 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    sdanseo wrote: »
    East of the city, by that map, very much so.

    My opinion - Waterford will go red, Wexford and most of the midlands will go Orange.

    Ah right, always seems to miss the city where I am :-( guess I should be grateful!


  • #595
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,759 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Looks like the coasts could still get 100-110kmh gusts which are no joke at the same time, definitely don't untie your stuff anyway


  • #596
    Viewtodiefor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,217 ✭✭✭Viewtodiefor


    M.T. Cranium wrote: »
    If we don't have any forum members already in Dungarvan to Youghal especially near the coast there, perhaps somebody with a vehicle within 2 hours drive might like to do a live on the spot report as landfall seems most likely to be close to 9:30-10:00 p.m. on current developments.

    Wherever the low crosses the coast, about 30 miles east of there would be the maximum wind and storm surge impact zone. I would imagine there's some seaside caravan parks in that general area, those should probably be toured by local police and visitors warned to take shelter (perhaps this is already happening).

    If we do have current thread readers in that impact zone, could you let us know where you are situated and give us hourly or more frequent updates starting around 8 p.m. TIA.


    Few miles east of Dungarvan here 300 mts from coast light breeze drizzle blowing


  • #597
    sdanseo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,291 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    Oneiric 3 wrote: »
    Interestingly, the 'ICON Flash' has stronger winds for the south tomorrow evening than at any time overnight (gust speed forecast for 7pm tomorrow)

    That big number will be Carrauntoohil though, 1,041m up, won't it?


  • #598
    sunbabe08
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,356 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    Will there be any thunder and lightening from this?


  • #599
    Burts Bee
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 273 ✭✭Burts Bee


    I'm in North Cork, any idea what to expect? Fairly elevated with not much shelter!


  • #600
    spookwoman
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,109 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    Tramore high tide gone about 45mins and nothing to see on the camera. Rain for fog has just blocked off any view.
    Waterford itself muggy with a bit of a breeze starting


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  • #601
    squarecircles
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,343 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    id love if someone wrote a thesis why the most severe storms always impact the southern third of the country,the really destrutive ones.


    there seems to be a narrow swathe of the country from south mayo through the north midlands to dublin and the northeast that never get a severe storm as much as the northwest -sligo donegal and the southern portion of the country.


This discussion has been closed.
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